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Hawaii's 2nd Congressional District election, 2022

From Ballotpedia
Revision as of 21:03, 25 August 2022 by Matt Latourelle (contribs) (election dates template)
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2024
2020
Hawaii's 2nd Congressional District
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge.png
Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: June 7, 2022
Primary: August 13, 2022
General: November 8, 2022
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m.
Voting in Hawaii
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic
Inside Elections: Solid Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022
See also
Hawaii's 2nd Congressional District
U.S. Senate1st2nd
Hawaii elections, 2022
U.S. Congress elections, 2022
U.S. Senate elections, 2022
U.S. House elections, 2022

All U.S. House districts, including the 2nd Congressional District of Hawaii, held elections in 2022. The general election was on November 8, 2022. The primary was scheduled for August 13, 2022. The filing deadline was June 7, 2022.

For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:

Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Hawaii District 2

Jill Tokuda defeated Joseph Akana and Michelle Rose Tippens in the general election for U.S. House Hawaii District 2 on November 8, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Jill Tokuda
Jill Tokuda (D)
 
62.2
 
128,407
Image of Joseph Akana
Joseph Akana (R) Candidate Connection
 
35.3
 
72,874
Image of Michelle Rose Tippens
Michelle Rose Tippens (L)
 
2.5
 
5,130

Total votes: 206,411
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 2

The following candidates ran in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 2 on August 13, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Jill Tokuda
Jill Tokuda
 
57.6
 
62,275
Image of Patrick Branco
Patrick Branco
 
25.0
 
27,057
Kyle Yoshida
 
6.1
 
6,624
Image of Brendan Schultz
Brendan Schultz Candidate Connection
 
5.7
 
6,115
Image of Nicole Gi
Nicole Gi
 
3.6
 
3,937
Steven Sparks
 
2.0
 
2,137

Total votes: 108,145
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 2

Joseph Akana defeated Joe Webster in the Republican primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 2 on August 13, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Joseph Akana
Joseph Akana Candidate Connection
 
83.9
 
28,200
Image of Joe Webster
Joe Webster Candidate Connection
 
16.1
 
5,403

Total votes: 33,603
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Libertarian primary election

Libertarian primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 2

Michelle Rose Tippens advanced from the Libertarian primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 2 on August 13, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Michelle Rose Tippens
Michelle Rose Tippens
 
100.0
 
343

Total votes: 343
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Voting information

See also: Voting in Hawaii

Election information in Hawaii: Nov. 8, 2022, election.

What was the voter registration deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 8, 2022
  • By mail: Postmarked by Oct. 31, 2022
  • Online: Nov. 8, 2022

Was absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

N/A

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 1, 2022
  • By mail: Received by Nov. 1, 2022
  • Online: N/A

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 8, 2022
  • By mail: Received by Nov. 8, 2022

Was early voting available to all voters?

Yes

What were the early voting start and end dates?

Oct. 25, 2022 to Nov. 7, 2022

Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, was a photo or non-photo ID required?

N/A

When were polls open on Election Day?

N/A


Campaign finance

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Patrick Branco Democratic Party $185,979 $185,979 $0 As of September 30, 2022
Nicole Gi Democratic Party $12,325 $8,785 $3,540 As of September 30, 2022
Brendan Schultz Democratic Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Steven Sparks Democratic Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Jill Tokuda Democratic Party $1,042,387 $841,651 $200,736 As of December 31, 2022
Kyle Yoshida Democratic Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Joseph Akana Republican Party $71,642 $70,545 $-1,052 As of December 31, 2022
Joe Webster Republican Party $62,473 $62,473 $0 As of September 30, 2022
Michelle Rose Tippens Libertarian Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2022. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.

General election race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[1]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[2][3][4]

Race ratings: Hawaii's 2nd Congressional District election, 2022
Race trackerRace ratings
November 8, 2022November 1, 2022October 25, 2022October 18, 2022
The Cook Political Report with Amy WalterSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe Democratic
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

Ballot access requirements

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Hawaii in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Hawaii, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2022
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source
Hawaii U.S. House All candidates $25.00 $75.00 6/7/2022 Source

District analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

  • District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting.
  • Effect of redistricting - How districts in the state changed as a result of redistricting following the 2020 census.
  • Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2022 U.S. House elections in the state.
  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
  • Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
  • State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.

District map

Below was the map in use at the time of the election, enacted as part of the 2020 redistricting cycle, compared to the map in place before the election.

Hawaii District 2
until January 2, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.

Hawaii District 2
starting January 3, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.


Effect of redistricting

See also: Redistricting in Hawaii after the 2020 census

The table below details the results of the 2020 presidential election in each district at the time of the 2022 election and its political predecessor district.[5] This data was compiled by Daily Kos Elections.[6]

2020 presidential results by Congressional district, Hawaii
District 2022 district Political predecessor district
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
Hawaii's 1st 63.9% 34.5% 63.8% 34.5%
Hawaii's 2nd 63.6% 34.1% 63.6% 34.0%

Competitiveness

See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2022

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Hawaii.

Post-filing deadline analysis

The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Hawaii in 2022. Information below was calculated on August 9, 2022, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.

Thirteen candidates filed to run for Hawaii's two U.S. House districts, including eight Democrats and five Republicans. That's 6.5 candidates per district, less than the 9.5 candidates per district in 2020 and the same number as in 2018.

This was the first election to take place under new district lines following the 2020 census. Hawaii was apportioned two districts, the same number it was apportioned after the 2010 census. The 13 candidates running this year were six fewer than the 19 candidates who ran in 2020 and the same number as in 2018. Twelve candidates ran in 2016 and 2014, and 13 ran in 2012.

Rep. Kaiali'i Kahele (D) did not run for re-election in order to run for governor of Hawaii, making the 2nd district an open seat this year. This was the sixth consecutive election cycle where one of Hawaii’s two U.S. House seats was open. Eight candidates — two Republicans and six Democrats — ran to replace Kahele, the most candidates who ran for a seat this year.

There were four contested primaries this year, the most since 2012. There were three contested primaries in every election cycle between 2014 and 2020. Democratic and Republican candidates filed to run in both districts, so no seats were guaranteed to either party this year.

Presidential elections

Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+14. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 14 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Hawaii's 2nd the 103rd most Democratic district nationally.[7]

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

2020 presidential results in Hawaii's 2nd based on 2022 district lines
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
63.6% 34.1%

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in Hawaii, 2020

Hawaii presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 14 Democratic wins
  • 2 Republican wins
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A D D D R D D R D D D D D D D D D


Demographics

The table below details demographic data in Hawaii and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.

Demographic Data for Hawaii
Hawaii United States
Population 1,360,301 308,745,538
Land area (sq mi) 6,422 3,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White 25% 72.5%
Black/African American 1.8% 12.7%
Asian 37.8% 5.5%
Native American 0.3% 0.8%
Pacific Islander 10.1% 0.2%
Other (single race) 1.2% 4.9%
Multiple 23.9% 3.3%
Hispanic/Latino 10.5% 18%
Education
High school graduation rate 92% 88%
College graduation rate 33% 32.1%
Income
Median household income $81,275 $62,843
Persons below poverty level 9.4% 13.4%
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2010). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2014-2019).
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.


State party control

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Hawaii's congressional delegation as of November 2022.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Hawaii, November 2022
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 2 2 4
Republican 0 0 0
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 0 0
Total 2 2 4

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Hawaii's top three state executive offices as of November 2022.

State executive officials in Hawaii, November 2022
Office Officeholder
Governor Democratic Party David Ige
Lieutenant Governor Democratic Party Joshua Green
Attorney General Democratic Party Holly Shikada

State legislature

The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Hawaii State Legislature as of November 2022.

Hawaii State Senate

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 23
     Republican Party 2
     Vacancies 0
Total 25

Hawaii House of Representatives

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 45
     Republican Party 6
     Vacancies 0
Total 51

Trifecta control

As of November 2022, Hawaii was a Democratic trifecta, with majorities in both chambers of the state legislature and control of the governorship. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.

Hawaii Party Control: 1992-2022
Twenty-three years of Democratic trifectas  •  No Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
Governor D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D D D D D
Senate D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D
House D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D

District history

2020

See also: Hawaii's 2nd Congressional District election, 2020

Hawaii's 2nd Congressional District election, 2020 (August 8 Republican primary)

Hawaii's 2nd Congressional District election, 2020 (August 8 Democratic primary)

General election

General election for U.S. House Hawaii District 2

The following candidates ran in the general election for U.S. House Hawaii District 2 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Kaiali'i Kahele
Kaiali'i Kahele (D)
 
63.0
 
171,517
Image of Joseph Akana
Joseph Akana (R)
 
30.9
 
84,027
Image of Michelle Rose Tippens
Michelle Rose Tippens (L)
 
2.5
 
6,785
Image of Jonathan Hoomanawanui
Jonathan Hoomanawanui (Aloha Aina Party)
 
2.4
 
6,453
Image of Ron Burrus
Ron Burrus (Nonpartisan) Candidate Connection
 
1.0
 
2,659
Image of John Giuffre
John Giuffre (American Shopping Party)
 
0.2
 
661

Total votes: 272,102
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Watch the Candidate Conversation for this race!

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 2

Kaiali'i Kahele defeated Brian Evans, Brenda Lee, and Noelle Famera in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 2 on August 8, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Kaiali'i Kahele
Kaiali'i Kahele
 
76.5
 
100,841
Image of Brian Evans
Brian Evans Candidate Connection
 
9.4
 
12,337
Brenda Lee
 
8.1
 
10,694
Image of Noelle Famera
Noelle Famera Candidate Connection
 
6.1
 
7,992

Total votes: 131,864
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 2

The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 2 on August 8, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Joseph Akana
Joseph Akana
 
44.1
 
15,107
Image of Elise Hatsuko Kaneshiro
Elise Hatsuko Kaneshiro Candidate Connection
 
15.4
 
5,294
David Hamman
 
10.0
 
3,430
Robert Nagamine
 
8.4
 
2,887
Nicholas Love
 
7.6
 
2,616
Image of Steven Bond
Steven Bond
 
6.5
 
2,218
Felipe San Nicolas
 
4.3
 
1,465
Image of Karla Gottschalk
Karla Gottschalk
 
2.8
 
953
Raymond Quel
 
0.9
 
305

Total votes: 34,275
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Nonpartisan primary election

Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 2

Ron Burrus defeated Byron McCorriston in the primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 2 on August 8, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Ron Burrus
Ron Burrus Candidate Connection
 
59.2
 
1,308
Byron McCorriston
 
40.8
 
901

Total votes: 2,209
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Aloha Aina Party primary election

Aloha Aina Party primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 2

Jonathan Hoomanawanui advanced from the Aloha Aina Party primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 2 on August 8, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Jonathan Hoomanawanui
Jonathan Hoomanawanui
 
100.0
 
3,423

Total votes: 3,423
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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American Shopping Party primary election

American Shopping Party primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 2

John Giuffre advanced from the American Shopping Party primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 2 on August 8, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of John Giuffre
John Giuffre
 
100.0
 
134

Total votes: 134
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Libertarian primary election

Libertarian primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 2

Michelle Rose Tippens advanced from the Libertarian primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 2 on August 8, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Michelle Rose Tippens
Michelle Rose Tippens
 
100.0
 
1,014

Total votes: 1,014
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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2018

See also: Hawaii's 2nd Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Hawaii District 2

Incumbent Tulsi Gabbard defeated Brian Evans in the general election for U.S. House Hawaii District 2 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Tulsi Gabbard
Tulsi Gabbard (D)
 
77.4
 
153,271
Image of Brian Evans
Brian Evans (R)
 
22.6
 
44,850

Total votes: 198,121
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 2

Incumbent Tulsi Gabbard defeated Sherry Alu Campagna and Anthony Tony Austin in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 2 on August 11, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Tulsi Gabbard
Tulsi Gabbard
 
83.5
 
94,629
Image of Sherry Alu Campagna
Sherry Alu Campagna
 
12.3
 
13,947
Image of Anthony Tony Austin
Anthony Tony Austin Candidate Connection
 
4.1
 
4,688

Total votes: 113,264
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 2

Brian Evans advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Hawaii District 2 on August 11, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Brian Evans
Brian Evans
 
100.0
 
12,331

Total votes: 12,331
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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2016

See also: Hawaii's 2nd Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. Incumbent Tulsi Gabbard (D) defeated Angela Aulani Kaaihue (R) and Richard Turner (independent) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Gabbard defeated Shay Chan Hodges in the Democratic primary, while Kaaihue defeated Eric Hafner to win the Republican nomination. The primary elections took place on August 13, 2016.[8][9]

U.S. House, Hawaii District 2 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngTulsi Gabbard Incumbent 81.2% 170,848
     Republican Angela Aulani Kaaihue 18.8% 39,668
Total Votes 210,516
Source: Hawaii Secretary of State


U.S. House, Hawaii District 2 Democratic Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngTulsi Gabbard Incumbent 84.5% 80,026
Shay Chan Hodges 15.5% 14,643
Total Votes 94,669
Source: Hawaii Secretary of State
U.S. House, Hawaii District 2 Republican Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngAngela Aulani Kaaihue 55.9% 7,449
Eric Hafner 44.1% 5,876
Total Votes 13,325
Source: Hawaii Secretary of State

2014

See also: Hawaii's 2nd Congressional District elections, 2014

The 2nd Congressional District of Hawaii held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Tulsi Gabbard (D) defeated Kawika Crowley (R) and Joe Kent (L) in the general election.

U.S. House, Hawaii District 2 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngTulsi Gabbard Incumbent 75.8% 141,996
     Republican Kawika Crowley 17.9% 33,624
     Libertarian Joe Kent 2.5% 4,692
Total Votes 180,312
Source: Hawaii Office of Elections
U.S. House, Hawaii District 2 Republican Primary, 2014
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngKawika Crowley 56.8% 9,094
Marissa Capelouto 43.2% 6,926
Total Votes 16,020
Source: Hawaii Office of Elections


See also

Hawaii 2022 primaries 2022 U.S. Congress elections
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Hawaii congressional delegation
Voting in Hawaii
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External links

Footnotes

  1. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  2. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  3. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  4. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  5. Political predecessor districts are determined primarily based on incumbents and where each chose to seek re-election.
  6. Daily Kos Elections, "Daily Kos Elections 2020 presidential results by congressional district (old CDs vs. new CDs)," accessed May 12, 2022
  7. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
  8. Hawaii Secretary of State, "2016 Candidates," accessed June 8, 2016
  9. Politico, "Hawaii House Races Results," August 13, 2016


Senators
Representatives
District 1
Ed Case (D)
District 2
Democratic Party (4)