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California's 45th Congressional District election, 2026
← 2024
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California's 45th Congressional District |
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General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: March 6, 2026 |
Primary: June 2, 2026 General: November 3, 2026 |
How to vote |
Poll times:
7 a.m. to 8 p.m. |
Race ratings |
DDHQ and The Hill: Pending Inside Elections: Toss-up Sabato's Crystal Ball: Toss-up |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2026 |
See also |
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All U.S. House districts, including the 45th Congressional District of California, are holding elections in 2026. The general election is November 3, 2026. To learn more about other elections on the ballot, click here.
Candidates and election results
Note: The following list includes official candidates only. Ballotpedia defines official candidates as people who:
- Register with a federal or state campaign finance agency before the candidate filing deadline
- Appear on candidate lists released by government election agencies
General election
The general election will occur on November 3, 2026.
General election for U.S. House California District 45
Incumbent Derek Tran, Brian Forde, Mark Leonard, Chi Charlie Nguyen, and Michelle Steel are running in the general election for U.S. House California District 45 on November 3, 2026.
Candidate | ||
![]() | Derek Tran (D) | |
![]() | Brian Forde (D) | |
![]() | Mark Leonard (R) ![]() | |
![]() | Chi Charlie Nguyen (R) | |
![]() | Michelle Steel (R) |
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Candidate profiles
This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "Mark Leonard is a United States Marine Corps veteran and business professional running on a Liberal Conservative platform, dedicated to restoring traditional conservative values while promoting responsible governance and political reform. Leonard began his service in the U.S. Marine Corps, where he deployed to Afghanistan in a logistical support role, ensuring mission-critical supplies reached the front lines. After completing his military service, he studied in Economics and Business, at Temple University, equipping himself with the financial and analytical skills necessary to tackle complex economic and policy challenges. Following his education, Leonard continued his commitment to public service by joining the California National Guard’s 250th Expeditionary Military Intelligence Battalion, where he was activated in COVID-19 response efforts, supporting communities during one of the nation's most challenging crises. Leonard’s professional career spans finance and accounting, with experience in both the private sector and the defense industry. He worked in finance for a skilled nursing and rehabilitation corporation, gaining firsthand insight into the challenges facing healthcare and senior care. Later, he joined Northrop Grumman, a Fortune 100 defense contractor, applying his expertise in financial analysis and cost management to ensure efficiency and accountability in government contracting."
Voting information
- See also: Voting in California
Ballotpedia will publish the dates and deadlines related to this election as they are made available.
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
Survey responses from candidates in this race
Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.
Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.
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Mark Leonard (R)
Americans are working harder but falling further behind. Rising costs of housing, healthcare, and everyday necessities are squeezing working families and small businesses. We need common-sense economic policies that prioritize lowering inflation, reducing the tax burden on the middle class, and ensuring fiscal responsibility in Washington. By cutting wasteful government spending, incentivizing job creation, and supporting domestic industries, we can restore economic stability and put money back in the pockets of hardworking Americans.
2. Protecting the Constitution & Reining in Government Overreach
Our Constitution is the foundation of our democracy, and it must be protected from executive and judicial overreach. Too often, unelected officials and activist judges make sweeping decisions that impact every American without accountability. It’s time to restore balance and ensure that power remains where it belongs—with the people and their elected representatives. I will fight to uphold constitutional rights, strengthen checks and balances, and prevent government agencies from overstepping their authority.
3. Securing the Border & Reforming Immigration for the 21st Century

Mark Leonard (R)
Government should exist to serve the American people—not burden them. Too often, we see policies that waste taxpayer dollars, expand bureaucracy without delivering results, and fail to address the real challenges facing everyday Americans. I am committed to creating real value for taxpayers by ensuring that government works efficiently, effectively, and in ways that improve lives—not make them harder.
On the Economy, Democracy and Immigration
We deserve a government that is lean, effective, and focused on delivering real results—not expanding its own power at their expense. It’s time to rebuild trust in our institutions, restore fiscal responsibility, and put the needs of the American people first.
Mark Leonard (R)
Accountability means serving all constituents—not just those who voted for you, donated to your campaign, or hold the same views. An elected official has a duty to represent and listen to everyone in their district, whether they agree or disagree. Public service is not about loyalty to a party, donors, or special interests—it’s about delivering real results for the people who entrust you with the job.
Integrity means standing up for what is right, even when it comes at personal or political cost. Leadership requires the courage to make difficult decisions based on principles, not political convenience. It’s easy to go along with the crowd, but real leadership means having the backbone to say no to corruption, waste, and policies that harm the people you serve.
At the end of the day, elected officials should be guided by one question: Does this decision truly serve the best interests of the people I represent? If the answer is no, then it’s time to rethink priorities. The job is not about personal gain—it’s about making government work for the people and ensuring that every American has a voice, not just the powerful few.
Mark Leonard (R)
This drive to stand for what’s right has been the guiding force in both my personal and professional life. It means speaking up for those whose voices are often unheard, tackling difficult issues head-on, and advocating for solutions that benefit the greater good. I am not afraid to challenge the status quo when it’s not working and will always prioritize the values of fairness, integrity, and accountability in every decision I make.
Another key strength is my commitment to honesty and transparency. I believe that as a public servant, it’s essential to be straightforward and open with the people you represent. This builds trust and ensures that the focus remains on creating real change, not political posturing.
Finally, I am relentlessly driven by the desire to improve the lives of others. Whether that’s advocating for policies that promote economic opportunity, ensure justice, or create a more efficient government, I’m committed to working tirelessly for the betterment of the community I serve, knowing that the work will never truly be done. This passion for positive change is what I believe will make me not just a successful officeholder, but a leader who genuinely works to create a brighter future for all.
Mark Leonard (R)
Representing All Constituents, Not Just Supporters – An elected official must listen to and advocate for all members of their district, not just those who voted for them. That means engaging with diverse perspectives, addressing community concerns, and ensuring that every voice is heard in the policymaking process.
Crafting and Supporting Effective Policies – Government should focus on real solutions that strengthen the economy, improve public safety, and reduce financial burdens on working families. Policy decisions should be based on results, not political gamesmanship.
Ensuring Accountability and Fiscal Responsibility – Taxpayers deserve efficient, effective use of their hard-earned money. Government should be transparent, accountable, and focused on results. That means eliminating waste, stopping unnecessary bureaucracy, and demanding that every dollar spent delivers real value to the American people.
Providing Oversight & Accountability – Congress has a duty to rein in executive and judicial overreach, prevent government corruption, and keep federal agencies accountable to the people—not special interests.
Upholding the Constitution and Protecting Citizens’ Rights – Every elected official takes an oath to defend the Constitution. That means standing up for individual freedoms, due process, and the rule of law, regardless of political pressure.
Elected office is a responsibility, not a privilege. It requires integrity, accountability, and a commitment to making government work for the people—not the other way around.
Mark Leonard (R)
On a personal level, when I fail to live up to my own expectations or ideals, it can be a deeply frustrating experience. But it goes beyond that—it’s also about the realization that as a society, we sometimes fail to create the kind of world we envision for future generations. There are systems that perpetuate inequality, inefficiency, and division, and it can be disheartening to witness how often we miss the opportunity to improve the lives of those who need it most.
What makes this struggle particularly challenging is the disconnect between our ideals and the reality we live in—whether it’s personal goals that seem just out of reach or societal promises that remain unfulfilled. Yet, through these frustrations, I’ve come to understand that growth and change are ongoing processes. Even when we don’t immediately see the impact of our efforts, the journey of striving toward improvement—both individually and collectively—holds value.
This struggle has taught me the importance of resilience, not only in overcoming personal failures but also in continuing to push for progress in the world around us, even when the road is difficult. It’s a reminder that we all have a role to play in creating a better future, and though we may stumble, the pursuit of that goal remains worth it.
Mark Leonard (R)
Another unique feature of the House is its size and diversity. With 435 members, the House brings together a wide range of voices, perspectives, and regional interests. This allows for a more inclusive debate on national issues and ensures that different communities are represented. The sheer number of members creates a dynamic environment where ideas are constantly being challenged, refined, and negotiated.
Additionally, the House’s role in initiating financial legislation—such as tax bills and government spending—gives it a special responsibility in shaping the nation’s economic policies. This power directly ties the House to the daily lives of Americans, influencing everything from their tax rates to the quality of services they receive.
Ultimately, what makes the House unique is its connection to the people, its vibrant diversity of ideas, and its central role in shaping critical national policies, all of which make it a cornerstone of American democracy.
Mark Leonard (R)
For too long, we have seen insiders from both parties who, despite their experience, have chosen to focus on what divides us rather than finding common ground. They have used divisiveness as a perennial campaigning point, avoiding the hard work of passing meaningful legislation that actually improves people’s lives. This approach has created a polarized environment where the business of governance takes a backseat to partisan conflict.
The truth is, effective leadership is about dedication, problem-solving, and a willingness to rise to the challenge, not simply about having a political resume. Fresh perspectives and a focus on the needs of everyday Americans can often lead to more innovative and productive solutions. Whether new to politics or a seasoned veteran, what matters most is the commitment to working across the aisle, listening to the people, and putting solutions before political strategy.
Ultimately, we need representatives who are focused on results, not titles—who prioritize the good of the country over partisan interests, regardless of their prior experience.
Mark Leonard (R)
First, our economy is leaving too many people behind. Rising costs, stagnant wages, and an increasingly unequal distribution of wealth are creating a gap between those who thrive and those who struggle. We need policies that promote job growth, address inflation, and invest in skills training to ensure that every American has the opportunity to succeed. The economy must work for everyone, not just the few at the top.
Second, our growing national deficit is unsustainable and will eventually create a debilitating strain on the government’s ability to function. As debt continues to balloon, more taxpayer dollars will go toward servicing this debt, leaving less available for investing in infrastructure, education, healthcare, and national security—areas that are essential for our future prosperity. If we don't take action now to rein in wasteful spending and implement fiscal responsibility, our nation could face serious economic instability.
In the coming decade, we must focus on creating a strong, inclusive economy and restoring fiscal discipline so that future generations are not burdened with a mountain of debt and an economy that fails to meet their needs. This is the path toward a sustainable, prosperous future for all Americans.
Mark Leonard (R)
The frequent campaigning can be demanding, but if representatives are doing their job well—staying accessible, staying engaged, and delivering results—the burden of campaigning as an incumbent should not be overwhelming. In fact, a job well done should lead to greater trust and confidence from the community, making re-election less about political gamesmanship and more about continued service. When a representative builds a reputation for integrity, transparency, and effectiveness, the campaign becomes a natural extension of their relationship with the people, not a daunting task.
In short, while the two-year term may seem fast-paced, it is what forces officials to stay accountable and connected to the people they represent. If done right, it should ensure that representatives are always working with the best interests of their communities at heart.
Mark Leonard (R)
Stricter term limits can help reinvigorate Congress with new ideas, fresh perspectives, and a sense of urgency to get things done. They prevent politicians from becoming entrenched in their positions and growing out of touch with the needs of their constituents. It’s about putting the passion for public service ahead of job security and ensuring that those in office are always motivated by their desire to serve, not by the perks and power of the position.
Instead of making politics a career, term limits encourage public servants to focus on the job at hand, working hard to deliver results for their community in a set time frame. This ensures that leaders stay in touch with the people they represent, remain accountable, and avoid the cycle of political self-preservation that hinders progress.
In short, term limits create a healthier democracy by encouraging officials to be productive, passionate, and dedicated to the people they serve, without the temptation to play it safe or prioritize personal gain over public service.
Mark Leonard (R)
Sanders has always been a strong advocate for the issues that matter to everyday Americans, and despite political differences, he has shown a willingness to seek common ground to pass meaningful legislation. His ability to stand firm on his principles while still working toward practical solutions is something I admire. That balance between steadfastness and collaboration is something I believe is essential for any effective representative.
Though our ideologies may differ, his example reminds me of the importance of sticking to your values, being transparent with your constituents, and always working to find solutions that improve lives. That’s the kind of approach I strive to take in serving the people.
Mark Leonard (R)
Too often, we see policymaking driven by executive actions that can be overturned with the next administration, creating a constant cycle of instability and inconsistency. True progress comes when laws are created through collaboration and compromise, leading to policies that are supported by a wide majority and can endure beyond the current political climate.
Compromise allows us to build bipartisan support, create more stable, long-term solutions, and avoid the pitfalls of reactionary politics. It’s about finding common ground where both sides can win, ensuring that the resulting legislation serves the broader public interest and can adapt to future challenges without being undone at the whim of the next election cycle.
In short, compromise isn’t just a matter of political strategy—it’s the foundation of effective, lasting governance that serves the people, not the partisan interests of the moment.
Mark Leonard (R)
If elected, I would prioritize ensuring that any revenue-raising measures are fair, efficient, and responsible, reflecting the needs of working families and the long-term health of our economy. This means focusing on eliminating wasteful spending, ensuring that taxes are not a burden on those struggling to make ends meet, and making certain that revenue bills are crafted in a way that promotes economic growth and sustainability.
I would also use this power to address the ballooning deficit, pushing for a tax policy that encourages businesses to grow, invest in innovation, and create jobs while ensuring the wealthiest Americans and corporations pay their fair share. We cannot continue to rely on deficit spending; my goal would be to bring fiscal discipline to Washington and ensure that the revenue we raise is used to support critical public services like education, healthcare, and infrastructure.
Ultimately, the responsibility to originate revenue bills means that the House has the power to shape the country’s economic future. If elected, I would use this power to ensure that our tax policy supports a strong, fair economy while keeping government spending in check and putting the interests of everyday Americans first.
Mark Leonard (R)
First and foremost, investigations should focus on exposing government waste, corruption, and abuse of power. When taxpayer dollars are being misused or when government agencies fail to serve their intended purpose, the House must step in to investigate and take corrective action. This includes investigating issues like mismanagement in federal agencies, misuse of public funds, or unethical conduct by government officials.
The House should also use its investigative powers to look into issues that affect the daily lives of Americans, such as public health, economic fairness, and corporate accountability. For example, when problems arise in critical areas like the healthcare system, financial markets, or environmental protections, Congress must be able to investigate the causes and identify solutions that put people first.
Additionally, investigations should serve as a check on the executive and judicial branches to ensure that no branch exceeds its constitutional authority. This is a vital function in maintaining the balance of power and preventing any one branch from becoming too powerful or operating outside the law.
Ultimately, the House’s investigative powers should be used to strengthen democratic institutions, uphold the rule of law, and ensure that the government remains accountable to the people it serves. When wielded properly, these powers can help restore faith in our institutions and lead to real, positive change for all Americans.
Mark Leonard (R)
In particular, I am drawn to committees that focus on economic policy, government efficiency, and healthcare. I believe that addressing issues such as income inequality, job creation, and healthcare reform is essential for creating an economy that works for all Americans, not just the wealthy few. Additionally, committees related to national security and veteran affairs also resonate with me due to my background and commitment to supporting those who have served our country.
That said, regardless of the committee to which I may be appointed, my focus will always be on advancing policies that benefit the American people. I am committed to giving my full effort to every challenge, bringing the same level of passion and dedication to improving lives, no matter where I serve. My goal is simple: to ensure that government works effectively and efficiently to address the needs of the people.
Mark Leonard (R)
Financial transparency starts with clear, honest accounting of where taxpayer money goes. Federal agencies and elected officials must be held to the same financial discipline expected in the private sector—no blank checks, no reckless spending, and no hidden budgets. I support stronger oversight measures to prevent fraud, misuse, and waste in government spending.
Accountability means elected officials and government agencies must answer to the people they serve. Too often, decisions are made behind closed doors, with special interests driving policy instead of the public good. I will fight for greater transparency in government contracts, spending reports, and decision-making processes so that Americans know exactly how their money is being used.
At every level, government must be efficient, effective, and responsible. This isn’t about partisanship—it’s about ensuring that public funds serve the public interest and that those in power are held to the highest ethical standards.
You can ask candidates in this race to fill out the survey by clicking their names below:
Campaign finance
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Derek Tran | Democratic Party | $1,289,610 | $439,389 | $1,177,543 | As of June 30, 2025 |
Brian Forde | Democratic Party | $0 | $0 | $220,762 | As of June 30, 2025 |
Mark Leonard | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Chi Charlie Nguyen | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Michelle Steel | Republican Party | $118,172 | $85,104 | $936,529 | As of June 30, 2025 |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2026. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[1]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[2][3][4]
Race ratings: California's 45th Congressional District election, 2026 | |||||||||
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Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
9/9/2025 | 9/2/2025 | 8/26/2025 | 8/19/2025 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | |||||
Decision Desk HQ and The Hill | Pending | Pending | Pending | Pending | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. |
Ballot access
This section will contain information on ballot access related to this state's elections when it is available.
District history
The section below details election results for this office in elections dating back to 2020.
2024
See also: California's 45th Congressional District election, 2024
California's 45th Congressional District election, 2024 (March 5 top-two primary)
General election
General election for U.S. House California District 45
Derek Tran defeated incumbent Michelle Steel in the general election for U.S. House California District 45 on November 5, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Derek Tran (D) ![]() | 50.1 | 158,264 |
![]() | Michelle Steel (R) | 49.9 | 157,611 |
Total votes: 315,875 | ||||
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Nonpartisan primary election
Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House California District 45
Incumbent Michelle Steel and Derek Tran defeated Kim Nguyen-Penaloza, Cheyenne Hunt, and Aditya Pai in the primary for U.S. House California District 45 on March 5, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Michelle Steel (R) | 54.9 | 78,022 |
✔ | ![]() | Derek Tran (D) ![]() | 15.9 | 22,546 |
![]() | Kim Nguyen-Penaloza (D) | 15.6 | 22,179 | |
![]() | Cheyenne Hunt (D) | 8.4 | 11,973 | |
![]() | Aditya Pai (D) | 5.2 | 7,399 |
Total votes: 142,119 | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Jimmy Pham (D)
2022
General election
General election for U.S. House California District 45
Incumbent Michelle Steel defeated Jay Chen in the general election for U.S. House California District 45 on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Michelle Steel (R) | 52.4 | 113,960 |
Jay Chen (D) ![]() | 47.6 | 103,466 |
Total votes: 217,426 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Nonpartisan primary election
Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House California District 45
Incumbent Michelle Steel and Jay Chen defeated Long Pham and Hilaire Shioura in the primary for U.S. House California District 45 on June 7, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Michelle Steel (R) | 48.2 | 65,641 |
✔ | Jay Chen (D) ![]() | 43.1 | 58,721 | |
![]() | Long Pham (R) | 8.6 | 11,732 | |
Hilaire Shioura (No party preference) (Write-in) | 0.0 | 6 |
Total votes: 136,100 | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Terry Dale (R)
- Shawn Collins (R)
- Jennifer Richter (R)
- Adam Hancock (R)
2020
General election
General election for U.S. House California District 45
Incumbent Katie Porter defeated Greg Raths in the general election for U.S. House California District 45 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Katie Porter (D) | 53.5 | 221,843 |
Greg Raths (R) ![]() | 46.5 | 193,096 |
Total votes: 414,939 | ||||
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Nonpartisan primary election
Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House California District 45
The following candidates ran in the primary for U.S. House California District 45 on March 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Katie Porter (D) | 50.8 | 112,986 |
✔ | Greg Raths (R) ![]() | 17.9 | 39,942 | |
![]() | Don Sedgwick (R) ![]() | 12.8 | 28,465 | |
![]() | Peggy Huang (R) ![]() | 11.1 | 24,780 | |
![]() | Lisa Sparks (R) | 4.0 | 8,861 | |
Christopher Gonzales (R) | 2.4 | 5,443 | ||
![]() | Rhonda Furin (R) | 1.0 | 2,140 |
Total votes: 222,617 | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Brian Forde (D)
- Julie Proctor (R)
- Mimi Walters (R)
- Brenton Woolworth (R)
- Ray Gennawey (R)
- Aditya Pai (D)
District analysis
This section will contain facts and figures related to this district's elections when those are available.
See also
California | 2026 primaries | 2026 U.S. Congress elections |
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Voting in California California elections: 2026 • 2025 • 2024 • 2023 • 2022 • 2021 • 2020 • 2019 • 2018 |
Republican primary battlegrounds U.S. Senate Democratic primaries U.S. Senate Republican primaries U.S. House Democratic primaries U.S. House Republican primaries |
U.S. Senate elections U.S. House elections Special elections Ballot access |
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018