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Arizona's 1st Congressional District election, 2020
- Election date: Nov. 3
- Registration deadline(s): Oct. 15
- Online registration: Yes
- Same-day registration: No
- Recount laws
- Early voting starts: Oct. 7
- Absentee/mail voting deadline(s): Nov. 3 (received)
- Processing, counting, and challenging absentee/mail-in ballots
- Voter ID: Non-photo ID
- Poll times: 6 a.m. to 7 p.m.
2022 →
← 2018
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| Arizona's 1st Congressional District |
|---|
 |
| Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
| Election details |
| Filing deadline: April 6, 2020 |
| Primary: August 4, 2020 General: November 3, 2020 Pre-election incumbent: Tom O'Halleran (Democrat) |
| How to vote |
| Poll times: 6 a.m. to 7 p.m. Voting in Arizona |
| Race ratings |
Inside Elections: Likely Democratic Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely Democratic |
| Ballotpedia analysis |
| U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020 |
| See also |
1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th Arizona elections, 2020 U.S. Congress elections, 2020 U.S. Senate elections, 2020 U.S. House elections, 2020 |
All U.S. congressional districts, including the 1st Congressional District of Arizona, held elections in 2020.
The primary was held on August 4, 2020. In the Democratic primary, incumbent Tom O'Halleran defeated challenger Eva Putzova. O'Halleran received 59% of the vote to Putzova's 41%. In the Republican primary, Tiffany Shedd defeated Nolan Reidhead, winning 54% of the vote to Reidhead's 46%.
Incumbent Tom O'Halleran defeated Tiffany Shedd in the general election for U.S. House Arizona District 1 on November 3, 2020.
| Candidate filing deadline | Primary election | General election |
|---|---|---|
Incumbent Tom O'Halleran (D) ran for re-election. He was first elected in 2016 after running for the seat left open by Ann Kirkpatrick (D). In 2018, he defeated challenger Wendy Rogers (R), receiving 54% of the vote to Rogers' 46%.
O'Halleran was one of thirty Democratic members of Congress representing a district that voted for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. During the presidential election, Trump received 48 percent of the vote to Hillary Clinton's (D) 47 percent in the 1st District.[1]
The 1st District stretches along the eastern and northeastern portions of the state and includes Apache, Coconino, Graham, Greenlee, and Navajo counties. Portions of Gila, Maricopa, Mohave, Pima, Pinal, and Yavapai counties are also included in the district.[2]
This race was one of 89 congressional races that were decided by 10 percent or less in 2020.
For more information about the Republican primary, click here.
For more information about the Democratic primary, click here.
Post-election analysis
The table below compares the vote totals in the 2020 presidential election and 2020 U.S. House election for this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
| Presidential and congressional election results, Arizona's 1st Congressional District, 2020 | ||
|---|---|---|
| Race | Presidential | U.S. House |
| Democratic candidate |
50.1 | 51.6 |
| Republican candidate |
48.4 | 48.4 |
| Difference | 1.7 | 3.2 |
Election procedure changes in 2020
Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.
Arizona modified its voter registration procedures for the November 3, 2020, general election as follows:
- Voter registration: Voters had until 5:00 p.m. on October 15, 2020, to register to vote.
For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House Arizona District 1
Incumbent Tom O'Halleran defeated Tiffany Shedd in the general election for U.S. House Arizona District 1 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ |  | Tom O'Halleran (D) | 51.6 | 188,469 |
 | Tiffany Shedd (R) | 48.4 | 176,709 | |
| Total votes: 365,178 | |||
 = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 1
Incumbent Tom O'Halleran defeated Eva Putzova in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 1 on August 4, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Tom O'Halleran | 58.6 | 47,083 |
 | Eva Putzova | 41.4 | 33,248 | |
| Total votes: 80,331 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Larry Williams (D)
- Barbara McGuire (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 1
Tiffany Shedd defeated Nolan Reidhead in the Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 1 on August 4, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Tiffany Shedd | 54.7 | 40,310 |
 | Nolan Reidhead | 45.3 | 33,418 | |
| Total votes: 73,728 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Juan Smith (R)
- Chris Taylor (R)
- Doyel Shamley (R)
- John W. Moore (R)
Campaign finance
This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[3] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[4] The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.
| Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom O'Halleran | Democratic Party | $3,416,902 | $3,359,687 | $63,147 | As of December 31, 2020 |
| Tiffany Shedd | Republican Party | $1,715,148 | $1,655,235 | $63,347 | As of December 31, 2020 |
|
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2020. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
|||||
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+2, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 2 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Arizona's 1st Congressional District the 218th most Republican nationally.[5]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.05. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.05 points toward that party.[6]
Race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[7]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[8][9][10]
| Race ratings: Arizona's 1st Congressional District election, 2020 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
| November 3, 2020 | October 27, 2020 | October 20, 2020 | October 13, 2020 | ||||||
| The Cook Political Report | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | |||||
| Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Likely Democratic | Likely Democratic | Likely Democratic | Likely Democratic | |||||
| Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Likely Democratic | Likely Democratic | Likely Democratic | Likely Democratic | |||||
| Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season. | |||||||||
District represented by a Democrat in 2020 and won by Donald Trump in 2016
This district was one of 30 Democratic-held U.S. House districts up in 2020 that Donald Trump (R) won in the 2016 presidential election. Most were expected to be among the House's most competitive elections in 2020.
| 2020 Democratic-held U.S. House districts won by Donald Trump in 2016 | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| District | Incumbent | Ran in 2020? | 2018 congressional margin | 2016 presidential margin | 2012 presidential margin | ||||||||
| Arizona's 1st | Tom O'Halleran |
Yes | Democrats+7.7 | Trump+1.1 | Romney+2.5 | ||||||||
| Georgia's 6th | Lucy McBath |
Yes | Democrats+1.0 | Trump+1.5 | Romney+23.3 | ||||||||
| Illinois' 14th | Lauren Underwood |
Yes | Democrats+5.0 | Trump+3.9 | Romney+10 | ||||||||
| Illinois' 17th | Cheri Bustos |
Yes | Democrats+24.2 | Trump+0.7 | Obama+17 | ||||||||
| Iowa's 1st | Abby Finkenauer |
Yes | Democrats+5.1 | Trump+3.5 | Obama+13.7 | ||||||||
| Iowa's 2nd | Dave Loebsack |
Retired | Democrats+5.2 | Trump+4.1 | Obama+13.1 | ||||||||
| Iowa's 3rd | Cindy Axne |
Yes | Democrats+2.2 | Trump+3.5 | Obama+4.2 | ||||||||
| Maine's 2nd | Jared Golden |
Yes | Democrats+1.3 | Trump+10.3 | Obama+8.6 | ||||||||
| Michigan's 8th | Elissa Slotkin |
Yes | Democrats+3.8 | Trump+6.7 | Romney+3.1 | ||||||||
| Michigan's 11th | Haley Stevens |
Yes | Democrats+6.7 | Trump+4.4 | Romney+5.4 | ||||||||
| Minnesota's 2nd | Angie Craig |
Yes | Democrats+5.5 | Trump+1.2 | Obama+0.1 | ||||||||
| Minnesota's 7th | Collin Peterson |
Yes | Democrats+4.3 | Trump+30.8 | Romney+9.8 | ||||||||
| Nevada's 3rd | Susie Lee |
Yes | Democrats+9.1 | Trump+1.0 | Obama+0.8 | ||||||||
| New Hampshire's 1st | Chris Pappas |
Yes | Democrats+8.6 | Trump+1.6 | Obama+1.6 | ||||||||
| New Jersey's 3rd | Andrew Kim |
Yes | Democrats+1.3 | Trump+6.2 | Obama+4.6 | ||||||||
| New Jersey's 5th | Josh Gottheimer |
Yes | Democrats+13.7 | Trump+1.1 | Romney+3.0 | ||||||||
| New Jersey's 11th | Mikie Sherrill |
Yes | Democrats+14.6 | Trump+0.9 | Romney+5.8 | ||||||||
| New Mexico's 2nd | Xochitl Torres Small |
Yes | Democrats+1.9 | Trump+10.2 | Romney+6.8 | ||||||||
| New York's 11th | Max Rose |
Yes | Democrats+6.5 | Trump+9.8 | Obama+4.3 | ||||||||
| New York's 18th | Sean Maloney |
Yes | Democrats+10.9 | Trump+1.9 | Obama+4.3 | ||||||||
| New York's 19th | Antonio Delgado |
Yes | Democrats+5.2 | Trump+6.8 | Obama+6.2 | ||||||||
| New York's 22nd | Anthony Brindisi |
Yes | Democrats+1.8 | Trump+15.5 | Romney+0.4 | ||||||||
| Oklahoma's 5th | Kendra Horn |
Yes | Democrats+1.4 | Trump+13.4 | Romney+18.4 | ||||||||
| Pennsylvania's 8th | Matt Cartwright |
Yes | Democrats+9.3 | Trump+9.6 | Obama+11.9 | ||||||||
| Pennsylvania's 17th | Conor Lamb |
Yes | Democrats+12.5 | Trump+2.6 | Romney+4.5 | ||||||||
| South Carolina's 1st | Joe Cunningham |
Yes | Democrats+1.4 | Trump+13.1 | Romney+18.1 | ||||||||
| Utah's 4th | Ben McAdams |
Yes | Democrats+0.3 | Trump+6.7 | Romney+37.0 | ||||||||
| Virginia's 2nd | Elaine Luria |
Yes | Democrats+2.2 | Trump+3.4 | Romney+2.3 | ||||||||
| Virginia's 7th | Abigail Spanberger |
Yes | Democrats+1.9 | Trump+6.5 | Romney+10.5 | ||||||||
| Wisconsin's 3rd | Ron Kind |
Yes | Democrats+19.3 | Trump+4.5 | Obama+11 | ||||||||
| Source: Sabato's Crystal Ball and Daily Kos | |||||||||||||
Click here to see the five U.S. House districts represented by a Republican in 2020 and won by Hillary Clinton in 2016.
District election history
2018
General election
General election for U.S. House Arizona District 1
Incumbent Tom O'Halleran defeated Wendy Rogers in the general election for U.S. House Arizona District 1 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Tom O'Halleran (D) | 53.8 | 143,240 |
 | Wendy Rogers (R) | 46.1 | 122,784 | |
| Other/Write-in votes | 0.0 | 65 | ||
| Total votes: 266,089 (100.00% precincts reporting) | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 1
Incumbent Tom O'Halleran advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 1 on August 28, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Tom O'Halleran | 100.0 | 64,114 |
| Total votes: 64,114 (100.00% precincts reporting) | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Miguel Olivas (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 1
Wendy Rogers defeated Steve Smith and Tiffany Shedd in the Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 1 on August 28, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Wendy Rogers | 43.7 | 30,180 |
 | Steve Smith | 37.0 | 25,552 | |
| Tiffany Shedd | 19.2 | 13,260 | |
| Total votes: 68,992 (100.00% precincts reporting) | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Kevin Cavanaugh (R)
Green primary election
No Green candidates ran in the primary.
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Ray Parrish (G)
2016
Arizona's 1st Congressional District was a battleground district in 2016. Incumbent Ann Kirkpatrick (D) chose not to seek re-election to pursue a U.S. Senate bid. Tom O'Halleran (D) defeated Paul Babeu (R), Kim Allen (L write-in), and Ray Parrish (G) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Babeu defeated Ken Bennett, Gary Kiehne, Wendy Rogers, Shawn Redd, and David Gowan in the Republican primary, while O'Halleran defeated Miguel Olivas to win the Democratic nomination. The primary elections took place on August 30, 2016.[11][12][13][14][15][16][17][18][19][20]
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic |  Tom O'Halleran |
50.7% | 142,219 | |
| Republican | Paul Babeu | 43.4% | 121,745 | |
| Green | Ray Parrish | 6% | 16,746 | |
| Total Votes | 280,710 | |||
| Source: Arizona Secretary of State | ||||
| Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Paul Babeu |
30.8% | 19,533 | ||
| Gary Kiehne | 23.4% | 14,854 | ||
| Wendy Rogers | 22.4% | 14,222 | ||
| Ken Bennett | 16.7% | 10,578 | ||
| Shawn Redd | 3.3% | 2,098 | ||
| David Gowan | 3.3% | 2,091 | ||
| Total Votes | 63,376 | |||
| Source: Arizona Secretary of State |
||||
| Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Tom O'Halleran |
58.8% | 30,833 | ||
| Miguel Olivas | 41.2% | 21,632 | ||
| Total Votes | 52,465 | |||
| Source: Arizona Secretary of State |
||||
2014
Arizona's 1st Congressional District was a battleground district in 2014 due to the fact that the seat was held by a Democrat, but the district had a slight Republican lean. Incumbent Ann Kirkpatrick faced no challenger in the Democratic primary. In the Republican primary, Andy Tobin triumphed over Gary Kiehne and Adam Kwasman. The race between Tobin and Kiehne remained too close to call for over a week following the primary. In the end, Tobin won by 0.7 percent of the vote. Kirkpatrick ultimately defeated Tobin in the general election on November 4, 2014.[21][22][23]
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Ann Kirkpatrick Incumbent |
52.6% | 97,391 | |
| Republican | Andy Tobin | 47.4% | 87,723 | |
| Total Votes | 185,114 | |||
| Source: Arizona Secretary of State | ||||
Pivot Counties
- See also: Pivot Counties by state
Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states. No counties in Arizona are Pivot Counties.
Donald Trump (R) defeated Hillary Clinton (D) in the 2016 presidential election. Trump won 48.7 percent of the vote, while Clinton won 45.1 percent. Arizona was one of 12 key battleground states in 2016. Of the 30 states won by Trump in 2016, Arizona had the fifth closest margin. From when it became a state in 1912 to 2016, Arizona voted Republican in 66.7 percent of presidential elections. It voted Republican in all presidential elections from 2000 to 2016.
Presidential results by legislative district
The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Arizona. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[24][25]
| In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 12 out of 30 state House districts in Arizona with an average margin of victory of 25 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 14 out of 30 state House districts in Arizona with an average margin of victory of 27.5 points. Clinton won two districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections. |
| In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 18 out of 30 state House districts in Arizona with an average margin of victory of 22.9 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 16 out of 30 state House districts in Arizona with an average margin of victory of 21.5 points. |
| 2016 presidential results by state House district | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| District | Obama | Romney | 2012 Margin | Clinton | Trump | 2016 Margin | Party Control |
| 1 | 30.1% | 68.2% | R+38.2 | 28.6% | 66.9% | R+38.3 | R |
| 2 | 57.2% | 41.6% | D+15.7 | 59.4% | 36.1% | D+23.2 | D |
| 3 | 70.0% | 28.1% | D+41.9 | 70.2% | 24.4% | D+45.8 | D |
| 4 | 54.3% | 44.2% | D+10.2 | 56.8% | 38.2% | D+18.7 | D |
| 5 | 28.1% | 70.0% | R+41.9 | 22.2% | 73.5% | R+51.3 | R |
| 6 | 42.2% | 55.6% | R+13.4 | 41.7% | 52.1% | R+10.4 | R |
| 7 | 63.2% | 35.4% | D+27.8 | 59.8% | 34.1% | D+25.7 | D |
| 8 | 44.7% | 53.5% | R+8.8 | 40.2% | 54.6% | R+14.4 | R |
| 9 | 53.4% | 44.9% | D+8.4 | 56.8% | 37.9% | D+18.9 | D |
| 10 | 51.8% | 46.5% | D+5.4 | 52.9% | 41.6% | D+11.4 | D |
| 11 | 39.7% | 59.0% | R+19.3 | 40.6% | 54.5% | R+13.9 | R |
| 12 | 32.5% | 65.9% | R+33.4 | 34.8% | 59.3% | R+24.5 | R |
| 13 | 33.5% | 65.1% | R+31.6 | 34.1% | 61.1% | R+27 | R |
| 14 | 35.7% | 62.5% | R+26.8 | 33.6% | 59.9% | R+26.2 | R |
| 15 | 36.4% | 61.9% | R+25.4 | 39.1% | 55.7% | R+16.6 | R |
| 16 | 35.0% | 63.1% | R+28.1 | 32.9% | 61.3% | R+28.4 | R |
| 17 | 42.1% | 56.2% | R+14.2 | 45.1% | 49.2% | R+4.1 | R |
| 18 | 48.1% | 50.0% | R+1.9 | 51.9% | 41.5% | D+10.4 | R |
| 19 | 66.4% | 32.1% | D+34.3 | 67.4% | 27.2% | D+40.3 | D |
| 20 | 42.4% | 55.3% | R+12.9 | 42.7% | 50.7% | R+8 | R |
| 21 | 40.6% | 58.0% | R+17.4 | 39.8% | 55.0% | R+15.2 | R |
| 22 | 33.4% | 65.4% | R+31.9 | 33.7% | 62.1% | R+28.4 | R |
| 23 | 35.9% | 62.9% | R+26.9 | 41.2% | 54.6% | R+13.3 | R |
| 24 | 63.2% | 34.4% | D+28.8 | 65.9% | 27.7% | D+38.3 | D |
| 25 | 33.1% | 65.1% | R+31.9 | 35.1% | 58.7% | R+23.6 | R |
| 26 | 58.3% | 38.5% | D+19.8 | 59.4% | 31.9% | D+27.5 | D |
| 27 | 75.2% | 23.2% | D+52 | 74.1% | 20.6% | D+53.5 | D |
| 28 | 44.6% | 53.6% | R+9 | 49.9% | 44.6% | D+5.3 | R |
| 29 | 64.7% | 33.6% | D+31.1 | 65.0% | 29.3% | D+35.7 | D |
| 30 | 61.3% | 36.7% | D+24.7 | 62.2% | 31.7% | D+30.5 | D |
| Total | 44.6% | 53.7% | R+9.1 | 45.5% | 49.0% | R+3.6 | - |
| Source: Daily Kos | |||||||
See also
- United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona, 2020
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2020
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Daily Kos, ""Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2016, 2012, and 2008,"" accessed June 24, 2020
- ↑ United States Census Bureau, "Counties by Congressional Districts," accessed June 8, 2016
- ↑ Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Azcentral, "Tom O’Halleran running for Congress as Democrat," August 4, 2015
- ↑ Casa Grande Dispatch, "Coolidge man makes another run for Congress," November 28, 2015
- ↑ WMIcentral.com, "White Mountains’ James Maloney announces bid for Congress," December 14, 2015
- ↑ Southern Arizona News-Examiner, "Republican Gary Kiehne will run again in 2016 for CD1," February 11, 2015
- ↑ Azcentral, "Bennett to run for Congress in 1st District," July 13, 2015
- ↑ Roll Call, "Arizona Sheriff Babeu Enters Race for Kirkpatrick’s Seat," October 5, 2015
- ↑ Azcentral, "Wendy Rogers launches third bid for Congress," January 13, 2016
- ↑ Arizona Secretary of State, "2016 Primary Candidates," accessed June 2, 2016
- ↑ Politico, " Arizona House Primaries Results," August 30, 2016
- ↑ CNN, "Election Results," accessed November 8, 2016
- ↑ Politico, "2014 Arizona House Primaries Results," accessed August 27, 2014
- ↑ KTAR, "Andy Tobin wins Arizona's 1st Congressional District GOP primary," September 2, 2014
- ↑ The Huffington Post, "Election 2014," November 4, 2014
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
