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Illinois' 14th Congressional District election, 2018

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2016
Illinois' 14th Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: December 4, 2017
Primary: March 20, 2018
General: November 6, 2018

Pre-election incumbent:
Randy Hultgren (Republican)
How to vote
Poll times: 6 a.m. to 7 p.m.
Voting in Illinois
Race ratings
Cook Partisan Voter Index (2018): R+5
Cook Political Report: Toss-up
Inside Elections: Tilt Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018
See also
Illinois' 14th Congressional District
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Illinois elections, 2018
U.S. Congress elections, 2018
U.S. Senate elections, 2018
U.S. House elections, 2018


Lauren Underwood (D) defeated Randy Hultgren (R) in the 2018 general election for Illinois' 14th Congressional District.

All 435 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives were up for election in 2018. The Democratic Party gained a net total of 40 seats, winning control of the chamber. This race was identified as a 2018 battleground that might have affected partisan control of the U.S. House in the 116th Congress. Heading into the election, the Republican Party was in the majority holding 235 seats to Democrats' 193 seats, with seven vacant seats. Democrats needed to win 23 GOP-held seats in 2018 to win control of the House. From 1918 to 2016, the president’s party lost an average of 29 seats in midterm elections.

Hultgren was re-elected in 2016 by a margin of 18.6 percentage points. As of October 2018, two election forecasters rated the race as Leans Republican, while a third rated it Toss-up. The 14th District was listed as one of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee's initial targets in 2018.[1]

Democratic Party For more information about the Democratic primary, click here.
Republican Party For more information about the Republican primary, click here.

Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Illinois District 14

Lauren Underwood defeated incumbent Randy Hultgren in the general election for U.S. House Illinois District 14 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Lauren Underwood
Lauren Underwood (D)
 
52.5
 
156,035
Image of Randy Hultgren
Randy Hultgren (R)
 
47.5
 
141,164

Total votes: 297,199
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Illinois District 14

The following candidates ran in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Illinois District 14 on March 20, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Lauren Underwood
Lauren Underwood
 
57.3
 
29,391
Image of Matt Brolley
Matt Brolley
 
13.4
 
6,845
Image of Jim Walz
Jim Walz
 
10.0
 
5,100
Image of Victor Swanson
Victor Swanson
 
7.0
 
3,597
Image of John Hosta
John Hosta
 
5.0
 
2,578
Image of George Weber
George Weber
 
5.0
 
2,570
Image of Daniel Roldan-Johnson
Daniel Roldan-Johnson
 
2.3
 
1,170

Total votes: 51,251
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Illinois District 14

Incumbent Randy Hultgren advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Illinois District 14 on March 20, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Randy Hultgren
Randy Hultgren
 
100.0
 
51,672

Total votes: 51,672
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Candidate profiles

See also: Editorial approach to writing about key campaign messages


Randy Hultgren, U.S. representative
Randy Hultgren.jpg

Campaign website Facebook Twitter

Party: Republican

Incumbent: Yes

Political office: U.S. House of Representatives (Assumed office: 2011), Illinois State Senate (2007-2011), Illinois House of Representatives (1999-2007)

Biography: Hultgren graduated from Bethel College in 1988 and obtained a law degree from Chicago-Kent College of Law in 1993. The next year, he was elected to the DuPage County Board and the County Forest Preserve Board. In the U.S. House, Hultgren founded the House Science & National Labs Caucus and the Congressional Friends of Sweden Caucus. As of the 2018 election, Hultgren was co-chairman of the STEM Education Caucus.

Key messages
  • Hultgren said that he was running to continue what he described as his legislative successes in Congress. Hultgren cited the 2017 tax law, repeal of Obama-era regulations, and economic growth as examples.[2]
  • Hultgren identified human trafficking as a major issue. His first television ad "focuses on the issue of human trafficking that is plaguing our nation, an issue that Rep. Hultgren is passionate about and will continue to address when he is re-elected in November."[3]




Lauren Underwood, healthcare policy advisor
Lauren Underwood.jpg

Campaign website Facebook Twitter

Party: Democratic

Incumbent: No

Political office: None

Biography: Underwood graduated from the University of Michigan in 2008 with a nursing degree and obtained a master's in public health from Johns Hopkins University the next year. In 2010, she joined the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services as a policy coordinator. She was named senior advisor to the Assistant Secretary for Preparedness and Response in 2014 and continued to serve in that role for the remainder of the Obama administration. In 2017 she joined NextLevelHealth as a senior director of strategy and regulatory affairs, serving in that role until March 2018.

Key messages
  • Underwood said that healthcare was her focus, citing her professional experience as a registered nurse and public health advisor and her personal experiences with a preexisting heart condition. Her general election campaign kickoff video said that she was "running for Congress because every family has a right to quality, affordable healthcare."[4]
  • Underwood said that she would seek to bring jobs to the district through investment in small businesses, growing sectors of the economy, and local infrastructure.[5]



Polls

See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls
Illinois' 14th Congressional District, 2018
Poll Poll sponsor Hultgren (R) Underwood (D)Undecided/OtherMargin of ErrorSample Size
The New York Times Upshot/Siena College
(October 31 - November 4, 2018)
N/A 43%49%8%+/-5.0428
The New York Times Upshot/Siena College
(October 3-8, 2018)
N/A 47%43%10%+/-4.6501
Public Policy Polling
(April 16-17, 2018)
Patriot Majority USA 45%41%14%+/-3.8682
Note: A "0%" finding means the question was not a part of the poll. The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org


Campaign finance

The chart below contains data from financial reports submitted to the Federal Election Commission.

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Randy Hultgren Republican Party $2,238,969 $2,400,772 $396 As of December 31, 2018
Lauren Underwood Democratic Party $4,927,142 $4,891,319 $35,822 As of December 31, 2018

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2018. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.


Satellite spending

Satellite spending, commonly referred to as outside spending, describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[6][7][8]

This section lists satellite spending in this race reported by news outlets in alphabetical order. If you are aware of spending that should be included, please email us.


Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[13]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[14][15][16]

Race ratings: Illinois' 14th Congressional District election, 2018
Race trackerRace ratings
October 30, 2018October 23, 2018October 16, 2018October 9, 2018
The Cook Political ReportToss-upToss-upToss-upLean Republican
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesTilt RepublicanLean RepublicanLean RepublicanSolid Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallLean RepublicanLean RepublicanLean RepublicanLean Republican
Note: Ballotpedia updates external race ratings every two weeks throughout the election season.

District analysis

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores

The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+5, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 5 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Illinois' 14th Congressional District the 191st most Republican nationally.[17]

FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 0.97. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 0.97 points toward that party.[18]

Noteworthy endorsements

See also: Ballotpedia: Our approach to covering endorsements

This section lists noteworthy endorsements issued in this election, including those made by high-profile individuals and organizations, cross-party endorsements, and endorsements made by newspaper editorial boards. It also includes a bulleted list of links to official lists of endorsements for any candidates who published that information on their campaign websites. Please note that this list is not exhaustive. If you are aware of endorsements that should be included, please click here.

Click the links below to see endorsement lists published on candidate campaign websites, if available.

Noteworthy general election endorsements
Endorsement Underwood (D) Hultgren (R)
Newspapers and editorials
The Chicago Sun-Times[19]
The Daily Chronicle[20]
The Daily Herald[21]
The Herald-News[22]
Elected officials
Former President Barack Obama (D)[23]
Former Vice President Joe Biden (D)[24]


Timeline

  • November 4, 2018: A New York Times Upshot/Siena College poll found Underwood apparently leading Hultgren, with 49 percent support to Hultgren's 43 percent. The poll reported a margin of error of 5.0 percentage points.
  • November 2, 2018: House Speaker Paul Ryan (R) made a campaign appearance alongside Hultgren in Spring Grove.
  • October 31, 2018: Former Vice President Joe Biden (D) headlined a rally in support of Underwood.
  • October 29, 2018: Independence USA PAC reported spending $690,000 on a digital and television ad campaign supporting Underwood and opposing Hultgren.
  • October 26, 2018: The Daily Chronicle endorsed Hultgren.
  • October 23, 2018: Hultgren and Underwood met for a debate in Yorkville.
  • October 21, 2018: The Herald-News endorsed Hultgren.
  • October 12, 2018: House Majority PAC, Priorities USA Action, and Women Vote! announced spending a combined $370,000 on a digital ad campaign opposed to Hultgren.
  • October 9, 2018: Women Vote! reported spending $32,000 on a mailer campaign opposed to Hultgren.
  • October 8, 2018: A New York Times/Siena College poll found Hultgren apparently leading Underwood with 47 percent support to Underwood's 43 percent. The poll reported a margin of error of 4.6 percentage points.
  • October 2, 2018: The House Majority PAC reported spending $900,000 on a television ad buy supporting Underwood.
  • September 11, 2018: The Hultgren campaign released an ad titled Chris.
  • September 7, 2018: The Underwood campaign released an ad titled Lauren Underwood, R.N. for Congress.

Campaign advertisements

Republican Party Randy Hultgren

Support

"Building Blocks" - Hultgren campaign ad, released October 10, 2018
"Chris" - Hultgren campaign ad, released September 11, 2018


Oppose

"Stop" - House Majority PAC ad, released October 3, 2018

Democratic Party Lauren Underwood

Support

"Carrie and Tom" - Underwood campaign ad, released October 24, 2018
"It's On" - Underwood campaign ad, released October 2, 2018
"Lauren Underwood, R.N. for Congress" - Underwood campaign ad, released September 7, 2018


Oppose

"Madigan's Candidate" - NRCC ad, released October 9, 2018

Noteworthy events

Paul Ryan campaign appearance

House Speaker Paul Ryan (R) made a campaign appearance alongside Hultgren in Spring Grove on November 2, 2018.[41]

Joe Biden campaign appearance

Former Vice President Joe Biden (D) made a campaign appearance alongside Underwood and 6th District candidate Sean Casten (D) at a rally in St. Charles on October 31, 2018.[42]

Hillary Clinton fundraiser

Former U.S. Secretary of State and 2016 presidential nominee Hillary Clinton (D) headlined a fundraiser to benefit five Democratic congressional candidates, including Underwood, in New York City on September 12, 2018. The other candidates supported by the fundraiser were Liuba Grechen Shirley (D), Gina Ortiz Jones (D), Haley Stevens (D), and Xochitl Torres Small (D).[43][44]

Debates and forums

  • Hultgren and Underwood met for a debate in Yorkville sponsored by WSPY and the Kendall County Farm Bureau on October 23, 2018.[45] Click here for audio clips from the debate.

Campaign themes

Republican Party Randy Hultgren

Hultgren's campaign website stated the following:

Defending Our Values
Families are the backbone of our country—a stable family means a stable society. While in Congress, Randy has supported numerous pieces of legislation to protect life and the autonomy of the family, defend the most vulnerable, and uphold the rights of parents to educate their children in the home without fear of government interference.

Randy knows America was founded on the principle of religious liberty for all. He believes all Americans should be able to practice what they believe, regardless of faith, and has opposed any efforts by the federal government to pay for abortion-inducing drugs or procedures that violate their consciences. A thriving society celebrates and protects life at all stages.

  • Defended individual’s religious freedoms and their first amendment rights, advocating for the Health Care Conscience Rights Act, reining in the IRS’ unlawful targeting of American citizens and supporting the United States Commission on International Religious Freedom (USCRIF)
  • A leader in Washington on fighting Human Trafficking and has been appointed to the Congressional Human Trafficking Task Force by U.S. House of Representatives Leadership
  • Combated heroin and opiate abuse in Illinois and across the country, convening community leaders together and developing a community action plan to combat this epidemic
  • Earned a 100% pro-life voting record from the National Right to Life Committee

Honoring Our Veterans
We owe a great debt to our service men and women. They sacrificed much to provide opportunities for generations to come, and it’s because of their service that we can enjoy the freedoms we do today. It is our duty to ensure they receive the utmost respect and care they deserve. Randy is committed to holding the Department of Veterans Affairs accountable and has been working in Washington to ensure our veterans receive timely and high quality health care, as well as education and employment opportunities here at home.

  • Supported legislation for veterans to receive private care if they live more than 40 miles from a VA facility or aren’t seen by a physician within 30 days of requesting an appointment.
  • Co-sponsored the Hire More Heroes Act of 2013 that encourages businesses to hire veterans by providing relief from the onerous employer mandate in the Affordable Care Act
  • Supported legislation that improves veterans access to education and employment programs
  • Developed strategies during community veterans’ roundtables to address delays in VA benefits, challenges assimilating to civilian life, employment opportunities and more

Maintaining Local Control of Education
Our education system in Illinois is in peril as hundreds of schools are failing and more high school students are dropping out before graduation. While several solutions have been proposed to address this problem, the national Common Core State Standards in English and math threaten local control over education and impose a one-size-fits-all approach on our children’s education – treating ever student as a widget and not allowing teachers to do what they do best. Excessive testing and assessments are having deleterious effects on our students and costing our local schools millions of dollars that they don’t have and that could be better spent. Parents and teachers know the children best and should have the freedom to decide what’s best for their education—without federal intrusion.

  • Conducted extensive fact-finding effort with parents, educators, local officials and community leaders to identify challenges and provide solutions to better our education system
  • Hosted a community summit on Common Core Curriculum Standards to hear all sides of the controversial issue and advocated for pushing the pause button on Common Core at both the state and federal levels and returning control of our children’s education to the parents and teachers
  • Launched the Higher Education Advisory Committee comprised of community college presidents serving the 14th District to develop workforce and training solutions for students in high school and beyond to ensure they possess the needed skills and knowledge to enter the workforce
  • Championed science, technology, engineering, and mathematics (STEM) education, proudly serving as a co-chair of the bipartisan House STEM Education Caucus and co-chair of the bipartisan House Science and National Labs Caucus he has hosted a variety of STEM-focused events in the district to give students and parents a hands on experience with technology; events include promoting and participating in the “Hour of Code” initiative, hosting a ‘hackathon’ at Fermilab to promote the House App Contest and supporting local GotRobot robotics team as it competed at the local and state level

Preserving Social Security & Medicare for Our Seniors
Social Security and Medicare are vital safety net programs that our seniors count on. However, it is no secret that Medicare costs are exploding and Social Security is projected to be bankrupt by 2033. We must look to long-term reforms that will protect these programs for our seniors and preserve them for future generations. When Randy was elected in 2010, he promised to not support any cuts to Social Security or Medicare for those 55 and older and has maintained that promise.

  • Upheld promise to preserve Social Security or Medicare to those 55 and older
  • Advocated for measures that would require the president to submit a plan for restoring fiscal balance to the Social Security Trust Fund
  • Fought against Obamacare’s drastic gutting of Medicare by $700 billion
  • Advocated and passed a bipartisan, long-term fix to Medicare’s sustainable growth rate to strengthen and preserve this program for our seniors

Securing the Border & Fixing Our Immigration System
Our nation is one of immigrants. Randy’s great-grandparents came from Sweden to find opportunities our great nation had to offer, but it’s sad to see how broken our system has become in the last few decades. Immigration reform is not a race; it’s about getting it right. Randy believes we should examine reform piece by piece—it’s too complex and important not to examine each and every issue.

To properly fix the problems within our immigration system, Randy proposes we:

1. Secure the border by ensuring our law enforcement forces have the latest technologies and officers available. We must learn from the mistakes of neglecting to properly implement a biometric entry-exit system
2. Enforce immigration law at home by ensuring businesses use electronic systems to verify legal status of potential hires.
3. Update our visa system to address agricultural and high-skilled workers, and ensure we support the family as the best social safety net. Breaking down the family creates dependents of the federal government. We should welcome productive members of society who go through the legal process to obtain proper status.

  • Advocated against amnesty in support of people following the law for their pathway to citizenship
  • Co-sponsored reform for the high-skilled immigration visa system that seeks to expand the number of visas for high skilled workers allowing for American employers to hire the workers with the science and technology background they need[46]
Randy Hultgren for Congress[47]


Democratic Party Lauren Underwood

Underwood's campaign website stated the following:

Reducing Gun Violence
We have a moral obligation to address the gun violence epidemic that is threatening communities across our country. First, we absolutely need universal background checks for all gun sales, whether through federal licences, over the internet, or through private exchanges. The current system includes loopholes that make it easy for criminals and dangerously mentally ill to buy guns; it’s just common sense to fix this vulnerability. Additionally, individuals who have existing legal actions regarding threats of violence (ie. restraining orders) should not be permitted to purchase new firearms. We must be allowed to study this epidemic as the critical public health issue that it is -- and its time to repeal the Dickey Amendment. This is a public safety issue of critical importance, and I have been so disappointed in the lack of courage or congressional action on this issue. We deserve better.

Education
I believe that every child deserves a high quality public education. Here in the 14th district we have excellent public schools, but this requires continued investment. Additionally, we should be making it easier for students to afford college by increasing our investment in higher education institutions. I support increased funding for Pell grants, increased availability of affordable subsidized student loans, and the continuance of the public service loan forgiveness program. Higher education should not be a privilege of a certain class of people.

Environment
Climate scientists nearly unanimously agree that the Earth’s temperature increases have been driven by excess greenhouse gas emissions caused by humans. Given the current trajectory, climate change presents both an existential threat to life on earth and also one of our most pressing national security issues. The impact of climate refugees, fights for basic resources like food and water caused by these events, and increased numbers of public health emergencies and disasters, will pose real, destabilizing challenges -- and we have a responsibility to act in an effort to curb these threats.

I support expanded investment and deployment of renewable energy projects, investment in public transportation projects, and a fully funded and appropriately staffed Environmental Protection Agency with authority to regulate, monitor and enforce standards associated with the Clean Air Act, Clean Water Act and other safeguards to promote health, safety and our environment.

Immigration and DACA
Immigrants have been vital to the cultural fabric and economic success of America since our nation's founding. Our policies must honor and recognize the value and dignity of all of our immigrant communities and I strongly condemn the hurtful and divisive rhetoric that has become commonplace under the new administration.

We must take immediate action to provide all DACA recipients a pathway to citizenship through a clean Dream Act.

We must take immediate action to pass comprehensive immigration reform, including re-evaluating which countries receive preferential immigration authority.

Reproductive Freedom
I support women’s rights to the full range of reproductive health services, without restrictions. This includes access to safe, legal, and affordable abortions.

Foreign Policy and Protecting Our National Security
Diplomacy and leadership, backed by a strong military, are critical for our national security.[46]

Lauren Underwood for Congress[48]


Social media

Twitter accounts

Facebook accounts

Click the icons below to visit the candidates' Facebook pages.

Republican Party Randy Hultgren Facebook

Democratic Party Lauren Underwood Facebook

Pivot Counties

See also: Pivot Counties by state

Eleven of 102 Illinois counties—10.8 percent—are Pivot Counties. These are counties that voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012 and for Donald Trump (R) in 2016. Altogether, the nation had 206 Pivot Counties, with most being concentrated in upper midwestern and northeastern states.

Counties won by Trump in 2016 and Obama in 2012 and 2008
County Trump margin of victory in 2016 Obama margin of victory in 2012 Obama margin of victory in 2008
Alexander County, Illinois 8.30% 13.65% 12.62%
Carroll County, Illinois 26.69% 1.49% 4.81%
Fulton County, Illinois 14.93% 11.04% 21.33%
Henderson County, Illinois 28.43% 12.25% 17.67%
Henry County, Illinois 20.99% 3.08% 7.74%
Jo Daviess County, Illinois 14.64% 1.16% 10.49%
Knox County, Illinois 2.91% 17.37% 19.89%
Mercer County, Illinois 20.36% 7.39% 11.91%
Putnam County, Illinois 19.92% 1.82% 15.64%
Warren County, Illinois 16.50% 5.47% 8.08%
Whiteside County, Illinois 6.18% 17.02% 17.56%

In the 2016 presidential election, Hillary Clinton (D) won Illinois with 55.8 percent of the vote. Donald Trump (R) received 38.8 percent. In presidential elections between 1900 and 2016, Illinois voted Republican 50 percent of the time and Democratic 50 percent of the time. Illinois voted Democratic in all five elections from 2000 to 2016.

Presidential results by legislative district

The following table details results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections by state House districts in Illinois. Click [show] to expand the table. The "Obama," "Romney," "Clinton," and "Trump" columns describe the percent of the vote each presidential candidate received in the district. The "2012 Margin" and "2016 Margin" columns describe the margin of victory between the two presidential candidates in those years. The "Party Control" column notes which party held that seat heading into the 2018 general election. Data on the results of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections broken down by state legislative districts was compiled by Daily Kos.[49][50]

In 2012, Barack Obama (D) won 75 out of 118 state House districts in Illinois with an average margin of victory of 39.2 points. In 2016, Hillary Clinton (D) won 76 out of 118 state House districts in Illinois with an average margin of victory of 42.1 points. Clinton won 13 districts controlled by Republicans heading into the 2018 elections.
In 2012, Mitt Romney (R) won 43 out of 118 state House districts in Illinois with an average margin of victory of 15 points. In 2016, Donald Trump (R) won 42 out of 118 state House districts in Illinois with an average margin of victory of 22.1 points. Trump won four districts controlled by Democrats heading into the 2018 elections.


District history

2016

See also: Illinois' 14th Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Republican. Incumbent Randy Hultgren (R) defeated Jim Walz (D) in the general election on November 8, 2016. Hultgren ran unopposed in the Republican primary on March 15, 2016, while Walz defeated John Hosta and Jesse Maggitt to win the Democratic nomination.[51][52]

U.S. House, Illinois District 14 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngRandy Hultgren Incumbent 59.3% 200,508
     Democratic Jim Walz 40.7% 137,589
Total Votes 338,097
Source: Illinois State Board of Elections


U.S. House, Illinois District 14 Democratic Primary, 2016
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngJim Walz 42.7% 27,706
John Hosta 38.3% 24,866
Jesse Maggitt 19% 12,311
Total Votes 64,883
Source: Illinois State Board of Elections

2014

See also: Illinois' 14th Congressional District elections, 2014

The 14th Congressional District of Illinois held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Randy Hultgren (R) defeated Dennis Anderson (D) in the general election.

U.S. House, Illinois District 14 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngRandy Hultgren Incumbent 65.4% 145,369
     Democratic Dennis Anderson 34.6% 76,861
Total Votes 222,230
Source: Illinois State Board of Elections Official Results

State overview

Partisan control

This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in Illinois heading into the 2018 elections.

Congressional delegation

State executives

State legislature

  • Democrats controlled both chambers of the Illinois General Assembly. They had a 67-51 majority in the state House and a 37-22 majority in the state Senate.

Trifecta status

  • Illinois was under divided government, meaning that the two parties shared control of the state government. Bruce Rauner (R) served as governor, while Democrats controlled the state legislature.

2018 elections

See also: Illinois elections, 2018

Illinois held elections for the following positions in 2018:

Demographics

Demographic data for Illinois
 IllinoisU.S.
Total population:12,839,047316,515,021
Land area (sq mi):55,5193,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White:72.3%73.6%
Black/African American:14.3%12.6%
Asian:5%5.1%
Native American:0.2%0.8%
Pacific Islander:0%0.2%
Two or more:2.2%3%
Hispanic/Latino:16.5%17.1%
Education
High school graduation rate:87.9%86.7%
College graduation rate:32.3%29.8%
Income
Median household income:$57,574$53,889
Persons below poverty level:16.8%11.3%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015)
Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Illinois.
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.

As of July 2016, Illinois' three largest cities were Chicago (pop. est. 2.7 million), Aurora (pop. est. 200,000), and Joliet (pop. est. 150,000).[53][54]

State election history

This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Illinois from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the Illinois State Board of Elections.

Historical elections

Presidential elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Illinois every year from 2000 to 2016.

Election results (President of the United States), Illinois 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2016 Democratic Party Hillary Clinton 55.8% Republican Party Donald Trump 38.8% 17.0%
2012 Democratic Party Barack Obama 57.6% Republican Party Mitt Romney 40.7% 16.9%
2008 Democratic Party Barack Obama 61.9% Republican Party John McCain 36.8% 25.1%
2004 Democratic Party John Kerry 54.8% Republican Party George W. Bush 44.5% 10.3%
2000 Democratic Party Al Gore 54.6% Republican Party George W. Bush 42.6% 12.0%

U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in Illinois from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.

Election results (U.S. Senator), Illinois 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2016 Democratic Party Tammy Duckworth 54.9% Republican Party Mark Kirk 39.8% 15.1%
2014 Democratic Party Dick Durbin 53.5% Republican Party Jim Oberweis 42.7% 10.8%
2010 Republican Party Mark Kirk 48.0% Democratic Party Alexander Giannoulias 46.4% 1.6%
2008 Democratic Party Dick Durbin 67.8% Republican Party Steve Sauerberg 28.5% 39.3%
2004 Democratic Party Barack Obama 70.0% Republican Party Alan Keyes 27.0% 43.0%
2002 Democratic Party Dick Durbin 60.3% Republican Party Jim Durkin 38.0% 22.3%

Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016

This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Illinois.

Election results (Governor), Illinois 2000-2016
Year First-place candidate First-place candidate votes (%) Second-place candidate Second-place candidate votes (%) Margin of victory (%)
2014 Republican Party Bruce Rauner 50.3% Democratic Party Pat Quinn 46.3% 4.0%
2010 Democratic Party Pat Quinn 46.8% Republican Party Bill Brady 45.9% 0.9%
2006 Democratic Party Rod Blagojevich 49.8% Republican Party Judy Baar Topinka 39.3% 10.5%
2002 Democratic Party Rod Blagojevich 52.2% Republican Party Jim Ryan 45.1% 7.1%

Congressional delegation, 2000-2016

This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Illinois in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.

Congressional delegation, Illinois 2000-2016
Year Republicans Republicans (%) Democrats Democrats (%) Balance of power
2016 Republican Party 7 38.9% Democratic Party 11 61.1% D+4
2014 Republican Party 8 44.4% Democratic Party 10 55.6% D+2
2012 Republican Party 6 33.3% Democratic Party 12 66.7% D+6
2010 Republican Party 11 57.9% Democratic Party 8 42.1% R+3
2008 Republican Party 7 36.8% Democratic Party 12 63.2% D+5
2006 Republican Party 9 47.4% Democratic Party 10 52.6% D+1
2004 Republican Party 9 47.4% Democratic Party 10 52.6% D+1
2002 Republican Party 10 52.6% Democratic Party 9 47.4% R+1
2000 Republican Party 10 50.0% Democratic Party 10 50.0% Even

Trifectas, 1992-2017

A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.

Illinois Party Control: 1992-2025
Nineteen years of Democratic trifectas  •  Two years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Governor R R R R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D D D D D R R R R D D D D D D D
Senate D R R R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D
House D D D R R D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D


See also

Footnotes

  1. DCCC, "House Democrats Playing Offense," January 30, 2017
  2. Randy Hultgren for Congress, "Hultgren Officially Announces Re-Election," November 30, 2017
  3. Randy Hultgren for Congress, "Hultgren's first TV ad is unusual and emotional," September 13, 2018
  4. YouTube, "Lauren Underwood, R.N. for Congress," September 7, 2018
  5. Lauren Underwood for Congress, "Values," accessed September 28, 2018
  6. OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed September 22, 2015
  7. OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed September 22, 2015
  8. National Review.com, "Why the Media Hate Super PACs," November 6, 2015
  9. [https://twitter.com/Ad_Analytics/status/1047236288158547969 Twitter, "Advertising Analytics," accessed October 4, 2018]
  10. Federal Election Commission, "Independent Expenditures - Independence USA PAC," accessed November 1, 2018
  11. The House Majority PAC, "WOMEN VOTE!, HMP, and Priorities USA Action Announce Digital Campaign in IL-14," October 12, 2018
  12. Federal Election Commission, "Independent Expenditures - Women Vote!" accessed October 12, 2018
  13. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  14. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  15. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  16. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  17. Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
  18. FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
  19. Chicago Sun-Times, "ENDORSEMENT: Lauren Underwood for Congress in the 14th District," October 7, 2018
  20. Daily Chronicle, "Our View: Randy Hultgren in 14th Congressional District," October 26, 2018
  21. Daily Herald, "Endorsement: Daily Herald recommends Underwood over Hultgren in 14th Congressional District," October 8, 2018
  22. The Herald-News, "Our View: Endorsement, 14th Congressional District: Randy Hultgren," October 21, 2018
  23. Underwood for Congress, "Big News: President Obama is With Us!" August 2, 2018
  24. Naperville Patch, "Joe Biden Endorses Underwood For District 14," September 26, 2018
  25. Underwood for Congress, "Congresswoman Robin Kelly Endorses Lauren Underwood for IL-14 ," January 30, 2018
  26. Chicago Tribune, "Morning Spin: Preckwinkle won't face a primary challenge from pop tax opponent Boykin," September 28, 2017
  27. Kane County Chronicle, "Brolley makes 14th District run official," June 29, 2017
  28. Jim Walz for Congress, "State Senator Terry Link (IL-30) Endorses Jim Walz For U.S. Congress To Represent Illinois 14th Congressional District," September 15, 2017
  29. 29.0 29.1 Brolley for Congress, "Brolley Announces 11 Local Endorsements," August 8, 2017
  30. Jim Walz for Congress, "WILL COUNTY PROGRESSIVES ENDORSE JIM WALZ FOR CONGRESS," February 5, 2018
  31. Jim Walz for Congress, "DEKALB AREA PROGRESSIVES ENDORSE JIM WALZ FOR CONGRESS," February 3, 2018
  32. Politico, "Super PAC says GOP must sell tax reform," January 25, 2018
  33. Facebook, "Brolley for Congress," January 22, 2018
  34. Facebook, "Brolley for Congress," January 11, 2018
  35. Lauren Underwood for Congress, "The Collective PAC Endorses Lauren Underwood among Historic Group of Local, Statewide & Federal Candidates," October 12, 2017
  36. Underwood for Congress, "Naperville Women's March Action Endorses Lauren Underwood for Congress," September 30, 2017
  37. Underwood for Congress, "Senator Kirsten Gillibrand's Off the Sidelines PAC stands with Lauren Underwood," September 25, 2017
  38. Jim Walz for Congress, "Endorsement From Our Revolution Illinois Berniecrats," June 28, 2017
  39. 39.0 39.1 Chicago Tribune, "Our final U.S. House endorsements," February 20, 2018 Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; name "Herald" defined multiple times with different content
  40. The Chicago Sun-Times, "ENDORSEMENT: Matt Brolley for Congress in 14th District Democratic Primary," February 14, 2018
  41. Chicago Tribune, "Speaker Paul Ryan in Chicago suburbs today in final push for Republican candidates," November 2, 2018
  42. Chicago Tribune, "Ex-Vice President Joe Biden campaigns for Democrat Lauren Underwood in heated 14th Congressional District race," October 31, 2018
  43. Chicago Tribune, "Hillary Clinton to help Democrat Lauren Underwood, other women, with New York City fundraiser," September 11, 2018
  44. Newsday, "Hillary Clinton headlines fundraiser for Liuba Grechen Shirley, other candidates," September 12, 2018
  45. Chicago Tribune, "Rep. Randy Hultgren, Lauren Underwood spar over pre-existing condition protections in health care law," October 24, 2018
  46. 46.0 46.1 Note: This text is quoted verbatim from the original source. Any inconsistencies are attributable to the original source.
  47. Randy Hultgren for Congress, "Issues," accessed September 25, 2018
  48. Lauren Underwood for Congress, "Issues," accessed September 25, 2018
  49. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts," July 9, 2013
  50. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2016 presidential results for congressional and legislative districts," February 6, 2017
  51. Illinois State Board of Elections, "Candidate List," accessed November 30, 2015
  52. The New York Times, "Illinois Primary Results," March 15, 2016
  53. Illinois Demographics, "Illinois Cities by Population," accessed December 11, 2017
  54. U.S. Census Bureau, "Quickfacts Illinois," accessed December 11, 2017



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