Alabama's 4th Congressional District election, 2024 (March 5 Democratic primary)
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| Alabama's 4th Congressional District |
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| Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
| Election details |
| Filing deadline: November 10, 2023 |
| Primary: March 5, 2024 Primary runoff: April 16, 2024 General: November 5, 2024 |
| How to vote |
| Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m. Voting in Alabama |
| Race ratings |
DDHQ and The Hill: Safe Republican Inside Elections: Solid Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican |
| Ballotpedia analysis |
| U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024 |
| See also |
1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th Alabama elections, 2024 U.S. Congress elections, 2024 U.S. Senate elections, 2024 U.S. House elections, 2024 |
A Democratic Party primary took place on March 5, 2024, in Alabama's 4th Congressional District to determine which Democratic candidate would run in the district's general election on November 5, 2024.
The primary was canceled after no Democratic candidates qualified for the election. All 435 seats were up for election. At the time of the election, Republicans had a 220 to 212 majority with three vacancies.[1] As of June 2024, 45 members of the U.S. House had announced they were not running for re-election. To read more about the U.S. House elections taking place this year, click here.
In the 2022 election in this district, the Republican candidate won 84.1%-13.6%. Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Donald Trump (R) would have defeated Joe Biden (D) 80.6%-18.5%.[2]
Alabama conducted redistricting between the 2022 and 2024 elections. As a result, district lines in this state changed. To review how redistricting took place in Alabama and to see maps of the new districts, click here. For a list of all states that drew new district lines between 2022 and 2024, click here.
| Candidate filing deadline | Primary election | General election |
|---|---|---|
A primary election is an election in which registered voters select a candidate that they believe should be a political party's candidate for elected office to run in the general election. They are also used to choose convention delegates and party leaders. Primaries are state-level and local-level elections that take place prior to a general election. Alabama uses an open primary system, in which registered voters do not have to be members of a party to vote in that party's primary.[3][4][5]
For information about which offices are nominated via primary election, see this article.
This page focuses on Alabama's 4th Congressional District Democratic primary. For more in-depth information on the district's Republican primary and the general election, see the following pages:
- Alabama's 4th Congressional District election, 2024 (March 5 Republican primary)
- Alabama's 4th Congressional District election, 2024
Candidates and election results
The primary was canceled after no Democratic candidates qualified for the election.
Candidate profiles
There are currently no candidate profiles created for this race. Candidate profiles will appear here as they are created. Encourage the candidates in this race to complete Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey so that their profile will appear here.
Voting information
- See also: Voting in Alabama
Campaign finance
There are currently no declared candidates in this race. Know of one we missed? Click here to let us know.
District analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting ahead of the 2024 election.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
Below is the district map used in the 2022 election next to the map in place for the 2024 election. Click on a map below to enlarge it.
2022
2024
This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Alabama.
| Alabama U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2024 | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | Districts/ offices |
Seats | Open seats | Candidates | Possible primaries | Contested Democratic primaries | Contested Republican primaries | % of contested primaries | Incumbents in contested primaries | % of incumbents in contested primaries | ||||
| 2024 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 36 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 57.1% | 6 | 85.7% | ||||
| 2022 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 21 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 35.7% | 1 | 16.7% | ||||
| 2020 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 35.7% | 1 | 20.0% | ||||
| 2018 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 23 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 50.0% | 3 | 42.9% | ||||
| 2016 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 16 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 28.6% | 4 | 57.1% | ||||
| 2014 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 20 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 28.6% | 3 | 50.0% | ||||
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Alabama in 2024. Information below was calculated on 1/10/2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
Thirty-six candidates filed to run for Alabama's seven U.S. House districts, including 15 Democrats and 21 Republicans. That's 5.14 candidates per district, more than in the previous three election cycles. There were 3.14 candidates per district in 2022, 3.57 candidates per district in 2020, and 3.28 in 2018.
This was the first election to take place under new district lines that a three-judge panel of the United States District Court for the Northern District of Alabama approved on Oct. 5, 2023. The 36 candidates who filed to run this year were a decade-high. Twenty-one candidates ran in 2022, 25 in 2020, 23 in 2018, 16 in 2016, 20 in 2014, and 23 in 2012.
Two incumbents—Reps. Jerry Carl (R) and Barry Moore (R)—filed to run against each other in the redrawn 1st congressional district. Carl was the incumbent in the 1st district, and Moore was the incumbent in the 2nd congressional district.
Partisan Voter Index
Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+33. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 33 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Alabama's 4th the most Republican district nationally.[6]
2020 presidential election results
The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
| 2020 presidential results in Alabama's 4th based on 2024 district lines | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Joe Biden 
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Donald Trump 
| |||
| 18.5% | 80.6% | |||
Inside Elections Baselines
- See also: Inside Elections
Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.[7] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.
| Inside Elections Baseline for 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic Baseline
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Republican Baseline
|
Difference | ||
| 20.9 | 78.8 | R+57.9 | ||
Presidential voting history
- See also: Presidential election in Alabama, 2020
Alabama presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 16 Democratic wins
- 13 Republican wins
- 2 other wins
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Alabama's congressional delegation as of May 2024.
| Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Alabama | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
| Democratic | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Republican | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 2 | 7 | 9 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Alabama's top four state executive offices as of May 2024.
| State executive officials in Alabama, May 2024 | |
|---|---|
| Office | Officeholder |
| Governor | Kay Ivey
|
| Lieutenant Governor | Will Ainsworth
|
| Secretary of State | Wes Allen
|
| Attorney General | Steve Marshall
|
State legislature
Alabama State Senate
| Party | As of February 2024 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 8 | |
| Republican Party | 27 | |
| Other | 0 | |
| Vacancies | 0 | |
| Total | 35 | |
Alabama House of Representatives
| Party | As of February 2024 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 28 | |
| Republican Party | 75 | |
| Other | 0 | |
| Vacancies | 2 | |
| Total | 105 | |
Trifecta control
The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.
Alabama Party Control: 1992-2024
Six years of Democratic trifectas • Fourteen years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
| Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | R | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
| Senate | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
| House | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
Ballot access
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Alabama in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Alabama, click here.
| Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
| Alabama | U.S. House | Ballot-qualified party | N/A | Fixed by party | 11/10/2023 | Source |
| Alabama | U.S. House | Unaffiliated | 3% of all votes cast for governor in the district in the last election | N/A | 3/5/2024 | Source |
See also
- Alabama's 4th Congressional District election, 2024 (March 5 Republican primary)
- Alabama's 4th Congressional District election, 2024
- United States House elections in Alabama, 2024 (March 5 Democratic primaries)
- United States House elections in Alabama, 2024 (March 5 Republican primaries)
- United States House Democratic Party primaries, 2024
- United States House Republican Party primaries, 2024
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2024
- U.S. House battlegrounds, 2024
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ A majority in the U.S. House when there are no vacancies is 218 seats.
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
- ↑ National Conference of State Legislatures, "State Primary Election Types," accessed July 22, 2024
- ↑ Justia, "Alabama Code § 17-13-1," accessed July 22, 2024
- ↑ Justia, "Alabama Code § 17-3-30," accessed July 22, 2024
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
- ↑ Inside Elections, "Methodology: Inside Elections’ Baseline by Congressional District," December 8, 2023
- ↑ Although he was not on the ballot, Harry F. Byrd (D) won six unpledged electoral votes in Alabama's 1960 election against Richard Nixon (R) and Democratic Party nominee John F. Kennedy. Kennedy won Alabama's popular vote and received five electoral votes.
- ↑ States' Rights Democratic Party
- ↑ American Independent Party
