United States Senate election in Texas, 2020
- Election date: Nov. 3
- Registration deadline(s): Oct. 5
- Online registration: No
- Same-day registration: No
- Recount laws
- Early voting starts: Oct. 13
- Absentee/mail voting deadline(s): Nov. 3 (postmarked); Nov. 4 (received)
- Processing, counting, and challenging absentee/mail-in ballots
- Voter ID: Photo ID
- Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m.
Incumbent John Cornyn (R), M.J. Hegar (D), Kerry McKennon (L), and Ricardo Turullols-Bonilla (I) ran in the November 3, 2020 general election for U.S. Senate in Texas.
In the Republican primary, Cornyn defeated four other candidates, receiving 76% of the vote. In the Democratic primary, no candidate received the 50% of the vote necessary to win the nomination outright. Hegar and Royce West advanced to a Democratic primary runoff in which Hegar defeated West 52% to 48%. McKennon was selected as the Libertarian nominee at a convention on August 3, 2020.[1] Turullols-Bonilla ran as a write-in candidate.
Cornyn was first elected in 2002. In 2014, he was re-elected with 61.6% of the vote.
As of July 2020, major independent observers rated the general election as likely Republican or lean Republican.
The outcome of this race affected partisan control of the U.S. Senate. Thirty-five of 100 seats were up for election, including two special elections. At the time of the election, Republicans had a 53-45 majority over Democrats in the Senate. Independents who caucus with the Democrats held the two remaining seats. Republicans faced greater partisan risk in the election. They defended 23 seats while Democrats defended 12. Both parties had two incumbents representing states the opposite party's presidential nominee won in 2016.
For more information about the Democratic primary, click here.
For more information about the Republican primary, click here.
Election updates
- September 25, 2020: A University of Massachusetts Lowell and YouGov poll found Cornyn with 50% support to Hegar's 40%, and 9% of respondents were undecided. The margin of error was +/- 4.3 percentage points.[2]
- September 22, 2020: A Data for Progress poll sponsored by the Defend Students Action Fund found Cornyn with 40% support to Hegar's 38%, and 22% of respondents were undecided. The margin of error was +/- 3.6 percentage points.[3]
- Sept. 18, 2020: A YouGov poll sponsored by CBS News found Cornyn apparently leading Hegar. Cornyn had 46% support to Hegar's 41%, with 13% of voters undecided or backing a different candidate. The poll reported a margin of error of 3.5 percentage points.[4]
Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.
Texas modified its absentee/mail-in voting, candidate filing, and early voting procedures for the November 3, 2020, general election as follows:
- Absentee/mail-in voting: Local election officials could not reject an absentee ballot due to a perceived signature mismatch unless the voter was given a pre-rejection notice of this finding and a "meaningful opportunity to cure his or her ballot's rejection." Return locations for absentee/mail-in ballots were limited to one per county.
- Candidate filing procedures: The petition deadline for independent candidates for non-presidential office was extended to August 13, 2020.
- Early voting: Early voting began on October 13, 2020.
For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.
Frequently asked questions
- See also: Ballotpedia's 2020 Election Help Desk
The 2020 election took place against a backdrop of uncertainty. Our readers had questions about what to expect in elections at all levels of government, from the casting of ballots to the certification of final results. Ballotpedia's 2020 Election Help Desk was designed to answer those questions. Ballotpedia is in the process of compiling and answering frequently asked questions related to the 2020 elections. Questions related to this election will be available soon.
Candidates and election results
See also: United States Senate election in Texas, 2020
United States Senate election in Texas, 2020 (March 3 Republican primary)
United States Senate election in Texas, 2020 (March 3 Democratic primary)
General election
General election for U.S. Senate Texas
Incumbent John Cornyn defeated Mary Jennings Hegar, Kerry McKennon, David B. Collins, and Ricardo Turullols-Bonilla in the general election for U.S. Senate Texas on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | John Cornyn (R) | 53.5 | 5,962,983 | |
| Mary Jennings Hegar (D) | 43.9 | 4,888,764 | ||
Kerry McKennon (L) ![]() | 1.9 | 209,722 | ||
David B. Collins (G) ![]() | 0.7 | 81,893 | ||
Ricardo Turullols-Bonilla (Independent) (Write-in) ![]() | 0.0 | 678 | ||
| Total votes: 11,144,040 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Arjun Srinivasan (Independent)
- Cedric Jefferson (People Over Politics Party)
- James Brumley (The Human Rights Party)
- Tim Smith (Independent)
Democratic primary runoff election
Democratic primary runoff for U.S. Senate Texas
Mary Jennings Hegar defeated Royce West in the Democratic primary runoff for U.S. Senate Texas on July 14, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Mary Jennings Hegar | 52.2 | 502,516 | |
| Royce West | 47.8 | 459,457 | ||
| Total votes: 961,973 (100.00% precincts reporting) | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Texas
The following candidates ran in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Texas on March 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Mary Jennings Hegar | 22.3 | 417,160 | |
| ✔ | Royce West | 14.7 | 274,074 | |
| Cristina Tzintzún Ramirez | 13.2 | 246,659 | ||
Annie Garcia ![]() | 10.3 | 191,900 | ||
| Amanda Edwards | 10.1 | 189,624 | ||
| Chris Bell | 8.5 | 159,751 | ||
Sema Hernandez ![]() | 7.4 | 137,892 | ||
| Michael Cooper | 4.9 | 92,463 | ||
Victor Harris ![]() | 3.2 | 59,710 | ||
| Adrian Ocegueda | 2.2 | 41,566 | ||
Jack Daniel Foster Jr. ![]() | 1.7 | 31,718 | ||
| D.R. Hunter | 1.4 | 26,902 | ||
| Total votes: 1,869,419 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- John Love III (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. Senate Texas
Incumbent John Cornyn defeated Dwayne Stovall, Mark Yancey, John Castro, and Virgil Bierschwale in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate Texas on March 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | John Cornyn | 76.0 | 1,470,669 | |
| Dwayne Stovall | 11.9 | 231,104 | ||
Mark Yancey ![]() | 6.5 | 124,864 | ||
John Castro ![]() | 4.5 | 86,916 | ||
Virgil Bierschwale ![]() | 1.1 | 20,494 | ||
| Total votes: 1,934,047 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Green convention
Green convention for U.S. Senate Texas
David B. Collins advanced from the Green convention for U.S. Senate Texas on April 18, 2020.
Candidate | ||
| ✔ | David B. Collins (G) ![]() | |
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Libertarian convention
Libertarian convention for U.S. Senate Texas
Kerry McKennon advanced from the Libertarian convention for U.S. Senate Texas on August 3, 2020.
Candidate | ||
| ✔ | Kerry McKennon (L) ![]() | |
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
| U.S. Senate in Texas, 2020: General election polls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | Date | Undecided/Other | Margin of error | Sample size | Sponsor | |||||
| Data for Progress | Oct. 27-Nov. 1 | 50% | 47% | 3%[5] | ± 3.2 | 926 | -- | |||
| Morning Consult | Oct. 22-31, 2020 | 47% | 43% | -- | ± 2 | 3,267 | -- | |||
| University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov | Oct. 20-26, 2020 | 49% | 44% | 10%[6] | ± 4.2 | 873 | -- | |||
| University of Texas/Dallas Morning News | Oct. 13-20 | 42% | 34% | 23%[7] | ± 3.2 | 925 | -- | |||
| Quinnipiac | Oct. 16-19 | 49% | 43% | 8%[8] | ± 2.9 | 1,145 | -- | |||
| Click [show] to see older poll results | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | Date | Undecided/Other | Margin of error | Sample size | Sponsor | |||||
| Data for Progress | Oct. 15-18 | 43% | 36% | 22%[9] | ± 3.2 | 933 | Crooked Media/Indivisible | |||
| Public Policy Polling | Oct. 14-15 | 49% | 46% | 5% | +/- 3.7 | 712 | -- | |||
| Civiqs | Oct. 3-6 | 47% | 46% | 7%[10] | ± 3.4 | 895 | Daily Kos | |||
| Data for Progress | Sept. 30-Oct. 5 | 45% | 42% | 14%[11] | ± 2.2 | 1,949 | Indivisible | |||
| YouGov | Sept. 25-Oct. 4 | 50% | 42% | 8%[12] | ± 3.3 | 908 | University of Texas / Texas Tribune | |||
| University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov | Sept. 18-25, 2020 | 50% | 40% | 10%[13] | ± 4.3 | 882 | -- | |||
| Data for Progress | Sept. 15-22, 2020 | 40% | 38% | 22%[14] | ± 3.6 | 726 | Defend Students Action Fund | |||
| YouGov | Sept, 15-18, 2020 | 46% | 41% | 13% | ± 3.5 | 1,161 | CBS News | |||
| Public Policy Polling[15] | Sept. 1-2, 2020 | 44% | 40% | 15% | -- | 743 | Giffords | |||
| University of Texas-Tyler[16] | Aug. 28 - Sept. 2, 2020 | 39% | 28% | 33%[17] | ± 3.3 | 901 | The Dallas Morning News | |||
| Data for Progress[18] | Aug. 20-25, 2020 | 46% | 40% | 15% | ± 2.0 | 2,295 | Texas Youth Power Alliance | |||
| SPRY Strategies[19] | July 16-20, 2020 | 47% | 37% | 16%[20] | ± 3.5 | 750 | Latino Decisions | |||
| YouGov[21] | July 7-10, 2020 | 44% | 36% | 20%[22] | ± 3.4 | 1,179 | CBS News | |||
| University of Texas-Tyler[21] | June 29 - July 7, 2020 | 42% | 29% | 27%[23] | ± 2.4 | 1,677 | The Dallas Morning News | |||
| Fox News[21] | June 20-23, 2020 | 46% | 36% | 18%[24] | ± 3.0 | 1,001 | N/A | |||
| University of Texas-Tyler[21] | April 18-27, 2020 | 37% | 24% | 40%[25] | ± 2.9 | 1,183 | The Dallas Morning News | |||
| Marist College[21] | Feb. 23-27, 2020 | 49% | 41% | 11%[26] | ± 2.5 | 2,409 | NBC News | |||
Ballot access requirements
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. Senate candidates in Texas in the 2020 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Texas, click here.
| Filing requirements for U.S. Senate candidates, 2020 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Signature formula | Filing fee | Filing fee formula | Filing deadline | Source |
| Texas | U.S. Senate | Democratic or Republican | N/A | N/A | $5,000.00 | Fixed number | 12/9/2019 | Source |
| Texas | U.S. Senate | Unaffiliated | 83,717 | 1% of all votes cast for governor in the last election | N/A | N/A | 12/9/2019 (declaration of intent); 8/13/2020 (final filing deadline) | Source |
Runoff elections in Texas
In Texas, a primary election candidate for congressional, state, or county office must receive a majority of the vote (more than 50%) to be declared the winner. If no candidate wins the requisite majority, a runoff election is held between the top two vote-getters.[27]
As of 2020, the Texas Secretary of State office stated, "There is no requirement to have previously voted in the general primary election in order to participate in the subsequent primary runoff election. Therefore, if a qualified voter did not vote in the general primary election, they are still eligible to vote in the primary runoff election." The office also stated that "if a voter votes in the primary of one party, they will only be able to vote in that party’s primary runoff election. ... After being affiliated with a party, a voter is not able to change or cancel their party affiliation until the end of the calendar year."[28]
Race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[29]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[30][31][32]
| Race ratings: U.S. Senate election in Texas, 2020 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
| November 3, 2020 | October 27, 2020 | October 20, 2020 | October 13, 2020 | ||||||
| The Cook Political Report | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | |||||
| Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | |||||
| Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean Republican | Likely Republican | Likely Republican | Likely Republican | |||||
| Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season. | |||||||||
Election history
2018
General election
General election for U.S. Senate Texas
Incumbent Ted Cruz defeated Beto O'Rourke and Neal Dikeman in the general election for U.S. Senate Texas on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Ted Cruz (R) | 50.9 | 4,260,553 | |
| Beto O'Rourke (D) | 48.3 | 4,045,632 | ||
| Neal Dikeman (L) | 0.8 | 65,470 | ||
| Total votes: 8,371,655 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Bob McNeil (Independent)
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Texas
Beto O'Rourke defeated Sema Hernandez and Edward Kimbrough in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Texas on March 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Beto O'Rourke | 61.8 | 640,769 | |
| Sema Hernandez | 23.7 | 245,847 | ||
| Edward Kimbrough | 14.5 | 149,851 | ||
| Total votes: 1,036,467 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. Senate Texas
Incumbent Ted Cruz defeated Mary Miller, Bruce Jacobson Jr., Stefano de Stefano, and Geraldine Sam in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate Texas on March 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Ted Cruz | 85.3 | 1,315,146 | |
| Mary Miller | 6.1 | 94,274 | ||
| Bruce Jacobson Jr. | 4.2 | 64,452 | ||
| Stefano de Stefano | 2.9 | 44,251 | ||
| Geraldine Sam | 1.5 | 22,767 | ||
| Total votes: 1,540,890 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
2014
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | 61.6% | 2,861,531 | ||
| Democratic | David Alameel | 34.4% | 1,597,387 | |
| Libertarian | Rebecca Paddock | 2.9% | 133,751 | |
| Green | Emily Marie Sanchez | 1.2% | 54,701 | |
| Write-in | Mohammed Tahiro | 0% | 988 | |
| Total Votes | 4,648,358 | |||
| Source: U.S. House Clerk "2014 Election Statistics" | ||||
2012
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | 56.5% | 4,440,137 | ||
| Democratic | Paul Sadler | 40.6% | 3,194,927 | |
| Libertarian | John Jay Myers | 2.1% | 162,354 | |
| Green | David B. Collins | 0.9% | 67,404 | |
| Total Votes | 7,864,822 | |||
| Source: Texas Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election" | ||||
See also
- United States House of Representatives elections in Texas, 2020
- United States Senate elections, 2020
Footnotes
- ↑ The Amarillo Pioneer, "McKennon to Lead Top of Texas Libertarian Ticket in 2020," August 4, 2020
- ↑ [https://www.uml.edu/docs/2020-Texas-Sept-Topline_tcm18-330588.pdf University of Massachusetts Lowell, "UMass Lowell Survey of Texas Voters," September 18-25, 2020]
- ↑ Data for Progress, "Biden and Trump are Running Neck and Neck in Arizona, Florida, and Texas," September 2020
- ↑ Google Drive, "CBS News Battleground Tracker - September 15-18," accessed September 28, 2020
- ↑ McKennon: 1%
Turullols-Bonilla: 2% - ↑ Another candidate: 0%
Undecided: 5% - ↑ Undecided: 18%
Collins: 2%
McKennon: 3% - ↑ Don't Know or N/A: 7%
Someone else: 1% - ↑ Undecided: 19%
McKennon: 2%
Turullols-Bonilla: 1% - ↑ Unsure: 4%
McKennon: 2%
Collins: 1% - ↑ Undecided: 11%
McKennon: 2%
Turullols-Bonilla: 1% - ↑ Someone else: 5%
McKennon: 3% - ↑ Another candidate: 1%
Undecided: 9% - ↑ Undecided: 22%
- ↑ Giffords, "Texas Survey Results," Sept. 8, 2020
- ↑ UT Tyler, "Texas Voter Sample," Sept. 6, 2020
- ↑ Kerry McKennan (L): 3%
David Collins (G): 2%
Undecided: 28% - ↑ Data for Progress, "Texas Survey Key Findings," Sept. 4, 2020
- ↑ SPRY Strategies, "APP.Texas. GeneralElections RND1.7.8.20," July 22, 2020
- ↑ Another candidate: 14%
Undecided: 2% - ↑ 21.0 21.1 21.2 21.3 21.4 FiveThirtyEight, "Texas U.S. Senate Polls," accessed Sept. 14, 2020
- ↑ Someone else: 4%
Wouldn't vote: 1%
Not sure: 15% - ↑ Other: 5%
Undecided: 22% - ↑ Other: 3%
Wouldn't vote: 3%
Don't know: 12% - ↑ Other: 6%
Undecided: 34% - ↑ Other: 1%
Undecided: 10% - ↑ Texas Legislature, "Chapter 172. Primary Elections," accessed July 10, 2020
- ↑ Texas Secretary of State, "Election Advisory No. 2020-05," February 11, 2020
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018


