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Kentucky's 3rd Congressional District election, 2024 (May 21 Republican primary)

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Kentucky's 3rd Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: January 5, 2024
Primary: May 21, 2024
General: November 5, 2024
How to vote
Poll times: 6 a.m. to 6 p.m.
Voting in Kentucky
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic
DDHQ and The Hill: Safe Democratic
Inside Elections: Solid Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024
See also
Kentucky's 3rd Congressional District
1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th
Kentucky elections, 2024
U.S. Congress elections, 2024
U.S. Senate elections, 2024
U.S. House elections, 2024

A Republican Party primary took place on May 21, 2024, in Kentucky's 3rd Congressional District to determine which Republican candidate would run in the district's general election on November 5, 2024.

Mike Craven advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 3.

All 435 seats were up for election. At the time of the election, Republicans had a 220 to 212 majority with three vacancies.[1] As of June 2024, 45 members of the U.S. House had announced they were not running for re-election. To read more about the U.S. House elections taking place this year, click here.

In the 2022 election in this district, the Democratic candidate won 62.0%-38.0%. Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have defeated Donald Trump (R) 60.2%-37.9%.[2]

Candidate filing deadline Primary election General election
January 5, 2024
May 21, 2024
November 5, 2024


A primary election is an election in which registered voters select a candidate that they believe should be a political party's candidate for elected office to run in the general election. They are also used to choose convention delegates and party leaders. Primaries are state-level and local-level elections that take place prior to a general election. Kentucky utilizes a closed primary process, in which the selection of a party's candidates in an election is limited to registered party members.[3][4][5]

For information about which offices are nominated via primary election, see this article.

This page focuses on Kentucky's 3rd Congressional District Republican primary. For more in-depth information on the district's Democratic primary and the general election, see the following pages:

Candidates and election results

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 3

Mike Craven defeated Denny Ormerod in the Republican primary for U.S. House Kentucky District 3 on May 21, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Mike Craven
Mike Craven
 
75.2
 
15,397
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Submit photo
Denny Ormerod
 
24.8
 
5,074

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 20,471
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Candidate profiles

There were no candidate profiles created for this race. Candidate profiles would have appeared here as candidates completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey.

Voting information

See also: Voting in Kentucky

Election information in Kentucky: May 21, 2024, election.

What was the voter registration deadline?

  • In-person: April 22, 2024
  • By mail: Postmarked by April 22, 2024
  • Online: April 22, 2024

Was absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

No

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

  • In-person: N/A
  • By mail: N/A by N/A
  • Online: May 7, 2024

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

  • In-person: May 21, 2024
  • By mail: Received by May 21, 2024

Was early voting available to all voters?

N/A

What were the early voting start and end dates?

May 16, 2024 to May 18, 2024

Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, was a photo or non-photo ID required?

N/A

When were polls open on Election Day?

6:00 a.m. - 6:00 p.m. (EST/CST)


Campaign finance

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Mike Craven Republican Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Denny Ormerod Republican Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.

District analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

  • District map - A map of the district in place for the election.
  • Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
  • State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.


Below was the map in use at the time of the election. Click the map below to enlarge it.

2023_01_03_ky_congressional_District_03.jpg
See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2024

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Kentucky.

Kentucky U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2024
Office Districts/
offices 		Seats Open seats Candidates Possible primaries Contested Democratic primaries Contested Republican primaries % of contested primaries Incumbents in contested primaries % of incumbents in contested primaries
2024 6 6 0 23 12 3 3 50.0% 3 50.0%
2022 6 6 1 31 12 3 5 66.7% 4 80.0%
2020 6 6 0 21 12 2 5 58.3% 4 66.7%
2018 6 6 0 28 12 5 3 66.7% 2 33.3%
2016 6 6 1 18 12 1 4 41.7% 2 40.0%
2014 6 6 0 16 12 4 0 33.3% 1 16.7%

Post-filing deadline analysis

The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Kentucky in 2024. Information below was calculated on 2/5/2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.


Twenty-three candidates filed to run for Kentucky’s six U.S. House districts, including 11 Democrats and 12 Republicans. That’s 3.8 candidates per district, lower than the 5.2 candidates who ran in 2022, but higher than the 3.5 who ran in 2020.

No seats were open in 2024, meaning all incumbents ran for re-election. There was one House seat open in 2022 and another one in 2016, the only two election cycles this decade in which House seats were open.

Six candidates filed to run for Kentucky’s sixth congressional district, the most candidates who ran for a district in 2024. The candidates who ran included Republican incumbent Andy Barr and six Democrats.

Six primaries—three Democratic and three Republican—were contested, the fewest since 2016. Eight primaries were contested in 2022, and seven were in 2020.

Three incumbents—one Democrat and two Republicans—faced primary challengers. That’s fewer than 2022 and 2020, when four incumbents faced challengers, but more than 2018 and 2016, when two incumbents did.

The 4th and 5th districts were guaranteed to Republicans because no Democrats ran. Republican candidates filed to run in every district, meaning none were guaranteed to Democrats.

Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+9. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 9 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Kentucky's 3rd the 136th most Democratic district nationally.[6]

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

2020 presidential results in Kentucky's 3rd based on 2024 district lines
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
60.2% 37.9%

Inside Elections Baselines

See also: Inside Elections

Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.[7] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.

Inside Elections Baseline for 2024
Democratic Baseline Democratic Party Republican Baseline Republican Party Difference
61.6 37.4 R+24.2

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in Kentucky, 2020

Kentucky presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 16 Democratic wins
  • 15 Republican wins
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party D D D D D D R R D D D D D D R R D R R D R R R D D R R R R R R
See also: Party control of Kentucky state government

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Kentucky's congressional delegation as of May 2024.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Kentucky
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 0 1 1
Republican 2 5 7
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 0 0
Total 2 6 8

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Kentucky's top four state executive offices as of May 2024.

State executive officials in Kentucky, May 2024
Office Officeholder
Governor Democratic Party Andy Beshear
Lieutenant Governor Democratic Party Jacqueline Coleman
Secretary of State Republican Party Michael Adams
Attorney General Republican Party Russell Coleman

State legislature

Kentucky State Senate

Party As of February 2024
     Democratic Party 7
     Republican Party 31
     Other 0
     Vacancies 0
Total 38

Kentucky House of Representatives

Party As of February 2024
     Democratic Party 20
     Republican Party 78
     Other 0
     Vacancies 2
Total 100

Trifecta control

The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.

Kentucky Party Control: 1992-2024
Eight years of Democratic trifectas  •  Three years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Governor D D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R D D D D D D D D R R R R D D D D D
Senate D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
House D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R

Ballot access

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Kentucky in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Kentucky, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source
Kentucky U.S. House Ballot-qualified party 2 $500.00 1/5/2024 Source
Kentucky U.S. House Unaffiliated 400 $500.00 6/4/2024 Source

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. ↑ A majority in the U.S. House when there are no vacancies is 218 seats.
  2. ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
  3. ↑ NCSL,"State Primary Election Types," February 06, 2024
  4. ↑ Ballotpedia research conducted December 26, 2013, through January 3, 2014, researching and analyzing various state websites and codes.
  5. ↑ Kentucky State Board of Elections,"Key Information," accessed July 26, 2024
  6. ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
  7. ↑ Inside Elections, "Methodology: Inside Elections’ Baseline by Congressional District," December 8, 2023


Kentucky's current delegation to the United States Congress
Senators
Mitch McConnell (R)
Rand Paul (R)
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
Andy Barr (R)
Republican Party (7)
Democratic Party (1)


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