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California's 22nd Congressional District election, 2018
- General election: Nov. 6
- Voter registration deadline: Oct. 22
- Early voting: Oct. 8 - Nov. 5
- Absentee voting deadline: Postmark Nov. 6
- Online registration: Yes
- Same-day registration: Yes
- Voter ID: No
- Poll times: 7:00 a.m. to 8:00 p.m.
Incumbent Devin Nunes (R) defeated Andrew Janz (D) in the 2018 general election for California's 22nd Congressional District.
All 435 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives were up for election in 2018. The Democratic Party gained a net total of 40 seats, winning control of the chamber. This race was identified as a 2018 battleground that might have affected partisan control of the U.S. House in the 116th Congress. Heading into the election, the Republican Party was in the majority holding 235 seats to Democrats' 193 seats, with seven vacant seats. Democrats needed to win 23 GOP-held seats in 2018 to win control of the House. From 1918 to 2016, the president’s party lost an average of 29 seats in midterm elections.
Nunes was first elected to represent the 22nd Congressional District in 2012, after representing the 21st District for ten years. Nunes was elected in 2012 by a margin of 23 percentage points and was re-elected in 2014 by a margin of 44 percentage points. Although Nunes won his 2016 election by 35 percentage points, President Donald Trump (R) took the district by fewer than 10 percentage points. Election forecasters rated the race either "Solid Republican" or "Likely Republican" in the month leading up to election day.
For more information about the top-two primary, click here.
Timeline
- October 16, 2018: American Values PAC made an $81,000 ad buy to oppose Nunes.
- October 6, 2018: The Fresno Bee endorsed Janz in the race. The newspaper had endorsed Nunes in every election since 2002.
- October 4, 2018: The Los Angeles Times released a poll conducted by UC Berkeley Institute for Governmental Studies showing Nunes leading Janz 53 to 45 percent. The margin of error was 6 percent.
- September 27, 2018 A survey of 582 likely voters conducted by SurveyUSA for KFSN-TV, showed Nunes leading Janz 55 percent to 41 percent. The margin of error was 5.7 percentage points.
- September 19, 2018 Janz released an ad titled "Nunes and Washington 'Not Working.'"
- September 17, 2018 A survey of 402 likely voters, paid for by Janz’s campaign and conducted by Strategies 360, showed Nunes leading Janz 50 percent to 44 percent. Strategies 360 polled 500 likely voters in July and found Nunes leading 53 percent to Janz's 41 percent.
- September 3, 2018: Nunes released a pair of ads titled "Bill," and "Diane."
- August 31, 2018: Nunes released an ad voicing his support for Proposition 6, an initiative that would repeal California's 2017 gas tax and vehicle fees.
- July 30, 2018: Tulchin Research surveyed 400 likely 2018 voters and found 48 percent planned to vote for Nunes and 40 percent planned to vote for Janz.
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House California District 22
Incumbent Devin Nunes defeated Andrew Janz in the general election for U.S. House California District 22 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Devin Nunes (R) | 52.7 | 117,243 |
![]() | Andrew Janz (D) | 47.3 | 105,136 |
Total votes: 222,379 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Nonpartisan primary election
Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House California District 22
The following candidates ran in the primary for U.S. House California District 22 on June 5, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Devin Nunes (R) | 57.6 | 70,112 |
✔ | ![]() | Andrew Janz (D) | 31.7 | 38,596 |
![]() | Bobby Bliatout (D) | 4.9 | 6,002 | |
![]() | Ricardo Franco (D) | 3.6 | 4,365 | |
![]() | Brian T. Carroll (Independent) ![]() | 1.3 | 1,591 | |
![]() | Bill Merryman (L) | 0.9 | 1,137 |
Total votes: 121,803 | ||||
![]() | ||||
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. |
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Jose Sigala (D)
- Mallory Kremer (D)
- Paul Vargas (D)
Candidate profiles
Party: Democratic
Incumbent: No
Political office: None
Biography: Janz earned a bachelor’s degree in economics and a master’s degree in public administration from California State University, Stanislaus. Janz earned his law degree at Southwestern Law School in Los Angeles. After law school, he clerked for District Court Judge Carolyn Ellsworth in Las Vegas, Nevada, before returning to California to serve as a prosecutor. At the time of the 2018 election, his most recent assignment was to the Violent Crimes Unit of the District Attorney's office in Fresno County.[1]
- Janz said he had "no problem with reaching out to agricultural workers who have never voted for a Democrat."[2] He supported increased federal infrastructure funding to address what he called a water crisis affecting farmers.[3]
- Janz called for new leadership in both the Democratic and Republican parties, saying, “We need a fresh take on things, which is why I’m not supporting Nancy Pelosi for speaker.”[4]
- Citing his work with law enforcement as a prosecutor, Janz stressed the protection of police pensions. He promised to advocate for federal grant money he said the Trump administration was threatening to withhold from California law enforcement agencies.[5]
Party: Republican
Incumbent: Yes
Political office: California's 22nd Congressional District (Assumed office: 2003); Appointed Director of the United States Department of Agriculture Rural Development (2001-2002)
Biography: Nunes earned a Bachelor's Degree in Agricultural Business and a Master's Degree in Agriculture from California Polytechnic State University, San Luis Obispo. Nunes was elected to the Board of Trustees of the College of Sequoias, where he served two terms. In 2001, he was appointed by President George W. Bush to serve as California State Director for the U.S. Department of Agriculture's Office of Rural Development. Nunes was first elected to the U.S. House in 2002, representing the 21st district prior to 2013. As of the 2018 election, Nunes served as chairman of the House Intelligence Committee.[6]
- Nunes advocated for what he referred to as "free-market healthcare reforms that improve outcomes and increase patient choice."[6]
- Nunes said state mismanagement had contributed to wildfires and droughts, and that "billions and billions of gallons of water were being wasted away out to the ocean."
- Nunes released an ad in support of California Proposition 6, which would repeal the gas and diesel tax increases and vehicle fees that were enacted in California in 2017. He also devoted an episode of his podcast to the subject.
Polls
- See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls
California's 22nd Congressional District, 2018 | |||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Poll | Poll sponsor | Devin Nunes (R) | Andrew Janz (D) | Undecided | Margin of error | Sample size | |||||||||||||
UC Berkley/Los Angeles Times (September 16-23, 2018) | Los Angeles Times | 53% | 45% | 2% | +/-4 | 912 | |||||||||||||
Survey USA (September 20-25, 2018) | KFSN-TV | 55% | 41% | 4% | +/-5.7 | 582 | |||||||||||||
Strategies 360/Janz Campaign (Septemner 10-13, 2018) | Janz Campaign | 50% | 44% | 6% | +/-4.9 | 402 | |||||||||||||
Tulchin Research (July 22-25, 2018) | Undisclosed | 48% | 43% | 9% | +/-4.9 | 400 | |||||||||||||
Public Policy Polling (June 22-24, 2018) | End Citizens United | 49% | 41% | 10% | +/-3.9 | 632 | |||||||||||||
AVERAGES | 51% | 42.8% | 6.2% | +/-4.68 | 585.6 | ||||||||||||||
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org. |
Click [show] to see polls conducted before the June 5 primary. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Campaign finance
The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Devin Nunes | Republican Party | $12,690,863 | $11,629,556 | $4,238,627 | As of December 31, 2018 |
Andrew Janz | Democratic Party | $9,233,869 | $9,211,822 | $22,047 | As of December 31, 2018 |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2018. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
Satellite spending
Satellite spending, commonly referred to as outside spending, describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[7][8][9]
This section lists satellite spending in this race reported by news outlets in alphabetical order. If you are aware of spending that should be included, please email us.
- American Values PAC made an $81,000 ad buy to oppose Nunes on October 16, 2018.[10]
- The Fight Back California superPAC spent over $100,000 as of September 10, 2018, to oppose Nunes. The spending contributed to funding for a petition in Sacramento Superior Court to remove "farmer" from Nunes' description on California ballots. Backers of the petition say Nunes hasn't earned income from farming in recent years.[11][12]
Race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[13]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[14][15][16]
Race ratings: California's 22nd Congressional District election, 2018 | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
October 30, 2018 | October 23, 2018 | October 16, 2018 | October 9, 2018 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report | Likely Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Likely Republican | Likely Republican | Likely Republican | Likely Republican | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every two weeks throughout the election season. |
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+8, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 8 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made California's 22nd Congressional District the 164th most Republican nationally.[17]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.04. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.04 points toward that party.[18]
Noteworthy endorsements
This section lists noteworthy endorsements issued in this election, including those made by high-profile individuals and organizations, cross-party endorsements, and endorsements made by newspaper editorial boards. It also includes a bulleted list of links to official lists of endorsements for any candidates who published that information on their campaign websites. Please note that this list is not exhaustive. If you are aware of endorsements that should be included, please click here.
Click the links below to see endorsement lists published on candidate campaign websites.
Candidate endorsements | |||
---|---|---|---|
Endorsement | Date | Janz | Nunes |
Individuals | |||
Evan McMullin (I)[19] | September 14, 2018 | ✔ | |
Newspapers and editorials | |||
The Fresno Bee[20] | October 7, 2018 | ✔ |
Campaign advertisements
This section shows advertisements released in this race. Ads released by campaigns and, if applicable, satellite groups are embedded or linked below. If you are aware of advertisements that should be included, please email us.
Andrew Janz
Support
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Oppose
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Devin Nunes
Support
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Campaign themes
These were the policy positions stated in interviews or listed on the candidates' websites, if available.
Andrew Janz
“ |
Healthcare Crime Immigration Investing in Students & Teachers As your member of Congress I will push the federal government to do the following with respect to K-12 education: (1) ensure that no student is denied the right to equal educational opportunity, (2) protect grant funding for programs that expand access to educational opportunities, specifically art and STEM programs for students living in poverty and underserved communities, (3) continue to provide funding for research and data gathering so that local governments may make more informed decisions in education policy, and (4) support the mission and goals of state and local governments in improving education systems. With respect to higher education, we need to reduce the cost to attend a four-year college. Students graduating from universities are saddled with debt and struggle to find well-paying jobs to repay their loans. The federal government should offer additional loan repayment programs such as the Public Service Loan Forgiveness Program. Additionally, not all students are geared to go to a standard four-year college. We, as a society, need to expand apprenticeship programs through new and additional public-private partnerships. Water for the Valley Women's Health Economy Gun Safety Climate Change Protecting & Expanding Medicaid Ending Citizens United Clean Drinking Water Criminal Justice Reform Over the years I have supported a number of initiatives that end the seemingly endless cycle of incarceration that disproportionately targets low-income minorities. Specifically, I have supported increased funding for diversion programs that help those with drug addiction and mental health issues. As a prosecutor, I have sought behavioral health programs in lieu of jail or prison time for non-violent offenders. Additionally, Fresno County has implemented a new bail system which I support and use every day. This bail system does not take into consideration a person's race or ability to pay and will allow non-violent offenders to be released pending trial under supervision so long as they are not a flight risk or a danger to the community. This is a model I support and one I believe should be enacted nationwide. I vehemently oppose profit-driven incarceration and prisons. I will fight any attempt for private businesses to take over our prison system. I believe these institutions should be accountable to the people and any attempt to privatize prisons will lead to re-offending and not to rehabilitation. The question of how to reduce crime is a difficult question. However, I believe if we invest in education, commit ourselves to ending income-inequality, and promote mental health programs, we will see a sharp decline in recidivism and property crimes. We need to create more opportunity for everyone and my campaign is aimed at tackling these tough issues. Dignity in Aging According to the California Department of Finance (http://www.dof.ca.gov/Forecasting/Demographics/projections/), from 2010 - 2060, the aging population will grow as follows:
Mental Health Veteran Issues Accountability & Accessibility Investing in Early Childhood Development In fact, children who do not receive quality learning programs during these early years are 70 percent more likely to commit violent crimes before age 18. This is especially true in underserved communities in the Central Valley. Every dollar society spends on a child before the age of five yields a net societal benefit of seven dollars. Our nation and communities need to decide whether we want to continue funding revolving door prisons or if we want to fund preschools. I will fight to fully fund universal pre-kindergarten. It's one of the best investments we can make. LGBTQ Issues Protecting our DREAMERS |
” |
—Andrew Janz for Congress[22] |
Devin Nunes
Devin Nunes did not have a campaign issues section on his website as of September 14, 2018. He did have five podcast episodes discussing policy positions, and had the following on the Biography section of his website:
“ |
Since 2003... It has been my privilege to serve the people of the San Joaquin Valley in the House of Representatives. Our country faces many challenges both at home and abroad. America is the greatest country on earth because citizens become involved, work together, and meet those challenges with courage and determination. I am honored to have your support. Together we can keep America free and prosperous. Thank you for giving me the opportunity to serve you in the House of Representatives. Biography Congressman Nunes grew up on a family farm in Tulare County that was operated by his family for three generations. The Nunes family came to the United States from São Jorge in Portugal's Azores islands. After earning a Bachelor's Degree in Agricultural Business and a Master's Degree in Agriculture from California Polytechnic State University, San Luis Obispo, Congressman Nunes returned to work on the family farm. His first election was to the Board of Trustees of the College of Sequoias, where he served two terms on the board. In 2001, he was appointed by President George W. Bush to serve as California State Director for the U.S. Department of Agriculture, Rural Development. In 2002, he was elected to the House of Representatives in California's 21st congressional district. As a result of redistricting he now represents the 22nd district, which is located in the San Joaquin Valley and includes portions of Tulare and Fresno Counties. Congressman Nunes serves as Chairman of the House Permanent Committee on Intelligence, which is responsible for overseeing the seventeen agencies and departments comprising the U.S Intelligence Community. He also serves on the Ways and Means Committee, which has jurisdiction over taxes, trade, healthcare, and major entitlement programs such as social security. He previously served as chairman of the Ways and Means Trade Subcommittee. Congressman Nunes' priorities in Congress include strengthening the nation's security against terrorists and foreign threats, reducing the size and scope of the federal government, reducing taxes and radically reforming the tax code, implementing free-market healthcare reforms that improve outcomes and increase patient choice, and ending the San Joaquin Valley's man-made drought. [21] |
” |
—Devin Nunes for Congress[23] |
Social media
Twitter accounts
Tweets by Andrew Janz Tweets by Devin Nunes
Facebook accounts
Click the icons below to visit the candidates' Facebook pages.
District history
2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Devin Nunes (R) defeated Louie Campos (D) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Nunes and Campos defeated Teresita Andres (R) in the top-two primary on June 7, 2016.[24][25]
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
67.6% | 158,755 | |
Democratic | Louie Campos | 32.4% | 76,211 | |
Total Votes | 234,966 | |||
Source: California Secretary of State |
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican |
![]() |
63.8% | 86,479 | |
Democratic | ![]() |
29.7% | 40,247 | |
Republican | Teresita Andres | 6.5% | 8,808 | |
Total Votes | 135,534 | |||
Source: California Secretary of State |
2014
The 22nd Congressional District of California held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Devin Nunes (R) defeated Suzanna Aguilera-Marrero (D) in the general election.
Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | ![]() |
72% | 96,053 | |
Democratic | Suzanna Aguilera-Marrero | 28% | 37,289 | |
Total Votes | 133,342 | |||
Source: California Secretary of State |
State overview
Partisan control
This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in California heading into the 2018 elections.
Congressional delegation
- Following the 2016 elections, Democrats held both U.S. Senate seats in California.
- Democrats held 39 of 53 U.S. House seats in California.
State executives
- As of May 2018, Democrats held seven of 10 state executive positions and the remaining three positions were officially nonpartisan.
- The governor of California was Democrat Jerry Brown.
State legislature
- Democrats controlled both chambers of the California State Legislature. They had a 55-25 majority in the state Assembly and a 27-13 majority in the state Senate.
Trifecta status
- California was a state government trifecta, meaning that Democrats held the governorship and majorities in the state house and state senate.
2018 elections
- See also: California elections, 2018
California held elections for the following positions in 2018:
- 1 Senate seat
- 53 U.S. House seats
- Governor
- Seven other state executive positions
- 20 of 40 state Senate seats
- 80 state Assembly seats
- Two state Supreme Court justices
- 35 state Court of Appeals judges
- Local trial court judges
- School board members
Demographics
Demographic data for California | ||
---|---|---|
California | U.S. | |
Total population: | 38,993,940 | 316,515,021 |
Land area (sq mi): | 155,779 | 3,531,905 |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White: | 61.8% | 73.6% |
Black/African American: | 5.9% | 12.6% |
Asian: | 13.7% | 5.1% |
Native American: | 0.7% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander: | 0.4% | 0.2% |
Two or more: | 4.5% | 3% |
Hispanic/Latino: | 38.4% | 17.1% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate: | 81.8% | 86.7% |
College graduation rate: | 31.4% | 29.8% |
Income | ||
Median household income: | $61,818 | $53,889 |
Persons below poverty level: | 18.2% | 11.3% |
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in California. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. |
As of July 2016, California had a population of approximately 39,000,000 people, with its three largest cities being Los Angeles (pop. est. 4.0 million), San Diego (pop. est. 1.4 million), and San Jose (pop. est. 1 million).[26][27]
State election history
This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in California from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the California Secretary of State.
Historical elections
Presidential elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the presidential election in California every year from 2000 to 2016.
Election results (President of the United States), California 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2016 | ![]() |
61.7% | ![]() |
31.6% | 30.1% |
2012 | ![]() |
60.2% | ![]() |
37.1% | 23.1% |
2008 | ![]() |
61.1% | ![]() |
37% | 24.1% |
2004 | ![]() |
54.4% | ![]() |
44.4% | 10% |
2000 | ![]() |
53.5% | ![]() |
41.7% | 11.8% |
U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in California from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.
Election results (U.S. Senator), California 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2016 | ![]() |
61.6% | ![]() |
38.4% | 23.2% |
2012 | ![]() |
62.5% | ![]() |
37.5% | 25% |
2010 | ![]() |
52.2% | ![]() |
42.2% | 10% |
2006 | ![]() |
59.5% | ![]() |
35.1% | 24.4% |
2004 | ![]() |
57.8% | ![]() |
37.8% | 20% |
2000 | ![]() |
55.9% | ![]() |
36.6% | 19.3% |
Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in California.
Election results (Governor), California 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2014 | ![]() |
60% | ![]() |
40% | 20% |
2010 | ![]() |
53.8% | ![]() |
40.9% | 12.9% |
2006 | ![]() |
55.9% | ![]() |
39.0% | 16.9% |
2002 | ![]() |
47.3% | ![]() |
42.4% | 4.9% |
Congressional delegation, 2000-2016
This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent California in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.
Trifectas, 1992-2017
A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.
California Party Control: 1992-2025
Twenty years with Democratic trifectas • No Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Senate | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Assembly | D | D | D | S | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Pivot Counties
- See also: Pivot Counties by state
There are no Pivot Counties in California. Pivot Counties are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.
In the 2016 presidential election, Hillary Clinton (D) won California with 61.7 percent of the vote. Donald Trump (R) received 31.6 percent. In presidential elections between 1900 and 2016, California voted Republican 53.33 percent of the time and Democratic 43.33 percent of the time. In the five presidential elections between 2000 and 2016, California voted Democratic all five times. In 2016, California had 55 electoral votes, which was the most of any state. The 55 electoral votes were 10.2 percent of all 538 available electoral votes and were 20.4 percent of the 270 electoral votes needed to win the election.
Presidential results by legislative district
The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state Assembly districts in California. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[28][29]
In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 58 out of 80 state Assembly districts in California with an average margin of victory of 38.4 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 66 out of 80 state Assembly districts in California with an average margin of victory of 40.3 points. Clinton won 11 districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections. |
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 22 out of 80 state Assembly districts in California with an average margin of victory of 12.2 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 14 out of 80 state Assembly districts in California with an average margin of victory of 13 points. |
2016 Presidential Results by State Assembly District | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
District | Obama | Romney | 2012 Margin | Clinton | Trump | 2016 Margin | Party Control |
1 | 39.63% | 57.31% | R+17.7 | 36.09% | 56.75% | R+20.7 | R |
2 | 64.68% | 30.51% | D+34.2 | 62.20% | 28.98% | D+33.2 | D |
3 | 42.41% | 54.46% | R+12.1 | 39.47% | 53.31% | R+13.8 | R |
4 | 63.16% | 33.86% | D+29.3 | 63.03% | 29.95% | D+33.1 | D |
5 | 41.27% | 55.92% | R+14.7 | 38.51% | 54.85% | R+16.3 | R |
6 | 38.59% | 59.09% | R+20.5 | 41.17% | 52.02% | R+10.9 | R |
7 | 67.59% | 29.61% | D+38 | 67.63% | 25.69% | D+41.9 | D |
8 | 51.72% | 45.62% | D+6.1 | 51.77% | 41.03% | D+10.7 | D |
9 | 60.56% | 37.52% | D+23 | 61.47% | 32.89% | D+28.6 | D |
10 | 73.76% | 23.28% | D+50.5 | 75.65% | 17.96% | D+57.7 | D |
11 | 60.96% | 36.87% | D+24.1 | 58.86% | 35.17% | D+23.7 | D |
12 | 45.19% | 52.50% | R+7.3 | 43.11% | 51.05% | R+7.9 | R |
13 | 64.23% | 33.88% | D+30.4 | 62.97% | 31.79% | D+31.2 | D |
14 | 68.80% | 28.72% | D+40.1 | 69.55% | 24.47% | D+45.1 | D |
15 | 86.82% | 9.56% | D+77.3 | 87.39% | 7.04% | D+80.4 | D |
16 | 57.74% | 40.10% | D+17.6 | 64.47% | 29.23% | D+35.2 | R |
17 | 87.07% | 9.36% | D+77.7 | 88.12% | 6.95% | D+81.2 | D |
18 | 86.89% | 10.23% | D+76.7 | 85.89% | 8.44% | D+77.5 | D |
19 | 78.94% | 18.38% | D+60.6 | 81.63% | 13.34% | D+68.3 | D |
20 | 75.74% | 22.15% | D+53.6 | 75.52% | 19.12% | D+56.4 | D |
21 | 55.61% | 42.03% | D+13.6 | 54.63% | 39.46% | D+15.2 | D |
22 | 71.43% | 26.31% | D+45.1 | 75.16% | 19.75% | D+55.4 | D |
23 | 43.46% | 54.71% | R+11.2 | 43.95% | 50.78% | R+6.8 | R |
24 | 72.16% | 24.96% | D+47.2 | 78.19% | 15.93% | D+62.3 | D |
25 | 72.40% | 25.26% | D+47.1 | 73.61% | 20.90% | D+52.7 | D |
26 | 41.15% | 56.68% | R+15.5 | 41.54% | 52.93% | R+11.4 | R |
27 | 76.36% | 21.54% | D+54.8 | 77.76% | 17.29% | D+60.5 | D |
28 | 66.64% | 30.77% | D+35.9 | 70.63% | 23.08% | D+47.6 | D |
29 | 69.95% | 26.66% | D+43.3 | 70.00% | 22.96% | D+47 | D |
30 | 66.99% | 30.86% | D+36.1 | 66.70% | 27.32% | D+39.4 | D |
31 | 61.98% | 36.21% | D+25.8 | 62.13% | 32.93% | D+29.2 | D |
32 | 56.20% | 41.81% | D+14.4 | 56.50% | 37.98% | D+18.5 | D |
33 | 41.80% | 55.51% | R+13.7 | 40.02% | 54.61% | R+14.6 | R |
34 | 33.96% | 63.85% | R+29.9 | 34.07% | 60.21% | R+26.1 | R |
35 | 47.82% | 49.42% | R+1.6 | 49.57% | 43.43% | D+6.1 | R |
36 | 48.79% | 48.48% | D+0.3 | 49.94% | 43.86% | D+6.1 | R |
37 | 60.97% | 36.28% | D+24.7 | 64.27% | 29.21% | D+35.1 | D |
38 | 46.73% | 50.84% | R+4.1 | 49.64% | 44.39% | D+5.2 | R |
39 | 73.75% | 23.67% | D+50.1 | 74.64% | 19.80% | D+54.8 | D |
40 | 53.14% | 44.72% | D+8.4 | 54.08% | 40.01% | D+14.1 | R |
41 | 59.74% | 37.72% | D+22 | 62.82% | 31.27% | D+31.5 | D |
42 | 44.98% | 52.93% | R+7.9 | 45.61% | 49.70% | R+4.1 | R |
43 | 67.35% | 29.62% | D+37.7 | 68.94% | 25.45% | D+43.5 | D |
44 | 52.37% | 45.51% | D+6.9 | 57.12% | 36.99% | D+20.1 | D |
45 | 63.46% | 34.12% | D+29.3 | 67.36% | 27.39% | D+40 | D |
46 | 73.73% | 23.65% | D+50.1 | 76.20% | 18.48% | D+57.7 | D |
47 | 71.49% | 26.54% | D+44.9 | 70.10% | 24.80% | D+45.3 | D |
48 | 64.08% | 33.44% | D+30.6 | 65.60% | 28.50% | D+37.1 | D |
49 | 64.69% | 33.26% | D+31.4 | 67.57% | 27.17% | D+40.4 | D |
50 | 70.79% | 26.51% | D+44.3 | 76.72% | 18.33% | D+58.4 | D |
51 | 83.48% | 13.50% | D+70 | 84.05% | 10.19% | D+73.9 | D |
52 | 65.01% | 32.92% | D+32.1 | 65.78% | 28.71% | D+37.1 | D |
53 | 84.64% | 12.59% | D+72 | 84.83% | 9.63% | D+75.2 | D |
54 | 83.62% | 13.88% | D+69.7 | 85.15% | 10.12% | D+75 | D |
55 | 45.77% | 52.23% | R+6.5 | 49.92% | 44.61% | D+5.3 | R |
56 | 62.14% | 36.26% | D+25.9 | 64.21% | 31.24% | D+33 | D |
57 | 63.71% | 34.01% | D+29.7 | 65.92% | 28.39% | D+37.5 | D |
58 | 70.24% | 27.80% | D+42.4 | 72.54% | 22.26% | D+50.3 | D |
59 | 93.24% | 5.19% | D+88 | 90.70% | 5.09% | D+85.6 | D |
60 | 51.32% | 46.31% | D+5 | 52.48% | 41.97% | D+10.5 | D |
61 | 63.43% | 34.55% | D+28.9 | 62.47% | 31.62% | D+30.9 | D |
62 | 80.81% | 17.00% | D+63.8 | 82.05% | 13.06% | D+69 | D |
63 | 76.06% | 21.73% | D+54.3 | 77.35% | 17.38% | D+60 | D |
64 | 88.74% | 9.98% | D+78.8 | 86.21% | 9.61% | D+76.6 | D |
65 | 51.90% | 45.68% | D+6.2 | 56.73% | 37.28% | D+19.4 | D |
66 | 54.18% | 43.24% | D+10.9 | 59.97% | 33.60% | D+26.4 | D |
67 | 39.61% | 58.33% | R+18.7 | 38.89% | 55.94% | R+17.1 | R |
68 | 42.55% | 55.12% | R+12.6 | 49.42% | 44.58% | D+4.8 | R |
69 | 67.37% | 30.30% | D+37.1 | 71.94% | 22.33% | D+49.6 | D |
70 | 67.38% | 29.93% | D+37.5 | 68.13% | 25.09% | D+43 | D |
71 | 38.47% | 59.51% | R+21 | 38.19% | 56.26% | R+18.1 | R |
72 | 46.71% | 51.06% | R+4.4 | 51.40% | 43.13% | D+8.3 | R |
73 | 38.68% | 59.36% | R+20.7 | 43.89% | 50.38% | R+6.5 | R |
74 | 45.14% | 52.42% | R+7.3 | 50.71% | 43.29% | D+7.4 | R |
75 | 39.42% | 58.50% | R+19.1 | 43.22% | 50.68% | R+7.5 | R |
76 | 48.76% | 49.04% | R+0.3 | 53.11% | 40.38% | D+12.7 | R |
77 | 48.25% | 49.83% | R+1.6 | 55.16% | 38.94% | D+16.2 | R |
78 | 63.15% | 34.08% | D+29.1 | 67.48% | 25.85% | D+41.6 | D |
79 | 61.21% | 36.91% | D+24.3 | 64.24% | 30.04% | D+34.2 | D |
80 | 69.47% | 28.67% | D+40.8 | 73.15% | 21.34% | D+51.8 | D |
Total | 60.35% | 37.19% | D+23.2 | 62.25% | 31.89% | D+30.4 | - |
Source: Daily Kos |
State overview
Partisan control
This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in California heading into the 2018 elections.
Congressional delegation
- Following the 2016 elections, Democrats held both U.S. Senate seats in California.
- Democrats held 39 of 53 U.S. House seats in California.
State executives
- As of May 2018, Democrats held seven of 10 state executive positions and the remaining three positions were officially nonpartisan.
- The governor of California was Democrat Jerry Brown.
State legislature
- Democrats controlled both chambers of the California State Legislature. They had a 55-25 majority in the state Assembly and a 27-13 majority in the state Senate.
Trifecta status
- California was a state government trifecta, meaning that Democrats held the governorship and majorities in the state house and state senate.
2018 elections
- See also: California elections, 2018
California held elections for the following positions in 2018:
- 1 Senate seat
- 53 U.S. House seats
- Governor
- Seven other state executive positions
- 20 of 40 state Senate seats
- 80 state Assembly seats
- Two state Supreme Court justices
- 35 state Court of Appeals judges
- Local trial court judges
- School board members
Demographics
Demographic data for California | ||
---|---|---|
California | U.S. | |
Total population: | 38,993,940 | 316,515,021 |
Land area (sq mi): | 155,779 | 3,531,905 |
Race and ethnicity** | ||
White: | 61.8% | 73.6% |
Black/African American: | 5.9% | 12.6% |
Asian: | 13.7% | 5.1% |
Native American: | 0.7% | 0.8% |
Pacific Islander: | 0.4% | 0.2% |
Two or more: | 4.5% | 3% |
Hispanic/Latino: | 38.4% | 17.1% |
Education | ||
High school graduation rate: | 81.8% | 86.7% |
College graduation rate: | 31.4% | 29.8% |
Income | ||
Median household income: | $61,818 | $53,889 |
Persons below poverty level: | 18.2% | 11.3% |
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in California. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. |
As of July 2016, California had a population of approximately 39,000,000 people, with its three largest cities being Los Angeles (pop. est. 4.0 million), San Diego (pop. est. 1.4 million), and San Jose (pop. est. 1 million).[30][31]
State election history
This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in California from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the California Secretary of State.
Historical elections
Presidential elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the presidential election in California every year from 2000 to 2016.
Election results (President of the United States), California 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2016 | ![]() |
61.7% | ![]() |
31.6% | 30.1% |
2012 | ![]() |
60.2% | ![]() |
37.1% | 23.1% |
2008 | ![]() |
61.1% | ![]() |
37% | 24.1% |
2004 | ![]() |
54.4% | ![]() |
44.4% | 10% |
2000 | ![]() |
53.5% | ![]() |
41.7% | 11.8% |
U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in California from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.
Election results (U.S. Senator), California 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2016 | ![]() |
61.6% | ![]() |
38.4% | 23.2% |
2012 | ![]() |
62.5% | ![]() |
37.5% | 25% |
2010 | ![]() |
52.2% | ![]() |
42.2% | 10% |
2006 | ![]() |
59.5% | ![]() |
35.1% | 24.4% |
2004 | ![]() |
57.8% | ![]() |
37.8% | 20% |
2000 | ![]() |
55.9% | ![]() |
36.6% | 19.3% |
Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in California.
Election results (Governor), California 2000-2016 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
2014 | ![]() |
60% | ![]() |
40% | 20% |
2010 | ![]() |
53.8% | ![]() |
40.9% | 12.9% |
2006 | ![]() |
55.9% | ![]() |
39.0% | 16.9% |
2002 | ![]() |
47.3% | ![]() |
42.4% | 4.9% |
Congressional delegation, 2000-2016
This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent California in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.
Trifectas, 1992-2017
A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.
California Party Control: 1992-2025
Twenty years with Democratic trifectas • No Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Senate | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Assembly | D | D | D | S | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
See also
- California's 22nd Congressional District election (June 5, 2018 top-two primary)
- United States House of Representatives elections in California, 2018
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2018
Footnotes
- ↑ Andrew Janz for Congress, "About," accessed September 13, 2018
- ↑ Fresno Bee, "Can Janz beat Nunes? Few think so, but the Democrat says ‘Let’s try something new,’" September 12, 2018
- ↑ Andrew Janz for Congress, "Issues," accessed September 13, 2018
- ↑ GV Wire, "Janz Is One of Many Dems Who Want to Ditch Pelosi," August 22, 2018
- ↑ Cite error: Invalid
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tag; no text was provided for refs namedmenendezissues
- ↑ 6.0 6.1 Devin Nunes for Congress, "Biography," accessed April 23, 2018
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed September 22, 2015
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed September 22, 2015
- ↑ National Review.com, "Why the Media Hate Super PACs," November 6, 2015
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "Independent Expenditures," accessed October 22, 2018
- ↑ Open Secrets, "Fight Back California," accessed September 14, 2018
- ↑ Fresno Bee, "Tulare County farmer asking court to make Devin Nunes stop calling himself one, too," August 9, 2018
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
- ↑ Share Blue Media, "Former CIA officer blasts Devin Nunes for ‘enabling our indecent president’," September 14 2018
- ↑ Huffington Post, "The Fresno Bee Endorses Andrew Janz Over GOP Incumbent Devin Nunes," October 7, 2018
- ↑ 21.0 21.1 Note: This text is quoted verbatim from the original source. Any inconsistencies are attributable to the original source.
- ↑ Andrew Janz for Congress, "Issues," accessed April 23, 2018
- ↑ Devin Nunes for Congress, "Bio," accessed September 14, 2018
- ↑ California Secretary of State, "Certified List of Candidates for Voter-Nominated Offices June 7, 2016, Presidential Primary Election," accessed April 4, 2016
- ↑ The New York Times, "California Primary Results," June 7, 2016
- ↑ California Demographics, "California Cities by Population," accessed April 2, 2018
- ↑ U.S. Census Bureau, "Quickfacts California," accessed April 2, 2018
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
- ↑ California Demographics, "California Cities by Population," accessed April 2, 2018
- ↑ U.S. Census Bureau, "Quickfacts California," accessed April 2, 2018