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Arizona's 4th Congressional District election, 2024

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2026
2022
Arizona's 4th Congressional District
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge.png
Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: April 1, 2024
Primary: July 30, 2024
General: November 5, 2024
How to vote
Poll times: 6 a.m. to 7 p.m.
Voting in Arizona
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic
DDHQ and The Hill: Likely Democratic
Inside Elections: Solid Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024
See also
Arizona's 4th Congressional District
U.S. Senate1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th
Arizona elections, 2024
U.S. Congress elections, 2024
U.S. Senate elections, 2024
U.S. House elections, 2024

All U.S. House districts, including the 4th Congressional District of Arizona, held elections in 2024. The general election was November 5, 2024. The primary was July 30, 2024. The filing deadline was April 1, 2024.

This race was one of 75 races in 2024 that was a rematch of the 2022 election. In 2024, Democrats won 39 of these matches, while Republicans won 36 of them. Democrats won 38 of those districts in 2022, and Republicans won 37.

The outcome of this race affected the partisan balance of the U.S. House of Representatives in the 119th Congress. All 435 House districts were up for election.

At the time of the election, Republicans held a 220-212 majority with three vacancies.[1] As a result of the election, Republicans retained control of the U.S. House, winning 220 seats to Democrats' 215.[2] To read more about the 2024 U.S. House elections, click here.

In the 2022 election in this district, the Democratic candidate won 56.1%-43.9%. Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have defeated Donald Trump (R) 54.2%-43.9%.[3]

For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:

Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Arizona District 4

Incumbent Greg Stanton defeated Kelly Cooper and Vincent Beck-Jones in the general election for U.S. House Arizona District 4 on November 5, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Greg Stanton
Greg Stanton (D)
 
52.7
 
176,428
Image of Kelly Cooper
Kelly Cooper (R)
 
45.5
 
152,052
Image of Vincent Beck-Jones
Vincent Beck-Jones (G) Candidate Connection
 
1.8
 
6,065

Total votes: 334,545
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 4

Incumbent Greg Stanton advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 4 on July 30, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Greg Stanton
Greg Stanton
 
100.0
 
49,178

Total votes: 49,178
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 4

Kelly Cooper defeated Zuhdi Jasser, Dave Giles, and Jerone Davison in the Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 4 on July 30, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Kelly Cooper
Kelly Cooper
 
32.0
 
18,902
Image of Zuhdi Jasser
Zuhdi Jasser Candidate Connection
 
27.0
 
15,929
Image of Dave Giles
Dave Giles
 
23.0
 
13,575
Image of Jerone Davison
Jerone Davison Candidate Connection
 
18.1
 
10,664

Total votes: 59,070
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Green primary election

Green primary for U.S. House Arizona District 4

Vincent Beck-Jones advanced from the Green primary for U.S. House Arizona District 4 on July 30, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Vincent Beck-Jones
Vincent Beck-Jones (Write-in) Candidate Connection
 
100.0
 
31

Total votes: 31
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Candidate profiles

This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.

Image of Vincent Beck-Jones

WebsiteFacebookTwitter

Party: Green Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Submitted Biography "Vincent was born in San Diego, and moved around throughout his childhood from foster care, to New Mexico and finally graduating high school in Lawton, OK. From there he joined the Navy and served multiple campaigns and was deployed in theater for the entirety of Desert Shield/Desert Storm. After receiving an honorable discharge he received his Associates Degree from San Diego City College and entered the work force. Vincent has worked in multiple disciplines in the public sector including cellular and mainly biotech/biomed in electro-mechanical technician and engineering roles. He has also run his own Espresso vending cart in San Diego. Vincent moved to Phoenix in 2012. Vincent has spent much of his life supporting and advocating for animal welfare. He has been instrumental in getting protections placed for endangered mountain lions in the Cuyamaca Mountains of California, to campaigning for wildcat protections in Arizona and eventually playing a lead role in the coyote killing contest ban in Arizona. Vincent's activism led him to an active political role in Arizona's Green Party. Sharing ideals like social and economic equality, education and health care for all, and public protections for wildlife and lands in danger of ruin from unapologetic corporate machines who have never even set foot in the southwest. He has sat on the Green Party steering committee as Vice Co-chair and Treasurer for over 3 years."


Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses, click here.


Community. We have lost touch as a community. The duopoly of Republican/Democrat government have put us at odds with each other. The truth is, it is community that holds us together. Not a government. In times of crisis it is each other that we can rely on. In times of charity or need it is us as a community that provides relief. It is as a community that we should govern ourselves. The duopoly has for too long, only given us a choice of bad or worse. There are other options but Americans are afraid to vote for them. We must trust in our community, trust in eachother and know, the same bonding principles that guide us as communities, can guide us as a governnent as well.


Health care. Everyone has the right to equal health care. Doctors take an oath, one that was originally purposed on doctors providing care when was needed and not to do unnecessary harm. Throughout the deregulation and privatising of public medicine, we have allowed profiteers to determine the effect of our health care. Nobody should be denied, medicine or care based on a private companies profit margins. We need massive health system reform. We need to put the care back in health care.


Education. Everyone has the inalienable right to at least a QUALITY basic education. Private franchises are selling drive-through educations and stealing public education money for their profits. Teachers required to have Master's Degrees in addition to teaching credentials are making BELOW THE LINE salaries. This is a disgrace and shame on the American institution in general. If we don't have a government with a priority dedication to education, why do we even have a government? We need to stop selling our children's futures to cookie cutter franchised education.

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Arizona District 4 in 2024.

Voting information

See also: Voting in Arizona

Election information in Arizona: Nov. 5, 2024, election.

What was the voter registration deadline?

  • In-person: Oct. 7, 2024
  • By mail: Postmarked by Oct. 7, 2024
  • Online: Oct. 7, 2024

Was absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

Yes

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

  • In-person: Oct. 25, 2024
  • By mail: Received by Oct. 25, 2024
  • Online: Oct. 25, 2024

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

  • In-person: Nov. 5, 2024
  • By mail: Received by Nov. 5, 2024

Was early voting available to all voters?

Yes

What were the early voting start and end dates?

Oct. 9, 2024 to Nov. 1, 2024

Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, was a photo or non-photo ID required?

N/A

When were polls open on Election Day?

6:00 a.m. - 7:00 p.m. (MST)

Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses

Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.

Survey responses from candidates in this race

Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.

Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.

Expand all | Collapse all

Community. We have lost touch as a community. The duopoly of Republican/Democrat government have put us at odds with each other. The truth is, it is community that holds us together. Not a government. In times of crisis it is each other that we can rely on. In times of charity or need it is us as a community that provides relief.

It is as a community that we should govern ourselves. The duopoly has for too long, only given us a choice of bad or worse. There are other options but Americans are afraid to vote for them. We must trust in our community, trust in eachother and know, the same bonding principles that guide us as communities, can guide us as a governnent as well.

Health care. Everyone has the right to equal health care. Doctors take an oath, one that was originally purposed on doctors providing care when was needed and not to do unnecessary harm.

Throughout the deregulation and privatising of public medicine, we have allowed profiteers to determine the effect of our health care. Nobody should be denied, medicine or care based on a private companies profit margins.

We need massive health system reform. We need to put the care back in health care.

Education.

Everyone has the inalienable right to at least a QUALITY basic education. Private franchises are selling drive-through educations and stealing public education money for their profits.

Teachers required to have Master's Degrees in addition to teaching credentials are making BELOW THE LINE salaries. This is a disgrace and shame on the American institution in general. If we don't have a government with a priority dedication to education, why do we even have a government? We need to stop selling our children's futures to cookie cutter franchised education.
All areas. It's important to understand the concerns of a community and respond to it's needs.

Health and welfare of living beings. You have nothing if you don't have a people.

Climate change, agriculture, and animal rights. The earth will survive, with or without us. It's up to us to ensure our survival.

Health care, nobody should go without because of social economic status.

Pro choice. Nobody's life should be in jeopardy because of some ancient belief.

Immigration. This country was founded on it. Now because of some racists, we have all forgotten that.
James T. Jones. My step father. He always made sense in a salt-of-the-earth real world values kind of way. He taught me so much with so few words. I don't know of any examples I would like to follow. I try to look at multiple paths and possible outcomes and choose to follow which one looks like it could end up with a positive and useful outcome. Right now I have a great job doing research and development on products that save peoples' lives. I also feel I can have a promising impact of the future of everyone in the country through politics. I suppose it will be the voters that choose which path I will end up on, but both have a positive outcome.
Ask me in 4 years. :) Sebastian Junger, Tribe: On Homecoming and Belonging and Freedom are great books about the human experience. They're short reads but his observations about real life and in situ human nature are remarkable, making you feel like these are things you already knew but hadn't defined for yourself.
I think it's important for an elected official to remember, it's not the 1% that put them in office, it's the 99% that believes in them. An elected official is a public servant. That means you serve your constituents. Know their needs, evaluate the social climate, act according to what's best for the people and their future. Money will always be there. Businesses come and go. Power and energy, raw materials, health trends, communications. All these things ebb and flow. It's important to understand when it's time to let go of outdated paradigms and move on to cleaner, better, advanced ideas, resources, and methods. There will always be something new and better. That means something else will disappear. As long as the next step is more useful and less wasteful, then it's time to move on. An attentive elected official will know this, and take action that present the greatest benefit to everyone.
As mentioned before, my word. I believe a lot of officeholders forget themselves once they obtain office. I have no other predisposition about being a congressman outside of contributing to a better future for everyone.

I am intelligent. I have always tested in the 96th percentile. Yes I like to boast about it. But I do think its a quality that will prove to be an asset in office.

I am literally everyday Joe. I went to public school, did military service, when to community college, worked in food service, high tech and have run some entrepreneurial ventures as well. I have rented apartments, bought and sold real estate, have weathered recessions, been laid off, and have worked some great jobs as well. I use the same health coverage as every American and I have the same complaints and recognize the same failures in the "system" as everyone else. I hear, feel and experience what America really needs.
Core responsibilities are to the people of America. It's important to remember this on your last day in office as if it was your first. I friend asked me if I thought it wasn't a good time to be a junior member of Congress. After giving it some thought, it is the BEST time for being a junior member of Congress. Now is the time for something new. We have so much opportunity to do right by the people, right now. The only things holding us back are fear and greed. Fear and greed are not virtues, ambition, motivation, and belief in people are.
Aww. I would just like to be recognized as doing the best I could.
I remember the gas crunch of the mid 70s. I remember sitting in gas lines for what felt like hours. I was 5 or 6.
Working at a laundromate/car wash. I only worked it for the summer.
Ah so many. I like classics. But of late some of my favorite authors are Chuck Palahniuk and Sebastian Junger, Both have a way of describing life as you see it in words you may not choose yourself.
Hong Kong Phooey. Smooth voice, had a cat that did most of the heavy lifting for him. Folks didn't expect too much from him because you know, because he a dog that's a janitor.
Shane's Dentist by Mojo Nixon. It's about Shan McGowan's teeth. Both of them, very talented musicians, passed this year. Of all the entertainers from my youth that we have lost over the past few years these had the greatest affect on me. I hope you guys meet, wherever you went.
Trying to get people to believe that animals deserve the same rights we have. Animals feel sadness, anxiety, pain and loss, just like we do. Sadly people are quick to dispense with them. We have so many pets in animal control centers and rescues, meanwhile puppy mills are breeding animals with disease and physical deformities in squalid conditions to sell to unsuspecting customers. Even Agriculture animals are raised in filthy horrible CAFOs and farms. They live in their own excrement and pollute the environment for miles around. Why do people support this?
The environment to bring together, delegates from many cultures and microcosms throughout the US, to discuss the needs of the present and future for all America. It is shameful that the House is divided, not on true beliefs, but along party lines. This is why we need to break the duopoly. So we can get back to what we truly believe in, not what your party tells you to.
No. It is more beneficial for law makers to experience the needs of its constituents. It is beneficial for representatives to have previous experience as baristas, single mothers, homeless, engineers, veterans, security guards, bodega owners, cab drivers, food service folks, doctors, veterinarians. These are the people who know what the people need. These are the people that should speak for the people. These are the people that should represent the people.
Inflation, climate change, health care.

Inflation compounds itself. Our system of capitalism is designed for the wealthy to make money, whether we, the people, thrive or starve. In my lifetime, the wealthiest' income has increased by 10,000 times while we, the peoples' income has increased 10 times. This isn't a good model for an economic system. Money has to move around in order to have a successful economy otherwise we, the people suffer. We can have a golden age or we can have a recession, but the bottom line is, the wealthy who hoard the money, need to get out of their accounts and moving.

Climate change is happening. If you don't believe that, then sit back and don't get in the way. The rest of us have work to do. We need to reduce fossil fuel usage and products by massive amounts. Microplastics are in everything including our food. The earth and the seas are literally choking on it. We're next. We need to refocus our minds, and money off of fossil fuel related everything and work on more sustainable solutions.

Health care is in crisis. It has been since President Regan deregulated medicine in the 1980s. Health care should be an essential and undeniable human allowance. We give billions of dollars to animal agriculture which is singularly responsible for the decline of America's health. Meanwhile we only give hundreds of millions to earth sourced agriculture which is the natural remedy for heart disease, liver disease, kidney disease, arterial blockage, etc., etc. This financing system is upside down. It's time for real reform.
No. Nothing gets done in 2 years. It takes longer than that for a bill to get from computer to the floor.
Good idea, bad idea. It's great to have new people and fresh ideas. Although it seems fair if a public likes the person they put in office, like the job they're doing, they should have the option of keeping that person there. I disagree with the way politicians use legislation to make it harder for new candidates to run against them. It's an election, the public gets to choose who fills those seats. A politician shouldn't be allowed to threat to sue everyone who challenges them. That's straight bullying in the most dishonest way.
No but there are some whom I do admire. I don't believe we should be modeling the future on the past.
Oh this is not a very good idea. I don't know it's appropriate for this questionnaire. :D
Some compromise is useful. Then there are virtues and values one shouldn't compromise. My stepfather told me "never go back on your word. It's the one that that doesn't cost you anything, but is worth everything." Never compromise what's in your heart, always stay true to your word.
First I think we need to take a realistic look at what our government is doing with our money right now. Tens of billions of dollars to help a country commit genocide against another is disgraceful. And we have been doing this since the end of WWII. We have better things to do with the money we waste. When we control the waste, you can ask me about raising more revenue.
They should be used to control obvious abuses of power and station and they should end in decisions and actions that are useful to the investigation. It makes no sense to investigate someone if you're not going to do anything about it in the end. We either need better investigative processes or effective punitive measures.
Energy and Commerce. We need to correct our fossil fuel follies.

Agriculture. The money we spend on eating right is money we don't spend on medication, surgery and hospitals later in life.

Veterans. It wouldn't be America without veterans. Yet veterans are treated as a burden instead a national treasure. Everyone in this country literally owes everything to those who fought for it.

Education and workforce. Educations is the FIRST thing it should be guaranteeing its citizens.
100% transparency. 100% accountability. When you choose to be a public figure, you open your life to the public. If there are things you are concerned about public criticism, perhaps you should rethink your actions? These are tax dollars. The publics money. We have a right to know how it's being spent.


Campaign finance

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Greg Stanton Democratic Party $2,796,249 $1,813,860 $1,015,730 As of December 31, 2024
Kelly Cooper Republican Party $788,327 $816,881 $30,190 As of December 31, 2024
Jerone Davison Republican Party $57,903 $60,834 $-2,930 As of December 31, 2024
Dave Giles Republican Party $69,899 $65,620 $4,278 As of March 31, 2024
Zuhdi Jasser Republican Party $596,236 $595,953 $283 As of August 30, 2024
Vincent Beck-Jones Green Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.

General election race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[4]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[5][6][7]

Race ratings: Arizona's 4th Congressional District election, 2024
Race trackerRace ratings
November 5, 2024October 29, 2024October 22, 2024October 15, 2024
The Cook Political Report with Amy WalterSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Decision Desk HQ and The HillLikely DemocraticLikely DemocraticLikely DemocraticLikely Democratic
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe Democratic
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

Noteworthy ballot measures

See also: Arizona 2024 ballot measures

Arizona had 12 ballot measures on the November 5, 2024, ballot. Two notable ones were Proposition 139, which would have provided for a state constitutional right to an abortion, and Proposition 314, which would have allowed law enforcement to arrest any noncitizens who cross the border unlawfully.

Observers and officials commented on whether the amendments would affect voter turnout statewide.

  • Consultant Marcus Dell'Artino said the abortion amendment could increase turnout among young voters: “A measure like this in a presidential year number one, and two an issue as personal as abortion, certainly moves those younger voters 18 and older to get out and vote.”[8]
  • Democratic strategist Tony Cani said between the two amendments, abortion would be a bigger driver of turnout: "The types of voters who are motivated by the abortion initiative tend to be younger, tend to be women, tend to be voters that in the past have needed more of a reason to show up to the polls. And so I think that on balance, if you’re looking at the two, that the abortion initiative is probably going to drive turnout more."[9]
  • Republican consultant Barrett Marson said that the economy would be a more salient issue for voters: “The economy is going to play a much greater role in how people vote — try to get a mortgage around here, try to get a car loan at a reasonable rate. People are unhappy with those metrics right now.”[10]
  • NPR's Ben Giles said the immigration measure "might drive Republican turnout, but it also might drive turnout among groups who are against this immigration law and then might also vote for Democratic candidates when they head to the polls in November."[12]
  • Republican political analyst Sean Noble said: “I think that the people who care about immigration are gonna be motivated to come out for, to vote for Donald Trump just as much as they would for immigration... So I don’t think that the immigration issue on the ballot is gonna actually impact turnout.”[13]

Arizona Right to Abortion Initiative

See also: Arizona Proposition 139, Right to Abortion Initiative (2024)

A "yes" vote supported amending the state constitution to provide for the fundamental right to abortion, among other provisions.

A "no" vote opposed amending the state constitution to provide for the fundamental right to an abortion.

To read more about supporters and opponents of the initiative, along with their arguments, click on the box below.

Arizona Immigration and Border Law Enforcement Measure

See also: Arizona Proposition 314, Immigration and Border Law Enforcement Measure (2024)

A "yes" vote supported:

  • making it a state crime for noncitizens to enter the state at any location other than the port of entry;
  • allowing for state and local police to arrest noncitizens who cross the border unlawfully;
  • allowing for state judges to order deportations;
  • requiring the use of the E-Verify program in order to determine the immigration status of individuals before the enrollment in a financial aid or public welfare program;
  • making it a Class 6 felony for individuals who submit false information or documents to an employer to evade detection of employment eligibility, or to apply for public benefits, and;
  • making the sale of fentanyl a Class 2 felony if the person knowingly sells fentanyl and it results in the death of another person.

A "no" vote opposed making the above changes to state law regarding immigration, border law enforcement, and sale of fentanyl.

To read more about supporters and opponents of the initiative, along with their arguments, click on the box below.

Ballot access

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Arizona in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Arizona, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source
Arizona U.S. House Democratic 1,458[16] N/A 4/1/2024 Source
Arizona U.S. House Republican 1,572[16] N/A 4/1/2024 Source
Arizona U.S. House Libertarian 802[16] N/A 4/1/2024 Source
Arizona U.S. House Unaffiliated 4,701[16] N/A 4/1/2024 Source

District analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

  • District map - A map of the district in place for the election.
  • Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
  • State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.


Below was the map in use at the time of the election. Click the map below to enlarge it.

2023_01_03_az_congressional_district_04.jpg
See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2024

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Arizona.

Arizona U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2024
Year Districts/
offices
Seats Open seats Candidates Possible primaries Contested Democratic primaries Contested Republican primaries % of contested primaries Incumbents in contested primaries % of incumbents in contested primaries
2024 9 9 2 38 18 2 6 44.4% 3 42.9%
2022 9 9 1 40 18 2 7 50.0% 3 37.5%
2020 9 9 0 34 18 6 4 55.6% 3 33.3%
2018 9 9 2 38 18 5 5 55.6% 2 28.6%
2016 9 9 2 31 18 4 7 61.1% 3 42.9%
2014 9 9 1 25 18 1 4 27.8% 1 12.5%

Post-filing deadline analysis

The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Arizona in 2024. Information below was calculated on May 26, 2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.

Thirty-eight candidates ran for Arizona’s nine U.S. House districts, including 16 Democrats and 22 Republicans. That’s 4.22 candidates per district. There were 4.33 candidates per district in 2022, 4.22 candidates per district in 2020, and 4.11 in 2018.

The 3rd and 8th Congressional Districts were open in 2024. Rep. Ruben Gallego (D-03) ran for the U.S. Senate, and Rep. Debbie Lesko (R-08) ran for the ​​Maricopa County Board of Supervisors.

Nine candidates—six Democrats and three Republicans—ran for the 1st Congressional District, the most candidates who ran for a seat in Arizona in 2024.

Eight primaries—two Democratic and six Republican—were contested in 2024. That's the fewest since 2014, when five primaries were contested.

Three incumbents—all Republicans—were in contested primaries in 2024.

Candidates filed to run in the Republican and Democratic primaries in all nine districts, meaning no seats were guaranteed to either party.

Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+2. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 2 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Arizona's 4th the 194th most Democratic district nationally.[17]

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

2020 presidential results in Arizona's 4th based on 2024 district lines
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
54.2% 43.9%

Inside Elections Baselines

See also: Inside Elections

Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.[18] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.

Inside Elections Baseline for 2024
Democratic Baseline Democratic Party Republican Baseline Republican Party Difference
53.1 45.7 D+7.4

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in Arizona, 2020

Arizona presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 9 Democratic wins
  • 19 Republican wins
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party N/A N/A N/A D D R R R D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R D R R R R R D
See also: Party control of Arizona state government

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Arizona's congressional delegation as of May 2024.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Arizona
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 2 2 4
Republican 0 6 6
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 1 1
Total 2 9 11

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Arizona's top three state executive offices as of May 2024.

State executive officials in Arizona, May 2024
Office Officeholder
Governor Democratic Party Katie Hobbs
Secretary of State Democratic Party Adrian Fontes
Attorney General Democratic Party Kris Mayes

State legislature

Arizona State Senate

Party As of February 2024
     Democratic Party 14
     Republican Party 16
     Other 0
     Vacancies 0
Total 30

Arizona House of Representatives

Party As of February 2024
     Democratic Party 28
     Republican Party 31
     Other 0
     Vacancies 1
Total 60

Trifecta control

The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.

Arizona Party Control: 1992-2024
No Democratic trifectas  •  Twenty-two years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Governor R R R R R R R R R R R D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R D D
Senate D R R R R R R R R S S R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
House R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R

District history

The section below details election results for this office in elections dating back to 2018.

2022

See also: Arizona's 4th Congressional District election, 2022

General election

General election for U.S. House Arizona District 4

Incumbent Greg Stanton defeated Kelly Cooper and Stephan Jones in the general election for U.S. House Arizona District 4 on November 8, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Greg Stanton
Greg Stanton (D)
 
56.1
 
148,941
Image of Kelly Cooper
Kelly Cooper (R) Candidate Connection
 
43.9
 
116,521
Stephan Jones (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
36

Total votes: 265,498
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 4

Incumbent Greg Stanton advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 4 on August 2, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Greg Stanton
Greg Stanton
 
100.0
 
61,319

Total votes: 61,319
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 4

Kelly Cooper defeated Tanya Wheeless, Dave Giles, Rene Lopez, and Jerone Davison in the Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 4 on August 2, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Kelly Cooper
Kelly Cooper Candidate Connection
 
28.4
 
20,281
Image of Tanya Wheeless
Tanya Wheeless Candidate Connection
 
25.4
 
18,166
Image of Dave Giles
Dave Giles Candidate Connection
 
18.7
 
13,348
Image of Rene Lopez
Rene Lopez Candidate Connection
 
14.2
 
10,149
Image of Jerone Davison
Jerone Davison Candidate Connection
 
13.3
 
9,502

Total votes: 71,446
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

2020

See also: Arizona's 4th Congressional District election, 2020

General election

General election for U.S. House Arizona District 4

The following candidates ran in the general election for U.S. House Arizona District 4 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Paul Gosar
Paul Gosar (R)
 
69.7
 
278,002
Image of Delina DiSanto
Delina DiSanto (D) Candidate Connection
 
30.2
 
120,484
Image of Brett Brennan
Brett Brennan (L) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
67
Image of Ana Perez Gissy
Ana Perez Gissy (Independent) (Write-in) Candidate Connection
 
0.0
 
39
Image of Miko Jones
Miko Jones (D) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
19
Image of Emily Robinson
Emily Robinson (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
7
Don Overholser (R) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
5

Total votes: 398,623
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 4

Delina DiSanto defeated Stuart Starky in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 4 on August 4, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Delina DiSanto
Delina DiSanto Candidate Connection
 
74.3
 
34,348
Image of Stuart Starky
Stuart Starky Candidate Connection
 
25.7
 
11,852

Total votes: 46,200
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 4

Incumbent Paul Gosar defeated Anne Marie Ward in the Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 4 on August 4, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Paul Gosar
Paul Gosar
 
63.1
 
82,376
Image of Anne Marie Ward
Anne Marie Ward Candidate Connection
 
36.9
 
48,118

Total votes: 130,494
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

2018

See also: Arizona's 4th Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Arizona District 4

Incumbent Paul Gosar defeated David Brill and Haryaksha Gregor Knauer in the general election for U.S. House Arizona District 4 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Paul Gosar
Paul Gosar (R)
 
68.2
 
188,842
Image of David Brill
David Brill (D)
 
30.5
 
84,521
Image of Haryaksha Gregor Knauer
Haryaksha Gregor Knauer (G)
 
1.3
 
3,672

Total votes: 277,035
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 4

David Brill defeated Delina DiSanto in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Arizona District 4 on August 28, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of David Brill
David Brill
 
52.5
 
19,048
Image of Delina DiSanto
Delina DiSanto
 
47.5
 
17,256

Total votes: 36,304
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 4

Incumbent Paul Gosar advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Arizona District 4 on August 28, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Paul Gosar
Paul Gosar
 
100.0
 
94,092

Total votes: 94,092
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Green primary election

Green primary for U.S. House Arizona District 4

Haryaksha Gregor Knauer advanced from the Green primary for U.S. House Arizona District 4 on August 28, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Haryaksha Gregor Knauer
Haryaksha Gregor Knauer
 
100.0
 
323

Total votes: 323
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.



See also

Arizona 2024 primaries 2024 U.S. Congress elections
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Arizona congressional delegation
Voting in Arizona
Arizona elections:
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External links

Footnotes

  1. A majority in the U.S. House when there are no vacancies is 218 seats.
  2. These figures include the seat of Rep. Matt Gaetz (R-Fla.), who resigned on Nov. 13, 2024, after winning re-election.
  3. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
  4. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  5. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  6. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  7. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  8. AZ Family, "Arizona’s abortion measure, presidential race likely to boost young voter turnout," accessed August 17, 2024
  9. KJZZ, "KJZZ's Friday NewsCap: Big win, small setback for AZ abortion rights initiative," accessed August 17, 2024
  10. Washington Examiner, "Harris banks on abortion ballot measures for Southwest path to victory," accessed August 17, 2024
  11. The New York Times, "Immigration Measure Added to the Ballot in Arizona," accessed August 17, 2024
  12. North County Public Radio, "In Arizona, will abortion access and immigration ballot measures drive turnout?," accessed August 17, 2024
  13. KOLD, "HCR 2060 could have huge impact on voter turnout in November," accessed August 17, 2024
  14. Arizona for Abortion Access, "Homepage," accessed January 10, 2023
  15. It Goes Too Far, "Homepage," accessed January 10, 2023
  16. 16.0 16.1 16.2 16.3 This is the average signature requirement of all congressional districts.
  17. Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
  18. Inside Elections, "Methodology: Inside Elections’ Baseline by Congressional District," December 8, 2023


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
Eli Crane (R)
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
District 7
Vacant
District 8
District 9
Republican Party (6)
Democratic Party (4)
Vacancies (1)