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United States Senate election in Missouri, 2024 (August 6 Democratic primary)
← 2022
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U.S. Senate, Missouri |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: March 26, 2024 |
Primary: August 6, 2024 General: November 5, 2024 Pre-election incumbent: Josh Hawley (Republican) |
How to vote |
Poll times: 6 a.m. to 7 p.m. Voting in Missouri |
Race ratings |
DDHQ and The Hill: Likely Republican Inside Elections: Solid Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024 |
See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th Missouri elections, 2024 U.S. Congress elections, 2024 U.S. Senate elections, 2024 U.S. House elections, 2024 |
A Democratic Party primary took place on August 6, 2024, in Missouri to determine which Democratic candidate would run in the state's general election on November 5, 2024.
Lucas Kunce advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Missouri.
Thirty-four of 100 seats in the U.S. Senate were up for election in 2024, including one special election. At the time of the election, Democrats had a 51-49 majority.[1] Of the seats up for election in 2024, Democrats held 19, Republicans held 11, and independents held four. As of May 2024, eight members of the U.S. Senate had announced they were not running for re-election.
Candidate filing deadline | Primary election | General election |
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Heading into the election, the incumbent was Josh Hawley (Republican), who was first elected in 2018.
A primary election is an election in which registered voters select a candidate that they believe should be a political party's candidate for elected office to run in the general election. They are also used to choose convention delegates and party leaders. Primaries are state-level and local-level elections that take place prior to a general election. Missouri utilizes an open primary system, in which registered voters do not have to be members of a party to vote in that party's primary.[2][3][4]
For information about which offices are nominated via primary election, see this article.
This page focuses on Missouri's United States Senate Democratic primary. For more in-depth information on the state's Republican primary and the general election, see the following pages:
- United States Senate election in Missouri, 2024 (August 6 Republican primary)
- United States Senate election in Missouri, 2024
Candidates and election results
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Missouri
Lucas Kunce defeated Karla May, December Harmon, and Mita Biswas in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Missouri on August 6, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Lucas Kunce | 67.6 | 255,775 |
![]() | Karla May | 23.2 | 87,908 | |
![]() | December Harmon ![]() | 7.1 | 26,804 | |
![]() | Mita Biswas | 2.0 | 7,647 |
Total votes: 378,134 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Wesley Bell (D)
- Samuel Rutherford (D)
Candidate profiles
This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.
Party: Democratic Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "December Harmon is a Human and Civil Rights Advocate known most for her work on the Citizens Police Review Board in Columbia, Missouri, where she currently resides"
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. Senate Missouri in 2024.
Voting information
- See also: Voting in Missouri
Campaign finance
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mita Biswas | Democratic Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
December Harmon | Democratic Party | $18,463 | $16,759 | $1,703 | As of August 19, 2024 |
Lucas Kunce | Democratic Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Karla May | Democratic Party | $62,033 | $61,772 | $261 | As of December 31, 2024 |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
Ballot access
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. Senate candidates in Missouri in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Missouri, click here.
Filing requirements for U.S. Senate candidates, 2024 | ||||||
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State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
Missouri | U.S. Senate | Ballot-qualified party | N/A | $500.00 | 3/26/2024 | Source |
Missouri | U.S. Senate | Unaffiliated | 10,000 | N/A | 7/29/2024 | Source |
Election analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about demographics, past elections, and partisan control of the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the state.
- Statewide elections - Information about recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections in the state.
- State partisanship - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
- Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
Cook PVI by congressional district
Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index for Missouri, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
District | Incumbent | Party | PVI |
Missouri's 1st | Cori Bush | ![]() |
D+27 |
Missouri's 2nd | Ann Wagner | ![]() |
R+7 |
Missouri's 3rd | Blaine Luetkemeyer | ![]() |
R+16 |
Missouri's 4th | Mark Alford | ![]() |
R+23 |
Missouri's 5th | Emanuel Cleaver | ![]() |
D+11 |
Missouri's 6th | Sam Graves | ![]() |
R+21 |
Missouri's 7th | Eric Burlison | ![]() |
R+24 |
Missouri's 8th | Jason Smith | ![]() |
R+28 |
2020 presidential results by 2024 congressional district lines
2020 presidential results in congressional districts based on 2024 district lines, Missouri[5] | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
District | Joe Biden ![]() |
Donald Trump ![]() | ||
Missouri's 1st | 78.4% | 20.0% | ||
Missouri's 2nd | 45.3% | 53.0% | ||
Missouri's 3rd | 35.9% | 62.2% | ||
Missouri's 4th | 29.3% | 68.7% | ||
Missouri's 5th | 62.2% | 35.9% | ||
Missouri's 6th | 30.6% | 67.7% | ||
Missouri's 7th | 28.4% | 69.8% | ||
Missouri's 8th | 23.6% | 75.0% |
2012-2020
How a state's counties vote in a presidential election and the size of those counties can provide additional insights into election outcomes at other levels of government including statewide and congressional races. Below, four categories are used to describe each county's voting pattern over the 2012, 2016, and 2020 presidential elections: Solid, Trending, Battleground, and New. Click [show] on the table below for examples:
County-level voting pattern categories | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | |||||||
Status | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 | ||||
Solid Democratic | D | D | D | ||||
Trending Democratic | R | D | D | ||||
Battleground Democratic | D | R | D | ||||
New Democratic | R | R | D | ||||
Republican | |||||||
Status | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 | ||||
Solid Republican | R | R | R | ||||
Trending Republican | D | R | R | ||||
Battleground Republican | R | D | R | ||||
New Republican | D | D | R |
Following the 2020 presidential election, 64.2% of Missourians lived in one of the state's 111 Solid Republican counties, which voted for the Republican presidential candidate in every election from 2012 to 2020, and 35.8% lived in one of four Solid Democratic counties. Overall, Missouri was Solid Republican, having voted for Mitt Romney (R) in 2012, Donald Trump (R) in 2016, and Donald Trump (R) in 2020. Use the table below to view the total number of each type of county in Missouri following the 2020 election as well as the overall percentage of the state population located in each county type.[6]
Missouri county-level statistics, 2020 | |||||||
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Solid Republican | 111 | 64.2% | |||||
Solid Democratic | 4 | 35.8% | |||||
Total voted Democratic | 4 | 35.8% | |||||
Total voted Republican | 111 | 64.2% |
Historical voting trends
Missouri presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 14 Democratic wins
- 17 Republican wins
Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Winning Party | D | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | R | D | D | D | R | R | D | R | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R |
This section details the results of the five most recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections held in the state.
U.S. Senate elections
The table below details the vote in the five most recent U.S. Senate races in Missouri.
U.S. Senate election results in Missouri | ||
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Race | Winner | Runner up |
2022 | 55.4%![]() |
42.2%![]() |
2018 | 51.4%![]() |
45.6%![]() |
2016 | 49.3%![]() |
46.2%![]() |
2012 | 54.8%![]() |
39.0%![]() |
2010 | 54.3%![]() |
40.6%![]() |
Average | 51.9 | 43.7 |
Gubernatorial elections
- See also: Governor of Missouri
The table below details the vote in the five most recent gubernatorial elections in Missouri.
Gubernatorial election results in Missouri | ||
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Race | Winner | Runner up |
2020 | 57.1%![]() |
40.7%![]() |
2016 | 51.1%![]() |
45.6%![]() |
2012 | 54.8%![]() |
42.5%![]() |
2008 | 58.4%![]() |
39.5%![]() |
2004 | 50.8%![]() |
47.8%![]() |
Average | 54.4 | 43.2 |
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Missouri's congressional delegation as of May 2024.
Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Missouri | |||
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Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
Democratic | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Republican | 2 | 6 | 8 |
Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 2 | 8 | 10 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Missouri's top four state executive offices as May 2024.
State executive officials in Missouri, May 2024 | |
---|---|
Office | Officeholder |
Governor | ![]() |
Lieutenant Governor | ![]() |
Secretary of State | ![]() |
Attorney General | ![]() |
State legislature
Missouri State Senate
Party | As of February 2024 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 10 | |
Republican Party | 24 | |
Other | 0 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 34 |
Missouri House of Representatives
Party | As of February 2024 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 51 | |
Republican Party | 111 | |
Other | 0 | |
Vacancies | 1 | |
Total | 163 |
Trifecta control
The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.
Missouri Party Control: 1992-2024
Eight years of Democratic trifectas • Twelve years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
Senate | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
House | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
The table below details demographic data in Missouri and compares it to the broader United States as of 2022.
Demographic Data for Missouri | ||
---|---|---|
Missouri | United States | |
Population | 6,154,913 | 331,449,281 |
Land area (sq mi) | 68,745 | 3,531,905 |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White | 79.4% | 65.9% |
Black/African American | 11.3% | 12.5% |
Asian | 2.1% | 5.8% |
Native American | 0.3% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Other (single race) | 1.5% | 6% |
Multiple | 5.4% | 8.8% |
Hispanic/Latino | 4.6% | 18.7% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate | 91.3% | 89.1% |
College graduation rate | 31.2% | 34.3% |
Income | ||
Median household income | $65,920 | $75,149 |
Persons below poverty level | 8.5% | 8.8% |
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2020). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2017-2022). | ||
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. |
See also
- United States Senate election in Missouri, 2024 (August 6 Republican primary)
- United States Senate election in Missouri, 2024
- United States Senate Democratic Party primaries, 2024
- United States Senate Republican Party primaries, 2024
- United States Senate elections, 2024
- U.S. Senate battlegrounds, 2024
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Two Independents caucused with the Democratic Party. Another independent, Sen. Kyrsten Sinema, counted toward the Democratic majority for committee purposes.
- ↑ NCSL,"State Primary Election Types," accessed April 4, 2023
- ↑ Ballotpedia research conducted December 26, 2013, through January 3, 2014, researching and analyzing various state websites and codes.
- ↑ John R. Ashcroft Missouri Secretary of State,"Frequently Asked Questions," accessed April 4, 2023
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012," accessed December 15, 2023
- ↑ This analysis includes Missouri's 114 counties and the independent city of St. Louis.