Nebraska's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022
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Nebraska's 3rd Congressional District |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: February 15, 2022/March 1, 2022 |
Primary: May 10, 2022 General: November 8, 2022 |
How to vote |
Poll times: 8 a.m. to 8 p.m. (Central time zone); 7 a.m. to 7 p.m. (Mountain time zone) Voting in Nebraska |
Race ratings |
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican Inside Elections: Solid Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022 |
See also |
1st • 2nd • 3rd Nebraska elections, 2022 U.S. Congress elections, 2022 U.S. Senate elections, 2022 U.S. House elections, 2022 |
All U.S. House districts, including the 3rd Congressional District of Nebraska, held elections in 2022. The general election was on November 8, 2022. The primary was scheduled for May 10, 2022. The filing deadline for an incumbent was February 15, 2022. The filing deadline for non-incumbent candidates was March 1, 2022.
The outcome of this race affected the partisan balance of the U.S. House of Representatives in the 118th Congress. All 435 House districts were up for election.
Republicans won a 222-213 majority in the U.S. House in 2022.
Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have received 23.1% of the vote in this district and Donald Trump (R) would have received 74.9%.[1]
For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:
- Nebraska's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022 (May 10 Democratic primary)
- Nebraska's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022 (May 10 Republican primary)
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House Nebraska District 3
Incumbent Adrian Smith defeated David J. Else and Mark Elworth Jr. in the general election for U.S. House Nebraska District 3 on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Adrian Smith (R) | 78.3 | 172,700 |
![]() | David J. Else (D) | 15.8 | 34,836 | |
![]() | Mark Elworth Jr. (Legal Marijuana Now Party) ![]() | 5.9 | 13,016 |
Total votes: 220,552 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 3
David J. Else defeated Daniel Wik in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 3 on May 10, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | David J. Else | 52.2 | 8,701 |
![]() | Daniel Wik | 47.8 | 7,968 |
Total votes: 16,669 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 3
Incumbent Adrian Smith defeated Mike Calhoun in the Republican primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 3 on May 10, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Adrian Smith | 76.0 | 89,453 |
Mike Calhoun | 24.0 | 28,243 |
Total votes: 117,696 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Legal Marijuana Now Party primary election
Legal Marijuana Now Party primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 3
Mark Elworth Jr. advanced from the Legal Marijuana Now Party primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 3 on May 10, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Mark Elworth Jr. ![]() | 100.0 | 89 |
Total votes: 89 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Voting information
- See also: Voting in Nebraska
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
Survey responses from candidates in this race
Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.
Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.
Collapse all
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Mark Elworth Jr. (Legal Marijuana Now)
Grow Hemp to save the Earth
Promote Freedom and Liberty

Mark Elworth Jr. (Legal Marijuana Now)

Mark Elworth Jr. (Legal Marijuana Now)

Mark Elworth Jr. (Legal Marijuana Now)

Mark Elworth Jr. (Legal Marijuana Now)

Mark Elworth Jr. (Legal Marijuana Now)

Mark Elworth Jr. (Legal Marijuana Now)

Mark Elworth Jr. (Legal Marijuana Now)
Campaign finance
This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[2] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[3] Click here to view the reporting schedule for candidates for U.S. Congress in 2022.
U.S. Congress campaign reporting schedule, 2022 | ||
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Report | Close of books | Filing deadline |
Year-end 2021 | 12/31/2021 | 1/31/2022 |
April quarterly | 3/31/2022 | 4/15/2022 |
July quarterly | 6/30/2022 | 7/15/2022 |
October quarterly | 9/30/2022 | 10/15/2022 |
Pre-general | 10/19/2022 | 10/27/2022 |
Post-general | 11/28/2022 | 12/08/2022 |
Year-end 2022 | 12/31/2022 | 1/31/2023 |
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
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Adrian Smith | Republican Party | $1,709,691 | $1,940,798 | $914,536 | As of December 31, 2022 |
David J. Else | Democratic Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Daniel Wik | Democratic Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Mike Calhoun | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Mark Elworth Jr. | Legal Marijuana Now Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2022. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[4]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[5][6][7]
Race ratings: Nebraska's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022 | |||||||||
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Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
November 8, 2022 | November 1, 2022 | October 25, 2022 | October 18, 2022 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. |
Ballot access requirements
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Nebraska in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Nebraska, click here.
Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2022 | ||||||
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State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
Nebraska | U.S. House | Ballot-qualified party | N/A | $1,740.00 | 2/15/2022 | Source |
Nebraska | U.S. House | Unaffiliated | 20% of registered voters in the district who voted for president in 2020, or 2,000, whichever is less | $1,740.00 | 9/1/2022 | Source |
District analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting.
- Effect of redistricting - How districts in the state changed as a result of redistricting following the 2020 census.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2022 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
District map
Below was the map in use at the time of the election, enacted as part of the 2020 redistricting cycle, compared to the map in place before the election.
Nebraska District 3
until January 2, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
Nebraska District 3
starting January 3, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
Effect of redistricting
The table below details the results of the 2020 presidential election in each district at the time of the 2022 election and its political predecessor district.[8] This data was compiled by Daily Kos Elections.[9]
2020 presidential results by Congressional district, Nebraska | ||||
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District | 2022 district | Political predecessor district | ||
Joe Biden ![]() |
Donald Trump ![]() |
Joe Biden ![]() |
Donald Trump ![]() | |
Nebraska's 1st | 43.3% | 54.3% | 41.3% | 56.3% |
Nebraska's 2nd | 52.2% | 45.8% | 52.2% | 45.7% |
Nebraska's 3rd | 23.1% | 74.9% | 22.4% | 75.6% |
Competitiveness
This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Nebraska.
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Nebraska in 2022. Information below was calculated on March 25, 2022, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
In 2022, 16 candidates filed to run for Nebraska’s three U.S. House districts, including nine Republicans, six Democrats, and one Legal Marijuana Now candidate. That's 5.3 candidates per district, more than the 4.7 candidates per district in 2020 and 3.7 in 2018.
This was the first candidate filing deadline to take place under new district lines adopting during Nebraska's decennial redistricting process. Nebraska was apportioned three congressional districts, the same number it had after the 2010 census.
Incumbent Reps. Don Bacon (R) and Adrian Smith (R) filed for re-election and both drew primary challengers. Former Rep. Jeff Fortenberry (R) also filed for re-election in the 1st District. On March 31, Fortenberry resigned from Congress following his conviction on campaign finance-related charges in federal court. This resignation came after the election withdrawal deadline, meaning Fortenberry's name would remain on the primary ballot.[10]
Since Fortenberry would no longer be an incumbent at the time of the primary, the 1st District was counted as an open seat in this analysis. This created the first open-seat regular election for U.S. House in Nebraska since 2006. The last time an incumbent lost in the state was in 2016 when Bacon defeated one-term incumbent Brad Ashford (D).
Presidential elections
Partisan Voter Index
Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+29. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 29 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Nebraska's 3rd the 5th most Republican district nationally.[11]
2020 presidential election results
The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
2020 presidential results in Nebraska's 3rd based on 2022 district lines | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Joe Biden ![]() |
Donald Trump ![]() | |||
23.1% | 74.9% |
Presidential voting history
- See also: Presidential election in Nebraska, 2020
Nebraska presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 6 Democratic wins
- 25 Republican wins
Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
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Winning Party | R | R | D | D | D | R | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
Demographics
The table below details demographic data in Nebraska and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.
Demographic Data for Nebraska | ||
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Nebraska | United States | |
Population | 1,961,504 | 331,449,281 |
Land area (sq mi) | 76,817 | 3,531,905 |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White | 85.3% | 70.4% |
Black/African American | 4.8% | 12.6% |
Asian | 2.5% | 5.6% |
Native American | 0.9% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Other (single race) | 2.5% | 5.1% |
Multiple | 3.9% | 5.2% |
Hispanic/Latino | 11.2% | 18.2% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate | 91.6% | 88.5% |
College graduation rate | 32.5% | 32.9% |
Income | ||
Median household income | $63,015 | $64,994 |
Persons below poverty level | 10.4% | 12.8% |
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2020). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2015-2020). | ||
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. |
State party control
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Nebraska's congressional delegation as of November 2022.
Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Nebraska, November 2022 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
Democratic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Republican | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 2 | 3 | 5 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Nebraska's top four state executive offices as of November 2022.
State executive officials in Nebraska, November 2022 | |
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Office | Officeholder |
Governor | ![]() |
Lieutenant Governor | ![]() |
Secretary of State | ![]() |
Attorney General | ![]() |
State legislature
The table below highlights the partisan composition of the Nebraska State Senate as of November 2022.
Nebraska State Senate
Party | As of November 2022 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 17 | |
Republican Party | 32 | |
Independent | 0 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 49 |
Trifecta control
As of November 2022, Nebraska was a Republican trifecta, with a majority in the state legislature and control of the governorship. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.
Nebraska Party Control: 1992-2022
Seven years of Democratic trifectas • Twenty-four years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
District history
2020
See also: Nebraska's 3rd Congressional District election, 2020
Nebraska's 3rd Congressional District election, 2020 (May 12 Republican primary)
Nebraska's 3rd Congressional District election, 2020 (May 12 Democratic primary)
General election
General election for U.S. House Nebraska District 3
Incumbent Adrian Smith defeated Mark Elworth Jr. and Dustin Hobbs in the general election for U.S. House Nebraska District 3 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Adrian Smith (R) | 78.5 | 225,157 |
![]() | Mark Elworth Jr. (D) | 17.7 | 50,690 | |
Dustin Hobbs (L) | 3.8 | 10,923 |
Total votes: 286,770 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 3
Mark Elworth Jr. advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 3 on May 12, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Mark Elworth Jr. | 100.0 | 26,776 |
Total votes: 26,776 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- David J. Else (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 3
Incumbent Adrian Smith defeated Arron Kowalski, Justin Moran, William Elfgren, and Larry Bolinger in the Republican primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 3 on May 12, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Adrian Smith | 82.6 | 96,260 |
Arron Kowalski | 5.5 | 6,424 | ||
![]() | Justin Moran ![]() | 5.5 | 6,374 | |
![]() | William Elfgren ![]() | 3.5 | 4,063 | |
![]() | Larry Bolinger ![]() | 2.9 | 3,389 |
Total votes: 116,510 | ||||
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Libertarian primary election
Libertarian primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 3
Dustin Hobbs advanced from the Libertarian primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 3 on May 12, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Dustin Hobbs | 100.0 | 561 |
Total votes: 561 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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2018
General election
General election for U.S. House Nebraska District 3
Incumbent Adrian Smith defeated Paul Theobald in the general election for U.S. House Nebraska District 3 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Adrian Smith (R) | 76.7 | 163,650 |
![]() | Paul Theobald (D) | 23.3 | 49,654 |
Total votes: 213,304 (100.00% precincts reporting) | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 3
Paul Theobald advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 3 on May 15, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Paul Theobald | 100.0 | 16,395 |
Total votes: 16,395 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 3
Incumbent Adrian Smith defeated Kirk Penner, Arron Kowalski, and Larry Bolinger in the Republican primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 3 on May 15, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Adrian Smith | 65.7 | 50,878 |
![]() | Kirk Penner | 26.0 | 20,116 | |
Arron Kowalski | 5.8 | 4,461 | ||
![]() | Larry Bolinger | 2.5 | 1,935 |
Total votes: 77,390 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Adrian Smith faced no opposition in the general election on November 8, 2016. No Democratic candidates filed to run in 2016. Smith also faced no primary opponent on May 10, 2016.[12]
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
100% | 226,720 | |
Total Votes | 226,720 | |||
Source: Nebraska Secretary of State |
Primary candidates:[13] |
Democratic |
Republican ![]() |
2014
The 3rd Congressional District of Nebraska held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Adrian Smith (R) defeated Mark Sullivan (D) in the general election.
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
75.4% | 139,440 | |
Democratic | Mark Sullivan | 24.6% | 45,524 | |
Total Votes | 184,964 | |||
Source: Nebraska Secretary of State |
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() |
68.1% | 67,113 | ||
Tom Brewer | 31.9% | 31,436 | ||
Total Votes | 98,549 | |||
Source: Nebraska Secretary of State |
See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
- ↑ Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Political predecessor districts are determined primarily based on incumbents and where each chose to seek re-election.
- ↑ Daily Kos Elections, "Daily Kos Elections 2020 presidential results by congressional district (old CDs vs. new CDs)," accessed May 12, 2022
- ↑ KMTV, "Fortenberry resignation sets up unique situation with special election," March 28, 2022
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
- ↑ Nebraska Secretary of State, "Statewide Candidate List," March 2, 2016
- ↑ Candidates are listed by party and alphabetically within each party.
- ↑ Nebraska Secretary of State, "Statewide Candidate List," March 2, 2016