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Oregon's 2nd Congressional District election (May 15, 2018 Republican primary)
- General election: Nov. 6
- Voter registration deadline: Oct. 16
- Early voting: N/A
- Absentee voting deadline: Nov. 6
- Online registration: Yes
- Same-day registration: N/A (all-mail elections)
- Voter ID: N/A
- Poll times: N/A
2020 →
← 2016
|
| Oregon's 2nd Congressional District |
|---|
 |
| Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
| Election details |
| Filing deadline: March 6, 2018 |
| Primary: May 15, 2018 General: November 6, 2018 Pre-election incumbent: Greg Walden (Republican) |
| How to vote |
| Poll times: No polling hours (vote-by-mail) Voting in Oregon |
| Race ratings |
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican Inside Elections: Solid Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican |
| Ballotpedia analysis |
| U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2018 |
| See also |
1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th Oregon elections, 2018 U.S. Congress elections, 2018 U.S. Senate elections, 2018 U.S. House elections, 2018 |
A Republican Party primary election took place on May 15, 2018, in Oregon's 2nd District to determine which Republican would run in the district's November 6, 2018, general election.
This page focuses on the Republican primary. For an overview of the election in general, click here.
| Candidate Filing Deadline | Primary Election | General Election |
|---|---|---|
Candidates and election results
Incumbent Greg Walden defeated Paul Romero and Randy Pollock in the Republican primary for U.S. House Oregon District 2 on May 15, 2018.
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Oregon District 2
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ |  | Greg Walden | 77.6 | 71,543 |
 | Paul Romero | 16.5 | 15,181 | |
| Randy Pollock | 6.0 | 5,514 | ||
| Total votes: 92,238 | |||
 = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
District analysis
- See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index
- See also: FiveThirtyEight's elasticity scores
The 2017 Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+11, meaning that in the previous two presidential elections, this district's results were 11 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Oregon's 2nd Congressional District the 120th most Republican nationally.[1]
FiveThirtyEight's September 2018 elasticity score for states and congressional districts measured "how sensitive it is to changes in the national political environment." This district's elasticity score was 1.15. This means that for every 1 point the national political mood moved toward a party, the district was expected to move 1.15 points toward that party.[2]
Campaign finance
The table below contains data from FEC Quarterly October 2017 reports. It includes only candidates who reported at least $10,000 in campaign contributions as of September 30, 2017.[3]
Republicans
State overview
Partisan control
This section details the partisan control of federal and state positions in Oregon heading into the 2018 elections.
Congressional delegation
- Following the 2016 elections, Democrats held both U.S. Senate seats in Oregon.
- Democrats held four of five U.S. House seats in Oregon.
State executives
- As of September 2018, Democrats held three of 11 state executive positions, Republicans held one, and the remaining positions were officially nonpartisan.
- The governor of Oregon was Democrat Kate Brown. The state held an election for governor on November 6, 2018.
State legislature
- Democrats controlled both chambers of the Oregon State Legislature. They had a 35-25 majority in the state House and a 17-13 majority in the state Senate.
Trifecta status
- Oregon was a Democratic trifecta, meaning that the Democratic Party controlled the office of the governor, the state House, and the state Senate.
2018 elections
- See also: Oregon elections, 2018
Oregon held elections for the following positions in 2018:
- 18 U.S. House seats
- Governor
- One lower state executive position
- 17 of 30 state Senate seats
- 60 state House seats
- Municipal elections in Portland and Multnomah County
Demographics
| Demographic data for Oregon | ||
|---|---|---|
| Oregon | U.S. | |
| Total population: | 4,024,634 | 316,515,021 |
| Land area (sq mi): | 95,988 | 3,531,905 |
| Race and ethnicity** | ||
| White: | 85.1% | 73.6% |
| Black/African American: | 1.8% | 12.6% |
| Asian: | 4% | 5.1% |
| Native American: | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Pacific Islander: | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Two or more: | 4.1% | 3% |
| Hispanic/Latino: | 12.3% | 17.1% |
| Education | ||
| High school graduation rate: | 89.8% | 86.7% |
| College graduation rate: | 30.8% | 29.8% |
| Income | ||
| Median household income: | $51,243 | $53,889 |
| Persons below poverty level: | 18.4% | 11.3% |
| Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015) Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Oregon. **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. | ||
As of July 2016, Oregon's three largest cities were Portland (pop. est. 647,805), Salem (pop. est. 169,798), and Eugene (pop. est. 168,916).[4][5]
State election history
This section provides an overview of federal and state elections in Oregon from 2000 to 2016. All data comes from the Oregon Secretary of State.
Historical elections
Presidential elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the presidential election in Oregon every year from 2000 to 2016.
| Election results (President of the United States), Oregon 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
| 2016 |  Hillary Clinton |
50.1% | Donald Trump |
39.1% | 11.0% |
| 2012 | Barack Obama |
54.2% | Mitt Romney |
42.1% | 12.1% |
| 2008 | Barack Obama |
56.7% | John McCain |
40.4% | 16.3% |
| 2004 | John Kerry |
51.3% | George W. Bush |
47.2% | 4.1% |
| 2000 | Al Gore |
47.0% | George W. Bush |
46.5% | 0.5% |
U.S. Senate elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of U.S. Senate races in Oregon from 2000 to 2016. Every state has two Senate seats, and each seat goes up for election every six years. The terms of the seats are staggered so that roughly one-third of the seats are up every two years.
| Election results (U.S. Senator), Oregon 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
| 2016 | Ron Wyden |
56.6% | Mark Callahan |
33.4% | 23.2% |
| 2014 | Jeff Merkley |
55.7% | Monica Wehby |
36.9% | 18.8% |
| 2010 | Ron Wyden |
57.2% | Jim Huffman |
39.3% | 17.9% |
| 2008 | Jeff Merkley |
48.9% | Gordon Smith |
45.6% | 3.3% |
| 2004 | Ron Wyden |
63.4% | Al King |
31.8% | 32.6% |
| 2002 | Gordon Smith |
56.2% | Bill Bradbury |
39.6% | 16.6% |
Gubernatorial elections, 2000-2016
This chart shows the results of the four gubernatorial elections held between 2000 and 2016. Gubernatorial elections are held every four years in Oregon.
| Election results (Governor), Oregon 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | First-place candidate | First-place candidate votes (%) | Second-place candidate | Second-place candidate votes (%) | Margin of victory (%) |
| 2016 | Kate Brown |
50.9% | Bud Pierce |
43.1% | 7.8% |
| 2014 | John Kitzhaber |
49.9% | Dennis Richardson |
44.1% | 5.8% |
| 2010 | John Kitzhaber |
49.3% | Chris Dudleyy |
47.8% | 1.5% |
| 2006 | Ted Kulongoski |
50.7% | Ron Saxton |
42.8% | 7.9% |
| 2002 | Ted Kulongoski |
49.0% | Kevin Mannix |
46.2% | 2.8% |
Congressional delegation, 2000-2016
This chart shows the number of Democrats and Republicans who were elected to represent Oregon in the U.S. House from 2000 to 2016. Elections for U.S. House seats are held every two years.
| Congressional delegation, Oregon 2000-2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | Republicans | Republicans (%) | Democrats | Democrats (%) | Balance of power |
| 2016 | 1 |
20% | 4 |
80% | D+3 |
| 2014 | 1 |
20% | 4 |
80% | D+3 |
| 2012 | 1 |
20% | 4 |
80% | D+3 |
| 2010 | 1 |
20% | 4 |
80% | D+3 |
| 2008 | 1 |
20% | 4 |
80% | D+3 |
| 2006 | 1 |
20% | 4 |
80% | D+3 |
| 2004 | 1 |
20% | 4 |
80% | D+3 |
| 2002 | 1 |
20% | 4 |
80% | D+3 |
| 2000 | 1 |
20% | 4 |
80% | D+3 |
Trifectas, 1992-2017
A state government trifecta occurs when one party controls both chambers of the state legislature and the governor's office.
Oregon Party Control: 1992-2025
Seventeen years of Democratic trifectas • No Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
| Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
| Senate | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | S | S | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
| House | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | S | S | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
See also
- United States House of Representatives elections in Oregon, 2018
- United States House elections in Oregon (May 15, 2018 Republican primaries)
- Oregon's 2nd Congressional District election (May 15, 2018 Democratic primary)
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2018
Footnotes
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index," April 7, 2017
- ↑ FiveThirtyEight, "Election Update: The Most (And Least) Elastic States And Districts," September 6, 2018
- ↑ FEC, "Federal Election Commission," accessed November 5, 2017
- ↑ Oregon Demographics, "Oregon Cities by Population," accessed September 6, 2018
- ↑ U.S. Census Bureau, "Quickfacts Oregon," accessed September 6, 2018
