United States Senate election in Montana, 2024 (June 4 Republican primary)
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|
| U.S. Senate, Montana |
|---|
| Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
| Election details |
| Filing deadline: March 11, 2024 |
| Primary: June 4, 2024 General: November 5, 2024 Pre-election incumbent: Jon Tester (Democratic) |
| How to vote |
| Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. Voting in Montana |
| Race ratings |
DDHQ and The Hill: Likely Republican Inside Elections: Tilt Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Republican |
| Ballotpedia analysis |
| U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024 |
| See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd Montana elections, 2024 U.S. Congress elections, 2024 U.S. Senate elections, 2024 U.S. House elections, 2024 |
A Republican Party primary took place on June 4, 2024, in Montana to determine which Republican candidate would run in the state's general election on November 5, 2024.
Tim Sheehy advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. Senate Montana.
Thirty-four of 100 seats in the U.S. Senate were up for election in 2024, including one special election. At the time of the election, Democrats had a 51-49 majority.[1] Of the seats up for election in 2024, Democrats held 19, Republicans held 11, and independents held four. As of May 2024, eight members of the U.S. Senate had announced they were not running for re-election.
| Candidate filing deadline | Primary election | General election |
|---|---|---|
Heading into the election, the incumbent was Jon Tester (Democrat), who was first elected in 2006.
A primary election is an election in which registered voters select a candidate that they believe should be a political party's candidate for elected office to run in the general election. They are also used to choose convention delegates and party leaders. Primaries are state-level and local-level elections that take place prior to a general election. Montana utilizes an open primary system, in which registered voters do not have to be members of a party to vote in that party's primary.[2]
For information about which offices are nominated via primary election, see this article.
This page focuses on Montana's United States Senate Republican primary. For more in-depth information on the state's Democratic primary and the general election, see the following pages:
- United States Senate election in Montana, 2024 (June 4 Democratic primary)
- United States Senate election in Montana, 2024
Candidates and election results
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. Senate Montana
Tim Sheehy defeated Brad Johnson and Charles A. Walking Child in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate Montana on June 4, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Tim Sheehy | 73.6 | 139,857 | |
| Brad Johnson | 19.4 | 36,926 | ||
Charles A. Walking Child ![]() | 7.0 | 13,229 | ||
| Total votes: 190,012 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Thomas Madigan (R)
- Matt Rosendale (R)
- Jeremy Mygland (R)
Candidate profiles
This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Biography: Sheehy received a bachelor's degree from the U.S. Naval Academy. He served in the U.S. Navy as a SEAL officer and team leader and worked as a CEO and founder of Ascent Vision Technologies and Bridger Aerospace.
Show sources
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. Senate Montana in 2024.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "My name is Charles WalkingChild, I was born and raised in GreatFalls, Montana in a small native community called Hill 57. As a child, I grew up in a railroad boxcar while also sleeping on a mattress on the floor. I was born to the Anishinabe (Ojibwe) and Cree bands on my mother's side, and Blackfeet on my fathers. During my humble beginnings, I would haul water and chop wood. One of my resources for education at the time was sitting in an outhouse and reading the newspaper; after reading the newspaper I would put it toward productive use. I am of chief descent from all tribes, as a child, my grandfather Charles WalkingChild would educate me about my Cree lineage and my Grandmother's Agnus and Babe Gopher would educate me about my Ojibwe lineage which was translated through my uncle Larry WalkingChild because they did not speak English. Growing up, I only saw my father a handful of times. I do not blame him for his absence though, because as a child attended boarding school and suffered abuse. However, his father Dave Wells Sr., and Earl Old Person would come and visit my grandfather Charles. I would sit there as a child and observe them communicate through native sign language; they informed me I was of chief descent. I graduated high school from CMR, and I later went on to graduate college from the University of GreatFalls and the University of Montana. Eventually, I began my own company and worked for myself for the past 20 years."
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. Senate Montana in 2024.
Voting information
- See also: Voting in Montana
Noteworthy endorsements
This section lists noteworthy endorsements issued in this election, including those made by high-profile individuals and organizations, cross-party endorsements, and endorsements made by newspaper editorial boards. It also includes a bulleted list of links to official lists of endorsements for any candidates who published that information on their campaign websites. Please note that this list is not exhaustive. If you are aware of endorsements that should be included, please click here.
Noteworthy events
Rosendale announces campaign, drops out (2024)
On February 9, 2024, U.S. Rep. Matt Rosendale (R-Mont.) announced he would run for Senate, saying “We’ve made great accomplishments in the House, only to see them die at the hands of Mitch McConnell and Chuck Schumer in the Senate. Montanans want a Senator that fights for WE, THE PEOPLE, not the D.C. Cartel” in a tweet announcing his candidacy.”[3]
Rosendale withdrew from the race days later, on February 15, 2024, saying “By my calculations, with Trump endorsing my opponent and the lack of resources, the hill was just too steep.”[4]
Shortly after Rosendale announced his candidacy for Senate, Trump endorsed candidate Tim Sheehy (R), a business owner and former Navy SEAL who announced his candidacy for Senate in 2023. In a post on Truth Social announcing his endorsement, Trump said “Tim is the candidate who is currently best-positioned to DEFEAT Lazy Jon Tester, and Regain the Republican Majority in the United States Senate. Tim is a Political Outsider, Strong on the Border, the Military/Vets, and our constantly under siege Second Amendment.”[5]
Campaign finance
| Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Johnson | Republican Party | $38,786 | $35,694 | $3,092 | As of March 31, 2024 |
| Tim Sheehy | Republican Party | $30,010,525 | $28,624,278 | $1,386,246 | As of December 31, 2024 |
| Charles A. Walking Child | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
|
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
|||||
Ballot access
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. Senate candidates in Montana in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Montana, click here.
| Filing requirements for U.S. Senate candidates, 2024 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Signature formula | Filing fee | Filing fee formula | Filing deadline | Source |
| Montana | U.S. Senate | Ballot-qualified party | N/A | N/A | $1,740.00 | 1% of annual salary | 3/11/2024 | Source |
| Montana | U.S. Senate | Unaffiliated | 12,694 | 5% of total votes cast for successful candidate in the last general election | $1,740.00 | 1% of annual salary | 6/3/2024 | Source |
Election analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about demographics, past elections, and partisan control of the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the state.
- Statewide elections - Information about recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections in the state.
- State partisanship - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
- Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
Cook PVI by congressional district
| Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index for Montana, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| District | Incumbent | Party | PVI |
| Montana's 1st | Ryan Zinke | R+6 | |
| Montana's 2nd | Matt Rosendale | R+16 | |
2020 presidential results by 2024 congressional district lines
| 2020 presidential results in congressional districts based on 2024 district lines, Montana[6] | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| District | Joe Biden |
Donald Trump | ||
| Montana's 1st | 45.3% | 52.2% | ||
| Montana's 2nd | 35.3% | 62.2% | ||
2012-2020
How a state's counties vote in a presidential election and the size of those counties can provide additional insights into election outcomes at other levels of government including statewide and congressional races. Below, four categories are used to describe each county's voting pattern over the 2012, 2016, and 2020 presidential elections: Solid, Trending, Battleground, and New. Click [show] on the table below for examples:
| County-level voting pattern categories | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | |||||||
| Status | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 | ||||
| Solid Democratic | D | D | D | ||||
| Trending Democratic | R | D | D | ||||
| Battleground Democratic | D | R | D | ||||
| New Democratic | R | R | D | ||||
| Republican | |||||||
| Status | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 | ||||
| Solid Republican | R | R | R | ||||
| Trending Republican | D | R | R | ||||
| Battleground Republican | R | D | R | ||||
| New Republican | D | D | R | ||||
Following the 2020 presidential election, 68.4% of Montanans lived in one of the state's 47 Solid Republican counties, which voted for the Republican presidential candidate in every election from 2012 to 2020, and 17.5% lived in one of five Solid Democratic counties. Overall, Montana was Solid Republican, having voted for Mitt Romney (R) in 2012, Donald Trump (R) in 2016, and Donald Trump (R) in 2020. Use the table below to view the total number of each type of county in Montana following the 2020 election as well as the overall percentage of the state population located in each county type.
| Montana county-level statistics, 2020 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solid Republican | 47 | 68.4% | |||||
| Solid Democratic | 5 | 17.5% | |||||
| Trending Democratic | 1 | 11.0% | |||||
| Trending Republican | 2 | 2.5% | |||||
| Battleground Democratic | 1 | 0.6% | |||||
| Total voted Democratic | 7 | 29.1% | |||||
| Total voted Republican | 49 | 70.9% | |||||
Historical voting trends
Montana presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 10 Democratic wins
- 21 Republican wins
| Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winning Party | D | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
This section details the results of the five most recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections held in the state.
U.S. Senate elections
The table below details the vote in the five most recent U.S. Senate races in Montana.
| U.S. Senate election results in Montana | ||
|---|---|---|
| Race | Winner | Runner up |
| 2020 | 55.0% |
45.0% |
| 2018 | 50.3% |
46.8% |
| 2014 | 57.8% |
40.1% |
| 2012 | 48.6% |
44.9% |
| 2008 | 72.9% |
27.1% |
| Average | 56.9 | 40.8 |
Gubernatorial elections
- See also: Governor of Montana
The table below details the vote in the five most recent gubernatorial elections in Montana.
| Gubernatorial election results in Montana | ||
|---|---|---|
| Race | Winner | Runner up |
| 2020 | 54.4% |
40.7% |
| 2016 | 50.2% |
48.3% |
| 2012 | 48.9% |
47.3% |
| 2008 | 65.5% |
32.5% |
| 2004 | 50.4% |
46.0% |
| Average | 53.9 | 43.0 |
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Montana's congressional delegation as of May 2024.
| Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Montana | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
| Democratic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Republican | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 2 | 2 | 4 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Montana's top four state executive offices as of May 2024.
| State executive officials in Montana, May 2024 | |
|---|---|
| Office | Officeholder |
| Governor | |
| Lieutenant Governor | |
| Secretary of State | |
| Attorney General | |
State legislature
Montana State Senate
| Party | As of February 2024 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 16 | |
| Republican Party | 34 | |
| Other | 0 | |
| Vacancies | 0 | |
| Total | 50 | |
Montana House of Representatives
| Party | As of February 2024 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 32 | |
| Republican Party | 68 | |
| Other | 0 | |
| Vacancies | 0 | |
| Total | 100 | |
Trifecta control
The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.
Montana Party Control: 1992-2024
No Democratic trifectas • Fourteen years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
| Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R |
| Senate | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
| House | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | S | S | R | R | S | S | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
The table below details demographic data in Montana and compares it to the broader United States as of 2022.
| Demographic Data for Montana | ||
|---|---|---|
| Montana | United States | |
| Population | 1,084,225 | 331,449,281 |
| Land area (sq mi) | 145,549 | 3,531,905 |
| Race and ethnicity** | ||
| White | 86.4% | 65.9% |
| Black/African American | 0.6% | 12.5% |
| Asian | 0.8% | 5.8% |
| Native American | 5.8% | 0.8% |
| Pacific Islander | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Other (single race) | 1.1% | 6% |
| Multiple | 5.2% | 8.8% |
| Hispanic/Latino | 4.2% | 18.7% |
| Education | ||
| High school graduation rate | 94.5% | 89.1% |
| College graduation rate | 34% | 34.3% |
| Income | ||
| Median household income | $66,341 | $75,149 |
| Persons below poverty level | 7.3% | 8.8% |
| Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2020). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2017-2022). | ||
| **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. | ||
See also
- United States Senate election in Montana, 2024 (June 4 Democratic primary)
- United States Senate election in Montana, 2024
- United States Senate Democratic Party primaries, 2024
- United States Senate Republican Party primaries, 2024
- United States Senate elections, 2024
- U.S. Senate battlegrounds, 2024
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Two Independents caucused with the Democratic Party. Another independent, Sen. Kyrsten Sinema, counted toward the Democratic majority for committee purposes.
- ↑ Montana Legislature, "Mont. Code Ann. § 13–10–301," accessed October 21, 2025
- ↑ Twitter, "Matt Rosendale," accessed February 16, 2024
- ↑ Politico, "Rosendale drops Montana Senate bid — after less than a week," accessed February 16, 2024
- ↑ Truth Social, "Donald J. Trump," accessed February 16, 2024
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012," accessed December 15, 2023
