Texas' 2nd Congressional District election, 2026

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2024
Texas' 2nd Congressional District
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: December 8, 2025
Primary: March 3, 2026
Primary runoff: May 26, 2026
General: November 3, 2026
How to vote
Poll times:

7 a.m. to 7 p.m.
Voting in Texas

Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
DDHQ and The Hill: Pending
Inside Elections: Solid Republican
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2026
See also
Texas' 2nd Congressional District
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Texas elections, 2026
U.S. Congress elections, 2026
U.S. Senate elections, 2026
U.S. House elections, 2026

All U.S. House districts, including the 2nd Congressional District of Texas, are holding elections in 2026. The general election is November 3, 2026. The primary is March 3, 2026, and a primary runoff is May 26, 2026. The filing deadline was December 8, 2025.

Ballotpedia identified the March 3, 2026, Republican primary as a battleground primary. For more on the Republican primary, click here.

For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:

Candidates and election results

Note: The following list of candidates is unofficial. The filing deadline for this election has passed, and Ballotpedia is working to update this page with the official candidate list. This note will be removed once the official candidate list has been added.

General election

The primary will occur on March 3, 2026. The general election will occur on November 3, 2026. General election candidates will be added here following the primary.

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 2

Shaun Finnie and Tyrone Price are running in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 2 on March 3, 2026.


Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 2

The following candidates are running in the Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 2 on March 3, 2026.


Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

March 3 Republican primary

See also: Texas' 2nd Congressional District election, 2026 (March 3 Republican primary)

Ballotpedia identified the March 3, 2026, Republican primary as a battleground primary. For more on the Republican primary, click here. For more on the Democratic primary, click here.


Incumbent Daniel Crenshaw (R), Steve Toth (R), and four other candidates are running in the Republican primary for Texas' 2nd Congressional District on March 3, 2026. The filing deadline was December 8, 2025. As of November 2025, Crenshaw and Toth led in fundraising and local media attention.[1]

According to the Houston Chronicle's Jeremy Wallace, Crenshaw, who media outlets described as a rising star in the GOP after he was first elected, "has the power of incumbency and is one of the most recognizable members of Congress."[2] Toth is a state representative who the Texas Tribune's Gabby Birenbaum described as "aligned with the rightmost faction of the Texas Legislature...by far the best-known primary opponent Crenshaw has faced in his career."[1] Crenshaw defeated Jameson Ellis (R) 75%–17% and 60%–40% in the 2022 and 2024 primaries.

Crenshaw was elected to the House in 2018 and is a U.S. Navy veteran. He is running on his record which he says includes bringing flood mitigation funding to the district and "leading the fight in Congress to defeat the Mexican drug cartels". Crenshaw says he stands for "common sense policies that ensure our nation’s prosperity and security, represent our Foundational values, and give Texans a reason to once again be proud of their leaders."[3]

Toth was elected to the Texas House of Representatives in 2012. He ran unsuccessfully for state Senate in 2014 and U.S. House in 2016 before being re-elected to the state House in 2018. He is running on his record as a state legislator, which he says includes "banning both Critical Race Theory and Social Transitioning of Children in Texas schools" and securing "billions in funding for border security initiatives as a member of our Appropriations Committee." He is also a pastor and small business owner.[4] As of November 2025, Toth's campaign website listed "Securing Our Southern Border," "Fighting Liberal Indoctrination," "Our National Security," among his top priorities.

As of November 2025, The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter, Inside Elections with Nathan Gonzales, and Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball each rated the general election Solid/Safe Republican.

Texas conducted redistricting between the 2024 and 2026 elections. As a result, district lines in this state changed. According to an Inside Elections analysis, under the old map, Donald Trump (R) would have won the district by 24 percentage points in the 2024 presidential election. Under the new map, Trump would have won the district by 23 percentage points.

Also running in the primary are Martin Etwop (R), T.C. Manning (R), Nicholas Plumb (R), and Ava Zolari (R).

If no candidate receives more than 50% of the vote, the top two finishers will advance to a runoff on May 26.

Candidate profiles

This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.

Image of Daniel Crenshaw

WebsiteFacebookXYouTube

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: Yes

Political Office: 

Biography:  Crenshaw obtained a bachelor's degree from Tufts University before commissioning as an officer in the Navy SEALs. Crenshaw deployed overseas five times during his time in the U.S. Navy. On his third deployment, Crenshaw lost his right eye in an IED attack. After leaving the Navy in 2016, Crenshaw obtained a master's degree in public policy from Harvard University.



Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.


Crenshaw said he was inspired to serve in Congress by the time he spent in the Navy SEALs, with his campaign website saying he "believes in service before self and understands that there is no higher calling than service to the American people...the integrity, leadership, vision, and tenacity he learned in the SEAL teams are present every day in his fight for common-sense solutions in Congress."


Crenshaw said the 2026 midterms were a turning point for the nation: "I've been in tough fights before, but the one we're in now will decide the future of our country. President Trump needs reinforcements, now more than ever. That's why I keep doing this job. It's about mission, actions, solutions. It's about persuading the public that our agenda is the right one, and we are finally moving in the right direction."


Crenshaw said he had demonstrated leadership on issues that are important to the district including energy policy and Hurricane Harvey recovery. His campaign website said: "As a 6th generation Texan and Houstonian, Dan has a deep love for his country and state."


Show sources

Silhouette Placeholder Image.png Do you have a photo that could go here? Click here to submit it for this profile!

WebsiteX

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Submitted Biography "I was adopted at four by parents born in the Great Depression. We lived in a trailer park on the edge of small-town Texas, where every dollar was stretched and every value was earned. My mom patched my jeans from the inside, my dad preached on Sundays, and I learned that discipline mattered more than image. At eighteen, I enlisted in the Army. Later, I served in the Navy JAG Corps, deploying to Iraq and working defense at Guantanamo Bay. I’ve stood in rooms most politicians can’t pronounce, let alone endure. After the military, I rebuilt from scratch, rising through Walmart and Amazon, where I ran billion-dollar operations, launched sites, exposed fraud, and stood alone when it counted. I’ve led from the front in boardrooms and breakrooms, not just campaign rallies. I wasn’t groomed for this seat. I built the tools to take it. And I’m not running because I need a title. I’m running because I’ve lived the consequences of bad leadership. Our government operates like a broken ops floor: bloated, misaligned, and serving insiders instead of outcomes. I know how to fix broken systems. That’s exactly what I intend to do."


Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses, click here.


I’ve run billion-dollar operations, launched fulfillment centers, and cleaned up the messes weak leaders left behind. I didn’t inherit power. I earned trust by fixing broken systems. I’ve led teams in war zones and warehouses, in courtrooms and crisis. Now I’m watching Congress operate like a bloated ops floor: detached, inefficient, and serving itself. I’m not running to be liked. I’m running to deliver. I bring real-world execution to a place that runs on excuses. If we want results, we need leaders who know how to get their hands dirty, call the bluff, and make the floor work again.


I’m not a polished politician. I’m a product of grit, service, and hard truth. I was raised by Depression-era parents, served in Iraq and Guantanamo, and worked my way from retail trainee to corporate fixer. I’ve seen how policy failure hits real families, and I’ve stood alone when integrity demanded it. When I say I’m running for working Americans, I mean the ones who don’t have lobbyists or golden parachutes - the ones who get up early, stay late, and still get priced out of the future. I’ve lived their story. I’ve fought their fights. I’ll take that truth to Washington.


I’ve seen firsthand how quiet displacement is reshaping our economy, how foreign labor programs, corporate loopholes, and captured leadership hollow out opportunity. I’ve fought that machine from the inside. We need a workforce policy built for American families - not spreadsheets. I’ll defend labor, protect veterans, and cut through the false choice between business and people. You shouldn’t need a master’s degree or visa to earn a life with dignity. If we want a future worth inheriting, we need leaders who still believe in the American worker and aren’t afraid to fight for them.

Image of Steve Toth

WebsiteFacebookX

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: 

Biography:  Toth was an ordained pastor and the owner of a residential pool service company. Toth's earlier professional experience includes work in sales, marketing, and business development for businesses including Johnson & Johnson, Apple Orthodontix, and Harris Interactive.



Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.


Toth said his background as a pastor and business owner meant that he understood "what’s at stake when Republicans cede ground to the progressive left and lose sight of our strong conservative values. Family, faith, and freedom are the cornerstones of America."


Toth said his record in the state legislature demonstrated his commitment to conservative principles, with his campaign website saying he "has consistently been ranked as one of the most conservative legislators in the Texas House while delivering real wins for Texans...Steve has always fought for Texas families and will never back down from doing what is right."


Toth said he had a record of having "stood against liberal policies, even when they came from within his own party, serving as a voice for conservatives across the state," and that he had opposed the "Democrats and Moderate Republicans [who] were trying to tear down Trump’s wall."


Show sources

See more

See more here: Texas' 2nd Congressional District election, 2026 (March 3 Republican primary)

Candidate profiles

There are currently no candidate profiles created for this race. Candidate profiles will appear here as they are created. Encourage the candidates in this race to complete Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey so that their profile will appear here.

Voting information

See also: Voting in Texas

Ballotpedia will publish the dates and deadlines related to this election as they are made available.

Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses

Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.

No candidate in this race has completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Ballotpedia is seeking 100 percent participation so voters can learn more about all the candidates on their ballots.

Campaign finance

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Daniel Crenshaw Republican Party $1,244,956 $1,045,617 $668,647 As of September 30, 2025
Shaun Finnie Democratic Party $1,391,101 $154,341 $1,236,759 As of September 30, 2025
Tyrone Price Democratic Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Martin Etwop Republican Party $7,756 $5,203 $162 As of September 30, 2025
T.C. Manning Republican Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Nicholas Plumb Republican Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Steve Toth Republican Party $303,459 $47,978 $255,481 As of September 30, 2025
Ava Zolari Republican Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2026. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.

General election race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[5]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[6][7][8]

Race ratings: Texas' 2nd Congressional District election, 2026
Race trackerRace ratings
12/9/202512/2/202511/25/202511/18/2025
The Cook Political Report with Amy WalterSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Decision Desk HQ and The HillPendingPendingPendingPending
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid RepublicanSolid Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe RepublicanSafe Republican
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

Ballot access

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Texas in the 2026 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Texas, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2026
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source
Texas U.S. House Democratic or Republican 2% of votes cast for governor in the district in the last election, or 500, whichever is less $3,125 12/8/2025 Source
Texas U.S. House Unaffiliated 5% of all votes cast for governor in the district in the last election, or 500, whichever is less N/A 2/13/2026 Source


District history

The section below details election results for this office in elections dating back to 2020.

2024

2022

2020

District analysis

This section will contain facts and figures related to this district's elections when those are available.

See also

Texas 2026 primaries 2026 U.S. Congress elections
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External links

Footnotes

  1. 1.0 1.1 The Texas Tribune, "State Rep. Steve Toth to challenge Congressman Dan Crenshaw in Republican primary," July 15, 2025
  2. Houston Chronicle, "Is Dan Crenshaw's reelection bid in jeopardy? His GOP primary challenger Steve Toth thinks so," October 24, 2025
  3. Daniel Crenshaw campaign website, "Issues," accessed November 11, 2025
  4. Steve Toth campaign website, "Meet Steve Toth," accessed November 24, 2025
  5. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  6. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  7. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  8. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
District 7
District 8
District 9
Al Green (D)
District 10
District 11
District 12
District 13
District 14
District 15
District 16
District 17
District 18
Vacant
District 19
District 20
District 21
Chip Roy (R)
District 22
District 23
District 24
District 25
District 26
District 27
District 28
District 29
District 30
District 31
District 32
District 33
District 34
District 35
District 36
District 37
District 38
Republican Party (27)
Democratic Party (12)
Vacancies (1)