Indiana's 4th Congressional District election, 2022
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Indiana's 4th Congressional District |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: February 4, 2022 |
Primary: May 3, 2022 General: November 8, 2022 |
How to vote |
Poll times: 6 a.m. to 6 p.m. Voting in Indiana |
Race ratings |
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican Inside Elections: Solid Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022 |
See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th Indiana elections, 2022 U.S. Congress elections, 2022 U.S. Senate elections, 2022 U.S. House elections, 2022 |
All U.S. House districts, including the 4th Congressional District of Indiana, held elections in 2022. The general election was on November 8, 2022. The primary was scheduled for May 3, 2022. The filing deadline was February 4, 2022.
For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:
- Indiana's 4th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 3 Democratic primary)
- Indiana's 4th Congressional District election, 2022 (May 3 Republican primary)
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House Indiana District 4
Incumbent Jim Baird defeated Roger Day in the general election for U.S. House Indiana District 4 on November 8, 2022.
Total votes: 197,698 | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Indiana District 4
Roger Day defeated Howard Pollchik in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Indiana District 4 on May 3, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Roger Day | 68.2 | 5,680 | |
Howard Pollchik | 31.8 | 2,648 |
Total votes: 8,328 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Indiana District 4
Incumbent Jim Baird advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Indiana District 4 on May 3, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Jim Baird | 100.0 | 50,342 |
Total votes: 50,342 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
Voting information
- See also: Voting in Indiana
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
No candidate in this race completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey.
Campaign finance
This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[1] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[2] Click here to view the reporting schedule for candidates for U.S. Congress in 2022.
U.S. Congress campaign reporting schedule, 2022 | ||
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Report | Close of books | Filing deadline |
Year-end 2021 | 12/31/2021 | 1/31/2022 |
April quarterly | 3/31/2022 | 4/15/2022 |
July quarterly | 6/30/2022 | 7/15/2022 |
October quarterly | 9/30/2022 | 10/15/2022 |
Pre-general | 10/19/2022 | 10/27/2022 |
Post-general | 11/28/2022 | 12/08/2022 |
Year-end 2022 | 12/31/2022 | 1/31/2023 |
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jim Baird | Republican Party | $434,680 | $300,666 | $340,742 | As of December 31, 2022 |
Roger Day | Democratic Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Howard Pollchik | Democratic Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2022. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[3]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[4][5][6]
Race ratings: Indiana's 4th Congressional District election, 2022 | |||||||||
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Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
November 8, 2022 | November 1, 2022 | October 25, 2022 | October 18, 2022 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. |
Ballot access requirements
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Indiana in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Indiana, click here.
Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2022 | ||||||
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State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
Indiana | U.S. House | Ballot-qualified party | N/A (only declaration of candidacy required) | N/A | 2/4/2022 | Source |
Indiana | U.S. House | Unaffiliated | 2% of total votes cast for the secretary of state in the district in the last election | N/A | 7/15/2022 | Source |
District analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting.
- Effect of redistricting - How districts in the state changed as a result of redistricting following the 2020 census.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2022 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
District map
Below was the map in use at the time of the election, enacted as part of the 2020 redistricting cycle, compared to the map in place before the election.
Indiana District 4
until January 2, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
Indiana District 4
starting January 3, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
Effect of redistricting
The table below details the results of the 2020 presidential election in each district at the time of the 2022 election and its political predecessor district.[7] This data was compiled by Daily Kos Elections.[8]
2020 presidential results by Congressional district, Indiana | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
District | 2022 district | Political predecessor district | ||
Joe Biden ![]() |
Donald Trump ![]() |
Joe Biden ![]() |
Donald Trump ![]() | |
Indiana's 1st | 53.4% | 45.0% | 53.6% | 44.8% |
Indiana's 2nd | 37.8% | 60.4% | 38.9% | 59.3% |
Indiana's 3rd | 34.0% | 63.9% | 34.0% | 63.9% |
Indiana's 4th | 34.3% | 63.4% | 34.0% | 63.8% |
Indiana's 5th | 41.0% | 57.0% | 47.9% | 50.1% |
Indiana's 6th | 33.0% | 64.9% | 29.1% | 68.8% |
Indiana's 7th | 70.3% | 27.9% | 62.9% | 35.3% |
Indiana's 8th | 32.7% | 65.5% | 33.1% | 65.1% |
Indiana's 9th | 35.4% | 62.7% | 37.2% | 60.8% |
Competitiveness
This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Indiana.
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Indiana in 2022. Information below was calculated on March 8, 2022, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
As of the 2022 candidate filing deadline, 50 candidates filed to run for Indiana's nine U.S. House districts, including 28 Republicans, 21 Democrats, and one Libertarian. That's 5.6 candidates per district, less than the 8.7 candidates per district in 2020 and 7.9 in 2018. This was the first candidate filing deadline under new district lines adopted following the state's decennial redistricting process. Indiana neither gained nor lost seats in the 2020 round of apportionment.
Five incumbents—all Republicans—did not draw any primary challengers. At least one Democrat and one Republican filed to run in all nine districts, meaning no seats would be guaranteed to any one party.
Of the nine districts, one—Indian's 9th—was left open, meaning no incumbent filed to run. The district's incumbent, Rep. Trey Hollingsworth (R), announced his retirement from public office. The one open district represents the lowest number since 2014 when there were no open districts. There were two open seats in 2020, 2018, and 2016.
Presidential elections
Partisan Voter Index
Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+18. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 18 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Indiana's 4th the 60th most Republican district nationally.[9]
2020 presidential election results
The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
2020 presidential results in Indiana's 4th based on 2022 district lines | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Joe Biden ![]() |
Donald Trump ![]() | |||
34.3% | 63.4% |
Presidential voting history
- See also: Presidential election in Indiana, 2020
Indiana presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 5 Democratic wins
- 26 Republican wins
Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Winning Party | R | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | R | R | R |
Demographics
The table below details demographic data in Indiana and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.
Demographic Data for Indiana | ||
---|---|---|
Indiana | United States | |
Population | 6,483,802 | 308,745,538 |
Land area (sq mi) | 35,825 | 3,531,905 |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White | 83.3% | 72.5% |
Black/African American | 9.4% | 12.7% |
Asian | 2.3% | 5.5% |
Native American | 0.2% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander | 0% | 0.2% |
Other (single race) | 2.2% | 4.9% |
Multiple | 2.5% | 3.3% |
Hispanic/Latino | 6.9% | 18% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate | 88.8% | 88% |
College graduation rate | 26.5% | 32.1% |
Income | ||
Median household income | $56,303 | $62,843 |
Persons below poverty level | 13.4% | 13.4% |
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2010). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2014-2019). | ||
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. |
State party control
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Indiana's congressional delegation as of November 2022.
Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Indiana, November 2022 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
Democratic | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Republican | 2 | 6 | 8 |
Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Vacancies | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Total | 2 | 9 | 11 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Indiana's top four state executive offices as of November 2022.
State executive officials in Indiana, November 2022 | |
---|---|
Office | Officeholder |
Governor | ![]() |
Lieutenant Governor | ![]() |
Secretary of State | ![]() |
Attorney General | ![]() |
State legislature
The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Indiana General Assembly as of November 2022.
Indiana State Senate
Party | As of November 2022 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 10 | |
Republican Party | 40 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 50 |
Indiana House of Representatives
Party | As of November 2022 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 30 | |
Republican Party | 70 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 100 |
Trifecta control
As of November 2022, Indiana was a Republican trifecta, with majorities in both chambers of the state legislature and control of the governorship. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.
Indiana Party Control: 1992-2022
No Democratic trifectas • Fourteen years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
Senate | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
House | D | D | D | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
District history
2020
See also: Indiana's 4th Congressional District election, 2020
Indiana's 4th Congressional District election, 2020 (June 2 Democratic primary)
Indiana's 4th Congressional District election, 2020 (June 2 Republican primary)
General election
General election for U.S. House Indiana District 4
Incumbent Jim Baird defeated Joe Mackey in the general election for U.S. House Indiana District 4 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Jim Baird (R) | 66.6 | 225,531 |
![]() | Joe Mackey (D) | 33.4 | 112,984 |
Total votes: 338,515 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Indiana District 4
Joe Mackey defeated Veronikka Ziol, Benjamin Frederick, and Howard Pollchik in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Indiana District 4 on June 2, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Joe Mackey | 53.9 | 18,086 |
Veronikka Ziol | 28.7 | 9,630 | ||
Benjamin Frederick | 13.4 | 4,484 | ||
Howard Pollchik | 4.0 | 1,328 |
Total votes: 33,528 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Indiana District 4
Incumbent Jim Baird advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Indiana District 4 on June 2, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Jim Baird | 100.0 | 65,806 |
Total votes: 65,806 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Jeffrey Alberts (R)
2018
General election
General election for U.S. House Indiana District 4
Jim Baird defeated Tobi Beck in the general election for U.S. House Indiana District 4 on November 6, 2018.
Total votes: 244,363 (100.00% precincts reporting) | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Indiana District 4
The following candidates ran in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Indiana District 4 on May 8, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Tobi Beck | 34.6 | 6,467 |
Veronikka Ziol | 21.1 | 3,938 | ||
![]() | Joe Mackey | 16.1 | 3,013 | |
Roger Day | 12.4 | 2,324 | ||
Roland Ellis | 9.2 | 1,712 | ||
![]() | Darin Patrick Griesey | 6.7 | 1,249 |
Total votes: 18,703 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Sheryl Shipley (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Indiana District 4
The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. House Indiana District 4 on May 8, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Jim Baird | 36.6 | 29,319 |
![]() | Steve Braun | 29.5 | 23,602 | |
Diego Morales | 15.0 | 11,997 | ||
![]() | Jared Thomas | 10.5 | 8,435 | |
![]() | Kevin Grant | 4.6 | 3,667 | |
![]() | James Nease | 2.6 | 2,097 | |
![]() | Tim Radice | 1.3 | 1,013 |
Total votes: 80,130 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Todd Rokita (R) defeated John Dale (D) and Steven Mayoras (L) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Rokita withdrew from the race on July 15, 2016, in order to run for governor of Indiana following a ballot vacancy. Rokita was not chosen to fill that vacancy, prompting him to once again seek re-election to his House seat. Republican committee members decided on August 13 to reinstate Rokita on the ballot.[10] Rokita defeated Kevin Grant in the Republican primary.[11][12][13][14]
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
64.6% | 193,412 | |
Democratic | John Dale | 30.5% | 91,256 | |
Libertarian | Steven Mayoras | 4.9% | 14,766 | |
Total Votes | 299,434 | |||
Source: Indiana Division of Elections |
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() |
69.3% | 86,051 | ||
Kevin Grant | 30.7% | 38,200 | ||
Total Votes | 124,251 | |||
Source: Indiana Secretary of State |
2014
The 4th Congressional District of Indiana held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Todd Rokita (R) defeated John Dale (D) in the general election.
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
66.9% | 94,998 | |
Democratic | John Dale | 33.1% | 47,056 | |
Total Votes | 142,054 | |||
Source: Indiana Secretary of State Official Results |
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() |
42.2% | 3,742 | ||
Roger Day | 25.5% | 2,266 | ||
Jeffrey Blaydes | 15% | 1,332 | ||
Howard Pollchick | 8.8% | 778 | ||
John Futrell | 8.5% | 754 | ||
Total Votes | 8,872 | |||
Source: Indiana Division of Elections |
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() |
71.2% | 43,179 | ||
Kevin Grant | 28.8% | 17,472 | ||
Total Votes | 60,651 | |||
Source: Indiana Division of Elections |
See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Political predecessor districts are determined primarily based on incumbents and where each chose to seek re-election.
- ↑ Daily Kos Elections, "Daily Kos Elections 2020 presidential results by congressional district (old CDs vs. new CDs)," accessed May 12, 2022
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
- ↑ KLTV, "The Latest: Pence praises GOP replacement choice," July 26, 2016
- ↑ Indiana Secretary of State, "May 3, 2016 Primary Election," accessed February 8, 2016
- ↑ The New York Times, "Indiana Primary Results," May 3, 2016
- ↑ WBAA, "Brooks, Rokita Back On Congressional Ballots Following Weekend Caucuses," August 14, 2016
- ↑ Indiana Secretary of State, "November 8, 2016 General Election," accessed September 6, 2016