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Massachusetts' 3rd Congressional District election, 2022
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| Massachusetts' 3rd Congressional District |
|---|
 |
| Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
| Election details |
| Filing deadline: June 7, 2022 |
| Primary: September 6, 2022 General: November 8, 2022 |
| How to vote |
| Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. Voting in Massachusetts |
| Race ratings |
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic Inside Elections: Solid Democratic Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic |
| Ballotpedia analysis |
| U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022 |
| See also |
1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th Massachusetts elections, 2022 U.S. Congress elections, 2022 U.S. Senate elections, 2022 U.S. House elections, 2022 |
All U.S. House districts, including the 3rd Congressional District of Massachusetts, held elections in 2022. The general election was on November 8, 2022. The primary was scheduled for September 6, 2022. The filing deadline was June 7, 2022.
The outcome of this race affected the partisan balance of the U.S. House of Representatives in the 118th Congress. All 435 House districts were up for election.
Republicans won a 222-213 majority in the U.S. House in 2022.
Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have received 62.7% of the vote in this district and Donald Trump (R) would have received 35.3%.[1]
For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:
- Massachusetts' 3rd Congressional District election, 2022 (September 6 Democratic primary)
- Massachusetts' 3rd Congressional District election, 2022 (September 6 Republican primary)
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House Massachusetts District 3
Incumbent Lori Trahan defeated Dean Tran in the general election for U.S. House Massachusetts District 3 on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ |  | Lori Trahan (D) | 63.5 | 154,496 |
 | Dean Tran (R) | 36.4 | 88,585 | |
| Other/Write-in votes | 0.1 | 220 | ||
| Total votes: 243,301 | |||
 = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Massachusetts District 3
Incumbent Lori Trahan advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Massachusetts District 3 on September 6, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Lori Trahan | 99.6 | 64,190 |
| Other/Write-in votes | 0.4 | 283 | ||
| Total votes: 64,473 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Massachusetts District 3
Dean Tran advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Massachusetts District 3 on September 6, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Dean Tran | 99.3 | 24,087 |
| Other/Write-in votes | 0.7 | 180 | ||
| Total votes: 24,267 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Voting information
- See also: Voting in Massachusetts
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
No candidate in this race completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey.
Campaign finance
This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[2] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[3] Click here to view the reporting schedule for candidates for U.S. Congress in 2022.
| U.S. Congress campaign reporting schedule, 2022 | ||
|---|---|---|
| Report | Close of books | Filing deadline |
| Year-end 2021 | 12/31/2021 | 1/31/2022 |
| April quarterly | 3/31/2022 | 4/15/2022 |
| July quarterly | 6/30/2022 | 7/15/2022 |
| October quarterly | 9/30/2022 | 10/15/2022 |
| Pre-general | 10/19/2022 | 10/27/2022 |
| Post-general | 11/28/2022 | 12/08/2022 |
| Year-end 2022 | 12/31/2022 | 1/31/2023 |
There are currently no declared candidates in this race. Know of one we missed? Click here to let us know.
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[4]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[5][6][7]
| Race ratings: Massachusetts' 3rd Congressional District election, 2022 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
| November 8, 2022 | November 1, 2022 | October 25, 2022 | October 18, 2022 | ||||||
| The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
| Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
| Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | |||||
| Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. | |||||||||
Ballot access requirements
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Massachusetts in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Massachusetts, click here.
| Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2022 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
| Massachusetts | U.S. House | Ballot-qualified party | 2,000 | N/A | 6/7/2022 | Source |
| Massachusetts | U.S. House | Unaffiliated | 2,000 | N/A | 8/30/2022 | Source |
District analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting.
- Effect of redistricting - How districts in the state changed as a result of redistricting following the 2020 census.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2022 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
District map
Below was the map in use at the time of the election, enacted as part of the 2020 redistricting cycle, compared to the map in place before the election.
Massachusetts District 3
until January 2, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
Massachusetts District 3
starting January 3, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
Effect of redistricting
The table below details the results of the 2020 presidential election in each district at the time of the 2022 election and its political predecessor district.[8] This data was compiled by Daily Kos Elections.[9]
| 2020 presidential results by Congressional district, Massachusetts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| District | 2022 district | Political predecessor district | ||
Joe Biden 
|
Donald Trump 
|
Joe Biden
|
Donald Trump
| |
| Massachusetts' 1st | 59.8% | 38.2% | 61.1% | 36.9% |
| Massachusetts' 2nd | 64.3% | 33.5% | 61.8% | 36.0% |
| Massachusetts' 3rd | 62.7% | 35.3% | 63.4% | 34.6% |
| Massachusetts' 4th | 63.3% | 34.8% | 64.5% | 33.7% |
| Massachusetts' 5th | 74.8% | 23.6% | 74.5% | 23.9% |
| Massachusetts' 6th | 62.9% | 35.3% | 62.6% | 35.6% |
| Massachusetts' 7th | 85.5% | 13.1% | 85.3% | 13.3% |
| Massachusetts' 8th | 66.9% | 31.4% | 66.2% | 32.2% |
| Massachusetts' 9th | 58.2% | 40.0% | 57.9% | 40.3% |
Competitiveness
This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Massachusetts.
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Massachusetts in 2022. Information below was calculated on August 29, 2022, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
Nineteen candidates ran for Massachusetts's nine U.S. House districts, including nine Democrats and ten Republicans. That's 2.1 candidates per district, less than the three candidates per district in 2020 and the 3.44 in 2018.
This was the first election to take place under new district lines following the 2020 census. Massachusetts was apportioned nine districts, the same number it was apportioned after the 2010 census. The 19 candidates who ran this year were eight fewer than the 27 candidates who ran in 2020 and 12 fewer than the 31 who ran in 2018. Fourteen candidates ran in 2016, 20 in 2014, and 28 in 2012.
All incumbents filed to run for re-election, meaning there were no open seats this year. There was one open seat in 2020 and 2018, no open seats in 2016 and 2014, and one open seat in 2012.
The 8th and 9th districts drew the most candidates in 2022, with one Democrat and two Republicans running in each. There were two contested primaries this year, both Republican. That number was three fewer than in 2020, when there were five contested primaries, and six fewer than in 2018, when there were eight contested primaries. There was one contested primary in 2016, three in 2014, and nine in 2012.
No incumbents faced primary challengers this year. That number was down from 2020, when three incumbents faced primary challengers, and 2018, when five incumbents did. No incumbents faced primary challengers in 2016, two did in 2014, and three did in 2012.
The 4th district was guaranteed to Democrats because no Republicans filed. No districts were guaranteed to Republicans because no Democrats filed.
Presidential elections
Partisan Voter Index
Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+11. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 11 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Massachusetts' 3rd the 120th most Democratic district nationally.[10]
2020 presidential election results
The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
| 2020 presidential results in Massachusetts' 3rd based on 2022 district lines | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Biden
|
Donald Trump
| |||
| 62.7% | 35.3% | |||
Presidential voting history
Massachusetts presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 21 Democratic wins
- 10 Republican wins
| Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winning Party | R | R | R | D | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Demographics
The table below details demographic data in Massachusetts and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.
| Demographic Data for Massachusetts | ||
|---|---|---|
| Massachusetts | United States | |
| Population | 7,029,917 | 331,449,281 |
| Land area (sq mi) | 7,800 | 3,531,905 |
| Race and ethnicity** | ||
| White | 76.6% | 70.4% |
| Black/African American | 7.5% | 12.6% |
| Asian | 6.8% | 5.6% |
| Native American | 0.2% | 0.8% |
| Pacific Islander | 0% | 0.2% |
| Other (single race) | 4.2% | 5.1% |
| Multiple | 4.8% | 5.2% |
| Hispanic/Latino | 12% | 18.2% |
| Education | ||
| High school graduation rate | 91.1% | 88.5% |
| College graduation rate | 44.5% | 32.9% |
| Income | ||
| Median household income | $84,385 | $64,994 |
| Persons below poverty level | 9.8% | 12.8% |
| Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2020). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2015-2020). | ||
| **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. | ||
State party control
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Massachusetts' congressional delegation as of November 2022.
| Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Massachusetts, November 2022 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
| Democratic | 2 | 9 | 11 |
| Republican | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 2 | 9 | 11 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Massachusetts' top four state executive offices as of November 2022.
| State executive officials in Massachusetts, November 2022 | |
|---|---|
| Office | Officeholder |
| Governor | Charles D. Baker
|
| Lieutenant Governor | Karyn Polito
|
| Secretary of State | William Galvin
|
| Attorney General | Maura Healey
|
State legislature
The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Massachusetts General Court as of November 2022.
Massachusetts State Senate
| Party | As of November 2022 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 36 | |
| Republican Party | 3 | |
| Vacancies | 1 | |
| Total | 40 | |
Massachusetts House of Representatives
| Party | As of November 2022 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 125 | |
| Republican Party | 27 | |
| Independent | 1 | |
| Vacancies | 7 | |
| Total | 160 | |
Trifecta control
As of November 2022, Massachusetts was a divided government, with Democrats controlling the governorship and Republican majorities in both chambers of the state legislature. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.
Massachusetts Party Control: 1992-2022
Eight years of Democratic trifectas • No Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
| Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
| Senate | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
| House | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
District history
2020
See also: Massachusetts' 3rd Congressional District election, 2020
Massachusetts' 3rd Congressional District election, 2020 (September 1 Democratic primary)
General election
General election for U.S. House Massachusetts District 3
Incumbent Lori Trahan won election in the general election for U.S. House Massachusetts District 3 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Lori Trahan (D) | 97.7 | 286,896 |
| Other/Write-in votes | 2.3 | 6,643 | ||
| Total votes: 293,539 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Massachusetts District 3
Incumbent Lori Trahan advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Massachusetts District 3 on September 1, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Lori Trahan | 99.2 | 115,142 |
| Other/Write-in votes | 0.8 | 880 | ||
| Total votes: 116,022 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
2018
General election
General election for U.S. House Massachusetts District 3
Lori Trahan defeated Rick Green and Mike Mullen in the general election for U.S. House Massachusetts District 3 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Lori Trahan (D) | 62.0 | 173,175 |
 | Rick Green (R) | 33.5 | 93,445 | |
 | Mike Mullen (Independent) | 4.5 | 12,572 | |
| Other/Write-in votes | 0.0 | 135 | ||
| Total votes: 279,327 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Massachusetts District 3
The following candidates ran in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Massachusetts District 3 on September 4, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Lori Trahan | 21.7 | 18,580 |
 | Dan Koh | 21.5 | 18,435 | |
 | Barbara L'Italien | 15.2 | 13,018 | |
 | Juana Matias | 15.2 | 12,993 | |
 | Rufus Gifford | 15.0 | 12,873 | |
 | Alexandra Chandler | 5.7 | 4,846 | |
 | Abhijit Das | 1.7 | 1,492 | |
 | Jeff Ballinger | 1.6 | 1,384 | |
 | Bopha Malone | 1.6 | 1,365 | |
 | Leonard Golder | 0.7 | 584 | |
| Total votes: 85,570 (100.00% precincts reporting) | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Keith St. John (D)
- Nadeem Mazen (D)
- Steve Kerrigan (D)
- Terry Ryan (D)
- Patrick Littlefield (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Massachusetts District 3
Rick Green advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Massachusetts District 3 on September 4, 2018.
Candidate | ||
| ✔ | | Rick Green |
| ||||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Louis Marino (R)
2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. Incumbent Niki Tsongas (D) defeated Ann Wofford (R) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Neither candidate faced a primary opponent in September.[11][12]
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic |  Niki Tsongas Incumbent |
68.7% | 236,713 | |
| Republican | Ann Wofford | 31.2% | 107,519 | |
| N/A | Write-in | 0.1% | 360 | |
| Total Votes | 344,592 | |||
| Source: Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth | ||||
|
Primary candidates:[13] |
|
Democratic  |
Republican |
2014
The 3rd Congressional District of Massachusetts held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Niki Tsongas (D) defeated Roseann Ehrhard Wofford (R) in the general election.
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Niki Tsongas Incumbent |
60.3% | 139,140 | |
| Republican | Ann Wofford | 35.4% | 81,638 | |
| Write-in | Other | 0.1% | 204 | |
| Blank | None | 4.3% | 9,843 | |
| Total Votes | 230,825 | |||
| Source: Massachusetts Secretary of State Official Results | ||||
September 9, 2014, primary results
Democratic Primary
- Niki Tsongas - Incumbent
Republican Primary
See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
- ↑ Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Political predecessor districts are determined primarily based on incumbents and where each chose to seek re-election.
- ↑ Daily Kos Elections, "Daily Kos Elections 2020 presidential results by congressional district (old CDs vs. new CDs)," accessed May 12, 2022
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
- ↑ 11.0 11.1 Massachusetts Secretary of State, "DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATES FOR NOMINATION," accessed June 15, 2016
- ↑ 12.0 12.1 Massachusetts Secretary of State, "REPUBLICAN CANDIDATES FOR NOMINATION," accessed June 15, 2016
- ↑ Candidates are listed by party and alphabetically within each party.
- ↑ Massachusetts Secretary of State, "Republican Primary Candidates," accessed June 5, 2014
