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Virginia's 11th Congressional District election, 2022 (June 21 Democratic primary)

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Virginia's 11th Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: April 7, 2022
Primary: June 21, 2022
General: November 8, 2022
How to vote
Poll times: 6 a.m. to 7 p.m.
Voting in Virginia
Race ratings
Cook Partisan Voter Index (2022): D+18
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic
Inside Elections: Solid Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022
See also
Virginia's 11th Congressional District
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Virginia elections, 2022
U.S. Congress elections, 2022
U.S. Senate elections, 2022
U.S. House elections, 2022

A Democratic Party primary was scheduled to take place on June 21, 2022, in Virginia's 11th Congressional District to determine which Democratic candidate would run in the district's general election on November 8, 2022. The primary was canceled after only one Democratic candidate filed for the seat.

Incumbent Gerald Edward Connolly advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Virginia District 11.

Candidate filing deadline Primary election General election
April 7, 2022
June 21, 2022
November 8, 2022


A primary election is an election in which registered voters select a candidate that they believe should be a political party's candidate for elected office to run in the general election. They are also used to choose convention delegates and party leaders. Primaries are state-level and local-level elections that take place prior to a general election. Virginia utilizes an open primary process in which registered voters do not have to be members of a party to vote in that party's primary.[1][2]

For information about which offices are nominated via primary election, see this article.

This page focuses on Virginia's 11th Congressional District Democratic primary. For more in-depth information on the district's Republican primary and the general election, see the following pages:

HOTP-Dem-Ad-1-small.png

Candidates and election results

Democratic primary election

The Democratic primary election was canceled. Incumbent Gerald Edward Connolly advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Virginia District 11.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Campaign finance

This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[3] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[4] Click here to view the reporting schedule for candidates for U.S. Congress in 2022.

U.S. Congress campaign reporting schedule, 2022
Report Close of books Filing deadline
Year-end 2021 12/31/2021 1/31/2022
April quarterly 3/31/2022 4/15/2022
July quarterly 6/30/2022 7/15/2022
October quarterly 9/30/2022 10/15/2022
Pre-general 10/19/2022 10/27/2022
Post-general 11/28/2022 12/08/2022
Year-end 2022 12/31/2022 1/31/2023


Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Gerald Edward Connolly Democratic Party $2,101,439 $1,840,860 $3,152,499 As of December 31, 2022

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2022. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.

Ballot access requirements

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Virginia in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Virginia, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2022
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source
Virginia U.S. House Ballot-qualified party 1,000 $3,480.00 4/7/2022 Source
Virginia U.S. House Unaffiliated 1,000 N/A 6/21/2022 Source

District analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

  • District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting.
  • Effect of redistricting - How districts in the state changed as a result of redistricting following the 2020 census.
  • Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2022 U.S. House elections in the state.
  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
  • Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
  • State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.

District map

Below was the map in use at the time of the election, enacted as part of the 2020 redistricting cycle, compared to the map in place before the election.

Virginia District 11
until January 2, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.

Virginia District 11
starting January 3, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.


Effect of redistricting

See also: Redistricting in Virginia after the 2020 census

The table below details the results of the 2020 presidential election in each district at the time of the 2022 election and its political predecessor district.[5] This data was compiled by Daily Kos Elections.[6]

2020 presidential results by Congressional district, Virginia
District 2022 district Political predecessor district
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
Virginia's 1st 46.2% 52.3% 47.0% 51.4%
Virginia's 2nd 50.1% 48.2% 51.4% 46.7%
Virginia's 3rd 68.3% 30.0% 67.2% 31.2%
Virginia's 4th 67.2% 31.5% 61.8% 36.8%
Virginia's 5th 45.2% 53.4% 45.1% 53.6%
Virginia's 6th 38.4% 60.0% 38.6% 59.8%
Virginia's 7th 52.6% 45.8% 49.8% 48.7%
Virginia's 8th 77.4% 21.3% 77.6% 21.1%
Virginia's 9th 28.5% 70.3% 28.4% 70.4%
Virginia's 10th 58.3% 40.2% 58.9% 39.6%
Virginia's 11th 70.0% 28.7% 70.3% 28.3%

Competitiveness

See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2022

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Virginia.

Post-filing deadline analysis

The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Virginia in 2022. Information below was calculated on June 7, 2022, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.

Thirty-three candidates filed to run for Virginia's 11 U.S. House districts, including 12 Democrats and 21 Republicans. That's three candidates per district, more than the 2.36 candidates per district in 2020 and less than the 4.09 in 2018.

This was the first election to take place under new district lines following the 2020 census. Virginia was apportioned 11 districts, the same number it was apportioned after the 2010 census.

All 11 incumbents filed to run for re-election, meaning there were no open seats this year for the first time since 2012.

There were five contested primaries — one Democratic and four Republican — this year. That's the fewest contested primaries since 2014, when four primaries were contested.

Two incumbents — Rep. Ben Cline (R) from the 6th district and Rep. Don Beyer (D) from the 8th district — faced primary challengers, the same number as every year since 2014, except for 2016, when only one incumbent faced a primary challenger.

Republican and Democratic candidates filed to run in all 11 districts, so no seats were guaranteed to either party this year. Seven candidates, including incumbent Abigail Spanberger (D), filed to run in the 7th district, the most candidates who ran in a district that held primaries this year.

Presidential elections

Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+18. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 18 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Virginia's 11th the 75th most Democratic district nationally.[7]

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

2020 presidential results in Virginia's 11th based on 2022 district lines
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
70.0% 28.7%

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in Virginia, 2020

Virginia presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 17 Democratic wins
  • 14 Republican wins
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party D D D D D D D R D D D D D R R R D R R R R R R R R R R D D D D


Demographics

The table below details demographic data in Virginia and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.

Demographic Data for Virginia
Virginia United States
Population 8,001,024 308,745,538
Land area (sq mi) 39,481 3,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White 67.6% 72.5%
Black/African American 19.2% 12.7%
Asian 6.4% 5.5%
Native American 0.3% 0.8%
Pacific Islander 0.1% 0.2%
Other (single race) 2.6% 4.9%
Multiple 3.8% 3.3%
Hispanic/Latino 9.4% 18%
Education
High school graduation rate 89.7% 88%
College graduation rate 38.8% 32.1%
Income
Median household income $74,222 $62,843
Persons below poverty level 10.6% 13.4%
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2010). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2014-2019).
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.


State party control

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Virginia's congressional delegation as of November 2022.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Virginia, November 2022
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 2 7 9
Republican 0 4 4
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 0 0
Total 2 11 13

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Virginia's top four state executive offices as of November 2022.

State executive officials in Virginia, November 2022
Office Officeholder
Governor Republican Party Glenn Youngkin
Lieutenant Governor Republican Party Winsome Earle-Sears
Secretary of State Republican Party Kay Coles James
Attorney General Republican Party Jason Miyares

State legislature

The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Virginia General Assembly as of November 2022.

Virginia State Senate

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 21
     Republican Party 19
     Vacancies 0
Total 40

Virginia House of Delegates

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 47
     Republican Party 52
     Vacancies 1
Total 100

Trifecta control

As of November 2022, Virginia was a divided government, with Republicans controlling the governorship and a majority in the house and Democrats controlling a majority in the state senate. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.

Virginia Party Control: 1992-2022
Four years of Democratic trifectas  •  Four years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
Governor D D R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D R R R R D D D D D D D D R
Senate D D D D S S R R R R R R R R R R D D D D R R D R R R R R D D D
House D D D D D D S S R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R D D R

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. ↑ NCSL,"State Primary Election Types," accessed October 7, 2024
  2. ↑ Virginia Department of Elections,"Casting a Ballot," accessed October 7, 2024
  3. ↑ Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
  4. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
  5. ↑ Political predecessor districts are determined primarily based on incumbents and where each chose to seek re-election.
  6. ↑ Daily Kos Elections, "Daily Kos Elections 2020 presidential results by congressional district (old CDs vs. new CDs)," accessed May 12, 2022
  7. ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023


Virginia's current delegation to the United States Congress
Senators
Tim Kaine (D)
Mark Warner (D)
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
District 7
District 8
District 9
District 10
District 11
Vacant
Democratic Party (7)
Republican Party (5)
Vacancies (1)


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