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Presidential election in Ohio, 2016

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Ohio
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General election in Ohio
  Date: November 8, 2016
2016 winner: Donald Trump (R)
Electoral votes: 18
2012 winner: Barack Obama (D)
Democratic Primary
  Date: March 15, 2016
Winner: Hillary Clinton
Republican Primary
  Date: March 15, 2016
Winner: John Kasich
Down ballot races in Ohio
  U.S. Senate
U.S. House
Ohio State Senate
Ohio House of Representatives
Ohio judicial elections
Ohio local judicial elections
State ballot measures
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See also: Presidential battleground states, 2016 and Buckeye Battleground

Ohio held an election for the president of the United States on November 8, 2016. The Democratic and Republican parties held primary elections for president on March 15, 2016. In the 2016 general election, Ohio was a key battleground state.

HIGHLIGHTS
  • Donald Trump (R) won Ohio in the general election.
  • In 2016, Ohio had 18 electoral votes, which was 3.3 percent of the 538 electoral votes up for grabs and 6.6 percent of the 270 electoral votes needed to win the general election.
  • Out of 30 elections between 1900 and 2016, Ohio casted votes for the winning presidential candidate 93.33 percent of the time (28 out of 30 elections), more than any other state in the country. In that same time frame, Ohio supported Republican candidates for president more often than Democratic candidates, 60 to 40 percent. Between 2000 and 2016, Ohio's voting accuracy was 100 percent.
  • Presidential primary elections in Ohio took place on March 15, 2016. Hillary Clinton won the Democratic primary with 56.1 percent of the vote. Ohio Governor John Kasich won the Republican primary with 47 percent.
  • General election candidates

    See also: Ballot access for presidential candidates

    The candidate list below is based on an official list on the Ohio secretary of state website. The candidate names below appear in the order in which they were listed on the official list—not necessarily the order in which they appeared on the ballot in November. Write-in candidates were not included in the list below.

    Presidential candidates on the ballot in Ohio

    Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (Democratic)
    Jill Stein/Ajamu Baraka (Green)
    Donald Trump/Mike Pence (Republican)
    Richard Duncan/Ricky Johnson (Listed as "Nonparty Candidates")
    Gary Johnson/Bill Weld (Libertarian - listed as "No Designation")

    Results

    U.S. presidential election, Ohio, 2016
    Party Candidate Vote % Votes Electoral votes
         Democratic Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine 43.6% 2,394,164 0
         Republican Green check mark transparent.pngDonald Trump/Mike Pence 51.7% 2,841,005 18
         Libertarian Gary Johnson/Bill Weld 3.2% 174,498 0
         Green Jill Stein/Ajamu Baraka 0.8% 46,271 0
         Other Richard Duncan/Ricky Johnson 0.4% 24,235 0
         - Other/Write-in 0.3% 16,314 0
    Total Votes 5,496,487 18
    Election results via: Federal Election Commission

    Pivot Counties

    See also: Pivot Counties: The counties that voted Obama-Obama-Trump from 2008-2016

    Ballotpedia identified 206 counties that voted for Donald Trump (R) in 2016 after voting for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012, in 34 states.[1] Collectively, Trump won these Pivot Counties by more than 580,000 votes, and had an average margin of victory of 11.45 percent. The political shift in these counties could have a broad impact on elections at every level of government for the next four years.

    Historical election trends

    See also: Presidential election accuracy

    Below is an analysis of Ohio's voting record in presidential elections. The state's accuracy is based on the number of times a state has voted for a winning presidential candidate. The majority of statistical data is from the U.S. National Archives and Records Administration and was compiled, here, by Ballotpedia, unless otherwise noted.

    Presidential election voting record in Ohio, 1900-2016

    Between 1900 and 2016:

    • Ohio participated in 30 presidential elections.
    • Ohio voted for the winning presidential candidate 93.33 percent of the time. The average accuracy of voting for winning presidential candidates for all 50 states in this time frame was 72.31 percent.[2]
    • Ohio voted Democratic 40 percent of the time and Republican 60 percent of the time.

    Most accurate states

    See also: Presidential election accuracy data

    Below is the list of the most accurate states when it comes to voting for the winning presidential candidate.

    Most accurate states, 1900-2016
    State Percentage of accuracy
    Ohio 93.33% (28 out of 30 elections)
    New Mexico 88.89% (24 out of 27 elections)
    Nevada 86.67% (26 out of 30 elections)
    Missouri 86.67% (26 out of 30 elections)
    Illinois 83.33% (25 out of 30 elections)

    Presidential election voting record in Ohio, 2000-2016

    *An asterisk indicates that that candidate also won the national electoral vote in that election.

    Election results

    2012

    Other candidates that appeared on the ballot received less than 0.1% of the vote. Those candidates included: Steward Alexander, Jill Ann Reed, and Randall Terry.[4]

    2008

    Other candidates that appeared on the ballot received less than 0.1% of the vote. Those candidates included: Richard Duncan, Brian Moore, Alan Keyes, Ron Paul, and Jonathan Allen.[5]

    Polling

    Ohio polls (2016)

    Ballotpedia's battleground state polling averages were based on polls that came out over a 20- to 30-day period. For example, an average might have covered all polls that were released for a state between September 1, 2016, and September 30, 2016. They were not weighted. Polling averages were checked and updated daily.

    Ballotpedia Battleground Poll

    See also: Ballotpedia's battleground poll, 2016

    Ballotpedia partnered with Evolving Strategies and surveyed voters across seven battleground states (June 10 – 22) regarding their vote preference. We tested six election scenarios. In one set, we matched Hillary Clinton (D) in a series of two-way contests with Donald Trump (R), Ohio Governor John Kasich (R), and House Speaker Paul Ryan (R). In the second set, we matched these same candidates in a series of three-way contests that also included former governor Gary Johnson. In all seven states, Clinton polled higher than Trump. Comparatively, John Kasich polled ahead of Clinton in five of the seven states, and Paul Ryan polled ahead of Clinton in three states. See the table below for the battleground poll results from Ohio.

    The spread between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton as compared to John Kasich and Clinton was highest in Ohio. Trump polled at 37 percent compared to Clinton’s 46 percent. The figures are considerably reversed in a Kasich versus Clinton scenario. Kasich polled 49 percent to Clinton’s 35 percent.

    Ballotpedia's Battleground Polling (Ohio): Head-to-head
    Poll Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Neither or refused Margin of error Sample size
    Clinton vs. Trump (June 10-22, 2016) 46% 37% 18% +/- 3.9 617
    Hillary Clinton John Kasich Neither or refused Margin of error Sample size
    Clinton vs. Kasich (June 10-22, 2016) 35% 49% 15% +/- 3.9 617
    Hillary Clinton Paul Ryan Neither or refused Margin of error Sample size
    Clinton vs. Ryan (June 10-22, 2016) 39% 44% 16% +/- 3.9 617
    Ballotpedia's Battleground Polling (Ohio): Three-way
    Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Gary Johnson Neither or refused Margin of error Sample size
    Clinton vs. Trump vs. Johnson (June 10-22, 2016) 41% 34% 15% 10% +/- 3.9 617
    Hillary Clinton John Kasich Gary Johnson Neither or refused Margin of error Sample size
    Clinton vs. Kasich vs. Johnson (June 10-22, 2016) 35% 46% 9% 10% +/- 3.9 617
    Hillary Clinton Paul Ryan Gary Johnson Neither or refused Margin of error Sample size
    Clinton vs. Ryan vs. Johnson (June 10-22, 2016) 38% 40% 12% 10% +/- 3.9 617

    Electoral votes

    See also: Electoral College

    The president of the United States is not elected by popular vote but rather by electors in the Electoral College. In fact, when Americans vote for president, they are actually voting for a slate of electors selected by members of Democratic and Republican state parties or nominated in some other fashion. Under this system, which is laid out in Article 2, Section 1, of the Constitution, each state is allocated one electoral vote for every member of their congressional delegation, meaning one for each member of the U.S. House and one for each of their two Senators.

    Ohio electors

    In 2016, Ohio had 18 electoral votes. Ohio's share of electoral votes represented 3.3 percent of the 538 electoral votes up for grabs in the general election and 6.6 percent of the 270 votes needed to be elected president. Democratic and Republicans electors in Ohio were selected at state party conventions.

    "Faithless electors"

    The U.S. Constitution does not dictate how presidential electors are to cast their votes, but, in general, electors are expected to vote for the winner of the popular vote in their state or the candidates of the party that nominated them to serve as electors. Electors who choose not to vote for the winner of the popular vote or the candidates of the party that nominated them are known as "faithless electors." Faithless electors are rare. Between 1900 and 2012, there were only eight known instances of faithless electors.

    Several states have passed laws against faithless electors and require electors to vote for the winner of the popular vote in their state, for the candidate of the party that nominated them to serve as electors, or in accordance with any pledge they may have been required to make at the time of their nomination. In states with these types of laws, faithless electors can be fined or replaced, or their votes can be nullified.[6][7]

    Ohio was one of 31 states in 2016—including the District of Columbia—with a law seeking to bind the votes of presidential electors.

    State campaign staff

    Prior to the November 8, 2016, election, each campaign put in place paid staff, volunteers, and political operatives in each state in efforts to gain votes and influence voter turnout on election day. The following details some of the key staff for each campaign in Ohio.

    Hillary Clinton

    For Hillary Clinton's campaign, state operations nationwide were overseen by Marlon Marshall, the campaign's director of state campaigns and political engagement. The key staff in Ohio consisted of:

    Hillary for America 2016 Logo.png

    Chris Wyant, State director: Wyant became the campaign's state director in May 2016, leaving his position as executive director of the Progressive Coalition for American Jobs. He previously worked on the state staff in Ohio for both of Barack Obama's (D) presidential campaigns, including time as the state director in 2012.
    Alan Bannister, Political director: Bannister' previous experience includes time as an advisor to former Ohio Gov. Ted Strickland (D) and as an advisor to two mayors of Toledo, Ohio.[8]

    Donald Trump

    For Donald Trump's campaign, state operations nationwide were overseen by Michael Biundo, the campaign's senior political advisor. The key staff in Ohio consisted of:

    Trump-Pence 2016.svg

    Bob Paduchik, State director: Paduchik joined the campaign in late June 2016. He previously worked as the Ohio state director for George W. Bush (R) in 2000 and 2004 and as campaign manager for Rob Portman (R) in 2010.
    Rob Scott, Deputy state director: Scott, a former reporter for the Dayton Daily News was Trump's state campaign chair. He is vice-mayor of Kettering, Ohio, and formerly served as the chair of the Montgomery County (Ohio) Republican Party.[9]


    Down ballot races

    See also: Ohio elections, 2016

    Below is a list of down ballot races in Ohio covered by Ballotpedia in 2016.

    Primary election

    See also: March 15 presidential primary elections and caucuses, 2016

    Quick facts

    Democrats: Republicans
    • 2016 Republican winner: John Kasich
    • Poll leader: Donald Trump
    • 2012 Republican winner: Mitt Romney
    • Type: Open Primary
    • Delegate allocation: Winner take all
    • Pledged delegates at stake: 66

    Democrats

    Hillary Clinton won the Ohio Democratic primary election with 57 percent of the vote. Bernie Sanders received 43 percent of the vote. According to exit polls, Clinton outperformed Sanders with women, older voters, voters of all education levels, voters with annual incomes above and below $50,000 and voters who viewed themselves as "somewhat liberal," "moderate," and "conservative." Clinton won 70 percent of black voters. She lost voters who identified as "very liberal" to Sanders 48 to 52 percent.[10] In the Democratic primary, 143 pledged delegates were up for grabs.

    Republicans

    John Kasich won the Ohio Republican primary election with 47 percent. Donald Trump came in second with 36 percent. Polling in mid-March showed Kasich, who was elected as governor of Ohio in 2011, leading Trump by five points, though Trump led by 6 points in early March. Kasich carried several major counties in Ohio, including Lucas, Franklin, Hamilton, and Cuyahoga. Kasich won most major voting demographics in the state. He outperformed Trump with men, women, all age groups, college graduates, voters with annual incomes above and below $100,000 and voters who viewed themselves as "somewhat conservative" and "moderate." Trump won voters without college degrees and voters who identified as "very conservative."[10] While the Democratic pledged delegates in Ohio were divided up proportionally, all 99 of the Republican delegates went to the winning candidate. In the Republican primary, 66 pledged delegates were up for grabs.

    March 15 elections

    See also: March 15 presidential primary elections and caucuses, 2016

    Ohio was one of five states that held presidential primary elections on March 15, 2016.

    2016 primary results

    Democrats

    Ohio Democratic Primary, 2016
    Candidate Vote % Votes Delegates
    Green check mark transparent.pngHillary Clinton 56.1% 696,681 81
    Bernie Sanders 43.1% 535,395 62
    Roque De La Fuente 0.8% 9,402 0
    Totals 1,241,478 143
    Source: The New York Times and Ohio Secretary of State

    Republicans

    Ohio Republican Primary, 2016
    Candidate Vote % Votes Delegates
    Jeb Bush 0.3% 5,398 0
    Ben Carson 0.7% 14,351 0
    Chris Christie 0.1% 2,430 0
    Ted Cruz 13.3% 264,640 0
    Carly Fiorina 0.1% 2,112 0
    Mike Huckabee 0.2% 4,941 0
    Green check mark transparent.pngJohn Kasich 47% 933,886 66
    Marco Rubio 2.3% 46,478 0
    Rick Santorum 0.1% 1,320 0
    Donald Trump 35.9% 713,404 0
    Totals 1,988,960 66
    Source: The New York Times and Ohio Secretary of State

    Primary candidates

    Democrats[11][12]

    Hillary Clinton


    Roque De La Fuente


    Bernie Sanders

    Republicans[11]

    Jeb Bush
    Ben Carson
    Chris Christie
    Ted Cruz


    Carly Fiorina
    Mike Huckabee
    John Kasich
    Rand Paul


    Marco Rubio
    Rick Santorum
    Donald Trump

    Polls

    Democratic primary

    Democratic Party Democratic Party presidential primary polling (Ohio)
    Poll Hillary Clinton Bernie SandersUnsure or OtherMargin of ErrorSample Size
    American Research Group
    March 12-13, 2016
    52%45%3%+/-5400
    Monmouth University
    March 11-13, 2016
    54%40%6%+/-5.6302
    Quinnipiac University
    March 8-13, 2016
    51%46%3%+/-4.2543
    Public Policy Polling
    March 11-13, 2016
    46%41%13%+/-4.4502
    CBS News/YouGov
    March 9-11, 2016
    52%43%5%+/-5.3777
    NBC/WSJ/Marist
    March 4-10, 2016
    58%38%4%+/-4.6453
    CNN/ORC
    March 2-6, 2016
    63%33%4%+/-5.5294
    Quinnipiac
    March 2-7, 2016
    52%43%5%+/-4.3521
    Public Policy Polling
    March 4-6, 2016
    56%35%9%+/-4.4508
    Quinnipiac University
    February 16-20, 2016
    55%40%5%+/-4.3518
    Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.
    Democratic Party Democratic Party presidential favorability polling (Ohio)
    Poll Hillary Clinton Bernie SandersJoe BidenJim WebbLincoln ChafeeMartin O'MalleyUnsure or OtherMargin of ErrorSample Size
    Quinnipiac University
    Sep. 25–Oct. 5, 2015
    40%19%21%0%0%0%20%+/-4.9396
    Quinnipiac University
    August 7-18, 2015
    47%17%14%1%0%0%21%+/-5.2353
    Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

    Republican primary

    Republican Party Republican Party presidential primary polling (Ohio)
    Poll John Kasich Donald TrumpTed CruzMarco RubioBen CarsonUnsure or OtherMargin of ErrorSample Size
    American Research Group
    March 12-13, 2016
    40%35%15%5%0%5%+/-5400
    Monmouth University
    March 11-13, 2016
    40%35%15%5%0%5%+/-4.4503
    Quinnipiac University
    March 8-13, 2016
    38%38%16%3%0%5%+/-3.7721
    CBS News/YouGov
    March 9-11, 2016
    33%33%27%5%0%2%+/-4.4805
    NBC/WSJ/Marist
    March 4-10, 2016
    39%33%19%6%0%3%+/-4.1564
    Fox News
    March 5-8, 2016
    34%29%19%7%0%11%+/-3.5806
    Quinnipiac University
    March 2-7, 2016
    32%38%16%9%0%5%+/-3.7685
    CNN/ORC
    March 2-6, 2016
    35%41%15%7%1%1%+/-5359
    Public Policy Polling
    March 4-6, 2016
    35%38%15%5%0%5%+/-3.9638
    Quinnipiac University
    February 16-20, 2016
    26%31%21%13%5%5%+/-3.6759
    Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.
    Republican Party Republican Party presidential favorability polling (Ohio)
    Poll John Kasich Donald TrumpScott WalkerBen CarsonJeb BushMarco RubioTed CruzMike HuckabeeCarly FiorinaRand PaulUnsure or OtherMargin of ErrorSample Size
    Quinnipiac University
    Sep. 25–Oct. 5, 2015
    13%23%0%18%4%7%11%2%10%3%9%+/-4.7433
    Quinnipiac University
    August 7-18, 2015
    27%21%2%6%5%7%7%3%5%2%15%+/-5.1371
    Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

    Delegates

    Delegate selection

    See also: 2016 presidential nominations: calendar and delegate rules

    Democratic Party

    Democratic Party Logo.png

    Ohio had 160 delegates at the 2016 Democratic National Convention. Of this total, 143 were pledged delegates. National party rules stipulated how Democratic delegates in all states were allocated. Pledged delegates were allocated to a candidate in proportion to the votes he or she received in a state's primary or caucus. A candidate was eligible to receive a share of the state's pledged delegates if he or she won at least 15 percent of the votes cast in the primary or caucus. There were three types of pledged Democratic delegates: congressional district delegates, at-large delegates, and party leaders and elected officials (PLEOs). Congressional district delegates were allocated proportionally based on the primary or caucus results in a given district. At-large and PLEO delegates were allocated proportionally based on statewide primary results.[13][14]

    Seventeen party leaders and elected officials served as unpledged delegates. These delegates were not required to adhere to the results of a state's primary or caucus.[13][15]

    Ohio superdelegates

    See also: Superdelegates from Ohio, 2016 and Superdelegates and the 2016 Democratic National Convention

    Republican Party

    Logo-GOP.png

    Ohio had 66 delegates at the 2016 Republican National Convention. Of this total, 48 were district-level delegates (three for each of the state's 16 congressional districts). Ohio's district delegates were allocated on a winner-take-all basis; the candidate who won a plurality of the statewide primary vote received all of the state's district delegates.[16][17]

    Of the remaining 18 delegates, 15 served at large. Ohio's at-large delegates were allocated on a winner-take-all basis; the candidate who won a plurality of the statewide primary vote received all of the state's at-large delegates. In addition, three national party leaders (identified on the chart below as RNC delegates) served as bound delegates to the Republican National Convention. The RNC delegates were required to pledge their support to the winner of the state's primary.[16][17]

    Republican delegates

    See also: Republican delegates from Ohio, 2016 and RNC delegate guidelines from Ohio, 2016

    Presidential voting history

    Ohio presidential election results (1900-2024)

    • 12 Democratic wins
    • 19 Republican wins
    Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020 2024
    Winning Party R R R D D R R R D D D R D R R R D R R D R R R D D R R D D R R R

    State profile

    Demographic data for Ohio
     OhioU.S.
    Total population:11,605,090316,515,021
    Land area (sq mi):40,8613,531,905
    Race and ethnicity**
    White:82.4%73.6%
    Black/African American:12.2%12.6%
    Asian:1.9%5.1%
    Native American:0.2%0.8%
    Pacific Islander:0%0.2%
    Two or more:2.5%3%
    Hispanic/Latino:3.4%17.1%
    Education
    High school graduation rate:89.1%86.7%
    College graduation rate:26.1%29.8%
    Income
    Median household income:$49,429$53,889
    Persons below poverty level:19.6%11.3%
    Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015)
    Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Ohio.
    **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.

    Presidential voting pattern

    See also: Presidential voting trends in Ohio

    Ohio voted Republican in five out of the seven presidential elections between 2000 and 2024.

    Pivot Counties (2016)

    Ballotpedia identified 206 counties that voted for Donald Trump (R) in 2016 after voting for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012. Collectively, Trump won these Pivot Counties by more than 580,000 votes. Of these 206 counties, nine are located in Ohio, accounting for 4.37 percent of the total pivot counties.[18]

    Pivot Counties (2020)

    In 2020, Ballotpedia re-examined the 206 Pivot Counties to view their voting patterns following that year's presidential election. Ballotpedia defined those won by Trump won as Retained Pivot Counties and those won by Joe Biden (D) as Boomerang Pivot Counties. Nationwide, there were 181 Retained Pivot Counties and 25 Boomerang Pivot Counties. Ohio had eight Retained Pivot Counties and one Boomerang Pivot County, accounting for 4.42 and 4.00 percent of all Retained and Boomerang Pivot Counties, respectively.

    More Ohio coverage on Ballotpedia

    Presidential election by state

    For more information on the presidential contests in your state, please click on your state below:

    http://ballotpedia.org/Presidential_election_in_STATE,_2016


    See also

    Footnotes

    1. The raw data for this study was provided by Dave Leip of Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections.
    2. This average includes states like Arizona, New Mexico, and Oklahoma, which did not participate in all 30 presidential elections between 1900 and 2016. It does not include Washington, D.C., which cast votes for president for the first time in 1964, or Alaska and Hawaii, which cast votes for president for the first time in 1960.
    3. This number refers to the number of times that the state voted for the winning presidential candidate between 2000 and 2016.
    4. U.S. Election Atlas, "2012 Presidential Election Results," accessed December 29, 2014
    5. U.S. Election Atlas, "2008 Presidential Election Results," accessed December 29, 2014
    6. Archives.gov, "About the Electors," accessed July 28, 2016
    7. Congressional Research Service, "The Electoral College: How it works in contemporary presidential elections," April 13, 2016
    8. Cincinnati Enquirer, "Hillary Clinton coming to Ohio, but where's Donald Trump? The state of the two campaigns," June 11, 2016
    9. Cleveland.com, "Trump campaign announces expanded Ohio operation, including senior staff hires," August 4, 2016
    10. 10.0 10.1 CNN, "Ohio exit polls," March 15, 2016
    11. 11.0 11.1 Ohio Secretary of State, "Filed Presidential Candidates Primary Election Candidates," December 16, 2015
    12. CNN, "Three Dems on Ohio Democratic ballot, but not Martin O'Malley," December 31, 2015
    13. 13.0 13.1 Democratic National Committee, "2016 Democratic National Convention Delegate/Alternate Allocation," updated February 19, 2016
    14. The Green Papers, "2016 Democratic Convention," accessed May 7, 2021
    15. Democratic National Committee's Office of Party Affairs and Delegate Selection, "Unpledged Delegates -- By State," May 27, 2016
    16. 16.0 16.1 Republican National Committee, "2016 Presidential Nominating Process," accessed October 6, 2015
    17. 17.0 17.1 CNN.com, "Republican National Convention roll call vote," accessed July 20, 2016
    18. The raw data for this study was provided by Dave Leip of Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections.