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United States Senate election in Michigan (August 7, 2018 Republican primary)
- General election: Nov. 6
- Voter registration deadline: Oct. 9
- Early voting: N/A
- Absentee voting deadline: Nov. 6
- Online registration: No
- Same-day registration: No
- Voter ID: Photo ID requested
- Poll times: 7:00 a.m. to 8:00 p.m.
2020 →
← 2014
|
U.S. Senate, Michigan |
---|
Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: April 24, 2018 |
Primary: August 7, 2018 General: November 6, 2018 Pre-election incumbent: Debbie Stabenow (Democrat) |
How to vote |
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. Voting in Michigan |
Race ratings |
Inside Elections: Solid Democratic Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018 |
See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th • 10th • 11th • 12th • 13th • 14th • 13th (special) Michigan elections, 2018 U.S. Congress elections, 2018 U.S. Senate elections, 2018 U.S. House elections, 2018 |
Army veteran John James (R) defeated venture capitalist Sandy Pensler (R) in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate in Michigan on August 7, 2018.
James had party support, receiving endorsements from President Donald Trump, Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.), and Reps. Mike Bishop (R-Mich.) and Paul Mitchell (R-Mich.). Outsider PAC, Right to Life of Michigan Victory Fund, and Senate Conservatives Fund also launched direct mail campaigns and made ad buys for James.[1]
Pensler had the fundraising advantage, having contributed $5 million to his own campaign through the second quarter of 2018. He emphasized his Detroit roots in campaign ads.[2][3][4]
In the only televised debate of the race in July, the candidates attacked one another’s conservative bona fides. James criticized Pensler for his past support of legalized abortion. His campaign later released a statement saying Pensler was “pro-choice and would vote to confirm pro-choice judges."[5]
Pensler said that his views on abortion had changed after the birth of his son two decades earlier and that he was anti-abortion, supporting exceptions in cases of rape or incest. James expressed support for exceptions only where the woman’s life was at risk.[5]
While both candidates opposed sanctuary jurisdictions, Pensler attacked James for making his only political donation to Detroit City Council member Raquel Castañeda-López, who supports Detroit’s status as a sanctuary city. James said the donation was a fee to attend a nonpartisan event.[5]
For more on related elections, please see:
- United States Senate election in Michigan (August 7, 2018 Democratic primary)
- United States Senate election in Michigan, 2018
- United States Senate Democratic Party primaries, 2018
- United States Senate Republican Party primaries, 2018
- Democratic Party primaries in Michigan, 2018
- Republican Party primaries in Michigan, 2018
Candidates and election results
John James defeated Sandy Pensler in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate Michigan on August 7, 2018.
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. Senate Michigan
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | John James | 54.7 | 518,564 |
![]() | Sandy Pensler ![]() | 45.3 | 429,885 |
Total votes: 948,449 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Bob Carr (R)
- William White (R)
Top candidates
John James
James graduated from West Point and spent eight years in the Army as a Ranger-qualified aviation officer, serving with distinction in Operation Iraqi Freedom. After his military service, James grew his family business from $35 million in revenue to $137 million and created 100 jobs in the United States. He earned an MBA from the University of Michigan.[6]
"I am called to a life of service. I want to serve my country and my community and my state. When I would come back from Iraq on leave during the great recession, the economic and societal devastation I saw here in my own state floored me," James said of his decision to run for office.[7]
On his campaign website, James listed national security, economic opportunity, and support for the Trump administration as his guiding policy priorities.[8]
Sandy Pensler
Pensler worked as a private investor and financial advisor for large corporations like Chrysler, Sprint, and Scholastic. He founded Pensler Capital and several businesses, including four manufacturing plants that employ 100 Michigan workers. Pensler received his B.A. in chemical engineering from Yale University and J.D. from Harvard Law School.[9]
“I think the country is at a tipping point between two visions,” Pensler said when announcing his candidacy. "There’s one that is Washington directing things on a pathway that will lead to weakening of the country. And the other is putting individuals and markets in charge and empowering Michiganders to solve problems.”[10]
On his campaign website, Pensler listed decreasing regulations to improve job growth, embracing technology in education, and renegotiating trade deals as some of his policy priorities.[11]
Debates and forums
July 18, 2018, debate
James and Pensler appeared on WJR with Frank Beckmann for a radio debate on July 18, 2018. The candidates discussed Trump's performance at the July 2018 Helsinki press conference with Russian President Vladimir Putin, their business experience, and immigration policy.[12]
July 6, 2018, debate
James and Pensler participated in a debate moderated by reporter and columnist Tim Skubick on July 6, 2018, where the candidates discussed abortion, gun ownership, the Elliott-Larsen Civil Rights Act and LGBT discrimination, and support for Trump in the 2016 presidential election.[13]
- Find The Detroit Free Press round-up the debate here.
- Find The Detroit News round-up of the debate here.
- Find the MLive round-up of the debate here.
Campaign themes and policy stances
Campaign themes
These were the policy positions listed on the candidates' websites, if available.
John James
“ |
Defend the Constitution Supporting and defending the Constitution of the United States means abiding by it as written. I will fight to preserve separation of powers, fight for limited government and will approve justices who will interpret the constitution as written. Border Security I understand how to secure a border because I’ve done it before. Sovereign nations must have secure borders and entry points. I support Kate’s Law and I will support defunding ‘sanctuary cities,’ or as I call them, ‘outlaw cities’. Pro-2nd Amendment “A well-regulated Militia, being necessary to the security of a free State, the right of the people to keep and bear Arms, SHALL NOT be infringed.” Enough said! Pro-Life I am 100% Pro-Life. Always have been. Always will be. Veterans We must to do a better job preparing our service members for life outside of the military, because re-integrating into civilian life should not be the toughest battle that we (vets) face. Social Security Protecting Social Security for our seniors today and saving it for our grandchildren tomorrow are moral obligations. Hard working and honest Michiganders of all generations are owed a return on their lifelong investment into the System. Balanced Budget Our debt is a national security threat. We must rein in spending! I would support a balanced budget amendment and will work to cut waste and consolidate or eliminate entire departments in the federal bureaucracy. Infrastructure Pot holes and blighted buildings have no place in Michigan’s future. I will work to ensure an infrastructure package that is more than simply repairing our legacy but building our future. Trade Michigan is a global leader in the agriculture and automotive industries. I support free, but fair trade. We must ensure that our trade deals and federal regulations make sense, do not put Michigan-made goods at a disadvantage and keep jobs in Michigan. Entitlement Reform Dependency should not be the destiny of any American. Michigan deserves a Senator who will work to eliminate poverty, not just make it more comfortable. Immigration We are a nation of immigrants but we are also a nation of laws. We welcome legal immigrants, but illegal immigration is a direct affront to our laws and to those who abide by them. We must end illegal immigration. Michigan's Agriculture Michigan’s food and agricultural industry includes over 52,000 farms, employing over 900,000 Michiganders. To remain a global leader in agriculture we must ensure that federal regulations make sense and do not put Michigan farmers on an unequal playing field with our competitors. Education Every child in Michigan should be career or college ready when he or she leaves high school. Parents and local communities should be empowered to determine the best way to achieve this goal, not Washington. Great Lakes Our Great Lakes are a national treasure which also supports a robust fish and tourism industry here in Michigan. I will champion policies and programs that not only protect environmental quality throughout the Great Lakes but will protect them from invasive species such as Asian carp.[14] |
” |
—John James for Senate[15] |
Sandy Pensler
“ |
Putting Michigan First...Again! Implementing an agenda that puts Michigan First will make sure that Michigan becomes on track to be 1st. Michigan wasn’t just 1st in the country, we were 1st in the world. We were the automobile capital. We were the manufacturing epicenter of the globe. We led in cars, chemicals, retailing, cereal, and helped win a world war. Michigan has made great strides in the past eight years because of the leadership at our state level, but the help from our Senators hasn’t been there. Debbie Stabenow cares more about what Chuck Schumer thinks than how struggling Michiganders live. Things are going to change. We are going to implement policies at the federal level that put Michigan First, and that is going to make Michigan 1st in the statistics that matter. That means 1st in job creation. That means 1st in wages. That means 1st in education. That means 1st in entrepreneurship. We can create the future in mobility, healthcare, and manufacturing. We are going to put Michigan First. Michigan First: Create Great Jobs We are going to make Michigan First in job creation. We are going to provide purpose and meaning through good jobs, not dependency through entitlements. I advised the turnaround of some of the county’s largest companies Chrysler, TJX, Navistar, Sprint, Time Warner and started and run my own companies. I know what it takes to create jobs. As an economist I understand we need to fix the tax code and decrease regulations. We will create great jobs by empowering Michigan citizens and businesses rather than dictating results and pathways from Washington. Michigan First: Improve education; reward performance, create competition and choice We are going to make Michigan First by emphasizing the benefits of choice and competition in our schools. We will embrace technology and reward performance by our teachers rather than simply rewarding seniority. Michigan First: Re-negotiate Unfair Trade Deals We are going to put Michigan First by renegotiating trade deals so that companies are incentivized to create and maintain the good jobs here in Michigan rather than send them to China and Mexico. Michigan First: Reform Entitlements We are going to put Michigan first by putting people to work and reforming entitlement programs while protecting seniors on social security and medicare. There are over 100 means tested entitlement programs. Many of these programs spend billions on projects whose long term effects harm those they are intended to help. Most of the programs incentivize single parent households over dual family living. This bias is destructive to the children and parents it intends to help. Michigan First: Crack-Down on Illegal Immigration We are going to put Michigan First by cracking down on illegal immigration and ensuring jobs that can be done by Michigan workers are done by Michigan workers. We will enhance our border security and create borders which are impenetrable by illegal immigrants. We will support the rule of law by defunding sanctuary cities. Michigan First: Protect the Great Lakes We are going to put Michigan First by investing in and protecting our Great Lakes. They are one of our nation’s greatest treasures. We are going to use funds which Debbie Stabenow wants to send to China and India via the Paris Climate Treaty to clean up our environment in Michigan and create urban parks. We will not have the people of Lansing, Detroit, Saginaw and other Michiganders pay to take their jobs to Mumbai, Beijing and Shanghai. Michigan First: Fight for Projects We are going to put Michigan First by fighting for defense, transportation, and other projects that are currently going to other states. Pro-2nd Amendment I strongly support second amendment rights. The right to carry arms is and was the bulwark of liberty. This is not simply an issue of sports use or self defense. The second amendment right to carry arms is a bulwark for protecting freedom and repelling tyranny. In the Federalist papers the primary framer of the bill of rights James Madison contrasted the United States to the European kingdoms, which he contemptuously described as "afraid to trust the people with arms." He assured his fellow citizens that they need never fear their government because of "the advantage of being armed." I will stand with our founding principles. Pro-Life I am pro life. My wife and I think abortion is wrong. I will act to defund Planned Parenthood. Roe vs. Wade was wrongly decided. Legislating from the bench and stripping the states of rights granted to them in the constitution by judicial fiat is an abuse of power which undermines democracy and trust in the rule of law. I will fight for judges who interpret the law based on its intent and not their personal viewpoints of society.[14] |
” |
—Sandy Pensler for Senate[16] |
Satellite spending
- Outsider PAC released an ad presenting Pensler as liberal and James as an ally with Trump on immigration policy in July 2018.
Endorsements
The table below summarizes the endorsements Ballotpedia identified for Republican candidates in the primary for U.S. Senate in Michigan.
Republican candidate endorsements | ||
---|---|---|
Endorsement | James | Pensler |
Federal officials | ||
President Donald Trump (R)[17] | ✔ | |
Rep. Bill Huizenga (R-Mich.)[18] | ✔ | |
Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.)[19] | ✔ | |
Rep. Paul Mitchell (R-Mich.)[20] | ✔ | |
Rep. Mike Bishop (R-Mich.)[21] | ✔ | |
State figures | ||
Former Republican National Committee member Chuck Yob (R)[22] | ✔ | |
Former state Rep. Jon Bumstead (R)[22] | ✔ | |
Former Michigan Supreme Court Chief Justice Bob Young (R)[23] | ✔ | |
Organizations | ||
Susan B. Anthony List[24] | ✔ | |
National Right to Life Committee[25] | ✔ | |
American Conservative Union[26] | ✔ | |
Senate Conservatives Fund[27] | ✔ |
Polls
- See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls
U.S. Senate election in Michigan, Republican primary: James vs. Pensler | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | James (R) | Pensler (R) | Undecided/Other | Margin of Error | Sample Size | ||||||||||||||
Detroit Free Press/EPIC-MRA Poll July 21-22, 2018 | 39% | 38% | 23% | +/-3.1 | 1,000 | ||||||||||||||
National Research July 11-14, 2018 | 21% | 28% | 51% | +/-4.0 | 600 | ||||||||||||||
Target Insyght June 24-26, 2018 | 29% | 32% | 39% | +/-5.0 | 400 | ||||||||||||||
Strategic National June 16-21, 2018 | 18% | 33% | 49% | +/-3.1 | 1,000 | ||||||||||||||
Strategic National April 4-5, 2018 | 12% | 20% | 68% | +/-4.0 | 600 | ||||||||||||||
Denno Research April 2-3, 2018 | 12% | 16% | 72% | +/-4.0 | 500 | ||||||||||||||
Strategic National March 19-20, 2018 | 17% | 21% | 62% | +/-4.9 | 400 | ||||||||||||||
Note: A "0%" finding means the question was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org |
U.S. Senate election in Michigan, Republican primary: James, Pensler, Young | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | Young (R) | James (R) | Pensler (R) | Undecided | Margin of Error | Sample Size | |||||||||||||
Strategic National December 16-17, 2017 | 11% | 9% | 5% | 75% | +/-4.0 | 600 | |||||||||||||
Note: A "0%" finding means the question was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org |
Timeline
- July 27, 2018: President Donald Trump (R) endorsed James.
.@JohnJamesMI, who is running in the Republican Primary in the great state of Michigan, is SPECTACULAR! Vote on August 7th. Rarely have I seen a candidate with such great potential. West Point graduate, successful businessman and a African American leader...
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) July 27, 2018
- July 18, 2018: James and Pensler participated in a radio debate where they discussed Trump's performance at the July 2018 Helsinki press conference with Russian President Vladimir Putin, their business experience, and immigration policy.[12]
- July 10, 2018: Rep. Bill Huizenga (R-Mich.) endorsed James.[18]
- July 6, 2018: James and Pensler participated in the only televised debate of the race, where they discussed abortion, gun ownership, the Elliott-Larsen Civil Rights Act and LGBT discrimination, and support for Trump in the 2016 presidential election.[5]
- June 18, 2018: James was endorsed by the Susan B. Anthony List.
- May 4, 2018: James released his first campaign ad, highlighting his military experience and conservative platform.
- April 5, 2018: Two more polls from Strategic National and Denno Research showed that a majority of voters—68 percent and 72 percent, respectively, in each poll—continue to be undecided or unfamiliar with Pensler and James.
- March 20, 2018: Strategic National released a poll finding that a majority of Republican voters—62 percent—were undecided in a match-up between James (17 percent) and Pensler (21 percent).
Race ratings
Race ratings: U.S. Senate election in Michigan, 2018 | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
October 30, 2018 | October 23, 2018 | October 16, 2018 | October 9, 2018 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report | Likely Democratic | Likely Democratic | Likely Democratic | Likely Democratic | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every two weeks throughout the election season. |
Campaign finance
The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Debbie Stabenow | Democratic Party | $17,893,755 | $17,225,717 | $1,782,307 | As of December 31, 2018 |
John James | Republican Party | $12,551,467 | $12,043,512 | $507,955 | As of December 31, 2018 |
Sandy Pensler | Republican Party | $5,235,247 | $5,235,247 | $0 | As of September 30, 2018 |
Marcia Squier | Green Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
John Howard Wilhelm | Natural Law Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
George Huffman III | U.S. Taxpayers Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2018. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
Campaign advertisements
John James
Support
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Sandy Pensler
Support
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Election history
2014
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ![]() |
54.6% | 1,704,936 | |
Republican | Terri Lynn Land | 41.3% | 1,290,199 | |
Libertarian | Jim Fulner | 2% | 62,897 | |
U.S. Taxpayers Party | Richard Matkin | 1.2% | 37,529 | |
Green | Chris Wahmhoff | 0.8% | 26,137 | |
Total Votes | 3,121,698 | |||
Source: Michigan Secretary of State |
2012
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ![]() |
58.8% | 2,735,826 | |
Republican | Pete Hoekstra | 38% | 1,767,386 | |
Libertarian | Scotty Boman | 1.8% | 84,480 | |
Green | Harley Mikkelson | 0.6% | 27,890 | |
UST | Richard Matkin | 0.6% | 26,038 | |
NLP | John Litle | 0.2% | 11,229 | |
Total Votes | 4,652,849 | |||
Source: Michigan Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election" |
Pivot Counties
- See also: Pivot Counties by state
Twelve of 83 Michigan counties—14 percent—are Pivot Counties. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.
Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008 | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
County | Trump margin of victory in 2016 | Obama margin of victory in 2012 | Obama margin of victory in 2008 | ||||
Bay County, Michigan | 12.55% | 5.56% | 15.31% | ||||
Calhoun County, Michigan | 12.46% | 1.60% | 9.36% | ||||
Eaton County, Michigan | 4.72% | 3.13% | 8.40% | ||||
Gogebic County, Michigan | 14.80% | 8.10% | 17.27% | ||||
Isabella County, Michigan | 3.66% | 9.28% | 19.26% | ||||
Lake County, Michigan | 22.77% | 5.01% | 12.28% | ||||
Macomb County, Michigan | 11.53% | 3.99% | 8.62% | ||||
Manistee County, Michigan | 15.29% | 5.93% | 13.26% | ||||
Monroe County, Michigan | 21.97% | 0.98% | 4.35% | ||||
Saginaw County, Michigan | 1.13% | 11.89% | 17.34% | ||||
Shiawassee County, Michigan | 19.59% | 3.67% | 8.59% | ||||
Van Buren County, Michigan | 13.92% | 0.45% | 8.78% |
In the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump (R) won Michigan with 47.5 percent of the vote. Hillary Clinton (D) received 47.3 percent. In presidential elections between 1836 and 2016, Michigan voted Republican 60.8 percent of the time and Democratic 34.7 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, Michigan voted Democratic four out of the five elections.[28]
Presidential results by legislative district
The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Michigan. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[29][30]
In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 53 out of 110 state House districts in Michigan with an average margin of victory of 37.1 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 43 out of 110 state House districts in Michigan with an average margin of victory of 39.3 points. Clinton won four districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections. |
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 57 out of 110 state House districts in Michigan with an average margin of victory of 12.4 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 67 out of 110 state House districts in Michigan with an average margin of victory of 21.2 points. Trump won eight districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections. |
2016 presidential results by state House district | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
District | Obama | Romney | 2012 Margin | Clinton | Trump | 2016 Margin | Party Control |
1 | 76.12% | 23.52% | D+52.6 | 74.49% | 22.85% | D+51.6 | D |
2 | 75.84% | 23.76% | D+52.1 | 74.45% | 22.64% | D+51.8 | D |
3 | 98.21% | 1.58% | D+96.6 | 96.30% | 2.42% | D+93.9 | D |
4 | 96.04% | 3.37% | D+92.7 | 92.77% | 5.06% | D+87.7 | D |
5 | 96.95% | 2.71% | D+94.2 | 93.33% | 4.83% | D+88.5 | D |
6 | 94.15% | 5.34% | D+88.8 | 90.29% | 7.44% | D+82.9 | D |
7 | 98.97% | 0.86% | D+98.1 | 96.95% | 1.74% | D+95.2 | D |
8 | 97.77% | 1.98% | D+95.8 | 95.72% | 2.90% | D+92.8 | D |
9 | 96.42% | 3.28% | D+93.1 | 93.92% | 4.34% | D+89.6 | D |
10 | 83.03% | 16.36% | D+66.7 | 80.28% | 16.66% | D+63.6 | D |
11 | 69.83% | 29.28% | D+40.6 | 60.65% | 34.79% | D+25.9 | D |
12 | 69.66% | 29.46% | D+40.2 | 56.96% | 38.90% | D+18.1 | D |
13 | 58.70% | 40.26% | D+18.4 | 47.99% | 46.73% | D+1.3 | D |
14 | 63.97% | 34.90% | D+29.1 | 50.54% | 44.29% | D+6.2 | D |
15 | 65.45% | 33.49% | D+32 | 62.76% | 31.92% | D+30.8 | D |
16 | 65.88% | 33.26% | D+32.6 | 56.06% | 38.69% | D+17.4 | D |
17 | 53.64% | 45.27% | D+8.4 | 38.41% | 56.34% | R+17.9 | R |
18 | 58.28% | 40.69% | D+17.6 | 50.48% | 44.92% | D+5.6 | D |
19 | 47.24% | 51.98% | R+4.7 | 43.64% | 51.18% | R+7.5 | R |
20 | 47.63% | 51.76% | R+4.1 | 49.30% | 45.76% | D+3.5 | R |
21 | 55.97% | 43.27% | D+12.7 | 54.96% | 40.68% | D+14.3 | D |
22 | 62.75% | 36.16% | D+26.6 | 50.97% | 44.23% | D+6.7 | D |
23 | 51.61% | 47.53% | D+4.1 | 41.73% | 53.84% | R+12.1 | D |
24 | 48.16% | 51.15% | R+3 | 40.03% | 55.91% | R+15.9 | R |
25 | 51.35% | 47.82% | D+3.5 | 42.94% | 52.49% | R+9.6 | D |
26 | 58.60% | 40.29% | D+18.3 | 56.27% | 37.48% | D+18.8 | D |
27 | 74.32% | 24.77% | D+49.6 | 71.48% | 23.39% | D+48.1 | D |
28 | 63.19% | 35.81% | D+27.4 | 54.82% | 40.99% | D+13.8 | D |
29 | 75.48% | 23.86% | D+51.6 | 69.48% | 26.66% | D+42.8 | D |
30 | 47.68% | 51.54% | R+3.9 | 39.34% | 57.11% | R+17.8 | R |
31 | 57.26% | 41.80% | D+15.5 | 47.27% | 48.11% | R+0.8 | D |
32 | 45.10% | 53.91% | R+8.8 | 30.78% | 64.53% | R+33.8 | R |
33 | 43.07% | 56.18% | R+13.1 | 32.28% | 63.80% | R+31.5 | R |
34 | 91.05% | 8.32% | D+82.7 | 85.10% | 12.15% | D+73 | D |
35 | 81.97% | 17.64% | D+64.3 | 81.81% | 15.71% | D+66.1 | D |
36 | 38.24% | 61.04% | R+22.8 | 30.40% | 65.42% | R+35 | R |
37 | 59.10% | 40.27% | D+18.8 | 60.06% | 35.59% | D+24.5 | D |
38 | 45.76% | 53.61% | R+7.9 | 45.77% | 49.43% | R+3.7 | R |
39 | 47.87% | 51.46% | R+3.6 | 45.98% | 49.67% | R+3.7 | R |
40 | 46.75% | 52.82% | R+6.1 | 53.61% | 42.72% | D+10.9 | R |
41 | 47.73% | 51.57% | R+3.8 | 48.35% | 46.97% | D+1.4 | R |
42 | 39.08% | 60.20% | R+21.1 | 35.20% | 59.46% | R+24.3 | R |
43 | 44.30% | 54.75% | R+10.5 | 37.46% | 56.79% | R+19.3 | R |
44 | 40.04% | 59.10% | R+19.1 | 33.95% | 60.71% | R+26.8 | R |
45 | 43.50% | 55.87% | R+12.4 | 43.89% | 51.48% | R+7.6 | R |
46 | 38.96% | 60.14% | R+21.2 | 33.28% | 61.11% | R+27.8 | R |
47 | 36.64% | 62.49% | R+25.9 | 29.62% | 65.24% | R+35.6 | R |
48 | 58.92% | 39.84% | D+19.1 | 42.94% | 51.79% | R+8.9 | D |
49 | 70.36% | 28.78% | D+41.6 | 62.12% | 33.46% | D+28.7 | D |
50 | 56.32% | 42.74% | D+13.6 | 47.23% | 47.93% | R+0.7 | D |
51 | 45.91% | 53.06% | R+7.1 | 35.38% | 58.95% | R+23.6 | R |
52 | 51.66% | 47.46% | D+4.2 | 52.00% | 42.81% | D+9.2 | D |
53 | 79.38% | 19.51% | D+59.9 | 84.00% | 11.95% | D+72.1 | D |
54 | 75.10% | 23.79% | D+51.3 | 72.03% | 23.05% | D+49 | D |
55 | 67.37% | 31.61% | D+35.8 | 68.76% | 26.59% | D+42.2 | D |
56 | 48.37% | 50.57% | R+2.2 | 35.50% | 59.23% | R+23.7 | R |
57 | 49.04% | 49.87% | R+0.8 | 36.78% | 57.21% | R+20.4 | R |
58 | 38.71% | 60.10% | R+21.4 | 26.28% | 68.98% | R+42.7 | R |
59 | 44.29% | 54.72% | R+10.4 | 32.68% | 61.96% | R+29.3 | R |
60 | 72.01% | 26.83% | D+45.2 | 69.41% | 24.00% | D+45.4 | D |
61 | 50.04% | 49.13% | D+0.9 | 49.18% | 44.85% | D+4.3 | R |
62 | 55.24% | 43.75% | D+11.5 | 46.21% | 48.51% | R+2.3 | R |
63 | 44.40% | 54.59% | R+10.2 | 36.73% | 57.51% | R+20.8 | R |
64 | 47.70% | 51.23% | R+3.5 | 39.65% | 54.58% | R+14.9 | R |
65 | 45.58% | 53.37% | R+7.8 | 34.34% | 59.82% | R+25.5 | R |
66 | 49.22% | 49.68% | R+0.5 | 40.21% | 53.57% | R+13.4 | R |
67 | 54.11% | 44.79% | D+9.3 | 48.13% | 45.14% | D+3 | D |
68 | 74.22% | 24.64% | D+49.6 | 69.86% | 24.09% | D+45.8 | D |
69 | 63.28% | 35.87% | D+27.4 | 65.25% | 29.76% | D+35.5 | D |
70 | 46.16% | 52.60% | R+6.4 | 31.66% | 61.85% | R+30.2 | R |
71 | 51.63% | 47.28% | D+4.4 | 45.73% | 48.08% | R+2.4 | R |
72 | 42.84% | 56.25% | R+13.4 | 42.15% | 51.76% | R+9.6 | R |
73 | 38.17% | 60.92% | R+22.8 | 38.73% | 55.53% | R+16.8 | R |
74 | 38.55% | 60.36% | R+21.8 | 34.41% | 58.80% | R+24.4 | R |
75 | 74.68% | 23.76% | D+50.9 | 72.00% | 20.81% | D+51.2 | D |
76 | 54.72% | 44.21% | D+10.5 | 56.22% | 36.96% | D+19.3 | D |
77 | 40.65% | 58.32% | R+17.7 | 39.18% | 54.16% | R+15 | R |
78 | 42.78% | 56.14% | R+13.4 | 35.48% | 58.95% | R+23.5 | R |
79 | 47.82% | 51.46% | R+3.6 | 43.78% | 51.52% | R+7.7 | R |
80 | 41.20% | 57.64% | R+16.4 | 34.03% | 59.93% | R+25.9 | R |
81 | 43.91% | 55.01% | R+11.1 | 29.26% | 65.68% | R+36.4 | R |
82 | 43.67% | 55.14% | R+11.5 | 28.22% | 66.56% | R+38.3 | R |
83 | 46.42% | 52.52% | R+6.1 | 33.33% | 60.79% | R+27.5 | R |
84 | 43.28% | 55.59% | R+12.3 | 28.81% | 66.70% | R+37.9 | R |
85 | 49.88% | 48.85% | D+1 | 35.62% | 57.97% | R+22.4 | R |
86 | 36.01% | 62.99% | R+27 | 34.93% | 58.61% | R+23.7 | R |
87 | 40.02% | 58.70% | R+18.7 | 30.07% | 63.54% | R+33.5 | R |
88 | 26.40% | 72.87% | R+46.5 | 25.79% | 68.49% | R+42.7 | R |
89 | 37.56% | 61.56% | R+24 | 36.28% | 57.85% | R+21.6 | R |
90 | 32.62% | 66.46% | R+33.8 | 32.75% | 60.91% | R+28.2 | R |
91 | 50.46% | 48.46% | D+2 | 39.61% | 54.18% | R+14.6 | R |
92 | 67.85% | 31.32% | D+36.5 | 58.17% | 36.52% | D+21.7 | D |
93 | 46.26% | 52.90% | R+6.6 | 38.97% | 55.17% | R+16.2 | R |
94 | 43.56% | 55.67% | R+12.1 | 37.44% | 57.65% | R+20.2 | R |
95 | 74.44% | 24.76% | D+49.7 | 66.46% | 29.76% | D+36.7 | D |
96 | 53.72% | 45.31% | D+8.4 | 43.05% | 51.44% | R+8.4 | D |
97 | 45.55% | 53.21% | R+7.7 | 30.25% | 65.08% | R+34.8 | R |
98 | 43.01% | 56.04% | R+13 | 37.35% | 55.97% | R+18.6 | R |
99 | 50.75% | 48.05% | D+2.7 | 40.94% | 52.83% | R+11.9 | R |
100 | 43.36% | 55.52% | R+12.2 | 30.44% | 64.16% | R+33.7 | R |
101 | 48.22% | 50.74% | R+2.5 | 40.48% | 53.98% | R+13.5 | R |
102 | 42.55% | 56.27% | R+13.7 | 30.87% | 63.45% | R+32.6 | R |
103 | 42.90% | 55.90% | R+13 | 28.62% | 66.46% | R+37.8 | R |
104 | 43.58% | 55.39% | R+11.8 | 40.74% | 53.27% | R+12.5 | R |
105 | 40.35% | 58.47% | R+18.1 | 31.11% | 63.83% | R+32.7 | R |
106 | 45.20% | 53.57% | R+8.4 | 32.06% | 63.22% | R+31.2 | R |
107 | 43.34% | 55.54% | R+12.2 | 35.33% | 58.84% | R+23.5 | R |
108 | 44.37% | 54.58% | R+10.2 | 32.79% | 62.29% | R+29.5 | R |
109 | 53.29% | 45.44% | D+7.9 | 44.75% | 48.82% | R+4.1 | D |
110 | 47.04% | 51.62% | R+4.6 | 37.59% | 56.55% | R+19 | D |
Total | 54.30% | 44.79% | D+9.5 | 47.36% | 47.59% | R+0.2 | - |
Source: Daily Kos |
State overview
Partisan control
This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in Michigan heading into the 2018 elections.
Congressional delegation
- Following the 2016 elections, Democrats held both U.S. Senate seats in Michigan.
- Republicans held 9 of 14 U.S. House seats in Michigan, Democrats held four seats, and one seat was vacant.
State executives
- As of September 2018, Republicans held eight of 16 state executive positions, Democrats held four, and the remaining four positions were officially nonpartisan.
- The governor of Michigan was Republican Rick Snyder. The state held an election for governor and lieutenant governor on November 6, 2018.
State legislature
- Republicans controlled both chambers of the Michigan State Legislature. They had a 63-46 majority in the state House and a 27-10 majority in the state Senate.
Trifecta status
- Michigan was a Republican trifecta, meaning that the Republican Party controlled the state government. Rick Snyder (R) served as governor, while Republicans controlled the state legislature.
2018 elections
- See also: Michigan elections, 2018
Michigan held elections for the following positions in 2018:
- One U.S. Senate seat
- 14 U.S. House seats
- Governor and lieutenant governor
- Five lower state executive positions
- 38 state Senate seats
- 110 state House seats
- Municipal elections in Wayne County
Demographics
Demographic data for Michigan | ||
---|---|---|
Michigan | U.S. | |
Total population: | 9,917,715 | 316,515,021 |
Land area (sq mi): | 56,539 | 3,531,905 |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White: | 79% | 73.6% |
Black/African American: | 14% | 12.6% |
Asian: | 2.7% | 5.1% |
Native American: | 0.5% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander: | 0% | 0.2% |
Two or more: | 2.6% | 3% |
Hispanic/Latino: | 4.7% | 17.1% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate: | 89.6% | 86.7% |
College graduation rate: | 26.9% | 29.8% |
Income | ||
Median household income: | $49,576 | $53,889 |
Persons below poverty level: | 20% | 11.3% |
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Michigan. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. |
As of July 2016, Michigan's three largest cities were Detroit (pop. est. 673,000), Grand Rapids (pop. est. 199,000), and Warren (pop. est. 135,000).[31]
State election history
This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Michigan from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the Michigan Secretary of State.
Historical elections
Presidential elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Michigan every year from 2000 to 2016.
Election results (President of the United States), Michigan 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2016 | ![]() |
47.5% | ![]() |
47.3% | 0.2% |
2012 | ![]() |
54.2% | ![]() |
44.7% | 9.5% |
2008 | ![]() |
57.4% | ![]() |
41.0% | 16.4% |
2004 | ![]() |
51.2% | ![]() |
47.8% | 3.4% |
2000 | ![]() |
51.3% | ![]() |
46.2% | 5.1% |
U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in Michigan from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.
Election results (U.S. Senator), Michigan 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2014 | ![]() |
54.6% | ![]() |
41.3% | 13.3% |
2012 | ![]() |
58.8% | ![]() |
38.0% | 20.8% |
2008 | ![]() |
62.7% | ![]() |
33.9% | 28.8% |
2006 | ![]() |
56.9% | ![]() |
41.3% | 15.6% |
2002 | ![]() |
60.6% | ![]() |
37.9% | 22.7% |
2000 | ![]() |
49.5% | ![]() |
47.9% | 1.6% |
Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Michigan.
Election results (Governor), Michigan 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2014 | ![]() |
50.9% | ![]() |
46.9% | 4.0% |
2010 | ![]() |
58.1% | ![]() |
39.9% | 18.2% |
2006 | ![]() |
56.4% | ![]() |
42.3% | 14.1% |
2002 | ![]() |
51.4% | ![]() |
47.4% | 4.0% |
Congressional delegation, 2000-2016
This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Michigan in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.
Trifectas, 1992-2017
A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.
Michigan Party Control: 1992-2025
Two years of Democratic trifectas • Fourteen years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Senate | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D |
House | D | S | S | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | R |
See also
- United States Senate election in Michigan, 2018
- United States Senate election in Michigan (2018 Democratic primary)
- United States Senate elections, 2018
- United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan, 2018
Footnotes
- ↑ FEC, "2018 Senate Independent Expenditure—Michigan," accessed August 8, 2018
- ↑ Detroit News, "Pensler puts $5M of own money into U.S. Senate race," January 10, 2018
- ↑ Detroit News, "Pensler launching ‘Detroit Tough’ Super Bowl ad," February 2, 2018
- ↑ FEC, "Pensler, Sandy," accessed July 26, 2018
- ↑ 5.0 5.1 5.2 5.3 Detroit Free Press, "Republican candidates for U.S. Senate battle over abortion, TV ads," July 6, 2018
- ↑ John James for Senate, "Meet John," accessed July 9, 2018
- ↑ RealClearPolitics, "John James Could Be the Future Republicans Have Been Waiting for," October 25, 2017
- ↑ John James for Senate, "Issues," accessed July 9, 2018
- ↑ Pensler for Senate, "About," accessed July 9, 2018
- ↑ Detroit News, "Pensler joins U.S. Senate race to take on Stabenow," November 20, 2017
- ↑ Pensler for Senate, "Issues," accessed July 9, 2018
- ↑ 12.0 12.1 Detroit News, "James, Pensler trade jabs, defend Trump in Senate GOP radio debate," July 18, 2018
- ↑ Detroit News, "Republicans Pensler, James agree to July Senate debate," June 7, 2018
- ↑ 14.0 14.1 Note: This text is quoted verbatim from the original source. Any inconsistencies are attributable to the original source.
- ↑ John James for Senate, "Issues," accessed June 15, 2018
- ↑ Sandy Pensler for Senate, "Issues," accessed June 15, 2018
- ↑ Twitter, "Donald J. Trump," July 27, 2018
- ↑ 18.0 18.1 WHTC, "Huizenga Throws Support to James' US Senate Campaign," July 10, 2018
- ↑ John James for Senate, "Conservative Outsider John James Announces Endorsement of Florida Republican Senator Marco Rubio," accessed January 31, 2018
- ↑ John James for Senate, "Rep. Paul Mitchell Endorses John James for U.S. Senate," accessed January 31, 2018
- ↑ John James for Senate, "Mike Bishop Endorses John James for Senate," November 20, 2017
- ↑ 22.0 22.1 Pensler for Senate, "Republicans in Trump Country Unite Behind Sandy Pensler for US Senate," April 9, 2018
- ↑ John James for Senate, "Bob Young Endorses John James for Senate," accessed January 31, 2018
- ↑ Breitbart, "National Pro-Life Group Endorses Michigan Republican John James for U.S. Senate," June 18, 2018
- ↑ Detroit News, "Right to Life group endorses James for U.S. Senate," May 9, 2018
- ↑ American Conservative Union, "ACU Endorses John James," March 22, 2018
- ↑ Senate Conservatives Fund, "John James for Senate in Michigan," January 30, 2018
- ↑ 270towin.com, "Michigan," accessed June 29, 2017
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
- ↑ Michigan Demographics, "Michigan Cities by Population," accessed September 5, 2018