Everything you need to know about ranked-choice voting in one spot. Click to learn more!

Nebraska's 1st Congressional District election, 2024 (May 14 Republican primary)

From Ballotpedia
Jump to: navigation, search


Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge-smaller use.png

U.S. Senate • U.S. House • Congressional special elections • State executive offices • State Senate • Supreme court • State ballot measures • Local ballot measures • School boards • Municipal • Recalls • How to run for office
Flag of Nebraska.png


2026
2022
Nebraska's 1st Congressional District
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge.png
Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline:
February 15, 2024 (incumbent)
March 1, 2024 (non-incumbent)
Primary: May 14, 2024
General: November 5, 2024
How to vote
Poll times: 8 a.m. to 8 p.m. (Central time zone); 7 a.m. to 7 p.m. (Mountain time zone)
Voting in Nebraska
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
DDHQ and The Hill: Safe Republican
Inside Elections: Solid Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024
See also
Nebraska's 1st Congressional District
U.S. Senate1st2nd3rd
Nebraska elections, 2024
U.S. Congress elections, 2024
U.S. Senate elections, 2024
U.S. House elections, 2024

A Republican Party primary took place on May 14, 2024, in Nebraska's 1st Congressional District to determine which Republican candidate would run in the district's general election on November 5, 2024.

Incumbent Mike Flood advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 1.

All 435 seats were up for election. At the time of the election, Republicans had a 220 to 212 majority with three vacancies.[1] As of June 2024, 45 members of the U.S. House had announced they were not running for re-election. To read more about the U.S. House elections taking place this year, click here.

In the 2022 election in this district, the Republican candidate won 57.9%-42.1%. Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Donald Trump (R) would have defeated Joe Biden (D) 54.3%-43.3%.[2]

Candidate filing deadline Primary election General election
(date not yet available)
May 14, 2024
November 5, 2024


A primary election is an election in which registered voters select a candidate that they believe should be a political party's candidate for elected office to run in the general election. They are also used to choose convention delegates and party leaders. Primaries are state-level and local-level elections that take place prior to a general election. In Nebraska, a top-two primary system is used for the nonpartisan legislature and some other statewide races. All other primaries are semi-closed.[3]

For information about which offices are nominated via primary election, see this article.

This page focuses on Nebraska's 1st Congressional District Republican primary. For more in-depth information on the district's Democratic primary and the general election, see the following pages:

Candidates and election results


Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 1

Incumbent Mike Flood defeated Michael Connely in the Republican primary for U.S. House Nebraska District 1 on May 14, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Mike Flood
Mike Flood
 
81.5
 
56,846
Image of Michael Connely
Michael Connely Candidate Connection
 
18.5
 
12,884

Total votes: 69,730
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Candidate profiles

This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.

Image of Michael Connely

WebsiteFacebookTwitter

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Submitted Biography "Former State Quality Assurance Director US Census Former Candidate for Governor I worked full time in Asia from the year 2,000 through 2016. I returned to the USA (Nebraska) to try and help everyone prepare for what was coming. There is a storm coming and nobody seems to notice. As a Marine who worked in military intelligence, I could see what was happening with China. They are engaged in a massive military buildup, the likes of which has never been seen before in human history. The Chinese have always had a 3:1 advantage over us in ground force strength (100:1 if they call up their reserve forces) but we ruled in all other areas. In the year 2020, they surpassed us in Naval strength. In 2023 they surpassed us in air strength. The Heritage Foundation currently lists our Air Force as "very weak". By late 2025, they will surpass us in nuclear strength as well. I fully expect us to be in a defensive war with China starting sometime from 2026-2030. I could go into multiple other reasons motivating me to run for office, but most of them are linked to the Communist Chinese Party Threat. The flood of illegals across our Southern Border includes a large number of young military age Chinese males. How many here realize that ALL Chinese leaving communist China must be given permission to leave the country. Those thousands or tens of thousands were SENT here by China. More details on my webpage www.connelyforcongress.com Read the news section."


Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses, click here.


In Nebraska's 1st Congressional District, there are two candidates on the Republican ticket. One is a centrist, exactly dead center in political ideology between conservative and liberal, between individual focus and national focus. The other candidate is a strong conservative with a strong focus on individual rights and freedoms. As a Nebraskan, which type of candidate do you want representing you, a centrist, which you have, or a strong conservative who does not own statewide news services in Nebraska. You choose.


What is happening on our southern border is an all out invasion. We know that that Biden family gets millions from Chinese companies for doing, as of yet, unidentified functions. We also know that the main ethnic group crossing the southern border are Chinese. We also know that the CCP must authorize departure of ANYONE leaving China. We also know that all military age males are by law Reservists in the Chinese Army. It has been reported by the author of "Blood Money" on the Glenn Beck Program that Chinese crossing the border illegally must only answer 7 questions to be streamlined into the USA, compared to the 40+ questions that must be answered by all others. This is what appears to be the start of a land invasion


Our Justice Department has been completely weaponized. Hundreds of January 6 prisoners have been denied bail, denied a speedy court trial, and many were put into solitary confinement to force them to take a plea deal admitting to wrongdoing when in many cases our video evidence now shows no crimes were committed. All January 6 prisoners must be immediately released on bail. Judges must be impeached and prosecuting attorneys must be disbarred. The FBI must be disbanded as a law enforcement unit and only be allowed to offer investigative evidence to state and local law enforcement. Our Justice system must have ethics check as other countries do instead of allowing bad judges to run rampant.

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Nebraska District 1 in 2024.

Voting information

See also: Voting in Nebraska

Election information in Nebraska: May 14, 2024, election.

What was the voter registration deadline?

  • In-person: May 3, 2024
  • By mail: Postmarked by April 29, 2024
  • Online: April 29, 2024

Was absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

N/A

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

  • In-person: May 3, 2024
  • By mail: Received by May 3, 2024
  • Online: May 3, 2024

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

  • In-person: May 14, 2024
  • By mail: Received by May 14, 2024

Was early voting available to all voters?

N/A

What were the early voting start and end dates?

April 15, 2024 to May 13, 2024

Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, was a photo or non-photo ID required?

N/A

When were polls open on Election Day?

8:00 a.m. - 8:00 p.m. (CT)


Campaign finance

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Mike Flood Republican Party $2,005,390 $1,791,480 $220,782 As of December 31, 2024
Michael Connely Republican Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.

District analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

  • District map - A map of the district in place for the election.
  • Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
  • State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.


Below was the map in use at the time of the election. Click the map below to enlarge it.

2023_01_03_ne_congressional_district_01.jpg
See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2024

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Nebraska.

Nebraska U.S. House primary competitiveness, 2014-2024
Office Districts/
offices
Seats Open seats Candidates Possible primaries Contested Democratic primaries Contested Republican primaries % of contested primaries Incumbents in contested primaries % of incumbents in contested primaries
2024 3 3 0 11 6 1 3 66.7% 3 100.0%
2022 3 3 1 15 6 3 3 100.0% 2 100.0%
2020 3 3 0 14 6 2 2 66.7% 2 66.7%
2018 3 3 0 11 6 2 1 50.0% 1 33.3%
2016 3 3 0 6 6 0 1 16.7% 0 0.0%
2014 3 3 0 11 6 1 3 66.7% 3 100.0%

Post-filing deadline analysis

The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Nebraska in 2024. Information below was calculated on March 31, 2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.

Eleven candidates ran for Nebraska’s three U.S. House districts, including four Democrats and seven Republicans. That’s 3.7 candidates per district, lower than the 5.3 candidates that ran in 2022 and the 4.7 in 2020

Incumbents filed to run in every district.

Five candidates—two Democrats and three Republicans—ran for the 3rd Congressional District, the most candidates who ran for a district in 2024.

Four primaries—one Democratic and three Republican—were contested in 2024. Six primaries were contested in 2022, four primaries were contested in 2020, and three were in 2018.

All incumbents faced primary challenges in 2024. The last year all incumbents faced primary challengers was in 2014.

Candidates filed to run in the Republican and Democratic primaries in all three districts, meaning no seats are guaranteed to either party.

Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+9. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 9 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Nebraska's 1st the 158th most Republican district nationally.[4]

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

2020 presidential results in Nebraska's 1st based on 2024 district lines
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
43.3% 54.3%

Inside Elections Baselines

See also: Inside Elections

Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.[5] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.

Inside Elections Baseline for 2024
Democratic Baseline Democratic Party Republican Baseline Republican Party Difference
42.1 55.7 R+13.6

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in Nebraska, 2020

Nebraska presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 6 Democratic wins
  • 25 Republican wins
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party R R D D D R R R D D R R R R R R D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
See also: Party control of Nebraska state government

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Nebraska's congressional delegation as of May 2024.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Nebraska
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 0 0 0
Republican 2 3 5
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 0 0
Total 2 3 5

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Nebraska's top four state executive offices as of May 2024.

State executive officials in Nebraska, May 2024
Office Officeholder
Governor Republican Party Jim Pillen
Lieutenant Governor Republican Party Joe Kelly
Secretary of State Republican Party Bob Evnen
Attorney General Republican Party Mike Hilgers

State legislature

Nebraska State Senate

Party As of February 2024
     Democratic Party 16
     Republican Party 32
     Independent 0
     Vacancies 1
     Other 0
Total 49

Trifecta control

The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.

Nebraska Party Control: 1992-2024
Seven years of Democratic trifectas  •  Twenty-six years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Governor D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
Senate - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Ballot access

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Nebraska in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Nebraska, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source
Nebraska U.S. House Ballot-qualified party N/A $1,740.00 2/15/2024 if incumbent; 3/1/2024 if non-incumbent Source
Nebraska U.S. House Unaffiliated 20% of registered voters in the district who voted for president in 2020, or 2,000, whichever is less $1,740.00 8/1/2024 Source

See also

External links

Footnotes


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
Don Bacon (R)
District 3
Republican Party (5)