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Presidential election in Florida, 2016
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General election in Florida |
Date: November 8, 2016 2016 winner: Donald Trump (R) Electoral votes: 29 2012 winner: Barack Obama (D) |
Democratic Primary |
Date: March 15, 2016 Winner: Hillary Clinton |
Republican Primary |
Date: March 15, 2016 Winner: Donald Trump |
Down ballot races in Florida |
U.S. Senate U.S. House Florida State Senate Florida House of Representatives Florida judicial elections Florida local judicial elections State ballot measures School boards Click here for more elections in Florida |
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Florida held an election for the president of the United States on November 8, 2016. The Democratic and Republican parties held primary elections for president on March 15, 2016. Florida was considered a key battleground state in the 2016 general election.
General election candidates
The candidate list below is based on an official list on the Florida secretary of state website. The candidate names below appear in the order in which they were listed on the official list—not necessarily the order in which they appeared on the ballot in November. Write-in candidates were not included in the list below.
Presidential candidates on the ballot in Florida
- ☐ Darrell Lane Castle/Scott Bradley (Constitution)
- ☐ Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (Democratic)
- ☐ Rocky De La Fuente/Michael Steinberg (Reform)
- ☐ Gary Johnson/Bill Weld (Libertarian)
- ☐ Jill Stein/Ajamu Baraka (Green)
- ☑ Donald Trump/Mike Pence (Republican)
Results
U.S. presidential election, Florida, 2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | Electoral votes | |
Democratic | Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine | 47.8% | 4,504,975 | 0 | |
Republican | ![]() |
49% | 4,617,886 | 29 | |
Libertarian | Gary Johnson/Bill Weld | 2.2% | 207,043 | 0 | |
Green | Jill Stein/Ajamu Baraka | 0.7% | 64,399 | 0 | |
Constitution | Darrell Lane Castle/Scott Bradley | 0.2% | 16,475 | 0 | |
Reform | Rocky De La Fuente/Michael Steinberg | 0.1% | 9,108 | 0 | |
- | Other/Write-in | 0% | 153 | 0 | |
Total Votes | 9,420,039 | 29 | |||
Election results via: Florida Division of Elections |
Pivot Counties
Ballotpedia identified 206 counties that voted for Donald Trump (R) in 2016 after voting for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012, in 34 states.[1] Collectively, Trump won these Pivot Counties by more than 580,000 votes, and had an average margin of victory of 11.45 percent. The political shift in these counties could have a broad impact on elections at every level of government for the next four years.
Historical election trends
- See also: Presidential election accuracy
Below is an analysis of Florida's voting record in presidential elections. The state's accuracy is based on the number of times a state has voted for a winning presidential candidate. The majority of statistical data is from the U.S. National Archives and Records Administration and was compiled, here, by Ballotpedia, unless otherwise noted.
Presidential election voting record in Florida, 1900-2016
Between 1900 and 2016:
- Florida participated in 30 presidential elections.
- Florida voted for the winning presidential candidate 76.67 percent of the time. The average accuracy of voting for winning presidential candidates for all 50 states in this time frame was 72.31 percent.[2]
- Florida voted Democratic 56.67 percent of the time and Republican 43.33 percent of the time.
Presidential election voting record in Florida, 2000-2016
- Accuracy: 100 percent[3]
- 2000 state winner: George W. Bush (R)*
- 2004 state winner: George W. Bush (R)*
- 2008 state winner: Barack Obama (D)*
- 2012 state winner: Barack Obama (D)*
- 2016 state winner: Donald Trump (R)*
*An asterisk indicates that that candidate also won the national electoral vote in that election.
Election results
2012
U.S. presidential election, Florida, 2012 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | Electoral votes | |
Democratic | ![]() |
50% | 4,237,756 | 29 | |
Republican | Mitt Romney/Paul Ryan | 49.1% | 4,163,447 | 0 | |
Libertarian | Gary Johnson/Jim Gray | 0.5% | 44,726 | 0 | |
Green | Jill Stein/Cheri Honkala | 0.1% | 8,947 | 0 | |
Independent American | Thomas Hoefling/Robert Ornelas | 0% | 946 | 0 | |
Peace & Freedom | Roseanne Barr/Cindy Sheehan | 0.1% | 8,154 | 0 | |
Justice | Ross C. 'Rocky' Anderson/Luis J. Rodriguez | 0% | 1,754 | 0 | |
Conservative | Virgil Goode/James Clymer | 0% | 2,607 | 0 | |
Socialist | Stewart Alexander/Alex Mendoza | 0% | 799 | 0 | |
Objectivist | Thomas R. Stevens/Alden Link | 0% | 3,856 | 0 | |
Reform | Andre Barnett/Kenneth Cross | 0% | 820 | 0 | |
Socialism and Liberation | Peta Lindsay/Yari Osorio | 0% | 322 | 0 | |
Write-in | Write-in candidates | 0% | 45 | 0 | |
Total Votes | 8,474,179 | 29 | |||
Election results via: Florida Department of State, Division of Elections |
2008
U.S. presidential election, Florida, 2008 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | Electoral votes | |
Democratic | ![]() |
51% | 4,282,074 | 27 | |
Republican | John McCain/Sarah Palin | 48.2% | 4,045,624 | 0 | |
Ecology | Ralph Nader/Matt Gonzalez | 0.3% | 28,124 | 0 | |
Libertarian | Bob Barr/Wayne Allyn Root | 0.2% | 17,218 | 0 | |
Independent American | Alan Keyes/Brian Rohrbough | 0% | 2,550 | 0 | |
Green | Cynthia McKinney/Rosa Clemente | 0% | 2,887 | 0 | |
Constitution | Chuck Baldwin/Darrell Castle | 0.1% | 7,915 | 0 | |
Socialist Workers Party | James Harris/Alyson Kennedy | 0% | 533 | 0 | |
Socialist | Brian Moore/Stewart A. Alexander | 0% | 405 | 0 | |
Boston Tea Party | Charles Jay/John Wayne Smith | 0% | 795 | 0 | |
Socialism and Liberation | Gloria La Riva/Eugene Puryear | 0% | 1,516 | 0 | |
Prohibition | Gene C. Amondson/Leroy J. Pletten | 0% | 293 | 0 | |
Objectivist | Thomas R. Stevens/Alden Link | 0% | 419 | 0 | |
Write-in | Write-in candidates | 0% | 391 | 0 | |
Total Votes | 8,390,744 | 27 | |||
Election results via: Florida Department of State, Division of Elections |
Polling
Florida polls (2016)
Ballotpedia's battleground state polling averages were based on polls that came out over a 20- to 30-day period. For example, an average might have covered all polls that were released for a state between September 1, 2016, and September 30, 2016. They were not weighted. Polling averages were checked and updated daily.
Ballotpedia Battleground Poll
- See also: Ballotpedia's battleground poll, 2016
Ballotpedia partnered with Evolving Strategies and surveyed voters across seven battleground states (June 10 – 22) regarding their vote preference. We tested six election scenarios. In one set, we matched Hillary Clinton (D) in a series of two-way contests with Donald Trump (R), Ohio Governor John Kasich (R), and House Speaker Paul Ryan (R). In the second set, we matched these same candidates in a series of three-way contests that also included former Governor Gary Johnson. In all seven states, Clinton polled higher than Trump. Comparatively, John Kasich polled ahead of Clinton in five of the seven states, and Paul Ryan polled ahead of Clinton in three states. See the table below for the battleground poll results from Florida.
Florida was one of only two states (the other being North Carolina) where all three Republicans polled worse than Hillary Clinton. Similarly, Clinton’s polling was the highest in Florida in each matchup.
Ballotpedia's Battleground Polling (Florida): Head-to-head | |||||
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Poll | Hillary Clinton | Donald Trump | Neither or refused | Margin of error | Sample size |
Clinton vs. Trump (June 10-22, 2016) | 51% | 37% | 12% | +/- 4 | 596 |
Hillary Clinton | John Kasich | Neither or refused | Margin of error | Sample size | |
Clinton vs. Kasich (June 10-22, 2016) | 45% | 38% | 16% | +/-4 | 596 |
Hillary Clinton | Paul Ryan | Neither or refused | Margin of error | Sample size | |
Clinton vs. Ryan (June 10-22, 2016) | 47% | 39% | 14% | +/- 4 | 596 |
Ballotpedia's Battleground Polling (Florida): Three-way | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hillary Clinton | Donald Trump | Gary Johnson | Neither or refused | Margin of error | Sample size | |
Clinton vs. Trump vs. Johnson (June 10-22, 2016) | 47% | 34% | 12% | 7% | +/- 4 | 596 |
Hillary Clinton | John Kasich | Gary Johnson | Neither or refused | Margin of error | Sample size | |
Clinton vs. Kasich vs. Johnson (June 10-22, 2016) | 44% | 36% | 8% | 13% | +/- 4 | 596 |
Hillary Clinton | Paul Ryan | Gary Johnson | Neither or refused | Margin of error | Sample size | |
Clinton vs. Ryan vs. Johnson (June 10-22, 2016) | 43% | 36% | 10% | 11% | +/- 4 | 596 |
Electoral votes
- See also: Electoral College
The president of the United States is not elected by popular vote but rather by electors in the Electoral College. In fact, when Americans vote for president, they are actually voting for a slate of electors selected by members of Democratic and Republican state parties or nominated in some other fashion. Under this system, which is laid out in Article 2, Section 1, of the Constitution, each state is allocated one electoral vote for every member of their congressional delegation, meaning one for each member of the U.S. House and one for each of their two Senators.
Florida electors
In 2016, Florida had 29 electoral votes. Florida's share of electoral votes represented 5.4 percent of the 538 electoral votes up for grabs in the general election and 10.7 percent of the 270 votes needed to be elected president. Democratic and Republicans electors in Florida were selected by state party central committees.
"Faithless electors"
The U.S. Constitution does not dictate how presidential electors are to cast their votes, but, in general, electors are expected to vote for the winner of the popular vote in their state or the candidates of the party that nominated them to serve as electors. Electors who choose not to vote for the winner of the popular vote or the candidates of the party that nominated them are known as "faithless electors." Faithless electors are rare. Between 1900 and 2012, there were only eight known instances of faithless electors.
Several states have passed laws against faithless electors and require electors to vote for the winner of the popular vote in their state, for the candidate of the party that nominated them to serve as electors, or in accordance with any pledge they may have been required to make at the time of their nomination. In states with these types of laws, faithless electors can be fined or replaced, or their votes can be nullified.[4][5]
Florida was one of 31 states in 2016—including the District of Columbia—with a law seeking to bind the votes of presidential electors.
State campaign staff
Prior to the November 8, 2016, election, each campaign put in place paid staff, volunteers, and political operatives in each state in efforts to gain votes and influence voter turnout on election day. The following details some of the key staff for each campaign in Florida.
Hillary Clinton
For Hillary Clinton's campaign, state operations nationwide were overseen by Marlon Marshall, the campaign's director of state campaigns and political engagement. The key staff in Florida consisted of:
Simone Ward, State director: Ward joined Clinton's campaign in April 2016. She worked as national political director of the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee (DSCC) and has held multiple positions with the Democratic National Committee. Ward also previously managed campaigns for Natalie Tennant (D-W.Va.) and Sen. Barbara Mikulski (D-Md.).[6] |
Reggie Cardozo, Deputy state director: Cardozo was named the deputy state director in May 2016. He previously worked with the Democratic Party of Florida and was President Barack Obama's (D) political director in the state during his 2012 re-election campaign.[7] |
Donald Trump
For Donald Trump's campaign, state operations nationwide were overseen by Michael Biundo, the campaign's senior political advisor. The key staff in Florida consisted of:
Jennifer Locetta, State director: Locetta was the deputy state director for the primary election in Florida and was promoted to state director for the general election. She aided Mitt Romney's (R) presidential campaign in 2012 as the data director for the Republican Party of Florida and directed the 2014 U.S. Senate primary campaign of Richard DeNapoli (R-Fla.).[8] |
Down ballot races
- See also: Florida elections, 2016
Below is a list of down ballot races in Florida covered by Ballotpedia in 2016.
- U.S. Senate - Incumbent: Marco Rubio (R)
- U.S. House
- Florida State Senate
- Florida House of Representatives
- Florida judicial elections
- Florida local judicial elections
- State ballot measures
- School boards
Primary election
Quick facts
Democrats:
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Republicans
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Democrats
Hillary Clinton won the Florida Democratic primary election, beating Bernie Sanders by more than 30 percent. She carried Miami-Dade County, where the city of Miami is located, by roughly 50 percentage points. According to exit poll data, Clinton won nearly every major demographic in the state, including men, women, young and old voters, and white and non-white voters. Clinton won non-white voters, who made up 52 percent of the Democratic electorate in Florida, by 75 percent.[9] Clinton also won the Florida Democratic primary in 2008.
Republicans
Donald Trump won the Florida Republican primary election with 46 percent of the vote. Marco Rubio came in second place with 27 percent. Rubio, who was elected as a U.S. Senator from Florida in 2010, suspended his campaign following his loss to Trump. While the Democratic pledged delegates in Florida were divided up proportionally, all 99 of the Republican delegates went to the winning candidate, Donald Trump. Trump carried every county in the state except for Miami-Dade, which Rubio won 63 to 22 percent. Miami-Dade is home to 46 percent of the country's Cuban American population.[10] According to exit poll data, Rubio, whose parents migrated from Cuba, won 52 percent of Latino voters (and 62 percent of Cuban American voters). Trump, however, won pluralities with nearly every other demographic in the state, including men, women, young and old voters, white voters, and voters of all education backgrounds and income levels.[9] Mitt Romney won the Florida Republican primary in 2012.
2016 primary results
Democrats
Florida Democratic Primary, 2016 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | Delegates | |
![]() |
64.4% | 1,101,414 | 141 | |
Bernie Sanders | 33.3% | 568,839 | 73 | |
Martin O'Malley | 2.3% | 38,930 | 0 | |
Totals | 1,709,183 | 214 | ||
Source: The New York Times and Florida Department of State |
Republicans
Florida Republican Primary, 2016 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | Delegates | |
Jeb Bush | 1.8% | 43,511 | 0 | |
Ben Carson | 0.9% | 21,207 | 0 | |
Chris Christie | 0.1% | 2,493 | 0 | |
Ted Cruz | 17.1% | 404,891 | 0 | |
Carly Fiorina | 0.1% | 1,899 | 0 | |
Jim Gilmore | 0% | 319 | 0 | |
Lindsey Graham | 0% | 693 | 0 | |
Mike Huckabee | 0.1% | 2,624 | 0 | |
John Kasich | 6.8% | 159,976 | 0 | |
Rand Paul | 0.2% | 4,450 | 0 | |
Marco Rubio | 27% | 638,661 | 0 | |
Rick Santorum | 0.1% | 1,211 | 0 | |
![]() |
45.7% | 1,079,870 | 99 | |
Totals | 2,361,805 | 99 | ||
Source: The New York Times and Florida Department of State |
Candidates
Edie Atkinson Bukewihge |
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Eric James Borrell (NPA) |
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Polls
Democratic primary
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Poll | Hillary Clinton | Bernie Sanders | Unsure or Other | Margin of Error | Sample Size | ||||||||||||||
Quinnipiac University March 8-13, 2016 | 60% | 34% | 6% | +/-4.3 | 519 | ||||||||||||||
American Research Group March 11-13, 2016 | 58% | 37% | 5% | +/-5 | 400 | ||||||||||||||
Public Policy Polling March 11-12, 2016 | 57% | 32% | 11% | +/-3.9 | 627 | ||||||||||||||
CBS News/YouGov March 9-11, 2016 | 62% | 34% | 4% | +/-4.5 | 796 | ||||||||||||||
NBC/WSJ/Marist March 4-10, 2016 | 61% | 34% | 5% | +/-4.4 | 500 | ||||||||||||||
Florida Atlantic University March 8-11, 2016 | 59% | 31% | 10% | +/-5 | 414 | ||||||||||||||
WTSP/Mason-Dixon March 7-9, 2016 | 68% | 23% | 9% | +/-4.5 | 500 | ||||||||||||||
CNN/ORC March 2-6, 2016 | 61% | 34% | 5% | +/-6 | 264 | ||||||||||||||
Quinnipiac March 2-7, 2016 | 62% | 32% | 6% | +/-4.3 | 511 | ||||||||||||||
News 13 (Orlando) March 4-6, 2016 | 61% | 30% | 9% | +/-3.4 | 823 | ||||||||||||||
Washington Post/Univision March 2-5, 2016 | 64% | 26% | 10% | +/-6 | 449 | ||||||||||||||
University of North Florida February 22-27, 2016 | 54% | 24% | 22% | +/-3.74 | 685 | ||||||||||||||
Public Policy Polling February 24-25, 2016 | 57% | 32% | 10% | +/-5 | 388 | ||||||||||||||
Quinnipiac University February 21-24, 2016 | 59% | 33% | 8% | +/-4.5 | 476 | ||||||||||||||
Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org. |
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Poll | Hillary Clinton | Bernie Sanders | Martin O'Malley | Unsure or Other | Margin of Error | Sample Size | |||||||||||||
Florida Atlantic University January 15-18, 2016 | 62.2% | 25.9% | 3.9% | 8.1% | +/-4.9 | 383 | |||||||||||||
Florida Atlantic University November 15-16, 2015 | 65.5% | 22.4% | 4% | 8.2% | +/-5.6 | 297 | |||||||||||||
Bay News 9/News 13 October 28-November 1, 2015 | 66% | 24% | 3% | 8% | +/-N/A | 826 | |||||||||||||
University of North Florida October 14-19, 2015 | 54.6% | 15.9% | <1% | 28.2% | +/-3.9 | 632 | |||||||||||||
Quinnipiac University September 25-October 5, 2015 | 43% | 19% | 0% | 38% | +/-4.8 | 411 | |||||||||||||
Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org. |
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Poll | Hillary Clinton | Bernie Sanders | Joe Biden | Martin O'Malley | Jim Webb | Lincoln Chafee | Unsure or Other | Margin of Error | Sample Size | ||||||||||
Public Policy Polling September 11-13, 2015 | 55% | 18% | 17% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 6% | +/-5.1 | 368 | ||||||||||
Loan Gravis Marketing Poll September 5-11, 2015 | 41.6% | 12.5% | 21.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | <1% | 21.3% | +/-4.0 | 693 | ||||||||||
Opinion Savvy Poll for Morris News Service September 1, 2015 | 52% | 20% | 15% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | +/-5 | 419 | ||||||||||
Quinnipiac University August 7-18, 2015 | 48% | 15% | 11% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 24% | +/-5.3 | 345 | ||||||||||
Mason-Dixon July 20-23, 2015 | 58% | 17% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 23% | +/-4.5 | 500 | ||||||||||
Gravis Marketing June 16-20, 2015 | 64.8% | 20.6% | 0% | 2.1% | <1% | <1% | 11.2% | +/-3.3 | 881 | ||||||||||
Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org. |
Republican primary
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Poll | Donald Trump | Marco Rubio | Ted Cruz | John Kasich | Ben Carson | Unsure or Other | Margin of Error | Sample Size | |||||||||||
Monmouth University March 11-13, 2016 | 44% | 27% | 17% | 9% | 0% | 3% | +/-4.9 | 405 | |||||||||||
American Research Group March 11-13, 2016 | 49% | 24% | 16% | 8% | 0% | 3% | +/-4.9 | 400 | |||||||||||
Florida Times-Union March 13, 2016 | 44% | 26% | 18% | 10% | 0% | 2% | +/-3.5 | 787 | |||||||||||
Trafalgar Group March 12-13, 2016 | 44% | 24% | 20% | 9% | 0% | 3% | +/-2.6 | 1,500 | |||||||||||
Quinnipiac University March 8-13, 2016 | 46% | 22% | 14% | 10% | 0% | 8% | +/-4 | 615 | |||||||||||
CBS News/YouGov March 9-11, 2016 | 44% | 21% | 24% | 9% | 0% | 2% | +/-4.8 | 873 | |||||||||||
NBC/WSJ/Marist March 4-10, 2016 | 43% | 22% | 21% | 9% | 0% | 5% | +/-4.3 | 511 | |||||||||||
Florida Atlantic University March 8-11, 2016 | 44% | 21% | 21% | 9% | 0% | 5% | +/-3 | 852 | |||||||||||
WTSP/Mason-Dixon March 7-9, 2016 | 36% | 30% | 17% | 8% | 0% | 9% | +/-3.8 | 700 | |||||||||||
Florida Times-Union March 9, 2016 | 42.8% | 23.5% | 20.9% | 10.4% | 0% | 2.4% | +/-4 | 590 | |||||||||||
Trafalgar Group March 8-9, 2016 | 41.87% | 23.1% | 21.43% | 10.94% | 0% | 2.66% | +/-2.83 | 1,280 | |||||||||||
Suffolk University March 7-9, 2016 | 36% | 27% | 19% | 10% | 0% | 8% | +/-4.4 | 500 | |||||||||||
Fox News March 5-8, 2016 | 43% | 20% | 16% | 10% | 0% | 11% | +/-3.5 | 813 | |||||||||||
UNF Public Opinion Research Lab March 2-7, 2016 | 35.5% | 23.8% | 15.5% | 8.8% | 0% | 16.4% | +/-3.57 | 752 | |||||||||||
Quinnipiac University March 2-7, 2016 | 45% | 22% | 18% | 8% | 0% | 7% | +/-3.8 | 657 | |||||||||||
CNN/ORC March 2-6, 2016 | 40% | 24% | 19% | 5% | 6% | 6% | +/-5.5 | 313 | |||||||||||
News 13 (Orlando) March 4-6, 2016 | 42% | 22% | 17% | 10% | 0% | 9% | +/-3.3 | 937 | |||||||||||
Monmouth March 3-6, 2016 | 38% | 30% | 17% | 10% | 1% | 4% | +/-4.9 | 403 | |||||||||||
Washington Post/Univision March 2-5, 2016 | 38% | 31% | 19% | 4% | 0% | 8% | +/-5.5 | 450 | |||||||||||
Public Policy Polling February 24-25, 2016 | 45% | 25% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 7% | +/-4.6 | 464 | |||||||||||
Quinnipiac University February 21-24, 2016 | 44% | 28% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 6% | +/-3.7 | 705 | |||||||||||
Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org. |
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Poll | Jeb Bush | Donald Trump | Scott Walker | John Kasich | Ted Cruz | Rand Paul | Marco Rubio | Ben Carson | Carly Fiorina | Mike Huckabee | Unsure or Other | Margin of Error | Sample Size | ||||||
Florida Chamber September 16-20, 2015 | 13% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 6% | 0% | 14% | 9% | 11% | 0% | 22% | +/-4 | N/A | ||||||
Public Policy Polling September 11-13, 2015 | 13% | 28% | 2% | 5% | 9% | <1% | 10% | 17% | 7% | 3% | 6% | +/-5.1 | 377 | ||||||
Loan Gravis Marketing Poll September 5-11, 2015 | 15.2% | 33.6% | 1.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | <1% | 5.4% | 22.4% | 6.2% | 1.8% | 3.1% | +/-4.0 | 891 | ||||||
Opinion Savvy Poll for Morris News Service September 1, 2015 | 19% | 29% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 0% | 6% | 25% | 5% | 2% | 7% | +/-4 | 498 | ||||||
Quinnipiac University August 7-18, 2015 | 17% | 21% | 4% | 3% | 7% | 4% | 11% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 11% | +/-4.5 | 477 | ||||||
Florida Times-Union August 3, 2015 | 26% | 27% | 6% | 3% | 8% | 2% | 7% | 8% | 2% | 4% | 7% | +/-4.1 | 547 | ||||||
Mason-Dixon July 20-23, 2015 | 28% | 11% | 13% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 16% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 14% | +/-4.5 | 500 | ||||||
Gravis Marketing June 16-20, 2015 | 27.5% | 0% | 8.7% | 0% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 23% | 0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 16.1% | +/-3.6 | 729 | ||||||
Note: A "0%" finding means the candidate was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org. |
Delegates
Delegate selection
Democratic Party
Florida had 246 delegates at the 2016 Democratic National Convention. Of this total, 214 were pledged delegates. National party rules stipulated how Democratic delegates in all states were allocated. Pledged delegates were allocated to a candidate in proportion to the votes he or she received in a state's primary or caucus. A candidate was eligible to receive a share of the state's pledged delegates if he or she won at least 15 percent of the votes cast in the primary or caucus. There were three types of pledged Democratic delegates: congressional district delegates, at-large delegates, and party leaders and elected officials (PLEOs). Congressional district delegates were allocated proportionally based on the primary or caucus results in a given district. At-large and PLEO delegates were allocated proportionally based on statewide primary results.[14][15]
Thirty-two party leaders and elected officials served as unpledged delegates. These delegates were not required to adhere to the results of a state's primary or caucus.[14][16]
Florida superdelegates
- Alan Clendenin
- Alan Williams
- Katherine Fernandez Rundle
- Allison Tant
- Alma Gonzalez
- Annette Taddeo
- Bill Nelson (Florida)
- Corrine Brown
- Frederica Wilson
- Gwen Graham
- Jon M. Ausman
- Kathy Castor
- Lois Frankel
- Patrick Murphy (Florida)
- Ted Deutch
- Alan Grayson
- Nancy Jacobson (Florida)
- Angel Gomez
- Bret Berlin
- Cindy Lerner
- Joe Falk
- Joyce Cusack
- Tony Hill
- Marian Williams
- Mitchell Caesar
- Carlos Odio
- Kenneth M. Curtis
- Rick Boylan
- Stephen Bittel
- Andrew Tobias
Republican Party
Florida had 99 delegates at the 2016 Republican National Convention. Of this total, 81 were district-level delegates (three for each of the state's 27 congressional districts). District-level delegates were allocated on a winner-take-all basis; the candidate who won a plurality of the statewide vote received all of Florida's district delegates.[17][18]
Of the remaining 18 delegates, 15 served at large. At-large delegates were allocated on a winner-take-all basis; the candidate who won a plurality of the statewide vote received all of the state's at-large delegates. In addition, three national party leaders (identified on the chart below as RNC delegates) served as bound delegates to the Republican National Convention. The RNC delegates were required to pledge their support to the candidate who won the state's primary.[17][18]
Florida Delegates
- Blaise Ingoglia
- Sharon Day
- Peter Feaman
- Lizbeth Benacquisto
- Richard Corcoran (Florida)
- Lenny Curry
- Adam Hasner
- George LeMieux
- Jeff Miller (Florida)
- Joe Negron
- Jose Oliva
- Susie Wiles
- Lake Ray
- Ander Crenshaw
- Kelli Stargel
- Mark Oxner
- Chris Sprowls
- Tami Donnally
- Jeanette Nuñez
- Brian Ballard
- Robin Bernstein
- Jeffrey Feingold
- Belinda Keiser
- Mike Barnett
- Nancy Watkins (Florida)
- Martin Simmons
- Charlotte Flynt
- Tim Norris
- Clint Pate
- Evan Power
- Thelma Rohan
- Layne Schultetus
- Kay Durden
- Sherri Ortega
- Cindy Graves
- Mike Cribby
- Clarence Allen
- Tony Ledbetter
- Bill Korach
- Alan Burton
- Al Schwarz
- Ray Valdes
- Dana Dougherty
- Carlie Rogers
- Barbara Davis
- Rich Crotty
- Tammy Celeste
- Mark Cross
- Jim Guth
- Wendy West
Presidential voting history
Florida presidential election results (1900-2024)
- 17 Democratic wins
- 15 Republican wins
Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 | 2024 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Winning Party | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | D | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | D | R | R | D | D | R | R | R |
State profile
Demographic data for Florida | ||
---|---|---|
Florida | U.S. | |
Total population: | 20,244,914 | 316,515,021 |
Land area (sq mi): | 53,625 | 3,531,905 |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White: | 76% | 73.6% |
Black/African American: | 16.1% | 12.6% |
Asian: | 2.6% | 5.1% |
Native American: | 0.3% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander: | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Two or more: | 2.4% | 3% |
Hispanic/Latino: | 23.7% | 17.1% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate: | 86.9% | 86.7% |
College graduation rate: | 27.3% | 29.8% |
Income | ||
Median household income: | $47,507 | $53,889 |
Persons below poverty level: | 19.8% | 11.3% |
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Florida. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. |
Presidential voting pattern
- See also: Presidential voting trends in Florida
Florida voted Republican in five out of the seven presidential elections between 2000 and 2024.
Pivot Counties (2016)
Ballotpedia identified 206 counties that voted for Donald Trump (R) in 2016 after voting for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012. Collectively, Trump won these Pivot Counties by more than 580,000 votes. Of these 206 counties, four are located in Florida, accounting for 1.94 percent of the total pivot counties.[19]
Pivot Counties (2020)
In 2020, Ballotpedia re-examined the 206 Pivot Counties to view their voting patterns following that year's presidential election. Ballotpedia defined those won by Trump won as Retained Pivot Counties and those won by Joe Biden (D) as Boomerang Pivot Counties. Nationwide, there were 181 Retained Pivot Counties and 25 Boomerang Pivot Counties. Florida had three Retained Pivot Counties and one Boomerang Pivot County, accounting for 1.66 and 4.00 percent of all Retained and Boomerang Pivot Counties, respsectively.
More Florida coverage on Ballotpedia
- Elections in Florida
- United States congressional delegations from Florida
- Public policy in Florida
- Endorsers in Florida
- Florida fact checks
- More...
Presidential election by state
For more information on the presidential contests in your state, please click on your state below:
See also
- March 15 presidential primary elections and caucuses, 2016
- Presidential election, 2016
- Presidential candidates, 2016
Footnotes
- ↑ The raw data for this study was provided by Dave Leip of Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections.
- ↑ This average includes states like Arizona, New Mexico, and Oklahoma, which did not participate in all 30 presidential elections between 1900 and 2016. It does not include Washington, D.C., which cast votes for president for the first time in 1964, or Alaska and Hawaii, which cast votes for president for the first time in 1960.
- ↑ This number refers to the number of times that the state voted for the winning presidential candidate between 2000 and 2016.
- ↑ Archives.gov, "About the Electors," accessed July 28, 2016
- ↑ Congressional Research Service, "The Electoral College: How it works in contemporary presidential elections," April 13, 2016
- ↑ Miami Herald, "Meet Hillary Clinton's new Florida campaign director," April 29, 2016
- ↑ LinkedIn, "Reggie Cardozo," accessed August 1, 2016
- ↑ Sun-Sentinel, "Former Broward Republican Party chairman signs on with Donald Trump," March 3, 2016
- ↑ 9.0 9.1 CNN, "Florida exit polls," March 15, 2016
- ↑ Pew Research, "Democratic edge in Hispanic voter registration grows in Florida," March 9, 2016
- ↑ Florida Secretary of State, "Candidate Listing for 2016 General Election," accessed December 7, 2015
- ↑ Florida Secretary of State, "Candidate Listing for 2016 General Election," accessed December 7, 2015
- ↑ Florida Secretary of State, "Candidate Listing for 2016 General Election," accessed December 7, 2015
- ↑ 14.0 14.1 Democratic National Committee, "2016 Democratic National Convention Delegate/Alternate Allocation," updated February 19, 2016
- ↑ The Green Papers, "2016 Democratic Convention," accessed May 7, 2021
- ↑ Democratic National Committee's Office of Party Affairs and Delegate Selection, "Unpledged Delegates -- By State," May 27, 2016
- ↑ 17.0 17.1 Republican National Committee, "2016 Presidential Nominating Process," accessed October 6, 2015
- ↑ 18.0 18.1 CNN.com, "Republican National Convention roll call vote," accessed July 20, 2016
- ↑ The raw data for this study was provided by Dave Leip of Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections.
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