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Washington's 10th Congressional District election, 2022

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2024
2020
Washington's 10th Congressional District
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge.png
Top-two primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: May 20, 2022
Primary: August 2, 2022
General: November 8, 2022
How to vote
Poll times: Poll opening hours vary; close at 8 p.m. (most voting done by mail)
Voting in Washington
Race ratings
Cook Partisan Voter Index (2022): D+7
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic
Inside Elections: Solid Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022
See also
Washington's 10th Congressional District
U.S. Senate1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th
Washington elections, 2022
U.S. Congress elections, 2022
U.S. Senate elections, 2022
U.S. House elections, 2022

All U.S. House districts, including the 10th Congressional District of Washington, held elections in 2022. The general election was on November 8, 2022. The primary was scheduled for August 2, 2022. The filing deadline was May 20, 2022.

For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:

Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Washington District 10

Incumbent Marilyn Strickland defeated Keith Swank in the general election for U.S. House Washington District 10 on November 8, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Marilyn Strickland
Marilyn Strickland (D)
 
57.0
 
152,544
Image of Keith Swank
Keith Swank (R) Candidate Connection
 
42.9
 
114,777
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.2
 
427

Total votes: 267,748
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Nonpartisan primary election

Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House Washington District 10

Incumbent Marilyn Strickland and Keith Swank defeated Dan Gordon, Eric Mahaffy, and Richard Boyce in the primary for U.S. House Washington District 10 on August 2, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Marilyn Strickland
Marilyn Strickland (D)
 
55.3
 
90,093
Image of Keith Swank
Keith Swank (R) Candidate Connection
 
33.9
 
55,231
Dan Gordon (R)
 
6.3
 
10,315
Image of Eric Mahaffy
Eric Mahaffy (D)
 
2.3
 
3,710
Image of Richard Boyce
Richard Boyce (Congress Sucks Party)
 
2.0
 
3,250
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.1
 
189

Total votes: 162,788
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Voting information

See also: Voting in Washington

Election information in Washington: Nov. 8, 2022, election.

What was the voter registration deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 8, 2022
  • By mail: Received by Oct. 31, 2022
  • Online: Oct. 31, 2022

Was absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

N/A

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

  • In-person: N/A
  • By mail: N/A by N/A
  • Online: N/A

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 8, 2022
  • By mail: Postmarked by Nov. 8, 2022

Was early voting available to all voters?

Yes

What were the early voting start and end dates?

Oct. 21, 2022 to Nov. 7, 2022

Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, was a photo or non-photo ID required?

N/A

When were polls open on Election Day?

N/A


Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses

Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.

Survey responses from candidates in this race

Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.

Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.

Expand all | Collapse all

Crime is at an all-time high. Democrat policies have brought this upon us. I will be a strong advocate for public safety, and I will work with our state partners to keep our communities safe.

Inflation is at an all-time high. The government tells us that inflation is 8.2% while everything we buy is up more than that. I will work to stop the out-of-control spending, and I will work for energy independence.

Last year over 107,000 Americans died from opioid overdoses. Much of that was fentanyl, manufactured in China and shipped across our southern border. I will work for a physical wall on our southern border to stop the drug trade, and human trafficking flowing across our border. .
I look up to Jesus, and I try to be more like him. I fall short, but I am a work in progress.
I like to read books that show what our Founders meant (original intent) when they wrote the Constitution.
To make sure that the federal government is kept within the confines of the Constitution.
I would like to leave this country in better shape than I inherited it.
My first job was at a gas station. I was a cashier and full-service attendant. I had it for about a year and a half until I joined the Army.
The U.S. House contains the purse strings, and the members need to close the purse.
I believe that it is beneficial for representatives to have common sense and understand the Constitution. I do not think it needs to be complicated. I think incumbents try to make it complicated to scare off "regular" people from running for office, but the Founders exactly wanted "regular" people to run for office.
Our debt will be the greatest challenge over the next decade. If we do not get a handle on the out-of-control government spending, inflation will continue to rise, and our necessities will be too expensive to purchase.
Yes, Representatives need to be responsive to voters, and this is the best way.
I am for term limits. I do not think our founders wanted anyone to be career politicians. Career politicians are out of touch with voters, and they do not have the same experiences.
I hear over and over again that people receive a generic form letter when they ask a question of the current representative. The letter does not even cover the question asked. That will end when I am elected. We will actually help people and answer questions.
Democrats will not compromise. It's unfortunate, but they will not. Their idea of compromise is for Republicans to come to the Democrat side. The Democrat party is radical, and the American people are seeing that in action.



Campaign finance

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Marilyn Strickland Democratic Party $1,911,260 $1,485,333 $457,952 As of December 31, 2022
Eric Mahaffy Democratic Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Dan Gordon Republican Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Keith Swank Republican Party $160,970 $186,320 $-23,022 As of December 31, 2022
Richard Boyce Congress Sucks Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2022. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.

General election race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[1]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[2][3][4]

Race ratings: Washington's 10th Congressional District election, 2022
Race trackerRace ratings
November 8, 2022November 1, 2022October 25, 2022October 18, 2022
The Cook Political Report with Amy WalterSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe Democratic
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

Ballot access requirements

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Washington in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Washington, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2022
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source
Washington U.S. House All candidates 1,740 $1,740.00 5/20/2022 Source

District analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

  • District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting.
  • Effect of redistricting - How districts in the state changed as a result of redistricting following the 2020 census.
  • Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2022 U.S. House elections in the state.
  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
  • Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
  • State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.

District map

Below was the map in use at the time of the election, enacted as part of the 2020 redistricting cycle, compared to the map in place before the election.

Washington District 10
until January 2, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.

Washington District 10
starting January 3, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.


Effect of redistricting

See also: Redistricting in Washington after the 2020 census

The table below details the results of the 2020 presidential election in each district at the time of the 2022 election and its political predecessor district.[5] This data was compiled by Daily Kos Elections.[6]

2020 presidential results by Congressional district, Washington
District 2022 district Political predecessor district
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
Washington's 1st 64.0% 33.3% 59.1% 38.2%
Washington's 2nd 60.1% 37.2% 62.1% 35.1%
Washington's 3rd 46.6% 50.8% 46.9% 50.6%
Washington's 4th 40.3% 57.2% 39.6% 57.8%
Washington's 5th 43.5% 53.5% 44.0% 53.0%
Washington's 6th 57.1% 39.9% 57.4% 39.6%
Washington's 7th 86.8% 11.3% 85.7% 12.3%
Washington's 8th 52.0% 45.3% 52.0% 45.5%
Washington's 9th 71.5% 26.3% 73.3% 24.6%
Washington's 10th 57.3% 39.6% 56.2% 40.7%

Competitiveness

See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2022

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Washington.

Post-filing deadline analysis

The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Washington in 2022. Information below was calculated on July 18, 2022, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.

Sixty-eight candidates filed to run in Washington's 10 U.S. House districts, including 37 Republicans, 19 Democrats, seven independents and five third-party candidates. That's 6.8 candidates per district, fewer than the 7.3 candidates in 2020, and more than the 4.9 candidates per district in 2018.

This was the first election to take place under new district lines following the 2020 census. Washington was apportioned ten districts, the same number it was apportioned after the 2010 census. All ten incumbents filed to run for re-election, meaning there were no open U.S. House seats for the first time in a decade.

There were ten contested primaries, the same number as in 2020 and two fewer than in 2018, when there were eight contested primaries. All ten incumbents who filed to run for re-election faced primary challengers. In 2020, all nine incumbents who filed for re-election faced primary challengers. In 2018, seven of the nine who filed did.

In Washington's top-two primary system, all candidates are listed on the same ballot regardless of party affiliation. Two incumbents — Rep. Suzan DelBene (D) and Rep. Pramila Jayapal (D) — did not face intra-party primary challengers. DelBene represented the 1st district, and Jayapal represented the 7th.

Eleven candidates filed to run in the 8th district, the most candidates who filed to run for a seat this year. Three Democrats, including incumbent Kim Schrier (D), five Republicans, one independent, one Libertarian, and one Concordia Party candidate filed to run.

At the time of the primary, no districts were guaranteed to either party. Democratic and Republican candidates filed to run in the primaries in all ten districts. However, under Washington's top-two primary system, two candidates from the same party can advance to the general election if they are the top two vote-getters in the primary.



Presidential elections

Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+7. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 7 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Washington's 10th the 154th most Democratic district nationally.[7]

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

2020 presidential results in Washington's 10th based on 2022 district lines
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
57.3% 39.6%

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in Washington, 2020

Washington presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 17 Democratic wins
  • 13 Republican wins
  • 1 other win
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party R R R P[8] D R R R D D D D D R R R D D R R R R D D D D D D D D D


Demographics

The table below details demographic data in Washington and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.

Demographic Data for Washington
Washington United States
Population 6,724,540 308,745,538
Land area (sq mi) 66,454 3,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White 75.4% 72.5%
Black/African American 3.8% 12.7%
Asian 8.5% 5.5%
Native American 1.3% 0.8%
Pacific Islander 0.7% 0.2%
Other (single race) 4.5% 4.9%
Multiple 5.9% 3.3%
Hispanic/Latino 12.7% 18%
Education
High school graduation rate 91.3% 88%
College graduation rate 36% 32.1%
Income
Median household income $73,775 $62,843
Persons below poverty level 10.8% 13.4%
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2010). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2014-2019).
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.


State party control

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Washington's congressional delegation as of November 2022.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Washington, November 2022
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 2 7 9
Republican 0 3 3
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 0 0
Total 2 10 12

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Washington's top four state executive offices as of November 2022.

State executive officials in Washington, November 2022
Office Officeholder
Governor Democratic Party Jay Inslee
Lieutenant Governor Democratic Party Denny Heck
Secretary of State Democratic Party Steve Hobbs
Attorney General Democratic Party Bob Ferguson

State legislature

The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Washington State Legislature as of November 2022.

Washington State Senate

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 29
     Republican Party 20
     Vacancies 0
Total 49

Washington House of Representatives

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 57
     Republican Party 41
     Vacancies 0
Total 98

Trifecta control

As of November 2022, Washington was a Democratic trifecta, with majorities in both chambers of the state legislature and control of the governorship. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.

Washington Party Control: 1992-2022
Sixteen years of Democratic trifectas  •  No Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
Governor D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D
Senate R D D D D R R D D D D R R D D D D D D D D R R R R R[9] D D D D D
House D D D R R R R S S S D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D

District history

2020

See also: Washington's 10th Congressional District election, 2020

General election

General election for U.S. House Washington District 10

Marilyn Strickland defeated Beth Doglio in the general election for U.S. House Washington District 10 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Marilyn Strickland
Marilyn Strickland (D) Candidate Connection
 
49.3
 
167,937
Image of Beth Doglio
Beth Doglio (D)
 
35.6
 
121,040
 Other/Write-in votes
 
15.1
 
51,430

Total votes: 340,407
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Nonpartisan primary election

Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House Washington District 10

The following candidates ran in the primary for U.S. House Washington District 10 on August 4, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Marilyn Strickland
Marilyn Strickland (D) Candidate Connection
 
20.3
 
45,988
Image of Beth Doglio
Beth Doglio (D)
 
15.2
 
34,254
Image of Kristine Reeves
Kristine Reeves (D)
 
12.9
 
29,236
Image of Rian Ingrim
Rian Ingrim (R) Candidate Connection
 
11.4
 
25,688
Image of Jackson Maynard
Jackson Maynard (R)
 
8.2
 
18,526
Image of Dean Johnson
Dean Johnson (R) Candidate Connection
 
7.4
 
16,700
Image of Nancy Slotnick
Nancy Slotnick (R)
 
6.7
 
15,201
Image of Don Hewett
Don Hewett (R) Candidate Connection
 
4.8
 
10,750
Image of Phil Gardner
Phil Gardner (D) Candidate Connection
 
2.3
 
5,292
Image of Ryan Tate
Ryan Tate (R) Candidate Connection
 
1.9
 
4,196
Image of Mary Bacon
Mary Bacon (D) Candidate Connection
 
1.8
 
3,992
Image of Todd Buckley
Todd Buckley (Independent) Candidate Connection
 
1.6
 
3,552
Image of Eric LeMay
Eric LeMay (D) Candidate Connection
 
1.4
 
3,072
Image of Joshua Collins
Joshua Collins (Essential Workers Party) Candidate Connection
 
1.2
 
2,667
Image of Richard Boyce
Richard Boyce (Congress Sucks Party)
 
1.0
 
2,302
Ralph Johnson (R)
 
0.6
 
1,441
Gordon Allen Pross (R)
 
0.5
 
1,186
Sam Wright (D)
 
0.5
 
1,129
Randy Bell (D)
 
0.2
 
563
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.1
 
267

Total votes: 226,002
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Watch the Candidate Conversation for this race!

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2018

See also: Washington's 10th Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Washington District 10

Incumbent Denny Heck defeated Joseph Brumbles in the general election for U.S. House Washington District 10 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Denny Heck
Denny Heck (D)
 
61.5
 
166,215
Image of Joseph Brumbles
Joseph Brumbles (R) Candidate Connection
 
38.5
 
103,860

Total votes: 270,075
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Nonpartisan primary election

Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House Washington District 10

Incumbent Denny Heck and Joseph Brumbles defeated Tamborine Borrelli and Nancy Slotnick in the primary for U.S. House Washington District 10 on August 7, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Denny Heck
Denny Heck (D)
 
58.2
 
82,552
Image of Joseph Brumbles
Joseph Brumbles (R) Candidate Connection
 
31.9
 
45,270
Image of Tamborine Borrelli
Tamborine Borrelli (Independent)
 
5.6
 
7,997
Image of Nancy Slotnick
Nancy Slotnick (Independent) Candidate Connection
 
4.3
 
6,127

Total votes: 141,946
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2016

See also: Washington's 10th Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. Incumbent Denny Heck (D) defeated Jim Postma (R) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Heck and Postma defeated Jennifer Ferguson (D) and Richard Boyce (independent) in the top-two primary on August 2, 2016.[10][11]

U.S. House, Washington District 10 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngDenny Heck Incumbent 58.7% 170,460
     Republican Jim Postma 41.3% 120,104
Total Votes 290,564
Source: Washington Secretary of State


U.S. House, Washington District 10 Primary, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngDenny Heck Incumbent 46.5% 58,865
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngJim Postma 36.7% 46,473
     Democratic Jennifer Ferguson 13.2% 16,750
     Independent Richard Boyce 3.5% 4,411
Total Votes 126,499
Source: Washington Secretary of State

2014

See also: Washington's 10th Congressional District elections, 2014

The 10th Congressional District of Washington held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Denny Heck (D) defeated Joyce McDonald (R) in the general election.

U.S. House, Washington District 10 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngDenny Heck Incumbent 54.7% 99,279
     Republican Joyce McDonald 45.3% 82,213
Total Votes 181,492
Source: Washington Secretary of State
U.S. House, Washington District 10, Blanket Primary, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngDenny Heck Incumbent 51.4% 39,866
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngJoyce McDonald 41.4% 32,119
     Independent Jennifer Ferguson 4.8% 3,730
     Human Rights Party Sam Wright 2.3% 1,781
Total Votes 77,496
Source: Results via Associated Press


See also

Washington 2022 primaries 2022 U.S. Congress elections
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External links

Footnotes

  1. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  2. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  3. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  4. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  5. Political predecessor districts are determined primarily based on incumbents and where each chose to seek re-election.
  6. Daily Kos Elections, "Daily Kos Elections 2020 presidential results by congressional district (old CDs vs. new CDs)," accessed May 12, 2022
  7. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
  8. Progressive Party
  9. Democrats gained full control of the state Senate after a special election on November 7, 2017.
  10. Washington Secretary of State, "Unofficial List of Candidates in Ballot Order," accessed May 23, 2016
  11. Politico, "Washington House Primaries Results," August 2, 2016


Senators
Representatives
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District 2
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
District 7
District 8
District 9
District 10
Democratic Party (10)
Republican Party (2)