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Washington's 10th Congressional District election, 2022
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| Washington's 10th Congressional District |
|---|
| Top-two primary General election |
| Election details |
| Filing deadline: May 20, 2022 |
| Primary: August 2, 2022 General: November 8, 2022 |
| How to vote |
| Poll times: Poll opening hours vary; close at 8 p.m. (most voting done by mail) Voting in Washington |
| Race ratings |
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic Inside Elections: Solid Democratic Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic |
| Ballotpedia analysis |
| U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022 |
| See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th • 10th Washington elections, 2022 U.S. Congress elections, 2022 U.S. Senate elections, 2022 U.S. House elections, 2022 |
All U.S. House districts, including the 10th Congressional District of Washington, held elections in 2022. The general election was on November 8, 2022. The primary was scheduled for August 2, 2022. The filing deadline was May 20, 2022.
For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House Washington District 10
Incumbent Marilyn Strickland defeated Keith Swank in the general election for U.S. House Washington District 10 on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Marilyn Strickland (D) | 57.0 | 152,544 | |
Keith Swank (R) ![]() | 42.9 | 114,777 | ||
| Other/Write-in votes | 0.2 | 427 | ||
| Total votes: 267,748 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Nonpartisan primary election
Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House Washington District 10
Incumbent Marilyn Strickland and Keith Swank defeated Dan Gordon, Eric Mahaffy, and Richard Boyce in the primary for U.S. House Washington District 10 on August 2, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Marilyn Strickland (D) | 55.3 | 90,093 | |
| ✔ | Keith Swank (R) ![]() | 33.9 | 55,231 | |
| Dan Gordon (R) | 6.3 | 10,315 | ||
| Eric Mahaffy (D) | 2.3 | 3,710 | ||
| Richard Boyce (Congress Sucks Party) | 2.0 | 3,250 | ||
| Other/Write-in votes | 0.1 | 189 | ||
| Total votes: 162,788 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Don Hewett (R)
Voting information
- See also: Voting in Washington
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
Survey responses from candidates in this race
Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.
Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.
| Collapse all
Keith Swank (R)
Inflation is at an all-time high. The government tells us that inflation is 8.2% while everything we buy is up more than that. I will work to stop the out-of-control spending, and I will work for energy independence.
Last year over 107,000 Americans died from opioid overdoses. Much of that was fentanyl, manufactured in China and shipped across our southern border. I will work for a physical wall on our southern border to stop the drug trade, and human trafficking flowing across our border. .
Keith Swank (R)
Keith Swank (R)
Keith Swank (R)
Keith Swank (R)
Keith Swank (R)
Keith Swank (R)
Keith Swank (R)
Keith Swank (R)
Keith Swank (R)
Keith Swank (R)
Keith Swank (R)
Keith Swank (R)
Keith Swank (R)
Keith Swank (R)
Keith Swank (R)
Keith Swank (R)
Keith Swank (R)
Keith Swank (R)
Campaign finance
| Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marilyn Strickland | Democratic Party | $1,911,260 | $1,485,333 | $457,952 | As of December 31, 2022 |
| Eric Mahaffy | Democratic Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Dan Gordon | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Keith Swank | Republican Party | $160,970 | $186,320 | $-23,022 | As of December 31, 2022 |
| Richard Boyce | Congress Sucks Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
|
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2022. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
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General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[1]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[2][3][4]
| Race ratings: Washington's 10th Congressional District election, 2022 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
| November 8, 2022 | November 1, 2022 | October 25, 2022 | October 18, 2022 | ||||||
| The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
| Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
| Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | |||||
| Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. | |||||||||
Ballot access requirements
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Washington in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Washington, click here.
| Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2022 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
| Washington | U.S. House | All candidates | 1,740 | $1,740.00 | 5/20/2022 | Source |
District analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting.
- Effect of redistricting - How districts in the state changed as a result of redistricting following the 2020 census.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2022 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
District map
Below was the map in use at the time of the election, enacted as part of the 2020 redistricting cycle, compared to the map in place before the election.
Washington District 10
until January 2, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
Washington District 10
starting January 3, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
Effect of redistricting
The table below details the results of the 2020 presidential election in each district at the time of the 2022 election and its political predecessor district.[5] This data was compiled by Daily Kos Elections.[6]
| 2020 presidential results by Congressional district, Washington | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| District | 2022 district | Political predecessor district | ||
| Joe Biden |
Donald Trump |
Joe Biden |
Donald Trump | |
| Washington's 1st | 64.0% | 33.3% | 59.1% | 38.2% |
| Washington's 2nd | 60.1% | 37.2% | 62.1% | 35.1% |
| Washington's 3rd | 46.6% | 50.8% | 46.9% | 50.6% |
| Washington's 4th | 40.3% | 57.2% | 39.6% | 57.8% |
| Washington's 5th | 43.5% | 53.5% | 44.0% | 53.0% |
| Washington's 6th | 57.1% | 39.9% | 57.4% | 39.6% |
| Washington's 7th | 86.8% | 11.3% | 85.7% | 12.3% |
| Washington's 8th | 52.0% | 45.3% | 52.0% | 45.5% |
| Washington's 9th | 71.5% | 26.3% | 73.3% | 24.6% |
| Washington's 10th | 57.3% | 39.6% | 56.2% | 40.7% |
Competitiveness
This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Washington.
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Washington in 2022. Information below was calculated on July 18, 2022, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
Sixty-eight candidates filed to run in Washington's 10 U.S. House districts, including 37 Republicans, 19 Democrats, seven independents and five third-party candidates. That's 6.8 candidates per district, fewer than the 7.3 candidates in 2020, and more than the 4.9 candidates per district in 2018.
This was the first election to take place under new district lines following the 2020 census. Washington was apportioned ten districts, the same number it was apportioned after the 2010 census. All ten incumbents filed to run for re-election, meaning there were no open U.S. House seats for the first time in a decade.
There were ten contested primaries, the same number as in 2020 and two fewer than in 2018, when there were eight contested primaries. All ten incumbents who filed to run for re-election faced primary challengers. In 2020, all nine incumbents who filed for re-election faced primary challengers. In 2018, seven of the nine who filed did.
In Washington's top-two primary system, all candidates are listed on the same ballot regardless of party affiliation. Two incumbents — Rep. Suzan DelBene (D) and Rep. Pramila Jayapal (D) — did not face intra-party primary challengers. DelBene represented the 1st district, and Jayapal represented the 7th.
Eleven candidates filed to run in the 8th district, the most candidates who filed to run for a seat this year. Three Democrats, including incumbent Kim Schrier (D), five Republicans, one independent, one Libertarian, and one Concordia Party candidate filed to run.
At the time of the primary, no districts were guaranteed to either party. Democratic and Republican candidates filed to run in the primaries in all ten districts. However, under Washington's top-two primary system, two candidates from the same party can advance to the general election if they are the top two vote-getters in the primary.
Presidential elections
Partisan Voter Index
Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+7. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 7 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Washington's 10th the 154th most Democratic district nationally.[7]
2020 presidential election results
The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
| 2020 presidential results in Washington's 10th based on 2022 district lines | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Biden |
Donald Trump | |||
| 57.3% | 39.6% | |||
Presidential voting history
Washington presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 17 Democratic wins
- 13 Republican wins
- 1 other win
| Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winning Party | R | R | R | P[8] | D | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Demographics
The table below details demographic data in Washington and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.
| Demographic Data for Washington | ||
|---|---|---|
| Washington | United States | |
| Population | 6,724,540 | 308,745,538 |
| Land area (sq mi) | 66,454 | 3,531,905 |
| Race and ethnicity** | ||
| White | 75.4% | 72.5% |
| Black/African American | 3.8% | 12.7% |
| Asian | 8.5% | 5.5% |
| Native American | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Pacific Islander | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Other (single race) | 4.5% | 4.9% |
| Multiple | 5.9% | 3.3% |
| Hispanic/Latino | 12.7% | 18% |
| Education | ||
| High school graduation rate | 91.3% | 88% |
| College graduation rate | 36% | 32.1% |
| Income | ||
| Median household income | $73,775 | $62,843 |
| Persons below poverty level | 10.8% | 13.4% |
| Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2010). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2014-2019). | ||
| **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. | ||
State party control
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Washington's congressional delegation as of November 2022.
| Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Washington, November 2022 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
| Democratic | 2 | 7 | 9 |
| Republican | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 2 | 10 | 12 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Washington's top four state executive offices as of November 2022.
| State executive officials in Washington, November 2022 | |
|---|---|
| Office | Officeholder |
| Governor | |
| Lieutenant Governor | |
| Secretary of State | |
| Attorney General | |
State legislature
The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Washington State Legislature as of November 2022.
Washington State Senate
| Party | As of November 2022 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 29 | |
| Republican Party | 20 | |
| Vacancies | 0 | |
| Total | 49 | |
Washington House of Representatives
| Party | As of November 2022 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 57 | |
| Republican Party | 41 | |
| Vacancies | 0 | |
| Total | 98 | |
Trifecta control
As of November 2022, Washington was a Democratic trifecta, with majorities in both chambers of the state legislature and control of the governorship. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.
Washington Party Control: 1992-2022
Sixteen years of Democratic trifectas • No Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
| Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
| Senate | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R[9] | D | D | D | D | D |
| House | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | S | S | S | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
District history
2020
See also: Washington's 10th Congressional District election, 2020
General election
General election for U.S. House Washington District 10
Marilyn Strickland defeated Beth Doglio in the general election for U.S. House Washington District 10 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Marilyn Strickland (D) ![]() | 49.3 | 167,937 | |
| Beth Doglio (D) | 35.6 | 121,040 | ||
| Other/Write-in votes | 15.1 | 51,430 | ||
| Total votes: 340,407 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Nonpartisan primary election
Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House Washington District 10
The following candidates ran in the primary for U.S. House Washington District 10 on August 4, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Marilyn Strickland (D) ![]() | 20.3 | 45,988 | |
| ✔ | Beth Doglio (D) | 15.2 | 34,254 | |
| Kristine Reeves (D) | 12.9 | 29,236 | ||
Rian Ingrim (R) ![]() | 11.4 | 25,688 | ||
| Jackson Maynard (R) | 8.2 | 18,526 | ||
Dean Johnson (R) ![]() | 7.4 | 16,700 | ||
| Nancy Slotnick (R) | 6.7 | 15,201 | ||
Don Hewett (R) ![]() | 4.8 | 10,750 | ||
Phil Gardner (D) ![]() | 2.3 | 5,292 | ||
Ryan Tate (R) ![]() | 1.9 | 4,196 | ||
Mary Bacon (D) ![]() | 1.8 | 3,992 | ||
Todd Buckley (Independent) ![]() | 1.6 | 3,552 | ||
Eric LeMay (D) ![]() | 1.4 | 3,072 | ||
Joshua Collins (Essential Workers Party) ![]() | 1.2 | 2,667 | ||
| Richard Boyce (Congress Sucks Party) | 1.0 | 2,302 | ||
| Ralph Johnson (R) | 0.6 | 1,441 | ||
| Gordon Allen Pross (R) | 0.5 | 1,186 | ||
| Sam Wright (D) | 0.5 | 1,129 | ||
| Randy Bell (D) | 0.2 | 563 | ||
| Other/Write-in votes | 0.1 | 267 | ||
| Total votes: 226,002 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Watch the Candidate Conversation for this race!
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Dan Gordon (R)
2018
General election
General election for U.S. House Washington District 10
Incumbent Denny Heck defeated Joseph Brumbles in the general election for U.S. House Washington District 10 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Denny Heck (D) | 61.5 | 166,215 | |
Joseph Brumbles (R) ![]() | 38.5 | 103,860 | ||
| Total votes: 270,075 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Nonpartisan primary election
Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House Washington District 10
Incumbent Denny Heck and Joseph Brumbles defeated Tamborine Borrelli and Nancy Slotnick in the primary for U.S. House Washington District 10 on August 7, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Denny Heck (D) | 58.2 | 82,552 | |
| ✔ | Joseph Brumbles (R) ![]() | 31.9 | 45,270 | |
| Tamborine Borrelli (Independent) | 5.6 | 7,997 | ||
Nancy Slotnick (Independent) ![]() | 4.3 | 6,127 | ||
| Total votes: 141,946 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Adam Harrsion (Independent)
2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. Incumbent Denny Heck (D) defeated Jim Postma (R) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Heck and Postma defeated Jennifer Ferguson (D) and Richard Boyce (independent) in the top-two primary on August 2, 2016.[10][11]
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | 58.7% | 170,460 | ||
| Republican | Jim Postma | 41.3% | 120,104 | |
| Total Votes | 290,564 | |||
| Source: Washington Secretary of State | ||||
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic |
|
46.5% | 58,865 | |
| Republican | 36.7% | 46,473 | ||
| Democratic | Jennifer Ferguson | 13.2% | 16,750 | |
| Independent | Richard Boyce | 3.5% | 4,411 | |
| Total Votes | 126,499 | |||
| Source: Washington Secretary of State |
||||
2014
The 10th Congressional District of Washington held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Denny Heck (D) defeated Joyce McDonald (R) in the general election.
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | 54.7% | 99,279 | ||
| Republican | Joyce McDonald | 45.3% | 82,213 | |
| Total Votes | 181,492 | |||
| Source: Washington Secretary of State | ||||
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic |
|
51.4% | 39,866 | |
| Republican | 41.4% | 32,119 | ||
| Independent | Jennifer Ferguson | 4.8% | 3,730 | |
| Human Rights Party | Sam Wright | 2.3% | 1,781 | |
| Total Votes | 77,496 | |||
| Source: Results via Associated Press |
||||
See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Political predecessor districts are determined primarily based on incumbents and where each chose to seek re-election.
- ↑ Daily Kos Elections, "Daily Kos Elections 2020 presidential results by congressional district (old CDs vs. new CDs)," accessed May 12, 2022
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
- ↑ Progressive Party
- ↑ Democrats gained full control of the state Senate after a special election on November 7, 2017.
- ↑ Washington Secretary of State, "Unofficial List of Candidates in Ballot Order," accessed May 23, 2016
- ↑ Politico, "Washington House Primaries Results," August 2, 2016
