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New York's 18th Congressional District election, 2022

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2024
2020
New York's 18th Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: June 10, 2022
Primary: August 23, 2022
General: November 8, 2022
How to vote
Poll times: 6 a.m. to 9 p.m. (general elections); primary times vary by county
Voting in New York
Race ratings
Cook Partisan Voter Index (2022): D+1
Cook Political Report: Lean Democratic
Inside Elections: Tilt Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022
See also
New York's 18th Congressional District
U.S. Senate1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th12th13th14th15th16th17th18th19th20th21st22nd23rd24th25th26th
New York elections, 2022
U.S. Congress elections, 2022
U.S. Senate elections, 2022
U.S. House elections, 2022

All U.S. House districts, including the 18th Congressional District of New York, held elections in 2022. The general election was on November 8, 2022. The primary for U.S. Senate, state executive, and state assembly offices was scheduled for June 28, 2022, and the filing deadline was April 7, 2022. The primary for U.S. House and state senate offices was scheduled for August 23, 2022, and the filing deadline was June 10, 2022.

The outcome of this race affected the partisan balance of the U.S. House of Representatives in the 118th Congress. All 435 House districts were up for election.

Republicans won a 222-213 majority in the U.S. House in 2022.

Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have received 53.4% of the vote in this district and Donald Trump (R) would have received 45.0%.[1]

For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:

Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House New York District 18

Incumbent Pat Ryan defeated Colin Schmitt in the general election for U.S. House New York District 18 on November 8, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Pat Ryan
Pat Ryan (D / Working Families Party)
 
50.6
 
135,245
Image of Colin Schmitt
Colin Schmitt (R / Conservative Party) Candidate Connection
 
49.3
 
131,653
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.1
 
155

Total votes: 267,053
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House New York District 18

Incumbent Pat Ryan defeated Aisha Mills and Moses Mugulusi in the Democratic primary for U.S. House New York District 18 on August 23, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Pat Ryan
Pat Ryan
 
83.8
 
30,093
Image of Aisha Mills
Aisha Mills Candidate Connection
 
13.2
 
4,730
Image of Moses Mugulusi
Moses Mugulusi
 
2.8
 
993
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.3
 
108

Total votes: 35,924
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

The Republican primary election was canceled. Colin Schmitt advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House New York District 18.

Conservative Party primary election

The Conservative Party primary election was canceled. Colin Schmitt advanced from the Conservative Party primary for U.S. House New York District 18.

Working Families Party primary election

The Working Families Party primary election was canceled. Incumbent Pat Ryan advanced from the Working Families Party primary for U.S. House New York District 18.

Campaign finance

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Pat Ryan Working Families Party, Democratic Party $4,769,522 $4,734,128 $35,690 As of December 31, 2022
Colin Schmitt Republican Party, Conservative Party $2,062,676 $2,060,313 $2,363 As of December 31, 2022

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2022. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.


General election race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[2]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[3][4][5]

Race ratings: New York's 18th Congressional District election, 2022
Race trackerRace ratings
November 8, 2022November 1, 2022October 25, 2022October 18, 2022
The Cook Political Report with Amy WalterLean DemocraticLean DemocraticLean DemocraticLean Democratic
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesTilt DemocraticTilt DemocraticTilt DemocraticLean Democratic
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallLean DemocraticLean DemocraticLean DemocraticLean Democratic
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

Ballot access requirements

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in New York in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in New York, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2022
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source
New York U.S. House Ballot-qualified party 1,062, or 4.25% of the number of enrolled members of the party in the district, whichever is less N/A 6/10/2022 Source
New York U.S. House Unaffiliated 3,500 N/A 7/5/2022 Source

District analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

  • District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting.
  • Effect of redistricting - How districts in the state changed as a result of redistricting following the 2020 census.
  • Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2022 U.S. House elections in the state.
  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
  • Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
  • State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.

District map

Below was the map in use at the time of the election, enacted as part of the 2020 redistricting cycle, compared to the map in place before the election.

New York District 18
before 2020 redistricting cycle

Click a district to compare boundaries.

New York District 18
after 2020 redistricting cycle

Click a district to compare boundaries.


Effect of redistricting

See also: Redistricting in New York after the 2020 census

The table below details the results of the 2020 presidential election in each district at the time of the 2022 election and its political predecessor district.[6] This data was compiled by Daily Kos Elections.[7]

2020 presidential results by Congressional district, New York
District 2022 district Political predecessor district
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
New York's 1st 49.5% 49.3% 47.3% 51.5%
New York's 2nd 48.7% 50.2% 47.4% 51.4%
New York's 3rd 53.6% 45.4% 54.7% 44.3%
New York's 4th 56.8% 42.2% 55.6% 43.4%
New York's 5th 80.9% 18.5% 83.3% 16.2%
New York's 6th 64.7% 34.4% 61.8% 37.4%
New York's 7th 80.8% 18.2% 81.8% 17.3%
New York's 8th 76.3% 23.1% 82.9% 16.5%
New York's 9th 75.4% 23.9% 81.4% 17.8%
New York's 10th 85.1% 13.9% 59.6% 39.4%
New York's 11th 45.7% 53.4% 44.3% 54.8%
New York's 12th 85.2% 13.8% 76.1% 22.9%
New York's 13th 88.1% 11.1% 88.1% 11.1%
New York's 14th 77.9% 21.3% 73.3% 25.9%
New York's 15th 84.7% 14.7% 86.4% 13.0%
New York's 16th 71.4% 27.7% 75.3% 23.8%
New York's 17th 54.5% 44.4% 51.8% 46.8%
New York's 18th 53.4% 45.0% 84.1% 14.8%
New York's 19th 51.3% 46.7% 49.8% 48.3%
New York's 20th 58.6% 39.4% 59.3% 38.7%
New York's 21st 42.8% 55.2% 43.8% 54.2%
New York's 22nd 52.6% 45.2% 53.4% 44.4%
New York's 23rd 40.4% 57.6% 43.3% 54.5%
New York's 24th 40.3% 57.5% 43.2% 54.7%
New York's 25th 58.8% 39.1% 60.1% 37.8%
New York's 26th 60.8% 37.4% 62.6% 35.6%

Competitiveness

See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2022

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in New York.

Post-filing deadline analysis

The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in New York in 2022. Information below was calculated on August 18, 2022, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.

One hundred six candidates filed to run for New York's 26 U.S. House districts, including 67 Democrats and 39 Republicans. That's 4.08 candidates per district, more than the four candidates per district in 2020 and the 3.15 in 2018.

This was the first election to take place under new district lines following the 2020 census, which resulted in New York losing one U.S. House district. The 106 candidates who ran this year were two fewer than the 108 who ran in 2020 and 21 more than the 85 who ran in 2018. Seventy-seven candidates ran in 2016, 55 in 2014, and 81 in 2012.

Four incumbents ran in districts other than the ones they represented at the time. Rep. Claudia Tenney (R), who represented the 22nd district, ran in the 24th. Rep. Sean Maloney (D), who represented the 18th district, ran in the 17th, and Rep. Mondaire Jones (D), the incumbent in the 17th, ran in the 10th.

Rep. Jerrold Nadler (D), who represented the 10th district, ran in the 12th this year. Rep. Carolyn Maloney (D), the incumbent in the 12th district, ran for re-election, making the 12th the only New York district in 2022 where two incumbents ran against each other.

Five incumbents—two Democrats and three Republicans—did not file to run for re-election. Rep. Lee Zeldin (R), who represented the 1st district, and Rep. Tom Suozzi (D), who represented the 3rd district, filed to run for governor. Rep. John Katko (R), who represented the 24th district, and Rep. Kathleen Rice (D), who represented the 4th district, retired. Rep. Christopher Jacobs (R), who represented the 27th district, also retired. The 27th district was eliminated after 2022 due to redistricting.

There were seven open seats this year, a decade-high. That number was up from four in 2020, and from one in 2018. There were four open seats in 2016 and two in 2014 and 2012.

The open seats included Zeldin’s 1st district, Suozzi’s 3rd, Rice’s 4th, Maloney’s 18th, and Tenney’s 22nd. Additionally, the 19th and the 23rd district were vacant before the primaries took place. Rep. Antonio Delgado (D), who represented the 19th, was appointed Lt. Governor of New York, and Rep. Tom Reed (R), who represented the 23rd, resigned after a sexual misconduct allegation. Special elections were held on August 23 to fill both seats.

Fourteen candidates ran to replace Nadler in the 10th district, the most candidates who ran for a seat this year. One of the candidates, former New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio (D), unofficially withdrew from the race, but his name appeared on the ballot.

There were 16 contested Democratic primaries this year, the same number as in 2020, and three more than in 2018, when there were 13. There were 10 contested Democratic primaries in 2016, five in 2014, and 10 in 2012.

There were eight contested Republican primaries. That was one more than in 2020, when there were seven contested Republican primaries, and seven more than in 2018, when there was only one. There were three contested Republican primaries in 2016, five in 2014, and five in 2012.

Seven incumbents did not face any primary challengers this year. One seat—the 5th— was guaranteed to Democrats because no Republicans filed. No seats were guaranteed to Republicans because no Democrats filed.


Presidential elections

Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+1. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 1 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made New York's 18th the 202nd most Democratic district nationally.[8]

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

2020 presidential results in New York's 18th based on 2022 district lines
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
53.4% 45.0%

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in New York, 2020

New York presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 18 Democratic wins
  • 13 Republican wins
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party R R R D R R R R D D D D R R R D D D R D R R D D D D D D D D D


Demographics

The table below details demographic data in New York and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.

Demographic Data for New York
New York United States
Population 19,378,102 308,745,538
Land area (sq mi) 47,123 3,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White 63.7% 72.5%
Black/African American 15.7% 12.7%
Asian 8.4% 5.5%
Native American 0.4% 0.8%
Pacific Islander 0% 0.2%
Other (single race) 8.7% 4.9%
Multiple 3.1% 3.3%
Hispanic/Latino 19% 18%
Education
High school graduation rate 86.8% 88%
College graduation rate 36.6% 32.1%
Income
Median household income $68,486 $62,843
Persons below poverty level 14.1% 13.4%
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2010). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2014-2019).
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.


State party control

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of New York's congressional delegation as of November 2022.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from New York, November 2022
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 2 19 21
Republican 0 8 8
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 0 0
Total 2 27 29

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in New York's top four state executive offices as of November 2022.

State executive officials in New York, November 2022
Office Officeholder
Governor Democratic Party Kathy Hochul
Lieutenant Governor Democratic Party Antonio Delgado
Secretary of State Democratic Party Robert Rodriguez
Attorney General Democratic Party Letitia James

State legislature

The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the New York State Legislature as of November 2022.

New York State Senate

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 42
     Republican Party 20
     Vacancies 1
Total 63

New York House of Representatives

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 107
     Republican Party 42
     Independence 0
     Vacancies 1
Total 150

Trifecta control

As of November 2022, New York was a Democratic trifecta, with majorities in both chambers of the state legislature and control of the governorship. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.

New York Party Control: 1992-2022
Six years of Democratic trifectas  •  No Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
Governor D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D
Senate R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R D D R R R R R R R R D D D D
Assembly D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D

District history

2020

See also: New York's 18th Congressional District election, 2020

New York's 18th Congressional District election, 2020 (June 23 Republican primary)

New York's 18th Congressional District election, 2020 (June 23 Democratic primary)

General election

General election for U.S. House New York District 18

Incumbent Sean Maloney defeated Chele Farley and Scott Smith in the general election for U.S. House New York District 18 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Sean Maloney
Sean Maloney (D / Working Families Party / Independence Party)
 
55.8
 
187,444
Image of Chele Farley
Chele Farley (R / Conservative Party)
 
43.2
 
145,145
Image of Scott Smith
Scott Smith (Serve America Movement Party / L)
 
0.9
 
3,164
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.0
 
118

Total votes: 335,871
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Democratic primary election

The Democratic primary election was canceled. Incumbent Sean Maloney advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House New York District 18.

Republican primary election

The Republican primary election was canceled. Chele Farley advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House New York District 18.

Conservative Party primary election

The Conservative Party primary election was canceled. Chele Farley advanced from the Conservative Party primary for U.S. House New York District 18.

Independence Party primary election

The Independence Party primary election was canceled. Incumbent Sean Maloney advanced from the Independence Party primary for U.S. House New York District 18.

Libertarian primary election

The Libertarian primary election was canceled. Scott Smith advanced from the Libertarian primary for U.S. House New York District 18.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Serve America Movement Party primary election

The Serve America Movement Party primary election was canceled. Scott Smith advanced from the Serve America Movement Party primary for U.S. House New York District 18.

Working Families Party primary election

The Working Families Party primary election was canceled. Incumbent Sean Maloney advanced from the Working Families Party primary for U.S. House New York District 18.

2018

See also: New York's 18th Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election

General election for U.S. House New York District 18

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Sean Maloney
Sean Maloney (D)
 
55.5
 
139,564
Image of James O'Donnell
James O'Donnell (R)
 
44.5
 
112,035

Total votes: 251,599
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House New York District 18

Candidate
Image of Sean Maloney
Sean Maloney

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Republican primary election

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House New York District 18

Candidate
Image of James O'Donnell
James O'Donnell

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2016

See also: New York's 18th Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. Incumbent Sean Maloney (D) defeated Phil Oliva (R) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Maloney was a member of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee's Frontline Program, which was designed to help protect vulnerable Democratic incumbents heading into the 2016 election. Oliva defeated Kenneth Del Vecchio in the Republican primary, while incumbent Maloney faced no primary challenger. The primary elections took place on June 28, 2016.[9][10][11][12][13][14][15][16][17][18][19]

U.S. House, New York District 18 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngSean Maloney Incumbent 55.6% 162,060
     Republican Phil Oliva 44.4% 129,369
Total Votes 291,429
Source: New York Board of Elections


U.S. House, New York, District 18 Republican Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngPhil Oliva 57% 3,574
Kenneth Del Vecchio 43% 2,696
Total Votes 6,270
Source: New York State Board of Elections

2014

See also: New York's 18th Congressional District elections, 2014

The 18th Congressional District of New York held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Rep. Sean Maloney (D) defeated Nan Hayworth (R) and Scott Smith ("Send Mr. Smith") in the general election.

U.S. House, New York District 18 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngSean Maloney Incumbent 49.7% 88,993
     Republican Nan Hayworth 47.8% 85,660
     Send Mr. Smith Scott Smith 2.4% 4,294
     N/A Write-in votes 0.1% 144
Total Votes 179,091
Source: New York State Board of Elections, NYS Board of Elections Rep. in Congress Election Returns November 4, 2014," accessed August 30, 2021
U.S. House, New York District 18 Independence Party Primary, 2014
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngNan Hayworth 53.4% 780
Sean Maloney Incumbent 46.6% 682
Total Votes 1,462
Source: New York State Board of Elections - Official Election Results


See also

New York 2022 primaries 2022 U.S. Congress elections
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External links

Footnotes

  1. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
  2. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  3. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  4. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  5. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  6. Political predecessor districts are determined primarily based on incumbents and where each chose to seek re-election.
  7. Daily Kos Elections, "Daily Kos Elections 2020 presidential results by congressional district (old CDs vs. new CDs)," accessed May 12, 2022
  8. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
  9. Federal Election Commission, "Statement of candidacy," February 16, 2016
  10. Roll Call, "Exclusive: DCCC Announces 14 Incumbents in Frontline Program," February 12, 2015
  11. Times-Herald Record, "Castricone enters GOP race for Maloney's seat," December 5, 2015
  12. Federal Election Commission, "Statement of candidacy," September 23, 2015
  13. Federal Election Commission, "Statement of candidacy," December 16, 2015
  14. Lange for Congress, "Main page," accessed January 20, 2016
  15. Southest-Brewer Patch, "Astorino Advisor Running for 18th Congressional District," February 1, 2016
  16. Federal Election Commission, "Statement of candidacy," October 29, 2015
  17. Ballotpedia Staff, "Email Correspondence with Scott Smith," December 28, 2015
  18. New York State Board of Elections, "Filings received for the 2016 Primary Election," accessed May 15, 2016
  19. Politico, "New York House Races Results," June 28, 2016


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Representatives
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Pat Ryan (D)
District 19
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Democratic Party (21)
Republican Party (7)