Minnesota's 5th Congressional District election (August 14, 2018 Democratic primary)
- General election: Nov. 6
- Voter registration deadline: Oct. 16 , or in-person on Nov. 6
- Early voting: Sept. 21 - Nov. 5
- Absentee voting deadline: Nov. 6
- Online registration: Yes
- Same-day registration: Yes
- Voter ID: No
- Poll times: 7:00 a.m. to 8:00 p.m.
2020 →
← 2016
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Minnesota's 5th Congressional District |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: June 5, 2018 |
Primary: August 14, 2018 General: November 6, 2018 Pre-election incumbent: Keith Ellison (Democrat) |
How to vote |
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. Voting in Minnesota |
Race ratings |
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic Inside Elections: Solid Democratic Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018 |
See also |
U.S. Senate (regular) • U.S. Senate (special) • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th Minnesota elections, 2018 U.S. Congress elections, 2018 U.S. Senate elections, 2018 U.S. House elections, 2018 |
State Rep. Ilhan Omar]] (D) beat four other Democrats in the August 14 primary for Minnesota's 5th Congressional district, a seat left open when incumbent Rep. Keith Ellison's (D) announced that he would seek the nomination for state attorney general rather than run for re-election in the safely-Democratic District.[1]
Omar, the first Somali-American lawmaker in the U.S., was endorsed by the Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party of Minnesota (DFL).[2] Omar emphasized her opposition to President Donald Trump's (R) immigration policies citing her experience as a refugee.[3]
Former state House Speaker Margaret Anderson Kelliher (D) campaigned on her 14 years in the legislature and the statewide name recognition she earned in a closely contested loss in the 2010 Minnesota gubernatorial primary.[4]
Frank Nelson Drake ran for the seat a second time, after earning 22.3 percent of the vote in the 2016 when he ran against Ellison as a Republican.
Engineer and activist Jamal Abdulahi (D) also ran on his experience as a Somali refugee. Abdulahi wrote an article that appeared in the LA Times in opposition to Trump's immigration executive order in 2017 and his rhetoric about Somalis in Minnesota.[5][6][7]
State Sen. Patricia Torres Ray (D) also saught the nomination.
Minnesota voter? Dates you need to know. | |
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Primary election | August 14, 2018 |
Candidate filing deadline | June 5, 2018 |
Registration deadline | August 14, 2018 |
Absentee application deadline | August 13, 2018 |
General election | November 6, 2018 |
Voting information | |
Primary type | Open |
Early voting deadline | August 14, 2018 |
Polling locations: Go to this page to find early voting locations and your assigned precinct for election day. |
For more on related elections, please see:
- Minnesota's 5th Congressional District election (August 14, 2018 Republican primary)
- Minnesota's 5th Congressional District election, 2018
- United States House Democratic Party primaries, 2018
- United States House Republican Party primaries, 2018
- Democratic Party primaries in Minnesota, 2018
- Republican Party primaries in Minnesota, 2018
Candidates and election results
The following candidates ran in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Minnesota District 5 on August 14, 2018.
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Minnesota District 5
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Ilhan Omar | 48.2 | 65,237 |
Margaret Kelliher | 30.4 | 41,156 | ||
![]() | Patricia Torres Ray | 13.0 | 17,629 | |
![]() | Jamal Abdulahi | 3.7 | 4,984 | |
Bobby Joe Champion | 2.8 | 3,831 | ||
![]() | Frank Nelson Drake ![]() | 1.8 | 2,480 |
Total votes: 135,317 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Julie Sabo (D)
Candidates
Top candidates
Margaret Kelliher
Kelliher earned her MPA from the Kennedy School of Government at Harvard University, and B.A. in history/political science from Gustavus Adolphus College.
Kelliher is a member of the Basilica of Saint Mary, Bryn Mawr Neighborhood Association, League of Women Voters, Minneapolis Institute of the Arts, and the Minnesota 4-H Foundation. She is married and has 2 children.[8]
Ilhan Omar
Omar was born in Somalia and fled the country's civil war at eight years old. She lived in a refugee camp in Kenya for four years before moving to Minneapolis in 1997. Her interest in politics began at the age of 14 when she acted as an interpreter for her grandfather at local DFL caucuses. Before running for state House, she was a Humphrey Policy Fellow and served as a senior Policy Aide for a Minneapolis City Council Member. When she was elected in 2016, Omar became the first Somali-American, Muslim legislator in the United States.[9]
List of all candidates
Democratic primary candidates
Did not make the ballot:
= candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey
Campaign themes and policy stances
Jamal Abdullahi
“ |
Meet Jamal Abdullahi Raised in hand-to-mouth poverty in rural Somalia, Jamal fled the Somali Civil War and endured hunger and fear in refugee camps before finally having the opportunity to evacuate to America. On arriving in America, he took a Greyhound from California to Minnesota, worked minimum wage jobs to put himself through school and when he became eligible transferred to the University of Minnesota’s prestigious Institute of Technology and earned a degree in electrical engineering. As committed DFL’er, Jamal has knocked on thousands of doors, chaired a committee charged with making recommendations on updating the DFL’s technology infrastructure and founded the Somali-American DFL Caucus which has taken as its mission to organize one of Minnesota’s most politically marginalized communities. As a community advocate, Jamal has written extensively about the Somali community for mainstream publications and worked closely with legislators to draft legislation addressing gaps in mental health care, medical professionals trained overseas to be re-certified in Minnesota and a pilot program at Augsburg College to help inspire teachers of East African heritage to become licensed educators. Jamal earned his M.B.A. while working full time and raising a family and developed his policy and leadership skills as a Policy Fellow at the University of Minnesota’s Humphrey Institute. Jamal and his wife Sahra Ali are raising four daughters and continue to serve the community just as Jamal has done his entire adult life. Now, Jamal is ready to take his advocacy to Washington. He will be a leader in resisting Donald Trump’s divisive and discriminatory policies. No challenge is too big for Jamal Abdulahi. He will successfully represent Minnesota’s 5th Congressional District with your help! [10] |
” |
—Jamal Abdullahi for Congress[11] |
Margaret Kelliher
“ |
PRIORITIES I am hearing from people from all over the district that they a need a leader who will stand up for the needs of our district. I look forward to taking my track record of success championing progressive issues to Washington. I will go to Congress and represent the people of this district who are feeling left behind by the current Administration. As Speaker of the Minnesota House, I fought Governor Pawlenty and won. Pawlenty tried to take away healthcare from vulnerable people and balance the budget on the backs of middle class and seniors. I will take this fight to Congress as this Administration attempts to take health care away from those with pre-existing conditions, demonizes immigrants and refugees, sides with the NRA over keeping our children safe, and threatens our public lands and the environment. Standing Up for Middle Class Families The Republican tax bill gives 83 percent of the benefits to the richest Americans and corporations and raises taxes on working families while adding $1.5 trillion the national debt. Instead of paying for tax breaks for corporations and billionaires, we should be investing in Medicare-for-All, public education, and affordable housing. Protecting Seniors and Retirees The White House wants to balance our budget on the backs of seniors and retirees. We made a promise to our seniors and I will fight against Republican efforts to privatize Social Security, cut Medicare benefits, and destroy pensions. We need to protect the retirement plans for millions of Americans who have paid into those programs with every paycheck. Preserving a Woman's Right to Choose and Reproductive Justice A woman’s right to choose remains under attack across the nation. I strongly support efforts to provide better access to contraception and healthcare. Women need to have control over their decisions about the full range of health care and reproductive services, including defending and protecting funding for organizations like Planned Parenthood. Increasing Access to Affordable Housing I will work with local leaders to increase options for affordable housing in the 5th District. Our communities need more flexibility with federal dollars to meet life-cycle housing and preserving naturally occurring affordable housing. As Speaker of the House in Minnesota, I oversaw the passage of the Minnesota Historic Preservation Tax Credit that paved the way for the rehabilitation of thousands of units of affordable housing in the 5th District including Cedar-Riverside. Science, Technology, Engineering, Arts, and Math Policy I will continue to use evidence-based decision making in Congress. As the Chair of Governor Dayton's broadband task force, we have brought high speed broadband to over 45,000 households, businesses, schools and other anchor institutions in communities. For the past 8 years, I have worked on Science, Technology, Engineering, Arts, and Math (STEAM) education and workforce development. I will advocate for an open and free internet, also known as net neutrality. Strong Public Schools and Higher Education I will go to Washington to challenge Betsy DeVos's unrelenting attack on education. I will be a champion for the closing the special education funding gap that has grown wider in recent years. In the legislature I kept my promises to increase school funding and access to all-day kindergarten and Pre-K. As a former member of the Board of Trustees of the Minnesota State College system, I am deeply committed to making public college and university affordable and free for all. A Clean Energy Future that Protects our Environment When I was Speaker of Minnesota’s House, I successfully guided of the passage of Minnesota’s nation-leading renewable energy standard. I will be the strongest advocate for legislation to combat climate change in Congress. I know that our public lands are a treasure that must be protected for future generations. I will stand up against efforts to allow copper-nickel mining that could destroy the Boundary Waters Canoe Area and threatens freshwater in all of Northeastern Minnesota. A Safer Place to Live, Common-Sense Gun Reform I am a strong supporter of legislation that will keep our communities, children and families safe from gun violence. I support universal background checks, a ban on all military-style weapons including high-capacity magazines and assault weapons, and a domestic violence offender gun ban. Immigration I will fight to stop family separation and work to abolish Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) established by George W. Bush in 2002 and return to a more humane immigration and naturalization service. I will fulfill our nation's promise and uphold Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals (DACA) and create a path to citizenship for everyone that calls our country home. Medicare-for-All I strongly believe healthcare is a right, not a privilege. I support a universal Medicare-for-All plan and will defend core principles in the Affordable Care Act (ACA) including preserving access and coverage for pre-existing conditions, mental health, and women's health. I have been a strong proponent of ensuring 5th District residents have access to federal funding through the Children's Health Insurance Plan (CHIP). We must protect our most vulnerable from financial devastation by medical bills. Jobs and Infrastructure I will bring clean energy jobs and transportation investments and options to the 5th District. I led the override of Tim Pawlenty’s veto of the comprehensive transportation and transit bill. Over the past 10 years, this has meant over $8 billion invested in transit and transportation. I've been a strong supporter of multi-modal transportation including bike, transit, and auto investments. I was a leader in both the passage of legislation for final state funding of the Light Rail Transit (LRT) blue and green lines. GLBTQ+ Rights I have always been strong supporter and defender of GLBTQ+ rights. I will continue to take that record of support for the community to Washington. I will be a champion to defend the right to marry who you love and protect the health care services for the entire community to include transgender health. [10] |
” |
—Maragret Kelliher for Congress[12] |
Ilhan Omar
“ |
Vision Establish Economic Justice for Working Families
Guarantee Access to Public Education
Re-imagine our Immigration & Criminal Justice Systems
Ensure Environmental Justice & Energy Independence
Build Resilient Infrastructure
Increase Access to Housing
|
” |
—Ilhan Omar for Congress[13] |
Patricia Torres Ray
“ |
Meet Patricia Torres Ray Sen. Torres Ray was born in Colombia and studied law at the University of Nariño in Colombia. She moved to Minnesota in 1987, after marrying her husband Jack, a University of Minnesota student who had traveled abroad to Colombia for an internship. She has two boys, Tomas 24 and Patrick 22. She received her undergraduate degree in Urban Studies from the University of Minnesota, and also holds a Masters Degree in Public Affairs from the Hubert H. Humphrey Institute. She began her career with the State of Minnesota as the Ombudsperson for Families in 1992. She was later recruited by the Minnesota Department of Human Services to serve as a Program Administrator, responsible for coordinating cultural competency training and support to 87 counties and 11 tribal reservations. She coordinated services related to child welfare, mental health, family support and early childhood services. Currently, Sen. Torres Ray serves in E-12 Finance, Environmental and Natural Resources Policy and Legacy Finance, and is the Lead Democrat for Local Government. She has served as Chair of Parks and Trails in the Environment Division, Chair of State and Local Government Policy Committee, Chair of the Education Policy Committee and Chair of the New Americans Task Force. Patricia has served on numerous local and national boards, including the Children’s Defense Fund; Minneapolis’ Youth Coordinating Board; University of Minnesota’s Children, Youth and Family Consortium; Early Childhood Council; Minnesota Chicano Latino Affairs Council, English Language Learner’s Minneapolis Public Schools Taskforce; and the Mississippi River Parkway Commission. She is the chair of the National Hispanic Women Caucus of State Legislators (NHCSL) and the Midwest Director for WiLL/Wand-Women’s Actions for New Directions. She was a Lieutenant Governor candidate for the John Marty for Governor campaign, and she was the Chair of Latinos for Obama for the State of Minnesota in 2008. |
” |
—Patricia Torres Ray for Congress[14] |
Campaign finance
The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jamal Abdulahi | Democratic Party | $148,773 | $148,603 | $0 | As of October 15, 2018 |
Bobby Joe Champion | Democratic Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Frank Nelson Drake | Democratic Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Margaret Kelliher | Democratic Party | $535,860 | $535,860 | $0 | As of December 31, 2018 |
Ilhan Omar | Democratic Party | $1,084,183 | $1,029,354 | $54,829 | As of December 31, 2018 |
Patricia Torres Ray | Democratic Party | $96,971 | $93,540 | $3,430 | As of December 31, 2018 |
Bob Carney Jr. | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Christopher Chamberlin | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Jennifer Zielinski | Republican Party | $23,355 | $22,755 | $600 | As of December 31, 2018 |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2018. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
Noteworthy events
Debates and forums
August 6, 2018: A forum was held at Beth El Synagogue in St. Louis Park. Firearm regulation was a major topic, and most candidates expressed similar objections to arming teachers and the influence of the National Rifle Association. Drake differed in style from the rest of the field, saying, "There is no First Amendment without the Second Amendment. That is a hard one to swallow," and recommending no changes to Minnesota's conceal and carry laws. Omar was asked to explain comments critical of Israel at the forum. Omar denied any bias against Jewish people but remained steadfast in criticism of the Israeli government. "I think it is going to be important for us to recognize Israel’s place in the Middle East and the Jewish people’s rightful place within that legion," Omar said, "It’s also important that we are going through a process that we are guaranteeing that to the Palestinians."[15][16][17]
District Background
Former Rep. Keith Ellison (D) became the first Muslim Congressman in the U.S. when he was elected to represent the District in 2006. The 2018 Democratic primary field included two Muslim candidates, Omar and Abdulahi, hoping to succeed Ellison.
Both candidates are Somali immigrants in a District with one of the largest Somali populations in the U.S. The 5th Congressional District is home to the Cedar-Riverside neighborhood, famously nicknamed “Little Mogadishu.” The Minnesota Demographers Office estimates that there are between 40,200 and 52,400 Somalis in Minnesota, most of whom live in or adjacent to the District in the Minneapolis-St.Paul area.[18][19]
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+26, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 26 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Minnesota's 5th Congressional District the 39th most Democratic nationally.[20]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.91. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.91 points toward that party.[21]
District history
2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. Incumbent Keith Ellison (D) defeated Frank Nelson Drake (R) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Ellison defeated Lee Bauer and Gregg Iverson in the Democratic primary on August 9, 2016.[22][23]
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ![]() |
69.1% | 249,964 | |
Republican | Frank Drake | 22.3% | 80,660 | |
Legal Marijuana Now | Dennis Schuller | 8.5% | 30,759 | |
N/A | Write-in | 0.1% | 499 | |
Total Votes | 361,882 | |||
Source: Minnesota Secretary of State |
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() |
91.7% | 40,380 | ||
Gregg Iverson | 4.3% | 1,887 | ||
Lee Bauer | 4% | 1,757 | ||
Total Votes | 44,024 | |||
Source: Minnesota Secretary of State |
2014
The 5th Congressional District of Minnesota held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Keith Ellison (D) defeated Doug Daggett (R) and Lee Bauer (IND) in the general election.
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ![]() |
70.8% | 167,079 | |
Republican | Doug Daggett | 24% | 56,577 | |
Independence | Lee Bauer | 5.1% | 12,001 | |
N/A | Write-in | 0.1% | 353 | |
Total Votes | 236,010 | |||
Source: Minnesota Secretary of State |
Pivot Counties
- See also: Pivot Counties by state
Nineteen of 87 Minnesota counties—21.8 percent—are Pivot Counties. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.
Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008 | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
County | Trump margin of victory in 2016 | Obama margin of victory in 2012 | Obama margin of victory in 2008 | ||||
Beltrami County, Minnesota | 9.72% | 9.89% | 10.15% | ||||
Blue Earth County, Minnesota | 3.69% | 9.48% | 12.95% | ||||
Chippewa County, Minnesota | 28.70% | 1.87% | 5.87% | ||||
Clay County, Minnesota | 1.95% | 7.92% | 16.02% | ||||
Fillmore County, Minnesota | 21.70% | 7.34% | 8.26% | ||||
Freeborn County, Minnesota | 17.24% | 14.11% | 17.13% | ||||
Houston County, Minnesota | 13.87% | 3.16% | 10.69% | ||||
Itasca County, Minnesota | 16.35% | 9.83% | 12.92% | ||||
Kittson County, Minnesota | 22.05% | 6.03% | 18.54% | ||||
Koochiching County, Minnesota | 19.85% | 9.45% | 10.10% | ||||
Lac qui Parle County, Minnesota | 25.60% | 0.90% | 5.92% | ||||
Mahnomen County, Minnesota | 2.92% | 18.56% | 25.31% | ||||
Mower County, Minnesota | 7.82% | 22.61% | 23.61% | ||||
Nicollet County, Minnesota | 3.04% | 7.83% | 10.52% | ||||
Norman County, Minnesota | 13.34% | 10.79% | 26.94% | ||||
Rice County, Minnesota | 3.06% | 8.27% | 11.50% | ||||
Swift County, Minnesota | 25.57% | 9.83% | 13.79% | ||||
Traverse County, Minnesota | 23.30% | 4.44% | 5.41% | ||||
Winona County, Minnesota | 2.90% | 12.85% | 19.09% |
In the 2016 presidential election, Hillary Clinton (D) won Minnesota with 46.4 percent of the vote. Donald Trump (R) received 44.9 percent. In presidential elections between 1860 and 2016, Minnesota voted Republican 50 percent of the time and Democratic 47.5 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, Minnesota voted Democratic all five times.[24]
Presidential results by legislative district
The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Minnesota. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[25][26]
In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 68 out of 134 state House districts in Minnesota with an average margin of victory of 27.6 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 62 out of 134 state House districts in Minnesota with an average margin of victory of 30.4 points. Clinton won 12 districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections. |
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 66 out of 134 state House districts in Minnesota with an average margin of victory of 12.3 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 72 out of 134 state House districts in Minnesota with an average margin of victory of 23.8 points. Trump won seven districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections. |
2016 presidential results by state House district | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
District | Obama | Romney | 2012 Margin | Clinton | Trump | 2016 Margin | Party Control |
1A | 43.15% | 54.54% | R+11.4 | 27.87% | 64.99% | R+37.1 | R |
1B | 46.10% | 51.92% | R+5.8 | 31.45% | 61.37% | R+29.9 | R |
2A | 48.08% | 50.09% | R+2 | 33.59% | 60.04% | R+26.4 | R |
2B | 42.17% | 56.05% | R+13.9 | 29.64% | 64.36% | R+34.7 | R |
3A | 55.31% | 42.36% | D+13 | 43.14% | 49.65% | R+6.5 | D |
3B | 60.19% | 38.11% | D+22.1 | 50.13% | 42.59% | D+7.5 | D |
4A | 55.32% | 42.31% | D+13 | 48.97% | 41.71% | D+7.3 | D |
4B | 46.65% | 51.41% | R+4.8 | 35.41% | 57.18% | R+21.8 | D |
5A | 52.05% | 45.83% | D+6.2 | 39.67% | 51.97% | R+12.3 | R |
5B | 49.48% | 48.58% | D+0.9 | 35.93% | 57.00% | R+21.1 | R |
6A | 63.20% | 34.57% | D+28.6 | 44.68% | 47.85% | R+3.2 | D |
6B | 61.82% | 35.90% | D+25.9 | 45.05% | 47.77% | R+2.7 | D |
7A | 67.15% | 30.27% | D+36.9 | 62.12% | 28.28% | D+33.8 | D |
7B | 69.99% | 27.63% | D+42.4 | 59.01% | 32.66% | D+26.3 | D |
8A | 39.32% | 59.07% | R+19.8 | 31.05% | 62.92% | R+31.9 | R |
8B | 40.24% | 57.98% | R+17.7 | 27.72% | 65.66% | R+37.9 | R |
9A | 37.61% | 60.36% | R+22.7 | 23.48% | 70.76% | R+47.3 | R |
9B | 37.60% | 60.41% | R+22.8 | 21.44% | 73.05% | R+51.6 | R |
10A | 42.68% | 55.47% | R+12.8 | 31.71% | 61.41% | R+29.7 | R |
10B | 44.58% | 53.66% | R+9.1 | 31.38% | 62.81% | R+31.4 | R |
11A | 62.19% | 35.79% | D+26.4 | 46.93% | 45.13% | D+1.8 | D |
11B | 46.72% | 50.92% | R+4.2 | 31.58% | 61.39% | R+29.8 | R |
12A | 46.30% | 51.70% | R+5.4 | 32.87% | 59.48% | R+26.6 | R |
12B | 36.32% | 61.98% | R+25.7 | 23.78% | 70.60% | R+46.8 | R |
13A | 41.20% | 57.04% | R+15.8 | 29.40% | 63.98% | R+34.6 | R |
13B | 40.74% | 57.46% | R+16.7 | 29.76% | 63.36% | R+33.6 | R |
14A | 47.70% | 50.25% | R+2.6 | 40.14% | 51.73% | R+11.6 | R |
14B | 53.28% | 43.56% | D+9.7 | 43.47% | 46.88% | R+3.4 | R |
15A | 42.24% | 55.67% | R+13.4 | 26.60% | 66.72% | R+40.1 | R |
15B | 34.92% | 62.92% | R+28 | 21.90% | 71.37% | R+49.5 | R |
16A | 45.53% | 52.33% | R+6.8 | 31.31% | 60.77% | R+29.5 | R |
16B | 40.08% | 57.64% | R+17.6 | 26.83% | 64.99% | R+38.2 | R |
17A | 47.24% | 50.94% | R+3.7 | 29.82% | 63.25% | R+33.4 | R |
17B | 47.10% | 51.19% | R+4.1 | 34.89% | 57.60% | R+22.7 | R |
18A | 39.80% | 57.83% | R+18 | 26.88% | 65.04% | R+38.2 | R |
18B | 37.06% | 60.70% | R+23.6 | 25.23% | 67.02% | R+41.8 | R |
19A | 52.51% | 45.09% | D+7.4 | 43.51% | 47.62% | R+4.1 | D |
19B | 57.05% | 39.91% | D+17.1 | 48.70% | 40.94% | D+7.8 | D |
20A | 40.38% | 57.73% | R+17.4 | 30.47% | 62.58% | R+32.1 | R |
20B | 53.95% | 43.71% | D+10.2 | 47.02% | 45.86% | D+1.2 | D |
21A | 51.06% | 46.99% | D+4.1 | 40.39% | 51.63% | R+11.2 | R |
21B | 44.07% | 53.85% | R+9.8 | 30.94% | 61.07% | R+30.1 | R |
22A | 41.53% | 56.48% | R+14.9 | 26.80% | 66.15% | R+39.4 | R |
22B | 44.04% | 54.37% | R+10.3 | 30.63% | 63.03% | R+32.4 | R |
23A | 39.08% | 58.83% | R+19.8 | 26.82% | 66.32% | R+39.5 | R |
23B | 47.30% | 50.57% | R+3.3 | 32.70% | 59.47% | R+26.8 | R |
24A | 45.64% | 52.20% | R+6.6 | 33.70% | 57.84% | R+24.1 | R |
24B | 47.07% | 50.66% | R+3.6 | 33.44% | 58.77% | R+25.3 | R |
25A | 45.24% | 52.32% | R+7.1 | 37.03% | 52.94% | R+15.9 | R |
25B | 53.14% | 44.51% | D+8.6 | 50.23% | 40.22% | D+10 | D |
26A | 57.64% | 39.78% | D+17.9 | 54.11% | 36.72% | D+17.4 | D |
26B | 44.47% | 53.59% | R+9.1 | 38.48% | 53.17% | R+14.7 | R |
27A | 55.57% | 42.31% | D+13.3 | 37.42% | 55.76% | R+18.3 | R |
27B | 59.95% | 37.84% | D+22.1 | 41.96% | 50.58% | R+8.6 | D |
28A | 56.63% | 40.82% | D+15.8 | 46.44% | 44.13% | D+2.3 | D |
28B | 51.67% | 46.36% | D+5.3 | 37.30% | 55.31% | R+18 | R |
29A | 37.73% | 60.22% | R+22.5 | 28.82% | 63.10% | R+34.3 | R |
29B | 40.42% | 57.50% | R+17.1 | 30.71% | 61.38% | R+30.7 | R |
30A | 39.60% | 58.57% | R+19 | 30.48% | 61.61% | R+31.1 | R |
30B | 36.49% | 61.79% | R+25.3 | 29.58% | 62.31% | R+32.7 | R |
31A | 35.58% | 62.46% | R+26.9 | 23.94% | 69.10% | R+45.2 | R |
31B | 38.58% | 59.53% | R+20.9 | 29.00% | 63.74% | R+34.7 | R |
32A | 41.06% | 56.85% | R+15.8 | 28.13% | 64.23% | R+36.1 | R |
32B | 42.98% | 55.07% | R+12.1 | 31.50% | 60.69% | R+29.2 | R |
33A | 36.20% | 62.39% | R+26.2 | 37.84% | 54.78% | R+16.9 | R |
33B | 43.71% | 54.67% | R+11 | 46.18% | 45.68% | D+0.5 | R |
34A | 40.35% | 58.12% | R+17.8 | 40.80% | 51.26% | R+10.5 | R |
34B | 46.78% | 51.60% | R+4.8 | 47.91% | 43.62% | D+4.3 | R |
35A | 45.40% | 52.32% | R+6.9 | 37.77% | 53.46% | R+15.7 | R |
35B | 41.04% | 57.50% | R+16.5 | 36.48% | 55.65% | R+19.2 | R |
36A | 48.54% | 49.44% | R+0.9 | 44.09% | 47.07% | R+3 | R |
36B | 53.38% | 45.11% | D+8.3 | 52.16% | 40.08% | D+12.1 | D |
37A | 53.32% | 44.53% | D+8.8 | 45.38% | 46.05% | R+0.7 | D |
37B | 48.64% | 49.49% | R+0.9 | 43.74% | 48.04% | R+4.3 | R |
38A | 44.17% | 53.89% | R+9.7 | 40.36% | 51.11% | R+10.7 | R |
38B | 46.39% | 51.99% | R+5.6 | 45.39% | 46.56% | R+1.2 | R |
39A | 45.12% | 53.25% | R+8.1 | 40.85% | 51.57% | R+10.7 | R |
39B | 47.78% | 50.62% | R+2.8 | 45.97% | 46.25% | R+0.3 | R |
40A | 69.71% | 28.69% | D+41 | 67.81% | 26.13% | D+41.7 | D |
40B | 68.60% | 29.42% | D+39.2 | 65.29% | 27.68% | D+37.6 | D |
41A | 59.61% | 38.36% | D+21.2 | 55.79% | 35.28% | D+20.5 | D |
41B | 62.30% | 35.32% | D+27 | 62.11% | 29.12% | D+33 | D |
42A | 51.48% | 46.50% | D+5 | 52.61% | 38.39% | D+14.2 | R |
42B | 56.76% | 41.28% | D+15.5 | 56.05% | 35.37% | D+20.7 | D |
43A | 56.52% | 41.92% | D+14.6 | 54.01% | 38.15% | D+15.9 | D |
43B | 57.50% | 40.33% | D+17.2 | 52.35% | 39.35% | D+13 | D |
44A | 47.99% | 50.66% | R+2.7 | 53.47% | 38.83% | D+14.6 | R |
44B | 54.39% | 44.30% | D+10.1 | 57.27% | 35.36% | D+21.9 | D |
45A | 59.17% | 38.72% | D+20.5 | 58.13% | 33.53% | D+24.6 | D |
45B | 63.39% | 34.34% | D+29.1 | 64.02% | 27.43% | D+36.6 | D |
46A | 64.31% | 33.66% | D+30.7 | 66.50% | 25.81% | D+40.7 | D |
46B | 65.79% | 32.01% | D+33.8 | 68.45% | 23.31% | D+45.1 | D |
47A | 35.32% | 63.07% | R+27.7 | 31.29% | 60.91% | R+29.6 | R |
47B | 42.17% | 56.19% | R+14 | 44.19% | 47.17% | R+3 | R |
48A | 52.14% | 46.19% | D+5.9 | 55.55% | 36.50% | D+19.1 | D |
48B | 46.72% | 51.70% | R+5 | 53.09% | 39.54% | D+13.6 | R |
49A | 52.29% | 46.68% | D+5.6 | 60.37% | 32.60% | D+27.8 | R |
49B | 52.45% | 46.18% | D+6.3 | 56.50% | 36.35% | D+20.2 | D |
50A | 63.81% | 33.98% | D+29.8 | 61.93% | 29.97% | D+32 | D |
50B | 56.96% | 40.99% | D+16 | 55.51% | 36.29% | D+19.2 | D |
51A | 55.56% | 42.44% | D+13.1 | 54.45% | 37.27% | D+17.2 | D |
51B | 51.44% | 46.79% | D+4.7 | 54.17% | 37.06% | D+17.1 | D |
52A | 58.72% | 39.32% | D+19.4 | 56.76% | 34.99% | D+21.8 | D |
52B | 52.90% | 45.36% | D+7.5 | 49.95% | 42.08% | D+7.9 | R |
53A | 56.63% | 41.59% | D+15 | 54.59% | 37.63% | D+17 | D |
53B | 46.78% | 51.95% | R+5.2 | 50.81% | 42.01% | D+8.8 | R |
54A | 55.87% | 41.75% | D+14.1 | 46.83% | 43.55% | D+3.3 | R |
54B | 49.32% | 48.74% | D+0.6 | 42.76% | 48.63% | R+5.9 | R |
55A | 46.18% | 51.67% | R+5.5 | 43.39% | 47.89% | R+4.5 | R |
55B | 38.11% | 60.15% | R+22 | 34.43% | 57.98% | R+23.5 | R |
56A | 47.26% | 50.85% | R+3.6 | 47.12% | 44.13% | D+3 | R |
56B | 49.26% | 48.97% | D+0.3 | 48.62% | 43.89% | D+4.7 | R |
57A | 50.85% | 47.34% | D+3.5 | 49.06% | 42.78% | D+6.3 | D |
57B | 48.75% | 49.64% | R+0.9 | 48.21% | 43.72% | D+4.5 | R |
58A | 42.24% | 56.02% | R+13.8 | 40.36% | 51.99% | R+11.6 | R |
58B | 42.46% | 55.75% | R+13.3 | 34.86% | 57.04% | R+22.2 | R |
59A | 84.23% | 13.96% | D+70.3 | 78.85% | 13.74% | D+65.1 | D |
59B | 80.65% | 17.23% | D+63.4 | 79.46% | 13.04% | D+66.4 | D |
60A | 77.47% | 18.61% | D+58.9 | 76.38% | 14.48% | D+61.9 | D |
60B | 76.39% | 19.31% | D+57.1 | 79.57% | 11.88% | D+67.7 | D |
61A | 78.23% | 19.40% | D+58.8 | 81.47% | 12.06% | D+69.4 | D |
61B | 78.20% | 19.94% | D+58.3 | 81.29% | 12.45% | D+68.8 | D |
62A | 86.72% | 9.26% | D+77.5 | 84.08% | 7.57% | D+76.5 | D |
62B | 86.87% | 10.09% | D+76.8 | 85.70% | 6.89% | D+78.8 | D |
63A | 82.84% | 14.33% | D+68.5 | 81.97% | 10.62% | D+71.4 | D |
63B | 73.83% | 23.99% | D+49.8 | 73.80% | 18.58% | D+55.2 | D |
64A | 76.89% | 20.30% | D+56.6 | 78.82% | 13.58% | D+65.2 | D |
64B | 70.63% | 27.37% | D+43.3 | 74.41% | 18.39% | D+56 | D |
65A | 83.74% | 13.76% | D+70 | 80.78% | 12.13% | D+68.6 | D |
65B | 77.60% | 19.70% | D+57.9 | 74.28% | 17.59% | D+56.7 | D |
66A | 65.92% | 31.91% | D+34 | 67.89% | 23.85% | D+44 | D |
66B | 78.86% | 18.90% | D+60 | 76.62% | 15.90% | D+60.7 | D |
67A | 76.07% | 21.79% | D+54.3 | 70.99% | 21.62% | D+49.4 | D |
67B | 74.76% | 23.00% | D+51.8 | 70.67% | 22.02% | D+48.6 | D |
Total | 52.84% | 45.12% | D+7.7 | 46.88% | 45.34% | D+1.5 | - |
Source: Daily Kos |
State overview
Partisan control
This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in Minnesota heading into the 2018 elections.
Congressional delegation
- Following the 2016 elections, Democrats held both U.S. Senate seats in Minnesota.
- Democrats held 5 of 8 U.S. House seats in Minnesota.
State executives
- The governor of Minnesota was Democrat Mark Dayton. The state held an election for governor and lieutenant governor on November 6, 2018.
State legislature
- Republicans had a 77-56 majority in the state House. The state Senate was tied, with 33 Republicans and 33 Democrats.
Trifecta status
- Minnesota was under divided government, meaning that the two parties shared control of the state government. Mark Dayton (D) served as governor, while Republicans controlled the state legislature.
2018 elections
- See also: Minnesota elections, 2018
Minnesota held elections for the following positions in 2018:
- Two U.S. Senate seats (one regular election and one special election)
- 8 U.S. House seats
- Governor and lieutenant governor
- Five lower state executive positions
- 134 state House seats
- One state Senate seat
- Municipal elections in St. Paul, Hennepin County, and Ramsey County
Demographics
Demographic data for Minnesota | ||
---|---|---|
Minnesota | U.S. | |
Total population: | 5,482,435 | 316,515,021 |
Land area (sq mi): | 79,627 | 3,531,905 |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White: | 84.8% | 73.6% |
Black/African American: | 5.5% | 12.6% |
Asian: | 4.4% | 5.1% |
Native American: | 1% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander: | 0% | 0.2% |
Two or more: | 2.7% | 3% |
Hispanic/Latino: | 5% | 17.1% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate: | 92.4% | 86.7% |
College graduation rate: | 33.7% | 29.8% |
Income | ||
Median household income: | $61,492 | $53,889 |
Persons below poverty level: | 12.2% | 11.3% |
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Minnesota. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. |
As of July 2016, Minnesota's three largest cities were Minneapolis (pop. est. 422,000), St. Paul (pop. est. 307,000), and Rochester (pop. est. 116,000).[27]
State election history
This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Minnesota from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the Minnesota Secretary of State.
Historical elections
Presidential elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Minnesota every year from 2000 to 2016.
Election results (President of the United States), Minnesota 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2016 | ![]() |
46.4% | ![]() |
44.9% | 1.5% |
2012 | ![]() |
52.7% | ![]() |
45.0% | 7.7% |
2008 | ![]() |
54.1% | ![]() |
43.8% | 10.3% |
2004 | ![]() |
51.1% | ![]() |
47.6% | 3.5% |
2000 | ![]() |
47.9% | ![]() |
45.5% | 2.4% |
U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in Minnesota from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.
Election results (U.S. Senator), Minnesota 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2014 | ![]() |
53.2% | ![]() |
42.9% | 10.3% |
2012 | ![]() |
65.2% | ![]() |
30.5% | 34.7% |
2008 | ![]() |
41.99% | ![]() |
41.98% | 0.01% |
2006 | ![]() |
58.1% | ![]() |
37.9% | 20.2% |
2002 | ![]() |
49.5% | ![]() |
47.3% | 2.2% |
2000 | ![]() |
48.8% | ![]() |
43.3% | 5.5% |
Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Minnesota.
Election results (Governor), Minnesota 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2014 | ![]() |
50.1% | ![]() |
44.5% | 5.6% |
2010 | ![]() |
43.6% | ![]() |
43.2% | 0.4% |
2006 | ![]() |
46.7% | ![]() |
45.7% | 1.0% |
2002 | ![]() |
44.4% | ![]() |
36.5% | 7.9% |
Congressional delegation, 2000-2016
This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Minnesota in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.
Trifectas, 1992-2017
A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.
Minnesota Party Control: 1992-2024
Four years of Democratic trifectas • No Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | I | I | I | I | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Senate | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D |
House | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D |
See also
- United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota, 2018
- United States House elections in Minnesota (August 14, 2018 Democratic primaries)
- Minnesota's 5th Congressional District election (August 14, 2018 Republican primary)
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2018
Footnotes
- ↑ Fox9, "Rep. Ilhan Omar, seven others to run for Congressman Ellison's open seat," June 5, 2018
- ↑ Minnpost, "For what it’s worth, CD5 DFLers endorsed Ilhan Omar. But what’s it worth?" June 18 2018
- ↑ Twin Cities Pioneer Press, "A refugee who learned English via TV, Ilhan Omar sets her sights on Congress," June 6, 2018
- ↑ Mankota Free Press, "Reporter's notebook: Local lawmaker leads new GOP caucus; Mankato native runs for Congress," June 7, 2018
- ↑ Los Angeles Times, "If Trump’s executive order had been in effect when I was a boy, I would be dead. And so would my family," January 30, 2017
- ↑ MinnPost, "Why Trump’s executive order on immigrants is un-American: a Somali family's story," Jan 30, 2018
- ↑ Star Tribune, Trump's attack on Somalis illustrates the harm he could do," August 17, 2016
- ↑ Project Vote Smart - Rep. Kelliher
- ↑ Illhan Omar for Congress, "About," accessed July 26, 2018
- ↑ 10.0 10.1 10.2 10.3 Note: This text is quoted verbatim from the original source. Any inconsistencies are attributable to the original source.
- ↑ "Meet Jamal," accessed June 18, 2018
- ↑ "Learn More," accessed July 26, 2018
- ↑ "Vision," accessed June 18, 2018
- ↑ "Meet Patricia," accessed June 18, 2018
- ↑ [http://www.fox9.com/news/dfl-candidates-in-fifth-congressional-district-race-face-off-in-forum Fox9, "Israel-Palestine conflict takes center stage at Minnesota CD-5 forum," August 6, 2018
- ↑ KSTP, "5th Congressional District Candidates Discuss Gun Culture During Forum," August 6, 2018
- ↑ StarTribune, "5th District DFL Candidates Square off in Forum," August 6, 2018
- ↑ St. Cloud Times, "Nearly 74,000 speak at least some Somali in Minnesota," October 22, 2017
- ↑ Star Tribune, "Go inside 'Little Mogadishu,' the Somali capital of America," March 2, 2017
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
- ↑ Minnesota Secretary of State, "Candidate Filings," accessed June 1, 2016
- ↑ Politico, "Minnesota House Primaries Results," August 9, 2016
- ↑ 270towin.com, "Minnesota," accessed June 29, 2017
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
- ↑ Minnesota Demographics, "Minnesota Cities by Population," accessed September 4, 2018