Your feedback ensures we stay focused on the facts that matter to you most—take our survey.
Missouri gubernatorial election, 2024 (August 6 Republican primary)
|
← 2020
|
| Governor of Missouri |
|---|
 |
| Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
| Election details |
| Filing deadline: March 26, 2024 |
| Primary: August 6, 2024 General: November 5, 2024 Pre-election incumbent(s): Mike Parson (R) |
| How to vote |
| Poll times: 6 a.m. to 7 p.m. Voting in Missouri |
| Ballotpedia analysis |
| Federal and state primary competitiveness State executive elections in 2024 Impact of term limits in 2024 State government trifectas State government triplexes Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024 |
| Missouri executive elections |
| Governor Lieutenant Governor |
Mike Kehoe (R) won the Republican primary for Missouri's gubernatorial election on August 6, 2024. Click here for detailed results.
Nine candidates ran in the Republican primary election for governor of Missouri on August 6, 2024. Jay Ashcroft (R), Bill Eigel (R), and Mike Kehoe (R) led in polling and media attention. Inc. Gov. Mike Parson (R) was not able to file for re-election due to term limits.
Ashcroft, Eigel, and Kehoe participated in a February candidate forum. According to St. Louis Public Radio’s Jason Rosen, "The verbal blows onstage reflect a new reality for a party that’s been dominant in state elections for nearly eight years. Republicans now face noticeable factionalism in their legislative supermajority and on the campaign trail."[1] Rosen said that while Kehoe avoided directly criticizing the other candidates, Eigel criticized both Kehoe and Ashcroft, saying, "Don't be afraid of the message that we can't take our state back because I don't have enough lobbyist money or I don't have the right last name from my dad," referring to Ashcroft, who is the son of Frmr. Gov. John Ashcroft. Ashcroft responded by saying, "Are we going to pick words, or we're going to pick actions?"[1]
Ashcroft was the Missouri Secretary of State. Ashcroft said his engineering background helped him be results-driven. Ashcroft said, "It takes a different kind of thinking to lead the way out. I’m an engineer, and engineers fix problems. We focus on results." Ashcroft said he would reduce government spending, eliminate gas and income taxes, increase law enforcement funding, and keep obscene materials out of public libraries.[2][3][4]
Eigel was a state senator from Missouri’s 23rd District. Eigel said, "I happen to believe that one of the biggest problems that we have here in Missouri [is] all of those so-called Republicans - folks who campaign as Republicans and govern as Democrats. I’ve got news for these campaign conservatives who have betrayed us: your grift is coming to an end."[5] Eigel said he would require election authorities to manually count ballots instead of using machines, eliminate personal property and corporate taxes, and disallow programs he described as "woke" from being taught in public schools.[6]
Kehoe was the lieutenant governor of Missouri. Kehoe said, "Making our communities safer, controlling spending, running the state like a business, creating jobs, and securing the future for Missouri by fighting for our shared family values - [that] is why I am running for governor."[7] Kehoe said he supported policies that would create more jobs, expand workforce development, support seniors and veterans, and improve education.[8]
Over 20 unions and organizations endorsed Kehoe, including the Fire Fighter Association of Missouri, Missouri Agribusiness Association, and the Missouri Farm Bureau.[9] The Missouri Right to Life PAC endorsed Ashcroft, and the Make Liberty Win PAC endorsed Eigel.[10][11]
As of August 6, 2024, The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter, Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales, and Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball rated the Missouri gubernatorial election as a safe or solid Republican seat.
Darren Grant (R), Jeremy Gundel (R), Darrell Leon McClanahan III (R), Robert Olson (R), Amber Thomsen (R), and Chris Wright (R) also ran in the Republican primary.
This page focuses on Missouri's Republican Party gubernatorial primary. For more in-depth information on Missouri's Democratic gubernatorial primary and the general election, see the following pages:
- Missouri gubernatorial election, 2024 (August 6 Democratic primary)
- Missouri gubernatorial election, 2024
Election news
This section includes a timeline of events leading up to the election.
Candidates and election results
Republican primary election
Republican primary for Governor of Missouri
The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for Governor of Missouri on August 6, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ |  | Mike Kehoe | 39.4 | 275,139 |
 | Bill Eigel  | 32.5 | 227,257 | |
 | Jay Ashcroft | 23.2 | 162,314 | |
 | Amber Thomsen | 1.5 | 10,653 | |
 | Chris Wright | 1.3 | 9,376 | |
 | Darrell Leon McClanahan III | 0.8 | 5,656 | |
| Robert Olson | 0.4 | 2,985 | ||
| Jeremy Gundel | 0.4 | 2,951 | ||
| Darren Grant | 0.3 | 1,871 | ||
| Total votes: 698,202 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Voting information
- See also: Voting in Missouri
-
Candidate comparison
Candidate profiles
This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office:
- Missouri Secretary of State (Assumed office: 2017)
Biography: Ashcroft received a bachelor's and master's degree from the University of Missouri at Rolla and a J.D. from St. Louis University. Ashcroft's professional experience included working as a defense contractor, engineer professor, and intellectual property attorney.
Show sources
This information was current as of the candidate's run for Governor of Missouri in 2024.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "I am a Christian, veteran, small business owner, husband, father, and state senator. I began my adult life in the Air Force, where I achieved the rank of Captain. I was the Aircraft Maintenance Officer in charge of half of America’s entire fleet of B-2 stealth bombers. During my service, I deployed to multiple foreign locations, including Ashgabat, Turkmenistan, in support of Operation Enduring Freedom. I was awarded the Air Force Commendation Medal for my service as the Officer-In-Charge for America's primary airlift refuel stop between Afghanistan and Europe in 2004. Amanda, my wife, also served in the Air Force. After leaving the service in 2007, we moved to MO to raise our kids. We purchased St. Louis Skylights, a small residential and commercial remodeling company. As a small business owner, I learned how to cut waste and turn a struggling business around. Despite the challenges of the economic recession in 2008 and 2009, we expanded to serve customers nationwide. I didn’t want anything to do with politics. As a business owner, the government was always regulating my company, telling me how to run my business, and taxing me to no end. When Obamacare was shoved down the throat of my small business, our premiums tripled and our coverage was worse. That caused me to get involved and eventually run for state senate in 2016. As a senator, I've been the same person I promised to be. I was a founding member of the Conservative Caucus and the MO Freedom Caucus."
This information was current as of the candidate's run for Governor of Missouri in 2024.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office:
- Lieutenant Governor of Missouri (Assumed office: 2018)
- Missouri Senate, District 6 (2011-2018)
Biography: Kehoe's professional experience included working as an owner and operator of Ford and Lincoln Mercury franchises, manager at Osage Industries, and sales manager at Dave Sinclair Ford.
Show sources
This information was current as of the candidate's run for Governor of Missouri in 2024.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "Darrell McClanahan"
This information was current as of the candidate's run for Governor of Missouri in 2024.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "As a native Southwest Missouri resident who was locally educated at College of the Ozarks in Elementary Education & Dietetics, I've been trained &/or employed in multiple avenues for employment including hospitals, schools, nursing homes, outpatient clinics, & pediatric home health/ adaptive physical education departments. This broad availability of employment arenas has allowed for me to understand where citizens are still being abused by their own government offices particularly on a localized level. Residing in one of the hottest tourism areas of the Midwest possessing the most theaters in the country to even outnumber Las Vegas, I've seen where the stage can be a distraction from coping with the most critical areas of our Nation, State, & local community allowing for dire situational crisis to be overlooked. As a profound defender of the Judeo-Christian faith, human rights, & individualized Constitutional defense, I've self-studied law & real estate with the intent to utilize my time to press against the continual battle that the court system has created & the local press has buried due to lack of exposure."
This information was current as of the candidate's run for Governor of Missouri in 2024.
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
Survey responses from candidates in this race
Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.
Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.
| Collapse all
Bill Eigel (R)
I have been advocating for eliminating the income tax for years. My copycat opponents recently decided to come around to my position just in time for campaign season. As a Senator, I actually passed the largest single year state income tax cut in Missouri history (HB 2540).
I am the ONLY candidate with a plan to DETAIN and DEPORT every single one of the estimated 77,000 illegal aliens already in MO.
Not only do I unequivocally 100% stand with President Donald J. Trump and support building the wall, but I have a plan to take action in Missouri!
My first day as governor, I will declare an invasion under Article IV of the Missouri Constitution. This will allow me to mobilize the Highway Patrol, National Guard, and every Sheriff in this state; and we're going to DETAIN and DEPORT the illegals already in MO.
When democrats in Colorado and Maine tried to ban Trump from the ballot, I fought back and filed a bill to kick Joe Biden off the ballot in MO for the invasion he’s allowing to occur at our southern border.
I am the ONLY candidate who wants to ban ALL foreign countries from owning ANY Missouri land. Missouri ought to be owned by Missourians, or at least Americans. In the MO Senate, I filed a constitutional amendment to ban ALL foreign ownership of MO land and to TAKE BACK the land already in foreign hands. We are getting every single square inch of our land back!
Make fully informed juries. Missouri law
End Missouri personal property tax.
Amber Thomsen (R)
Medical & Civil Rights attorneys should replace Family law. As the newly elected Governess, my intent is to enforce the law that is being neglected such as strongly reinforcing the newly passed Missouri legislation - No Patient Left Isolated - which disallows communication/ visitation shutdown between family & their loved ones being used as a patient. Patient care centers (of any kind) are not meant to be High Security Prison Lockdown Centers of any sort or shape. The current mentality & protocol presses for children & the elderly in particular to be subject to Cruel & Unusual Punishment just for being old or in one's youth. This scenario of abuse has to end yet will not occur with the current list of traditional candidates.
My campaign slogan is "Gold Again," as my main humanitarian mission is to END IHT (institutional human trafficking) of nursing home, forced medical procedures, mental wards, & estrangement of foster care. The last years of life should be years of bliss, family memories, bucket list completion, friendships rekindled, & spiritual devotion to our Creator in gratitude for the years lived. As we prepare for the Afterlife, our focus should be on having our assets estabilshed for financial gain & transfer to our own family members NOT for the government to step in a overhaul all of our decades of hard labor into the pockets of the State Treasury & their own kinship of thieves.
Bill Eigel (R)
I filed a bill to 1) eliminate the COVID-19 vaccine mandates for the National Guard, 2) eliminate the income tax on National Guard signing bonuses, and 3) ban all foreign ownership of land within 500 miles of our military bases.
As a small business owner, I believe the way to achieve economic growth is to cut taxes and red tape across the board. Government picking winners and losers is NOT the way to do it.
Amber Thomsen (R)
Bill Eigel (R)
I look up to Calvin Coolidge. He was able to eliminate the national debt during his presidency.
I look up to Donald J. Trump. He is being attacked from all sides, plagued by political prosecutions and baseless witch hunts, yet, he NEVER SURRENDERS or gives up. When Donald Trump is elected President for the 3rd time in a row, he’s going to drain the swamp in Washington D.C. and I’m going to drain the swamp in Missouri.
Amber Thomsen (R)
Amber Thomsen (R)
Amber Thomsen (R)
Amber Thomsen (R)
Amber Thomsen (R)
Amber Thomsen (R)
Amber Thomsen (R)
Amber Thomsen (R)
Amber Thomsen (R)
Amber Thomsen (R)
Amber Thomsen (R)
Amber Thomsen (R)
Amber Thomsen (R)
Amber Thomsen (R)
Amber Thomsen (R)
Amber Thomsen (R)
Amber Thomsen (R)
Amber Thomsen (R)
Amber Thomsen (R)
Amber Thomsen (R)
Amber Thomsen (R)
Bill Eigel (R)
2. Veterans for Trump - Veterans for America First 3. Mike Lindell
4. Freedom Principle MO
Amber Thomsen (R)
Amber Thomsen (R)
Bill Eigel (R)
This November, thanks to weak establishment republicans and our weak initiative petition laws, we could see abortion legalized up until the moment of birth. We could see a $15 an hour minimum wage enshrined in our constitution, something Bernie Sanders only dreamed of in 2016.
As governor, I will be a leader and we will defeat the abortion initiative in November.
Republicans across Missouri have demanded IP reform for years. With the very real possibility of the IP process being used to enshrine abortion in our constitution, we must fight like never before. Desperate times call for desperate measures. We must defend the sanctity of life and do what it takes to ensure abortion is never legalized in Missouri.
Currently, a simple majority of 50% is all that is needed to amend the Missouri Constitution. I support concurrent majority ratification which would require a simple majority of the vote as well as a majority of legislative districts, ensuring the voices of all Missourians are heard and not just the big cities like Kansas City and Saint Louis. We must ensure constitutional amendments are broadly supported across all areas of our state and ensure rural representation.
Campaign ads
Jay Ashcroft
| MAY 1, 2024 |
| April 28, 2024 |
| April 5, 2023 |
View more ads here:
Darren Grant
Ballotpedia did not come across any campaign ads for Darren Grant while conducting research on this election. If you are aware of any ads that should be included, please email us.
Jeremy Gundel
Ballotpedia did not come across any campaign ads for Jeremy Gundel while conducting research on this election. If you are aware of any ads that should be included, please email us.
Bill Eigel
| October 24, 2023 |
View more ads here:
Mike Kehoe
| May 16, 2023 |
View more ads here:
Darrell Leon McClanahan III
Ballotpedia did not come across any campaign ads for Darrell Leon McClanahan III while conducting research on this election. If you are aware of any ads that should be included, please email us.
Robert Olson
Ballotpedia did not come across any campaign ads for Robert Olson while conducting research on this election. If you are aware of any ads that should be included, please email us.
Amber Thomsen
Ballotpedia did not come across any campaign ads for Amber Thomsen while conducting research on this election. If you are aware of any ads that should be included, please email us.
Chris Wright
| December 19, 2022 |
View more ads here:
Debates and forums
This section includes links to debates, forums, and other similar events where multiple candidates in this race participated. If you are aware of any debates or forums that should be included, please email us.
February 17, 2024, candidate forum
On February 17, 2024, Jay Ashcroft, Bill Eigel, Mike Kehoe, and Chris Wright participated in a forum hosted by the Missouri GOP. There is no available video recording of the event.[14]
Click on the link below for a summary of the event:
December 3, 2023, candidate forum
On December 23, 2023, Jay Ashcroft, Bill Eigel, and Mike Kehoe participated in a forum hosted by Brownfield Ag News and the Missouri Farm Bureau.[15]
Click on the links below for summaries of the event:
Noteworthy endorsements
This section lists noteworthy endorsements issued in this election, including those made by high-profile individuals and organizations, cross-party endorsements, and endorsements made by newspaper editorial boards. It also includes a bulleted list of links to official lists of endorsements for any candidates who published that information on their campaign websites. Please note that this list is not exhaustive. If you are aware of endorsements that should be included, please click here.
| Republican primary endorsements | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Endorser | Jay Ashcroft | Bill Eigel | Mike Kehoe
|
| Government officials | |||
| U.S. Sen. Mike Lee (R) | ✔ | ||
| U.S. Rep. Matt Gaetz (R) source | ✔ | ||
| Gov. Mike Parson (R) source | ✔ | ||
| Individuals | |||
| Frmr. Acting Director of National Intelligence Richard Grenell source | ✔ | ||
| Frmr. Gov. Mike Huckabee source | ✔ | ||
| Vivek Ramaswamy source | ✔ | ||
| Frmr. Director of National Intelligence John Ratcliffe source | ✔ | ||
| Organizations | |||
| American Council Of Engineering Companies (ACEC/PAC) source | ✔ | ||
| Associated Builders And Contractors, Inc. Political Action Committee (ABC PAC) source | ✔ | ||
| Associated General Contractors of America Political Action Committee source | ✔ | ||
| Fire Fighter Association of Missouri source | ✔ | ||
| Flagship Council PAC source | ✔ | ||
| Freedom Principal MO source | ✔ | ||
| Heavy Constructors of Greater Kansas City source | ✔ | ||
| Make Liberty Win source | ✔ | ||
| Missouri Agribusiness Association source | ✔ | ||
| Missouri Asphalt Pavement Association source | ✔ | ||
| Missouri Automobile Dealers Association source | ✔ | ||
| Missouri Cattlemen's Association source | ✔ | ||
| Missouri Chamber of Commerce source | ✔ | ||
| Missouri Corn Growers Association source | ✔ | ||
| Missouri Dairy source | ✔ | ||
| Missouri Farm Bureau source | ✔ | ||
| Missouri Forest Products Association source | ✔ | ||
| Missouri Fraternal Order of Police source | ✔ | ||
| Missouri Freedom Caucus | ✔ | ||
| Missouri Limestone Producers Association source | ✔ | ||
| Missouri Right to Life PAC source | ✔ | ||
| Missouri Soybean Association source | ✔ | ||
| Missouri State Council of Fire Fighters source | ✔ | ||
| Missouri State Troopers Association source | ✔ | ||
| National Troopers Coalition source | ✔ | ||
| SITE Improvement Association source | ✔ | ||
Election competitiveness
Polls
- See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls
Polls are conducted with a variety of methodologies and have margins of error or credibility intervals.[16] The Pew Research Center wrote, "A margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points at the 95% confidence level means that if we fielded the same survey 100 times, we would expect the result to be within 3 percentage points of the true population value 95 of those times."[17] For tips on reading polls from FiveThirtyEight, click here. For tips from Pew, click here.
Below we provide results for polls that are included in polling aggregation from FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics, when available. Click here to read about FiveThirtyEight's criteria for including polls in its aggregation. We only report polls for which we can find a margin of error or credibility interval.
| Missouri gubernatorial election, 2024, Republican primary election polls | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | Date | Ashcroft
|
Eigel
|
Grant
|
Grundel
|
Kehoe
|
Olson
|
Thomsen
|
Wright
|
Undecided/Other | Margin of error | Sample size[18] | Sponsor[19] |
| The Tyson Group | April 23-26, 2024 | 36% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 11% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 40% | ± 4.3 | 504 | Building America's Future |
| YouGov | Feb. 14-26, 2024 | 28% | 8% | — | — | 10% | — | — | 3% | 50% | ± 5.4 | 414 | Saint Louis University |
| ARW Strategies | Feb. 5-7, 2024 | 36% | 13% | — | — | 13% | — | — | — | 48% | ± 3.96 | 611 | N/A |
| Show Me Victories | Oct. 26-31, 2023 | 18% | 6% | — | — | 19% | — | — | — | 49% | ± 4.9 | 407 | N/A |
| Remington Research Group | Sept. 27-28, 2024 | 32% | 5% | — | — | 15% | — | — | — | 48% | ± 3.4 | 714 | Missouri Scout |
Race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[20]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[21][22][23]
| Race ratings: Missouri gubernatorial election, 2024 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
| November 5, 2024 | October 29, 2024 | October 22, 2024 | October 15, 2024 | ||||||
| The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
| Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
| Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | |||||
| Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. | |||||||||
Election spending
Campaign finance
Satellite spending
- See also: Satellite spending
Satellite spending describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[24][25]
If available, satellite spending reports by the Federal Election Commission (FEC) and OpenSecrets.org are linked below. FEC links include totals from monthly, quarterly, and semi-annual reports. OpenSecrets.org compiles data from those reports as well as 24- and 48-hour reports from the FEC.[26]
Details about satellite spending of significant amounts and/or reported by media are included below those links. The amounts listed may not represent the total satellite spending in the election. To notify us of additional satellite spending, email us.
Election analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about demographics, past elections, and partisan control of the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the state.
- Statewide elections - Information about recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections in the state.
- State partisanship - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
- Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
Cook PVI by congressional district
| Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index for Missouri, 2024 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| District | Incumbent | Party | PVI |
| Missouri's 1st | Cori Bush |  Democratic |
D+27 |
| Missouri's 2nd | Ann Wagner |  Republican |
R+7 |
| Missouri's 3rd | Blaine Luetkemeyer | Republican |
R+16 |
| Missouri's 4th | Mark Alford | Republican |
R+23 |
| Missouri's 5th | Emanuel Cleaver | Democratic |
D+11 |
| Missouri's 6th | Sam Graves | Republican |
R+21 |
| Missouri's 7th | Eric Burlison | Republican |
R+24 |
| Missouri's 8th | Jason Smith | Republican |
R+28 |
2020 presidential results by 2024 congressional district lines
| 2020 presidential results in congressional districts based on 2024 district lines, Missouri[27] | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| District | Joe Biden 
|
Donald Trump
| ||
| Missouri's 1st | 78.4% | 20.0% | ||
| Missouri's 2nd | 45.3% | 53.0% | ||
| Missouri's 3rd | 35.9% | 62.2% | ||
| Missouri's 4th | 29.3% | 68.7% | ||
| Missouri's 5th | 62.2% | 35.9% | ||
| Missouri's 6th | 30.6% | 67.7% | ||
| Missouri's 7th | 28.4% | 69.8% | ||
| Missouri's 8th | 23.6% | 75.0% | ||
2012-2020
How a state's counties vote in a presidential election and the size of those counties can provide additional insights into election outcomes at other levels of government including statewide and congressional races. Below, four categories are used to describe each county's voting pattern over the 2012, 2016, and 2020 presidential elections: Solid, Trending, Battleground, and New. Click [show] on the table below for examples:
| County-level voting pattern categories | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | |||||||
| Status | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 | ||||
| Solid Democratic | D | D | D | ||||
| Trending Democratic | R | D | D | ||||
| Battleground Democratic | D | R | D | ||||
| New Democratic | R | R | D | ||||
| Republican | |||||||
| Status | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 | ||||
| Solid Republican | R | R | R | ||||
| Trending Republican | D | R | R | ||||
| Battleground Republican | R | D | R | ||||
| New Republican | D | D | R | ||||
Following the 2020 presidential election, 64.2% of Missourians lived in one of the state's 111 Solid Republican counties, which voted for the Republican presidential candidate in every election from 2012 to 2020, and 35.8% lived in one of four Solid Democratic counties. Overall, Missouri was Solid Republican, having voted for Mitt Romney (R) in 2012, Donald Trump (R) in 2016, and Donald Trump (R) in 2020. Use the table below to view the total number of each type of county in Missouri following the 2020 election as well as the overall percentage of the state population located in each county type.[28]
| Missouri county-level statistics, 2020 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solid Republican | 111 | 64.2% | |||||
| Solid Democratic | 4 | 35.8% | |||||
| Total voted Democratic | 4 | 35.8% | |||||
| Total voted Republican | 111 | 64.2% | |||||
Historical voting trends
Missouri presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 14 Democratic wins
- 17 Republican wins
| Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winning Party | D | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | R | D | D | D | R | R | D | R | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R |
This section details the results of the five most recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections held in the state.
U.S. Senate elections
The table below details the vote in the five most recent U.S. Senate races in Missouri.
| U.S. Senate election results in Missouri | ||
|---|---|---|
| Race | Winner | Runner up |
| 2022 | 55.4% |
42.2%
|
| 2018 | 51.4% |
45.6%
|
| 2016 | 49.3% |
46.2%
|
| 2012 | 54.8% |
39.0%
|
| 2010 | 54.3% |
40.6%
|
| Average | 51.9 | 43.7 |
Gubernatorial elections
- See also: Governor of Missouri
The table below details the vote in the five most recent gubernatorial elections in Missouri.
| Gubernatorial election results in Missouri | ||
|---|---|---|
| Race | Winner | Runner up |
| 2020 | 57.1% |
40.7%
|
| 2016 | 51.1% |
45.6%
|
| 2012 | 54.8% |
42.5%
|
| 2008 | 58.4% |
39.5%
|
| 2004 | 50.8% |
47.8%
|
| Average | 54.4 | 43.2 |
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Missouri's congressional delegation as of May 2024.
| Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Missouri | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
| Democratic | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Republican | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 2 | 8 | 10 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Missouri's top four state executive offices as May 2024.
| State executive officials in Missouri, May 2024 | |
|---|---|
| Office | Officeholder |
| Governor | Mike Parson
|
| Lieutenant Governor | Mike Kehoe
|
| Secretary of State | Jay Ashcroft
|
| Attorney General | Andrew Bailey
|
State legislature
Missouri State Senate
| Party | As of February 2024 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 10 | |
| Republican Party | 24 | |
| Other | 0 | |
| Vacancies | 0 | |
| Total | 34 | |
Missouri House of Representatives
| Party | As of February 2024 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 51 | |
| Republican Party | 111 | |
| Other | 0 | |
| Vacancies | 1 | |
| Total | 163 | |
Trifecta control
The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.
Missouri Party Control: 1992-2024
Eight years of Democratic trifectas • Twelve years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
| Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
| Senate | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
| House | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
The table below details demographic data in Missouri and compares it to the broader United States as of 2022.
| Demographic Data for Missouri | ||
|---|---|---|
| Missouri | United States | |
| Population | 6,154,913 | 331,449,281 |
| Land area (sq mi) | 68,745 | 3,531,905 |
| Race and ethnicity** | ||
| White | 79.4% | 65.9% |
| Black/African American | 11.3% | 12.5% |
| Asian | 2.1% | 5.8% |
| Native American | 0.3% | 0.8% |
| Pacific Islander | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Other (single race) | 1.5% | 6% |
| Multiple | 5.4% | 8.8% |
| Hispanic/Latino | 4.6% | 18.7% |
| Education | ||
| High school graduation rate | 91.3% | 89.1% |
| College graduation rate | 31.2% | 34.3% |
| Income | ||
| Median household income | $65,920 | $75,149 |
| Persons below poverty level | 8.5% | 8.8% |
| Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2020). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2017-2022). | ||
| **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. | ||
State profile
| Demographic data for Missouri | ||
|---|---|---|
| Missouri | U.S. | |
| Total population: | 6,076,204 | 316,515,021 |
| Land area (sq mi): | 68,742 | 3,531,905 |
| Race and ethnicity** | ||
| White: | 82.6% | 73.6% |
| Black/African American: | 11.5% | 12.6% |
| Asian: | 1.8% | 5.1% |
| Native American: | 0.4% | 0.8% |
| Pacific Islander: | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Two or more: | 2.4% | 3% |
| Hispanic/Latino: | 3.9% | 17.1% |
| Education | ||
| High school graduation rate: | 88.4% | 86.7% |
| College graduation rate: | 27.1% | 29.8% |
| Income | ||
| Median household income: | $48,173 | $53,889 |
| Persons below poverty level: | 18.2% | 11.3% |
| Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Missouri. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. | ||
Presidential voting pattern
- See also: Presidential voting trends in Missouri
Missouri voted Republican in all seven presidential elections between 2000 and 2024.
More Missouri coverage on Ballotpedia
- Elections in Missouri
- United States congressional delegations from Missouri
- Public policy in Missouri
- Endorsers in Missouri
- Missouri fact checks
- More...
Election context
The section below details election results for this office in elections dating back to 2012.
2020
- See also: Missouri gubernatorial election, 2020
General election
General election for Governor of Missouri
The following candidates ran in the general election for Governor of Missouri on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ |  | Mike Parson (R) | 57.1 | 1,720,202 |
 | Nicole Galloway (D) | 40.7 | 1,225,771 | |
 | Rik Combs (L) | 1.6 | 49,067 | |
 | Jerome H. Bauer (G) | 0.6 | 17,234 | |
 | Theodis Brown Sr. (Independent) (Write-in) | 0.0 | 5 | |
| Arnie Dienoff (Independent) (Write-in) | 0.0 | 4 | ||
| Martin Lindstedt (Independent) (Write-in) | 0.0 | 4 | ||
| Total votes: 3,012,287 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for Governor of Missouri
Nicole Galloway defeated Eric Morrison, Jimmie Matthews, Antoin Johnson, and Robin Van Quaethem in the Democratic primary for Governor of Missouri on August 4, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Nicole Galloway | 84.6 | 455,203 |
 | Eric Morrison | 6.0 | 32,403 | |
| Jimmie Matthews | 3.8 | 20,586 | ||
 | Antoin Johnson | 3.8 | 20,254 | |
| Robin Van Quaethem | 1.8 | 9,481 | ||
| Total votes: 537,927 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- La'Ondrill Brown (D)
- Edward Thurman (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for Governor of Missouri
Incumbent Mike Parson defeated Saundra McDowell, James Neely, and Raleigh Ritter in the Republican primary for Governor of Missouri on August 4, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Mike Parson | 74.9 | 511,566 |
 | Saundra McDowell | 12.4 | 84,412 | |
 | James Neely | 8.7 | 59,514 | |
 | Raleigh Ritter | 4.0 | 27,264 | |
| Total votes: 682,756 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Green primary election
Green primary for Governor of Missouri
Jerome H. Bauer advanced from the Green primary for Governor of Missouri on August 4, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Jerome H. Bauer | 100.0 | 862 |
| Total votes: 862 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Libertarian primary election
Libertarian primary for Governor of Missouri
Rik Combs advanced from the Libertarian primary for Governor of Missouri on August 4, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Rik Combs | 100.0 | 4,171 |
| Total votes: 4,171 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
2016
- See also: Missouri gubernatorial election, 2016
The general election for governor was held on November 8, 2016.
Eric Greitens defeated Chris Koster, Cisse Spragins, Lester Turilli, and Don Fitz in the Missouri governor election.| Missouri Governor, 2016 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
| Republican |  Eric Greitens |
51.29% | 1,424,730 | |
| Democratic | Chris Koster | 45.40% | 1,261,110 | |
| Libertarian | Cisse Spragins | 1.47% | 40,718 | |
| Independent | Lester Turilli Jr. | 1.07% | 29,774 | |
| Green | Don Fitz | 0.75% | 20,785 | |
| Write-in votes | 0.03% | 737 | ||
| Total Votes | 2,777,854 | |||
| Source: Missouri Secretary of State | ||||
2012
- 2012 General Election for Governor of Missouri
On November 6, 2012, incumbent Jay Nixon defeated Dave Spence (R) and Jim Higgins (L) to win a second term as governor.
| Governor of Missouri General Election, 2012 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
| Democratic | Jay Nixon Incumbent |
54.8% | 1,494,056 | |
| Republican | Dave Spence | 42.5% | 1,160,265 | |
| Libertarian | Jim Higgins | 2.7% | 73,509 | |
| Total Votes | 2,727,830 | |||
| Election results via Missouri Secretary of State | ||||
State profile
| Demographic data for Missouri | ||
|---|---|---|
| Missouri | U.S. | |
| Total population: | 6,076,204 | 316,515,021 |
| Land area (sq mi): | 68,742 | 3,531,905 |
| Race and ethnicity** | ||
| White: | 82.6% | 73.6% |
| Black/African American: | 11.5% | 12.6% |
| Asian: | 1.8% | 5.1% |
| Native American: | 0.4% | 0.8% |
| Pacific Islander: | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Two or more: | 2.4% | 3% |
| Hispanic/Latino: | 3.9% | 17.1% |
| Education | ||
| High school graduation rate: | 88.4% | 86.7% |
| College graduation rate: | 27.1% | 29.8% |
| Income | ||
| Median household income: | $48,173 | $53,889 |
| Persons below poverty level: | 18.2% | 11.3% |
| Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Missouri. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. | ||
Presidential voting pattern
- See also: Presidential voting trends in Missouri
Missouri voted Republican in all seven presidential elections between 2000 and 2024.
More Missouri coverage on Ballotpedia
- Elections in Missouri
- United States congressional delegations from Missouri
- Public policy in Missouri
- Endorsers in Missouri
- Missouri fact checks
- More...
2024 battleground elections
- See also: Battlegrounds
This was a battleground election. Other 2024 battleground elections included:
- Pennsylvania's 8th Congressional District election, 2024
- United States Senate election in Montana, 2024
- Wisconsin's 3rd Congressional District election, 2024 (August 13 Democratic primary)
See also
| Missouri | State Executive Elections | News and Analysis |
|---|---|---|
 |
 |
 |
|
|
|
|
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ 1.0 1.1 St. Louis Public Rado, "Clashes at governor candidate forum showcase GOP rifts and contrasting visions for Missouri," February 18, 2024
- ↑ Ashcroft for Governor, "Home," accessed May 20, 2024
- ↑ Ashcroft for Governor, "Repeal Taxes & Restore Fiscal Discipline," accessed May 20, 2024
- ↑ Ashcroft for Governor, "Re-Fund the Police and Invest in Our Communities," accessed May 20, 2024
- ↑ Youtube, "Bill Eigel for Governor Official Launch Vide," October 4, 2023
- ↑ Bill Eigel for Governor, "Bill's Platform," accessed May 20, 2024
- ↑ Mike Kehoe Governor, "Living Proof," accessed May 20, 2024
- ↑ Mike Kehoe Governor, "About Mike," accessed May 20, 2024
- ↑ Mike Kehoe for Governor, "Endorsements," accessed June 6, 2024
- ↑ St. Louis Post Dispatch, "Gubernatorial hopeful Jay Ashcroft lands key endorsement from Missouri Right to Life," July 18, 2023
- ↑ Twitter, "MLW Endorses Eigel for Governor," December 11, 2023
- ↑ Politico, "North Carolina runoff pits Trump vs. money," April 29, 2024
- ↑ St. Louis University Research Institute, "SLU Poll|YouGov," March 13, 2024
- ↑ 14.0 14.1 St. Louis Public Radio, "Clashes at governor candidate forum showcase GOP rifts and contrasting visions for Missouri," February 18, 2024
- ↑ Youtube, "Missouri 2024 Gubernatorial Candidate Forum," December 5, 2023
- ↑ For more information on the difference between margins of error and credibility intervals, see explanations from the American Association for Public Opinion Research and Ipsos.
- ↑ Pew Research Center, "5 key things to know about the margin of error in election polls," September 8, 2016
- ↑ RV=Registered Voters
LV=Likely Voters - ↑ The sponsor is the person or group that funded all or part of the poll.
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed December 12, 2021
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed December 12, 2021
- ↑ Amee LaTour, Email correspondence with the Center for Responsive Politics, August 5, 2022
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012," accessed December 15, 2023
- ↑ This analysis includes Missouri's 114 counties and the independent city of St. Louis.
 |
State of Missouri Jefferson City (capital) |
|---|---|
| Elections |
What's on my ballot? | Elections in 2025 | How to vote | How to run for office | Ballot measures |
| Government |
Who represents me? | U.S. President | U.S. Congress | Federal courts | State executives | State legislature | State and local courts | Counties | Cities | School districts | Public policy |
