Oklahoma's 5th Congressional District election, 2024
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Oklahoma's 5th Congressional District |
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Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
Election details |
Filing deadline: April 5, 2024 |
Primary: June 18, 2024 (canceled) Primary runoff: August 27, 2024 (canceled) General: November 5, 2024 |
How to vote |
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m. Voting in Oklahoma |
Race ratings |
DDHQ and The Hill: Safe Republican Inside Elections: Solid Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican |
Ballotpedia analysis |
U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024 |
See also |
1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th Oklahoma elections, 2024 U.S. Congress elections, 2024 U.S. Senate elections, 2024 U.S. House elections, 2024 |
All U.S. House districts, including the 5th Congressional District of Oklahoma, held elections in 2024. The general election was November 5, 2024. The primary was June 18, 2024, and a primary runoff was August 27, 2024. The filing deadline was April 5, 2024.
The outcome of this race affected the partisan balance of the U.S. House of Representatives in the 119th Congress. All 435 House districts were up for election.
At the time of the election, Republicans held a 220-212 majority with three vacancies.[1] As a result of the election, Republicans retained control of the U.S. House, winning 220 seats to Democrats' 215.[2] To read more about the 2024 U.S. House elections, click here.
In the 2022 election in this district, the Republican candidate won 59.0%-37.4%. Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Donald Trump (R) would have defeated Joe Biden (D) 57.1%-40.3%.[3]
For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:
- Oklahoma's 5th Congressional District election, 2024 (June 18 Democratic primary)
- Oklahoma's 5th Congressional District election, 2024 (June 18 Republican primary)
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5
Incumbent Stephanie Bice defeated Madison Horn in the general election for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5 on November 5, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Stephanie Bice (R) | 60.7 | 207,636 |
![]() | Madison Horn (D) | 39.3 | 134,471 |
Total votes: 342,107 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Democratic primary election
The Democratic primary election was canceled. Madison Horn advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5.
Republican primary election
The Republican primary election was canceled. Incumbent Stephanie Bice advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5.
Candidate profiles
There were no candidate profiles created for this race. Candidate profiles would have appeared here as candidates completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey.
Voting information
- See also: Voting in Oklahoma
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
No candidate in this race completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey.
Campaign finance
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Stephanie Bice | Republican Party | $2,112,846 | $1,648,512 | $1,085,949 | As of December 31, 2024 |
Madison Horn | Democratic Party | $591,404 | $575,447 | $16,122 | As of November 25, 2024 |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[4]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[5][6][7]
Race ratings: Oklahoma's 5th Congressional District election, 2024 | |||||||||
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Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
November 5, 2024 | October 29, 2024 | October 22, 2024 | October 15, 2024 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
Decision Desk HQ and The Hill | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. |
Ballot access
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Oklahoma in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Oklahoma, click here.
Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024 | ||||||
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State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
Oklahoma | U.S. House | All candidates | 2% of the number of registered voters in the appropriate district[8] | $1,000.00 | 4/5/2024 | Source |
District analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District map - A map of the district in place for the election.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
Below was the map in use at the time of the election. Click the map below to enlarge it.

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Oklahoma.
Oklahoma U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2024 | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Office | Districts/ offices |
Seats | Open seats | Candidates | Possible primaries | Contested Democratic primaries | Contested Republican primaries | % of contested primaries | Incumbents in contested primaries | % of incumbents in contested primaries | ||||
2024 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 50.0% | 3 | 60.0% | ||||
2022 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 40.0% | 3 | 75.0% | ||||
2020 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 27 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 60.0% | 3 | 60.0% | ||||
2018 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 36 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 90.0% | 3 | 75.0% | ||||
2016 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 80.0% | 5 | 100.0% | ||||
2014 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 70.0% | 3 | 75.0% |
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Oklahoma in 2024. Information below was calculated on April 19, 2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
Eighteen candidates ran for Oklahoma’s five U.S. House districts, including six Democrats and 12 Republicans. That’s 3.6 candidates per district, less than in the previous three election cycles. There were 5.6 candidates per district in 2022, 5.4 candidates per district in 2020, and 7.2 in 2018.
The total number of candidates that ran for the U.S. House in Oklahoma in 2024 is also fewer than any other year this decade.
No seats were open in 2024, meaning all incumbents ran for re-election. One House seat was open in 2022, 2018, and 2014, respectively. No seats were open in 2020 and 2016.
Seven candidates—two Democrats and five Republicans—ran for the 4th Congressional District, the most candidates that ran for a seat in Oklahoma in 2024.
Five primaries—two Democratic and three Republican—were contested in 2024. Four primaries were contested in 2022, and six were contested in 2020.
Three incumbents—all Republicans—were in contested primaries in 2024. Three incumbents were in contested primaries in 2022, 2020, 2018, and 2014, respectively. Five incumbents were in contested primaries in 2016.
The 3rd Congressional District was guaranteed to Republicans because no Democrats filed to run. Republicans filed to run in every congressional district, meaning none were guaranteed to Democrats.Partisan Voter Index
Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+12. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 12 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Oklahoma's 5th the 115th most Republican district nationally.[9]
2020 presidential election results
The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
2020 presidential results in Oklahoma's 5th based on 2024 district lines | ||||
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Joe Biden ![]() |
Donald Trump ![]() | |||
40.3% | 57.1% |
Inside Elections Baselines
- See also: Inside Elections
Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.[10] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.
Inside Elections Baseline for 2024 | ||||
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Democratic Baseline ![]() |
Republican Baseline ![]() |
Difference | ||
39.5 | 56.6 | R+17.1 |
Presidential voting history
- See also: Presidential election in Oklahoma, 2020
Oklahoma presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 10 Democratic wins
- 19 Republican wins
Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Winning Party | N/A | N/A | D | D | D | R | D | R | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Oklahoma's congressional delegation as of May 2024.
Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Oklahoma | |||
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Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
Democratic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Republican | 2 | 5 | 7 |
Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 2 | 5 | 7 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Oklahoma's top four state executive offices as of May 2024.
State executive officials in Oklahoma, May 2024 | |
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Office | Officeholder |
Governor | ![]() |
Lieutenant Governor | ![]() |
Secretary of State | ![]() |
Attorney General | ![]() |
State legislature
Oklahoma State Senate
Party | As of February 2024 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 8 | |
Republican Party | 40 | |
Other | 0 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 48 |
Oklahoma House of Representatives
Party | As of February 2024 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 20 | |
Republican Party | 80 | |
Other | 0 | |
Vacancies | 1 | |
Total | 101 |
Trifecta control
The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.
Oklahoma Party Control: 1992-2024
Five years of Democratic trifectas • Fourteen years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
Senate | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | S | S | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
House | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
District history
The section below details election results for this office in elections dating back to 2018.
2022
General election
General election for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5
Incumbent Stephanie Bice defeated Joshua Harris-Till and David Frosch in the general election for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5 on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Stephanie Bice (R) | 59.0 | 152,699 |
Joshua Harris-Till (D) | 37.4 | 96,799 | ||
![]() | David Frosch (Independent) | 3.6 | 9,328 |
Total votes: 258,826 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Democratic primary election
The Democratic primary election was canceled. Joshua Harris-Till advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5.
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Abby Broyles (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5
Incumbent Stephanie Bice defeated Subrina Banks in the Republican primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5 on June 28, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Stephanie Bice | 68.4 | 51,612 |
![]() | Subrina Banks | 31.6 | 23,891 |
Total votes: 75,503 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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2020
General election
General election for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5
Stephanie Bice defeated incumbent Kendra Horn in the general election for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Stephanie Bice (R) | 52.1 | 158,191 |
![]() | Kendra Horn (D) | 47.9 | 145,658 |
Total votes: 303,849 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Republican primary runoff election
Republican primary runoff for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5
Stephanie Bice defeated Terry Neese in the Republican primary runoff for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5 on August 25, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Stephanie Bice | 52.9 | 27,402 |
![]() | Terry Neese | 47.1 | 24,369 |
Total votes: 51,771 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5
Incumbent Kendra Horn defeated Tom Guild in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5 on June 30, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Kendra Horn | 85.7 | 60,168 |
![]() | Tom Guild | 14.3 | 10,050 |
Total votes: 70,218 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5
The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5 on June 30, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Terry Neese | 36.5 | 24,828 |
✔ | ![]() | Stephanie Bice | 25.4 | 17,292 |
![]() | David Hill ![]() | 19.0 | 12,922 | |
![]() | Janet Barresi ![]() | 10.0 | 6,799 | |
Jake Merrick ![]() | 2.6 | 1,736 | ||
![]() | Michael Ballard | 2.5 | 1,691 | |
![]() | Miles Rahimi ![]() | 1.4 | 967 | |
![]() | Shelli Landon ![]() | 1.3 | 912 | |
Charles Tuffy Pringle | 1.3 | 908 |
Total votes: 68,055 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Dan Belcher (R)
- Oakley Jacob (R)
- David Greene (R)
- Merideth VanSant (R)
2018
General election
General election for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5
Kendra Horn defeated incumbent Steve Russell in the general election for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Kendra Horn (D) | 50.7 | 121,149 |
![]() | Steve Russell (R) | 49.3 | 117,811 |
Total votes: 238,960 (100.00% precincts reporting) | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Democratic primary runoff election
Democratic primary runoff for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5
Kendra Horn defeated Tom Guild in the Democratic primary runoff for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5 on August 28, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Kendra Horn | 75.8 | 22,067 |
![]() | Tom Guild | 24.2 | 7,043 |
Total votes: 29,110 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5
The following candidates ran in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5 on June 26, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Kendra Horn | 44.2 | 34,892 |
✔ | ![]() | Tom Guild | 18.0 | 14,251 |
Elysabeth Britt | 13.6 | 10,752 | ||
![]() | Eddie Porter | 9.9 | 7,844 | |
![]() | Leona Kelley-Leonard | 8.5 | 6,697 | |
Tyson Todd Meade | 5.7 | 4,530 |
Total votes: 78,966 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5
Incumbent Steve Russell defeated Gregory Dunson and DeJuan Edwards in the Republican primary for U.S. House Oklahoma District 5 on June 26, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Steve Russell | 83.6 | 66,030 |
Gregory Dunson | 9.7 | 7,642 | ||
DeJuan Edwards | 6.7 | 5,290 |
Total votes: 78,962 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ A majority in the U.S. House when there are no vacancies is 218 seats.
- ↑ These figures include the seat of Rep. Matt Gaetz (R-Fla.), who resigned on Nov. 13, 2024, after winning re-election.
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Petition signatures only required in lieu of a filing fee.
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
- ↑ Inside Elections, "Methodology: Inside Elections’ Baseline by Congressional District," December 8, 2023