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United States Senate election in Arizona, 2022 (August 2 Democratic primary)

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U.S. Senate, Arizona
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: April 4, 2022
Primary: August 2, 2022
General: November 8, 2022
Pre-election incumbent:
Mark Kelly (Democratic)
How to vote
Poll times: 6 a.m. to 7 p.m.
Voting in Arizona
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Toss-up
Inside Elections: Tilt Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022
See also
U.S. Senate, Arizona
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th
Arizona elections, 2022
U.S. Congress elections, 2022
U.S. Senate elections, 2022
U.S. House elections, 2022

A Democratic Party primary took place on August 2, 2022, in Arizona to determine which Democratic candidate would run in the state's general election on November 8, 2022.

Incumbent Mark Kelly advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Arizona.

Candidate filing deadline Primary election General election
April 4, 2022
August 2, 2022
November 8, 2022


Heading into the election, the incumbent was Mark Kelly (Democrat), who was first elected in 2020.

A primary election is an election in which registered voters select a candidate that they believe should be a political party's candidate for elected office to run in the general election. They are also used to choose convention delegates and party leaders. Primaries are state-level and local-level elections that take place prior to a general election. Arizona utilizes a semi-closed primary system. Unaffiliated voters may choose which party's primary they will vote in, but voters registered with a party can only vote in that party's primary.[1][2][3]

For information about which offices are nominated via primary election, see this article.

This page focuses on Arizona's United States Senate Democratic primary. For more in-depth information on the state's Republican primary and the general election, see the following pages:

HOTP-Dem-Ad-1-small.png

Candidates and election results

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Arizona

Incumbent Mark Kelly advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Arizona on August 2, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Mark Kelly
Mark Kelly
 
100.0
 
589,400

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 589,400
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Campaign finance

This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[4] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[5] Click here to view the reporting schedule for candidates for U.S. Congress in 2022.

U.S. Congress campaign reporting schedule, 2022
Report Close of books Filing deadline
Year-end 2021 12/31/2021 1/31/2022
April quarterly 3/31/2022 4/15/2022
July quarterly 6/30/2022 7/15/2022
October quarterly 9/30/2022 10/15/2022
Pre-general 10/19/2022 10/27/2022
Post-general 11/28/2022 12/08/2022
Year-end 2022 12/31/2022 1/31/2023


Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Mark Kelly Democratic Party $92,771,344 $92,715,992 $1,457,875 As of December 31, 2022

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2022. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.


Ballot access requirements

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. Senate candidates in Arizona in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Arizona, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. Senate candidates, 2022
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source
Arizona U.S. Senate Ballot-qualified party 0.25% of qualified signers in the state N/A 4/4/2022 Source
Arizona U.S. Senate Unaffiliated 3% of total registered voters who are not members of a ballot-qualified political party N/A 4/4/2022 Source

Election analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about demographics, past elections, and partisan control of the state.

  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the state.
  • Statewide elections - Information about recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections in the state.
  • State partisanship - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
  • Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.

Presidential elections

See also: Presidential voting trends in Arizona and The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Cook PVI by congressional district

Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index for Arizona, 2022
District Incumbent Party PVI
Arizona's 1st David Schweikert Ends.png Republican R+2
Arizona's 2nd Tom O'Halleran Electiondot.png Democratic R+6
Arizona's 3rd Ruben Gallego Electiondot.png Democratic D+24
Arizona's 4th Greg Stanton Electiondot.png Democratic D+2
Arizona's 5th Andy Biggs Ends.png Republican R+11
Arizona's 6th Open Electiondot.png Democratic R+3
Arizona's 7th Raul Grijalva Electiondot.png Democratic D+15
Arizona's 8th Debbie Lesko Ends.png Republican R+10
Arizona's 9th Paul Gosar Ends.png Republican R+16


2020 presidential results by 2022 congressional district lines

2020 presidential results in congressional districts based on 2022 district lines, Arizona[6]
District Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
Arizona's 1st 50.1% 48.6%
Arizona's 2nd 45.3% 53.2%
Arizona's 3rd 74.5% 23.9%
Arizona's 4th 54.2% 43.9%
Arizona's 5th 41.0% 57.4%
Arizona's 6th 49.3% 49.2%
Arizona's 7th 65.6% 32.9%
Arizona's 8th 42.5% 56.1%
Arizona's 9th 36.4% 62.2%


2012-2020

How a state's counties vote in a presidential election and the size of those counties can provide additional insights into election outcomes at other levels of government including statewide and congressional races. Below, four categories are used to describe each county's voting pattern over the 2012, 2016, and 2020 presidential elections: Solid, Trending, Battleground, and New. Click [show] on the table below for examples:


Following the 2020 presidential election, 61.8% of Arizonans lived in Maricopa County, the state's one New Democratic county, which voted for the Democratic presidential candidate for the first time in 2020 after voting for the Republican in the preceding two cycles, and 20.0% lived in one of 10 Solid Republican counties. Overall, Arizona was New Democratic, having voted for Mitt Romney (R) in 2012, Donald Trump (R) in 2016, and Joe Biden (D) in 2020. Use the table below to view the total number of each type of county in Arizona following the 2020 election as well as the overall percentage of the state population located in each county type.

Historical voting trends

Arizona presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 9 Democratic wins
  • 19 Republican wins
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party N/A N/A N/A D D R R R D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R D R R R R R D

Statewide elections

This section details the results of the five most recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections held in the state.

U.S. Senate elections

See also: List of United States Senators from Arizona

The table below details the vote in the five most recent U.S. Senate races in Arizona.

U.S. Senate election results in Arizona
Race Winner Runner up
2020 51.2%Democratic Party 48.8%Republican Party
2018 50.0%Democratic Party 47.6%Republican Party
2016 53.7%Republican Party 40.8%Democratic Party
2012 49.2%Republican Party 46.1%Democratic Party
2010 59.2%Republican Party 34.7%Democratic Party
Average 52.7 43.6

Gubernatorial elections

See also: Governor of Arizona

The table below details the vote in the five most recent gubernatorial elections in Arizona.

Gubernatorial election results in Arizona
Race Winner Runner up
2018 56.0%Republican Party 41.8%Democratic Party
2014 53.4%Democratic Party 41.6%Republican Party
2010 54.3%Republican Party 42.4%Democratic Party
2006 62.6%Democratic Party 35.4%Republican Party
2002 46.2%Democratic Party 45.2%Republican Party
Average 54.5 41.3

State partisanship

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Arizona's congressional delegation as of November 2022.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Arizona, November 2022
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 2 5 7
Republican 0 4 4
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 0 0
Total 2 9 11

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Arizona's top three state executive offices as of November 2022.

State executive officials in Arizona, November 2022
Office Officeholder
Governor Republican Party Doug Ducey
Secretary of State Democratic Party Katie Hobbs
Attorney General Republican Party Mark Brnovich

State legislature

The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Arizona State Legislature as of November 2022.

Arizona State Senate

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 14
     Republican Party 16
     Vacancies 0
Total 30

Arizona House of Representatives

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 29
     Republican Party 31
     Vacancies 0
Total 60

Trifecta control

As of November 2022, Arizona was a Republican trifecta, with majorities in both chambers of the state legislature and control of the governorship. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.

Arizona Party Control: 1992-2022
No Democratic trifectas  •  Twenty-two years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
Governor R R R R R R R R R R R D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
Senate D R R R R R R R R S S R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
House R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R

Demographics

The table below details demographic data in Arizona and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.

Demographic Data for Arizona
Arizona United States
Population 6,392,017 308,745,538
Land area (sq mi) 113,652 3,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White 77.2% 72.5%
Black/African American 4.5% 12.7%
Asian 3.3% 5.5%
Native American 4.5% 0.8%
Pacific Islander 0.2% 0.2%
Other (single race) 6.5% 4.9%
Multiple 3.7% 3.3%
Hispanic/Latino 31.3% 18%
Education
High school graduation rate 87.1% 88%
College graduation rate 29.5% 32.1%
Income
Median household income $58,945 $62,843
Persons below poverty level 15.1% 13.4%
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2010). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2014-2019).
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.


See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. ↑ National Conference of State Legislatures, "State Primary Election Types," accessed July 19, 2024
  2. ↑ Citizens Clean Elections Commission, "Primary Election," accessed July 19, 2024
  3. ↑ Arizona State Legislature, "Arizona Revised Statutes 16-467," accessed July 19 2024
  4. ↑ Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
  5. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
  6. ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012," accessed September 9, 2022


Arizona's current delegation to the United States Congress
Senators
Ruben Gallego (D)
Mark Kelly (D)
Representatives
District 1
District 2
Eli Crane (R)
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
District 7
Vacant
District 8
District 9
Republican Party (6)
Democratic Party (4)
Vacancies (1)


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