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United States Senate election in Ohio, 2022 (May 3 Republican primary)
- Primary date: May 3
- Mail-in registration deadline: April 4
- Online reg. deadline: April 4
- In-person reg. deadline: April 4
- Early voting starts: April 5
- Early voting ends: May 2
- Poll times: 6:30 a.m. to 7:30 p.m.
- Absentee/mail-in deadline: May 2
2024 →
← 2018
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| U.S. Senate, Ohio |
|---|
| Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
| Election details |
| Filing deadline: February 2, 2022 |
| Primary: May 3, 2022 General: November 8, 2022 Pre-election incumbent: Rob Portman (Republican) |
| How to vote |
| Poll times: 6:30 a.m. to 7:30 p.m. Voting in Ohio |
| Race ratings |
Inside Elections: Lean Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Republican |
| Ballotpedia analysis |
| U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022 |
| See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th • 10th • 11th • 12th • 13th • 14th • 15th Ohio elections, 2022 U.S. Congress elections, 2022 U.S. Senate elections, 2022 U.S. House elections, 2022 |
J.D. Vance defeated six other candidates in the May 3 Republican primary for U.S. Senate in Ohio, including Matt Dolan, Mike Gibbons, Josh Mandel, Jane Timken. Incumbent Rob Portman (R), who was first elected in 2010, is not running for re-election.[1]
Gibbons, Mandel, Timken, Vance, and Dolan led in fundraising, endorsements, and polling.
Politico's Alex Isenstadt wrote that "[t]he Senate race in Ohio is a high-profile example of how Trump is dominating Republican down-ballot primaries, and how his support is seen as make-or-break for those seeking the party’s nomination."[2]
Dolan was elected to the Ohio State Senate in 2016. He campaigned on "expanding workplace freedoms, cutting taxes and getting government out of the way of Ohio’s leading job creators," and fighting "to secure the border with walls, surveillance, virtual capabilities and personnel." Dolan said that while he believed "our country was stronger" because of Donald Trump's ideas and policies, he was "not looking backwards. I'm focusing on stopping the Biden agenda and preparing for tomorrow's opportunities where we set a Republican agenda."[3] Jo Ann Davidson (R), the former Speaker of the Ohio House, and Bob Taft (R), Ohio's former governor, endorsed Dolan.[4]
Gibbons, a businessman and investor, said his background in the private sector has prepared him for the U.S. Senate: "My job was to go in and convince CEOs and CFOs that they could trust me to handle the most important transactions those companies would ever do. And I have to tell you, I think it’s great practice for the U.S. Senate.”[5] Gibbons co-chaired former President Donald Trump's (R) 2016 campaign in Ohio, and has said "I don't believe we had a president that did more for this country in my lifetime than Donald Trump did."[5][6] Gibbons also said, "the Republican Party is not about just Donald Trump, the Republican Party most carefully reflects my ideology which is, as I said philosophical conservatism."[7] Sen. Rand Paul (R) endorsed Gibbons.
Mandel served as Ohio Treasurer from 2011 to 2019. Mandel said "when I get to Washington, I'm not just going to drain the swamp, I'm going to blow up the swamp. And yes, I'll be taking on the secular left, yes, I'll be taking on the radical left. But with as much ferocity and strength and force, I'm going to take on the squishy establishment RINO Republicans," a group he said included Utah Sen. Mitt Romney (R), Wyoming Rep. Liz Cheney (R), and Ohio Rep. Anthony Gonzalez (R).[8] Mandel also said, "there’s only one candidate that consistently says in every audience — whether it’s Hudson, Ohio, or Cincinnati, Ohio, or Toledo or Marietta — what I am about to say to you … that I believe the 2020 election was stolen from Donald J. Trump.”[9] U.S. Sens. Mike Lee (R) and Cynthia Lummis (R) endorsed Mandel.
Timken served as the chairwoman of the Ohio Republican Party from 2017 to 2021. Timken said her experience leading the Ohio Republican Party showed she could unite the party: "As soon as I became chair, I realized that I needed to bring people together. We had new Republicans that came into the party because of President Trump. We had some that drifted away. I successfully unified the party when I became chair, and so I have a real understanding of building a broad base and coalition of support."[10] Timken said she believed the November 2020 presidential election was marked by fraud and that she would not have voted to certify the election results.[11] On February 16, 2022, Portman endorsed Timken.[12]
Vance served in the U.S. Marine Corps from 2003 to 2007, before working in venture capital in San Francisco. In 2016, he wrote Hillbilly Elegy, a memoir about growing up Middletown, Ohio. Vance campaigned on bringing manufacturing back to Ohio, fixing the country's immigration system and completing the wall along the southern border, and breaking up large technology companies.[13] Vance was critical of Trump in 2016 but said "I ask folks not to judge me based on what I said in 2016, because I’ve been very open that I did say those critical things and I regret them, and I regret being wrong about the guy. I think he was a good president, I think he made a lot of good decisions for people, and I think he took a lot of flak.”[14] Sen. Josh Hawley (R) endorsed Vance. On April 15, Trump endorsed Vance.[15]
Neil Patel and Mark Pukita also ran in the primary.
In 2016, Portman defeated Ted Strickland (D) 58% to 37.2%. Astronaut John H. Glenn Jr., who served from 1974 to 1999, was the last Democrat to hold the seat, serving from 1974 to 1999.[16] Ohio is one of seven states with a split Senate delegation—Sherrod Brown, a Democrat, holds the state's other U.S. Senate seat.
In 2020, Donald Trump (R) defeated Joe Biden (D) in Ohio 53.3% to 45.2%. In 2016, Trump defeated Hillary Clinton in Ohio 51.7% to 43.6%.
Neil Patel (R) and Mark Pukita (R) completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Click on a candidate's name to view that candidate's responses.
This page focuses on Ohio's United States Senate Republican primary. For more in-depth information on the state's Democratic primary and the general election, see the following pages:
- United States Senate election in Ohio, 2022 (May 3 Democratic primary)
- United States Senate election in Ohio, 2022
Election news
Click below to view a timeline leading up to the election, including polling, debates, and other noteworthy events.
Candidates and election results
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. Senate Ohio
The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate Ohio on May 3, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | J.D. Vance | 32.2 | 344,736 | |
| Josh Mandel | 23.9 | 255,854 | ||
| Matt Dolan | 23.3 | 249,239 | ||
| Mike Gibbons | 11.7 | 124,653 | ||
| Jane Timken | 5.9 | 62,779 | ||
Mark Pukita ![]() | 2.1 | 22,692 | ||
Neil Patel ![]() | 0.9 | 9,873 | ||
| Total votes: 1,069,826 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Zachary Musick (R)
- Mackenzie Thompson (R)
- Michael Leipold (R)
- Bernie Moreno (R)
- John Berman (R)
- John Reed (R)
- Bill Graham (R)
Candidate comparison
Candidate profiles
This section includes candidate profiles created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff compiled a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy.[24]
This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office:
- Ohio State Senate (Assumed office: 2017)
- Ohio House of Representatives (2005-2010)
Biography: Dolan earned his bachelor's in history from Boston College and a J.D. from Case Western Reserve University School of Law. His professional experience includes serving as the Assistant State Attorney General and Chief Assistant Prosecutor for Geauga County.
Show sources
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. Senate Ohio in 2022.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Biography: Gibbons earned degrees from Kenyon College and Case Western Reserve University. He earned a law degree from the Cleveland-Marshall College of Law. His professional experience includes founding an Brown Gibbons Lang & Company, an investment bank and financial advisory firm.
Show sources
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. Senate Ohio in 2022.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office:
- Ohio Treasurer (2011-2019)
- Ohio House of Representatives (2007-2011)
- Lyndhurst city council (2003-2007)
Biography: Mandel earned a bachelor's degree from Ohio State University in 2000 and a law degree from Case Western Reserve University in 2003. In 2000, he enlisted in the U.S. Marine Corps Reserves and served for eight years. How professional experience includes serving as president of The Groveland Company from 2005 to 2008. Mandel also held positions with startup companies.
Show sources
Sources: Josh Mandel 2022 campaign website, "Where I stand," accessed February 23, 2022; Josh Mandel 2022 campaign website, "About Josh," accessed February 23, 2022; The Columbus Dispatch, "What did Josh Mandel do while he was out of the public eye for three years? Made big money," accessed February 23, 2022; The Lantern, "Economy is 'No. 1 priority' for Josh Mandel," accessed February 23, 2022
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. Senate Ohio in 2022.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "Legal immigrant since 1979, Citizen since 1994...small business entrepreneur who has employed over 1000 people in my companies. Experience with Ambassadors/Trade Agreements/Treaties to bring jobs to US. I am a negotiator and work well with others for solutions. I have previously worked with Sen Joe Manchin to bring jobs to Ohio and West Virginia. I want to represent Ohioans in the US Senate to work for solutions, not this partisan bickering that gets nothing accomplished. I have visited all 88 counties in Ohio multiple times and met great Ohioans along the way. My negotiating skills will help rebuild Ohioans faith in our Federal Government!"
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. Senate Ohio in 2022.
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Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "Successful, Conservative, Ohio, high-tech entrepreneur who believes in an America-first, MAGA, KAG, agenda. I support the current policies of President Trump almost 100%. Strong, Conservative, Republican. I believe we must send RINOs packing. I am not a big fan of the National GOP or Ohio GOP. I graduated from The Ohio State University, summa cum laude, in Electrical Engineering. Started & grew a high-tech, high-growth business that employed thousands over 24-years. I am not a career politician. I have never held public office before. I believe corruption in DC must be eradicated through: - Term Limits - Line Item Veto - Public-Only, Streamed & Recorded Lobbying - Outlawing Offshore Accounts - Mandatory Financial Hyper-Transparency of Candidates & Office-holders"
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. Senate Ohio in 2022.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Biography: Timken earned a bachelor's degree from Harvard University in 1989 and a law degree from American University in 1994. Her professional experience includes working as an associate with a law firm and serving as a magistrate for the Court of Common Pleas Stark County, Ohio. She also served as chair of the Kent State University board. From 2010 to 2017, Timken served as the vice chairman of the Stark County Republican Party, before becoming chair of the Ohio Republican Party in 2017.
Show sources
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. Senate Ohio in 2022.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Biography: Vance earned a bachelor's degree from Ohio State University in 2009 and a law degree from Yale Law School in 2013. Vance served in the U.S. Marine Corps from 2003 to 2007. His professional experience includes two clerkships, working as a litigation associate for a law firm, and working in venture capital in San Francisco. In 2016, Vance wrote Hillbilly Elegy, a memoir that was later turned into a film. In 2017, Vance founded a nonprofit, Our Ohio Renewal.
Show sources
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. Senate Ohio in 2022.
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
Survey responses from candidates in this race
Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.
Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.
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Neil Patel (R)
American First and always!
America is my home and I love our constitution...we need to get back to the basics of our foundation.
Mark Pukita (R)
We must move significant responsibilities back to State & Local governments, from Washington, D.C., to minimize Federal Government.
We need to balance the Federal budget and begin extinguishing Federal debt.
Neil Patel (R)
I am concerned about the loss of manufacturing, raw materials supply and energy sources.
I am passionate about opening up the pipelines, becoming independent of foreign oil. We made some progress in the early 90's but now we are back to dependence on others and we have lost jobs!
I do not agree with socialist ideals or policies. Capitalism is what works for the U. S.Mark Pukita (R)
- Strengthing the First & Second Amendments
- A Strong Economy & Business-Friendly Environment
- Continued High Employment Rate
- Re-engineering Our Healthcare Systems for Effectiveness & Cost Efficiency
- A Strong National Defense
- Care for the Environment & Climate Based on Facts
- Better, Stronger, and More Pervasive Mental Health Services
- Balancing the Budget & Extinguishing DebtNeil Patel (R)
Mark Pukita (R)
Neil Patel (R)
The Bible
Biographies of George Washington, Thomas Jefferson, John AdamsMark Pukita (R)
"Atlas Shrugged"
"Secret Empires"
"Profiles in Corruption"
"The Righteous Mind"Neil Patel (R)
Mark Pukita (R)
Honesty.
Strength of character.
Real-life experience, not a career as a politician.
Willingness to fight for what's right.Neil Patel (R)
I am a negotiator. I work problems out by not name calling or placing blame....I find common ground to work towards a goal.
I also have experience of being from a country that has seen Muslim invasions, open border problems and have traveled to over 25 countries observing why the US is so great.
Mark Pukita (R)
Integrity.
Strength of character.
Tenacity.
Real-life experience.
Belief in God.
Generosity.
Common sense.
Compassion.
Personal-responsibility.
Mark Pukita (R)
To stay incorruptible.
To be honest with constituents and other elected officials.
To put America First.
To Make America Great and Keep America Great.,Neil Patel (R)
Mark Pukita (R)
Mark Pukita (R)
Mark Pukita (R)
Neil Patel (R)
Mark Pukita (R)
Mark Pukita (R)
Neil Patel (R)
Security: we need to secure our borders, find solutions to all the illegal immigrants.
We have other nations wanting to overtake us. We need to bring our manufacturing/raw materials back to the US, we need to control our national debt and we need to get out of debt! China could take us over by calling in our debt that they owe....
A new look at treaties we have and reexamine our contributions, what we get and what responsibilities other countries have as well as our own.
Economy and Energy - tied together. Getting away from dependency on foreign oil. Much overused statement but very true and necessary.Mark Pukita (R)
Bringing Americans together.
Keeping the Economy strong.
Dealing with the size and cost of the Federal Government.
Protecting our nation and our freedoms from threats, both foreign and domestic.Neil Patel (R)
Neil Patel (R)
I believe the Senate's responsibilities for Treaties and International Agreements is very important in our world today.
Confirmations of any appointed office should be taken with the utmost seriousness. These acrimonious "hearings" where all kinds of misinformation is stated just to "get" the person who is being questioned is abhorrent to me. New rules and new attitudes needed to move our US Senate and Congress forward.Mark Pukita (R)
Neil Patel (R)
Mark Pukita (R)
I believe it's beneficial for Senators to have real-life, transferable, competency they can bring to the Senate and to bear on America's opportunities and problems.
I also believe that career politicians are the root cause of most of the problems and corruption We The People see in Washington, D.C.Mark Pukita (R)
Neil Patel (R)
Mark Pukita (R)
Common sense.
Relatable experience to the position to which they are being appointed.
Strength of Character.Mark Pukita (R)
Neil Patel (R)
Budgets and Oversight interest me as well.
Mark Pukita (R)
Mark Pukita (R)
Neil Patel (R)
Mark Pukita (R)
Neil Patel (R)
Neil Patel (R)
I have in the past worked successfully with Sen Joe Manchin and others across party isles to accomplish treaties, trade agreements. I worked successfully with Sister Cities organization between my birth home city in India and Columbus, Ohio.
You have to want to find the common grounds - not wanting to fight about everything gets our country no where.Neil Patel (R)
Campaign advertisements
This section includes a selection of up to three campaign advertisements per candidate released in this race, as well as links to candidates' YouTube, Vimeo, and/or Facebook video pages. If you are aware of other links that should be included, please email us.
Matt Dolan
Have a link to Dolan's campaign ads on YouTube? Email us.
Mike Gibbons
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Josh Mendal
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View more ads here:
Neil Patel
Have a link to Patel's campaign ads on YouTube? Email us.
Mark Pukita
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View more ads here:
Jane Timken
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View more ads here:
J.D. Vance
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View more ads here:
Debates and forums
This section includes links to debates, forums, and other similar events where multiple candidates in this race participated. If you are aware of any debates or forums that should be included, please email us.
News and conflicts in this primary
This race was featured in The Heart of the Primaries, a newsletter capturing stories related to conflicts within each major party. Click here to read more about conflict in this and other 2022 Republican U.S. Senate primaries. Click here to subscribe to the newsletter.
- Heart of the Primaries 2022, Republicans-Issue 29 (June 30, 2022)
- Heart of the Primaries 2022, Republicans-Issue 21 (May 5, 2022)
- Heart of the Primaries 2022, Republicans-Issue 20 (April 28, 2022)
- Heart of the Primaries 2022, Republicans-Issue 19 (April 21, 2022)
- Heart of the Primaries 2022, Republicans-Issue 17 (April 7, 2022)
- Heart of the Primaries 2022, Republicans-Issue 11 (February 24, 2022)
- Heart of the Primaries 2022, Republicans-Issue 9 (February 10, 2022)
- Heart of the Primaries 2022, Republicans-Issue 6 (January 20, 2022)
- Heart of the Primaries 2022, Republicans-Issue 5 (January 13, 2022)
- Heart of the Primaries 2022, Republicans-Issue 3 (December 16, 2021)
Noteworthy endorsements
Click the links below to see endorsement lists published on candidate campaign websites, if available. If you are aware of a website that should be included, please email us.
This section lists noteworthy endorsements issued in this election, including those made by high-profile individuals and organizations, cross-party endorsements, and endorsements made by newspaper editorial boards. It also includes a bulleted list of links to official lists of endorsements for any candidates who published that information on their campaign websites. Please note that this list is not exhaustive. If you are aware of endorsements that should be included, please click here.
| Republican Party primary endorsements | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Endorser | |||||
| Government officials | |||||
| U.S. Sen. Josh Hawley (R) source | ✔ | ||||
| U.S. Sen. Mike Lee (R) source | ✔ | ||||
| U.S. Sen. Cynthia Lummis (R) source | ✔ | ||||
| U.S. Sen. Rand Paul (R) source | ✔ | ||||
| U.S. Sen. Rob Portman (R) source | ✔ | ||||
| U.S. Rep. Jim Banks (R) source | ✔ | ||||
| U.S. Rep. Bob Gibbs (R) source | ✔ | ||||
| U.S. Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene (R) source | ✔ | ||||
| U.S. Rep. Elise Stefanik (R) source | ✔ | ||||
| Gov. Kristi L. Noem source | ✔ | ||||
| State Sen. Jay Hottinger (R) source | ✔ | ||||
| State. Sen. Nathan Manning (R) source | ✔ | ||||
| State Rep. Gayle L. Manning (R) source | ✔ | ||||
| Individuals | |||||
| Frmr. President Donald Trump source | ✔ | ||||
| Organizations | |||||
| Club For Growth PAC source | ✔ | ||||
| Maggie's List source | ✔ | ||||
Election competitiveness
Polls
- See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls
Polls are conducted with a variety of methodologies and have margins of error or credibility intervals.[25] The Pew Research Center wrote, "A margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points at the 95% confidence level means that if we fielded the same survey 100 times, we would expect the result to be within 3 percentage points of the true population value 95 of those times."[26] For tips on reading polls from FiveThirtyEight, click here. For tips from Pew, click here.
The links below show polls for this race aggregated by FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics, where available. Click here to read about FiveThirtyEight's criteria for including polls in its aggregation.
| U.S. Senate election in Ohio, 2022: Republican primary election polls | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poll | Date | Undecided/Other | Margin of error | Sample size[27] | Sponsor[28] | |||||||
| Emerson College | April 20-29, 2022 | 21% | 17% | 24% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 26% | —[29] | ± 3.2 | 885 RV | N/A |
| Fox News | April 20-24, 2022 | 11% | 13% | 18% | 1% | 1% | 6% | 23% | 26%[30] | ± 3.0 | 906 LV | N/A |
| Trafalgar Group | April 13-14, 2022 | 12% | 14% | 28% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 23% | 13.1% | ± 3.0 | 1,078 LV | N/A |
| Fox News | March 2-6, 2022 | 7% | 22% | 20% | 2 | 1% | 9% | 11% | 24%[31] | ± 3.0 | 918 LV | N/A |
| The Hill/Emerson College | February 25-26, 2022 | 6% | 22% | 15% | 1% | —% | 6% | 8% | 39% | ± 4.8 | 410 LV | N/A |
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[32]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[33][34][35]
| Race ratings: U.S. Senate election in Ohio, 2022 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
| November 8, 2022 | November 1, 2022 | October 25, 2022 | October 18, 2022 | ||||||
| The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | |||||
| Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | |||||
| Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | |||||
| Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. | |||||||||
Election spending
Campaign finance
This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[36] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[37] Click here to view the reporting schedule for candidates for U.S. Congress in 2022.
| U.S. Congress campaign reporting schedule, 2022 | ||
|---|---|---|
| Report | Close of books | Filing deadline |
| Year-end 2021 | 12/31/2021 | 1/31/2022 |
| April quarterly | 3/31/2022 | 4/15/2022 |
| July quarterly | 6/30/2022 | 7/15/2022 |
| October quarterly | 9/30/2022 | 10/15/2022 |
| Pre-general | 10/19/2022 | 10/27/2022 |
| Post-general | 11/28/2022 | 12/08/2022 |
| Year-end 2022 | 12/31/2022 | 1/31/2023 |
| Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Dolan | Republican Party | $11,296,099 | $11,249,509 | $46,590 | As of December 31, 2022 |
| Mike Gibbons | Republican Party | $19,308,077 | $19,283,692 | $24,507 | As of December 31, 2022 |
| Josh Mandel | Republican Party | $3,268,034 | $7,631,028 | $-1,518 | As of December 31, 2022 |
| Neil Patel | Republican Party | $85,949 | $85,731 | $173 | As of December 31, 2022 |
| Mark Pukita | Republican Party | $505,113 | $923,335 | $-418,222 | As of December 31, 2022 |
| Jane Timken | Republican Party | $8,707,816 | $8,699,478 | $8,247 | As of December 31, 2022 |
| J.D. Vance | Republican Party | $15,994,977 | $15,553,668 | $441,309 | As of December 31, 2022 |
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Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2022. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
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Satellite spending
- See also: Satellite spending
Satellite spending describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[38][39][40]
If available, links to satellite spending reports by the Federal Election Commission and OpenSecrets.org are linked below. Any satellite spending reported in other resources is displayed in a table. This table may not represent the actual total amount spent by satellite groups in the election. Satellite spending for which specific amounts, dates, or purposes are not reported are marked "N/A." To help us complete this information, or to notify us of additional satellite spending, email us.
| By candidate | By election |
|---|---|
Election context
Election history
2016
In one of Ballotpedia’s races to watch, incumbent Sen. Rob Portman (R) won re-election, defeating former Ohio Governor Ted Strickland (D), Joseph DeMare (G), Thomas William Connors (I), and Scott Rupert (I) in the general election on November 8, 2016.
In his victory speech, Portman said, “Americans don’t want to just rewind the tape and live through four more years of the same tired and self-defeating routine. They expect better...we are capable of better. There will never be a better moment than now to stop the dysfunction in Washington and find that common ground.”[41]
In its analysis of the election results, Cleveland.com said Portman "ran one of the best campaigns in the country this year, both in strategy and execution." The analysis said Portman was especially effective in his interactions with the Donald Trump presidential campaign. The article also said Strickland had faced challenges raising funds, saying, "he wasn't used to having to raise so much cash."[42]
The Wall Street Journal predicted that Portman’s get out the vote effort in Ohio would provide “reverse political coattails, with big stakes for Mr. Trump. Ohio has backed the presidential winners in the past 13 elections, and no Republican in modern history has won the White House without capturing Ohio.” Portman did indeed help Trump secure victory in Ohio. Portman won 58.3 percent of the vote, while Trump won 52.1 percent, a 6.2 percent difference.[43]
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | 58% | 3,118,567 | ||
| Democratic | Ted Strickland | 37.2% | 1,996,908 | |
| Independent | Thomas William Connors | 1.7% | 93,041 | |
| Green | Joseph DeMare | 1.6% | 88,246 | |
| Independent | Scott Rupert | 1.4% | 77,291 | |
| N/A | Write-in | 0% | 111 | |
| Total Votes | 5,374,164 | |||
| Source: Ohio Secretary of State | ||||
| Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
82.2% | 1,336,686 | ||
| Don Elijah Eckhart | 17.8% | 290,268 | ||
| Total Votes | 1,626,954 | |||
| Source: Ohio Secretary of State |
||||
| Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
65% | 742,676 | ||
| P.G. Sittenfeld | 22.3% | 254,232 | ||
| Kelli Prather | 12.7% | 144,945 | ||
| Total Votes | 1,141,853 | |||
| Source: Ohio Secretary of State |
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| Earlier results (click [show] to read) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Ballot access requirements
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. Senate candidates in Ohio in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Ohio, click here.
| Filing requirements for U.S. Senate candidates, 2022 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
| Ohio | U.S. Senate | Major parties | 1,000 | $150.00 | 2/2/2022 | Source |
| Ohio | U.S. Senate | Minor parties | 500 | $150.00 | 2/2/2022 | Source |
| Ohio | U.S. Senate | Unaffiliated | 5,000 | $150.00 | 5/2/2022 | Source |
Election analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about demographics, past elections, and partisan control of the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the state.
- Statewide elections - Information about recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections in the state.
- State partisanship - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
- Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
Presidential elections
Cook PVI by congressional district
| Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index for Ohio, 2022 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| District | Incumbent | Party | PVI |
| Ohio's 1st | Steve Chabot | D+2 | |
| Ohio's 2nd | Brad Wenstrup | R+25 | |
| Ohio's 3rd | Joyce Beatty | D+20 | |
| Ohio's 4th | Jim Jordan | R+20 | |
| Ohio's 5th | Bob Latta | R+15 | |
| Ohio's 6th | Bill Johnson | R+16 | |
| Ohio's 7th | Open | R+7 | |
| Ohio's 8th | Warren Davidson | R+14 | |
| Ohio's 9th | Marcy Kaptur | R+3 | |
| Ohio's 10th | Mike Turner | R+4 | |
| Ohio's 11th | Shontel Brown | D+28 | |
| Ohio's 12th | Troy Balderson | R+18 | |
| Ohio's 13th | Open | R+1 | |
| Ohio's 14th | David Joyce | R+9 | |
| Ohio's 15th | Mike Carey | R+6 | |
2020 presidential results by 2022 congressional district lines
| 2020 presidential results in congressional districts based on 2022 district lines, Ohio[47] | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| District | Joe Biden |
Donald Trump | ||
| Ohio's 1st | 53.5% | 45.0% | ||
| Ohio's 2nd | 26.7% | 72.0% | ||
| Ohio's 3rd | 71.1% | 27.4% | ||
| Ohio's 4th | 31.4% | 67.1% | ||
| Ohio's 5th | 35.8% | 62.6% | ||
| Ohio's 6th | 35.0% | 63.7% | ||
| Ohio's 7th | 44.8% | 54.0% | ||
| Ohio's 8th | 38.3% | 60.3% | ||
| Ohio's 9th | 47.7% | 50.6% | ||
| Ohio's 10th | 47.4% | 50.9% | ||
| Ohio's 11th | 78.3% | 20.7% | ||
| Ohio's 12th | 33.8% | 64.7% | ||
| Ohio's 13th | 50.7% | 47.9% | ||
| Ohio's 14th | 41.9% | 56.8% | ||
| Ohio's 15th | 45.8% | 52.6% | ||
2012-2020
How a state's counties vote in a presidential election and the size of those counties can provide additional insights into election outcomes at other levels of government including statewide and congressional races. Below, four categories are used to describe each county's voting pattern over the 2012, 2016, and 2020 presidential elections: Solid, Trending, Battleground, and New. Click [show] on the table below for examples:
| County-level voting pattern categories | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | |||||||
| Status | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 | ||||
| Solid Democratic | D | D | D | ||||
| Trending Democratic | R | D | D | ||||
| Battleground Democratic | D | R | D | ||||
| New Democratic | R | R | D | ||||
| Republican | |||||||
| Status | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 | ||||
| Solid Republican | R | R | R | ||||
| Trending Republican | D | R | R | ||||
| Battleground Republican | R | D | R | ||||
| New Republican | D | D | R | ||||
Following the 2020 presidential election, 43.4% of Ohioans lived in one of the state's 71 Solid Republican counties, which voted for the Republican presidential candidate in every election from 2012 to 2020, and 37.7% lived in one of six Solid Democratic counties. Overall, Ohio was Trending Republican, having voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2012, Donald Trump (R) in 2016, and Donald Trump (R) in 2020. Use the table below to view the total number of each type of county in Ohio following the 2020 election as well as the overall percentage of the state population located in each county type.
| Ohio county-level statistics, 2020 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solid Republican | 71 | 43.4% | |||||
| Solid Democratic | 6 | 37.7% | |||||
| Trending Republican | 8 | 9.7% | |||||
| New Republican | 2 | 4.6% | |||||
| Battleground Democratic | 1 | 4.6% | |||||
| Total voted Democratic | 7 | 42.3% | |||||
| Total voted Republican | 81 | 57.7% | |||||
Historical voting trends
Ohio presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 12 Democratic wins
- 19 Republican wins
| Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winning Party | R | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | D | D | D | R | D | R | R | R | D | R | R | D | R | R | R | D | D | R | R | D | D | R | R |
Statewide elections
This section details the results of the five most recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections held in the state.
U.S. Senate elections
- See also: List of United States Senators from Ohio
The table below details the vote in the five most recent U.S. Senate races in Ohio.
| U.S. Senate election results in Ohio | ||
|---|---|---|
| Race | Winner | Runner up |
| 2018 | 53.5% |
46.6% |
| 2016 | 58.0% |
37.1% |
| 2012 | 50.7% |
44.7% |
| 2010 | 57.3% |
39.0% |
| 2006 | 56.2% |
43.8% |
| Average | 55.1 | 42.2 |
Gubernatorial elections
- See also: Governor of Ohio
The table below details the vote in the five most recent gubernatorial elections in Ohio.
| Gubernatorial election results in Ohio | ||
|---|---|---|
| Race | Winner | Runner up |
| 2018 | 50.4% |
46.7% |
| 2014 | 63.6% |
33.0% |
| 2010 | 49.0% |
47.0% |
| 2006 | 60.5% |
36.7% |
| 2002 | 57.8% |
38,3% |
| Average | 56.3 | 40.9 |
State partisanship
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Ohio's congressional delegation as of November 2022.
| Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Ohio, November 2022 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
| Democratic | 1 | 4 | 5 |
| Republican | 1 | 12 | 13 |
| Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 2 | 16 | 18 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Ohio's top four state executive offices as of November 2022.
| State executive officials in Ohio, November 2022 | |
|---|---|
| Office | Officeholder |
| Governor | |
| Lieutenant Governor | |
| Secretary of State | |
| Attorney General | |
State legislature
The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Ohio General Assembly as of November 2022.
Ohio State Senate
| Party | As of November 2022 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 8 | |
| Republican Party | 25 | |
| Vacancies | 0 | |
| Total | 33 | |
Ohio House of Representatives
| Party | As of November 2022 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 35 | |
| Republican Party | 64 | |
| Vacancies | 0 | |
| Total | 99 | |
Trifecta control
As of November 2022, Ohio was a Republican trifecta, with majorities in both chambers of the state legislature and control of the governorship. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.
Ohio Party Control: 1992-2022
No Democratic trifectas • Twenty-four years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
| Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
| Senate | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
| House | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
Demographics
The table below details demographic data in Ohio and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.
| Demographic Data for Ohio | ||
|---|---|---|
| Ohio | United States | |
| Population | 11,536,504 | 308,745,538 |
| Land area (sq mi) | 40,858 | 3,531,905 |
| Race and ethnicity** | ||
| White | 81.3% | 72.5% |
| Black/African American | 12.4% | 12.7% |
| Asian | 2.2% | 5.5% |
| Native American | 0.2% | 0.8% |
| Pacific Islander | 0% | 0.2% |
| Other (single race) | 1% | 4.9% |
| Multiple | 2.9% | 3.3% |
| Hispanic/Latino | 3.8% | 18% |
| Education | ||
| High school graduation rate | 90.4% | 88% |
| College graduation rate | 28.3% | 32.1% |
| Income | ||
| Median household income | $56,602 | $62,843 |
| Persons below poverty level | 14% | 13.4% |
| Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2010). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2014-2019). | ||
| **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. | ||
2022 battleground elections
- See also: Battlegrounds
This election was a battleground race. Other 2022 battleground elections included:
- Kansas Attorney General election, 2022 (August 2 Republican primary)
- Oregon's 5th Congressional District election, 2022
- United States House of Representatives election in Alaska, 2022
- United States Senate election in Nevada, 2022
- United States Senate election in North Carolina, 2022 (May 17 Republican primary)
See also
- United States Senate election in Ohio, 2022 (May 3 Democratic primary)
- United States Senate election in Ohio, 2022
- United States Senate Democratic Party primaries, 2022
- United States Senate Republican Party primaries, 2022
- United States Senate elections, 2022
- U.S. Senate battlegrounds, 2022
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Rob Portman: United States Senator for Ohio, "Portman Statement on Political Future," January 25, 2021
- ↑ Politico, "'Precipitous decline': J.D. Vance pollster issues warning on Ohio Senate race," February 7, 2022
- ↑ Fox News, "Dolan 'not looking backwards' in Ohio GOP Senate primary dominated by Trump, amid bump in polls down stretch," April 30, 2022
- ↑ Dolan for Ohio, "Statewide Leaders," accessed April 29, 2022
- ↑ 5.0 5.1 Spectrum News 1, "Mike Gibbons’ U.S. Senate campaign: Life story and deep pockets," January 19, 2022
- ↑ Cincinatti Enquirer, "This businessman entered politics to help Trump. Now Trump is backing his opponent.," May 2, 2018
- ↑ Fox 8, "Race for Ohio’s Senate seat: Mike Gibbons," June 14, 2021
- ↑ Spectrum News 1, "In-depth: Ohio Senate candidate Josh Mandel talks platform, issues," November 2, 2022
- ↑ NBC News, "Josh Mandel foreshadowed Trump’s rise. His Ohio Senate bid is a test of what’s next.," February 4, 2022
- ↑ Yahoo! Sports, "U.S. Senate candidate Jane Timken says 'America First' message resonating with Ohio voters," February 20, 2022
- ↑ Spectrum News 1, "Jane Timken’s quest to go from party chair to U.S. senator," January 18, 2-22
- ↑ Cleveland.com, "What Jane Timken’s boost from Rob Portman means for the Ohio Senate race: analysis," February 16, 2022
- ↑ Spectrum News 1, "In-depth: Ohio Senate candidate J.D. Vance talks platform, issues," January 21, 2022
- ↑ Politico, "J.D. Vance said he regretted since-deleted tweets criticizing Trump," July 5, 2021
- ↑ Axios, "Trump endorses J.D. Vance in Ohio Senate race," April 15, 2022
- ↑ The Columbus Dispatch, "Ohio native son and American hero John H. Glenn Jr. born 100 years ago," July 18, 2021
- ↑ Emerson College Polling, "Ohio 2022 Poll: Trump Endorsement Boosts JD Vance in Four-way Ohio Senate Race; Governor DeWine Holds Lead for Republican Nomination," accessed April 30, 2022
- ↑ Fox News Poll, "OHIO 2022 GOP PRIMARIES," accessed April 26, 2022
- ↑ Axios, "Trump endorses JD Vance in Ohio Senate race," April 15, 2022
- ↑ WLWT, "GOP candidates face off in Ohio U.S. Senate Primary debate," April 5, 2022
- ↑ WKYC, "No fireworks this time as Ohio's GOP Senate candidates hold debate," March 21, 2022
- ↑ FreedomWorks, "Ohio U.S. Senate Republican Candidate Forum," March 19, 2022
- ↑ ABC 6, "Stark contrast between Senate candidates Josh Mandel, Morgan Harper in 1-on-1 debate," January 27, 2022
- ↑ In battleground primaries, Ballotpedia based its selection of noteworthy candidates on polling, fundraising, and noteworthy endorsements. In battleground general elections, all major party candidates and any other candidates with the potential to impact the outcome of the race were included.
- ↑ For more information on the difference between margins of error and credibility intervals, see explanations from the American Association for Public Opinion Research and Ipsos.
- ↑ Pew Research Center, "5 key things to know about the margin of error in election polls," September 8, 2016
- ↑ RV=Registered Voters
LV=Likely Voters - ↑ The sponsor is the person or group that funded all or part of the poll.
- ↑ Undecided/other was not reported in this poll.
- ↑ Wouldn't vote/don't know
- ↑ Undecided
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed December 12, 2021
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed December 12, 2021
- ↑ National Review.com, "Why the Media Hate Super PACs," December 12, 2021
- ↑ The Columbus Dispatch, "Portman win in Ohio helps GOP keep control of U.S. Senate," accessed November 15, 2016
- ↑ Cleveland.com, "Four reasons Rob Portman beat Ted Strickland in Ohio's U.S. Senate race," November 8, 2016
- ↑ The Wall Street Journal, "Rob Portman May Provide Reverse Coattails for Donald Trump in Ohio," accessed October 17, 2016
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2004," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 3, 1998," accessed March 28, 2013
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012," accessed September 9, 2022
