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Florida's 1st Congressional District elections, 2012
2014 →
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November 6, 2012 |
August 14, 2012 |
Jeff Miller  |
Jeff Miller |
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The 1st Congressional District of Florida held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012.
Jeff Miller won re-election on November 6, 2012.[1]
| Candidate Filing Deadline | Primary Election | General Election |
|---|---|---|
Primary: Florida was one of 21 states to use a closed primary system.
Voter registration: Voters were required to register to vote in the primary by July 16, 2012, which was 29 days before the primary took place.[2] (Information about registering to vote)
- See also: Florida elections, 2012
Incumbent: Heading into the election the incumbent was Jeff Miller (R), who assumed office in 2001 in a special election to replace Joe Scarborough.
This was the first election using district maps based on data from the 2010 Census. Florida's 1st Congressional District covered the state's western panhandle. It included Escambia, Santa Rosa, Okaloosa, Walton, and part of Holmes counties.[3]
Candidates
General election candidates
Jim Bryan- Jeff Miller
Calen Fretts
William Drummond II (Write In Candidate)
August 14, 2012, primary results
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Election results
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jeff Miller Incumbent |
69.6% | 238,440 | |
| Democratic | James Bryan | 27.1% | 92,961 | |
| Libertarian | Calen Fretts | 3.3% | 11,176 | |
| Write-In | William Drummond II | 0% | 17 | |
| Total Votes | 342,594 | |||
| Source: Florida Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election" | ||||
Race background
Blue vs. Red
Possible race ratings are:
Solid Democratic
Likely Democratic
Lean DemocraticTossup
Lean Republican
Likely Republican
Solid Republican
Florida's 1st District was a solidly Republican district.
In June 2012, Sabato's Crystal Ball rated Florida's 1st as solidly Republican.[6]
Impact of redistricting
- See also: Redistricting in Florida
Pensacola anchored this western panhandle district that ranked as the most Republican in state.[7] The previous 1st District and the redrawn 1st District were nearly identical.[7]
Prior to redistricting the 1st District covered the state's western Panhandle. The district included all of Escambia, Holmes, Washington, and Santa Rosa counties and portions of Okaloosa and Walton counties. The district was anchored in Pensacola and also included Fort Walton Beach and stretched along the Redneck Riveria
The 1st District was re-drawn after the 2010 Census. The new district was composed of the following percentages of voters of the old congressional districts.[8][9]
- 94 percent from the 1st Congressional District
- 6 percent from the 2nd Congressional District
District partisanship
FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012 study
- See also: FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012
In 2012, FairVote did a study on partisanship in the congressional districts, giving each a percentage ranking (D/R) based on the new 2012 maps and comparing that to the old 2010 maps. Florida's 1st District's partisanship was unaffected by redistricting.[10]
- 2012: 29D / 71R
- 2010: 29D / 71R
Cook Political Report's PVI
In 2012, Cook Political Report released its updated figures on the Partisan Voter Index, which measured each congressional district's partisanship relative to the rest of the country. Florida's 1st Congressional District had a PVI of R+21, which was the 15th most Republican district in the country. In 2008, this district was won by John McCain (R), 68-32 percent over Barack Obama (D). In 2004, George W. Bush (R) won the district 73-27 percent over John Kerry (D).[11]
District history
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2010
On November 2, 2010, Jeff Miller won re-election to the United States House of Representatives. He defeated Joe Cantrell (I), John Krause (I), and Jim Bryan (I) in the general election.[12]
| U.S. House, Florida District 1 General Election, 2010 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
| Republican | Jeff Miller Incumbent |
80% | 170,821 | |
| Independent | Joe Cantrell | 10.9% | 23,250 | |
| Independent | John Krause | 8.5% | 18,253 | |
| Independent | Jim Bryan | 0.6% | 1,202 | |
| Total Votes | 213,526 | |||
See also
- United States House of Representatives elections in Florida, 2012
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2012
- United States Senate elections in Florida, 2012
External links
- Jeff Miller's Campaign Website
- Calen Fretts' Campaign Website
- Updated Florida Congressional Districts List
- Florida 2012 Redistricting Map
Footnotes
- ↑ ABC News, "2012 General Election Results," accessed November 6, 2012
- ↑ Florida Department of State, "Register to Vote," accessed April 25, 2012
- ↑ Florida 2012 Redistricting Map, "Map" accessed July 5, 2012
- ↑ 4.0 4.1 Florida Secretary of State Candidate List" accessed March 22, 2012
- ↑ The Gulf Coast Post ""Libertarian announces candidacy for the U.S. House of Representatives" accessed February 13, 2012
- ↑ Center for Politics, "2012 House Ratings," Updated June 27, 2012
- ↑ 7.0 7.1 Roll Call, "Race Ratings: Florida Offers Democrats Chances at Pickups" accessed February 28, 2012
- ↑ Moonshadow Mobile's CensusViewer, "Florida's congressional districts 2001-2011 comparison"
- ↑ Labels & Lists, "VoterMapping software voter counts"
- ↑ "2011 Redistricting and 2012 Elections in Florida," September 2012
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Partisan Voting Index Districts of the 113th Congress: 2004 & 2008" accessed October 2012
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013
