North Carolina's 1st Congressional District election, 2026
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| North Carolina's 1st Congressional District |
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| Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
| Election details |
| Filing deadline: December 19, 2025 |
| Primary: March 3, 2026 Primary runoff: May 12, 2026 General: November 3, 2026 |
| How to vote |
| Poll times:
6:30 a.m. to 7:30 p.m. |
| Race ratings |
DDHQ and The Hill: Pending Inside Elections: Tilt Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Republican |
| Ballotpedia analysis |
| U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2026 |
| See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th • 10th • 11th • 12th • 13th • 14th North Carolina elections, 2026 U.S. Congress elections, 2026 U.S. Senate elections, 2026 U.S. House elections, 2026 |
All U.S. House districts, including the 1st Congressional District of North Carolina, are holding elections in 2026. The general election is November 3, 2026. The primary is March 3, 2026, and a primary runoff is May 12, 2026. The filing deadline was December 19, 2025. Ballotpedia identified the March 3 Republican primary as a battleground primary. For more on the Republican primary, click here. For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:
- North Carolina's 1st Congressional District election, 2026 (March 3 Democratic primary)
- North Carolina's 1st Congressional District election, 2026 (March 3 Republican primary)
Candidates and election results
General election
The candidate list in this election may not be complete.
The primary will occur on March 3, 2026. The general election will occur on November 3, 2026. Additional general election candidates will be added here following the primary.
General election for U.S. House North Carolina District 1
Incumbent Donald Davis and Tom Bailey are running in the general election for U.S. House North Carolina District 1 on November 3, 2026.
Candidate | ||
 | Donald Davis (D) | |
 | Tom Bailey (L) | |
| ||||
 = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Democratic primary election
The Democratic primary election was canceled. Incumbent Donald Davis advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 1.
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 1
Asa Buck, Laurie Buckhout, Robert Hanig, Eric Rouse, and Ashley-Nicole Russell are running in the Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 1 on March 3, 2026.
| ||||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Sandy Roberson (R)
Libertarian primary election
The Libertarian primary election was canceled. Tom Bailey advanced from the Libertarian primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 1.
March 3 Republican primary
Ballotpedia identified the March 3 Republican primary as a battleground primary. For more on the Republican primary, click here. For more on the Democratic primary, click here.
Asa Buck (R), Laurie Buckhout (R), Robert Hanig (R), Eric Rouse (R), and Ashley-Nicole Russell (R) are running in the Republican primary for North Carolina's 1st Congressional District on March 3, 2026.
The election is taking place in the context of redistricting that changed the district's boundaries from those used in 2024. The Assembly's Christa Dutton said the new lines "[made] the 1st District, which now spans the northeast part of the state from the Virginia border to the coast, more conservative."[1] The winner will face incumbent Donald Davis (D), who is unopposed in the Democratic primary, in the general election.
Buck is the sheriff of Carteret County. He was first elected in 2006. Buck's campaign website said he had spoken to voters across the district and "has found that his litmus test of Conservatism works well in almost every question of what the Federal Government should do, or NOT do, for the people."[2]
Buckhout is a U.S. Army veteran, the founder of a consulting firm, and a former assistant national cyber director for policy in the second Trump administration. Buckhout was the Republican nominee in 2024, losing to Davis 50%–48% under the old district lines. Buckhout is running on her professional experience. Her campaign website says she has "extensive experience working with Federal and Congressional organizations on legal, budgetary and legislative matters."[3]
Hanig is a U.S. Army veteran and the owner and operator of a pool service company. Hanig was first elected to the North Carolina Senate in 2022 and also served in the North Carolina House of Representatives and on the Currituck County Commission. Hanig says he is running "to help make the system work for everyone...I'm America First and Constituent First with a record to prove it. I've been counted out, but I've never been outworked."[4]
Rouse owns and operates six businesses, including a construction firm and a drilling service. Rouse was first elected to the Lenoir County Commission in 2010. Rouse says he is running "to fight for you -- the hardworking folks across North Carolina who get up early, bust their tails, and just want to be left alone to raise their families."[5]
Russell is an attorney operating a family law practice. Russell's campaign website says she will "go to Washington as an outsider, not another career politician. She will fight alongside President Trump to drain the swamp, push for term limits, balance the budget, defend our constitutional rights, and rebuild an economy that finally puts American families first."[6]
If no candidate wins more than 30% of the vote, the second-place candidate may request that the top two finishers advance to a May 12 runoff.
As of February 2026, The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter and Sabato's Crystal Ball rated the general election Lean Republican and Inside Elections rated it Tilt Republican.
Candidate profiles
This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office:
- Carteret County Sheriff (Assumed office: 2006)
Biography: Buck obtained a bachelor's degree in criminal justice from East Carolina University. Buck worked in the Carteret County law enforcement system, beginning as a bailiff. At the time he entered elected politics, Buck was the lieutenant of the county's Patrol Division.
Show sources
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Biography: Buckhout obtained a bachelor's degree from James Madison University and a master's degree from Webster University. Buckhout served 26 years in the U.S. Army. After leaving the Army, Buckhout founded Corvus Consulting, a consulting firm specializing in electronic warfare and cyberspace. During President Trump's second term, Buckhout served as assistant national cyber director for policy.
Show sources
Sources: Laurie Buckhout campaign website, "About," accessed February 9, 2026; Laurie Buckhout campaign website, "Home page," accessed February 9, 2026; Laurie Buckhout campaign website, "Issues & Priorities," accessed February 9, 2026; Laurie Buckhout campaign website, "About," accessed February 9, 2026; The Assembly, "This Competitive Race for U.S. House Could Be a Rematch," December 17, 2025
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office:
- North Carolina Senate (Assumed office: 2022)
- North Carolina House of Representatives District 6 (2019–2022)
- Currituck County Commission (2016–2018)
Biography: Hanig served in the U.S. Army. After leaving the Army, Hanig worked as a train mechanic. As of the 2026 elections, Hanig was the owner and operator of The Pool Guy, a local pool and spa maintenance service.
Show sources
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office:
- Lenoir County Commission (Assumed office: 2010)
Biography: Rouse obtained a bachelor's degree from East Carolina University. As of the 2026 elections, Rouse was the owner and operator of six small businesses, including construction and drilling firms.
Show sources
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Submitted Biography: "Ashley Nicole Russell is running for Congress to put America First and to serve the people of North Carolina with courage, conviction, and leadership. She grew up in this state with very little, learning early the values of hard work, faith, personal responsibility, and perseverance. Like so many North Carolinians, she knows what it means to build a life through grit and determination. Those values shaped her career as an attorney, small business owner, and national advocate for families. She founded North Carolina’s first Collaborative Family Law firm because she believes strong families are the foundation of a strong nation. In Congress, Ashley Nicole will fight to secure the border, enforce our laws, and protect American sovereignty. She will work to lower taxes, restore energy independence, cut job-killing regulations, and bring good-paying jobs back home. She believes in an economy that rewards work, not bureaucracy. She will defend parents’ rights, expand school choice, and return control of education to local communities. She will stand for life, protect free speech, defend religious liberty, and support law enforcement. She believes in this country, in its people, and in the promise of the American Dream. She will bring strength, clarity, and conviction to Congress, and she will never stop fighting for the values that make America great."
See more
- See more here: North Carolina's 1st Congressional District election, 2026 (March 3 Republican primary)
Candidate profiles
There are currently no candidate profiles created for this race. Candidate profiles will appear here as they are created. Encourage the candidates in this race to complete Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey so that their profile will appear here. You can ask candidates in this race to fill out the survey by clicking their names below:
Voting information
- See also: Voting in North Carolina
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
No candidate in this race has completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Ballotpedia is seeking 100 percent participation so voters can learn more about all the candidates on their ballots.
You can ask candidates in this race to fill out the survey by clicking their names below:
Campaign finance
| Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Davis | Democratic Party | $2,090,151 | $427,440 | $1,933,553 | As of December 31, 2025 |
| Asa Buck | Republican Party | $248,160 | $14,863 | $233,297 | As of December 31, 2025 |
| Laurie Buckhout | Republican Party | $2,022,326 | $27,598 | $2,021,032 | As of December 31, 2025 |
| Robert Hanig | Republican Party | $306,906 | $72,764 | $234,142 | As of December 31, 2025 |
| Eric Rouse | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Ashley-Nicole Russell | Republican Party | $201,740 | $6,810 | $194,930 | As of December 31, 2025 |
| Tom Bailey | Libertarian Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
|
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2026. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
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General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[7]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[8][9][10]
| Race ratings: North Carolina's 1st Congressional District election, 2026 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
| 2/17/2026 | 2/10/2026 | 2/3/2026 | 1/27/2026 | ||||||
| The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | |||||
| Decision Desk HQ and The Hill | Pending | Pending | Pending | Pending | |||||
| Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Tilt Republican | Tilt Republican | Tilt Republican | Tilt Republican | |||||
| Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | |||||
| Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. | |||||||||
Ballot access
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in North Carolina in the 2026 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in North Carolina, click here.
| Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2026 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
| North Carolina | U.S. House | Ballot-qualified party | 5% of registered voters in the same party or 200, whichever is greater | $1,740 | 12/19/2025 | Source |
| North Carolina | U.S. House | Unaffiliated | 1.5% of all registered N.C. voters in the district, as of January 1 of the election year. | $1,740 | 12/19/2025 | Source |
Democratic-held U.S. House district that Trump won
This is one of 14 U.S. House districts Democrats are defending that Donald Trump (R) won in 2024. The map below highlights those districts. Hover over or click a district to see information such as the incumbent and the presidential vote counts.
District history
The section below details election results for this office in elections dating back to 2020.
General election
General election for U.S. House North Carolina District 1
Incumbent Donald Davis (D) defeated Laurie Buckhout (R) and Tom Bailey (L) in the general election for U.S. House North Carolina District 1 on November 5, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Donald Davis (D) | 49.5 | 186,341 |
 | Laurie Buckhout (R) | 47.8 | 180,034 | |
| | Tom Bailey (L) | 2.6 | 9,949 | |
| Total votes: 376,324 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- John Schaffer (Independent)
Democratic primary
The Democratic primary scheduled for March 5, 2024, was canceled. Incumbent Donald Davis (D) advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 1 without appearing on the ballot.
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Brian Moutoux (D)
Republican primary
Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 1
Laurie Buckhout (R) defeated Sandy Smith (R) in the Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 1 on March 5, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Laurie Buckhout | 53.5 | 33,893 |
 | Sandy Smith | 46.5 | 29,471 | |
| Total votes: 63,364 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
Libertarian Party primary
The Libertarian Party primary scheduled for March 5, 2024, was canceled. Tom Bailey (L) advanced from the Libertarian Party primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 1 without appearing on the ballot.
General election
General election for U.S. House North Carolina District 1
Donald Davis (D) defeated Sandy Smith (R) in the general election for U.S. House North Carolina District 1 on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Donald Davis (D) | 52.4 | 134,996 |
| | Sandy Smith (R) | 47.6 | 122,780 | |
| Total votes: 257,776 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Eshan Patel (Independent)
Democratic primary
Democratic primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 1
Donald Davis (D) defeated Erica Smith (D), Jason Spriggs (D), and Jullian Bishop Sr. (D) in the Democratic primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 1 on May 17, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Donald Davis | 63.2 | 42,693 |
 | Erica Smith | 31.1 | 21,012 | |
 | Jason Spriggs | 3.1 | 2,123 | |
 | Jullian Bishop Sr. | 2.6 | 1,752 | |
| Total votes: 67,580 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Republican primary
Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 1
The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 1 on May 17, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Sandy Smith | 31.4 | 13,621 |
 | Sandy Roberson | 26.7 | 11,603 | |
 | Billy Strickland | 13.9 | 6,050 | |
 | Brent Roberson | 13.8 | 5,992 | |
 | Brad Murphy | 9.5 | 4,128 | |
 | Will Aiken | 3.0 | 1,285 | |
 | Ernest Reeves | 1.2 | 523 | |
| Henry Williams | 0.5 | 202 | ||
| Total votes: 43,404 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
General election
General election for U.S. House North Carolina District 1
Incumbent G.K. Butterfield (D) defeated Sandy Smith (R) in the general election for U.S. House North Carolina District 1 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ |  | G.K. Butterfield (D) | 54.2 | 188,870 |
| | Sandy Smith (R) | 45.8 | 159,748 | |
| Total votes: 348,618 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
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Democratic primary
The Democratic primary scheduled for March 3, 2020, was canceled. Incumbent G.K. Butterfield (D) advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 1 without appearing on the ballot.
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Deandre Carter (D)
Republican primary
Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 1
Sandy Smith (R) defeated Michele Nix (R), James Glisson (R) (Withdrew, still on ballot), and Ethan Baca (R) in the Republican primary for U.S. House North Carolina District 1 on March 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Sandy Smith | 77.3 | 31,490 |
 | Michele Nix | 9.9 | 4,030 | |
| James Glisson (Withdrew, still on ballot) | 7.4 | 3,031 | ||
 | Ethan Baca | 5.4 | 2,206 | |
| Total votes: 40,757 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
District analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting ahead of the 2026 election.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2026 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
Below is the district map used in the 2024 election next to the map in place for the 2026 election. Click on a map below to enlarge it. Error: One or both images not found for the specified years.
This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in North Carolina.
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in North Carolina in 2026. Information below was calculated on December 19, 2025., and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
Sixty-seven candidates — 40 Democrats and 27 Republicans — ran for North Carolina’s 14 U.S. House districts. That’s 4.8 candidates per district. There were 4.6 candidates per district in 2024 and 7.14 in 2022. In 2020, when the state had 13 U.S. House districts, there were 4.9 candidates per district. There were 4.3 candidates in 2018, 5.7 in 2016, and 4.6 in 2014.
These were the first elections to take place since the General Assembly of North Carolina passed a new congressional map. The North Carolina Senate passed it on Oct. 21, 2025, and the North Carolina House of Representatives passed it Oct. 22, 2025.
No districts were open in 2026, meaning all incumbents — four Democrats and 10 Republicans — ran for re-election. The only other year since 2014 with no open districts was 2018.
Nineteen primaries — 11 Democratic and eight Republican — were contested in 2026. In total, there were 13 contested primaries in 2024, 22 in 2022, 13 in 2020, 17 in 2018, 16 in 2016, and 17 in 2014.
Eight candidates — six Democrats and two Republicans — ran for the 10th district, the most candidates who ran for a district in 2026.
Eight incumbents — two Democrats and six Republicans — faced a primary challenger in 2026. There were four incumbents in a contested primary in 2024, seven in 2022, three in 2020, eight in 2018, nine in 2016, and six in 2014.
Candidates filed to run in the Republican and Democratic primaries in all 14 districts, meaning no districts were guaranteed to either party.Partisan Voter Index
Heading into the 2026 elections, based on results from the 2024 and 2020 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district is R+1. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 1 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made North Carolina's 1st the 215th most Republican district nationally.[11]
2020 presidential election results
The table below shows what the vote in the 2024 presidential election was in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by The Downballot.
Kamala Harris  | Donald Trump  |
|---|---|
| 45.9% | 53.4% |
Presidential voting history
North Carolina presidential election results (1900-2024)
- 18 Democratic wins
- 14 Republican wins
| Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 | 2024 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winning Party | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | R | R | R | R |
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of North Carolina's congressional delegation as of October 2025.
| Congressional Partisan Breakdown from North Carolina | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
| Democratic | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| Republican | 2 | 10 | 12 |
| Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 2 | 14 | 16 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in North Carolina's top four state executive offices as of October 2025.
| Office | Officeholder |
|---|---|
| Governor | Josh Stein |
| Lieutenant Governor | Rachel Hunt |
| Secretary of State | Elaine Marshall |
| Attorney General | Jeff Jackson |
State legislature
North Carolina State Senate
| Party | As of October 2025 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 20 | |
| Republican Party | 30 | |
| Other | 0 | |
| Vacancies | 0 | |
| Total | 50 | |
North Carolina House of Representatives
| Party | As of October 2025 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 49 | |
| Republican Party | 71 | |
| Other | 0 | |
| Vacancies | 0 | |
| Total | 120 | |
Trifecta control
North Carolina Party Control: 1992-2025
Fourteen years of Democratic trifectas • Four years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
| Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
| Senate | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
| House | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ The Assembly, "This Competitive Race for U.S. House Could Be a Rematch," December 17, 2025
- ↑ Asa Buck campaign website, "Home page," accessed February 9, 2026
- ↑ Laurie Buckhout campaign website, "Meet Laurie," accessed February 9, 2026
- ↑ YouTube, "Welcome to the official YouTube channel of Bobby Hanig for Congress!" October 11, 2025
- ↑ YouTube, "GODS COUNTRY," October 16, 2025
- ↑ Ashley Nicole-Russell campaign website, "Home page," accessed February 9, 2026
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "2025 Cook PVI℠: District Map and List (119th Congress)," accessed July 1, 2025
