Illinois' 14th Congressional District election, 2018
- General election: Nov. 6
- Voter registration deadline: Oct. 9
- Early voting: Sept. 27 - Nov. 5
- Absentee voting deadline: Nov. 20
- Online registration: Yes
- Same-day registration: Yes
- Voter ID: No
- Poll times: 6:00 a.m. to 7:00 p.m.
2020 →
← 2016
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Illinois' 14th Congressional District |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: December 4, 2017 |
Primary: March 20, 2018 General: November 6, 2018 Pre-election incumbent: Randy Hultgren (Republican) |
How to vote |
Poll times: 6 a.m. to 7 p.m. Voting in Illinois |
Race ratings |
Cook Political Report: Toss-up Inside Elections: Tilt Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Republican |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018 |
See also |
1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th • 10th • 11th • 12th • 13th • 14th • 15th • 16th • 17th • 18th Illinois elections, 2018 U.S. Congress elections, 2018 U.S. Senate elections, 2018 U.S. House elections, 2018 |
Lauren Underwood (D) defeated Randy Hultgren (R) in the 2018 general election for Illinois' 14th Congressional District.
All 435 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives were up for election in 2018. The Democratic Party gained a net total of 40 seats, winning control of the chamber. This race was identified as a 2018 battleground that might have affected partisan control of the U.S. House in the 116th Congress. Heading into the election, the Republican Party was in the majority holding 235 seats to Democrats' 193 seats, with seven vacant seats. Democrats needed to win 23 GOP-held seats in 2018 to win control of the House. From 1918 to 2016, the president’s party lost an average of 29 seats in midterm elections.
Hultgren was re-elected in 2016 by a margin of 18.6 percentage points. As of October 2018, two election forecasters rated the race as Leans Republican, while a third rated it Toss-up. The 14th District was listed as one of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee's initial targets in 2018.[1]
For more information about the Democratic primary, click here.
For more information about the Republican primary, click here.
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House Illinois District 14
Lauren Underwood defeated incumbent Randy Hultgren in the general election for U.S. House Illinois District 14 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Lauren Underwood (D) | 52.5 | 156,035 |
![]() | Randy Hultgren (R) | 47.5 | 141,164 |
Total votes: 297,199 (100.00% precincts reporting) | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Illinois District 14
The following candidates ran in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Illinois District 14 on March 20, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Lauren Underwood | 57.3 | 29,391 |
Matt Brolley | 13.4 | 6,845 | ||
![]() | Jim Walz | 10.0 | 5,100 | |
![]() | Victor Swanson | 7.0 | 3,597 | |
![]() | John Hosta | 5.0 | 2,578 | |
![]() | George Weber | 5.0 | 2,570 | |
![]() | Daniel Roldan-Johnson | 2.3 | 1,170 |
Total votes: 51,251 | ||||
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If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Illinois District 14
Incumbent Randy Hultgren advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Illinois District 14 on March 20, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Randy Hultgren | 100.0 | 51,672 |
Total votes: 51,672 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Candidate profiles
Party: Republican
Incumbent: Yes
Political office: U.S. House of Representatives (Assumed office: 2011), Illinois State Senate (2007-2011), Illinois House of Representatives (1999-2007)
Biography: Hultgren graduated from Bethel College in 1988 and obtained a law degree from Chicago-Kent College of Law in 1993. The next year, he was elected to the DuPage County Board and the County Forest Preserve Board. In the U.S. House, Hultgren founded the House Science & National Labs Caucus and the Congressional Friends of Sweden Caucus. As of the 2018 election, Hultgren was co-chairman of the STEM Education Caucus.
- Hultgren said that he was running to continue what he described as his legislative successes in Congress. Hultgren cited the 2017 tax law, repeal of Obama-era regulations, and economic growth as examples.[2]
- Hultgren identified human trafficking as a major issue. His first television ad "focuses on the issue of human trafficking that is plaguing our nation, an issue that Rep. Hultgren is passionate about and will continue to address when he is re-elected in November."[3]
Party: Democratic
Incumbent: No
Political office: None
Biography: Underwood graduated from the University of Michigan in 2008 with a nursing degree and obtained a master's in public health from Johns Hopkins University the next year. In 2010, she joined the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services as a policy coordinator. She was named senior advisor to the Assistant Secretary for Preparedness and Response in 2014 and continued to serve in that role for the remainder of the Obama administration. In 2017 she joined NextLevelHealth as a senior director of strategy and regulatory affairs, serving in that role until March 2018.
- Underwood said that healthcare was her focus, citing her professional experience as a registered nurse and public health advisor and her personal experiences with a preexisting heart condition. Her general election campaign kickoff video said that she was "running for Congress because every family has a right to quality, affordable healthcare."[4]
- Underwood said that she would seek to bring jobs to the district through investment in small businesses, growing sectors of the economy, and local infrastructure.[5]
Polls
- See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls
Illinois' 14th Congressional District, 2018 | |||||||||||||||||||
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Poll | Poll sponsor | Hultgren (R) | Underwood (D) | Undecided/Other | Margin of Error | Sample Size | |||||||||||||
The New York Times Upshot/Siena College (October 31 - November 4, 2018) | N/A | 43% | 49% | 8% | +/-5.0 | 428 | |||||||||||||
The New York Times Upshot/Siena College (October 3-8, 2018) | N/A | 47% | 43% | 10% | +/-4.6 | 501 | |||||||||||||
Public Policy Polling (April 16-17, 2018) | Patriot Majority USA | 45% | 41% | 14% | +/-3.8 | 682 | |||||||||||||
Note: A "0%" finding means the question was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org |
Campaign finance
The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Randy Hultgren | Republican Party | $2,238,969 | $2,400,772 | $396 | As of December 31, 2018 |
Lauren Underwood | Democratic Party | $4,927,142 | $4,891,319 | $35,822 | As of December 31, 2018 |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2018. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
Satellite spending
Satellite spending, commonly referred to as outside spending, describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[6][7][8]
This section lists satellite spending in this race reported by news outlets in alphabetical order. If you are aware of spending that should be included, please email us.
- House Majority PAC announced a $900,000 television ad buy in support of Underwood on October 2, 2018.[9]
- Independence USA PAC reported spending $692,840.88 on a digital and television ad campaign opposing Hultgren and supporting Underwood on October 29, 2018.[10]
- A joint campaign by House Majority PAC, Priorities USA Action, and Women Vote! committed a combined $370,000 to a digital ad campaign opposed to Hultgren.[11]
- Women Vote! reported spending $32,000 on a mailer campaign opposed to Hultgren on October 9, 2018.[12]
Race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[13]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[14][15][16]
Race ratings: Illinois' 14th Congressional District election, 2018 | |||||||||
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Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
October 30, 2018 | October 23, 2018 | October 16, 2018 | October 9, 2018 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | Lean Republican | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Tilt Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every two weeks throughout the election season. |
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+5, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 5 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Illinois' 14th Congressional District the 191st most Republican nationally.[17]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.97. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.97 points toward that party.[18]
Noteworthy endorsements
This section lists noteworthy endorsements issued in this election, including those made by high-profile individuals and organizations, cross-party endorsements, and endorsements made by newspaper editorial boards. It also includes a bulleted list of links to official lists of endorsements for any candidates who published that information on their campaign websites. Please note that this list is not exhaustive. If you are aware of endorsements that should be included, please click here.
Click the links below to see endorsement lists published on candidate campaign websites, if available.
Noteworthy general election endorsements | ||||||
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Endorsement | Underwood (D) | Hultgren (R) | ||||
Newspapers and editorials | ||||||
The Chicago Sun-Times[19] | ✔ | |||||
The Daily Chronicle[20] | ✔ | |||||
The Daily Herald[21] | ✔ | |||||
The Herald-News[22] | ✔ | |||||
Elected officials | ||||||
Former President Barack Obama (D)[23] | ✔ | |||||
Former Vice President Joe Biden (D)[24] | ✔ |
Click here to see a list of endorsements in the March 20 Democratic primary | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Timeline
- November 4, 2018: A New York Times Upshot/Siena College poll found Underwood apparently leading Hultgren, with 49 percent support to Hultgren's 43 percent. The poll reported a margin of error of 5.0 percentage points.
- November 2, 2018: House Speaker Paul Ryan (R) made a campaign appearance alongside Hultgren in Spring Grove.
- October 31, 2018: Former Vice President Joe Biden (D) headlined a rally in support of Underwood.
- October 29, 2018: Independence USA PAC reported spending $690,000 on a digital and television ad campaign supporting Underwood and opposing Hultgren.
- October 26, 2018: The Daily Chronicle endorsed Hultgren.
- October 23, 2018: Hultgren and Underwood met for a debate in Yorkville.
- October 21, 2018: The Herald-News endorsed Hultgren.
- October 12, 2018: House Majority PAC, Priorities USA Action, and Women Vote! announced spending a combined $370,000 on a digital ad campaign opposed to Hultgren.
- October 9, 2018: Women Vote! reported spending $32,000 on a mailer campaign opposed to Hultgren.
- October 8, 2018: A New York Times/Siena College poll found Hultgren apparently leading Underwood with 47 percent support to Underwood's 43 percent. The poll reported a margin of error of 4.6 percentage points.
- October 2, 2018: The House Majority PAC reported spending $900,000 on a television ad buy supporting Underwood.
- September 11, 2018: The Hultgren campaign released an ad titled Chris.
- September 7, 2018: The Underwood campaign released an ad titled Lauren Underwood, R.N. for Congress.
Campaign advertisements
Randy Hultgren
Support
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Oppose
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Lauren Underwood
Support
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Oppose
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Noteworthy events
Paul Ryan campaign appearance
House Speaker Paul Ryan (R) made a campaign appearance alongside Hultgren in Spring Grove on November 2, 2018.[41]
Joe Biden campaign appearance
Former Vice President Joe Biden (D) made a campaign appearance alongside Underwood and 6th District candidate Sean Casten (D) at a rally in St. Charles on October 31, 2018.[42]
Hillary Clinton fundraiser
Former U.S. Secretary of State and 2016 presidential nominee Hillary Clinton (D) headlined a fundraiser to benefit five Democratic congressional candidates, including Underwood, in New York City on September 12, 2018. The other candidates supported by the fundraiser were Liuba Grechen Shirley (D), Gina Ortiz Jones (D), Haley Stevens (D), and Xochitl Torres Small (D).[43][44]
Debates and forums
- Hultgren and Underwood met for a debate in Yorkville sponsored by WSPY and the Kendall County Farm Bureau on October 23, 2018.[45] Click here for audio clips from the debate.
Campaign themes
Randy Hultgren
Hultgren's campaign website stated the following:
“ |
Defending Our Values Randy knows America was founded on the principle of religious liberty for all. He believes all Americans should be able to practice what they believe, regardless of faith, and has opposed any efforts by the federal government to pay for abortion-inducing drugs or procedures that violate their consciences. A thriving society celebrates and protects life at all stages.
Honoring Our Veterans
Maintaining Local Control of Education
Preserving Social Security & Medicare for Our Seniors
Securing the Border & Fixing Our Immigration System To properly fix the problems within our immigration system, Randy proposes we: 1. Secure the border by ensuring our law enforcement forces have the latest technologies and officers available. We must learn from the mistakes of neglecting to properly implement a biometric entry-exit system
|
” |
—Randy Hultgren for Congress[47] |
Lauren Underwood
Underwood's campaign website stated the following:
“ |
Reducing Gun Violence Education Environment I support expanded investment and deployment of renewable energy projects, investment in public transportation projects, and a fully funded and appropriately staffed Environmental Protection Agency with authority to regulate, monitor and enforce standards associated with the Clean Air Act, Clean Water Act and other safeguards to promote health, safety and our environment. Immigration and DACA We must take immediate action to provide all DACA recipients a pathway to citizenship through a clean Dream Act. We must take immediate action to pass comprehensive immigration reform, including re-evaluating which countries receive preferential immigration authority. Reproductive Freedom Foreign Policy and Protecting Our National Security |
” |
—Lauren Underwood for Congress[48] |
Social media
Twitter accounts
Tweets by Randy Hultgren Tweets by Lauren Underwood
Facebook accounts
Click the icons below to visit the candidates' Facebook pages.
Pivot Counties
- See also: Pivot Counties by state
Eleven of 102 Illinois counties—10.8 percent—are Pivot Counties. These are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.
Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008 | |||||||
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County | Trump margin of victory in 2016 | Obama margin of victory in 2012 | Obama margin of victory in 2008 | ||||
Alexander County, Illinois | 8.30% | 13.65% | 12.62% | ||||
Carroll County, Illinois | 26.69% | 1.49% | 4.81% | ||||
Fulton County, Illinois | 14.93% | 11.04% | 21.33% | ||||
Henderson County, Illinois | 28.43% | 12.25% | 17.67% | ||||
Henry County, Illinois | 20.99% | 3.08% | 7.74% | ||||
Jo Daviess County, Illinois | 14.64% | 1.16% | 10.49% | ||||
Knox County, Illinois | 2.91% | 17.37% | 19.89% | ||||
Mercer County, Illinois | 20.36% | 7.39% | 11.91% | ||||
Putnam County, Illinois | 19.92% | 1.82% | 15.64% | ||||
Warren County, Illinois | 16.50% | 5.47% | 8.08% | ||||
Whiteside County, Illinois | 6.18% | 17.02% | 17.56% |
In the 2016 presidential election, Hillary Clinton (D) won Illinois with 55.8 percent of the vote. Donald Trump (R) received 38.8 percent. In presidential elections between 1900 and 2016, Illinois voted Republican 50 percent of the time and Democratic 50 percent of the time. Illinois voted Democratic in all five elections from 2000 to 2016.
Presidential results by legislative district
The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Illinois. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[49][50]
In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 75 out of 118 state House districts in Illinois with an average margin of victory of 39.2 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 76 out of 118 state House districts in Illinois with an average margin of victory of 42.1 points. Clinton won 13 districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections. |
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 43 out of 118 state House districts in Illinois with an average margin of victory of 15 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 42 out of 118 state House districts in Illinois with an average margin of victory of 22.1 points. Trump won four districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections. |
2016 presidential results by state House district | |||||||
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District | Obama | Romney | 2012 Margin | Clinton | Trump | 2016 Margin | Party Control |
1 | 83.62% | 15.21% | D+68.4 | 82.32% | 14.37% | D+68 | D |
2 | 82.39% | 15.42% | D+67 | 80.05% | 14.65% | D+65.4 | D |
3 | 79.93% | 18.51% | D+61.4 | 79.31% | 17.11% | D+62.2 | D |
4 | 85.70% | 11.51% | D+74.2 | 86.74% | 8.01% | D+78.7 | D |
5 | 85.51% | 13.50% | D+72 | 86.81% | 9.67% | D+77.1 | D |
6 | 87.98% | 11.09% | D+76.9 | 85.82% | 10.82% | D+75 | D |
7 | 80.06% | 18.99% | D+61.1 | 80.62% | 15.84% | D+64.8 | D |
8 | 86.10% | 13.03% | D+73.1 | 85.11% | 11.52% | D+73.6 | D |
9 | 87.33% | 11.58% | D+75.8 | 87.72% | 8.52% | D+79.2 | D |
10 | 89.16% | 9.51% | D+79.7 | 89.44% | 6.93% | D+82.5 | D |
11 | 70.89% | 26.65% | D+44.2 | 80.64% | 13.16% | D+67.5 | D |
12 | 72.73% | 24.96% | D+47.8 | 81.23% | 13.31% | D+67.9 | D |
13 | 83.32% | 14.08% | D+69.2 | 85.26% | 10.09% | D+75.2 | D |
14 | 86.60% | 10.95% | D+75.7 | 86.67% | 8.59% | D+78.1 | D |
15 | 61.08% | 37.44% | D+23.6 | 63.15% | 32.35% | D+30.8 | D |
16 | 67.28% | 31.33% | D+36 | 70.19% | 26.06% | D+44.1 | D |
17 | 61.83% | 36.93% | D+24.9 | 69.97% | 25.22% | D+44.8 | D |
18 | 66.52% | 31.94% | D+34.6 | 76.28% | 18.12% | D+58.2 | D |
19 | 63.32% | 34.68% | D+28.6 | 60.22% | 34.98% | D+25.2 | D |
20 | 52.74% | 45.64% | D+7.1 | 51.65% | 43.61% | D+8 | R |
21 | 74.33% | 24.11% | D+50.2 | 74.36% | 21.32% | D+53 | D |
22 | 71.92% | 26.75% | D+45.2 | 72.11% | 24.01% | D+48.1 | D |
23 | 68.15% | 30.25% | D+37.9 | 68.21% | 27.01% | D+41.2 | D |
24 | 76.56% | 21.82% | D+54.7 | 78.51% | 17.01% | D+61.5 | D |
25 | 93.09% | 5.86% | D+87.2 | 91.45% | 5.66% | D+85.8 | D |
26 | 85.59% | 13.65% | D+71.9 | 86.53% | 10.16% | D+76.4 | D |
27 | 81.90% | 17.46% | D+64.4 | 79.07% | 18.14% | D+60.9 | D |
28 | 79.41% | 19.90% | D+59.5 | 75.46% | 21.59% | D+53.9 | D |
29 | 83.65% | 15.75% | D+67.9 | 81.69% | 15.87% | D+65.8 | D |
30 | 82.89% | 16.29% | D+66.6 | 79.99% | 16.71% | D+63.3 | D |
31 | 82.49% | 16.80% | D+65.7 | 77.74% | 19.39% | D+58.4 | D |
32 | 87.17% | 12.26% | D+74.9 | 82.32% | 15.18% | D+67.1 | D |
33 | 87.38% | 12.10% | D+75.3 | 85.39% | 12.24% | D+73.2 | D |
34 | 80.42% | 18.91% | D+61.5 | 76.17% | 21.23% | D+54.9 | D |
35 | 56.71% | 41.96% | D+14.8 | 53.87% | 41.66% | D+12.2 | D |
36 | 56.82% | 41.83% | D+15 | 56.15% | 39.16% | D+17 | D |
37 | 39.72% | 58.89% | R+19.2 | 39.49% | 55.32% | R+15.8 | R |
38 | 78.87% | 20.34% | D+58.5 | 76.44% | 20.51% | D+55.9 | D |
39 | 82.46% | 14.81% | D+67.7 | 82.71% | 12.52% | D+70.2 | D |
40 | 81.75% | 15.46% | D+66.3 | 82.84% | 11.67% | D+71.2 | D |
41 | 47.44% | 51.05% | R+3.6 | 55.32% | 38.20% | D+17.1 | R |
42 | 45.06% | 53.21% | R+8.2 | 51.28% | 41.48% | D+9.8 | R |
43 | 65.55% | 32.50% | D+33.1 | 65.81% | 28.61% | D+37.2 | D |
44 | 62.30% | 36.05% | D+26.3 | 62.48% | 32.17% | D+30.3 | D |
45 | 48.18% | 50.30% | R+2.1 | 48.39% | 46.46% | D+1.9 | R |
46 | 58.46% | 39.71% | D+18.8 | 59.07% | 35.26% | D+23.8 | D |
47 | 43.33% | 55.30% | R+12 | 51.72% | 41.63% | D+10.1 | R |
48 | 49.08% | 49.10% | R+0 | 55.13% | 37.66% | D+17.5 | R |
49 | 47.84% | 50.47% | R+2.6 | 52.14% | 40.94% | D+11.2 | R |
50 | 42.69% | 55.72% | R+13 | 44.59% | 48.88% | R+4.3 | R |
51 | 42.13% | 56.55% | R+14.4 | 50.03% | 43.68% | D+6.3 | R |
52 | 44.02% | 54.27% | R+10.3 | 45.31% | 48.09% | R+2.8 | R |
53 | 49.78% | 48.75% | D+1 | 55.58% | 38.54% | D+17 | R |
54 | 47.53% | 50.89% | R+3.4 | 53.16% | 40.31% | D+12.9 | R |
55 | 55.26% | 43.04% | D+12.2 | 57.50% | 37.06% | D+20.4 | D |
56 | 55.72% | 42.70% | D+13 | 56.72% | 37.77% | D+19 | D |
57 | 57.78% | 40.95% | D+16.8 | 61.54% | 33.50% | D+28 | D |
58 | 56.67% | 42.28% | D+14.4 | 67.90% | 27.15% | D+40.8 | D |
59 | 59.17% | 39.44% | D+19.7 | 64.53% | 30.30% | D+34.2 | D |
60 | 75.70% | 23.34% | D+52.4 | 75.53% | 20.08% | D+55.5 | D |
61 | 50.84% | 47.70% | D+3.1 | 51.76% | 42.09% | D+9.7 | R |
62 | 54.69% | 43.51% | D+11.2 | 55.13% | 38.21% | D+16.9 | D |
63 | 45.16% | 52.83% | R+7.7 | 40.55% | 52.68% | R+12.1 | R |
64 | 44.10% | 54.17% | R+10.1 | 41.29% | 52.51% | R+11.2 | R |
65 | 43.52% | 55.10% | R+11.6 | 46.78% | 47.37% | R+0.6 | R |
66 | 46.19% | 52.24% | R+6.1 | 46.91% | 46.96% | R+0.1 | R |
67 | 70.11% | 28.12% | D+42 | 64.34% | 30.36% | D+34 | D |
68 | 48.13% | 50.10% | R+2 | 44.36% | 49.75% | R+5.4 | R |
69 | 43.41% | 54.91% | R+11.5 | 38.97% | 55.13% | R+16.2 | R |
70 | 49.12% | 48.75% | D+0.4 | 46.09% | 46.77% | R+0.7 | R |
71 | 56.68% | 41.68% | D+15 | 43.93% | 50.00% | R+6.1 | R |
72 | 62.60% | 35.95% | D+26.7 | 53.78% | 40.19% | D+13.6 | D |
73 | 37.57% | 60.78% | R+23.2 | 34.45% | 59.10% | R+24.7 | R |
74 | 50.34% | 47.90% | D+2.4 | 37.36% | 56.41% | R+19.1 | R |
75 | 43.44% | 54.51% | R+11.1 | 36.58% | 57.17% | R+20.6 | R |
76 | 52.08% | 46.00% | D+6.1 | 42.52% | 51.68% | R+9.2 | R |
77 | 64.97% | 33.66% | D+31.3 | 64.89% | 30.98% | D+33.9 | D |
78 | 80.57% | 18.10% | D+62.5 | 80.12% | 15.92% | D+64.2 | D |
79 | 48.61% | 49.64% | R+1 | 41.25% | 53.07% | R+11.8 | R |
80 | 66.23% | 32.75% | D+33.5 | 64.99% | 31.42% | D+33.6 | D |
81 | 49.98% | 48.31% | D+1.7 | 54.80% | 38.55% | D+16.3 | R |
82 | 41.03% | 57.68% | R+16.7 | 43.86% | 50.67% | R+6.8 | R |
83 | 69.12% | 29.20% | D+39.9 | 69.54% | 24.80% | D+44.7 | D |
84 | 59.63% | 38.93% | D+20.7 | 63.03% | 31.19% | D+31.8 | D |
85 | 63.64% | 34.81% | D+28.8 | 60.90% | 33.45% | D+27.5 | D |
86 | 65.21% | 33.17% | D+32 | 61.15% | 34.04% | D+27.1 | D |
87 | 36.99% | 60.88% | R+23.9 | 30.62% | 63.34% | R+32.7 | R |
88 | 40.02% | 57.84% | R+17.8 | 38.41% | 54.54% | R+16.1 | R |
89 | 45.79% | 52.18% | R+6.4 | 35.99% | 57.98% | R+22 | R |
90 | 42.91% | 55.12% | R+12.2 | 36.05% | 57.26% | R+21.2 | R |
91 | 50.46% | 47.13% | D+3.3 | 37.74% | 55.81% | R+18.1 | R |
92 | 63.44% | 34.67% | D+28.8 | 59.86% | 34.18% | D+25.7 | D |
93 | 49.27% | 48.45% | D+0.8 | 36.82% | 57.40% | R+20.6 | R |
94 | 37.54% | 60.67% | R+23.1 | 26.64% | 68.63% | R+42 | R |
95 | 42.49% | 54.95% | R+12.5 | 28.84% | 65.74% | R+36.9 | R |
96 | 58.74% | 39.47% | D+19.3 | 50.73% | 44.13% | D+6.6 | D |
97 | 46.85% | 51.64% | R+4.8 | 47.31% | 46.94% | D+0.4 | R |
98 | 59.53% | 39.10% | D+20.4 | 58.02% | 36.87% | D+21.2 | D |
99 | 41.40% | 56.65% | R+15.3 | 41.34% | 52.43% | R+11.1 | R |
100 | 37.26% | 60.42% | R+23.2 | 25.75% | 69.57% | R+43.8 | R |
101 | 33.91% | 64.22% | R+30.3 | 28.70% | 65.31% | R+36.6 | R |
102 | 33.32% | 64.74% | R+31.4 | 26.87% | 67.69% | R+40.8 | R |
103 | 67.85% | 28.35% | D+39.5 | 71.56% | 20.92% | D+50.6 | D |
104 | 46.02% | 52.10% | R+6.1 | 42.48% | 52.16% | R+9.7 | R |
105 | 41.33% | 56.81% | R+15.5 | 45.19% | 47.11% | R+1.9 | R |
106 | 29.26% | 68.84% | R+39.6 | 22.90% | 71.51% | R+48.6 | R |
107 | 34.01% | 64.10% | R+30.1 | 22.81% | 72.62% | R+49.8 | R |
108 | 34.28% | 63.51% | R+29.2 | 26.75% | 67.49% | R+40.7 | R |
109 | 27.23% | 70.75% | R+43.5 | 17.21% | 79.13% | R+61.9 | R |
110 | 37.75% | 60.20% | R+22.5 | 27.66% | 67.10% | R+39.4 | R |
111 | 51.31% | 46.13% | D+5.2 | 39.05% | 55.40% | R+16.4 | D |
112 | 48.97% | 48.87% | D+0.1 | 44.35% | 49.85% | R+5.5 | D |
113 | 58.59% | 39.41% | D+19.2 | 53.73% | 41.03% | D+12.7 | D |
114 | 63.89% | 34.84% | D+29.1 | 57.60% | 38.35% | D+19.3 | D |
115 | 43.13% | 53.93% | R+10.8 | 33.20% | 61.29% | R+28.1 | R |
116 | 41.16% | 56.77% | R+15.6 | 29.39% | 66.21% | R+36.8 | D |
117 | 37.92% | 59.99% | R+22.1 | 26.42% | 69.38% | R+43 | R |
118 | 39.86% | 58.03% | R+18.2 | 28.44% | 67.59% | R+39.2 | D |
Total | 57.61% | 40.74% | D+16.9 | 55.96% | 38.85% | D+17.1 | - |
Source: Daily Kos |
District history
2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Randy Hultgren (R) defeated Jim Walz (D) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Hultgren ran unopposed in the Republican primary on March 15, 2016, while Walz defeated John Hosta and Jesse Maggitt to win the Democratic nomination.[51][52]
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
59.3% | 200,508 | |
Democratic | Jim Walz | 40.7% | 137,589 | |
Total Votes | 338,097 | |||
Source: Illinois State Board of Elections |
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() |
42.7% | 27,706 | ||
John Hosta | 38.3% | 24,866 | ||
Jesse Maggitt | 19% | 12,311 | ||
Total Votes | 64,883 | |||
Source: Illinois State Board of Elections |
2014
The 14th Congressional District of Illinois held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Randy Hultgren (R) defeated Dennis Anderson (D) in the general election.
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
65.4% | 145,369 | |
Democratic | Dennis Anderson | 34.6% | 76,861 | |
Total Votes | 222,230 | |||
Source: Illinois State Board of Elections Official Results |
State overview
Partisan control
This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in Illinois heading into the 2018 elections.
Congressional delegation
- Following the 2016 elections, Democrats held both U.S. Senate seats in Illinois.
- Democrats held 11 of 18 U.S. House seats in Illinois.
State executives
- As of May 2018, Democrats held four of 7 state executive positions, Republicans held two, and the remaining position was officially nonpartisan.
- The governor of Illinois was Republican Bruce Rauner. The state held elections for governor and lieutenant governor on November 6, 2018.
State legislature
- Democrats controlled both chambers of the Illinois General Assembly. They had a 67-51 majority in the state House and a 37-22 majority in the state Senate.
Trifecta status
- Illinois was under divided government, meaning that the two parties shared control of the state government. Bruce Rauner (R) served as governor, while Democrats controlled the state legislature.
2018 elections
- See also: Illinois elections, 2018
Illinois held elections for the following positions in 2018:
- 18 U.S. House seats
- Governor and lieutenant governor
- Four lower state executive positions
- 39 of 59 state Senate seats
- 118 state House seats
- Municipal elections in Cook County
Demographics
Demographic data for Illinois | ||
---|---|---|
Illinois | U.S. | |
Total population: | 12,839,047 | 316,515,021 |
Land area (sq mi): | 55,519 | 3,531,905 |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White: | 72.3% | 73.6% |
Black/African American: | 14.3% | 12.6% |
Asian: | 5% | 5.1% |
Native American: | 0.2% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander: | 0% | 0.2% |
Two or more: | 2.2% | 3% |
Hispanic/Latino: | 16.5% | 17.1% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate: | 87.9% | 86.7% |
College graduation rate: | 32.3% | 29.8% |
Income | ||
Median household income: | $57,574 | $53,889 |
Persons below poverty level: | 16.8% | 11.3% |
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Illinois. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. |
As of July 2016, Illinois' three largest cities were Chicago (pop. est. 2.7 million), Aurora (pop. est. 200,000), and Joliet (pop. est. 150,000).[53][54]
State election history
This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Illinois from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the Illinois State Board of Elections.
Historical elections
Presidential elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Illinois every year from 2000 to 2016.
Election results (President of the United States), Illinois 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2016 | ![]() |
55.8% | ![]() |
38.8% | 17.0% |
2012 | ![]() |
57.6% | ![]() |
40.7% | 16.9% |
2008 | ![]() |
61.9% | ![]() |
36.8% | 25.1% |
2004 | ![]() |
54.8% | ![]() |
44.5% | 10.3% |
2000 | ![]() |
54.6% | ![]() |
42.6% | 12.0% |
U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in Illinois from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.
Election results (U.S. Senator), Illinois 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2016 | ![]() |
54.9% | ![]() |
39.8% | 15.1% |
2014 | ![]() |
53.5% | ![]() |
42.7% | 10.8% |
2010 | ![]() |
48.0% | ![]() |
46.4% | 1.6% |
2008 | ![]() |
67.8% | ![]() |
28.5% | 39.3% |
2004 | ![]() |
70.0% | ![]() |
27.0% | 43.0% |
2002 | ![]() |
60.3% | ![]() |
38.0% | 22.3% |
Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Illinois.
Election results (Governor), Illinois 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2014 | ![]() |
50.3% | ![]() |
46.3% | 4.0% |
2010 | ![]() |
46.8% | ![]() |
45.9% | 0.9% |
2006 | ![]() |
49.8% | ![]() |
39.3% | 10.5% |
2002 | ![]() |
52.2% | ![]() |
45.1% | 7.1% |
Congressional delegation, 2000-2016
This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Illinois in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.
Trifectas, 1992-2017
A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.
Illinois Party Control: 1992-2025
Nineteen years of Democratic trifectas • Two years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Senate | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
House | D | D | D | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
See also
- Illinois' 14th Congressional District election (March 20, 2018 Democratic primary)
- Illinois' 14th Congressional District election (March 20, 2018 Republican primary)
- United States House of Representatives elections in Illinois, 2018
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2018
Footnotes
- ↑ DCCC, "House Democrats Playing Offense," January 30, 2017
- ↑ Randy Hultgren for Congress, "Hultgren Officially Announces Re-Election," November 30, 2017
- ↑ Randy Hultgren for Congress, "Hultgren's first TV ad is unusual and emotional," September 13, 2018
- ↑ YouTube, "Lauren Underwood, R.N. for Congress," September 7, 2018
- ↑ Lauren Underwood for Congress, "Values," accessed September 28, 2018
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed September 22, 2015
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed September 22, 2015
- ↑ National Review.com, "Why the Media Hate Super PACs," November 6, 2015
- ↑ [https://twitter.com/Ad_Analytics/status/1047236288158547969 Twitter, "Advertising Analytics," accessed October 4, 2018]
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Independent Expenditures - Independence USA PAC," accessed November 1, 2018
- ↑ The House Majority PAC, "WOMEN VOTE!, HMP, and Priorities USA Action Announce Digital Campaign in IL-14," October 12, 2018
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Independent Expenditures - Women Vote!" accessed October 12, 2018
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
- ↑ Chicago Sun-Times, "ENDORSEMENT: Lauren Underwood for Congress in the 14th District," October 7, 2018
- ↑ Daily Chronicle, "Our View: Randy Hultgren in 14th Congressional District," October 26, 2018
- ↑ Daily Herald, "Endorsement: Daily Herald recommends Underwood over Hultgren in 14th Congressional District," October 8, 2018
- ↑ The Herald-News, "Our View: Endorsement, 14th Congressional District: Randy Hultgren," October 21, 2018
- ↑ Underwood for Congress, "Big News: President Obama is With Us!" August 2, 2018
- ↑ Naperville Patch, "Joe Biden Endorses Underwood For District 14," September 26, 2018
- ↑ Underwood for Congress, "Congresswoman Robin Kelly Endorses Lauren Underwood for IL-14 ," January 30, 2018
- ↑ Chicago Tribune, "Morning Spin: Preckwinkle won't face a primary challenge from pop tax opponent Boykin," September 28, 2017
- ↑ Kane County Chronicle, "Brolley makes 14th District run official," June 29, 2017
- ↑ Jim Walz for Congress, "State Senator Terry Link (IL-30) Endorses Jim Walz For U.S. Congress To Represent Illinois 14th Congressional District," September 15, 2017
- ↑ 29.0 29.1 Brolley for Congress, "Brolley Announces 11 Local Endorsements," August 8, 2017
- ↑ Jim Walz for Congress, "WILL COUNTY PROGRESSIVES ENDORSE JIM WALZ FOR CONGRESS," February 5, 2018
- ↑ Jim Walz for Congress, "DEKALB AREA PROGRESSIVES ENDORSE JIM WALZ FOR CONGRESS," February 3, 2018
- ↑ Politico, "Super PAC says GOP must sell tax reform," January 25, 2018
- ↑ Facebook, "Brolley for Congress," January 22, 2018
- ↑ Facebook, "Brolley for Congress," January 11, 2018
- ↑ Lauren Underwood for Congress, "The Collective PAC Endorses Lauren Underwood among Historic Group of Local, Statewide & Federal Candidates," October 12, 2017
- ↑ Underwood for Congress, "Naperville Women's March Action Endorses Lauren Underwood for Congress," September 30, 2017
- ↑ Underwood for Congress, "Senator Kirsten Gillibrand's Off the Sidelines PAC stands with Lauren Underwood," September 25, 2017
- ↑ Jim Walz for Congress, "Endorsement From Our Revolution Illinois Berniecrats," June 28, 2017
- ↑ 39.0 39.1 Chicago Tribune, "Our final U.S. House endorsements," February 20, 2018 Cite error: Invalid
<ref>
tag; name "Herald" defined multiple times with different content - ↑ The Chicago Sun-Times, "ENDORSEMENT: Matt Brolley for Congress in 14th District Democratic Primary," February 14, 2018
- ↑ Chicago Tribune, "Speaker Paul Ryan in Chicago suburbs today in final push for Republican candidates," November 2, 2018
- ↑ Chicago Tribune, "Ex-Vice President Joe Biden campaigns for Democrat Lauren Underwood in heated 14th Congressional District race," October 31, 2018
- ↑ Chicago Tribune, "Hillary Clinton to help Democrat Lauren Underwood, other women, with New York City fundraiser," September 11, 2018
- ↑ Newsday, "Hillary Clinton headlines fundraiser for Liuba Grechen Shirley, other candidates," September 12, 2018
- ↑ Chicago Tribune, "Rep. Randy Hultgren, Lauren Underwood spar over pre-existing condition protections in health care law," October 24, 2018
- ↑ 46.0 46.1 Note: This text is quoted verbatim from the original source. Any inconsistencies are attributable to the original source.
- ↑ Randy Hultgren for Congress, "Issues," accessed September 25, 2018
- ↑ Lauren Underwood for Congress, "Issues," accessed September 25, 2018
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
- ↑ Illinois State Board of Elections, "Candidate List," accessed November 30, 2015
- ↑ The New York Times, "Illinois Primary Results," March 15, 2016
- ↑ Illinois Demographics, "Illinois Cities by Population," accessed December 11, 2017
- ↑ U.S. Census Bureau, "Quickfacts Illinois," accessed December 11, 2017