Massachusetts' 3rd Congressional District election (September 4, 2018 Democratic primary)
- General election: Nov. 6
- Voter registration deadline: Oct. 17
- Early voting: Oct. 22 - Nov. 2
- Absentee voting deadline: Nov. 6
- Online registration: Yes
- Same-day registration: No
- Voter ID: No ID required generally
- Poll times: 7:00 a.m. to 8:00 p.m.
2020 →
← 2016
|
Massachusetts' 3rd Congressional District |
---|
Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: June 5, 2018 |
Primary: September 4, 2018 General: November 6, 2018 Pre-election incumbent: Niki Tsongas (Democrat) |
How to vote |
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. Voting in Massachusetts |
Race ratings |
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic Inside Elections: Solid Democratic Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018 |
See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th Massachusetts elections, 2018 U.S. Congress elections, 2018 U.S. Senate elections, 2018 U.S. House elections, 2018 |
Lori Trahan (D) defeated Dan Koh (D) in the Democratic primary for Massachusetts' 3rd Congressional District, following a district-wide hand recount that concluded September 17, 2018.[1] The candidates were separated by less than 0.5 percent of the vote after the September 4 primary, leading Massachusetts Secretary of State William Galvin (D) to order the recount.[2]
Ten Democratic candidates ran for this safe Democratic seat represented by retiring incumbent Rep. Niki Tsongas (D).[3] This was the first contested Democratic primary in the district since 1994.[4]
Three candidates raised more than $1 million through the second quarter of 2018: Koh, the former chief of staff to Mayor Marty Walsh; former ambassador to Denmark Rufus Gifford (D); and Trahan, former chief of staff to former Rep. Marty Meehan.[5] Until August, they were the only candidates with campaign ads airing on television.[6]
Koh, Gifford, and Trahan emphasized their personal stories and professional experience more than policy differences to distinguish themselves.
Koh, who was named "the most powerful 30-year-old in Boston" in 2015, highlighted his Korean-Lebanese heritage and experience in local politics. He also had more union endorsements than any other candidate in the race.[7][8]
Gifford was the finance director for President Barack Obama's 2012 re-election campaign, helping to raise $1 billion.[8] He was endorsed by 2016 Democratic vice presidential nominee Tim Kaine (D) and the LGBTQ Victory Fund. His campaign emphasized green jobs and his ambassadorial work to address climate change.[9][10]
Born in Lowell, Massachusetts, Trahan showcased her roots in the district with the slogan #BornRaisedStayed.[11] She was endorsed by Ironworkers Local 7, Teamsters Local 25, and UFCW Local 791.[12]
State Sen. Barbara L'Italien (D) made an ad buy in the final three weeks of the primary and had endorsements from two major teachers unions, the American Federation of Teachers and the National Education Association.[13]
Candidates and election results
The following candidates ran in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Massachusetts District 3 on September 4, 2018.
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Massachusetts District 3
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Lori Trahan | 21.7 | 18,580 |
Dan Koh | 21.5 | 18,435 | ||
![]() | Barbara L'Italien | 15.2 | 13,018 | |
![]() | Juana Matias | 15.2 | 12,993 | |
![]() | Rufus Gifford | 15.0 | 12,873 | |
![]() | Alexandra Chandler | 5.7 | 4,846 | |
![]() | Abhijit Das | 1.7 | 1,492 | |
![]() | Jeff Ballinger | 1.6 | 1,384 | |
![]() | Bopha Malone | 1.6 | 1,365 | |
![]() | Leonard Golder | 0.7 | 584 |
Total votes: 85,570 (100.00% precincts reporting) | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Keith St. John (D)
- Nadeem Mazen (D)
- Steve Kerrigan (D)
- Terry Ryan (D)
- Patrick Littlefield (D)
Polls
- See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls
Massachusetts' 3rd Congressional District, Democratic primary | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | Barbara L’Italien | Dan Koh | Lori Trahan | Rufus Gifford | Juana Matias | Other Candidates | Undecided | Margin of Error | Sample Size | ||||||||||
UMass Lowell/Boston Globe August 14-21, 2018 | 13% | 19% | 8% | 13% | 6% | 14% | 29% | +/-5.2 | 553 | ||||||||||
UMass Lowell/Boston Globe April 11-17, 2018 | 7% | 4% | 5% | 11% | 4% | 10% | 58% | +/-5.5 | 490 | ||||||||||
EMC Research March 14-19, 2018 | 19% | 8% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 55% | +/-4.4 | 500 | ||||||||||
Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org |
Debates and forums
July 23, 2018, candidate forum
All ten Democratic candidates participated in a candidate forum sponsored by the League of Women Voters on July 23, 2018. Five of the candidates were asked about their campaign funding and the other five their policy priorities.[14]
Funding
- Balinger said his retirement account was funding his campaign.[14]
- Das said that he did not like asking for donations because money was corrupting the political system, but noted that he had enough to be competitive.[14]
- Gifford discussed his background as a fundraiser for the Obama presidential campaign.[14]
- Koh said he had the second largest amount of in-district funding.[14]
- Trahan said she had raised more in district funding than every other candidate on the stage. She added that she did not take money from Beacon Hill lobbyists or corporate PACs.[14]
Policy priorities
- Chandler said she was interested in the minimum wage, healthcare, and protecting democracy.[14]
- Golder identified stagnant wage growth, education, and student loan debt as policy priorities.[14]
- L'Italien said establishing a single-payer healthcare system, funding public schools, and protecting the environment were her prioties.[14]
- Malone said immigration, education, and gun regulation were her policy concerns.[14]
- Mattias identified equal access to economic opportunity and student debt as policy priorities.[14]
|
Campaign advertisements
Rufus Gifford
Support
|
|
Dan Koh
Support
|
Barbara L'Italien
Support
|
Lori Trahan
Support
|
|
Campaign finance
The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jeff Ballinger | Democratic Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Alexandra Chandler | Democratic Party | $151,324 | $145,038 | $6,287 | As of December 31, 2018 |
Abhijit Das | Democratic Party | $603,485 | $426,964 | $67,160 | As of December 31, 2018 |
Rufus Gifford | Democratic Party | $2,345,005 | $2,337,932 | $7,073 | As of December 31, 2018 |
Leonard Golder | Democratic Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Dan Koh | Democratic Party | $3,207,855 | $3,179,173 | $28,683 | As of December 31, 2018 |
Barbara L'Italien | Democratic Party | $872,554 | $869,753 | $1,781 | As of December 31, 2018 |
Bopha Malone | Democratic Party | $78,731 | $72,074 | $6,657 | As of December 31, 2018 |
Juana Matias | Democratic Party | $567,412 | $560,986 | $712 | As of December 31, 2018 |
Lori Trahan | Democratic Party | $2,642,929 | $2,574,632 | $69,097 | As of December 31, 2018 |
Rick Green | Republican Party | $986,102 | $975,353 | $10,749 | As of December 31, 2018 |
Mike Mullen | Independent | $19,977 | $19,801 | $176 | As of December 31, 2018 |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2018. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
Endorsements
Rufus Gifford
The following endorsements were compiled from Gifford's campaign website on August 22, 2018.[15]
- U.S. Senator Tim Kaine (D-Va.)
- U.S. Senator Sherrod Brown (D-Ohio)
- LGBT Equality PAC
- LGBTQ Victory Fund
- Foreign Policy for America Action Network
- State Representative Stephan Hay (D-Fitchburg)
- State Representative Jennifer Benson (D-Lunenburg)
- State Representative Harold Naughton (D-Clinton)
- Fitchburg Mayor Stephen DiNatale
- Lowell Vice Mayor Vesna Nuon
- Fitchburg City Council President Michael Kushmerek
- Fitchburg City Councilor Beth Walsh
- Fitchburg City Councilor Amy Green
- Fitchburg City Councilor Thomas Donnelly
- Marlborough City Councilor David Doucette
- Member of the Winchendon Board of Selectman Barbara Anderson
- Judith Durant, chair of the Lowell Democratic City Committee
- Bill Cox, chair of the Haverhill Democratic City Committee
- Patricia Vacca Martin, chair of the Fitchburg Democratic City Committee
- Brad Heglin, chair of the Gardner Democratic City Committee
- Matt Boger, chair of the Concord Democratic Town Committee
- Lisa Wysocki, chair of the Berlin Democratic Town Committee
- Sharon Jordan, chair of the Lunenburg Democratic Town Committee
Dan Koh
The following endorsements were compiled from Koh's campaign website on August 22, 2018.[16]
- Haverhill Mayor James Fiorentini
- Methuen Mayor James Jajuga
- President of The Marlborough City Council Ed Clancy
- Jennifer Kannan, chairwoman of the Methuen City Council
- President of Haverhill City Council John Michitson
- Tom McKean, chairman of Concord Select Board
- Former state Sen. Bob Durand
- Former Haverhill state Rep. Frank Emilio
- Fitchburg City Councilor Sam Squailia
- Gardner City Councilor Karen Hardern
- Gardner City Councilor Elizabeth Kazinskas
- Westford Selectman Tom Clay
- Concord Selectman Michael Lawson
- Diane Baum, chairwoman of Acton-Boxborough Regional Committee
- Vice Chair of Methuen School Committee Nicholas Dizoglio
- Tom McGrath, chair of Pepperell Democratic Town Committee
- Honorable Janet Beyer, Democratic State Committee member from Concord
- NAGE SEIU Local 5000
- Roofers Union Local 33
- IBEW Local 103
- Plumbers and Pipefitters UA Local 4
- Boilmakers Local 29
- Teamsters Union Local 170
- Plasterers and Cement Masons Local 534
- AFSCME Local 1730
- Laborers Local 560
- AFSCME Local 1703
- National Postal Mail Handlers Union Local 301
- New England Regional Council of Carpenters
- Laborers Local 39
- Plumbers and Gasfitters Local 12
- AFSCME Local 1705
- Laborers Local 243
- International Union of Painters and Allied Trades District Council 35
- Pipefitters Local 537
- Laborers Local 175 and Laborers Local 609
- Laborers Local 88
- Elevator Constructors Local 4
- Operating Engineers Local 4
- IBEW Local 96
- Local 1421
- ASPIRE PAC
- Former Sen. Russ Feingold
- Former Massachusetts Treasurer Steve Grossman
Lori Trahan
- The Lowell Sun[17]
- Former Methuen Mayor Sharon Pollard[17]
- Former Methuen Mayor Stephen Zanni[17]
- City Councilor-at-Large Ryan Hamilton[17]
- Former state Rep. Thomas Lussier[17]
- Methuen Firefighters Local 1691[17]
- Local 3126 Westford Firefighters[17]
- Local 1839 Chelmsford Firefighters[17]
- Teamsters Local 25[17]
- Iron Workers Local 7[17]
- Local 853 Lowell Firefighters[17]
Barbara L'Italien
Race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Race ratings: Massachusetts' 3rd Congressional District election, 2018 | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
October 30, 2018 | October 23, 2018 | October 16, 2018 | October 9, 2018 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every two weeks throughout the election season. |
Pivot Counties
- See also: Pivot Counties by state
There are no Pivot Counties in Massachusetts. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.
In the 2016 presidential election, Hillary Clinton (D) won Massachusetts with 60 percent of the vote. Donald Trump (R) received 32.8 percent. In presidential elections between 1789 and 2016, Massachusetts voted Republican 36.2 percent of the time and Democratic 34.4 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, Massachusetts voted Democratic all five times.[19]
Presidential results by legislative district
The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Massachusetts. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[20][21]
In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 135 out of 160 state House districts in Massachusetts with an average margin of victory of 31.6 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 141 out of 160 state House districts in Massachusetts with an average margin of victory of 34.1 points. Clinton won 21 districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections. |
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 25 out of 160 state House districts in Massachusetts with an average margin of victory of 4.1 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 19 out of 160 state House districts in Massachusetts with an average margin of victory of 5.5 points. Trump won five districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections. |
2016 presidential results by state House district | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
District | Obama | Romney | 2012 Margin | Clinton | Trump | 2016 Margin | Party Control |
1st Barnstable | 52.83% | 45.95% | D+6.9 | 54.25% | 40.30% | D+13.9 | R |
2nd Barnstable | 51.41% | 47.36% | D+4 | 51.23% | 43.35% | D+7.9 | R |
3rd Barnstable | 51.51% | 47.40% | D+4.1 | 51.46% | 43.18% | D+8.3 | R |
4th Barnstable | 59.37% | 39.15% | D+20.2 | 61.01% | 33.27% | D+27.7 | D |
5th Barnstable | 46.70% | 52.18% | R+5.5 | 46.51% | 47.96% | R+1.5 | R |
Barnstable, Dukes and Nantucket | 66.06% | 32.40% | D+33.7 | 67.91% | 26.73% | D+41.2 | D |
1st Berkshire | 75.97% | 21.96% | D+54 | 64.80% | 28.91% | D+35.9 | D |
2nd Berkshire | 72.11% | 25.20% | D+46.9 | 62.79% | 28.88% | D+33.9 | D |
3rd Berkshire | 78.04% | 20.17% | D+57.9 | 69.82% | 23.79% | D+46 | D |
4th Berkshire | 72.73% | 25.16% | D+47.6 | 67.10% | 26.65% | D+40.4 | D |
1st Bristol | 49.95% | 48.60% | D+1.3 | 51.43% | 41.88% | D+9.5 | R |
2nd Bristol | 54.45% | 43.74% | D+10.7 | 51.21% | 42.15% | D+9.1 | D |
3rd Bristol | 58.04% | 40.47% | D+17.6 | 51.99% | 42.18% | D+9.8 | R |
4th Bristol | 49.92% | 48.56% | D+1.4 | 44.73% | 49.52% | R+4.8 | R |
5th Bristol | 58.87% | 39.64% | D+19.2 | 47.75% | 47.17% | D+0.6 | D |
6th Bristol | 68.82% | 29.72% | D+39.1 | 56.35% | 38.69% | D+17.7 | D |
7th Bristol | 77.30% | 21.38% | D+55.9 | 60.14% | 35.19% | D+24.9 | D |
8th Bristol | 61.64% | 36.65% | D+25 | 49.62% | 45.70% | D+3.9 | D |
9th Bristol | 63.77% | 34.82% | D+29 | 54.87% | 40.02% | D+14.9 | D |
10th Bristol | 57.46% | 40.85% | D+16.6 | 51.95% | 42.49% | D+9.5 | D |
11th Bristol | 67.49% | 30.98% | D+36.5 | 53.72% | 41.37% | D+12.4 | D |
12th Bristol | 47.98% | 50.59% | R+2.6 | 42.18% | 51.17% | R+9 | R |
13th Bristol | 79.03% | 19.51% | D+59.5 | 67.99% | 27.51% | D+40.5 | D |
14th Bristol | 47.95% | 50.47% | R+2.5 | 49.19% | 43.69% | D+5.5 | R |
1st Essex | 58.73% | 39.73% | D+19 | 58.92% | 34.55% | D+24.4 | R |
2nd Essex | 47.64% | 50.94% | R+3.3 | 50.01% | 43.20% | D+6.8 | R |
3rd Essex | 58.33% | 40.05% | D+18.3 | 54.68% | 39.44% | D+15.2 | D |
4th Essex | 49.49% | 48.99% | D+0.5 | 56.39% | 36.14% | D+20.2 | R |
5th Essex | 61.97% | 36.37% | D+25.6 | 61.31% | 32.31% | D+29 | D |
6th Essex | 58.28% | 39.92% | D+18.4 | 61.15% | 32.02% | D+29.1 | D |
7th Essex | 69.04% | 29.05% | D+40 | 69.34% | 25.32% | D+44 | D |
8th Essex | 58.96% | 39.82% | D+19.1 | 65.25% | 29.15% | D+36.1 | D |
9th Essex | 51.28% | 47.55% | D+3.7 | 48.11% | 47.22% | D+0.9 | R |
10th Essex | 73.89% | 24.92% | D+49 | 69.13% | 26.74% | D+42.4 | D |
11th Essex | 72.61% | 26.32% | D+46.3 | 68.14% | 27.90% | D+40.2 | D |
12th Essex | 58.23% | 40.71% | D+17.5 | 54.68% | 40.76% | D+13.9 | D |
13th Essex | 49.14% | 49.76% | R+0.6 | 48.34% | 46.53% | D+1.8 | D |
14th Essex | 54.53% | 44.41% | D+10.1 | 57.19% | 37.48% | D+19.7 | D |
15th Essex | 49.66% | 48.95% | D+0.7 | 48.67% | 46.26% | D+2.4 | D |
16th Essex | 85.76% | 13.45% | D+72.3 | 84.45% | 12.80% | D+71.6 | D |
17th Essex | 69.57% | 29.27% | D+40.3 | 72.28% | 23.64% | D+48.6 | D |
18th Essex | 46.04% | 52.72% | R+6.7 | 54.32% | 39.92% | D+14.4 | R |
1st Franklin | 72.05% | 24.24% | D+47.8 | 65.61% | 25.83% | D+39.8 | D |
2nd Franklin | 56.98% | 40.32% | D+16.7 | 46.76% | 44.48% | D+2.3 | R |
1st Hampden | 50.50% | 47.10% | D+3.4 | 41.37% | 50.94% | R+9.6 | R |
2nd Hampden | 48.88% | 49.81% | R+0.9 | 48.48% | 45.34% | D+3.1 | D |
3rd Hampden | 48.21% | 50.34% | R+2.1 | 40.77% | 53.04% | R+12.3 | R |
4th Hampden | 52.05% | 46.09% | D+6 | 44.18% | 48.46% | R+4.3 | D |
5th Hampden | 76.21% | 22.23% | D+54 | 70.31% | 24.26% | D+46 | D |
6th Hampden | 57.70% | 40.76% | D+16.9 | 50.76% | 42.70% | D+8.1 | D |
7th Hampden | 58.26% | 40.16% | D+18.1 | 49.63% | 44.46% | D+5.2 | D |
8th Hampden | 62.46% | 35.74% | D+26.7 | 52.02% | 41.54% | D+10.5 | D |
9th Hampden | 73.98% | 24.89% | D+49.1 | 67.07% | 28.05% | D+39 | D |
10th Hampden | 89.24% | 9.80% | D+79.4 | 86.30% | 10.44% | D+75.9 | D |
11th Hampden | 87.10% | 12.17% | D+74.9 | 83.07% | 13.51% | D+69.6 | D |
12th Hampden | 56.20% | 42.36% | D+13.8 | 53.48% | 41.01% | D+12.5 | D |
1st Hampshire | 74.76% | 21.85% | D+52.9 | 73.04% | 20.69% | D+52.4 | D |
2nd Hampshire | 64.93% | 32.82% | D+32.1 | 60.89% | 32.47% | D+28.4 | D |
3rd Hampshire | 80.22% | 15.53% | D+64.7 | 80.48% | 12.34% | D+68.1 | D |
1st Middlesex | 47.26% | 50.81% | R+3.6 | 48.66% | 43.00% | D+5.7 | R |
2nd Middlesex | 50.57% | 47.70% | D+2.9 | 57.63% | 35.02% | D+22.6 | D |
3rd Middlesex | 56.98% | 41.08% | D+15.9 | 60.45% | 32.31% | D+28.1 | D |
4th Middlesex | 56.82% | 41.66% | D+15.2 | 60.04% | 32.92% | D+27.1 | D |
5th Middlesex | 61.30% | 37.21% | D+24.1 | 67.13% | 26.71% | D+40.4 | D |
6th Middlesex | 63.78% | 34.77% | D+29 | 68.63% | 25.73% | D+42.9 | D |
7th Middlesex | 65.17% | 33.11% | D+32.1 | 68.55% | 25.96% | D+42.6 | D |
8th Middlesex | 52.11% | 46.32% | D+5.8 | 61.49% | 31.69% | D+29.8 | D |
9th Middlesex | 62.07% | 36.35% | D+25.7 | 65.73% | 29.21% | D+36.5 | D |
10th Middlesex | 66.81% | 30.90% | D+35.9 | 70.11% | 24.47% | D+45.6 | D |
11th Middlesex | 72.44% | 25.87% | D+46.6 | 79.67% | 16.11% | D+63.6 | D |
12th Middlesex | 71.39% | 27.24% | D+44.2 | 79.78% | 15.97% | D+63.8 | D |
13th Middlesex | 59.89% | 38.66% | D+21.2 | 69.70% | 25.02% | D+44.7 | D |
14th Middlesex | 61.45% | 36.93% | D+24.5 | 70.68% | 23.09% | D+47.6 | D |
15th Middlesex | 65.23% | 33.25% | D+32 | 70.89% | 24.36% | D+46.5 | D |
16th Middlesex | 57.39% | 40.81% | D+16.6 | 57.07% | 36.89% | D+20.2 | D |
17th Middlesex | 64.30% | 34.06% | D+30.2 | 63.64% | 30.81% | D+32.8 | D |
18th Middlesex | 72.01% | 26.19% | D+45.8 | 70.80% | 23.93% | D+46.9 | D |
19th Middlesex | 47.72% | 50.95% | R+3.2 | 45.71% | 48.35% | R+2.6 | D |
20th Middlesex | 44.55% | 54.30% | R+9.8 | 49.17% | 45.33% | D+3.8 | R |
21st Middlesex | 53.64% | 44.91% | D+8.7 | 58.01% | 36.52% | D+21.5 | D |
22nd Middlesex | 48.95% | 49.55% | R+0.6 | 46.63% | 47.64% | R+1 | R |
23rd Middlesex | 70.03% | 28.02% | D+42 | 75.40% | 20.23% | D+55.2 | D |
24th Middlesex | 70.77% | 27.24% | D+43.5 | 77.16% | 17.73% | D+59.4 | D |
25th Middlesex | 87.71% | 9.28% | D+78.4 | 91.60% | 4.47% | D+87.1 | D |
26th Middlesex | 83.86% | 12.83% | D+71 | 85.23% | 9.96% | D+75.3 | D |
27th Middlesex | 83.33% | 12.56% | D+70.8 | 86.25% | 8.61% | D+77.6 | D |
28th Middlesex | 71.63% | 27.32% | D+44.3 | 68.19% | 28.40% | D+39.8 | D |
29th Middlesex | 77.88% | 19.90% | D+58 | 80.34% | 14.99% | D+65.3 | D |
30th Middlesex | 54.29% | 44.44% | D+9.8 | 56.38% | 38.41% | D+18 | D |
31st Middlesex | 54.40% | 44.32% | D+10.1 | 59.35% | 35.33% | D+24 | D |
32nd Middlesex | 58.58% | 40.09% | D+18.5 | 63.26% | 31.55% | D+31.7 | D |
33rd Middlesex | 71.29% | 27.38% | D+43.9 | 70.43% | 25.37% | D+45.1 | D |
34th Middlesex | 77.59% | 19.70% | D+57.9 | 79.06% | 16.41% | D+62.7 | D |
35th Middlesex | 66.99% | 31.33% | D+35.7 | 67.97% | 27.68% | D+40.3 | D |
36th Middlesex | 45.48% | 53.03% | R+7.6 | 42.87% | 50.73% | R+7.9 | D |
37th Middlesex | 57.30% | 40.51% | D+16.8 | 61.57% | 31.42% | D+30.2 | D |
1st Norfolk | 63.32% | 35.48% | D+27.8 | 64.99% | 30.69% | D+34.3 | D |
2nd Norfolk | 61.48% | 36.87% | D+24.6 | 62.08% | 32.68% | D+29.4 | D |
3rd Norfolk | 57.76% | 40.72% | D+17 | 56.10% | 38.52% | D+17.6 | D |
4th Norfolk | 54.00% | 44.71% | D+9.3 | 54.04% | 40.55% | D+13.5 | D |
5th Norfolk | 53.33% | 45.49% | D+7.8 | 54.21% | 40.96% | D+13.2 | D |
6th Norfolk | 54.76% | 43.94% | D+10.8 | 57.99% | 36.76% | D+21.2 | D |
7th Norfolk | 64.53% | 34.43% | D+30.1 | 70.26% | 25.65% | D+44.6 | D |
8th Norfolk | 57.44% | 41.37% | D+16.1 | 62.81% | 31.87% | D+30.9 | D |
9th Norfolk | 45.47% | 53.10% | R+7.6 | 50.22% | 42.53% | D+7.7 | R |
10th Norfolk | 49.83% | 48.66% | D+1.2 | 53.95% | 39.29% | D+14.7 | D |
11th Norfolk | 52.45% | 46.30% | D+6.2 | 59.11% | 35.26% | D+23.9 | D |
12th Norfolk | 52.22% | 46.45% | D+5.8 | 55.81% | 38.57% | D+17.2 | D |
13th Norfolk | 56.03% | 42.84% | D+13.2 | 68.71% | 25.54% | D+43.2 | D |
14th Norfolk | 55.45% | 43.45% | D+12 | 71.30% | 23.03% | D+48.3 | D |
15th Norfolk | 79.91% | 18.38% | D+61.5 | 86.69% | 9.54% | D+77.2 | D |
1st Plymouth | 50.69% | 48.14% | D+2.6 | 49.30% | 44.37% | D+4.9 | R |
2nd Plymouth | 51.35% | 47.20% | D+4.1 | 44.33% | 49.21% | R+4.9 | R |
3rd Plymouth | 50.47% | 48.53% | D+1.9 | 59.44% | 34.90% | D+24.5 | D |
4th Plymouth | 47.44% | 51.41% | R+4 | 50.56% | 43.65% | D+6.9 | D |
5th Plymouth | 45.28% | 53.60% | R+8.3 | 47.09% | 47.03% | D+0.1 | R |
6th Plymouth | 45.38% | 53.57% | R+8.2 | 46.64% | 46.63% | D+0 | D |
7th Plymouth | 48.54% | 50.16% | R+1.6 | 44.57% | 48.99% | R+4.4 | R |
8th Plymouth | 47.35% | 51.33% | R+4 | 44.46% | 49.48% | R+5 | R |
9th Plymouth | 81.06% | 18.22% | D+62.8 | 78.39% | 18.68% | D+59.7 | D |
10th Plymouth | 61.75% | 37.09% | D+24.7 | 58.16% | 36.73% | D+21.4 | D |
11th Plymouth | 58.06% | 40.87% | D+17.2 | 60.55% | 34.28% | D+26.3 | D |
12th Plymouth | 47.40% | 51.32% | R+3.9 | 45.61% | 48.24% | R+2.6 | D |
1st Suffolk | 73.37% | 24.91% | D+48.5 | 73.10% | 22.68% | D+50.4 | D |
2nd Suffolk | 71.84% | 26.90% | D+44.9 | 76.21% | 19.22% | D+57 | D |
3rd Suffolk | 71.09% | 27.35% | D+43.7 | 79.66% | 15.45% | D+64.2 | D |
4th Suffolk | 61.05% | 37.30% | D+23.7 | 68.29% | 26.46% | D+41.8 | D |
5th Suffolk | 94.61% | 4.81% | D+89.8 | 92.68% | 5.07% | D+87.6 | D |
6th Suffolk | 95.47% | 4.08% | D+91.4 | 93.59% | 4.54% | D+89 | D |
7th Suffolk | 92.59% | 6.06% | D+86.5 | 91.36% | 5.13% | D+86.2 | D |
8th Suffolk | 72.73% | 24.88% | D+47.8 | 83.11% | 11.68% | D+71.4 | D |
9th Suffolk | 82.40% | 16.00% | D+66.4 | 88.02% | 8.40% | D+79.6 | D |
10th Suffolk | 63.79% | 34.72% | D+29.1 | 69.50% | 26.11% | D+43.4 | D |
11th Suffolk | 91.98% | 5.56% | D+86.4 | 91.90% | 4.62% | D+87.3 | D |
12th Suffolk | 89.27% | 10.00% | D+79.3 | 88.55% | 8.74% | D+79.8 | D |
13th Suffolk | 75.39% | 23.17% | D+52.2 | 75.29% | 20.60% | D+54.7 | D |
14th Suffolk | 79.00% | 19.99% | D+59 | 79.52% | 17.18% | D+62.3 | D |
15th Suffolk | 84.86% | 12.29% | D+72.6 | 87.51% | 8.19% | D+79.3 | D |
16th Suffolk | 63.50% | 35.30% | D+28.2 | 59.11% | 37.28% | D+21.8 | D |
17th Suffolk | 77.64% | 18.89% | D+58.7 | 82.86% | 11.64% | D+71.2 | D |
18th Suffolk | 74.20% | 23.06% | D+51.1 | 80.06% | 14.20% | D+65.9 | D |
19th Suffolk | 63.48% | 35.30% | D+28.2 | 59.95% | 35.80% | D+24.1 | D |
1st Worcester | 46.67% | 51.71% | R+5 | 47.91% | 44.44% | D+3.5 | R |
2nd Worcester | 53.41% | 44.50% | D+8.9 | 45.44% | 45.79% | R+0.4 | D |
3rd Worcester | 58.54% | 39.51% | D+19 | 55.84% | 37.09% | D+18.8 | D |
4th Worcester | 52.53% | 45.87% | D+6.7 | 50.78% | 42.31% | D+8.5 | D |
5th Worcester | 48.13% | 49.61% | R+1.5 | 40.09% | 52.24% | R+12.2 | R |
6th Worcester | 52.73% | 45.50% | D+7.2 | 44.60% | 48.25% | R+3.7 | R |
7th Worcester | 49.84% | 48.30% | D+1.5 | 45.40% | 47.56% | R+2.2 | R |
8th Worcester | 48.75% | 49.58% | R+0.8 | 43.70% | 49.00% | R+5.3 | R |
9th Worcester | 48.24% | 49.97% | R+1.7 | 49.20% | 42.92% | D+6.3 | R |
10th Worcester | 52.50% | 46.08% | D+6.4 | 52.64% | 41.20% | D+11.4 | D |
11th Worcester | 53.37% | 45.35% | D+8 | 58.58% | 35.43% | D+23.2 | R |
12th Worcester | 51.02% | 47.03% | D+4 | 51.95% | 40.30% | D+11.6 | D |
13th Worcester | 63.31% | 34.84% | D+28.5 | 64.37% | 29.71% | D+34.7 | D |
14th Worcester | 63.30% | 35.15% | D+28.1 | 62.37% | 31.65% | D+30.7 | D |
15th Worcester | 74.95% | 23.26% | D+51.7 | 70.59% | 24.24% | D+46.3 | D |
16th Worcester | 69.75% | 28.73% | D+41 | 66.34% | 28.56% | D+37.8 | D |
17th Worcester | 63.80% | 34.38% | D+29.4 | 59.07% | 34.73% | D+24.3 | R |
18th Worcester | 45.93% | 52.43% | R+6.5 | 40.90% | 52.00% | R+11.1 | R |
Total | 60.79% | 37.60% | D+23.2 | 60.98% | 33.34% | D+27.6 | - |
Source: Daily Kos |
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+9, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 9 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Massachusetts' 3rd Congressional District the 133rd most Democratic nationally.[22]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.18. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.18 points toward that party.[23]
State overview
Partisan control
This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in Massachusetts heading into the 2018 elections.
Congressional delegation
- Following the 2016 elections, Democrats held both U.S. Senate seats in Massachusetts.
- Democrats held all 9 U.S. House seats in Massachusetts.
State executives
- As of September 2018, Democrats held 11 of 19 state executive positions, Republicans held three, and the remaining five positions were officially nonpartisan.
- The governor of Massachusetts was Republican Charlie Baker. The state held an election for governor and lieutenant governor on November 6, 2018.
State legislature
- Democrats controlled both chambers of the Massachusetts General Court. They had a 117-34 majority in the state House and a 31-7 majority in the state Senate.
Trifecta status
- Massachusetts was under divided government, meaning that the two parties shared control of the state government. Charlie Baker (R) served as governor, while Democrats controlled the state legislature.
2018 elections
- See also: Massachusetts elections, 2018
Massachusetts held elections for the following positions in 2018:
- One U.S. Senate seat
- Nine U.S. House seats
- Governor and lieutenant governor
- Seven lower state executive positions
- 40 state Senate seats
- 160 state House seats
- Municipal elections in Suffolk County
Demographics
Demographic data for Massachusetts | ||
---|---|---|
Massachusetts | U.S. | |
Total population: | 6,784,240 | 316,515,021 |
Land area (sq mi): | 7,800 | 3,531,905 |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White: | 79.6% | 73.6% |
Black/African American: | 7.1% | 12.6% |
Asian: | 6% | 5.1% |
Native American: | 0.2% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander: | 0% | 0.2% |
Two or more: | 2.9% | 3% |
Hispanic/Latino: | 10.6% | 17.1% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate: | 89.8% | 86.7% |
College graduation rate: | 40.5% | 29.8% |
Income | ||
Median household income: | $68,563 | $53,889 |
Persons below poverty level: | 13.1% | 11.3% |
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Massachusetts. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. |
As of July 2016, Massachusetts' three largest cities were Boston (pop. est. 685,000), Worcester (pop. est. 186,000), and Springfield (pop. est. 155,000).[24]
State election history
This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Massachusetts from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the Massachusetts Secretary of State.
Historical elections
Presidential elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Massachusetts every year from 2000 to 2016.
Election results (President of the United States), Massachusetts 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2016 | ![]() |
60.0% | ![]() |
32.8% | 27.2% |
2012 | ![]() |
60.7% | ![]() |
37.5% | 23.2% |
2008 | ![]() |
61.8% | ![]() |
36.0% | 25.8% |
2004 | ![]() |
61.9% | ![]() |
36.8% | 25.1% |
2000 | ![]() |
59.8% | ![]() |
32.5% | 27.3% |
U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in Massachusetts from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.
Election results (U.S. Senator), Massachusetts 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2014 | ![]() |
61.9% | ![]() |
38.0% | 23.9% |
2013[25] | ![]() |
57.3% | ![]() |
44.6% | 12.7% |
2012 | ![]() |
53.7% | ![]() |
46.2% | 7.5% |
2010[25] | ![]() |
51.9% | ![]() |
47.1% | 4.8% |
2008 | ![]() |
65.9% | ![]() |
30.9% | 35.0% |
2006 | ![]() |
69.3% | ![]() |
30.5% | 38.8% |
2002 | ![]() |
Unopposed | -- | -- | Unopposed |
2000 | ![]() |
72.7% | ![]() |
12.9% | 59.8% |
Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Massachusetts.
Election results (Governor), Massachusetts 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2014 | ![]() |
48.4% | ![]() |
46.5% | 1.9% |
2010 | ![]() |
48.4% | ![]() |
42.0% | 6.4% |
2006 | ![]() |
55.6% | ![]() |
35.3% | 20.3% |
2002 | ![]() |
49.8% | ![]() |
44.9% | 4.9% |
Congressional delegation, 2000-2016
This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Massachusetts in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.
Trifectas, 1992-2017
A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.
Massachusetts Party Control: 1992-2024
Ten years of Democratic trifectas • No Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D |
Senate | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
House | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
See also
- United States House of Representatives elections in Massachusetts, 2018
- United States House elections in Massachusetts (2018 Democratic primaries)
- Massachusetts' 3rd Congressional District election (September 4, 2018 Republican primary)
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2018
Footnotes
- ↑ Lowell Sun, "Secretary of State calls the race for Trahan; Koh concedes," September 17, 2018
- ↑ CT Post, "Recount ordered in Massachusetts congressional primary race," September 10, 2018
- ↑ Boston Herald, "Buzz builds over potential candidates to fill Niki Tsongas' seat," August 9, 2017
- ↑ Secretary of the Commonwealth of Massachusetts, "Democratic Primaries in 3rd Congressional District," accessed August 22, 2018
- ↑ FEC, "Massachusetts - House District 03," accessed August 9, 2018
- ↑ Lowell Sun, "Flip a channel, see a candidate," August 13, 2018
- ↑ Boston.com, "This is the most powerful 30-year-old in Boston," December 8, 2015
- ↑ 8.0 8.1 The New York Times, "What Is That Crowd? It’s the Field of Candidates. Now Pick One," June 1, 2018
- ↑ Boston.com, "Tim Kaine makes a splash in Massachusetts’s 3rd District congressional race," July 10, 2018
- ↑ Wicked Local Littleton, "Third Congressional district: Meet candidate Rufus Gifford," July 25, 2018
- ↑ Telegram & Gazette, "Campaign Notebook: Lori Trahan, citing Lowell roots, local $, presses case as favorite daughter in 3rd District," August 8, 2018
- ↑ Wicked Local Westford, "Third Congressional district: Meet candiate Lori Trahan," July 25, 2018
- ↑ 13.0 13.1 Daily Kos, "Morning Digest: Two new polls give Democrat the lead in race for governor of Ohio," June 14, 2018
- ↑ 14.00 14.01 14.02 14.03 14.04 14.05 14.06 14.07 14.08 14.09 14.10 Metro West Daily News, "3rd District Democratic candidates discuss issues at packed Concord forum," July 23, 2018
- ↑ Rufus Gifford, "Endorsements," accessed August 22, 2018
- ↑ Koh 2018, "Endorsements," accessed August 22, 2018
- ↑ 17.00 17.01 17.02 17.03 17.04 17.05 17.06 17.07 17.08 17.09 17.10 Lori Trahan, "News," accessed August 22, 2018
- ↑ 97.9 WHAV, "Sen. Eldridge Endorses Sen. L’Italien for Congress: ‘She’s a Fighter’," June 26, 2018
- ↑ 270towin.com, "Massachusetts," accessed June 29, 2017
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
- ↑ Massachusetts Demographics, "Massachusetts Cities by Population," accessed September 5, 2018
- ↑ 25.0 25.1 Special election