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Hawaii gubernatorial election, 2022 (August 13 Republican primary)

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2026
2018
Governor of Hawaii
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: June 7, 2022
Primary: August 13, 2022
General: November 8, 2022

Pre-election incumbent(s):
David Ige (Democratic)
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m.
Voting in Hawaii
Ballotpedia analysis
Federal and state primary competitiveness
State executive elections in 2022
Impact of term limits in 2022
State government trifectas
State government triplexes
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022
Hawaii
executive elections
Governor

Lieutenant Governor
Office of Hawaiian Affairs (6 seats)

A Republican Party primary took place on August 13, 2022, in Hawaii to determine which candidate would earn the right to run as the party's nominee in the state's gubernatorial election on November 8, 2022.

Duke Aiona advanced from the Republican primary for Governor of Hawaii.

This page focuses on Hawaii's Republican Party gubernatorial primary. For more in-depth information on Hawaii's Democratic gubernatorial primary and the general election, see the following pages:

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Candidates and election results

Republican primary election

Republican primary for Governor of Hawaii

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Duke Aiona
Duke Aiona
 
49.6
 
37,608
Image of BJ Penn
BJ Penn
 
26.1
 
19,817
Image of Gary Cordery
Gary Cordery Candidate Connection
 
10.9
 
8,258
Image of Heidi Tsuneyoshi
Heidi Tsuneyoshi
 
9.6
 
7,255
Image of Lynn Barry Mariano
Lynn Barry Mariano
 
1.2
 
903
Image of Paul Morgan
Paul Morgan
 
1.0
 
796
Image of Keline-Kameyo Kahau
Keline-Kameyo Kahau Candidate Connection
 
0.6
 
469
Walter Woods
 
0.6
 
438
Moses Paskowitz
 
0.2
 
189
George Hawat
 
0.2
 
140

Total votes: 75,873
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Election competitiveness

General election race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[1]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[2][3][4]

Race ratings: Hawaii gubernatorial election, 2022
Race trackerRace ratings
November 8, 2022November 1, 2022October 25, 2022October 18, 2022
The Cook Political Report with Amy WalterSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe Democratic
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

Ballot access requirements

The table below details filing requirements for gubernatorial candidates in Hawaii in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Hawaii, click here.

Filing requirements for gubernatorial candidates, 2022
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source Notes
Hawaii Governor N/A 25 $750.00 6/7/2022 Source

State profile

Demographic data for Hawaii
 HawaiiU.S.
Total population:1,425,157316,515,021
Land area (sq mi):6,4233,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White:25.4%73.6%
Black/African American:2%12.6%
Asian:37.7%5.1%
Native American:0.2%0.8%
Pacific Islander:9.9%0.2%
Two or more:23.7%3%
Hispanic/Latino:9.9%17.1%
Education
High school graduation rate:91%86.7%
College graduation rate:30.8%29.8%
Income
Median household income:$69,515$53,889
Persons below poverty level:11.6%11.3%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015)
Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Hawaii.
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.

Presidential voting pattern

See also: Presidential voting trends in Hawaii

Hawaii voted for the Democratic candidate in all seven presidential elections between 2000 and 2024.


More Hawaii coverage on Ballotpedia

Election analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about demographics, past elections, and partisan control of the state.

  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the state.
  • Statewide elections - Information about recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections in the state.
  • State partisanship - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
  • Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.

Presidential elections

See also: Presidential voting trends in Hawaii and The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Cook PVI by congressional district

Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index for Hawaii, 2022
District Incumbent Party PVI
Hawaii's 1st Ed Case Electiondot.png Democratic D+14
Hawaii's 2nd Open Electiondot.png Democratic D+14


2020 presidential results by 2022 congressional district lines

2020 presidential results in congressional districts based on 2022 district lines, Hawaii[5]
District Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
Hawaii's 1st 63.9% 34.5%
Hawaii's 2nd 63.6% 34.1%


2012-2020

How a state's counties vote in a presidential election and the size of those counties can provide additional insights into election outcomes at other levels of government including statewide and congressional races. Below, four categories are used to describe each county's voting pattern over the 2012, 2016, and 2020 presidential elections: Solid, Trending, Battleground, and New. Click [show] on the table below for examples:


Following the 2020 presidential election, 100.0% of Hawaii residents lived in one of the state's four Solid Democratic counties, which voted for the Democratic presidential candidate in every election from 2012 to 2020. Overall, Hawaii was Solid Democratic, having voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2012, Hillary Clinton (D) in 2016, and Joe Biden (D) in 2020. Use the table below to view the total number of each type of county in Hawaii following the 2020 election as well as the overall percentage of the state population located in each county type.

Historical voting trends

Hawaii presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 14 Democratic wins
  • 2 Republican wins
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A D D D R D D R D D D D D D D D D

Statewide elections

This section details the results of the five most recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections held in the state.

U.S. Senate elections

See also: List of United States Senators from Hawaii

The table below details the vote in the five most recent U.S. Senate races in Hawaii.

U.S. Senate election results in Hawaii
Race Winner Runner up
2018 71.2%Democratic Party 28.8%Republican Party
2016 73.6%Democratic Party 22.2%Republican Party
2014 69.8%Democratic Party 27.7%Republican Party
2012 62.6%Democratic Party 37.4%Republican Party
2010 74.8%Democratic Party 21.6%Republican Party
Average 70.4 27.5

Gubernatorial elections

See also: Governor of Hawaii

The table below details the vote in the five most recent gubernatorial elections in Hawaii.

Gubernatorial election results in Hawaii
Race Winner Runner up
2018 62.7%Democratic Party 33.7%Republican Party
2014 49.5%Democratic Party 37.1%Republican Party
2010 57.8%Democratic Party 40.8%Republican Party
2006 62.5%Republican Party 35.4%Democratic Party
2002 51.6%Republican Party 47.0%Democratic Party
Average 56.8 38.8

State partisanship

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Hawaii's congressional delegation as of November 2022.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Hawaii, November 2022
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 2 2 4
Republican 0 0 0
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 0 0
Total 2 2 4

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Hawaii's top three state executive offices as of November 2022.

State executive officials in Hawaii, November 2022
Office Officeholder
Governor Democratic Party David Ige
Lieutenant Governor Democratic Party Joshua Green
Attorney General Democratic Party Holly Shikada

State legislature

The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Hawaii State Legislature as of November 2022.

Hawaii State Senate

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 23
     Republican Party 2
     Vacancies 0
Total 25

Hawaii House of Representatives

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 45
     Republican Party 6
     Vacancies 0
Total 51

Trifecta control

As of November 2022, Hawaii was a Democratic trifecta, with majorities in both chambers of the state legislature and control of the governorship. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.

Hawaii Party Control: 1992-2022
Twenty-three years of Democratic trifectas  •  No Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
Governor D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D D D D D
Senate D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D
House D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D

Demographics

The table below details demographic data in Hawaii and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.

Demographic Data for Hawaii
Hawaii United States
Population 1,455,271 331,449,281
Land area (sq mi) 6,422 3,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White 24.1% 70.4%
Black/African American 1.9% 12.6%
Asian 37.6% 5.6%
Native American 0.2% 0.8%
Pacific Islander 10.4% 0.2%
Other (single race) 1.4% 5.1%
Multiple 24.3% 5.2%
Hispanic/Latino 10.7% 18.2%
Education
High school graduation rate 92.5% 88.5%
College graduation rate 33.6% 32.9%
Income
Median household income $83,173 $64,994
Persons below poverty level 9.3% 12.8%
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2020). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2015-2020).
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.


See also

Hawaii State Executive Elections News and Analysis
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Hawaii State Executive Offices
Hawaii State Legislature
Hawaii Courts
2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
Hawaii elections: 2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
Party control of state government
State government trifectas
State of the state addresses
Partisan composition of governors

External links

Footnotes

  1. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  2. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  3. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  4. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  5. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012," accessed September 9, 2022