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Missouri's 1st Congressional District election, 2024

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2026
2022
Missouri's 1st Congressional District
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge.png
Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: March 26, 2024
Primary: August 6, 2024
General: November 5, 2024
How to vote
Poll times: 6 a.m. to 7 p.m.
Voting in Missouri
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic
DDHQ and The Hill: Safe Democratic
Inside Elections: Solid Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024
See also
Missouri's 1st Congressional District
U.S. Senate1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th
Missouri elections, 2024
U.S. Congress elections, 2024
U.S. Senate elections, 2024
U.S. House elections, 2024

All U.S. House districts, including the 1st Congressional District of Missouri, held elections in 2024. The general election was November 5, 2024. The primary was August 6, 2024. The filing deadline was March 26, 2024. The outcome of this race affected the partisan balance of the U.S. House of Representatives in the 119th Congress. All 435 House districts were up for election.

At the time of the election, Republicans held a 220-212 majority with three vacancies.[1] As a result of the election, Republicans retained control of the U.S. House, winning 220 seats to Democrats' 215.[2] To read more about the 2024 U.S. House elections, click here.

In the 2022 election in this district, the Democratic candidate won 72.9%-24.3%. Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have defeated Donald Trump (R) 78.4%-20.0%.[3]

For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:

Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Missouri District 1

Wesley Bell defeated Andrew Jones Jr., Rochelle Riggins, Don Fitz, and Blake Ashby in the general election for U.S. House Missouri District 1 on November 5, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Wesley Bell
Wesley Bell (D)
 
75.9
 
233,312
Image of Andrew Jones Jr.
Andrew Jones Jr. (R)
 
18.4
 
56,453
Image of Rochelle Riggins
Rochelle Riggins (L)
 
3.3
 
10,070
Image of Don Fitz
Don Fitz (G)
 
1.7
 
5,151
Image of Blake Ashby
Blake Ashby (Better Party) Candidate Connection
 
0.7
 
2,279

Total votes: 307,265
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Missouri District 1

Wesley Bell defeated incumbent Cori Bush, Maria Chappelle-Nadal, and Ron Harshaw in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Missouri District 1 on August 6, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Wesley Bell
Wesley Bell
 
51.1
 
63,521
Image of Cori Bush
Cori Bush
 
45.6
 
56,723
Image of Maria Chappelle-Nadal
Maria Chappelle-Nadal
 
2.6
 
3,279
Image of Ron Harshaw
Ron Harshaw Candidate Connection
 
0.6
 
735

Total votes: 124,258
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Missouri District 1

Andrew Jones Jr. defeated Stan Hall, Michael J. Hebron Sr., Laura Mitchell-Riley, and Timothy Gartin in the Republican primary for U.S. House Missouri District 1 on August 6, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Andrew Jones Jr.
Andrew Jones Jr.
 
26.9
 
4,209
Image of Stan Hall
Stan Hall Candidate Connection
 
25.6
 
4,008
Image of Michael J. Hebron Sr.
Michael J. Hebron Sr.
 
20.7
 
3,247
Image of Laura Mitchell-Riley
Laura Mitchell-Riley
 
20.5
 
3,215
Image of Timothy Gartin
Timothy Gartin
 
6.4
 
996

Total votes: 15,675
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Libertarian primary election

Libertarian primary for U.S. House Missouri District 1

Rochelle Riggins advanced from the Libertarian primary for U.S. House Missouri District 1 on August 6, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Rochelle Riggins
Rochelle Riggins
 
100.0
 
272

Total votes: 272
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Candidate profiles

This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.

Image of Wesley Bell

WebsiteFacebookTwitterYouTube

Party: Democratic Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: 

St. Louis County Prosecuting Attorney (Assumed office: 2019)

Biography:  Bell received a bachelor's degree from Lindenwood University and a law degree from the University of Missouri-Columbia. His career experience included working as a public defender.



Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.


As a prosecutor, Bell said he overturned wrongful convictions and as a member of Congress would "hold serious and violent offenders accountable AND make sure everyone has equal rights and opportunities within the criminal justice system."


Bell said, "I know that when Democrats come together, we can accomplish big things: like lowering drug prices, bringing back the child tax credit, and restoring abortion rights."


As St. Louis County prosecuting attorney, Bell said he supported "common sense gun safety laws" and partnered with 55 police departments to improve public safety and address gun violence. 


Show sources

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Missouri District 1 in 2024.

Image of Blake Ashby

WebsiteFacebookTwitter

Party: Better Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Submitted Biography "Blake Ashby lives in Ferguson, Missouri, with his wife Dara (and dogs). He was previously a member of the City Council of Ferguson, representing the 2nd Ward. A longtime entrepreneur, he has helped start several successful businesses. He writes the occasional commentary for the St. Louis Post-Dispatch and other publications and is an occasional talk radio guest. During the Ferguson unrest Dara and Blake were deeply involved in the efforts to help the community move forward. They were regularly interviewed by local and national press and appeared in the Arts & Entertainment special “A Conversation on Race”, hosted by recording artist John Legend. In 2013 they helped start an innovative program to teach capitalism to urban youth, now called the Institute For Urban Capitalism (www.theiuc.org). Many years ago he was involved in Republican politics, working for Missouri House Member Jim Talent, Missouri State Treasurer Wendall Bailey’s gubernatorial campaign and Mack Holekamp’s 1990 U.S. Congressional campaign. Frustrated by the direction of the Republican Party, he ran as a protest candidate in the 2004 Republican Presidential Primary. As an entrepreneur and consultant Blake has been involved with dozens of early-stage companies. Blake also served as an executive coach for Washington University’s Olin School of Business Hatchery program for several years. Dara and Blake are members of Faith Church St. Louis."


Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses, click here.


The purpose of our government is to extend individual freedom – to give every American the ability to determine the course of his or her life. It does so by providing public education, a safe financial system, transportation, and many other services that enable our modern world. Both major parties, are undermining the government’s ability to do the things it needs to do, the Democrats by pulling to the left, the Republicans pulling to the right. Their battle has caused gridlock, keeping government from responding to our rapidly changing world. We need to end the polarization and extremism that are dividing our nation and undermining government effectiveness, and get back to a commitment to individual freedom and responsibility.


Democratic Capitalism is the free market moderated by democracy. A century ago, there was a global battle between socialism and survival of the fittest capitalism. We took a middle path, a compromise between the two extremes. We stayed with capitalism, with the private ownership of the economy, but we used democracy to make capitalism work for everyone, to ensure every person benefitted, had a chance to participate and played by the same set of rules. We didn’t achieve this for all of our citizens, but it was the beacon that guided our government. It was a fulfillment of the most basic purpose of our government, ensuring all Americans have equality of opportunity. Over the last several decades we have slipped away from this compromise.


Michael Brown’s death ten years ago in Ferguson, Missouri, led to a much-needed examination of the relationship between police and our African American community and the start of many important reforms. However, to put pressure on Ferguson, the Department of Justice mischaracterized the actions of the Ferguson Police, and in doing so created a distorted narrative about policing that continues to this day. We need to have a more honest conversation about policing. This isn’t an attempt to turn back progress or deny that yes there are still racist police officers and biased policies. Instead, it’s an effort to move real reform forward. We need to get back to a more balanced, and honest, conversation on policing and its role in society.

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Missouri District 1 in 2024.

Voting information

See also: Voting in Missouri

Election information in Missouri: Nov. 5, 2024, election.

What was the voter registration deadline?

  • In-person: Oct. 9, 2024
  • By mail: Postmarked by Oct. 9, 2024
  • Online: Oct. 9, 2024

Was absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

No

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 4, 2024
  • By mail: Received by Oct. 23, 2024
  • Online: N/A

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 5, 2024
  • By mail: Received by Nov. 5, 2024

Was early voting available to all voters?

Yes

What were the early voting start and end dates?

Oct. 22, 2024 to Nov. 4, 2024

Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, was a photo or non-photo ID required?

N/A

When were polls open on Election Day?

6:00 a.m. - 7:00 p.m. (CST)

Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses

Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.

Survey responses from candidates in this race

Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.

Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.

Expand all | Collapse all

Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/BlakeAshby2024.jpg

Blake Ashby (Better)

The purpose of our government is to extend individual freedom – to give every American the ability to determine the course of his or her life. It does so by providing public education, a safe financial system, transportation, and many other services that enable our modern world.

Both major parties, are undermining the government’s ability to do the things it needs to do, the Democrats by pulling to the left, the Republicans pulling to the right. Their battle has caused gridlock, keeping government from responding to our rapidly changing world.

We need to end the polarization and extremism that are dividing our nation and undermining government effectiveness, and get back to a commitment to individual freedom and responsibility.

Democratic Capitalism is the free market moderated by democracy. A century ago, there was a global battle between socialism and survival of the fittest capitalism. We took a middle path, a compromise between the two extremes. We stayed with capitalism, with the private ownership of the economy, but we used democracy to make capitalism work for everyone, to ensure every person benefitted, had a chance to participate and played by the same set of rules. We didn’t achieve this for all of our citizens, but it was the beacon that guided our government. It was a fulfillment of the most basic purpose of our government, ensuring all Americans have equality of opportunity. Over the last several decades we have slipped away from this compromise.

Michael Brown’s death ten years ago in Ferguson, Missouri, led to a much-needed examination of the relationship between police and our African American community and the start of many important reforms. However, to put pressure on Ferguson, the Department of Justice mischaracterized the actions of the Ferguson Police, and in doing so created a distorted narrative about policing that continues to this day. We need to have a more honest conversation about policing. This isn’t an attempt to turn back progress or deny that yes there are still racist police officers and biased policies. Instead, it’s an effort to move real reform forward. We need to get back to a more balanced, and honest, conversation on policing and its role in society.
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/BlakeAshby2024.jpg

Blake Ashby (Better)

Democratic Capitalism. Ensuring the government does the many little things it needs to do to ensure every American has equality of opportunity, from providing safe neighborhoods, quality education to maintaining our roads and providing a safe, accessible financial system .

Realistic financial regulation. We need to get back to one set of rules for everyone in our economy, and end the second sets of rules that only benefits narrow parts of our population. We need to better regulate finance to level the playing field.

Police Reform. We need to take an honest, hard look at policing, and continue down the path of improving transparency and accountability while also ensure the police have the respect they need to be able to do their jobs.
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/BlakeAshby2024.jpg

Blake Ashby (Better)

Dwight Eisenhower. He was able to put country above partisan politics.
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/BlakeAshby2024.jpg

Blake Ashby (Better)

Character and principle. Our elected officials must have a strong foundation of beliefs.
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/BlakeAshby2024.jpg

Blake Ashby (Better)

I'm thoughtful, well read, kind and considerate. I do my best to ensure I listen to everyone and take the time to understand their positions and emotions.
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/BlakeAshby2024.jpg

Blake Ashby (Better)

To represent the needs of the community, to ensure that government is doing what it needs to do to give every American the ability to choose their life. That government is fulfilling its role to help provide the equality of opportunity that is fundamental to our Country. Sometimes that means responding to the pressures and passions of the moment. And sometimes that means rising above the passions of the moment to look down the road, to ensure we continue in the right direction. It is the role of an elected to look around them, and look over the horizon, to do what is best for our nation.
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/BlakeAshby2024.jpg

Blake Ashby (Better)

A balanced budget and a more realistic view of policing
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/BlakeAshby2024.jpg

Blake Ashby (Better)

Ticket taker at Starlight theater in Kansas City. One summer.
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/BlakeAshby2024.jpg

Blake Ashby (Better)

I love my life, no interest in being anyone else, even a fictional character.
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/BlakeAshby2024.jpg

Blake Ashby (Better)

Generally, I've been blessed most of my life. Even the things that might look like struggles from the outside were, from the inside, a privilege to be a part of.
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/BlakeAshby2024.jpg

Blake Ashby (Better)

Not mandatory, but certainly provides a different perspective. Until someone has served in government, it’s hard to imagine the many different forces and factions trying to influence the actions of government.
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/BlakeAshby2024.jpg

Blake Ashby (Better)

The budget deficit. At some point, our deficit will be so large that just paying the interest consumes an untenable portion of government spending. We must – MUST – get back to a balanced budget. We owe it to future generations.
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/BlakeAshby2024.jpg

Blake Ashby (Better)

Yes. The combination of term lengths – 2 years for the House, 4 for President and 6 for Senate, is a key feature of our political system. It caused different elected officials to have different timelines, helping to ensure a diversity of opinion on important issues. The House, at 2 years, is designed to be the most responsive to the passions and interests of the moment.
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/BlakeAshby2024.jpg

Blake Ashby (Better)

I’m not sure they are needed. Yes, some elected officials hang around too long. But we also go through periods where the power of incumbency is muted, and there is greater turnover. There are no magical answers to fixing government, and often the solutions bring different sets of problems.
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/BlakeAshby2024.jpg

Blake Ashby (Better)

Representative Lacy Clay. Instead of chasing headlines, he chased progress and outcomes, quietly working behind to build coalitions and reach the compromises that are critical to making progress in our diverse country.
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/BlakeAshby2024.jpg

Blake Ashby (Better)

Yes. Compromise is something most of us do every day. We compromise because we respect and care for the people we interact with. Because we recognize their basic humanity, and remember one of the core truths about our democracy. Every American has a right to an opinion, and every American’s opinion is valid and worthy of respect.

Somehow “Compromise”, in politics, has become a dirty word. Our politics has become divisive, extreme on both sides. Both sides present policy questions as a battle between good and evil, and any compromise a victory by evil. Instead of trying to find common ground, instead of working together to move our country forward, both sides are intent on destroying the other side. The divisiveness is undermining our democracy. It is causing too many of us in the middle to just back away, disgusted by the anger and acrimony.

The divisiveness is undermining our country. The United States, in many ways, has gotten off track. We have stepped back from civil society. We have stepped back from respect for everyone. We have stepped back from the core idea of our Constitution, that every person has a right to their own opinion, and a right to be respected as a human being.

But compromise isn’t a dirty word. I truly believe that there is more that connects us than divides us. And compromise usually brings the best answers, and allows the most progress. Our country, our institutions, are built on compromise. And we need to get back to it. The Better Party is a new party formed here in Missouri, in the middle of our country, based on an old idea, an idea as old as our Constitution. The idea that the other side isn’t the enemy, isn’t evil. The idea that all people deserve to be treated with respect and humanity. The idea that if we work together, we can find common ground and more our country forward.
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/BlakeAshby2024.jpg

Blake Ashby (Better)

We must get to a balanced budget. We owe it to this generation, and we owe it to future generations. We must find a way to balance the budget, and given our current spending profile, that HAS to include new revenue.
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/BlakeAshby2024.jpg

Blake Ashby (Better)

Judiciously and with bi-partisan support. Too often its investigative powers have been used for partisan purposes. Doing so undermines faith in our political institutions and often creates acrimony that stands in the way of progress.
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/BlakeAshby2024.jpg

Blake Ashby (Better)

Budget and Judiciary. We must get back to a balanced budget – we owe it to future generations. We also must get back to a more realistic, and balanced view of policing. We don’t need to return to the blind hero worship of the past, but the pendulum has swung too far the other way. We have a younger generation that is actively skeptical or even disrespectful of the police, and that is hurting both efforts to reform public safety and maintain civil society.
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/BlakeAshby2024.jpg

Blake Ashby (Better)

Our country has slipped away from Democratic Capitalism. Fixing it will be a slow gradual process. For all the attention to the big programs, good governance is more often the cumulative impact of thousands of small decisions and actions. Getting back to human-centered governance will be the cumulative outcome of many small fixes and improvements in our laws and regulations.

The starting point for change needs to be greater transparency. As our country has slipped away from Democratic Capitalism and civil society it has also slipped away from transparency. Our country and economy were changing. Our regulations often didn’t keep up, allowing more and more activity to happen away from the light of transparency. This was partly because the groups that benefit from government regulations, or absence or non-enforcement of regulations, prefer those benefits be kept in the shadows, and partly because of the battle between the far right and the far left.

Transparency is almost always the starting point of good governance – it’s hard to know what needs to be fixed unless it’s first measured and unless we fully understand and quantify the challenge. Our government is more effective when we shine a light on a problem from many different angles, and from the perspectives of all of those who are affected by the problem.

Transparency, by forcing a fuller understanding of our challenges, also tends to move us towards compromise. There are answers to every problem facing our country - there just aren’t usually easy answers. The hard answers only work when there is broad support, and broad support is only achieved when the many different perspectives are reflected in the answer – when we reach a compromise acceptable to a broad majority. Yes, the path to answering most of our problems is through compromise, and compromise almost always follows transparency.


Campaign finance

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Wesley Bell Democratic Party $5,386,198 $4,952,277 $433,921 As of December 31, 2024
Andrew Jones Jr. Republican Party $16,076 $16,076 $0 As of December 31, 2024
Blake Ashby Better Party $63,833 $61,010 $32,847 As of December 31, 2024
Don Fitz Green Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Rochelle Riggins Libertarian Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.

General election race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[4]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[5][6][7]

Race ratings: Missouri's 1st Congressional District election, 2024
Race trackerRace ratings
November 5, 2024October 29, 2024October 22, 2024October 15, 2024
The Cook Political Report with Amy WalterSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Decision Desk HQ and The HillSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe Democratic
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe Democratic
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

Ballot access

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Missouri in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Missouri, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source
Missouri U.S. House Ballot-qualified party N/A $300.00 3/26/2024 Source
Missouri U.S. House Unaffiliated 2% of votes cast for the office in the last election, or 10,000, whichever is less N/A 7/29/2024 Source

District analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

  • District map - A map of the district in place for the election.
  • Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
  • State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.


Below was the map in use at the time of the election. Click the map below to enlarge it.

2023_01_03_mo_congressional_district_01.jpg
See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2024

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Missouri.

Missouri U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2024
Office Districts/
offices
Seats Open seats Candidates Possible primaries Contested Democratic primaries Contested Republican primaries % of contested primaries Incumbents in contested primaries % of incumbents in contested primaries
2024 8 8 1 43 16 6 6 75.0% 5 71.4%
2022 8 8 2 57 16 6 8 87.5% 6 100.0%
2020 8 8 0 40 16 4 6 62.5% 6 75.0%
2018 8 8 0 39 16 5 6 68.8% 5 62.5%
2016 8 8 0 45 16 5 8 81.3% 8 100.0%
2014 8 8 0 36 16 4 6 62.5% 5 62.5%

Post-filing deadline analysis

The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Missouri in 2024. Information below was calculated on June 4, 2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.

Forty-three candidates ran for Missouri’s eight U.S. House districts, including 16 Democrats and 27 Republicans. That's an average of 5.38 candidates per district. That’s lower than the 7.13 candidates per district in 2022 but more than the 5.00 in 2020.

The 3rd Congressional District was the only open district. That’s one less than in 2022 when two seats were open. There were no open seats in 2020, 2018, 2016, and 2014.

Incumbent Rep. Blaine Luetkemeyer (R-03) did not run for re-election because he retired from public office.

Two congressional districts—the 1st and the 3rd—were tied for the most candidates running in a district in 2024. Four Democrats and five Republicans ran in the 1st Congressional District, and two Democrats and seven Republicans ran in the 3rd Congressional District.

Twelve primaries—six Democratic and six Republican—were contested in 2024. Between 2022 and 2014, there was an average of 11.6 contested primaries per year.

Five incumbents—one Democrat and four Republicans—were in contested primaries tin 2024, tying with 2018 and 2014 for the fewest this decade.

Candidates filed to run in the Republican and Democratic primaries in all eight districts, meaning no seats were guaranteed to either party.

Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+27. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 27 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Missouri's 1st the 25th most Democratic district nationally.[8]

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

2020 presidential results in Missouri's 1st based on 2024 district lines
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
78.4% 20.0%

Inside Elections Baselines

See also: Inside Elections

Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.[9] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.

Inside Elections Baseline for 2024
Democratic Baseline Democratic Party Republican Baseline Republican Party Difference
75.4 21.8 R+53.6

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in Missouri, 2020

Missouri presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 14 Democratic wins
  • 17 Republican wins
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party D R R D D R R R D D D D D R D D D R R D R R R D D R R R R R R
See also: Party control of Missouri state government

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Missouri's congressional delegation as of May 2024.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Missouri
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 0 2 2
Republican 2 6 8
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 0 0
Total 2 8 10

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Missouri's top four state executive offices as May 2024.

State executive officials in Missouri, May 2024
Office Officeholder
Governor Republican Party Mike Parson
Lieutenant Governor Republican Party Mike Kehoe
Secretary of State Republican Party Jay Ashcroft
Attorney General Republican Party Andrew Bailey

State legislature

Missouri State Senate

Party As of February 2024
     Democratic Party 10
     Republican Party 24
     Other 0
     Vacancies 0
Total 34

Missouri House of Representatives

Party As of February 2024
     Democratic Party 51
     Republican Party 111
     Other 0
     Vacancies 1
Total 163

Trifecta control

The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.

Missouri Party Control: 1992-2024
Eight years of Democratic trifectas  •  Twelve years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Governor R D D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R
Senate D D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
House D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R

District history

The section below details election results for this office in elections dating back to 2018.

2022

See also: Missouri's 1st Congressional District election, 2022

General election

General election for U.S. House Missouri District 1

Incumbent Cori Bush defeated Andrew Jones Jr. and George Zsidisin in the general election for U.S. House Missouri District 1 on November 8, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Cori Bush
Cori Bush (D)
 
72.9
 
160,999
Image of Andrew Jones Jr.
Andrew Jones Jr. (R) Candidate Connection
 
24.3
 
53,767
Image of George Zsidisin
George Zsidisin (L) Candidate Connection
 
2.8
 
6,192
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.0
 
7

Total votes: 220,965
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Missouri District 1

Incumbent Cori Bush defeated Steve Roberts, Michael Daniels, Ron Harshaw, and Earl Childress in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Missouri District 1 on August 2, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Cori Bush
Cori Bush
 
69.5
 
65,326
Image of Steve Roberts
Steve Roberts
 
26.6
 
25,015
Michael Daniels
 
1.8
 
1,683
Image of Ron Harshaw
Ron Harshaw
 
1.1
 
1,065
Image of Earl Childress
Earl Childress
 
1.0
 
929

Total votes: 94,018
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Missouri District 1

Andrew Jones Jr. defeated Steven Jordan and Laura Mitchell-Riley in the Republican primary for U.S. House Missouri District 1 on August 2, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Andrew Jones Jr.
Andrew Jones Jr. Candidate Connection
 
42.4
 
6,937
Image of Steven Jordan
Steven Jordan
 
31.5
 
5,153
Image of Laura Mitchell-Riley
Laura Mitchell-Riley
 
26.1
 
4,260

Total votes: 16,350
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Libertarian primary election

Libertarian primary for U.S. House Missouri District 1

George Zsidisin advanced from the Libertarian primary for U.S. House Missouri District 1 on August 2, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of George Zsidisin
George Zsidisin Candidate Connection
 
100.0
 
206

Total votes: 206
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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2020

See also: Missouri's 1st Congressional District election, 2020

General election

General election for U.S. House Missouri District 1

Cori Bush defeated Anthony Rogers, Alex Furman, and Martin Baker in the general election for U.S. House Missouri District 1 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Cori Bush
Cori Bush (D)
 
78.8
 
249,087
Image of Anthony Rogers
Anthony Rogers (R)
 
19.0
 
59,940
Image of Alex Furman
Alex Furman (L) Candidate Connection
 
2.1
 
6,766
Image of Martin Baker
Martin Baker (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.1
 
378

Total votes: 316,171
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Missouri District 1

Cori Bush defeated incumbent William Lacy Clay and Katherine Bruckner in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Missouri District 1 on August 4, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Cori Bush
Cori Bush
 
48.5
 
73,274
Image of William Lacy Clay
William Lacy Clay
 
45.6
 
68,887
Katherine Bruckner
 
5.9
 
8,850

Total votes: 151,011
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Missouri District 1

Anthony Rogers defeated Winnie Heartstrong in the Republican primary for U.S. House Missouri District 1 on August 4, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Anthony Rogers
Anthony Rogers
 
61.5
 
6,979
Image of Winnie Heartstrong
Winnie Heartstrong Candidate Connection
 
38.5
 
4,367

Total votes: 11,346
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Libertarian primary election

Libertarian primary for U.S. House Missouri District 1

Alex Furman advanced from the Libertarian primary for U.S. House Missouri District 1 on August 4, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Alex Furman
Alex Furman Candidate Connection
 
100.0
 
337

Total votes: 337
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

2018

See also: Missouri's 1st Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Missouri District 1

Incumbent William Lacy Clay defeated Robert Vroman and Robb Cunningham in the general election for U.S. House Missouri District 1 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of William Lacy Clay
William Lacy Clay (D)
 
80.1
 
219,781
Image of Robert Vroman
Robert Vroman (R) Candidate Connection
 
16.7
 
45,867
Image of Robb Cunningham
Robb Cunningham (L)
 
3.2
 
8,727

Total votes: 274,375
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Missouri District 1

Incumbent William Lacy Clay defeated Cori Bush, Joshua Shipp, and Demarco Davidson in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Missouri District 1 on August 7, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of William Lacy Clay
William Lacy Clay
 
56.7
 
81,812
Image of Cori Bush
Cori Bush
 
36.9
 
53,250
Image of Joshua Shipp
Joshua Shipp Candidate Connection
 
3.4
 
4,974
Image of Demarco Davidson
Demarco Davidson
 
2.9
 
4,243

Total votes: 144,279
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Missouri District 1

Robert Vroman defeated Edward Van Deventer Jr. and Camille Lombardi-Olive in the Republican primary for U.S. House Missouri District 1 on August 7, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Robert Vroman
Robert Vroman Candidate Connection
 
34.5
 
5,101
Image of Edward Van Deventer Jr.
Edward Van Deventer Jr. Candidate Connection
 
32.9
 
4,876
Image of Camille Lombardi-Olive
Camille Lombardi-Olive
 
32.6
 
4,829

Total votes: 14,806
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Libertarian primary election

Libertarian primary for U.S. House Missouri District 1

Robb Cunningham advanced from the Libertarian primary for U.S. House Missouri District 1 on August 7, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Robb Cunningham
Robb Cunningham
 
100.0
 
478

Total votes: 478
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.



See also

Missouri 2024 primaries 2024 U.S. Congress elections
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Footnotes

  1. A majority in the U.S. House when there are no vacancies is 218 seats.
  2. These figures include the seat of Rep. Matt Gaetz (R-Fla.), who resigned on Nov. 13, 2024, after winning re-election.
  3. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
  4. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  5. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  6. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  7. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  8. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
  9. Inside Elections, "Methodology: Inside Elections’ Baseline by Congressional District," December 8, 2023


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
Bob Onder (R)
District 4
District 5
District 6
District 7
District 8
Republican Party (8)
Democratic Party (2)