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Virginia's 2nd Congressional District election (June 12, 2018 Republican primary)
- General election: Nov. 6
- Voter registration deadline: Oct. 15
- Early voting: N/A
- Absentee voting deadline: Nov. 6
- Online registration: Yes
- Same-day registration: No
- Voter ID: Photo ID required
- Poll times: 6:00 a.m. to 7:00 p.m.
2020 →
← 2016
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Virginia's 2nd Congressional District |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: March 29, 2018 |
Primary: June 12, 2018 General: November 6, 2018 Pre-election incumbent: Scott Taylor (Republican) |
How to vote |
Poll times: 6 a.m. to 7 p.m. Voting in Virginia |
Race ratings |
Inside Elections: Tilt Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Republican |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018 |
See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th • 10th • 11th Virginia elections, 2018 U.S. Congress elections, 2018 U.S. Senate elections, 2018 U.S. House elections, 2018 |
Incumbent Rep. Scott Taylor (R) defeated former James City County Board of Supervisor member Mary Jones in the Republican primary for Virginia's 2nd Congressional District on June 12, 2018.
Virginia voter? Dates you need to know. | |
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Primary election | June 12, 2018 |
Candidate filing deadline | March 29, 2018 |
Registration deadline | May 21, 2018 |
Absentee application deadline | June 9, 2018 |
General election | November 6, 2018 |
Voting information | |
Primary type | Open |
Polling locations: Go to this page to find early voting locations and your assigned precinct for election day. |
For more on related elections, please see:
- Virginia's 2nd Congressional District election (June 12, 2018 Democratic primary)
- Virginia's 2nd Congressional District election, 2018
- United States House Democratic Party primaries, 2018
- United States House Republican Party primaries, 2018
- Democratic Party primaries in Virginia, 2018
- Republican Party primaries in Virginia, 2018
Candidates and election results
Incumbent Scott Taylor defeated Mary Jones in the Republican primary for U.S. House Virginia District 2 on June 12, 2018.
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Virginia District 2
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Scott Taylor | 76.0 | 28,515 |
![]() | Mary Jones | 24.0 | 8,982 |
Total votes: 37,497 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Endorsements
Republican candidate endorsements | |||
---|---|---|---|
Endorsement | Date | Taylor | Jones |
National figures | |||
Former Ambassador to the United Nations John Bolton[1] | February 21, 2018 | ✔ | |
Courageous Conservatives PAC founder Christopher Ekstrom[2] | December 19, 2017 | ✔ | |
State figures | |||
Virginia Tea Party Patriots founder Rick Buchanan[3] | January 22, 2018 | ✔ | |
Organizations | |||
Americans for Legal Immigration PAC[4] | December 18, 2017 | ✔ |
Campaign themes and policy stances
Campaign themes
Scott Taylor
“ |
The Constitution When joining the Navy and when re-enlisting, Scott Taylor pledged to defend the Constitution of the United States and he will vigorously defend the Constitution as our Member of Congress. The First Amendment The Second Amendment Tenth Amendment — States Rights Congress Congress needs to get to work. The congressional committee system should function more like a state legislature. Committee’s should meet weekly, consider legislation and move the ones they pass to the floor for votes. The current system – where committee’s hold meaningless hearings no one attends and they rarely pass legislation – is a sham system that stifles innovation and keeps junior members “in-line.” In my three years as Delegate, I’ve passed 10 meaningful bills into law. I am committed to modernizing Congress so it works again for the American people and I will never stop fighting for congressional reform. The Economy There are millions of under-employed Americans and many have given up on looking for new jobs. There are too many laws and regulations that stifle American ingenuity and entrepreneurship. Scott Taylor will work to repeal antiquated laws that protect turf and hold back the creative destruction that leads to new industries. According to Pew, “middle-income Americans have fallen further behind financially in the new century. In 2014, the median income of these households was 4% less than in 2000.” Congress has failed to enact laws and policies that would help middle-income families. With an extremely complicated tax code, runaway health care costs and regulations that drive up the cost of almost everything we buy, middle-income Americans are rightly concerned about their ability to provide their children a brighter future than they had. Scott Taylor will make it his priority to increase opportunities for all Americans, to enact laws that will grow the economy and support job training and retraining programs to ensure that Americans have the lifelong learning abilities to compete in the global economy. National Defense As a Navy SEAL and Iraq War veteran, Scott has experienced first-hand what it means to be used as an instrument of American foreign policy. With his service and his experience, Scott will hit the ground running as a member of the House Armed Services Committee. Scott is committed to a strong national defense, defense procurement and acquisition reform and affordable benefits for military families whether they are in the United States of overseas. Many veterans have lamented that we need more veterans in Congress because they understand what it means to serve in the military, what it means to be deployed, what it means to have lost a comrade-in-arms, what it means to serve with sub-standard equipment and so on. Scott Taylor will bring to Congress a perspective on military issues that his opponents don’t have and can never have. Scott believes that the US should be prepared to fight future conflicts with tremendous precision and lethality no matter who the enemy is or what the challenge is. He will never abandon the men and women in uniform or their families. It’s not in his DNA. "Taxes' The corporate tax code is literally anti-American. At 35%, the US corporate tax rate is the highest in the world. Few companies pay 35% because of loopholes and deductions available only to them. Meanwhile, Fortune 500 companies hold more than $2.4 TRILLION in corporate profits overseas. They will not bring it back the United States because they have to pay 35% of whatever amount they bring back to the US Treasury. Congress’ inability to fix this problem is flat-out negligent and reckless. All tax legislation must originate in the House of Representatives. Members of Congress must be held accountable for their failure to enable companies to return trillions of dollars to the US where it can be returned to investors or invested in American infrastructure and employees. Trade Education Worship Health Care |
” |
—Scott Taylor for Congress[6] |
Mary Jones
“ |
Build the Wall Business and Jobs Growth Illegal Immigration Repeal Obamacare Tax Relief Protect Our Second Amendment Rights National Concealed Carry Reciprocity Protecting Life Supporting Our Veterans Education Public Safety Energy Protecting Our History |
” |
—Mary Jones for Congress[7] |
Campaign finance
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Scott Taylor | Republican Party | $4,035,206 | $4,083,442 | $16,731 | As of December 31, 2018 |
Elaine Luria | Democratic Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Karen Mallard | Democratic Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Mary Jones | Republican Party | $89,806 | $89,806 | $0 | As of September 3, 2018 |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2018. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
Race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Race ratings: Virginia's 2nd Congressional District election, 2018 | |||||||||
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Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
October 30, 2018 | October 23, 2018 | October 16, 2018 | October 9, 2018 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Tilt Republican | Tilt Republican | Tilt Republican | Tilt Republican | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean Republican | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every two weeks throughout the election season. |
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+3, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 3 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Virginia's 2nd Congressional District the 212th most Republican nationally.[8]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.93. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.93 points toward that party.[9]
Pivot Counties
- See also: Pivot Counties by state
Five of 133 Virginia counties—3.8 percent—are Pivot Counties. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.
Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008 | |||||||
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County | Trump margin of victory in 2016 | Obama margin of victory in 2012 | Obama margin of victory in 2008 | ||||
Buckingham County, Virginia | 11.28% | 2.43% | 0.87% | ||||
Caroline County, Virginia | 5.02% | 8.24% | 11.97% | ||||
Essex County, Virginia | 2.14% | 7.30% | 10.35% | ||||
Nelson County, Virginia | 5.59% | 2.72% | 9.15% | ||||
Westmoreland County, Virginia | 7.14% | 6.95% | 10.24% |
Note: Although it is highlighted in the map above, the city of Chesapeake is not considered a county and not included in our calculations as such.
In the 2016 presidential election, Virginia was a battleground state. Hillary Clinton (D) won Virginia with 49.7 percent of the vote. Donald Trump (R) received 44.4 percent. In presidential elections between 1900 and 2016, Virginia voted Democratic 56.67 percent of the time and Republican 43.33 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, Virginia voted Democratic three times (2008, 2012, and 2016) and Republican two times (2000 and 2004).
State overview
Partisan control
This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in Virginia heading into the 2018 elections.
Congressional delegation
- Following the 2016 elections, Democrats held both U.S. Senate seats in Virginia.
- Republicans held seven of 11 U.S. House seats in Virginia.
State executives
- As of May 2018, Democrats held four of 12 state executive positions and the remaining positions were officially nonpartisan.
- The governor of Virginia was Democrat Ralph Northam. The state held elections for governor and lieutenant governor in 2021.
State legislature
- Republicans controlled both chambers of the Virginia General Assembly. They had a 50-49 majority in the state House and a 21-19 majority in the state Senate.
Trifecta status
- Virginia was under divided government, meaning that the two parties shared control of the state government. Ralph Northam (D) served as governor, while Republicans controlled the state legislature.
2018 elections
- See also: Virginia elections, 2018
Virginia held elections for the following positions in 2018:
- One U.S. Senate seat
- 11 U.S. House seats
- One state House seat
- Municipal elections in Chesapeake, Norfolk, and Virginia Beach
Demographics
Demographic data for Virginia | ||
---|---|---|
Virginia | U.S. | |
Total population: | 8,367,587 | 316,515,021 |
Land area (sq mi): | 39,490 | 3,531,905 |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White: | 69% | 73.6% |
Black/African American: | 19.2% | 12.6% |
Asian: | 6% | 5.1% |
Native American: | 0.3% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander: | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Two or more: | 3.2% | 3% |
Hispanic/Latino: | 8.6% | 17.1% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate: | 88.3% | 86.7% |
College graduation rate: | 36.3% | 29.8% |
Income | ||
Median household income: | $65,015 | $53,889 |
Persons below poverty level: | 13% | 11.3% |
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Virginia. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. |
As of July 2016, Virginia's three largest cities were Virginia Beach (pop. est. 450,435), Norfolk (pop. est. 244,703), and Chesapeake (pop. est. 240,397).[10][11]
State election history
This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Virginia from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the Virginia State Board of Elections.
Historical elections
Presidential elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Virginia every year from 2000 to 2016.
Election results (President of the United States), Virginia 2000-2016 | |||||
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Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2016 | ![]() |
49.7% | ![]() |
44.4% | 5.3% |
2012 | ![]() |
51.1% | ![]() |
47.2% | 3.9% |
2008 | ![]() |
52.6% | ![]() |
46.3% | 6.3% |
2004 | ![]() |
53.7% | ![]() |
45.5% | 8.2% |
2000 | ![]() |
52.5% | ![]() |
44.4% | 12.0% |
U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in Virginia from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.
Election results (U.S. Senator), Virginia 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2014 | ![]() |
49.1% | ![]() |
48.3% | 0.8% |
2012 | ![]() |
52.8% | ![]() |
46.9% | 5.9% |
2008 | ![]() |
65.0% | ![]() |
33.7% | 31.3% |
2006 | ![]() |
49.6% | ![]() |
49.2% | 0.4% |
2002 | ![]() |
82.6% | ![]() |
9.7% | 72.9% |
2000 | ![]() |
52.3% | ![]() |
47.7% | 4.6% |
Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Virginia.
Election results (Governor), Virginia 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2017 | ![]() |
53.9% | ![]() |
45.0% | 8.9% |
2013 | ![]() |
47.8% | ![]() |
45.2% | 2.6% |
2009 | ![]() |
58.6% | ![]() |
41.3% | 17.3% |
2005 | ![]() |
51.7% | ![]() |
46.0% | 5.7% |
2001 | ![]() |
52.2% | ![]() |
47.0% | 5.2% |
Congressional delegation, 2000-2016
This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Virginia in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.
Trifectas, 1992-2017
A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.
Virginia Party Control: 1992-2025
Four years of Democratic trifectas • Four years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R |
Senate | D | D | D | D | S | S | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D |
House | D | D | D | D | D | D | S | S | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | R | R | D | D |
See also
- United States House of Representatives elections in Virginia, 2018
- United States House elections in Virginia (June 12, 2018 Republican primaries)
- Virginia's 2nd Congressional District election (June 12, 2018 Democratic primary)
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2018
Footnotes
- ↑ Globe Newswire, "AMBASSADOR JOHN BOLTON ENDORSES TEN VETERANS FOR CONGRESS," February 21, 2018
- ↑ Mary Jones for Congress, "Christopher Ekstrom Endorses Mary Jones for Congress," December 19, 2017
- ↑ Mary Jones for Congress, "Virginia Tea Party Patriots Founder Rick Buchanan Endorses Mary Jones," January 22, 2018
- ↑ Mary Jones for Congress, "ALIPAC Endorses Scott Taylor’s GOP primary opponent, Mary Jones," December 18, 2017
- ↑ 5.0 5.1 Note: This text is quoted verbatim from the original source. Any inconsistencies are attributable to the original source.
- ↑ Scott Taylor for Congress, "Issues," accessed March 18, 2018
- ↑ Mary Jones for Congress, "Issues," accessed March 18, 2018
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
- ↑ Virginia Demographics, "Virginia Cities by Population," accessed September 3, 2018
- ↑ U.S. Census Bureau, "Quickfacts Virginia," accessed September 3, 2018