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Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District election, 2024 (June 18 Republican primary)
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| Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District |
|---|
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| Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
| Election details |
| Filing deadline: April 5, 2024 |
| Primary: June 18, 2024 Primary runoff: August 27, 2024 General: November 5, 2024 |
| How to vote |
| Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m. Voting in Oklahoma |
| Race ratings |
DDHQ and The Hill: Safe Republican Inside Elections: Solid Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican |
| Ballotpedia analysis |
| U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024 |
| See also |
1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th Oklahoma elections, 2024 U.S. Congress elections, 2024 U.S. Senate elections, 2024 U.S. House elections, 2024 |
A Republican Party primary took place on June 18, 2024, in Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District to determine which Republican candidate would run in the district's general election on November 5, 2024.
Incumbent Frank Lucas won election in the Republican primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 3.
All 435 seats were up for election. At the time of the election, Republicans had a 220 to 212 majority with three vacancies.[1] As of June 2024, 45 members of the U.S. House had announced they were not running for re-election. To read more about the U.S. House elections taking place this year, click here.
In the 2022 election in this district, the Republican candidate won 74.5%-25.5%. Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Donald Trump (R) would have defeated Joe Biden (D) 71.2%-26.5%.[2]
| Candidate filing deadline | Primary election | General election |
|---|---|---|
A primary election is an election in which registered voters select a candidate that they believe should be a political party's candidate for elected office to run in the general election. They are also used to choose convention delegates and party leaders. Primaries are state-level and local-level elections that take place prior to a general election. In Oklahoma, the Republican Party conducts a closed primary, in which only registered party members may participate. The Democratic Party holds a semi-closed primary, in which unaffiliated voters may participate.[3]
For information about which offices are nominated via primary election, see this article.
This page focuses on Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District Republican primary. For more in-depth information on the district's Democratic primary and the general election, see the following pages:
- Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District election, 2024 (June 18 Democratic primary)
- Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District election, 2024
Candidates and election results
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 3
Incumbent Frank Lucas won election outright against Darren Hamilton and Robin Carder in the Republican primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 3 on June 18, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ |  | Frank Lucas | 73.0 | 37,158 |
 | Darren Hamilton  | 13.9 | 7,087 | |
 | Robin Carder | 13.1 | 6,651 | |
| Total votes: 50,896 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Connor Miller (R)
Candidate profiles
This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "I am a proud Oklahoman and have lived in Oklahoma all my life. I want to protect our way of life and I’ve been fighting for almost 4 years to get to the bottom of what happened in 2020. I’m also a former healthcare finance executive who was on the front lines of the Obamacare rollout. I am determined to shine a light on the dire straights our healthcare system is in due to the federal government’s meddling into healthcare. We must repeal Obamacare and give people a real choice with a free market based system. Over the past 10 years I’ve watched like everyone else the growing corruption of our ruling class. We can and must do better with our choice in representation at all levels of government but especially at the federal level. We also must demand change and prosecutions so what has happened can never happen again. I am the most conservative candidate in this race and it’s not even close. If you want to help President Trump drain the swamp, we must send a representative to Congress who will support him this time. We risk being back to 2017 with more shenanigans from the Uniparty. We can’t let that happen."
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Oklahoma District 3 in 2024.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "I am a Constitutional Republican, I used to think Conservative was enough to describe my ideology, but we have so many representatives in Congress that have diluted the meaning of conservative, it doesn't mean anything now. The Constitution was written to establish Justice, insure domestic Tranquility, provide for the common defense, promote the general Welfare (this has been the most abused), and to give our Posterity the liberties, life and security we have enjoyed. This is what frustrates me the most, the country is wrecked for our future generations. I have watched it happen powerless for decades, no more, one person may be powerless, but I will have the voice of 3/4 of a million proud, strong and patriotic Oklahomans behind me!"
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Oklahoma District 3 in 2024.
Voting information
- See also: Voting in Oklahoma
Campaign finance
| Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frank Lucas | Republican Party | $1,725,662 | $1,287,073 | $618,285 | As of December 31, 2024 |
| Robin Carder | Republican Party | $20,109 | $20,109 | $0 | As of December 31, 2024 |
| Darren Hamilton | Republican Party | $4,902 | $5,322 | $555 | As of June 30, 2024 |
|
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
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District analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District map - A map of the district in place for the election.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
Below was the map in use at the time of the election. Click the map below to enlarge it.
This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Oklahoma.
| Oklahoma U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2024 | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Office | Districts/ offices |
Seats | Open seats | Candidates | Possible primaries | Contested Democratic primaries | Contested Republican primaries | % of contested primaries | Incumbents in contested primaries | % of incumbents in contested primaries | ||||
| 2024 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 50.0% | 3 | 60.0% | ||||
| 2022 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 40.0% | 3 | 75.0% | ||||
| 2020 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 27 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 60.0% | 3 | 60.0% | ||||
| 2018 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 36 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 90.0% | 3 | 75.0% | ||||
| 2016 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 80.0% | 5 | 100.0% | ||||
| 2014 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 70.0% | 3 | 75.0% | ||||
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Oklahoma in 2024. Information below was calculated on April 19, 2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
Eighteen candidates ran for Oklahoma’s five U.S. House districts, including six Democrats and 12 Republicans. That’s 3.6 candidates per district, less than in the previous three election cycles. There were 5.6 candidates per district in 2022, 5.4 candidates per district in 2020, and 7.2 in 2018.
The total number of candidates that ran for the U.S. House in Oklahoma in 2024 is also fewer than any other year this decade.
No seats were open in 2024, meaning all incumbents ran for re-election. One House seat was open in 2022, 2018, and 2014, respectively. No seats were open in 2020 and 2016.
Seven candidates—two Democrats and five Republicans—ran for the 4th Congressional District, the most candidates that ran for a seat in Oklahoma in 2024.
Five primaries—two Democratic and three Republican—were contested in 2024. Four primaries were contested in 2022, and six were contested in 2020.
Three incumbents—all Republicans—were in contested primaries in 2024. Three incumbents were in contested primaries in 2022, 2020, 2018, and 2014, respectively. Five incumbents were in contested primaries in 2016.
The 3rd Congressional District was guaranteed to Republicans because no Democrats filed to run. Republicans filed to run in every congressional district, meaning none were guaranteed to Democrats.Partisan Voter Index
Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+24. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 24 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Oklahoma's 3rd the 15th most Republican district nationally.[4]
2020 presidential election results
The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
| 2020 presidential results in Oklahoma's 3rd based on 2024 district lines | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Joe Biden 
|
Donald Trump 
| |||
| 26.5% | 71.2% | |||
Inside Elections Baselines
- See also: Inside Elections
Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.[5] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.
| Inside Elections Baseline for 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic Baseline
|
Republican Baseline
|
Difference | ||
| 28.8 | 67.3 | R+38.6 | ||
Presidential voting history
- See also: Presidential election in Oklahoma, 2020
Oklahoma presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 10 Democratic wins
- 19 Republican wins
| Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winning Party | N/A | N/A | D | D | D | R | D | R | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Oklahoma's congressional delegation as of May 2024.
| Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Oklahoma | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
| Democratic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Republican | 2 | 5 | 7 |
| Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 2 | 5 | 7 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Oklahoma's top four state executive offices as of May 2024.
| State executive officials in Oklahoma, May 2024 | |
|---|---|
| Office | Officeholder |
| Governor | Kevin Stitt
|
| Lieutenant Governor | Matt Pinnell
|
| Secretary of State | Josh Cockroft
|
| Attorney General | Gentner Drummond
|
State legislature
Oklahoma State Senate
| Party | As of February 2024 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 8 | |
| Republican Party | 40 | |
| Other | 0 | |
| Vacancies | 0 | |
| Total | 48 | |
Oklahoma House of Representatives
| Party | As of February 2024 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 20 | |
| Republican Party | 80 | |
| Other | 0 | |
| Vacancies | 1 | |
| Total | 101 | |
Trifecta control
The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.
Oklahoma Party Control: 1992-2024
Five years of Democratic trifectas • Fourteen years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
| Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
| Senate | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | S | S | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
| House | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
Ballot access
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Oklahoma in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Oklahoma, click here.
| Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
| Oklahoma | U.S. House | All candidates | 2% of the number of registered voters in the appropriate district[6] | $1,000.00 | 4/5/2024 | Source |
See also
- Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District election, 2024 (June 18 Democratic primary)
- Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District election, 2024
- United States House elections in Oklahoma, 2024 (June 18 Democratic primaries)
- United States House elections in Oklahoma, 2024 (June 18 Republican primaries)
- United States House Democratic Party primaries, 2024
- United States House Republican Party primaries, 2024
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2024
- U.S. House battlegrounds, 2024
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ A majority in the U.S. House when there are no vacancies is 218 seats.
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
- ↑ Oklahoma State Election Board Website, "Voter Registration in Oklahoma," accessed April 27, 2023
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
- ↑ Inside Elections, "Methodology: Inside Elections’ Baseline by Congressional District," December 8, 2023
- ↑ Petition signatures only required in lieu of a filing fee.
