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Michigan's 12th Congressional District election, 2022 (August 2 Democratic primary)

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Michigan's 12th Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: April 19, 2022
Primary: August 2, 2022
General: November 8, 2022
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m.
Voting in Michigan
Race ratings
Cook Partisan Voter Index (2022): D+23
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic
Inside Elections: Solid Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022
See also
Michigan's 12th Congressional District
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Michigan elections, 2022
U.S. Congress elections, 2022
U.S. Senate elections, 2022
U.S. House elections, 2022

Rashida Tlaib defeated Kelly Garrett, Shanelle Jackson, and Janice Winfrey in the Democratic primary for Michigan's 12th Congressional District on August 2, 2022. Tlaib received 64.4% of the vote, while Winfrey came in second with 20.1%.

Tlaib, the representative for Michigan's 13th Congressional District, ran in the 12th District due to redistricting. U.S. Rep. Debbie Dingell (D), the district's representative at the time of the primary, ran in the 6th District. To view a comparison of the old and new district maps, click here.

In a statement on her choice to run in the 12th District, Tlaib said: "As expected, communities [in my current district] were unfortunately split up between the new 12th and 13th Congressional Districts. [The 12th District] contains nearly two-thirds of the people I currently serve. I’m excited to continue to fight for our residents and engage with new neighbors in Wayne and Oakland counties."[1]

Tlaib was first elected to Congress in 2018. Tlaib's top priorities on her website included "racial and immigration justice, economic and housing justice, healthcare for all, human rights around the world, environmental justice, and LGBTQ+ and gender justice."[2] Her endorsements included the Democratic Socialists of America, the Michigan AFL-CIO, the Michigan Education Association, Our Revolution, and Planned Parenthood.[3]

Jackson served in the Michigan House of Representatives from 2007 to 2013 and worked in financial technology. Jackson's top priorities on her website included narrowing pay equity gaps, supporting Ukraine in its war with Russia, supporting cryptocurrency and opposing its regulation, and increasing the national minimum wage.[4]

At the time of the primary election, Winfrey was the Detroit city clerk. She highlighted her experience in that role through the city's bankruptcy in 2013 and the COVID-19 pandemic as evidence of her ability to lead in difficult times. Winfrey's top priorities on her website included working across the aisle in Congress, reducing inflation, increasing access to healthcare, and supporting Israel as a free state.[5]

At the time of the primary election, Garrett was the mayor of Lathrup Village and served as mayor pro tem from 2013 to 2017. In a candidate survey submission to Ballotpedia, she said that key issues included "challenges around climate control, renewable energy, crime and violence in our neighborhoods, and the survival of our small businesses."

At the time of the primary, three election forecasters rated the general election as Solid or Safe Democratic, meaning the primary winner would likely have an edge in the general election.

Kelly Garrett (D) completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. To read those survey responses, click here.

This page focuses on Michigan's 12th Congressional District Democratic primary. For more in-depth information on the district's Republican primary and the general election, see the following pages:

HOTP-Dem-Ad-1-small.png

Candidates and election results

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Michigan District 12

Incumbent Rashida Tlaib defeated Janice Winfrey, Kelly Garrett, and Shanelle Jackson in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Michigan District 12 on August 2, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Rashida Tlaib
Rashida Tlaib
 
63.8
 
61,635
Image of Janice Winfrey
Janice Winfrey
 
22.4
 
21,636
Image of Kelly Garrett
Kelly Garrett Candidate Connection
 
8.6
 
8,334
Image of Shanelle Jackson
Shanelle Jackson
 
5.1
 
4,927

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 96,532
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Candidate comparison

Candidate profiles

This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.

Rashida Tlaib

Image of Rashida Tlaib

WebsiteFacebookTwitterYouTube

Party: Democratic Party

Incumbent: Yes

Political Office: 

U.S. House Michigan District 13 (Assumed office: 2019)

Biography:  Tlaib received a B.A. in political science from Wayne State University in 1998 and a J.D. from Thomas Cooley Law School in 2004. Tlaib worked as an attorney with nonprofit legal advocacy groups and as a staffer for former state representative Steve Tobocman (D).


Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.

Tlaib highlighted her experience sponsoring legislation in the House that eventually passed. In 2021, the Center for Effective Lawmaking ranked Tlaib the second-most effective member of Michigan's congressional delegation.

Tlaib said that her work as a representative went beyond policy and also included constituent services. She said she was among the list of 10 representatives to hold the most town halls during her first term in office.

Tlaib's top priorities on her website included "racial and immigration justice, economic and housing justice, healthcare for all, human rights around the world, environmental justice, and LGBTQ+ and gender justice."

Show sources

Sources: Rashida Tlaib's 2022 campaign website, "Delivering Results For All," accessed June 23, 2022 ; Rashida Tlaib's 2022 campaign website, "Rashida's Top Priorities," accessed June 23, 2022; Information submitted to Ballotpedia through the Candidate Connection survey on June 29, 2020.

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Michigan District 12 in 2022.

Kelly Garrett

Image of Kelly Garrett

WebsiteFacebookTwitterYouTube

Party: Democratic Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Submitted Biography:  "MyKale (Kelly) L. Garrett currently serves as Mayor of Lathrup Village; the first African American to hold this role. Prior to her ascension to Mayor, Ms. Garrett was Mayor Pro Tem from 2013 to 2017. Along with her work as a public servant, Ms. Garrett is passionate about serving the community through charitable service. Her past board leadership has included Chair/President of the Southfield Lathrup Democratic Club, and the Family-Centered Care Advisory Council at Children’s Hospital of Michigan. She presently serves on the Board of the national non-profit Mothering Justice (positions held: Board President and Board Secretary) and Subsidiary Advisory Board Member for Community Health at St. John/Ascension Hospital. Most recently, she was appointed by Governor Whitmer to the Michigan State Commission on Community Action and Economic Opportunity."

Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses, click here.

I am here today as a sitting Mayor of a city facing the same challenges of any city in America - families making tough decisions about gas prices, the rising costs of health care, having enough food on the table, will they be able to afford college or some form of post-secondary education, and the list goes on.

I will be here tomorrow as we face a new set of challenges around climate control, renewable energy, crime and violence in our neighborhoods, and the survival of our small businesses just to name a few.

I am and will be the best advocate for you in Washington, DC and here in the 12th District.

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Michigan District 12 in 2022.

Shanelle Jackson

Image of Shanelle Jackson

WebsiteFacebookTwitterYouTube

Party: Democratic Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: 

Michigan House of Representatives District 9 (2007-2013)

Biography:  Jackson received a bachelor's degree in political science from the University of Michigan-Dearborn and a master’s degree in social justice from Marygrove College in Detroit. She worked in the financial technology sector and for the Michigan Department of Transportation.


Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.

Jackson highlighted the economy as one of her top priorities. She said, "I will work to make sure Michigan can provide our workers with the job training and workforce development that they need to learn new skills and compete for good-paying jobs."

Jackson said that the gender pay gap in Michigan was worse than the national average and even worse for women of color. She supported federal legislation create pay equity between genders.

Jackson criticized Tlaib's stances on Israel. Jackson said, "When she gets that mic in front of her, she goes crazy and goes to many extremes. I really feel like it’s now or never as it pertains to being able to sort of shut her down and calm down some of the antisemitic rhetoric."

Show sources

Sources: Shanelle Jackson's 2022 campaign website, "Our Priorities," accessed June 23, 2022 ; Jewish Insider, "Former Michigan state legislator mounts challenge to Rashida Tlaib," January 14, 2022; Shanelle Jackson's 2022 campaign website, "About Shanelle," accessed June 23, 2022

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Michigan District 12 in 2022.

Janice Winfrey

Image of Janice Winfrey

WebsiteFacebookTwitter

Party: Democratic Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: 

Detroit City Clerk (Assumed office: 2005)

Biography:  Winfrey received her bachelor's degree from Eastern Michigan University. She worked as a math teacher for Detroit Public Schools.


Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.

Winfrey said that partisan division in Congress was at an all-time high and that she was a "common-sense candidate who will work hard to reach a compromise."

Winfrey highlighted her experience as Detroit City Clerk during the city's bankruptcy in 2013 and the COVID-19 pandemic and said that those situations showed her ability to lead in difficult times.

Winfrey criticized Tlaib's stances on Israel. She said, "[I take] positions that support Israel’s right to exist as a free, prosperous, democratic nation . . . [I oppose] the BDS Movement, the 'One State Solution', and [back] continued U.S. support for the Iron Dome System."

Show sources

Sources: Janice Winfrey's 2022 campaign website, "Priorities," accessed June 23, 2022; Janice Winfrey's 2021 campaign website, "Meet Janice Winfrey," accessed June 23, 2022

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Michigan District 12 in 2022.

Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses

Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.

Survey responses from candidates in this race

Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.

Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.

Expand all | Collapse all

Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/278701130_102378755794439_4836164244384610233_n.jpg

Kelly Garrett (D)

I am here today as a sitting Mayor of a city facing the same challenges of any city in America - families making tough decisions about gas prices, the rising costs of health care, having enough food on the table, will they be able to afford college or some form of post-secondary education, and the list goes on.

I will be here tomorrow as we face a new set of challenges around climate control, renewable energy, crime and violence in our neighborhoods, and the survival of our small businesses just to name a few.

I am and will be the best advocate for you in Washington, DC and here in the 12th District.
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/278701130_102378755794439_4836164244384610233_n.jpg

Kelly Garrett (D)

My campaign priorities:

1) Public Safety - support for police and fire

2) Healthcare - everyone deserves affordable health care

3) Infrastructure - adequate learning environment for our young people, ensuring safe and structurally sound environments

4) Support for small businesses - cornerstones for employment and economic development
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/278701130_102378755794439_4836164244384610233_n.jpg

Kelly Garrett (D)

The person that I look up to the most is Harriet Taubman. She was a little woman that made a huge impact on black American history. She fought for basic freedoms for people even when it threatened her own life.

I would follow the example of Carolyn Cheeks Kilpatrick because she was successful to get a seat on the House Appropriation committee in her second term and remained on the committee through her remaining 12 years. During her tenure on the Appropriation committee she directed federal funds back to her districts. My goal is to make sure that the people of the 12th district receive the same focus of bringing home the “bacon”.

Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/278701130_102378755794439_4836164244384610233_n.jpg

Kelly Garrett (D)

Elected officials must live by the principle that they are hired by the people, for the people and not vice versa. We must remember that when we are elected we become public servants. Servants are defined as “a person who performs duties for others”. When elected officials remember they are in office to serve their constituents and nothing more then the results is good government.
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/278701130_102378755794439_4836164244384610233_n.jpg

Kelly Garrett (D)

Determination, drive, and eagerness to help people to navigate this interesting thing called "life". Kelly is the only candidate that has worked in public office for free. She cares about people and is determined to bring money back to the district.
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/278701130_102378755794439_4836164244384610233_n.jpg

Kelly Garrett (D)

My first historical event was when Ronald Reagan got shot. I was in elementary school.
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/278701130_102378755794439_4836164244384610233_n.jpg

Kelly Garrett (D)

I worked at Pier One. I had the sales position for approximately one year.
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/278701130_102378755794439_4836164244384610233_n.jpg

Kelly Garrett (D)

Protecting our environment - socially and environmentally
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/278701130_102378755794439_4836164244384610233_n.jpg

Kelly Garrett (D)

Term limits when first introduced served it purpose at that particular time. Everyone needs more time to become an effective legislator vs having to be reelected every two years.
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/278701130_102378755794439_4836164244384610233_n.jpg

Kelly Garrett (D)

The most impactful for me was a woman who was working for $15/hour and on food stamps that decided to run for State Senate. She was the example of her base. She eventually unseated a seated State Senator.
Image of https://s3.amazonaws.com/ballotpedia-api4/files/thumbs/100/100/278701130_102378755794439_4836164244384610233_n.jpg

Kelly Garrett (D)

Compromise is desirable for policymaking. Kelly Garrett knows how to work across the aisle and is known as the Great Equalizer.


Campaign advertisements

This section includes a selection of up to three campaign advertisements per candidate released in this race, as well as links to candidates' YouTube, Vimeo, and/or Facebook video pages. If you are aware of other links that should be included, please email us.

Democratic Party Rashida Tlaib

June 17, 2022
June 16, 2022

View more ads here:

Democratic Party Kelly Garrett

May 24, 2022
May 24, 2022

View more ads here:

Democratic Party Shanelle Jackson

Ballotpedia did not come across any campaign ads for Shanelle Jackson while conducting research on this election. If you are aware of any ads that should be included, please email us.

Democratic Party Janice Winfrey

Ballotpedia did not come across any campaign ads for Janice Winfrey while conducting research on this election. If you are aware of any ads that should be included, please email us.

News and conflicts in this primary

This race was featured in The Heart of the Primaries, a newsletter capturing stories related to conflicts within each major party. Click here to read more about conflict in this and other 2022 Democratic U.S. House primaries. Click here to subscribe to the newsletter.

Endorsements

See also: Ballotpedia: Our approach to covering endorsements

Click the links below to see official endorsement lists published on candidate campaign websites for any candidates that make that information available. If you are aware of a website that should be included, please email us.

Election competitiveness

Polls

See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls

Polls are conducted with a variety of methodologies and have margins of error or credibility intervals.[6] The Pew Research Center wrote, "A margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points at the 95% confidence level means that if we fielded the same survey 100 times, we would expect the result to be within 3 percentage points of the true population value 95 of those times."[7] For tips on reading polls from FiveThirtyEight, click here. For tips from Pew, click here.

The links below show polls for this race aggregated by FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics, where available. Click here to read about FiveThirtyEight's criteria for including polls in its aggregation.

General election race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[8]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[9][10][11]

Race ratings: Michigan's 12th Congressional District election, 2022
Race trackerRace ratings
November 8, 2022November 1, 2022October 25, 2022October 18, 2022
The Cook Political Report with Amy WalterSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid DemocraticSolid Democratic
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe DemocraticSafe Democratic
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

Election spending

Campaign finance

This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[12] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[13] Click here to view the reporting schedule for candidates for U.S. Congress in 2022.

U.S. Congress campaign reporting schedule, 2022
Report Close of books Filing deadline
Year-end 2021 12/31/2021 1/31/2022
April quarterly 3/31/2022 4/15/2022
July quarterly 6/30/2022 7/15/2022
October quarterly 9/30/2022 10/15/2022
Pre-general 10/19/2022 10/27/2022
Post-general 11/28/2022 12/08/2022
Year-end 2022 12/31/2022 1/31/2023


Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Rashida Tlaib Democratic Party $3,337,996 $3,492,424 $237,304 As of December 31, 2022
Kelly Garrett Democratic Party $310,029 $305,876 $0 As of December 31, 2022
Shanelle Jackson Democratic Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Janice Winfrey Democratic Party $377,748 $414,590 $0 As of September 30, 2022

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2022. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.

Satellite spending

See also: Satellite spending

Satellite spending describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[14][15][16]

If available, this section includes links to online resources tracking satellite spending in this election. To notify us of a resource to add, email us.

By candidate By election
Satellite spending in Michigan's 12th Congressional District Democraticy primary, 2022
Organization Amount Date Purpose
Urban Empowerment Action PAC$200,000July 22, 2022Ads opposing Tlaib[17]

District analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

  • District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting.
  • Effect of redistricting - How districts in the state changed as a result of redistricting following the 2020 census.
  • Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2022 U.S. House elections in the state.
  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
  • Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
  • State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.

District map

Below was the map in use at the time of the election, enacted as part of the 2020 redistricting cycle, compared to the map in place before the election.

Michigan District 12
until January 2, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.

Michigan District 12
starting January 3, 2023

Click a district to compare boundaries.


Effect of redistricting

See also: Redistricting in Michigan after the 2020 census

The table below details the results of the 2020 presidential election in each district at the time of the 2022 election and its political predecessor district.[18] This data was compiled by Daily Kos Elections.[19]

2020 presidential results by Congressional district, Michigan
District 2022 district Political predecessor district
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
Michigan's 1st 39.3% 59.1% 40.6% 57.9%
Michigan's 2nd 35.0% 63.2% 37.1% 61.2%
Michigan's 3rd 53.3% 44.8% 47.4% 50.6%
Michigan's 4th 47.1% 51.1% 43.2% 55.0%
Michigan's 5th 37.1% 61.2% 41.4% 56.9%
Michigan's 6th 62.7% 36.0% 64.2% 34.4%
Michigan's 7th 49.4% 48.9% 48.8% 49.6%
Michigan's 8th 50.3% 48.2% 51.4% 47.1%
Michigan's 9th 34.6% 64.0% 34.4% 64.2%
Michigan's 10th 48.8% 49.8% 55.9% 42.7%
Michigan's 11th 59.3% 39.4% 51.6% 47.1%
Michigan's 12th 73.7% 25.2% 78.8% 20.0%
Michigan's 13th 74.2% 24.6% 79.5% 19.5%

Competitiveness

See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2022

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Michigan.

Post-filing deadline analysis

The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Michigan in 2022. Information below was calculated on June 27, 2022, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.

Fifty-three candidates filed to run in Michigan's 13 U.S. House districts, including 28 Democrats and 25 Republicans. That's 4.08 candidates per district, a decade-high, and up from the 3.93 in 2020 and 3.64 in 2018.

This was the first election to take place under new district lines following the 2020 census, which resulted in Michigan losing one U.S. House district. The 53 candidates who ran this year were two fewer than in 2020, when 55 candidates ran, and two more than in 2018, when 51 candidates ran.

Two districts — the 10th and the 13th — were open. That was one more than in 2020 and the same number as in 2018.

Rep. Lisa McClain (R), who represented the 10th district, filed to run in the 9th district this year, and Rep. Rashida Tlaib (D), who represented the 13th district, filed to run in the 12th. Rep. Andy Levin (D), who represented the 9th district, filed to run in the 11th district against incumbent Rep. Haley Stevens (D), making the 11th district the only district where two incumbents ran against each other.

There were four contested Democratic primaries this year, down from seven in 2020 and nine in 2018. There were nine contested Republican primaries, a decade-high. That was up from eight in 2020 and one in 2018.

There were six incumbents in contested primaries, up from four in 2020, and one in 2018. That was also one fewer than the decade-high of seven in 2012.

Five incumbents — three Democrats and two Republicans — did not face any primary challengers. One district — the 4th — was guaranteed to Republicans because no Democrats filed to run in the primary. No districts were guaranteed to Democrats because no Republicans filed.

Presidential elections

Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+23. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 23 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Michigan's 12th the 51st most Democratic district nationally.[20]

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

2020 presidential results in Michigan's 12th based on 2022 district lines
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
73.7% 25.2%

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in Michigan, 2020

Michigan presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 13 Democratic wins
  • 17 Republican wins
  • 1 other win
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party R R R P[21] R R R R D D R D R R R D D D R R R R R D D D D D D R D


Demographics

The table below details demographic data in Michigan and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019. {{{Demo widget}}}

State party control

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Michigan's congressional delegation as of November 2022.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Michigan, November 2022
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 2 7 9
Republican 0 7 7
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 0 0
Total 2 14 16

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Michigan's top four state executive offices as of November 2022.

State executive officials in Michigan, November 2022
Office Officeholder
Governor Democratic Party Gretchen Whitmer
Lieutenant Governor Democratic Party Garlin Gilchrist II
Secretary of State Democratic Party Jocelyn Benson
Attorney General Democratic Party Dana Nessel

State legislature

The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Michigan State Legislature as of November 2022.

Michigan State Senate

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 16
     Republican Party 22
     Vacancies 0
Total 38

Michigan House of Representatives

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 53
     Republican Party 56
     Vacancies 1
Total 110

Trifecta control

As of November 2022, Michigan was a divided government, with Democrats controlling the governorship and Republican majorities in both chambers of the state legislature. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.

Michigan Party Control: 1992-2022
No Democratic trifectas  •  14 years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
Governor R R R R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R D D D D
Senate R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
House D S S R R D D R R R R R R R R D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R

Election context

Ballot access requirements

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Michigan in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Michigan, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2022
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source
Michigan U.S. House Democratic or Republican 1,000 N/A 4/19/2022 Source
Michigan U.S. House Unaffiliated 3,000 N/A 7/21/2022 Source

District history

2020

See also: Michigan's 12th Congressional District election, 2020

General election

General election for U.S. House Michigan District 12

Incumbent Debbie Dingell defeated Jeff Jones and Gary Walkowicz in the general election for U.S. House Michigan District 12 on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Debbie Dingell
Debbie Dingell (D) Candidate Connection
 
66.4
 
254,957
Image of Jeff Jones
Jeff Jones (R)
 
30.7
 
117,719
Image of Gary Walkowicz
Gary Walkowicz (Working Class Party)
 
2.9
 
11,147

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 383,823
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Michigan District 12

Incumbent Debbie Dingell defeated Solomon Rajput in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Michigan District 12 on August 4, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Debbie Dingell
Debbie Dingell Candidate Connection
 
80.9
 
103,953
Image of Solomon Rajput
Solomon Rajput Candidate Connection
 
19.1
 
24,497

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 128,450
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Michigan District 12

Jeff Jones advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Michigan District 12 on August 4, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Jeff Jones
Jeff Jones
 
100.0
 
34,718

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 34,718
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Working Class Party convention

Working Class Party convention for U.S. House Michigan District 12

Gary Walkowicz advanced from the Working Class Party convention for U.S. House Michigan District 12 on July 26, 2020.

Candidate
✔
Image of Gary Walkowicz
Gary Walkowicz (Working Class Party)

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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2018

See also: Michigan's 12th Congressional District election, 2018

General election

General election for U.S. House Michigan District 12

Incumbent Debbie Dingell defeated Jeff Jones, Gary Walkowicz, and Niles Niemuth in the general election for U.S. House Michigan District 12 on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Debbie Dingell
Debbie Dingell (D)
 
68.1
 
200,588
Image of Jeff Jones
Jeff Jones (R)
 
28.9
 
85,115
Image of Gary Walkowicz
Gary Walkowicz (Working Class Party)
 
2.3
 
6,712
Image of Niles Niemuth
Niles Niemuth (Independent)
 
0.8
 
2,213

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 294,628
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Michigan District 12

Incumbent Debbie Dingell advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Michigan District 12 on August 7, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Debbie Dingell
Debbie Dingell
 
100.0
 
103,278

Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 103,278
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
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Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Michigan District 12

Jeff Jones advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Michigan District 12 on August 7, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of Jeff Jones
Jeff Jones
 
100.0
 
33,839

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 33,839
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

2016

See also: Michigan's 12th Congressional District election, 2016

Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. Incumbent Debbie Dingell (D) defeated Jeff Jones (R), Tom Bagwell (L), Dylan Calewarts (G), and Gary Walkowicz (Working Class) in the general election on November 8, 2016. No candidate faced a primary opponent in August.[22][23][24][25]

U.S. House, Michigan District 12 General Election, 2016
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngDebbie Dingell Incumbent 64.3% 211,378
     Republican Jeff Jones 29.3% 96,104
     Working Class Gary Walkowicz 2.8% 9,183
     Libertarian Tom Bagwell 2.3% 7,489
     Green Dylan Calewarts 1.3% 4,377
     N/A Write-in 0% 11
Total Votes 328,542
Source: Michigan Secretary of State

2014

See also: Michigan's 12th Congressional District elections, 2014

The 12th Congressional District of Michigan held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Debbie Dingell (D) defeated challengers Terry Bowman (R), Bhagwan Dashairya (L) and Gary Walkowicz (I) in the general election.

U.S. House, Michigan District 12 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngDebbie Dingell 65% 134,346
     Republican Terry Bowman 31.3% 64,716
     Libertarian Bhagwan Dashairya 1.2% 2,559
     Independent Gary Walkowicz 2.4% 5,039
Total Votes 206,660
Source: Michigan Secretary of State

General election candidates

August 5, 2014, primary results

Democratic Party Democratic Primary

Republican Party Republican Primary

2012

See also: Michigan's 12th Congressional District elections, 2012

The 12th Congressional District of Michigan held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012. Incumbent from the 15th District, John D. Dingell, Jr. won the election in the district.[26]

U.S. House, Michigan District 12 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngJohn D. Dingell Incumbent 67.9% 216,884
     Republican Cynthia Kallgren 29% 92,472
     Libertarian Richard Secula 3.1% 9,867
Total Votes 319,223
Source: Michigan Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"

Primary results

Republican Primary

Michigan's 12th Congressional District Republican Primary, 2012
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngCynthia Kallgren 50.8% 12,028
Karen Jacobsen 49.2% 11,670
Total Votes 23,698

Democratic Primary

Michigan's 12th Congressional District Democratic Primary, 2012
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngJohn Dingell 78.6% 41,116
Daniel Marcin 21.4% 11,226
Total Votes 52,342

Earlier results


2022 battleground elections

See also: Battlegrounds

This election was a battleground race. Other 2022 battleground elections included:

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. ↑ Detroit Free Press, "Rep. Rashida Tlaib to run for reelection in new Detroit-Dearborn-Southfield district," January 5, 2022
  2. ↑ Rashida Tlaib's 2022 campaign website, "Rashida’s Top Priorities," accessed June 28, 2022
  3. ↑ Rashida Tlaib's 2022 campaign website, "Endorsements," accessed June 23, 2022
  4. ↑ Shanelle Jackson's 2022 campaign website, "Our Priorities," accessed June 28, 2022
  5. ↑ Janice Winfrey's 2022 campaign website, "Priorities," accessed June 23, 2022
  6. ↑ For more information on the difference between margins of error and credibility intervals, see explanations from the American Association for Public Opinion Research and Ipsos.
  7. ↑ Pew Research Center, "5 key things to know about the margin of error in election polls," September 8, 2016
  8. ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  9. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  10. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  11. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  12. ↑ Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
  13. ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
  14. ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed December 12, 2021
  15. ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed December 12, 2021
  16. ↑ National Review.com, "Why the Media Hate Super PACs," December 12, 2021
  17. ↑ The Detroit News, "Outside groups spending millions to sway U.S. House race centered on Detroit," July 22, 2022
  18. ↑ Political predecessor districts are determined primarily based on incumbents and where each chose to seek re-election.
  19. ↑ Daily Kos Elections, "Daily Kos Elections 2020 presidential results by congressional district (old CDs vs. new CDs)," accessed May 12, 2022
  20. ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
  21. ↑ Progressive Party
  22. ↑ Michigan Secretary of State, "2016 Michigan Candidate Listing," accessed April 20, 2016
  23. ↑ Politico, "Michigan House Primaries Results," August 2, 2016
  24. ↑ Michigan Secretary of State, "2016 Michigan Candidate Listing," accessed September 6, 2016
  25. ↑ CNN, "Election Results," accessed November 8, 2016
  26. ↑ Politico, "2012 Election Map, Michigan," accessed November 3, 2012
  27. ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013
  28. ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 4, 2008," accessed March 28, 2013
  29. ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2006," accessed March 28, 2013
  30. ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2004," accessed March 28, 2013
  31. ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 5, 2002," accessed March 28, 2013
  32. ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 7, 2000," accessed March 28, 2013
  33. ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 3, 1998," accessed March 28, 2013
  34. ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 5, 1996," accessed March 28, 2013
  35. ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 8, 1994," accessed March 28, 2013
  36. ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 3, 1992," accessed March 28, 2013
  37. ↑ U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 6, 1990," accessed March 28, 2013


Michigan's current delegation to the United States Congress
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Elissa Slotkin (D)
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