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United States Senate election in New York, 2018

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2022
2016
U.S. Senate, New York
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: April 12, 2018
Primary: June 26, 2018
General: November 6, 2018

Pre-election incumbent:
Kirsten Gillibrand (Democrat)
How to vote
Poll times: 6 a.m. to 9 p.m. (general elections); primary times vary by county
Voting in New York
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic
Inside Elections: Solid Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018
See also
U.S. Senate, New York
U.S. Senate1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th10th11th12th13th14th15th16th17th18th19th20th21st22nd23rd24th25th26th27th
New York elections, 2018
U.S. Congress elections, 2018
U.S. Senate elections, 2018
U.S. House elections, 2018

Voters in New York elected one member to the U.S. Senate in the election on November 6, 2018.

The election filled the Class 1 Senate seat held by Kirsten Gillibrand (D). She was first appointed in 2009.





Election results

General election

Ballotpedia will publish vote totals here after they become available.

U.S. Senate, New York General Election, 2018
Party Candidate
    Democratic Kirsten Gillibrand Incumbent
    Republican Chele Farley

Primary election

U.S. Senate, New York Democratic Primary Election, 2018
Candidates
Green check mark transparent.png Kirsten Gillibrand Incumbent
Source: The New York Times


U.S. Senate, New York Republican Primary Election, 2018
Candidates
Green check mark transparent.png Chele Farley
Source: The New York Times

Candidates

See also: Statistics on U.S. Congress candidates, 2018

General election

General election candidates

Write-in candidates:

Democratic Party Scott Noren

Primary election

See also: United States Senate election in New York (2018 Democratic primary)
See also: United States Senate election in New York (2018 Republican primary)

Democratic Party Democratic primary candidates

This primary was canceled and this candidate advanced:


Republican Party Republican primary candidates

This primary was canceled and this candidate advanced:


Did not make the ballot:


Key votes

Key votes cast by Gillibrand

Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D-N.Y.) cast the following key votes—votes that help citizens understand where their legislators stand on major policy issues—during the 115th Congress, which convened on January 3, 2017, and adjourned on January 3, 2019.

2016 Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties and Congressional districts intersecting with Pivot Counties

New York features 12 congressional districts that, based on boundaries adopted after the 2010 census, intersected with one or more Pivot Counties. These 206 Pivot Counties voted for Donald Trump (R) in 2016 after voting for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012.

The 206 Pivot Counties are located in 34 states. Iowa, with 31, had the most such counties. Heading into the 2018 elections, the partisan makeup of the 108 congressional districts intersecting with Pivot Counties was more Republican than the partisan breakdown of the U.S. House. Of the 108 congressional districts that had at least one Pivot County, 63 percent were held by a Republican incumbent, while 55.4 percent of U.S. House seats were won by a Republican in the 2016 elections.[41]

Campaign contributions

The table below contains data from FEC Quarterly October 2017 reports. It includes only candidates who reported at least $10,000 in campaign contributions as of September 30, 2017.[42]

Democratic Party Democrats



Republican Party Republicans



Wave election analysis

See also: Wave elections (1918-2016)

The term wave election is frequently used to describe an election cycle in which one party makes significant electoral gains. How many seats would Republicans have had to lose for the 2018 midterm election to be considered a wave election?

Ballotpedia examined the results of the 50 election cycles that occurred between 1918 and 2016—spanning from President Woodrow Wilson's (D) second midterm in 1918 to Donald Trump's (R) first presidential election in 2016. We define wave elections as the 20 percent of elections in that period resulting in the greatest seat swings against the president's party.

Applying this definition to U.S. Senate elections, we found that Republicans needed to lose seven seats for 2018 to qualify as a wave election.

The chart below shows the number of seats the president's party lost in the 10 U.S. Senate waves from 1918 to 2016. Click here to read the full report.

U.S. Senate wave elections
Year President Party Election type Senate seats change Senate majority[43]
1932 Hoover R Presidential -13 D (flipped)
1958 Eisenhower R Second midterm -12 D
1946 Truman D First midterm -10 R (flipped)
1980 Carter D Presidential -9 R (flipped)
2014 Obama D Second midterm -9 R (flipped)
1942 Roosevelt D Third midterm -8 D
2008 George W. Bush D Presidential -8 D
1926 Coolidge R First midterm[44] -7 R
1930 Hoover R First midterm -7 R
1986 Reagan R Second midterm -7 D (flipped)

Election history

2016

See also: United States Senate election in New York, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated New York's U.S. Senate race as safely Democratic. Incumbent Chuck Schumer (D) defeated Wendy Long (R), Alex Merced (L), and Robin Laverne Wilson (G) in the general election on November 8, 2016. No candidate faced a primary opponent in June.[45]

U.S. Senate, New York General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngChuck Schumer Incumbent 70.7% 5,182,006
     Republican Wendy Long 27.1% 1,988,261
     Green Robin Wilson 1.5% 112,521
     Libertarian Alex Merced 0.7% 47,666
Total Votes 7,330,454
Source: New York Board of Elections

2012

See also: United States Senate elections in New York, 2012

On November 6, 2012, incumbent Kirsten Gillibrand (D) won re-election to the United States Senate. She defeated Wendy Long (R), Colia Clark (G), Chris Edes (L) and John Mangelli (Common Sense Party) in the general election.

U.S. Senate, New York General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngKirsten Gillibrand Incumbent 72.2% 4,822,330
     Republican Wendy Long 26.3% 1,758,702
     Green Colia Clark 0.6% 42,591
     Libertarian Chris Edes 0.5% 32,002
     CSP John Mangelli 0.3% 22,041
     N/A Write-in votes 0% 2,012
Total Votes 6,679,678
Source: New York State Board of Elections, "NYS Board of Elections U.S. Senator Election Returns November 6, 2012," accessed August 30, 2021

See also


Footnotes

  1. Senate.gov, "On the Motion (Motion to Concur in the House Amendment with an Amendment)," December 18, 2018
  2. Senate.gov, "On the Conference Report (Conference Report to Accompany H.R. 2)," December 11, 2018
  3. Senate.gov, "On the Nomination (Confirmation Brett M. Kavanaugh, of Maryland, to be an Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States)," October 6, 2018
  4. Senate.gov, "On the Cloture Motion (Motion to Invoke Cloture Re: Brett M. Kavanaugh to be an Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States)," October 5, 2018
  5. Senate.gov, "On Passage of the Bill (H.R. 2, As Amended)," June 28, 2018
  6. Senate.gov, "On the Cloture Motion (Motion to Invoke Cloture on Amdt. No. 1959)," February 15, 2018
  7. Senate.gov, "On the Cloture Motion (Motion to Invoke Cloture on Amdt. No. 1958 As Modified)," February 15, 2018
  8. Senate.gov, "On the Cloture Motion (Motion to Invoke Cloture on Amdt. No. 1948)," February 15, 2018
  9. Senate.gov, "On the Cloture Motion (Motion to Invoke Cloture on Amdt. No. 1955)," February 15, 2018
  10. Senate.gov, "On Cloture on the Motion to Proceed (Motion to Invoke Cloture on the Motion to Proceed to the Consideration of S. 2311)," January 29, 2018
  11. Senate.gov, "On the Amendment (McConnell Amdt. No. 667)," July 28, 2017
  12. Senate.gov, "On the Amendment (Paul Amdt. No. 271 )," July 26, 2017
  13. Senate.gov, "On the Motion (Motion to Waive All Applicable Budgetary Discipline Re: Amdt. No. 270)," July 25, 2017
  14. Senate.gov, "On the Motion to Proceed (Motion to Proceed to H.R. 1628)," July 25, 2017
  15. U.S. Senate, "On the Nomination (Confirmation: Neil M. Gorsuch, of Colorado, to be an Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States)," April 7, 2017
  16. U.S. Senate, "On the Cloture Motion (Upon Reconsideration, Motion to Invoke Cloture on the Nomination of Neil M. Gorsuch of Colorado, to be an Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States)," April 6, 2017
  17. U.S. Senate, "On the Decision of the Chair (Shall the Decision of the Chair Stand as the Judgment of the Senate?)," April 6, 2017
  18. U.S. Senate, "On the Cloture Motion (Motion to Invoke Cloture on the Nomination of Neil M. Gorsuch, of Colorado, to be an Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States)," April 6, 2017
  19. Senate.gov, "On the Conference Report (Conference Report to Accompany H.R. 6157)," September 18, 2018
  20. Senate.gov, "On the Conference Report (Conference Report to Accompany H.R. 5895)," September 12, 2018
  21. Senate.gov, "On Passage of the Bill (H. R. 6157 As Amended)," August 23, 2018
  22. Senate.gov, "On Passage of the Bill (H.R. 5895 As Amended)," June 25, 2018
  23. Senate.gov, "On the Motion (Motion to Concur in the House Amendment to the Senate Amendment to H.R. 1625)," March 23, 2018
  24. Senate.gov, "On the Motion (Motion to Concur in the House Amendment to the Senate Amendment to H.R. 1892 with an Amendment (SA 1930))," February 9, 2018
  25. Senate.gov, "On the Cloture Motion (Motion to Invoke Cloture on the Motion to Concur in the House Amendment to the Senate Amendment to H.R. 695)," February 8, 2018
  26. Senate.gov, "On the Motion (Motion to Concur in the House Amendment to the Senate Amendment with Further Amendment)," January 22, 2018
  27. Senate.gov, "On the Cloture Motion (Motion to Invoke Cloture: Motion to Concur in the House Amendment to the Senate Amendment to H.R. 195)," January 22, 2018
  28. Senate.gov, "On the Cloture Motion (Motion to Invoke Cloture: House Amendment to the Senate Amendment to H.R. 195)," January 19, 2018
  29. Senate.gov, "On the Motion (Motion to Concur in the House Amendment to the Senate Amendment to H.R. 1370)," December 21, 2017
  30. Senate.gov, "On the Motion to Recede from the Senate Amendment to H.R. 1 and Concur with Further Amendment ," December 20, 2017
  31. Senate.gov, "On the Joint Resolution (H.J. Res. 123)," December 7, 2017
  32. Senate.gov, "On Passage of the Bill (H.R. 1 As Amended )," December 2, 2017
  33. Senate.gov, "On the Concurrent Resolution (H. Con. Res. 71 As Amended)," October 19, 2017
  34. Senate.gov, "On the Motion (Motion to Concur in the House Amdt. to the Senate Amdt. with an Amdt. No. 808 to H.R. 601)," September 7, 2017
  35. U.S. Senate, "On the Motion (Motion to Concur in the House Amendment to the Senate Amendment to H.R. 244)," May 4, 2017
  36. Senate.gov, "On the Joint Resolution (S.J. Res. 54, As Amended), December 13, 2018
  37. Senate.gov, "On Passage of the Bill (H.R. 2810 As Amended)," September 18, 2017
  38. The Hill, "Senate sends $692B defense policy bill to Trump's desk," November 15, 2017
  39. Senate.gov, "On Passage of the Bill (H.R. 3364)," July 27, 2017
  40. Senate.gov, "On Passage of the Bill (S. 722 As Amended)," June 15, 2017
  41. The raw data for this study was provided by Dave Leip of Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections.
  42. FEC, "Federal Election Commission," accessed November 5, 2017
  43. Denotes the party that had more seats in the U.S. House following the election.
  44. Calvin Coolidge's (R) first term began in August 1923 after the death of President Warren Harding (R), who was first elected in 1920. Before he had his first midterm in 1926, Coolidge was re-elected as president in 1924.
  45. New York State Board of Elections, "Filings received for the 2016 Primary Election," accessed May 9, 2016



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Representatives
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Pat Ryan (D)
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Democratic Party (21)
Republican Party (7)