Missouri's 2nd Congressional District election, 2026: Difference between revisions
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Revision as of 16:33, 7 January 2026
U.S. House • State executive offices • State Senate • State House • Supreme court • Appellate courts • State ballot measures • School boards • Municipal • How to run for office |
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← 2024
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| Missouri's 2nd Congressional District |
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| Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
| Election details |
| Filing deadline: March 31, 2026 |
| Primary: August 4, 2026 General: November 3, 2026 |
| How to vote |
| Poll times:
6 a.m. to 7 p.m. |
| Race ratings |
DDHQ and The Hill: Pending Inside Elections: Solid Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican |
| Ballotpedia analysis |
| U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2026 |
| See also |
1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th Missouri elections, 2026 U.S. Congress elections, 2026 U.S. Senate elections, 2026 U.S. House elections, 2026 |
All U.S. House districts, including the 2nd Congressional District of Missouri, are holding elections in 2026. The general election is November 3, 2026. The primary is August 4, 2026. The filing deadline is March 31, 2026. For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:
- Missouri's 2nd Congressional District election, 2026 (August 4 Democratic primary)
- Missouri's 2nd Congressional District election, 2026 (August 4 Republican primary)
Candidates and election results
Note: The following list includes official candidates only. Ballotpedia defines official candidates as people who:
- Register with a federal or state campaign finance agency before the candidate filing deadline
- Appear on candidate lists released by government election agencies
General election
The primary will occur on August 4, 2026. The general election will occur on November 3, 2026. General election candidates will be added here following the primary.
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Missouri District 2
Timothy Bilash, Chuck Summers, Nick Vivio, Joan VonDras, and Frederick Wellman are running in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Missouri District 2 on August 4, 2026.
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Missouri District 2
Incumbent Ann Wagner is running in the Republican primary for U.S. House Missouri District 2 on August 4, 2026.
Candidate | ||
| Ann Wagner | ||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Ryan Sheridan (R)
Candidate profiles
There are currently no candidate profiles created for this race. Candidate profiles will appear here as they are created. Encourage the candidates in this race to complete Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey so that their profile will appear here.
Voting information
- See also: Voting in Missouri
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
No candidate in this race has completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Ballotpedia is seeking 100 percent participation so voters can learn more about all the candidates on their ballots.
Campaign finance
| Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ann Wagner | Republican Party | $2,258,443 | $1,143,364 | $4,226,308 | As of December 31, 2025 |
| Timothy Bilash | Democratic Party | $2,852 | $2,809 | $344 | As of December 31, 2025 |
| Chuck Summers | Democratic Party | $16,788 | $10,632 | $-143 | As of December 31, 2025 |
| Nick Vivio | Democratic Party | $114,198 | $19,839 | $94,359 | As of December 31, 2025 |
| Joan VonDras | Democratic Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Frederick Wellman | Democratic Party | $429,937 | $252,742 | $177,195 | As of December 31, 2025 |
|
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2026. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
|||||
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[1]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[2][3][4]
| Race ratings: Missouri's 2nd Congressional District election, 2026 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
| 3/3/2026 | 2/24/2026 | 2/17/2026 | 2/10/2026 | ||||||
| The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
| Decision Desk HQ and The Hill | Pending | Pending | Pending | Pending | |||||
| Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
| Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | |||||
| Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. | |||||||||
Ballot access
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Missouri in the 2026 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Missouri, click here.
| Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2026 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
| Missouri | U.S. House | Ballot-qualified party | N/A | 300 | 3/31/2026 | Source |
| Missouri | U.S. House | Unaffiliated | 2% of votes cast for the office in the last election, or 10,000, whichever is less | N/A | 7/27/2026 | Source |
District history
The section below details election results for this office in elections dating back to 2020.
General election
General election for U.S. House Missouri District 2
Incumbent Ann Wagner (R) defeated Ray Hartmann (D), Brandon Daugherty (L), and Shelby Davis (G) in the general election for U.S. House Missouri District 2 on November 5, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Ann Wagner (R) | 54.5 | 233,444 |
| | Ray Hartmann (D) | 42.5 | 182,056 | |
| | Brandon Daugherty (L) ![]() | 2.1 | 8,951 | |
| | Shelby Davis (G) | 0.9 | 3,941 | |
| Total votes: 428,392 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Democratic primary
Democratic primary for U.S. House Missouri District 2
Ray Hartmann (D) defeated Chuck Summers (D) in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Missouri District 2 on August 6, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Ray Hartmann | 77.7 | 42,605 |
| | Chuck Summers | 22.3 | 12,200 | |
| Total votes: 54,805 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- John Kiehne (D)
Republican primary
Republican primary for U.S. House Missouri District 2
Incumbent Ann Wagner (R) defeated Peter Pfeifer (R) in the Republican primary for U.S. House Missouri District 2 on August 6, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Ann Wagner | 64.8 | 56,865 |
| | Peter Pfeifer ![]() | 35.2 | 30,847 | |
| Total votes: 87,712 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Wesley Smith (R)
Libertarian Party primary
Libertarian primary for U.S. House Missouri District 2
Brandon Daugherty (L) advanced from the Libertarian Party primary for U.S. House Missouri District 2 on August 6, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Brandon Daugherty ![]() | 100.0 | 311 |
| Total votes: 311 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
General election
General election for U.S. House Missouri District 2
Incumbent Ann Wagner (R) defeated Trish Gunby (D) and Bill Slantz (L) in the general election for U.S. House Missouri District 2 on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Ann Wagner (R) | 54.9 | 173,277 |
| | Trish Gunby (D) ![]() | 43.1 | 135,895 | |
| | Bill Slantz (L) | 2.1 | 6,494 | |
| Total votes: 315,666 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Democratic primary
Democratic primary for U.S. House Missouri District 2
Trish Gunby (D) defeated Raymond Reed (D) in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Missouri District 2 on August 2, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Trish Gunby ![]() | 85.2 | 50,457 |
| | Raymond Reed ![]() | 14.8 | 8,741 | |
| Total votes: 59,198 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Ben Samuels (D)
Republican primary
Republican primary for U.S. House Missouri District 2
Incumbent Ann Wagner (R) defeated Tony Salvatore (R), Wesley Smith (R), and Paul Berry (R) in the Republican primary for U.S. House Missouri District 2 on August 2, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Ann Wagner | 67.1 | 54,440 |
| | Tony Salvatore ![]() | 15.4 | 12,516 | |
| | Wesley Smith ![]() | 9.0 | 7,317 | |
| | Paul Berry | 8.5 | 6,888 | |
| Total votes: 81,161 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Bob Anders (R)
Libertarian Party primary
Libertarian primary for U.S. House Missouri District 2
Bill Slantz (L) advanced from the Libertarian Party primary for U.S. House Missouri District 2 on August 2, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Bill Slantz | 100.0 | 384 |
| Total votes: 384 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
General election
General election for U.S. House Missouri District 2
Incumbent Ann Wagner (R) defeated Jill Schupp (D), Martin Schulte (L), and Gina Bufe (Independent) in the general election for U.S. House Missouri District 2 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Ann Wagner (R) | 51.9 | 233,157 |
| | Jill Schupp (D) | 45.5 | 204,540 | |
| | Martin Schulte (L) | 2.6 | 11,647 | |
| | Gina Bufe (Independent) (Write-in) | 0.0 | 4 | |
| Total votes: 449,348 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Democratic primary
Democratic primary for U.S. House Missouri District 2
Jill Schupp (D) advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Missouri District 2 on August 4, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Jill Schupp | 100.0 | 102,592 |
| Total votes: 102,592 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Republican primary
Republican primary for U.S. House Missouri District 2
Incumbent Ann Wagner (R) advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Missouri District 2 on August 4, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Ann Wagner | 100.0 | 63,686 |
| Total votes: 63,686 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Libertarian Party primary
Libertarian primary for U.S. House Missouri District 2
Martin Schulte (L) advanced from the Libertarian Party primary for U.S. House Missouri District 2 on August 4, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Martin Schulte | 100.0 | 737 |
| Total votes: 737 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
District analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting ahead of the 2026 election.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2026 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
Below is the district map used in the 2024 election next to the map in place for the 2026 election. Click on a map below to enlarge it. Error: One or both images not found for the specified years.
Partisan Voter Index
Heading into the 2026 elections, based on results from the 2024 and 2020 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district is R+4. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 4 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Missouri's 2nd the 197th most Republican district nationally.[5]
2020 presidential election results
The table below shows what the vote in the 2024 presidential election was in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by The Downballot.
| Kamala Harris | Donald Trump |
|---|---|
| 43.6% | 54.5% |
Presidential voting history
- See also: Presidential election in Missouri, 2024
Missouri presidential election results (1900-2024)
- 14 Democratic wins
- 18 Republican wins
| Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 | 2024 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winning Party | D | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | R | D | D | D | R | R | D | R | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Missouri's congressional delegation as of October 2025.
| Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Missouri | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
| Democratic | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Republican | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 2 | 8 | 10 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Missouri's top four state executive offices as October 2025.
| Office | Officeholder |
|---|---|
| Governor | |
| Lieutenant Governor | |
| Secretary of State | |
| Attorney General |
State legislature
Missouri State Senate
| Party | As of January 2026 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 10 | |
| Republican Party | 24 | |
| Other | 0 | |
| Vacancies | 0 | |
| Total | 34 | |
Missouri House of Representatives
| Party | As of January 2026 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 52 | |
| Republican Party | 106 | |
| Other | 0 | |
| Vacancies | 5 | |
| Total | 163 | |
Trifecta control
Missouri Party Control: 1992-2025
Eight years of Democratic trifectas • Thirteen years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
| Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
| Senate | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
| House | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "2025 Cook PVI℠: District Map and List (119th Congress)," accessed July 1, 2025
