Pennsylvania's 10th Congressional District election, 2024 (April 23 Democratic primary)

From Ballotpedia
Jump to: navigation, search
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge-smaller use.png
U.S. Senate • U.S. House • Attorney General • State executive offices • State Senate • State House • Special state legislative • Local ballot measures • How to run for office
Flag of Pennsylvania.png


2026 →
← 2022
Pennsylvania's 10th Congressional District
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge.png
Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: February 13, 2024
Primary: April 23, 2024
General: November 5, 2024
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m.
Voting in Pennsylvania
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Toss-up
DDHQ and The Hill: Lean Democratic
Inside Elections: Tilt Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024
See also
Pennsylvania's 10th Congressional District
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th • 10th • 11th • 12th • 13th • 14th • 15th • 16th • 17th
Pennsylvania elections, 2024
U.S. Congress elections, 2024
U.S. Senate elections, 2024
U.S. House elections, 2024

Janelle Stelson (D) won the Democratic primary election for Pennsylvania's 10th Congressional District on April 23, 2024. Stelson received 43.9% of the vote. Mike O'Brien (D) finished in second with 23.3% of the vote. John Broadhurst (D), Rick Coplen (D), Shamaine Daniels (D), and Blake Lynch (D) also ran in the primary.

Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee Chair Suzan DelBene said Pennsylvania’s 10th Congressional district was one of 33 competitive Republican-held seats the party targeted in the November 2024 elections.[1] Perry was in his sixth term in Congress. He won the previous three general elections by single digits, increasing his margin-of-victory in each election from 2.6 to 6.6 to 8 percentage points.

Daniels defeated Coplen in the 2022 Democratic primary 52.6% to 47.4%. Daniels then lost to Perry in the general election 53.8% to 46.2%.

In a debate on March 6, none of the candidates criticized each other's positions. They all attacked Perry's record, though Broadhurst said he would not base his campaign on "anti-Trump or anti-Perry sentiment alone.”[2]

All of the candidates supported abortion access in all cases. Daniels, Stelson, and Coplen supported raising the minimum wage to at least $15 per hour; O'Brien also supported raising the minimum wage to $15 per hour, but specified the value should be indexed to inflation; and Lynch and Broadhurst said the minimum wage should be increased to a living wage of more than $15.

O'Brien and Lynch were the only candidates who did not support a federal assault weapon ban, though O'Brien said he supported stopping the sale and transfer of those weapons, while Lynch said he believed there should be increased regulations.[2]

As of April 3, 2024, O'Brien raised the most money in the primary, taking in $736,227 since the start of the campaign cycle. He raised $321,867 in quarter one. Stelson raised the next most in the primary, with $577,019 since the start of the campaign and $293,806 in quarter one. For information on campaign finance in this election, including quarterly financial reports, click here.

This page focuses on Pennsylvania's 10th Congressional District Democratic primary. For more in-depth information on the district's Republican primary and the general election, see the following pages:

Candidates and election results

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 10

The following candidates ran in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 10 on April 23, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Janelle Stelson
Janelle Stelson
 
43.7
 
26,591
Image of Mike O'Brien
Mike O'Brien Candidate Connection
 
23.2
 
14,103
Image of Shamaine Daniels
Shamaine Daniels
 
14.4
 
8,773
Image of Rick Coplen
Rick Coplen
 
9.0
 
5,464
Image of Blake Lynch
Blake Lynch
 
5.6
 
3,388
Image of John Broadhurst
John Broadhurst
 
3.8
 
2,322
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.3
 
208

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source 1 Source 2

Total votes: 60,849
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Voting information

See also: Voting in Pennsylvania

Election information in Pennsylvania: April 23, 2024, election.

What was the voter registration deadline?

  • In-person: April 8, 2024
  • By mail: Received by April 8, 2024
  • Online: April 8, 2024

Was absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

N/A

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

  • In-person: April 16, 2024
  • By mail: Received by April 16, 2024
  • Online: April 16, 2024

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

  • In-person: April 23, 2024
  • By mail: Received by April 23, 2024

Was early voting available to all voters?

N/A

What were the early voting start and end dates?

N/A to April 16, 2024

Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, was a photo or non-photo ID required?

N/A

When were polls open on Election Day?

7:00 a.m. - 8:00 p.m. (EST)


Candidate comparison

Candidate profiles

This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.

John Broadhurst

Image of John Broadhurst

WebsiteFacebookTwitter

Party: Democratic Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Biography:  John Broadhurst received a bachelor's degree from from Villanova University where he studied history. His professional experience included working as an entrepreneur and partner at a television syndication firm.


Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.

Broadhurst focused on climate issues. He referred to the state of the world's climate as a climate disaster and said severe weather will inevitably cause socioeconomic and personal damage. He said, "I think one of the things we're going to have to use is access to the American market for foreign countries who do not conform to certain standards of environmental protection." He said the United States should hold countries like India and China to more stringent carbon emissions standards than are currently in place.  

Broadhurst said he campaigned on an original platform that addressed causes rather than outcomes alone in order to defeat Republican incumbent Congressman Scott Perry, who he called a representative of MAGA. He said, "in my view, these causes are extreme economic inequality, it is the 20 years of failed militarism, and it's a lack of political accountability. When these three things come together as they have over the last 20 years, it leads to things like alienation, hate, racism, anger, and this is the fuel of extremism."

Broadhurst said, "I am running for Congress, here in the Pennsylvania 10th District, because I believe that the Democratic Party has to renew its commitment to progressive reform, shared prosperity, and political accountability." Broadhurst said he would not base his campaign on anti-Trump or anti-Perry sentiment alone.

Show sources

Sources: PCNTV, "On the Issues: John Broadhurst (3/6/2024)," accessed March 11, 2024ABC27, "Pennsylvania 10th Congressional District Democratic Primary Debate," accessed March 11, 2024; John Broadhurst for Congress PA 10th, "Meet John," accessed March 11, 2024PCNTV, "On the Issues: John Broadhurst (3/6/2024)," accessed March 1, 2024

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 10 in 2024.

Rick Coplen

Image of Rick Coplen

WebsiteFacebookTwitter

Party: Democratic Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: 

Biography:  Rick Coplen received a bachelor's degree from the United States Military Academy at West Point and a master's degree from Princeton University. Coplen's professional experience includes working as a professor and business owner and serving in the U.S. Army.


Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.

Coplen said he would work to strengthen democracy by protecting voting rights and condemning political violence. Coplen said he believed strengthening democracy would help solve other issues. During a March 2024 debate, Coplen said, "I'm focusing on building a stronger democracy that works for all of us, that's more responsive to all of us, [and] that can help solve all of the problems we've talked about tonight."

Coplen said he supported increasing the minimum wage. Coplen said, "I will vote to raise the minimum wage to $15 now and to a living wage as fast as we can get there. This will save taxpayers billions by no longer subsidizing low wages. It will also bolster our economy by increasing consumer spending in local small businesses. And it will lift the self-esteem of workers at the margins of our economy who will become financially independent, many for the first time in their lives."

Coplen said he was the most experienced candidate in the race, and his election to the Carlisle Area School District Board of Directors made him the most electable Democratic candidate. He said, "I was elected in 2021 as the top vote-getter in a Republican district as a Democrat. Quite bluntly, I am the only Democrat that's running for this seat that has actually done that - won as a Democrat in a Republican district."

Show sources

Sources: Rick Coplen for Congress, "Meet Rick Coplen," accessed April 4, 2024Rick Coplen for Congress, "Issues," accessed April 4, 2024PCNTV, "Election 2024: Rick Coplen, Democrat for Congress, 10th District, On the Issues," February 28, 2024ABC27, "Pennsylvania 10th Congressional District Democratic Primary Debate," March 6, 2024; LinkedIn, "Rick Coplen," accessed April 4, 2024Rick Coplen for Congress, "Meet Rick Coplen," accessed April 4, 2024

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 10 in 2024.

Shamaine Daniels

Image of Shamaine Daniels

WebsiteFacebookTwitter

Party: Democratic Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: 

Biography:  Shamaine Daniels received a bachelor's degree from the West Chester University of Pennsylvania in 2000 and a graduate and law degree from the University of Cincinnati in 2004. Daniels' professional experience included working as an attorney in workers' rights and civil rights.


Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.

On her campaign website, Daniels said she ran for Congress "because the sacred right to vote is under attack by people who know they'd never win another election if all our voices were heard. Because our democracy has enemies, and they need to be stopped."

Daniels said her campaign in the 2022 general election for Pennsylvania's 10th Congressional District is something she could build on in 2024. She said, "although I lost in 2022, I've been the Democratic nominee who has performed the best of any previous nominee. My experience and connections to the district are just something to build on. I start out this race with over 149,000 people who have already voted for me, and I look forward to encourage everyone to vote for me again in this primary."

Daniels said the most important issues in the district were affordable housing, immigration, the environment, and infrastructure. On immigration, she said, "immigration is a big deal here for two reasons. One [is] agricultural communities are losing their workforce, and because of that we're losing a lot of farmland. We are a medically underserved region, and immigration is a tool that we could use to try to meet our medical needs."

Show sources

Sources: Shamaine Daniels for Congress, "Meet Shamaine," accessed march 11, 2024ABC27, "Pennsylvania's 10th Congressional District Democratic Primary Debate," accessed March 11, 2024 PCNTV, "On the Issues: Shamaine Daniels (3/7/2024)," accessed March 11, 2024; Shamaine Daniels for Congress, "Meet Shamaine," accessed March 11, 2024

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 10 in 2024.

Mike O'Brien

Image of Mike O'Brien

WebsiteFacebookTwitter

Party: Democratic Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Submitted Biography:  "Mike O’Brien is a father of two, husband, Pennsylvanian, retired Marine Corps Lieutenant Colonel, and TOPGUN fighter pilot running for U.S. Congress to continue to serve the people of Pennsylvania. Early in his military career, Mike completed two combat deployments flying F/A-18 Hornets off of aircraft carriers as a TOPGUN graduate. In 2014, he then became one of the first ever operational pilots to fly the cutting-edge F-35 Lightning II stealth fighter. He retired after commanding an F-35 squadron in August 2023 and returned home to Pennsylvania to immediately run for Congress and defend democracy in PA-10. Mike grew up entirely in the Pennsylvania public school system, graduated with distinction from the United States Naval Academy, and then went on to attend the Massachusetts Institute of Technology where he completed a Master's Degree in Mechanical Engineering. Through it all, Mike's proudest accomplishment is his marriage to Courtney - an Active Duty Marine Corps Lieutenant Colonel, the Commanding Officer of a KC-130J squadron, and the all-time leading scorer for the U.S. Naval Academy women’s basketball team. They are the first and only married couple to command flying squadrons in Marine Corps history, a testament to their family’s dedication to national service."

Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses, click here.

My values are simple. They were forged growing up here in Pennsylvania and strengthened by over 20 years in the Marine Corps. They are to put family first, build community, work hard – and to say what you mean and do what you say. This campaign is about bringing those values to Congress to protect and expand freedom for South Central Pennsylvania families. I believe we agree on much more than divides us, and that our common commitment to basic freedoms can bring communities together and move our country forward.

1. Freedom from the worries and dangers of living paycheck-to-paycheck, and the freedom to give our children the opportunity for a better life than our own. 2. The freedom to make decisions about our own bodies. 3. The freedom to feel safe in our communities and schools.

4. Political freedom, which means defending our democracy so that nobody can ever throw away our votes here in Pennsylvania based on a web of lies. When politicians try to overturn the results of a free and fair election, that’s an attack on the very foundation of America. I won’t let that attack be successful on my watch.

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 10 in 2024.

Janelle Stelson

Image of Janelle Stelson

WebsiteFacebookTwitterYouTube

Party: Democratic Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Biography:  Stelson received a bachelor's degree from the University of Puget Sound. Stelson's professional experience included working as a reporter, weather anchor, and news anchor.


Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.

Stelsons spoke about her experience working as a news anchor for WGAL-TV 8. She said, "In terms of electability, this area knows me because I've been listening for nearly 40 years and telling their stories."

Stelson said she ran because she disapproved of incumbent U.S. Rep. Scott Perry's job in Congress. In a campaign ad, Stelson said, "I cannot stand by and watch Perry continue to sow chaos, preach extremism, and spout conspiracy theories, so I am running for Congress."

Stelson said she would bring together Democrats, Independents, and Republicans. In a campaign ad, she said her stances on abortion issues and workers' issues would appeal to Democrats, her stances on democracy and law enforcement would appeal to Republicans, and her willingness to work across party lines would appeal to Independents.

Show sources

Sources: ABC27.com, "Pennsylvania 10th Congressional District Democratic Primary Debate," March 6, 2024; Jannelle Stelson for Congress, "Meet Janelle," accessed April 4, 2024; Janelle Stelson for Congress, "Meet Janelle," accessed April 4, 2024

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 10 in 2024.

Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses

Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.

Survey responses from candidates in this race

Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.

Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.

Expand all | Collapse all

Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/mikeobrien3.jpg

Mike O'Brien (D)

My values are simple. They were forged growing up here in Pennsylvania and strengthened by over 20 years in the Marine Corps. They are to put family first, build community, work hard – and to say what you mean and do what you say. This campaign is about bringing those values to Congress to protect and expand freedom for South Central Pennsylvania families. I believe we agree on much more than divides us, and that our common commitment to basic freedoms can bring communities together and move our country forward.

1. Freedom from the worries and dangers of living paycheck-to-paycheck, and the freedom to give our children the opportunity for a better life than our own. 2. The freedom to make decisions about our own bodies. 3. The freedom to feel safe in our communities and schools.

4. Political freedom, which means defending our democracy so that nobody can ever throw away our votes here in Pennsylvania based on a web of lies. When politicians try to overturn the results of a free and fair election, that’s an attack on the very foundation of America. I won’t let that attack be successful on my watch.
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/mikeobrien3.jpg

Mike O'Brien (D)

It’s my honor to run for Congress with these values front and center.
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/mikeobrien3.jpg

Mike O'Brien (D)

George Scott (2018 PA-10 Democratic Nominee), Vote Vets, New Politics, Serve America


Campaign ads

John Broadhurst

Ballotpedia did not come across any campaign ads for John Broadhurst while conducting research on this election. If you are aware of any ads that should be included, please email us.

Rick Coplen
June 9, 2023

View more ads here:

Shamaine Daniels

Ballotpedia did not come across any campaign ads for Shamaine Daniels while conducting research on this election. If you are aware of any ads that should be included, please email us.

Blake Lynch
February 21, 2024

View more ads here:

Mike O'Brien
September 26, 2023

View more ads here:

Janelle Stelson
October 4, 2023

View more ads here:


Endorsements

See also: Ballotpedia: Our approach to covering endorsements

Click the links below to see official endorsement lists published on candidate campaign websites for any candidates that make that information available. If you are aware of a website that should be included, please email us.

Polls

See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls

We provide results for polls that are included in polling aggregation from FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics, when available. No polls were available for this election. To notify us of polls published in this election, please email us.

Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[3]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[4][5][6]

Race ratings: Pennsylvania's 10th Congressional District election, 2024
Race trackerRace ratings
November 5, 2024October 29, 2024October 22, 2024October 15, 2024
The Cook Political Report with Amy WalterToss-upToss-upToss-upLean Republican
Decision Desk HQ and The HillLean DemocraticToss-upToss-upToss-up
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesTilt RepublicanTilt RepublicanTilt RepublicanTilt Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallLean RepublicanLean RepublicanLean RepublicanLean Republican
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

Election spending

Campaign finance

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Scott Perry Republican Party $4,528,661 $4,619,860 $81,919 As of December 31, 2024
Janelle Stelson Democratic Party $6,516,973 $6,506,818 $10,156 As of December 31, 2024

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.

Quarterly campaign finance analysis

First quarter, 2024

Mike O’Brien (D) has raised the most money in the Democratic primary for Pennsylvania’s 10th Congressional District, taking in $736,227 since the start of the campaign cycle.

O’Brien raised $321,867 in quarter one. Janelle Stelson (D) has raised the next most in the primary, with $577,019 since the start of the campaign and $293,806 in quarter one. The quarterly totals also include receipts captured in the pre-primary campaign finance report.

The primary will take place on April 23. Seven candidates, including those who have dropped out, raised a combined $1.6 million through April 3.

Five candidates raised a combined $3.8 million running in Pennsylvania’s 10th Congressional District in 2022, while four raised $9.3 million in 2020.

Below is how much each Democratic candidate has raised and spent so far during the 2023-2024 election cycle:

Looking at O’Brien and Stelson alone:

  • 765 individual donations were made to O’Brien’s campaign last quarter.
  • Of those 765, the largest share, 204 (27%), was between $100 and $499.
  • 606 individual donations were made to Stelson’s campaign last quarter.
  • Of those 606, the largest share, 203 (33%), was between $100 and $499.

Satellite spending

See also: Satellite spending

Satellite spending describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[7][8][9]

If available, this section includes links to online resources tracking satellite spending in this election. To notify us of a resource to add, email us.

By candidate By election

District analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

  • District map - A map of the district in place for the election.
  • Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
  • State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.


Below was the map in use at the time of the election. Click the map below to enlarge it.

2023_01_03_pa_congressional_district_010.jpg
See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2024

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Pennsylvania.

Pennsylvania U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2024
Office Districts/
offices 		Seats Open seats Candidates Possible primaries Contested Democratic primaries Contested Republican primaries % of contested primaries Incumbents in contested primaries % of incumbents in contested primaries
2024 17 17 0 45 34 4 2 17.6% 3 17.6%
2022 17 17 2 48 34 5 6 32.4% 2 13.3%
2020 18 18 0 51 36 6 5 30.6% 2 11.1%
2018 18 18 7 84 36 13 8 58.3% 6 54.5%
2016 18 18 2 44 36 4 5 25.0% 4 25.0%
2014 18 18 2 46 36 6 3 25.0% 2 12.5%

Post-filing deadline analysis

The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Pennsylvania in 2024. Information below was calculated on April 7, 2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.

Forty-five candidates ran for Pennsylvania’s 17 U.S. House districts, including 25 Democrats and 20 Republicans. That’s 2.65 candidates per district, less than in the previous three election cycles. There were 2.82 candidates per district in 2022, 2.83 candidates per district in 2020, and 4.66 in 2018.

No districts were open in 2024, meaning all incumbents ran for re-election.

Seven candidates ran for the 10th Congressional District, the most candidates that ran for a district in 2024. The candidates included Republican incumbent Scott Perry and six Democrats.

Seven primaries—four Democratic and three Republican—were contested in 2024, the fewest this decade.

Three incumbents—two Democrats and one Republican—were in contested primaries. That’s higher than in 2022 and 2020 when two incumbents faced challengers, respectively.

The 3rd Congressional District was guaranteed to Democrats because no Republicans filed to run.

Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+5. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 5 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Pennsylvania's 10th the 191st most Republican district nationally.[10]

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

2020 presidential results in Pennsylvania's 10th based on 2024 district lines
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
47.2% 51.3%

Inside Elections Baselines

See also: Inside Elections

Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.[11] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.

Inside Elections Baseline for 2024
Democratic Baseline Democratic Party Republican Baseline Republican Party Difference
46.3 50.8 R+4.6

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in Pennsylvania, 2020

Pennsylvania presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 14 Democratic wins
  • 16 Republican wins
  • 1 other win
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party R R R P[12] R R R R R D D D R R R D D D R D R R R D D D D D D R D
See also: Party control of Pennsylvania state government

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Pennsylvania's congressional delegation as of May 2024.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Pennsylvania
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 1 7 8
Republican 1 10 11
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 0 0
Total 2 17 19

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Pennsylvania's top four state executive offices as of May 2024.

State executive officials in Pennsylvania, May 2024
Office Officeholder
Governor Democratic Party Josh Shapiro
Lieutenant Governor Democratic Party Austin Davis
Secretary of State Republican Party Al Schmidt
Attorney General Democratic Party Michelle Henry

State legislature

Pennsylvania State Senate

Party As of February 2024
     Democratic Party 22
     Republican Party 28
     Independent 0
     Other 0
     Vacancies 0
Total 50

Pennsylvania House of Representatives

Party As of February 2024
     Democratic Party 101
     Republican Party 100
     Other 0
     Vacancies 2
Total 203

Trifecta control

The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.

Pennsylvania Party Control: 1992-2024
One year of a Democratic trifecta  •  Twelve years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Governor D D D R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D R R R R D D D D D D D D D D
Senate R D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
House D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R D D

Election context

Ballot access

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Pennsylvania in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Pennsylvania, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source
Pennsylvania U.S. House Ballot-qualified party 1,000 $150.00 2/13/2024 Source
Pennsylvania U.S. House Unaffiliated 2% of votes cast in the district in the last election $150.00 8/1/2024 Source

District election history

The section below details election results for this office in elections dating back to 2018.

2022

See also: Pennsylvania's 10th Congressional District election, 2022

General election

General election for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 10

Incumbent Scott Perry defeated Shamaine Daniels and Steven Long in the general election for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 10 on November 8, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Scott Perry
Scott Perry (R)
 
53.8
 
169,331
Image of Shamaine Daniels
Shamaine Daniels (D) Candidate Connection
 
46.2
 
145,215
Silhouette Placeholder Image.png
Submit photo
Steven Long (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
0

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 314,546
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 10

Shamaine Daniels defeated Rick Coplen in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 10 on May 17, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Shamaine Daniels
Shamaine Daniels Candidate Connection
 
52.6
 
32,260
Image of Rick Coplen
Rick Coplen Candidate Connection
 
47.4
 
29,128

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 61,388
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 10

Incumbent Scott Perry advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 10 on May 17, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Scott Perry
Scott Perry
 
100.0
 
84,646

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 84,646
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2020

See also: Pennsylvania's 10th Congressional District election, 2020

General election

General election for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 10

Incumbent Scott Perry defeated Eugene DePasquale in the general election for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 10 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Scott Perry
Scott Perry (R)
 
53.3
 
208,896
Image of Eugene DePasquale
Eugene DePasquale (D)
 
46.7
 
182,938

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 391,834
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 10

Eugene DePasquale defeated Tom Brier in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 10 on June 2, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Eugene DePasquale
Eugene DePasquale
 
57.5
 
45,453
Image of Tom Brier
Tom Brier Candidate Connection
 
42.5
 
33,661

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 79,114
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 10

Incumbent Scott Perry advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 10 on June 2, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Scott Perry
Scott Perry
 
100.0
 
79,365

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 79,365
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2018

Results of 2018 redistricting

On February 19, 2018, the Pennsylvania Supreme Court adopted a new congressional district map after ruling that the original map constituted an illegal partisan gerrymander. District locations and numbers were changed by the new map. Candidates were listed under Pennsylvania’s new districts, which were used in the 2018 congressional elections. Click here for more information about the ruling.

The chart below compares this new district with the old district that was the most geographically similar to it.

Old district[13] Prior incumbent Prior 2016 presidential result New 2016 presidential result
4th District Scott Perry (R) R+21.5 R+8.9

Not sure which district you're in? Find out here.

Click the box below to see how the new congressional districts compare to the ones in place before the redrawing.


See also: Pennsylvania's 10th Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 10

Incumbent Scott Perry defeated George Scott in the general election for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 10 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Scott Perry
Scott Perry (R)
 
51.3
 
149,365
Image of George Scott
George Scott (D)
 
48.7
 
141,668

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 291,033
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 10

George Scott defeated Shavonnia Corbin-Johnson, Eric Ding, and Alan Howe in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 10 on May 15, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of George Scott
George Scott
 
36.3
 
13,977
Image of Shavonnia Corbin-Johnson
Shavonnia Corbin-Johnson
 
34.9
 
13,413
Image of Eric Ding
Eric Ding
 
18.0
 
6,921
Image of Alan Howe
Alan Howe
 
10.8
 
4,160

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified.

Total votes: 38,471
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 10

Incumbent Scott Perry advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 10 on May 15, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Scott Perry
Scott Perry
 
100.0
 
57,504

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified.

Total votes: 57,504
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.



2024 battleground elections

See also: Battlegrounds

This was a battleground election. Other 2024 battleground elections included:

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. ↑ Politics PA, "DCC Targets Fitzpatrick, Perry Among 33 Districts In Play," accessed March 11, 2024
  2. ↑ 2.0 2.1 ABC27 News, "Pennsylvania 10th Congressional District Democratic Primary Debate," accessed March 11, 2024
  3. ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  4. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  5. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  6. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  7. ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed December 12, 2021
  8. ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed December 12, 2021
  9. ↑ National Review.com, "Why the Media Hate Super PACs," December 12, 2021
  10. ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
  11. ↑ Inside Elections, "Methodology: Inside Elections’ Baseline by Congressional District," December 8, 2023
  12. ↑ Progressive Party
  13. ↑ 13.0 13.1 Refers to the old district that makes up a plurality of the new district.
  14. ↑ The old 1st and 11th Districts did not make up a plurality of any of the new districts. The 1st District went for Hillary Clinton by 61.3 percentage points and was represented by Bob Brady (D). The 11th District went for Donald Trump by 23.8 percentage points and was represented by Lou Barletta (R).
  15. ↑ District 13 incumbent Brendan Boyle (D) filed for re-election in the new 2nd District.
  16. ↑ District 17 incumbent Matt Cartwright (D) filed for re-election in the new 8th District.
  17. ↑ Lamb was elected in a March 2018 special election to replace Rep. Tim Murphy (R).
  18. ↑ Lamb filed to run for PA-17 in the 2018 election.


Pennsylvania's current delegation to the United States Congress
Senators
John Fetterman (D)
David McCormick (R)
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
District 7
District 8
District 9
District 10
District 11
District 12
District 13
District 14
District 15
District 16
District 17
Republican Party (11)
Democratic Party (8)


v • e
2023-2024 Elections to the United States Congress
Senate by StateCongressLogo.png
House by State
Alabama • Alaska • Arizona • Arkansas • California • Colorado • Connecticut • Delaware • Florida • Georgia • Hawaii • Idaho • Illinois • Indiana • Iowa • Kansas • Kentucky • Louisiana • Maine • Maryland • Massachusetts • Michigan • Minnesota • Mississippi • Missouri • Montana • Nebraska • Nevada • New Hampshire • New Jersey • New Mexico • New York • North Carolina • North Dakota • Ohio • Oklahoma • Oregon • Pennsylvania • Rhode Island • South Carolina • South Dakota • Tennessee • Texas • Utah • Vermont • Virginia • Washington • West Virginia • Wisconsin • Wyoming
Election information
Super PACs/Organizations
Retrieved from "https://ballotpedia.org/wiki/index.php?title=Pennsylvania%27s_10th_Congressional_District_election,_2024_(April_23_Democratic_primary)&oldid=9613026"