Kentucky's 5th Congressional District election, 2024 (May 21 Democratic primary)

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2026
2022
Kentucky's 5th Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: January 5, 2024
Primary: May 21, 2024 (canceled)
General: November 5, 2024
How to vote
Poll times: 6 a.m. to 6 p.m.
Voting in Kentucky
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
DDHQ and The Hill: Safe Republican
Inside Elections: Solid Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024
See also
Kentucky's 5th Congressional District
1st2nd3rd4th5th6th
Kentucky elections, 2024
U.S. Congress elections, 2024
U.S. Senate elections, 2024
U.S. House elections, 2024

A Democratic Party primary was expected to take place on May 21, 2024, in Kentucky's 5th Congressional District to determine which Democratic candidate would run in the district's general election on November 5, 2024. The primary was not needed after no Democratic candidates filed for the seat.

All 435 seats were up for election. At the time of the election, Republicans had a 220 to 212 majority with three vacancies.[1] As of June 2024, 45 members of the U.S. House had announced they were not running for re-election. To read more about the U.S. House elections taking place this year, click here.

In the 2022 election in this district, the Republican candidate won 82.2%-17.8%. Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Donald Trump (R) would have defeated Joe Biden (D) 79.1%-19.7%.[2]

Candidate filing deadline Primary election General election
January 5, 2024
May 21, 2024
November 5, 2024


A primary election is an election in which registered voters select a candidate that they believe should be a political party's candidate for elected office to run in the general election. They are also used to choose convention delegates and party leaders. Primaries are state-level and local-level elections that take place prior to a general election. Kentucky utilizes a closed primary process, in which the selection of a party's candidates in an election is limited to registered party members.[3][4][5]

For information about which offices are nominated via primary election, see this article.

This page focuses on Kentucky's 5th Congressional District Democratic primary. For more in-depth information on the district's Republican primary and the general election, see the following pages:

Candidates and election results

Democratic Party Democratic primary candidates

The Democratic Party primary was canceled. No candidates filed for this race.

    Candidate profiles

    There are currently no candidate profiles created for this race. Candidate profiles will appear here as they are created. Encourage the candidates in this race to complete Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey so that their profile will appear here.

    Voting information

    See also: Voting in Kentucky

    Election information in Kentucky: May 21, 2024, election.

    What was the voter registration deadline?

    • In-person: April 22, 2024
    • By mail: Postmarked by April 22, 2024
    • Online: April 22, 2024

    Was absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

    No

    What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

    • In-person: N/A
    • By mail: N/A by N/A
    • Online: May 7, 2024

    What was the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

    • In-person: May 21, 2024
    • By mail: Received by May 21, 2024

    Was early voting available to all voters?

    N/A

    What were the early voting start and end dates?

    May 16, 2024 to May 18, 2024

    Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, was a photo or non-photo ID required?

    N/A

    When were polls open on Election Day?

    6:00 a.m. - 6:00 p.m. (EST/CST)


    Campaign finance

    There are currently no declared candidates in this race. Know of one we missed? Click here to let us know.

    District analysis

    Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

    • District map - A map of the district in place for the election.
    • Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
    • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
    • State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.


    Below was the map in use at the time of the election. Click the map below to enlarge it.

    2023_01_03_ky_congressional_District_05.jpg
    See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2024

    This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Kentucky.

    Kentucky U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2024
    Office Districts/
    offices
    Seats Open seats Candidates Possible primaries Contested Democratic primaries Contested Republican primaries % of contested primaries Incumbents in contested primaries % of incumbents in contested primaries
    2024 6 6 0 23 12 3 3 50.0% 3 50.0%
    2022 6 6 1 31 12 3 5 66.7% 4 80.0%
    2020 6 6 0 21 12 2 5 58.3% 4 66.7%
    2018 6 6 0 28 12 5 3 66.7% 2 33.3%
    2016 6 6 1 18 12 1 4 41.7% 2 40.0%
    2014 6 6 0 16 12 4 0 33.3% 1 16.7%

    Post-filing deadline analysis

    The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Kentucky in 2024. Information below was calculated on 2/5/2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.


    Twenty-three candidates filed to run for Kentucky’s six U.S. House districts, including 11 Democrats and 12 Republicans. That’s 3.8 candidates per district, lower than the 5.2 candidates who ran in 2022, but higher than the 3.5 who ran in 2020.

    No seats were open in 2024, meaning all incumbents ran for re-election. There was one House seat open in 2022 and another one in 2016, the only two election cycles this decade in which House seats were open.

    Six candidates filed to run for Kentucky’s sixth congressional district, the most candidates who ran for a district in 2024. The candidates who ran included Republican incumbent Andy Barr and six Democrats.

    Six primaries—three Democratic and three Republican—were contested, the fewest since 2016. Eight primaries were contested in 2022, and seven were in 2020.

    Three incumbents—one Democrat and two Republicans—faced primary challengers. That’s fewer than 2022 and 2020, when four incumbents faced challengers, but more than 2018 and 2016, when two incumbents did.

    The 4th and 5th districts were guaranteed to Republicans because no Democrats ran. Republican candidates filed to run in every district, meaning none were guaranteed to Democrats.

    Partisan Voter Index

    See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

    Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+32. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 32 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Kentucky's 5th the 2nd most Republican district nationally.[6]

    2020 presidential election results

    The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

    2020 presidential results in Kentucky's 5th based on 2024 district lines
    Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
    19.7% 79.1%

    Inside Elections Baselines

    See also: Inside Elections

    Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.[7] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.

    Inside Elections Baseline for 2024
    Democratic Baseline Democratic Party Republican Baseline Republican Party Difference
    27.4 71.3 R+43.8

    Presidential voting history

    See also: Presidential election in Kentucky, 2020

    Kentucky presidential election results (1900-2020)

    • 16 Democratic wins
    • 15 Republican wins
    Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
    Winning Party D D D D D D R R D D D D D D R R D R R D R R R D D R R R R R R
    See also: Party control of Kentucky state government

    Congressional delegation

    The table below displays the partisan composition of Kentucky's congressional delegation as of May 2024.

    Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Kentucky
    Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
    Democratic 0 1 1
    Republican 2 5 7
    Independent 0 0 0
    Vacancies 0 0 0
    Total 2 6 8

    State executive

    The table below displays the officeholders in Kentucky's top four state executive offices as of May 2024.

    State executive officials in Kentucky, May 2024
    Office Officeholder
    Governor Democratic Party Andy Beshear
    Lieutenant Governor Democratic Party Jacqueline Coleman
    Secretary of State Republican Party Michael Adams
    Attorney General Republican Party Russell Coleman

    State legislature

    Kentucky State Senate

    Party As of February 2024
         Democratic Party 7
         Republican Party 31
         Other 0
         Vacancies 0
    Total 38

    Kentucky House of Representatives

    Party As of February 2024
         Democratic Party 20
         Republican Party 78
         Other 0
         Vacancies 2
    Total 100

    Trifecta control

    The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.

    Kentucky Party Control: 1992-2024
    Eight years of Democratic trifectas  •  Three years of Republican trifectas
    Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

    Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
    Governor D D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R D D D D D D D D R R R R D D D D D
    Senate D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
    House D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R

    Ballot access

    The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Kentucky in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Kentucky, click here.

    Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024
    State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source
    Kentucky U.S. House Ballot-qualified party 2 $500.00 1/5/2024 Source
    Kentucky U.S. House Unaffiliated 400 $500.00 6/4/2024 Source

    See also

    External links

    Footnotes


    Senators
    Representatives
    District 1
    District 2
    District 3
    District 4
    District 5
    District 6
    Andy Barr (R)
    Republican Party (7)
    Democratic Party (1)