Illinois' 16th Congressional District election (March 20, 2018 Republican primary)
- General election: Nov. 6
- Voter registration deadline: Oct. 9
- Early voting: Sept. 27 - Nov. 5
- Absentee voting deadline: Nov. 20
- Online registration: Yes
- Same-day registration: Yes
- Voter ID: No
- Poll times: 6:00 a.m. to 7:00 p.m.
2020 →
← 2016
|
| Illinois' 16th Congressional District |
|---|
 |
| Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
| Election details |
| Filing deadline: December 4, 2017 |
| Primary: March 20, 2018 General: November 6, 2018 Pre-election incumbent: Adam Kinzinger (Republican) |
| How to vote |
| Poll times: 6 a.m. to 7 p.m. Voting in Illinois |
| Race ratings |
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican Inside Elections: Solid Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican |
| Ballotpedia analysis |
| U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018 |
| See also |
1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th • 10th • 11th • 12th • 13th • 14th • 15th • 16th • 17th • 18th Illinois elections, 2018 U.S. Congress elections, 2018 U.S. Senate elections, 2018 U.S. House elections, 2018 |
A Republican Party primary election took place on March 20, 2018, in Illinois' 16th District to determine which Republican would run in the district's November 6, 2018, general election.
This page focuses on the Republican primary. For an overview of the election in general, click here.
| Candidate Filing Deadline | Primary Election | General Election |
|---|---|---|
Candidates and election results
Incumbent Adam Kinzinger defeated James Marter in the Republican primary for U.S. House Illinois District 16 on March 20, 2018.
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Illinois District 16
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ |  | Adam Kinzinger | 67.9 | 44,878 |
 | James Marter | 32.1 | 21,242 | |
| Total votes: 66,120 | |||
 = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Jaye DeBates (R)
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+8, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 8 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Illinois' 16th Congressional District the 159th most Republican nationally.[1]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.11. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.11 points toward that party.[2]
Campaign finance
The table below contains data from FEC Quarterly October 2017 reports. It includes only candidates who reported at least $10,000 in campaign contributions as of September 30, 2017.[3]
Republicans
Endorsements
Ballotpedia tracks endorsements of candidates by organizations and elected and appointed officials. As of February 16, 2018, we have located the following endorsement in this race. To notify us of other endorsements, please email us.
| Republican primary endorsements | |
|---|---|
| Endorsement | Marter |
| Illinois Family Action[4] | ✔ |
Race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
| Race ratings: Illinois' 16th Congressional District election, 2018 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
| October 30, 2018 | October 23, 2018 | October 16, 2018 | October 9, 2018 | ||||||
| The Cook Political Report | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
| Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
| Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | |||||
| Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every two weeks throughout the election season. | |||||||||
State overview
Partisan control
This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in Illinois heading into the 2018 elections.
Congressional delegation
- Following the 2016 elections, Democrats held both U.S. Senate seats in Illinois.
- Democrats held 11 of 18 U.S. House seats in Illinois.
State executives
- As of May 2018, Democrats held four of 7 state executive positions, Republicans held two, and the remaining position was officially nonpartisan.
- The governor of Illinois was Republican Bruce Rauner. The state held elections for governor and lieutenant governor on November 6, 2018.
State legislature
- Democrats controlled both chambers of the Illinois General Assembly. They had a 67-51 majority in the state House and a 37-22 majority in the state Senate.
Trifecta status
- Illinois was under divided government, meaning that the two parties shared control of the state government. Bruce Rauner (R) served as governor, while Democrats controlled the state legislature.
2018 elections
- See also: Illinois elections, 2018
Illinois held elections for the following positions in 2018:
- 18 U.S. House seats
- Governor and lieutenant governor
- Four lower state executive positions
- 39 of 59 state Senate seats
- 118 state House seats
- Municipal elections in Cook County
Demographics
| Demographic data for Illinois | ||
|---|---|---|
| Illinois | U.S. | |
| Total population: | 12,839,047 | 316,515,021 |
| Land area (sq mi): | 55,519 | 3,531,905 |
| Race and ethnicity** | ||
| White: | 72.3% | 73.6% |
| Black/African American: | 14.3% | 12.6% |
| Asian: | 5% | 5.1% |
| Native American: | 0.2% | 0.8% |
| Pacific Islander: | 0% | 0.2% |
| Two or more: | 2.2% | 3% |
| Hispanic/Latino: | 16.5% | 17.1% |
| Education | ||
| High school graduation rate: | 87.9% | 86.7% |
| College graduation rate: | 32.3% | 29.8% |
| Income | ||
| Median household income: | $57,574 | $53,889 |
| Persons below poverty level: | 16.8% | 11.3% |
| Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Illinois. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. | ||
As of July 2016, Illinois' three largest cities were Chicago (pop. est. 2.7 million), Aurora (pop. est. 200,000), and Joliet (pop. est. 150,000).[5][6]
State election history
This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Illinois from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the Illinois State Board of Elections.
Historical elections
Presidential elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Illinois every year from 2000 to 2016.
| Election results (President of the United States), Illinois 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
| 2016 |  Hillary Clinton |
55.8% | Donald Trump |
38.8% | 17.0% |
| 2012 | Barack Obama |
57.6% | Mitt Romney |
40.7% | 16.9% |
| 2008 | Barack Obama |
61.9% | John McCain |
36.8% | 25.1% |
| 2004 | John Kerry |
54.8% | George W. Bush |
44.5% | 10.3% |
| 2000 | Al Gore |
54.6% | George W. Bush |
42.6% | 12.0% |
U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in Illinois from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.
| Election results (U.S. Senator), Illinois 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
| 2016 | Tammy Duckworth |
54.9% | Mark Kirk |
39.8% | 15.1% |
| 2014 | Dick Durbin |
53.5% | Jim Oberweis |
42.7% | 10.8% |
| 2010 | Mark Kirk |
48.0% | Alexander Giannoulias |
46.4% | 1.6% |
| 2008 | Dick Durbin |
67.8% | Steve Sauerberg |
28.5% | 39.3% |
| 2004 | Barack Obama |
70.0% | Alan Keyes |
27.0% | 43.0% |
| 2002 | Dick Durbin |
60.3% | Jim Durkin |
38.0% | 22.3% |
Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Illinois.
| Election results (Governor), Illinois 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
| 2014 | Bruce Rauner |
50.3% | Pat Quinn |
46.3% | 4.0% |
| 2010 | Pat Quinn |
46.8% | Bill Brady |
45.9% | 0.9% |
| 2006 | Rod Blagojevich |
49.8% | Judy Baar Topinka |
39.3% | 10.5% |
| 2002 | Rod Blagojevich |
52.2% | Jim Ryan |
45.1% | 7.1% |
Congressional delegation, 2000-2016
This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Illinois in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.
| Congressional delegation, Illinois 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | Republicans | Republicans (%) | Democrats | Democrats (%) | Balance of power |
| 2016 | 7 |
38.9% | 11 |
61.1% | D+4 |
| 2014 | 8 |
44.4% | 10 |
55.6% | D+2 |
| 2012 | 6 |
33.3% | 12 |
66.7% | D+6 |
| 2010 | 11 |
57.9% | 8 |
42.1% | R+3 |
| 2008 | 7 |
36.8% | 12 |
63.2% | D+5 |
| 2006 | 9 |
47.4% | 10 |
52.6% | D+1 |
| 2004 | 9 |
47.4% | 10 |
52.6% | D+1 |
| 2002 | 10 |
52.6% | 9 |
47.4% | R+1 |
| 2000 | 10 |
50.0% | 10 |
50.0% | Even |
Trifectas, 1992-2017
A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.
Illinois Party Control: 1992-2025
Nineteen years of Democratic trifectas • Two years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
| Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
| Senate | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
| House | D | D | D | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
See also
- United States House of Representatives elections in Illinois, 2018
- United States House elections in Illinois (March 20, 2018 Republican primaries)
- Illinois' 16th Congressional District election (March 20, 2018 Democratic primary)
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2018
Footnotes
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
- ↑ FEC, "Federal Election Commission," accessed November 5, 2017
- ↑ Sauk Valley Media, "Family group endorses Marter, GOP challenger for Kinzinger's House seat," February 14, 2018
- ↑ Illinois Demographics, "Illinois Cities by Population," accessed December 11, 2017
- ↑ U.S. Census Bureau, "Quickfacts Illinois," accessed December 11, 2017
