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Maryland's 2nd Congressional District election, 2018
General election
General election for U.S. House Maryland District 2
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Dutch Ruppersberger (D) | 66.0 | 167,201 |
Elizabeth Matory (R) | 30.7 | 77,782 | ||
![]() | Michael Carney (L) | 2.1 | 5,215 | |
Guy Mimoun (G) ![]() | 1.1 | 2,904 | ||
Other/Write-in votes | 0.1 | 200 |
Total votes: 253,302 (100.00% precincts reporting) | ||||
![]() | ||||
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- General election: Nov. 6
- Voter registration deadline: Oct. 16
- Early voting: Oct. 25 - Nov. 1
- Absentee voting deadline: Postmark Nov. 6
- Online registration: Yes
- Same-day registration: Only during early voting period
- Voter ID: No ID required generally
- Poll times: 7:00 a.m. to 8:00 p.m.
2020 →
← 2016
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Maryland's 2nd Congressional District |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: February 27, 2018 |
Primary: June 26, 2018 General: November 6, 2018 Pre-election incumbent: Dutch Ruppersberger (Democrat) |
How to vote |
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. Voting in Maryland |
Race ratings |
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic Inside Elections: Solid Democratic Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018 |
See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th Maryland elections, 2018 U.S. Congress elections, 2018 U.S. Senate elections, 2018 U.S. House elections, 2018 |
All U.S. congressional districts, including the 2nd Congressional District of Maryland, held elections in 2018.
Heading into the election the incumbent was Dutch Ruppersberger (D), who was first elected in 2002.
Maryland's 2nd Congressional District encompasses parts of Anne Arundel, Baltimore, Harford and Howard counties, including parts of the city of Baltimore.
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House Maryland District 2
Incumbent Dutch Ruppersberger defeated Elizabeth Matory, Michael Carney, and Guy Mimoun in the general election for U.S. House Maryland District 2 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Dutch Ruppersberger (D) | 66.0 | 167,201 |
Elizabeth Matory (R) | 30.7 | 77,782 | ||
![]() | Michael Carney (L) | 2.1 | 5,215 | |
Guy Mimoun (G) ![]() | 1.1 | 2,904 | ||
Other/Write-in votes | 0.1 | 200 |
Total votes: 253,302 (100.00% precincts reporting) | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Maryland District 2
Incumbent Dutch Ruppersberger defeated Jake Pretot in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Maryland District 2 on June 26, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Dutch Ruppersberger | 78.1 | 47,776 |
Jake Pretot | 21.9 | 13,405 |
Total votes: 61,181 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Maryland District 2
Elizabeth Matory defeated Mark Shell, Mitchell Toland Jr., and Hubert Owens Jr. in the Republican primary for U.S. House Maryland District 2 on June 26, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Elizabeth Matory | 42.0 | 7,426 | |
![]() | Mark Shell | 23.6 | 4,171 | |
Mitchell Toland Jr. | 17.3 | 3,061 | ||
Hubert Owens Jr. | 17.1 | 3,017 |
Total votes: 17,675 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+11, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 11 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Maryland's 2nd Congressional District the 113th most Democratic nationally.[1]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.04. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.04 points toward that party.[2]
Campaign contributions
The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dutch Ruppersberger | Democratic Party | $1,012,733 | $971,085 | $1,118,732 | As of December 31, 2018 |
Elizabeth Matory | Republican Party | $39,521 | $37,410 | $4,651 | As of December 31, 2018 |
Guy Mimoun | Green Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Michael Carney | Libertarian Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2018. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
District history
2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. Incumbent Dutch Ruppersberger (D) defeated Pat McDonough (R) and Kristin Kasprzak (L) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Ruppersberger was unchallenged in the Democratic primary, while McDonough defeated Bill Heine, Carl H. Magee, Jr., Yuripzy Morgan, and Mark Shell to win the Republican nomination. The primary elections took place on April 26, 2016. [3][4]
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ![]() |
62.1% | 192,183 | |
Republican | Pat McDonough | 33.1% | 102,577 | |
Libertarian | Kristin Kasprzak | 4.6% | 14,128 | |
N/A | Write-in | 0.2% | 592 | |
Total Votes | 309,480 | |||
Source: Maryland State Board of Elections |
Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() |
71.4% | 28,397 | ||
Carl Magee | 10.6% | 4,195 | ||
Bill Heine | 8.1% | 3,203 | ||
Yuripzy Morgan | 5.7% | 2,257 | ||
Mark Shell | 4.3% | 1,709 | ||
Total Votes | 39,761 | |||
Source: Maryland State Board of Elections |
2014
The 2nd Congressional District of Maryland held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Dutch Ruppersberger (D) defeated David Banach (R) and Ian Schlakman (G) in the general election.
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | ![]() |
61.3% | 120,412 | |
Republican | David Banach | 35.9% | 70,411 | |
Green | Ian Schlakman | 2.7% | 5,326 | |
Write-in | Others | 0.1% | 205 | |
Total Votes | 196,354 | |||
Source: Maryland Secretary of State Official Results |
Pivot Counties
- See also: Pivot Counties by state
There are no Pivot Counties in Maryland. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.
In the 2016 presidential election, Hillary Clinton (D) won Maryland with 60.3 percent of the vote. Donald Trump (R) received 33.9 percent. In presidential elections between 1789 and 2016, Maryland voted Democratic 52 percent of the time and Republican 21 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, Maryland voted Democratic all five times.[5]
State overview
Partisan control
This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in Maryland heading into the 2018 elections.
Congressional delegation
- Following the 2016 elections, Democrats held both U.S. Senate seats in Maryland.
- Democrats held seven of eight of the U.S. House seats in Maryland.
State executives
- As of September 2018, Republicans held three of 12 state executive positions, Democrats held two, and the remaining positions were officially nonpartisan.
- The governor of Maryland was Republican Larry Hogan. The state held elections for governor and lieutenant governor on November 6, 2018.
State legislature
- Democrats controlled both chambers of the Maryland General Assembly. They had a 91-50 majority in the state House and a 33-14 majority in the state Senate.
Trifecta status
- Maryland was under divided government, meaning that the two parties shared control of the state government. Larry Hogan (R) served as governor, while Democrats controlled the state legislature.
2018 elections
- See also: Maryland elections, 2018
Maryland held elections for the following positions in 2018:
- One U.S. Senate seat
- Eight U.S. House seats
- Governor and lieutenant governor
- Two lower state executive positions
- 47 state Senate seats
- 141 state House seats
Demographics
Demographic data for Maryland | ||
---|---|---|
Maryland | U.S. | |
Total population: | 5,994,983 | 316,515,021 |
Land area (sq mi): | 9,707 | 3,531,905 |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White: | 57.6% | 73.6% |
Black/African American: | 29.5% | 12.6% |
Asian: | 6% | 5.1% |
Native American: | 0.3% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander: | 0% | 0.2% |
Two or more: | 3% | 3% |
Hispanic/Latino: | 9% | 17.1% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate: | 89.4% | 86.7% |
College graduation rate: | 37.9% | 29.8% |
Income | ||
Median household income: | $74,551 | $53,889 |
Persons below poverty level: | 10.7% | 11.3% |
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Maryland. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. |
As of July 2016, Maryland's three largest cities were Baltimore (pop. est. 611,648), Columbia (pop. est. 103,439), and Germantown (pop. est. 90,494).[6][7]
State election history
This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Maryland from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the Maryland State Board of Elections.
Historical elections
Presidential elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Maryland every year from 2000 to 2016.
Election results (President of the United States), Maryland 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2016 | ![]() |
60.3% | ![]() |
33.9% | 26.4% |
2012 | ![]() |
62.0% | ![]() |
35.9% | 26.1% |
2008 | ![]() |
61.9% | ![]() |
36.5% | 25.4% |
2004 | ![]() |
55.9% | ![]() |
42.9% | 13.0% |
2000 | ![]() |
56.6% | ![]() |
40.2% | 16.4% |
U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in Maryland from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.
Election results (U.S. Senator), Maryland 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2016 | ![]() |
60.9% | ![]() |
35.7% | 25.2% |
2012 | ![]() |
56.0% | ![]() |
26.3% | 29.7% |
2010 | ![]() |
62.2% | ![]() |
35.8% | 26.4% |
2006 | ![]() |
54.2% | ![]() |
44.2% | 10.0% |
2004 | ![]() |
64.8% | ![]() |
33.8% | 31.0% |
2000 | ![]() |
63.2% | ![]() |
36.7% | 26.5% |
Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Maryland.
Election results (Governor), Maryland 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2014 | ![]() |
51.0% | ![]() |
47.2% | 3.8% |
2010 | ![]() |
49.5% | ![]() |
41.8% | 6.7% |
2006 | ![]() |
52.7% | ![]() |
46.2% | 6.5% |
2002 | ![]() |
51.6% | ![]() |
47.7% | 3.9% |
Congressional delegation, 2000-2016
This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Maryland in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.
Trifectas, 1992-2017
A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.
Maryland Party Control: 1992-2025
Twenty-two years of Democratic trifectas • No Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D |
Senate | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
House | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
See also
- Maryland's 2nd Congressional District election (June 26, 2018 Democratic primary)
- Maryland's 2nd Congressional District election (June 26, 2018 Republican primary)
- United States House of Representatives elections in Maryland, 2018
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2018
Footnotes
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
- ↑ Maryland State Board of Elections, "2016 Presidential Primary Election State Candidates List," accessed February 5, 2016
- ↑ The New York Times, "Maryland Primary Results," April 26, 2016
- ↑ 270towin.com, "Maryland," accessed June 22, 2017
- ↑ Cubit, "Maryland by Population," accessed September 4, 2018
- ↑ U.S. Census Bureau, "Quickfacts Maryland," accessed September 4, 2018