Help us improve in just 2 minutes—share your thoughts in our reader survey.

Pennsylvania's 12th Congressional District election, 2024 (April 23 Republican primary)

From Ballotpedia
Jump to: navigation, search


Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge-smaller use.png
U.S. Senate • U.S. House • Attorney General • State executive offices • State Senate • State House • Special state legislative • Local ballot measures • How to run for office
Flag of Pennsylvania.png


2026 →
← 2022
Pennsylvania's 12th Congressional District
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge.png
Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: February 13, 2024
Primary: April 23, 2024
General: November 5, 2024
How to vote
Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m.
Voting in Pennsylvania
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic
DDHQ and The Hill: Safe Democratic
Inside Elections: Solid Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024
See also
Pennsylvania's 12th Congressional District
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th • 10th • 11th • 12th • 13th • 14th • 15th • 16th • 17th
Pennsylvania elections, 2024
U.S. Congress elections, 2024
U.S. Senate elections, 2024
U.S. House elections, 2024

A Republican Party primary took place on April 23, 2024, in Pennsylvania's 12th Congressional District to determine which Republican candidate would run in the district's general election on November 5, 2024.

James Hayes advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 12.

All 435 seats were up for election. At the time of the election, Republicans had a 220 to 212 majority with three vacancies.[1] As of June 2024, 45 members of the U.S. House had announced they were not running for re-election. To read more about the U.S. House elections taking place this year, click here.

In the 2022 election in this district, the Democratic candidate won 56.2%-43.8%. Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have defeated Donald Trump (R) 59.4%-39.5%.[2]

Candidate filing deadline Primary election General election
February 13, 2024
April 23, 2024
November 5, 2024


A primary election is an election in which registered voters select a candidate that they believe should be a political party's candidate for elected office to run in the general election. They are also used to choose convention delegates and party leaders. Primaries are state-level and local-level elections that take place prior to a general election. Pennsylvania utilizes a closed primary process. Voters are required to register with a political party to vote in the primary election.[3][4]

For information about which offices are nominated via primary election, see this article.

This page focuses on Pennsylvania's 12th Congressional District Republican primary. For more in-depth information on the district's Democratic primary and the general election, see the following pages:

Candidates and election results


Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 12

James Hayes defeated Paul Bryant in the Republican primary for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 12 on April 23, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
✔
Image of James Hayes
James Hayes Candidate Connection
 
98.5
 
34,759
Image of Paul Bryant
Paul Bryant (Write-in) Candidate Connection
 
0.0
 
0
 Other/Write-in votes
 
1.5
 
543

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source 1 Source 2

Total votes: 35,302
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Candidate profiles

This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.

James Hayes

Image of James Hayes

WebsiteFacebookTwitter

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Submitted Biography:  "James Hayes is a successful businessman and economist. He knows that the government is here to serve the people -- not the other way around. After attending Georgetown University, he went on to earn advanced degrees in economics, finance and accounting and business administration from Princeton, the University of Chicago and Case Western, respectively. In addition to his experience in industry and finance, Dr. Hayes also spent six years working for the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. He will support ending the overregulation that is costing our region valuable jobs and causing industry to flee. James supports our law enforcement and will work to ensure they have the tools they need to keep our communities safe. He supports American values and fair treatment for all Americans regardless of race, religion or national origin. He supports Israel and its right to defend itself, opposes excessive government spending and will work to restore balance, accountability and civility to our government."

Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses, click here.

We must support industries that create jobs and economic vitality while remaining faithful stewards of the environment.

Public safety is paramount to the success of any viable community and it must be vigorously safeguarded.

Children should not be condemned to a poor education because of their zip code and we must implement school choice to provide the incentives to improve outcomes across the educational spectrum.

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 12 in 2024.

Paul Bryant

Image of Paul Bryant

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Submitted Biography:  "Paul Bryant graduated from Chartiers Valley High School. All he wants to do is help America. If the "experts" and "experienced" members of our country can't or won't fix it, the average citizen must stand up to make a difference."

Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses, click here.

I believe our representatives in government have not been doing what is best for the citizens of this country. Overspending, Unconstitutional laws, promoting degeneracy - the list goes on. Instead of uniting America, they want to segregate based on religion, ethnicity, income and undermine our morality. I view all Americans by the content of their character and not by their skin, as they should be. Balance the budget, follow the constitution, and promote values our country was founded on.

If we don't have strict border security measures put in place, illegals will enter with impunity. Our poor immigration policy enables them to do this. We must secure the border and then implement an immigration policy that examines the applicants in a thorough, yet rapid pace.

Whatever happens out in the world, will eventually affect us. We, as Americans, must help establish order amid the chaos that plagues our world. Ensure our allies uphold to their end of the agreements. Combining efforts within NATO into a force of peace. Making sure leaders with territorial ambitions know our military and those of our allies will stop such goals.

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Pennsylvania District 12 in 2024.

Voting information

See also: Voting in Pennsylvania

Election information in Pennsylvania: April 23, 2024, election.

What was the voter registration deadline?

  • In-person: April 8, 2024
  • By mail: Received by April 8, 2024
  • Online: April 8, 2024

Was absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

N/A

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

  • In-person: April 16, 2024
  • By mail: Received by April 16, 2024
  • Online: April 16, 2024

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

  • In-person: April 23, 2024
  • By mail: Received by April 23, 2024

Was early voting available to all voters?

N/A

What were the early voting start and end dates?

N/A to April 16, 2024

Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, was a photo or non-photo ID required?

N/A

When were polls open on Election Day?

7:00 a.m. - 8:00 p.m. (EST)


Campaign finance

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Paul Bryant Republican Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
James Hayes Republican Party $136,245 $135,559 $686 As of December 31, 2024

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," . This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.

District analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

  • District map - A map of the district in place for the election.
  • Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
  • State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.


Below was the map in use at the time of the election. Click the map below to enlarge it.

2023_01_03_pa_congressional_district_012.jpg
See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2024

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Pennsylvania.

Pennsylvania U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2024
Office Districts/
offices 		Seats Open seats Candidates Possible primaries Contested Democratic primaries Contested Republican primaries % of contested primaries Incumbents in contested primaries % of incumbents in contested primaries
2024 17 17 0 45 34 4 2 17.6% 3 17.6%
2022 17 17 2 48 34 5 6 32.4% 2 13.3%
2020 18 18 0 51 36 6 5 30.6% 2 11.1%
2018 18 18 7 84 36 13 8 58.3% 6 54.5%
2016 18 18 2 44 36 4 5 25.0% 4 25.0%
2014 18 18 2 46 36 6 3 25.0% 2 12.5%

Post-filing deadline analysis

The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Pennsylvania in 2024. Information below was calculated on April 7, 2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.

Forty-five candidates ran for Pennsylvania’s 17 U.S. House districts, including 25 Democrats and 20 Republicans. That’s 2.65 candidates per district, less than in the previous three election cycles. There were 2.82 candidates per district in 2022, 2.83 candidates per district in 2020, and 4.66 in 2018.

No districts were open in 2024, meaning all incumbents ran for re-election.

Seven candidates ran for the 10th Congressional District, the most candidates that ran for a district in 2024. The candidates included Republican incumbent Scott Perry and six Democrats.

Seven primaries—four Democratic and three Republican—were contested in 2024, the fewest this decade.

Three incumbents—two Democrats and one Republican—were in contested primaries. That’s higher than in 2022 and 2020 when two incumbents faced challengers, respectively.

The 3rd Congressional District was guaranteed to Democrats because no Republicans filed to run.

Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+8. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 8 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made Pennsylvania's 12th the 145th most Democratic district nationally.[5]

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

2020 presidential results in Pennsylvania's 12th based on 2024 district lines
Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
59.4% 39.5%

Inside Elections Baselines

See also: Inside Elections

Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.[6] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.

Inside Elections Baseline for 2024
Democratic Baseline Democratic Party Republican Baseline Republican Party Difference
60.9 36.0 R+24.9

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in Pennsylvania, 2020

Pennsylvania presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 14 Democratic wins
  • 16 Republican wins
  • 1 other win
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party R R R P[7] R R R R R D D D R R R D D D R D R R R D D D D D D R D
See also: Party control of Pennsylvania state government

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Pennsylvania's congressional delegation as of May 2024.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Pennsylvania
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 1 7 8
Republican 1 10 11
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 0 0
Total 2 17 19

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Pennsylvania's top four state executive offices as of May 2024.

State executive officials in Pennsylvania, May 2024
Office Officeholder
Governor Democratic Party Josh Shapiro
Lieutenant Governor Democratic Party Austin Davis
Secretary of State Republican Party Al Schmidt
Attorney General Democratic Party Michelle Henry

State legislature

Pennsylvania State Senate

Party As of February 2024
     Democratic Party 22
     Republican Party 28
     Independent 0
     Other 0
     Vacancies 0
Total 50

Pennsylvania House of Representatives

Party As of February 2024
     Democratic Party 101
     Republican Party 100
     Other 0
     Vacancies 2
Total 203

Trifecta control

The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.

Pennsylvania Party Control: 1992-2024
One year of a Democratic trifecta  •  Twelve years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Governor D D D R R R R R R R R D D D D D D D D R R R R D D D D D D D D D D
Senate R D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
House D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R D D

Ballot access

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Pennsylvania in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Pennsylvania, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source
Pennsylvania U.S. House Ballot-qualified party 1,000 $150.00 2/13/2024 Source
Pennsylvania U.S. House Unaffiliated 2% of votes cast in the district in the last election $150.00 8/1/2024 Source

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. ↑ A majority in the U.S. House when there are no vacancies is 218 seats.
  2. ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
  3. ↑ National Conference of State Legislatures Website, "State Primary Election Types," accessed September 24, 2024
  4. ↑ Casetext, "25 Pa. Stat. § 299," accessed September 24, 2024
  5. ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
  6. ↑ Inside Elections, "Methodology: Inside Elections’ Baseline by Congressional District," December 8, 2023
  7. ↑ Progressive Party


Pennsylvania's current delegation to the United States Congress
Senators
John Fetterman (D)
David McCormick (R)
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
District 7
District 8
District 9
District 10
District 11
District 12
District 13
District 14
District 15
District 16
District 17
Republican Party (11)
Democratic Party (8)


v • e
2023-2024 Elections to the United States Congress
Senate by StateCongressLogo.png
House by State
Alabama • Alaska • Arizona • Arkansas • California • Colorado • Connecticut • Delaware • Florida • Georgia • Hawaii • Idaho • Illinois • Indiana • Iowa • Kansas • Kentucky • Louisiana • Maine • Maryland • Massachusetts • Michigan • Minnesota • Mississippi • Missouri • Montana • Nebraska • Nevada • New Hampshire • New Jersey • New Mexico • New York • North Carolina • North Dakota • Ohio • Oklahoma • Oregon • Pennsylvania • Rhode Island • South Carolina • South Dakota • Tennessee • Texas • Utah • Vermont • Virginia • Washington • West Virginia • Wisconsin • Wyoming
Election information
Super PACs/Organizations
Retrieved from "https://ballotpedia.org/wiki/index.php?title=Pennsylvania%27s_12th_Congressional_District_election,_2024_(April_23_Republican_primary)&oldid=9613044"