Election law changes? Our legislation tracker’s got you. Check it out!

United States Senate election in Texas, 2020

From Ballotpedia
Jump to: navigation, search

Ballotpedia-Tagline-One Line.png


2022
2018
U.S. Senate, Texas
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge.png
Democratic primary
Democratic primary runoff
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: December 9, 2019
Primary: March 3, 2020
Primary runoff: July 14, 2020
General: November 3, 2020

Pre-election incumbent:
John Cornyn (Republican)
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m.
Voting in Texas
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Lean Republican
Inside Elections: Lean Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2020
See also
U.S. Senate, Texas
U.S. Senate1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th12th13th14th15th16th17th18th19th20th21st22nd23rd24th25th26th27th28th29th30th31st32nd33rd34th35th36th
Texas elections, 2020
U.S. Congress elections, 2020
U.S. Senate elections, 2020
U.S. House elections, 2020

Incumbent John Cornyn (R), M.J. Hegar (D), Kerry McKennon (L), and Ricardo Turullols-Bonilla (I) ran in the November 3, 2020 general election for U.S. Senate in Texas.

In the Republican primary, Cornyn defeated four other candidates, receiving 76% of the vote. In the Democratic primary, no candidate received the 50% of the vote necessary to win the nomination outright. Hegar and Royce West advanced to a Democratic primary runoff in which Hegar defeated West 52% to 48%. McKennon was selected as the Libertarian nominee at a convention on August 3, 2020.[1] Turullols-Bonilla ran as a write-in candidate.

Cornyn was first elected in 2002. In 2014, he was re-elected with 61.6% of the vote.

As of July 2020, major independent observers rated the general election as likely Republican or lean Republican.

The outcome of this race affected partisan control of the U.S. Senate. Thirty-five of 100 seats were up for election, including two special elections. At the time of the election, Republicans had a 53-45 majority over Democrats in the Senate. Independents who caucus with the Democrats held the two remaining seats. Republicans faced greater partisan risk in the election. They defended 23 seats while Democrats defended 12. Both parties had two incumbents representing states the opposite party's presidential nominee won in 2016.


Democratic Party For more information about the Democratic primary, click here.
Republican Party For more information about the Republican primary, click here.

Election updates

  • September 25, 2020: A University of Massachusetts Lowell and YouGov poll found Cornyn with 50% support to Hegar's 40%, and 9% of respondents were undecided. The margin of error was +/- 4.3 percentage points.[2]
  • September 22, 2020: A Data for Progress poll sponsored by the Defend Students Action Fund found Cornyn with 40% support to Hegar's 38%, and 22% of respondents were undecided. The margin of error was +/- 3.6 percentage points.[3]
  • Sept. 18, 2020: A YouGov poll sponsored by CBS News found Cornyn apparently leading Hegar. Cornyn had 46% support to Hegar's 41%, with 13% of voters undecided or backing a different candidate. The poll reported a margin of error of 3.5 percentage points.[4]

Coronavirus and the 2020 election

See also: Changes to election dates, procedures, and administration in response to the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, 2020

Ballotpedia provided comprehensive coverage of how election dates and procedures changed in 2020. While the majority of changes occurred as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, some changes occurred for other reasons.

Texas modified its absentee/mail-in voting, candidate filing, and early voting procedures for the November 3, 2020, general election as follows:

  • Absentee/mail-in voting: Local election officials could not reject an absentee ballot due to a perceived signature mismatch unless the voter was given a pre-rejection notice of this finding and a "meaningful opportunity to cure his or her ballot's rejection." Return locations for absentee/mail-in ballots were limited to one per county.
  • Candidate filing procedures: The petition deadline for independent candidates for non-presidential office was extended to August 13, 2020.
  • Early voting: Early voting began on October 13, 2020.

For a full timeline about election modifications made in response to the COVID-19 outbreak, click here.

Frequently asked questions

See also: Ballotpedia's 2020 Election Help Desk

The 2020 election took place against a backdrop of uncertainty. Our readers had questions about what to expect in elections at all levels of government, from the casting of ballots to the certification of final results. Ballotpedia's 2020 Election Help Desk was designed to answer those questions. Ballotpedia is in the process of compiling and answering frequently asked questions related to the 2020 elections. Questions related to this election will be available soon.


Candidates and election results

See also: United States Senate election in Texas, 2020

United States Senate election in Texas, 2020 (March 3 Republican primary)

United States Senate election in Texas, 2020 (March 3 Democratic primary)

General election

General election for U.S. Senate Texas

Incumbent John Cornyn defeated Mary Jennings Hegar, Kerry McKennon, David B. Collins, and Ricardo Turullols-Bonilla in the general election for U.S. Senate Texas on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of John Cornyn
John Cornyn (R)
 
53.5
 
5,962,983
Image of Mary Jennings Hegar
Mary Jennings Hegar (D)
 
43.9
 
4,888,764
Image of Kerry McKennon
Kerry McKennon (L) Candidate Connection
 
1.9
 
209,722
Image of David B. Collins
David B. Collins (G) Candidate Connection
 
0.7
 
81,893
Image of Ricardo Turullols-Bonilla
Ricardo Turullols-Bonilla (Independent) (Write-in) Candidate Connection
 
0.0
 
678

Total votes: 11,144,040
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary runoff election

Democratic primary runoff for U.S. Senate Texas

Mary Jennings Hegar defeated Royce West in the Democratic primary runoff for U.S. Senate Texas on July 14, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Mary Jennings Hegar
Mary Jennings Hegar
 
52.2
 
502,516
Image of Royce West
Royce West
 
47.8
 
459,457

Total votes: 961,973
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Texas

The following candidates ran in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Texas on March 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Mary Jennings Hegar
Mary Jennings Hegar
 
22.3
 
417,160
Image of Royce West
Royce West
 
14.7
 
274,074
Image of Cristina Tzintzún Ramirez
Cristina Tzintzún Ramirez
 
13.2
 
246,659
Image of Annie Garcia
Annie Garcia Candidate Connection
 
10.3
 
191,900
Image of Amanda Edwards
Amanda Edwards
 
10.1
 
189,624
Image of Chris Bell
Chris Bell
 
8.5
 
159,751
Image of Sema Hernandez
Sema Hernandez Candidate Connection
 
7.4
 
137,892
Image of Michael Cooper
Michael Cooper
 
4.9
 
92,463
Image of Victor Harris
Victor Harris Candidate Connection
 
3.2
 
59,710
Image of Adrian Ocegueda
Adrian Ocegueda
 
2.2
 
41,566
Image of Jack Daniel Foster Jr.
Jack Daniel Foster Jr. Candidate Connection
 
1.7
 
31,718
Image of D.R. Hunter
D.R. Hunter
 
1.4
 
26,902

Total votes: 1,869,419
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. Senate Texas

Incumbent John Cornyn defeated Dwayne Stovall, Mark Yancey, John Castro, and Virgil Bierschwale in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate Texas on March 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of John Cornyn
John Cornyn
 
76.0
 
1,470,669
Image of Dwayne Stovall
Dwayne Stovall
 
11.9
 
231,104
Image of Mark Yancey
Mark Yancey Candidate Connection
 
6.5
 
124,864
Image of John Castro
John Castro Candidate Connection
 
4.5
 
86,916
Image of Virgil Bierschwale
Virgil Bierschwale Candidate Connection
 
1.1
 
20,494

Total votes: 1,934,047
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Green convention

Green convention for U.S. Senate Texas

David B. Collins advanced from the Green convention for U.S. Senate Texas on April 18, 2020.

Candidate
Image of David B. Collins
David B. Collins (G) Candidate Connection

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Libertarian convention

Libertarian convention for U.S. Senate Texas

Kerry McKennon advanced from the Libertarian convention for U.S. Senate Texas on August 3, 2020.

Candidate
Image of Kerry McKennon
Kerry McKennon (L) Candidate Connection

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

U.S. Senate in Texas, 2020: General election polls
Poll Date Republican Party Cornyn Democratic Party Hegar Undecided/Other Margin of error Sample size Sponsor
Data for Progress Oct. 27-Nov. 1 50% 47% 3%[5] ± 3.2 926 --
Morning Consult Oct. 22-31, 2020 47% 43% -- ± 2 3,267 --
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov Oct. 20-26, 2020 49% 44% 10%[6] ± 4.2 873 --
University of Texas/Dallas Morning News Oct. 13-20 42% 34% 23%[7] ± 3.2 925 --
Quinnipiac Oct. 16-19 49% 43% 8%[8] ± 2.9 1,145 --


Ballot access requirements

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. Senate candidates in Texas in the 2020 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Texas, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. Senate candidates, 2020
State Office Party Signatures required Signature formula Filing fee Filing fee formula Filing deadline Source
Texas U.S. Senate Democratic or Republican N/A N/A $5,000.00 Fixed number 12/9/2019 Source
Texas U.S. Senate Unaffiliated 83,717 1% of all votes cast for governor in the last election N/A N/A 12/9/2019 (declaration of intent); 8/13/2020 (final filing deadline) Source


Runoff elections in Texas

In Texas, a primary election candidate for congressional, state, or county office must receive a majority of the vote (more than 50%) to be declared the winner. If no candidate wins the requisite majority, a runoff election is held between the top two vote-getters.[27]

As of 2020, the Texas Secretary of State office stated, "There is no requirement to have previously voted in the general primary election in order to participate in the subsequent primary runoff election. Therefore, if a qualified voter did not vote in the general primary election, they are still eligible to vote in the primary runoff election." The office also stated that "if a voter votes in the primary of one party, they will only be able to vote in that party’s primary runoff election. ... After being affiliated with a party, a voter is not able to change or cancel their party affiliation until the end of the calendar year."[28]


Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[29]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[30][31][32]

Race ratings: U.S. Senate election in Texas, 2020
Race trackerRace ratings
November 3, 2020October 27, 2020October 20, 2020October 13, 2020
The Cook Political ReportLean RepublicanLean RepublicanLean RepublicanLean Republican
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesLean RepublicanLean RepublicanLean RepublicanLean Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallLean RepublicanLikely RepublicanLikely RepublicanLikely Republican
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every week throughout the election season.


Election history

2018

See also: United States Senate election in Texas, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. Senate Texas

Incumbent Ted Cruz defeated Beto O'Rourke and Neal Dikeman in the general election for U.S. Senate Texas on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Ted Cruz
Ted Cruz (R)
 
50.9
 
4,260,553
Image of Beto O'Rourke
Beto O'Rourke (D)
 
48.3
 
4,045,632
Image of Neal Dikeman
Neal Dikeman (L)
 
0.8
 
65,470

Total votes: 8,371,655
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Texas

Beto O'Rourke defeated Sema Hernandez and Edward Kimbrough in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Texas on March 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Beto O'Rourke
Beto O'Rourke
 
61.8
 
640,769
Image of Sema Hernandez
Sema Hernandez
 
23.7
 
245,847
Edward Kimbrough
 
14.5
 
149,851

Total votes: 1,036,467
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. Senate Texas

Incumbent Ted Cruz defeated Mary Miller, Bruce Jacobson Jr., Stefano de Stefano, and Geraldine Sam in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate Texas on March 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Ted Cruz
Ted Cruz
 
85.3
 
1,315,146
Image of Mary Miller
Mary Miller
 
6.1
 
94,274
Image of Bruce Jacobson Jr.
Bruce Jacobson Jr.
 
4.2
 
64,452
Image of Stefano de Stefano
Stefano de Stefano
 
2.9
 
44,251
Geraldine Sam
 
1.5
 
22,767

Total votes: 1,540,890
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

2014

U.S. Senate, Texas General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngJohn Cornyn Incumbent 61.6% 2,861,531
     Democratic David Alameel 34.4% 1,597,387
     Libertarian Rebecca Paddock 2.9% 133,751
     Green Emily Marie Sanchez 1.2% 54,701
     Write-in Mohammed Tahiro 0% 988
Total Votes 4,648,358
Source: U.S. House Clerk "2014 Election Statistics"

2012

U.S. Senate, Texas General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngTed Cruz 56.5% 4,440,137
     Democratic Paul Sadler 40.6% 3,194,927
     Libertarian John Jay Myers 2.1% 162,354
     Green David B. Collins 0.9% 67,404
Total Votes 7,864,822
Source: Texas Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"

See also

Footnotes

  1. The Amarillo Pioneer, "McKennon to Lead Top of Texas Libertarian Ticket in 2020," August 4, 2020
  2. [https://www.uml.edu/docs/2020-Texas-Sept-Topline_tcm18-330588.pdf University of Massachusetts Lowell, "UMass Lowell Survey of Texas Voters," September 18-25, 2020]
  3. Data for Progress, "Biden and Trump are Running Neck and Neck in Arizona, Florida, and Texas," September 2020
  4. Google Drive, "CBS News Battleground Tracker - September 15-18," accessed September 28, 2020
  5. McKennon: 1%
    Turullols-Bonilla: 2%
  6. Another candidate: 0%
    Undecided: 5%
  7. Undecided: 18%
    Collins: 2%
    McKennon: 3%
  8. Don't Know or N/A: 7%
    Someone else: 1%
  9. Undecided: 19%
    McKennon: 2%
    Turullols-Bonilla: 1%
  10. Unsure: 4%
    McKennon: 2%
    Collins: 1%
  11. Undecided: 11%
    McKennon: 2%
    Turullols-Bonilla: 1%
  12. Someone else: 5%
    McKennon: 3%
  13. Another candidate: 1%
    Undecided: 9%
  14. Undecided: 22%
  15. Giffords, "Texas Survey Results," Sept. 8, 2020
  16. UT Tyler, "Texas Voter Sample," Sept. 6, 2020
  17. Kerry McKennan (L): 3%
    David Collins (G): 2%
    Undecided: 28%
  18. Data for Progress, "Texas Survey Key Findings," Sept. 4, 2020
  19. SPRY Strategies, "APP.Texas. GeneralElections RND1.7.8.20," July 22, 2020
  20. Another candidate: 14%
    Undecided: 2%
  21. 21.0 21.1 21.2 21.3 21.4 FiveThirtyEight, "Texas U.S. Senate Polls," accessed Sept. 14, 2020
  22. Someone else: 4%
    Wouldn't vote: 1%
    Not sure: 15%
  23. Other: 5%
    Undecided: 22%
  24. Other: 3%
    Wouldn't vote: 3%
    Don't know: 12%
  25. Other: 6%
    Undecided: 34%
  26. Other: 1%
    Undecided: 10%
  27. Texas Legislature, "Chapter 172. Primary Elections," accessed July 10, 2020
  28. Texas Secretary of State, "Election Advisory No. 2020-05," February 11, 2020
  29. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  30. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  31. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  32. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018



Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
District 7
District 8
District 9
Al Green (D)
District 10
District 11
District 12
District 13
District 14
District 15
District 16
District 17
District 18
Vacant
District 19
District 20
District 21
Chip Roy (R)
District 22
District 23
District 24
District 25
District 26
District 27
District 28
District 29
District 30
District 31
District 32
District 33
District 34
District 35
District 36
District 37
District 38
Republican Party (27)
Democratic Party (12)
Vacancies (1)