Texas' 2nd Congressional District election, 2026
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| Texas' 2nd Congressional District |
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| Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
| Election details |
| Filing deadline: December 8, 2025 |
| Primary: March 3, 2026 Primary runoff: May 26, 2026 General: November 3, 2026 |
| How to vote |
| Poll times:
7 a.m. to 7 p.m. |
| Race ratings |
DDHQ and The Hill: Pending Inside Elections: Solid Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican |
| Ballotpedia analysis |
| U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2026 |
| See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th • 10th • 11th • 12th • 13th • 14th • 15th • 16th • 17th • 18th • 19th • 20th • 21st • 22nd • 23rd • 24th • 25th • 26th • 27th • 28th • 29th • 30th • 31st • 32nd • 33rd • 34th • 35th • 36th • 37th • 38th Texas elections, 2026 U.S. Congress elections, 2026 U.S. Senate elections, 2026 U.S. House elections, 2026 |
All U.S. House districts, including the 2nd Congressional District of Texas, are holding elections in 2026. The general election is November 3, 2026. The primary is March 3, 2026, and a primary runoff is May 26, 2026. The filing deadline was December 8, 2025.
Ballotpedia identified the March 3, 2026, Republican primary as a battleground primary. For more on the Republican primary, click here.
For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:
- Texas' 2nd Congressional District election, 2026 (March 3 Democratic primary)
- Texas' 2nd Congressional District election, 2026 (March 3 Republican primary)
Candidates and election results
Note: The following list of candidates is unofficial. The filing deadline for this election has passed, and Ballotpedia is working to update this page with the official candidate list. This note will be removed once the official candidate list has been added.
General election
The primary will occur on March 3, 2026. The general election will occur on November 3, 2026. General election candidates will be added here following the primary.
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 2
Shaun Finnie and Tyrone Price are running in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 2 on March 3, 2026.
Candidate | ||
| Shaun Finnie | ||
| Tyrone Price | ||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 2
The following candidates are running in the Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 2 on March 3, 2026.
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Jon Bonck (R)
- Nick Tran (R)
- Jameson Ellis (R)
March 3 Republican primary
Ballotpedia identified the March 3, 2026, Republican primary as a battleground primary. For more on the Republican primary, click here. For more on the Democratic primary, click here.
Incumbent Daniel Crenshaw (R), Steve Toth (R), and four other candidates are running in the Republican primary for Texas' 2nd Congressional District on March 3, 2026. The filing deadline was December 8, 2025. As of November 2025, Crenshaw and Toth led in fundraising and local media attention.[1]
According to the Houston Chronicle's Jeremy Wallace, Crenshaw, who media outlets described as a rising star in the GOP after he was first elected, "has the power of incumbency and is one of the most recognizable members of Congress."[2] Toth is a state representative who the Texas Tribune's Gabby Birenbaum described as "aligned with the rightmost faction of the Texas Legislature...by far the best-known primary opponent Crenshaw has faced in his career."[1] Crenshaw defeated Jameson Ellis (R) 75%–17% and 60%–40% in the 2022 and 2024 primaries.
Crenshaw was elected to the House in 2018 and is a U.S. Navy veteran. He is running on his record which he says includes bringing flood mitigation funding to the district and "leading the fight in Congress to defeat the Mexican drug cartels". Crenshaw says he stands for "common sense policies that ensure our nation’s prosperity and security, represent our Foundational values, and give Texans a reason to once again be proud of their leaders."[3]
Toth was elected to the Texas House of Representatives in 2012. He ran unsuccessfully for state Senate in 2014 and U.S. House in 2016 before being re-elected to the state House in 2018. He is running on his record as a state legislator, which he says includes "banning both Critical Race Theory and Social Transitioning of Children in Texas schools" and securing "billions in funding for border security initiatives as a member of our Appropriations Committee." He is also a pastor and small business owner.[4] As of November 2025, Toth's campaign website listed "Securing Our Southern Border," "Fighting Liberal Indoctrination," "Our National Security," among his top priorities.
As of November 2025, The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter, Inside Elections with Nathan Gonzales, and Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball each rated the general election Solid/Safe Republican.
Texas conducted redistricting between the 2024 and 2026 elections. As a result, district lines in this state changed. According to an Inside Elections analysis, under the old map, Donald Trump (R) would have won the district by 24 percentage points in the 2024 presidential election. Under the new map, Trump would have won the district by 23 percentage points.
Also running in the primary are Martin Etwop (R), T.C. Manning (R), Nicholas Plumb (R), and Ava Zolari (R).
If no candidate receives more than 50% of the vote, the top two finishers will advance to a runoff on May 26.
Candidate profiles
This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: Yes
Political Office:
- U.S. House (Assumed office: 2019)
Biography: Crenshaw obtained a bachelor's degree from Tufts University before commissioning as an officer in the Navy SEALs. Crenshaw deployed overseas five times during his time in the U.S. Navy. On his third deployment, Crenshaw lost his right eye in an IED attack. After leaving the Navy in 2016, Crenshaw obtained a master's degree in public policy from Harvard University.
Show sources
Sources: Daniel Crenshaw campaign website, "About Dan Crenshaw," accessed November 11, 2025; Daniel Crenshaw campaign website, "Issues," accessed November 11, 2025; YouTube, "Texas Isn't Done Fighting. And Neither Am I. - Dan Crenshaw for Congress," November 3, 2025; Biographical Directory of the United States Congress, "CRENSHAW, Daniel," accessed November 11, 2025; Daniel Crenshaw campaign website, "About Dan Crenshaw," accessed November 11, 2025
Do you have a photo that could go here? Click here to submit it for this profile!
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "I was adopted at four by parents born in the Great Depression. We lived in a trailer park on the edge of small-town Texas, where every dollar was stretched and every value was earned. My mom patched my jeans from the inside, my dad preached on Sundays, and I learned that discipline mattered more than image. At eighteen, I enlisted in the Army. Later, I served in the Navy JAG Corps, deploying to Iraq and working defense at Guantanamo Bay. I’ve stood in rooms most politicians can’t pronounce, let alone endure. After the military, I rebuilt from scratch, rising through Walmart and Amazon, where I ran billion-dollar operations, launched sites, exposed fraud, and stood alone when it counted. I’ve led from the front in boardrooms and breakrooms, not just campaign rallies. I wasn’t groomed for this seat. I built the tools to take it. And I’m not running because I need a title. I’m running because I’ve lived the consequences of bad leadership. Our government operates like a broken ops floor: bloated, misaligned, and serving insiders instead of outcomes. I know how to fix broken systems. That’s exactly what I intend to do."
Party: Republican Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office:
- Texas House of Representatives (2013–2015, Assumed office: 2019)
Biography: Toth was an ordained pastor and the owner of a residential pool service company. Toth's earlier professional experience includes work in sales, marketing, and business development for businesses including Johnson & Johnson, Apple Orthodontix, and Harris Interactive.
Show sources
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Candidate profiles
There are currently no candidate profiles created for this race. Candidate profiles will appear here as they are created. Encourage the candidates in this race to complete Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey so that their profile will appear here.
Voting information
- See also: Voting in Texas
Ballotpedia will publish the dates and deadlines related to this election as they are made available.
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
No candidate in this race has completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Ballotpedia is seeking 100 percent participation so voters can learn more about all the candidates on their ballots.
Campaign finance
| Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Crenshaw | Republican Party | $1,244,956 | $1,045,617 | $668,647 | As of September 30, 2025 |
| Shaun Finnie | Democratic Party | $1,391,101 | $154,341 | $1,236,759 | As of September 30, 2025 |
| Tyrone Price | Democratic Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Martin Etwop | Republican Party | $7,756 | $5,203 | $162 | As of September 30, 2025 |
| T.C. Manning | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Nicholas Plumb | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
| Steve Toth | Republican Party | $303,459 | $47,978 | $255,481 | As of September 30, 2025 |
| Ava Zolari | Republican Party | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
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Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2026. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
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General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[5]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[6][7][8]
| Race ratings: Texas' 2nd Congressional District election, 2026 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
| 12/9/2025 | 12/2/2025 | 11/25/2025 | 11/18/2025 | ||||||
| The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
| Decision Desk HQ and The Hill | Pending | Pending | Pending | Pending | |||||
| Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
| Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | |||||
| Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. | |||||||||
Ballot access
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Texas in the 2026 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Texas, click here.
| Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2026 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
| Texas | U.S. House | Democratic or Republican | 2% of votes cast for governor in the district in the last election, or 500, whichever is less | $3,125 | 12/8/2025 | Source |
| Texas | U.S. House | Unaffiliated | 5% of all votes cast for governor in the district in the last election, or 500, whichever is less | N/A | 2/13/2026 | Source |
District history
The section below details election results for this office in elections dating back to 2020.
2024
2022
2020
District analysis
This section will contain facts and figures related to this district's elections when those are available.
See also
| Texas | 2026 primaries | 2026 U.S. Congress elections |
|---|---|---|
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Voting in Texas Texas elections: 2026 • 2025 • 2024 • 2023 • 2022 • 2021 • 2020 • 2019 • 2018 |
Republican primary battlegrounds U.S. Senate Democratic primaries U.S. Senate Republican primaries U.S. House Democratic primaries U.S. House Republican primaries |
U.S. Senate elections U.S. House elections Special elections Ballot access |
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ 1.0 1.1 The Texas Tribune, "State Rep. Steve Toth to challenge Congressman Dan Crenshaw in Republican primary," July 15, 2025
- ↑ Houston Chronicle, "Is Dan Crenshaw's reelection bid in jeopardy? His GOP primary challenger Steve Toth thinks so," October 24, 2025
- ↑ Daniel Crenshaw campaign website, "Issues," accessed November 11, 2025
- ↑ Steve Toth campaign website, "Meet Steve Toth," accessed November 24, 2025
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
= candidate completed the