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Arizona's 9th Congressional District election, 2022

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2024
2020
Arizona's 9th Congressional District
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge.png
Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: April 4, 2022
Primary: August 2, 2022
General: November 8, 2022
How to vote
Poll times: 6 a.m. to 7 p.m.
Voting in Arizona
Race ratings
Cook Partisan Voter Index (2022): R+16
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
Inside Elections: Solid Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022
See also
Arizona's 9th Congressional District
U.S. Senate1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th
Arizona elections, 2022
U.S. Congress elections, 2022
U.S. Senate elections, 2022
U.S. House elections, 2022

All U.S. House districts, including the 9th Congressional District of Arizona, held elections in 2022. The general election was on November 8, 2022. The primary was scheduled for August 2, 2022. The filing deadline was April 4, 2022.

For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:

Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Arizona District 9

Incumbent Paul Gosar defeated Richard Grayson and Thomas Tzitzura in the general election for U.S. House Arizona District 9 on November 8, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Paul Gosar
Paul Gosar (R)
 
97.8
 
192,796
Image of Richard Grayson
Richard Grayson (D) (Write-in)
 
1.8
 
3,531
Thomas Tzitzura (D) (Write-in)
 
0.4
 
858

Total votes: 197,185
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 9

No candidate advanced from the primary.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of David Lucier
David Lucier (Write-in) Candidate Connection
 
72.7
 
1,319
Image of Gene Scharer
Gene Scharer (Write-in)
 
27.3
 
496

Total votes: 1,815
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 9

Incumbent Paul Gosar defeated Randy Kutz, Adam Morgan, Sandra Dowling, and Jack Harper in the Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 9 on August 2, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Paul Gosar
Paul Gosar
 
65.9
 
67,340
Image of Randy Kutz
Randy Kutz Candidate Connection
 
13.1
 
13,387
Image of Adam Morgan
Adam Morgan Candidate Connection
 
12.2
 
12,508
Image of Sandra Dowling
Sandra Dowling
 
8.7
 
8,851
Image of Jack Harper
Jack Harper (Write-in)
 
0.1
 
76

Total votes: 102,162
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Voting information

See also: Voting in Arizona

Election information in Arizona: Nov. 8, 2022, election.

What was the voter registration deadline?

  • In-person: Oct. 11, 2022
  • By mail: Postmarked by Oct. 11, 2022
  • Online: Oct. 11, 2022

Was absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

N/A

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

  • In-person: Oct. 28, 2022
  • By mail: Received by Oct. 28, 2022
  • Online: Oct. 28, 2022

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 8, 2022
  • By mail: Received by Nov. 8, 2022

Was early voting available to all voters?

Yes

What were the early voting start and end dates?

Oct. 12, 2022 to Nov. 4, 2022

Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, was a photo or non-photo ID required?

N/A

When were polls open on Election Day?

N/A


Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses

Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.

No candidate in this race completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey.


Campaign finance

This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[1] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[2]

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Paul Gosar Republican Party $949,146 $854,966 $107,639 As of December 31, 2022
Richard Grayson Democratic Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
David Lucier Democratic Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Gene Scharer Democratic Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Thomas Tzitzura Democratic Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Sandra Dowling Republican Party $71,959 $71,959 $0 As of December 31, 2022
Jack Harper Republican Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Randy Kutz Republican Party $78,885 $78,885 $0 As of September 30, 2022
Adam Morgan Republican Party $69,649 $84,350 $0 As of September 30, 2022

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2022. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.

General election race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[3]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[4][5][6]

Race ratings: Arizona's 9th Congressional District election, 2022
Race trackerRace ratings
November 8, 2022November 1, 2022October 25, 2022October 18, 2022
The Cook Political Report with Amy WalterSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe Republican
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

Ballot access requirements

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Arizona in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Arizona, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2022
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source
Arizona U.S. House Democratic 1,563[7] N/A 4/4/2022 Source
Arizona U.S. House Republican 1,639[8] N/A 4/4/2022 Source
Arizona U.S. House Libertarian 826[9] N/A 4/4/2022 Source
Arizona U.S. House Unaffiliated 4,832[10] N/A 4/4/2022 Source

District analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

  • District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting.
  • Effect of redistricting - How districts in the state changed as a result of redistricting following the 2020 census.
  • Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2022 U.S. House elections in the state.
  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
  • Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
  • State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.

District map

Below was the map in use at the time of the election, enacted as part of the 2020 redistricting cycle, compared to the map in place before the election.

Arizona District 9
until January 2, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.

Arizona District 9
starting January 3, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.


Effect of redistricting

See also: Redistricting in Arizona after the 2020 census

The table below details the results of the 2020 presidential election in each district at the time of the 2022 election and its political predecessor district.[11] This data was compiled by Daily Kos Elections.[12]

2020 presidential results by Congressional district, Arizona
District 2022 district Political predecessor district
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
Arizona's 1st 50.1% 48.6% 47.3% 51.4%
Arizona's 2nd 45.3% 53.2% 50.1% 48.4%
Arizona's 3rd 74.5% 23.9% 73.7% 24.7%
Arizona's 4th 54.2% 43.9% 60.8% 37.3%
Arizona's 5th 41.0% 57.4% 41.9% 56.4%
Arizona's 6th 49.3% 49.2% 54.5% 43.9%
Arizona's 7th 65.6% 32.9% 62.8% 35.7%
Arizona's 8th 42.5% 56.1% 41.4% 57.3%
Arizona's 9th 36.4% 62.2% 30.6% 68.0%

Competitiveness

See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2022

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Arizona.

Post-filing deadline analysis

The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Arizona in 2022. Information below was calculated on June 23, 2022, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.

Thirty-nine candidates filed to run in Arizona's nine U.S. House districts, including 10 Democrats and 29 Republicans. That's 4.33 candidates per district, more than the 4.22 candidates per district in 2020 and the 4.11 in 2018.

This was the first election to take place under new district lines following the 2020 census. Arizona was apportioned nine districts, the same number it was apportioned after the 2010 census. The 39 candidates who filed to run this year were the most candidates running for Arizona's U.S. House seats since at least 2014, the earliest year for which we have data.

One district — the 6th — was open. That’s one more than in 2020, and one less than in 2018. Rep. David Schweikert (R), who represented the 6th district, filed to run in the 1st district. Rep. Tom O'Halleran (D), who represented the 1st district, filed to run in the 2nd district, where incumbent Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick (D) did not seek re-election.

The 2nd and 6th districts attracted the most candidates this year, with eight candidates running in each. There were eight contested primaries this year — two Democratic and six Republican. That's the fewest contested primaries since 2014, when there were five contested primaries.

Six incumbents — four Democrats and two Republicans — did not face any primary challengers. The 8th and 9th districts were guaranteed to Republicans because no Democrats filed to run. No districts were guaranteed to Democrats because no Republicans filed.

Presidential elections

Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+16. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 16 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Arizona's 9th the 80th most Republican district nationally.[13]

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

2020 presidential results in Arizona's 9th based on 2022 district lines
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
36.4% 62.2%

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in Arizona, 2020

Arizona presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 9 Democratic wins
  • 19 Republican wins
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party N/A N/A N/A D D R R R D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R D R R R R R D


Demographics

The table below details demographic data in Arizona and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.

Demographic Data for Arizona
Arizona United States
Population 6,392,017 308,745,538
Land area (sq mi) 113,652 3,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White 77.2% 72.5%
Black/African American 4.5% 12.7%
Asian 3.3% 5.5%
Native American 4.5% 0.8%
Pacific Islander 0.2% 0.2%
Other (single race) 6.5% 4.9%
Multiple 3.7% 3.3%
Hispanic/Latino 31.3% 18%
Education
High school graduation rate 87.1% 88%
College graduation rate 29.5% 32.1%
Income
Median household income $58,945 $62,843
Persons below poverty level 15.1% 13.4%
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2010). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2014-2019).
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.


State party control

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Arizona's congressional delegation as of November 2022.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Arizona, November 2022
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 2 5 7
Republican 0 4 4
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 0 0
Total 2 9 11

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Arizona's top three state executive offices as of November 2022.

State executive officials in Arizona, November 2022
Office Officeholder
Governor Republican Party Doug Ducey
Secretary of State Democratic Party Katie Hobbs
Attorney General Republican Party Mark Brnovich

State legislature

The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Arizona State Legislature as of November 2022.

Arizona State Senate

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 14
     Republican Party 16
     Vacancies 0
Total 30

Arizona House of Representatives

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 29
     Republican Party 31
     Vacancies 0
Total 60

Trifecta control

As of November 2022, Arizona was a Republican trifecta, with majorities in both chambers of the state legislature and control of the governorship. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.

Arizona Party Control: 1992-2022
No Democratic trifectas  •  Twenty-two years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
Governor R R R R R R R R R R R D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
Senate D R R R R R R R R S S R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
House R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R


District history

2020

See also: Arizona's 9th Congressional District election, 2020

Arizona's 9th Congressional District election, 2020 (August 4 Democratic primary)

Arizona's 9th Congressional District election, 2020 (August 4 Republican primary)

General election

General election for U.S. House Arizona District 9

Incumbent Greg Stanton defeated Dave Giles in the general election for U.S. House Arizona District 9 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Greg Stanton
Greg Stanton (D)
 
61.6
 
217,094
Image of Dave Giles
Dave Giles (R) Candidate Connection
 
38.4
 
135,180

Total votes: 352,274
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 9

Incumbent Greg Stanton advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 9 on August 4, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Greg Stanton
Greg Stanton
 
100.0
 
83,508

Total votes: 83,508
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 9

Dave Giles defeated Sam Huang and Nicholas Tutora in the Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 9 on August 4, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Dave Giles
Dave Giles Candidate Connection
 
53.7
 
28,488
Image of Sam Huang
Sam Huang
 
23.6
 
12,532
Image of Nicholas Tutora
Nicholas Tutora
 
22.7
 
12,059

Total votes: 53,079
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2018

See also: Arizona's 9th Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Arizona District 9

Greg Stanton defeated Steve Ferrara in the general election for U.S. House Arizona District 9 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Greg Stanton
Greg Stanton (D)
 
61.1
 
159,583
Image of Steve Ferrara
Steve Ferrara (R)
 
38.9
 
101,662

Total votes: 261,245
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 9

Greg Stanton advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 9 on August 28, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Greg Stanton
Greg Stanton
 
100.0
 
59,066

Total votes: 59,066
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 9

Steve Ferrara defeated Dave Giles and Irina Baroness Von Behr in the Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 9 on August 28, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Steve Ferrara
Steve Ferrara
 
59.9
 
31,006
Image of Dave Giles
Dave Giles Candidate Connection
 
32.3
 
16,722
Image of Irina Baroness Von Behr
Irina Baroness Von Behr
 
7.8
 
4,020

Total votes: 51,748
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Libertarian primary election

No Libertarian candidates ran in the primary.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2016

See also: Arizona's 9th Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. Incumbent Kyrsten Sinema (D) defeated Dave Giles (R) and Mike Shipley (L write-in) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Giles defeated John Agra in the Republican primary on August 30, 2016.[14][15][16]

U.S. House, Arizona District 9 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngKyrsten Sinema Incumbent 60.9% 169,055
     Republican Dave Giles 39% 108,350
     N/A Write-in 0% 102
Total Votes 277,507
Source: Arizona Secretary of State


U.S. House, Arizona District 9 Republican Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngDave Giles 60.7% 25,963
John Agra 39.3% 16,817
Total Votes 42,780
Source: Arizona Secretary of State

2014

See also: Arizona's 9th Congressional District elections, 2014


U.S. House, Arizona District 9 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngKyrsten Sinema Incumbent 54.7% 88,609
     Republican Wendy Rogers 41.9% 67,841
     Libertarian Powell Gammill 3.5% 5,612
Total Votes 162,062
Source: Arizona Secretary of State
U.S. House, Arizona District 9 Republican Primary, 2014
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngWendy Rogers 59.4% 22,717
Andrew Walter 40.6% 15,510
Total Votes 38,227
Source: Arizona Secretary of State


See also

Arizona 2022 primaries 2022 U.S. Congress elections
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Arizona congressional delegation
Voting in Arizona
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External links

Footnotes

  1. Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
  2. Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
  3. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  4. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  5. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  6. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  7. This is the average signature requirement of all congressional districts.
  8. This is the average signature requirement of all congressional districts.
  9. This is the average signature requirement of all congressional districts.
  10. This is the average signature requirement of all congressional districts.
  11. Political predecessor districts are determined primarily based on incumbents and where each chose to seek re-election.
  12. Daily Kos Elections, "Daily Kos Elections 2020 presidential results by congressional district (old CDs vs. new CDs)," accessed May 12, 2022
  13. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
  14. Arizona Secretary of State, "2016 Primary Candidates," accessed June 2, 2016
  15. Politico, " Arizona House Primaries Results," August 30, 2016
  16. CNN, "Election Results," accessed November 8, 2016


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
Eli Crane (R)
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
District 7
Vacant
District 8
District 9
Republican Party (6)
Democratic Party (4)
Vacancies (1)