Texas' 10th Congressional District election, 2024: Difference between revisions

	2026 → ← 2022
Texas' 10th Congressional District
	Democratic primary; Republican primary; General election
Election details
	Filing deadline: December 11, 2023
	Primary: March 5, 2024; Primary runoff: May 28, 2024; General: November 5, 2024
How to vote
	Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m.; Voting in Texas
Race ratings
	Cook Political Report: Solid Republican; DDHQ and The Hill: Safe Republican; Inside Elections: Solid Republican; Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican
Ballotpedia analysis
	U.S. Senate battlegrounds; U.S. House battlegrounds; Federal and state primary competitiveness; Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024
See also
	Texas' 10th Congressional District; U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th • 5th • 6th • 7th • 8th • 9th • 10th • 11th • 12th • 13th • 14th • 15th • 16th • 17th • 18th • 19th • 20th • 21st • 22nd • 23rd • 24th • 25th • 26th • 27th • 28th • 29th • 30th • 31st • 32nd • 33rd • 34th • 35th • 36th • 37th • 38th; Texas elections, 2024; U.S. Congress elections, 2024; U.S. Senate elections, 2024; U.S. House elections, 2024; Alabama U.S. House racesAlaska U.S. House racesArizona U.S. House racesArkansas U.S. House racesCalifornia U.S. House racesColorado U.S. House racesConnecticut U.S. House racesDelaware U.S. House racesFlorida U.S. House racesGeorgia U.S. House racesHawaii U.S. House racesIdaho U.S. House racesIllinois U.S. House racesIndiana U.S. House racesIowa U.S. House racesKansas U.S. House racesKentucky U.S. House racesLouisiana U.S. House racesMaine U.S. House racesMaryland U.S. House racesMassachusetts U.S. House racesMichigan U.S. House racesMinnesota U.S. House racesMississippi U.S. House racesMissouri U.S. House racesMontana U.S. House racesNebraska U.S. House racesNevada U.S. House racesNew Hampshire U.S. House racesNew Jersey U.S. House racesNew Mexico U.S. House racesNew York U.S. House racesNorth Carolina U.S. House racesNorth Dakota U.S. House racesOhio U.S. House racesOklahoma U.S. House racesOregon U.S. House racesPennsylvania U.S. House racesRhode Island U.S. House racesSouth Carolina U.S. House racesSouth Dakota U.S. House racesTennessee U.S. House racesTexas U.S. House racesUtah U.S. House racesVermont U.S. House racesVirginia U.S. House racesWashington U.S. House racesWest Virginia U.S. House racesWisconsin U.S. House racesWyoming U.S. House racesSubmit

Latest revision as of 20:17, 18 November 2024

Texas 2024 elections

U.S. Senate • U.S. House • Congressional special elections • State executive offices • State Senate • State House • Special state legislative • Supreme court • Appellate courts • Local ballot measures • School boards • Municipal • Recalls • All other local • How to run for office

All U.S. House districts, including the 10th Congressional District of Texas, held elections in 2024. The general election was November 5, 2024. The primary was March 5, 2024, and a primary runoff was May 28, 2024. The filing deadline was December 11, 2023.

The outcome of this race affected the partisan balance of the U.S. House of Representatives in the 119th Congress. All 435 House districts were up for election.

At the time of the election, Republicans held a 220-212 majority with three vacancies.^[1] As a result of the election, Republicans retained control of the U.S. House, winning 220 seats to Democrats' 215.^[2] To read more about the 2024 U.S. House elections, click here.

In the 2022 election in this district, the Republican candidate won 63.3%-34.3%. Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Donald Trump (R) would have defeated Joe Biden (D) 58.6%-39.8%.^[3]

For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:

Candidates and election results

General election

General election for U.S. House Texas District 10

Incumbent Michael McCaul defeated Theresa Boisseau and Jeff Miller in the general election for U.S. House Texas District 10 on November 5, 2024.

	Candidate	%	Votes
✔	Michael McCaul (R)	63.6	221,229
	Theresa Boisseau (D)	34.0	118,280
	Jeff Miller (L)	2.4	8,309

	Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 347,818
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Bill Kelsey (L)
Stefan Medley (Independent)

Democratic primary election

Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 10

Theresa Boisseau defeated Keith McPhail in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 10 on March 5, 2024.

	Candidate	%	Votes
✔	Theresa Boisseau	72.2	14,702
	Keith McPhail	27.8	5,661

	There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 20,363
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 10

Incumbent Michael McCaul defeated Jared Lovelace in the Republican primary for U.S. House Texas District 10 on March 5, 2024.

	Candidate	%	Votes
✔	Michael McCaul	72.1	59,998
	Jared Lovelace	27.9	23,175

	Incumbents are bolded and underlined. The results have been certified. Source	Total votes: 83,173
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Libertarian convention

Libertarian convention for U.S. House Texas District 10

Bill Kelsey advanced from the Libertarian convention for U.S. House Texas District 10 on March 23, 2024.

		Candidate
✔		Bill Kelsey (L)

	There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Candidate profiles

This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.

Theresa Boisseau

Party: Democratic Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Submitted Biography: "As a single mother I have fought every day for my own child. As a teacher I fought every day for each of the children that walked into my classroom. Now I hope to take the fight to Washington to build a brighter future for every child in Texas and beyond. My skills learned through time as a teacher and a decades-long involvement in the family business including the art of negotiation, striving to make each transaction a win-win while working with a broad spectrum of students and clients from varying socioeconomic backgrounds and cultures will prove invaluable. I also have several years worth of experience working on campaigns and a solid network of professionals to draw upon to make Congress work as it should and make government as a force for good. I know how to bring people together in any situation for everyone’s success - and I know how vital this is in finding a lasting solution to any challenge."

Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses, click here.

Mother Nature doesn't care if there’s an R or D after your name and climate challenges that lead to extreme weather should not be political. The US has the knowledge & capability to create solutions to extreme weather. I would extend tax credits for solar use, add credits for wind, hydrogen production & energy storage and ensure access to clean water. US inaction on these issues makes the EU the de facto leader in renewable energy & innovation leaving America to play by their rules. The US must increase infrastructure & solutions for our country and collaborate with Europe and others to ensure no country is left behind. The future of our planet, our health, our economy and stable democracies depends on this being solved on a global scale.

In a sane society, women facing a heart-achingly difficult decision in traumatic circumstances should be supported with kindness, not persecution. More women die during pregnancy & childbirth in Texas than in many other states and will get worse. OB/GYNs and doctors are leaving because they know they can’t give the care their oaths demand under restrictive laws that Republican leadership has forced upon this state. The callousness and legal agony they have put women through shows they don’t care about the consequences of their extreme views. Women in Texas and across the US deserve better, where they are safe in pregnancy, safe to receive healthcare and safe to make choices about their own lives free from the interference of politicians.

While I had recently left teaching when Columbine happened, I distinctly remember having to tell my 10 year old daughter about Sandy Hook in 2012. In Congress, I would push known pieces of legislation that could pass and have an impact on this crisis; a national database for background checks, red-flag laws, a waiting period for purchase and initial & continuing education for owning/storing a gun. In order to build a brighter future for our children, this needs to be urgently addressed and as your next Congresswoman, I would fight for significant progress on ensuring that these reforms are passed and implemented.

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House Texas District 10 in 2024.

Voting information

See also: Voting in Texas

Election information in Texas: Nov. 5, 2024, election.

What was the voter registration deadline?

In-person: Oct. 7, 2024
By mail: Postmarked by Oct. 7, 2024
Online: N/A

Was absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

No

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

In-person: Oct. 25, 2024
By mail: Received by Oct. 25, 2024
Online: N/A

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

In-person: Nov. 5, 2024
By mail: Postmarked by Nov. 5, 2024

Was early voting available to all voters?

Yes

What were the early voting start and end dates?

Oct. 21, 2024 to Nov. 1, 2024

Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, was a photo or non-photo ID required?

N/A

When were polls open on Election Day?

7:00 a.m. - 7:00 p.m. (CST/MST)

Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses

Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.

Survey responses from candidates in this race

Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.

Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.

Expand all | Collapse all

Please list below 3 key messages of your campaign. What are the main points you want voters to remember about your goals for your time in office?

Theresa Boisseau (D)

Mother Nature doesn't care if there’s an R or D after your name and climate challenges that lead to extreme weather should not be political. The US has the knowledge & capability to create solutions to extreme weather. I would extend tax credits for solar use, add credits for wind, hydrogen production & energy storage and ensure access to clean water. US inaction on these issues makes the EU the de facto leader in renewable energy & innovation leaving America to play by their rules. The US must increase infrastructure & solutions for our country and collaborate with Europe and others to ensure no country is left behind. The future of our planet, our health, our economy and stable democracies depends on this being solved on a global scale.

In a sane society, women facing a heart-achingly difficult decision in traumatic circumstances should be supported with kindness, not persecution. More women die during pregnancy & childbirth in Texas than in many other states and will get worse. OB/GYNs and doctors are leaving because they know they can’t give the care their oaths demand under restrictive laws that Republican leadership has forced upon this state. The callousness and legal agony they have put women through shows they don’t care about the consequences of their extreme views. Women in Texas and across the US deserve better, where they are safe in pregnancy, safe to receive healthcare and safe to make choices about their own lives free from the interference of politicians.

While I had recently left teaching when Columbine happened, I distinctly remember having to tell my 10 year old daughter about Sandy Hook in 2012. In Congress, I would push known pieces of legislation that could pass and have an impact on this crisis; a national database for background checks, red-flag laws, a waiting period for purchase and initial & continuing education for owning/storing a gun. In order to build a brighter future for our children, this needs to be urgently addressed and as your next Congresswoman, I would fight for significant progress on ensuring that these reforms are passed and implemented.

What areas of public policy are you personally passionate about?

Theresa Boisseau (D)

We need to ensure that everyone has the right to vote, first and foremost and this principle is what motivated me to get even more involved including running for office. We cannot have a stable democracy while politicians choose leaders for us and our vote is our voice. My family has personal experience in defending democracy in Haiti. I never met my grandfather, a US-trained pilot and officer who fought back against the slide from democracy into the dictatorship of Francois Duvalier. He stood up for democracy and paid for it with his life. Institutions can work when there is incentive to work together instead of tearing it all down: currently there are too many incentives towards extremism and that needs to change. This is why I support easier access to voting, stopping dark money and fairly drawn voting districts at all levels.The John Lewis Voting Rights Act should be passed immediately along with rebuilding the gutted Voting Rights Act. I would push for districts to be drawn by citizens, not politicians with vested interests in the outcome. Voting is at the core of America, I believe this should be celebrated by making Federal Election day a national holiday, early voting & vote by mail should be federally protected.

What characteristics or principles are most important for an elected official?

Theresa Boisseau (D)

The most important principle for any elected official is that they serve the people of their constituency, with integrity and honesty. That they have the strength of character to refuse to be bought by lobbyists, and to make clear the principles they hold and stand by - even in times of crisis.

If anyone in elected office enriches themselves instead of the people they serve - whether by accepting campaign donations or gifts in order to vote against the best interests of their constituents, or by using the knowledge they are entrusted by as a member of Congress - they do not deserve to be in office for they will have failed to place the people they represent above their own greed.

If someone seeks elected office by lying about their beliefs and the program they would enact in government, then they have broken the trust of the voters and denied them people a real informed choice. To maintain trust in democracy, it is vital that politicians in elected office be honest about their positions and votes with the people they represent - especially if there is disagreement. Hiding those positions, or hiding from voters is not representation. Just as bad are those who will promise everything to everyone, flip-flopping from one position to the next with no firm principles - voters should be able to trust an elected official to vote on legislation the way they have promised.

What qualities do you possess that you believe would make you a successful officeholder?

Theresa Boisseau (D)

My skills learned through time as a teacher and a decades-long involvement in the family business including the art of negotiation, striving to make each transaction a win-win while working with a broad spectrum of students and clients from varying socioeconomic backgrounds and cultures will prove invaluable. I also have several years worth of experience working on campaigns and a solid network of professionals to draw upon to make Congress work as it should and make government as a force for good. I know how to bring people together in any situation for everyone’s success - and I know how vital this is in finding a lasting solution to any challenge.

What is the first historical event that happened in your lifetime that you remember? How old were you at the time?

Theresa Boisseau (D)

The first historical event that I remember is the Apollo 11, the first lunar landing. I was about 2 and a half years old and distinctly remember seeing it on the TV.

If you could be any fictional character, who would you want to be?

Theresa Boisseau (D)

My daughter would say Leslie Knope from Parks and Rec. I would have to agree and really like her because she believes that government can do great things for all people and she focuses on the positive. She has a can-do attitude focusing on solutions and often asks, "What do I need to do to make this happen?".

Do you believe that it's beneficial for representatives to have previous experience in government or politics?

Theresa Boisseau (D)

The House of Representatives should be exactly that: representative.

That means that every race, every creed, every adult age and every occupation should have a voice in shaping the legislation that governs this great nation. I am firmly of the belief that anyone, if their heart is in the right place and they truly wish to serve, can become the best kind of politician: a servant of the people. However, in order for farmers or teachers or engineers or small business owners to become such public servants, there needs to be people with experience of government and politics to learn from and whose experience in achieving meaningful change can be an example to all who wish to lift up America. As such, in that representative mix of Americans called to serve in government should be those with experience, and diverse experience too: of school boards and state legislatures, from mayors of small towns to leaders of cooperatives. Their experience of governing, along with that of Representatives who have had longer careers, can help foster a truly representative democracy in America.

What do you perceive to be the United States’ greatest challenges as a nation over the next decade?

Theresa Boisseau (D)

There will be no greater challenge in the next decade - at every level - that is greater than fighting the rolling back of liberty for all.

For many years, women were assured that they had a right to choice and healthcare regarding their own bodies. Those rights were a guarantee of liberty as full citizens of this great country. Now, in many states, those rights have been ripped away; politicians are now deciding for us whether we have futures or families or our very lives. We must fight against this trend, standing with the overwhelming majority of the nation in safeguarding every woman's choice, maternity care, healthcare, and the right to make the most difficult decisions about life in private. The same people who wish to remove freedom of choice from women are also attacking the freedom to vote. The most fundamental right as Americans is our freedom to choose our representatives and our government. This right - so noticeably denied in the past through Jim Crow laws and barring female suffrage - is under threat once more from politicians who wish to hold power no matter what voters say. Through gerrymandering, impossible hurdles to registration or attempts to overturn and nullify the will of the voters - politicians who cannot win on the strength of their ideas are seeking to make voters powerless. The freedom to exercise our right to vote must be fought for at every turn, and we cannot stop until every eligible American can exercise that right freely and without hindrance.

If those people who would take our freedoms in the name of political power are not challenged, they will not stop. And further rights we hold essential to life, liberty and the pursuit of happiness will fall to satisfy their hunger for power unsupported by the people. I will never stop fighting against this trend, for a brighter future where all Americans have the rights they should.

Do you believe that compromise is necessary or desirable for policymaking?

Theresa Boisseau (D)

I believe that compromise is desirable in lawmaking. However, compromise should not be the objective over all others for policy-makers.

Debating and compromising policy across ideological differences both within your own party and across the aisle can only strengthen legislation. It is essential in our democracy to consider the voices of all in shaping legislation, particularly those whose voices have often been silenced. By challenging ourselves to debate ideas, and seeking to strengthen them through compromise and listening to multiple voices we can write legislation that positively impacts all Americans, not just a select few. However, the importance of compromise should be kept to policy. Whether the right to vote, human rights for all Americans or the right to live freely in a society rooted in the rule of law - compromising on the fundamental rights that form the cornerstones of our republic will only weaken it and lead to instability and the fall of all we hold true as Americans.

It is also important to note that compromise cannot always be sought - attempting to compromise with someone who is operating in bad faith, or who wishes to sabotage for political gain solutions to urgent problems honest Americans face, will lead to nothing but delay and failure. In those times, the largest coalition of voices from across the political spectrum who actually wish to contribute to solutions should be assembled.

What organizations or individuals have endorsed your campaign?

Theresa Boisseau (D)

University Democrats, Central Austin Democrats, NxNW Democrats, Liberal Austin Democrats, Environmental Austin Democrats, Austin Tejano Democrats.

Campaign finance

Name	Party	Receipts*	Disbursements**	Cash on hand	Date
Michael McCaul	Republican Party	$3,131,115	$3,260,803	$131,069	As of December 31, 2024
Theresa Boisseau	Democratic Party	$100,410	$110,430	$0	As of December 31, 2024
Keith McPhail	Democratic Party	$375	$7,985	$0	As of March 5, 2024
Jared Lovelace	Republican Party	$58,333	$58,333	$0	As of March 5, 2024
Bill Kelsey	Libertarian Party	$0	$0	$0	Data not available***
Jeff Miller	Libertarian Party	$0	$0	$0	Data not available***
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC). * According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election. * Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.

General election race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.^[4]
Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.^[5]^[6]^[7]

Race ratings: Texas' 10th Congressional District election, 2024
Race tracker	Race ratings
	November 5, 2024	October 29, 2024	October 22, 2024	October 15, 2024
The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter	Solid Republican	Solid Republican	Solid Republican	Solid Republican
Decision Desk HQ and The Hill	Safe Republican	Safe Republican	Safe Republican	Safe Republican
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales	Solid Republican	Solid Republican	Solid Republican	Solid Republican
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball	Safe Republican	Safe Republican	Safe Republican	Safe Republican
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

Ballot access

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Texas in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Texas, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024
State	Office	Party	Signatures required	Filing fee	Filing deadline	Source
Texas	U.S. House	Democratic or Republican	2% of votes cast for governor in the district in the last election, or 500, whichever is less	$3,125.00	12/11/2023	Source
Texas	U.S. House	Unaffiliated	5% of all votes cast for governor in the district in the last election, or 500, whichever is less	N/A	12/11/2023	Source

District analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.

District map - A map of the district in place for the election.
Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.

District map

Competitiveness
Presidential elections

State party control

Below was the map in use at the time of the election. Click the map below to enlarge it.

See also: Primary election competitiveness in state and federal government, 2024

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Texas.

Texas U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2024
Year	Districts/ offices	Seats	Open seats	Candidates	Possible primaries	Contested Democratic primaries	Contested Republican primaries	% of contested primaries	Incumbents in contested primaries	% of incumbents in contested primaries
2024	38	38	3	160	76	16	23	51.3%	19	54.3%
2022	38	38	6	222	76	17	27	57.9%	19	59.4%
2020	36	36	6	231	72	24	26	69.4%	18	60.0%
2018	36	36	8	212	72	25	21	63.9%	15	53.6%
2016	36	36	2	127	72	13	20	45.8%	19	55.9%
2014	36	36	1	100	72	6	13	26.4%	12	34.3%

Post-filing deadline analysis

The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Texas in 2024. Information below was calculated on 1/29/2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.

In 2024, 164 candidates filed to run for Texas’ 38 U.S. House districts, including 63 Democrats and 101 Republicans. That was 4.3 candidates per district, the lowest number since 2016, when 3.5 candidates ran.

In 2022, the first election after the number of congressional districts in Texas increased from 36 to 38, 5.8 candidates ran per district. In 2020, 6.4 candidates ran, and 5.8 candidates ran in 2018.

The 164 candidates who ran in 2024 were also the fewest total number to run since 2016, when 127 candidates ran. One hundred candidates ran for Texas’ then-36 districts in 2014, the fewest in the decade, while 231 ran in 2020, the decade-high.

Three seats were open. That was the fewest since 2016, when two seats were open. Six seats were open in 2022 and 2020, and eight were in 2018—the decade-high.

Reps. Kay Granger (R-12th) and Michael Burgess (R-26th) retired from public office. Rep. Colin Allred (D-32nd) didn't seek re-election in order to run for the U.S. Senate. Fourteen candidates—10 Democrats and 4 Republicans—ran for the open 32nd district, the most candidates who ran for a seat in 2024.

Thirty-nine primaries—16 Democratic and 23 Republican—were contested this year. That was the fewest since 2016, when 33 were contested. There were 44 contested primaries in 2022, 50 in 2020, and 46 in 2018.

Nineteen incumbents—six Democrats and thirteen Republicans—faced primary challengers this year. That was the same number as 2022, and one more than in 2020.

Three districts—the 9th, the 20th, and the 30th—were guaranteed to Democrats because no Republicans filed to run. Five were guaranteed to Republicans because no Democrats filed to run—the 1st, the 11th, the 13th, the 19th, and the 25th.

Partisan Voter Index

See also: The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+13. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 13 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Texas' 10th the 114th most Republican district nationally.^[8]

2020 presidential election results

The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.

2020 presidential results in Texas' 10th based on 2024 district lines
Joe Biden	Donald Trump
39.8%	58.6%

Inside Elections Baselines

See also: Inside Elections

Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.^[9] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.

Inside Elections Baseline for 2024
Democratic Baseline	Republican Baseline	Difference
36.8	60.7	D+23.9

Presidential voting history

See also: Presidential election in Texas, 2020

Texas presidential election results (1900-2020)

16 Democratic wins
15 Republican wins

Year	1900	1904	1908	1912	1916	1920	1924	1928	1932	1936	1940	1944	1948	1952	1956	1960	1964	1968	1972	1976	1980	1984	1988	1992	1996	2000	2004	2008	2012	2016	2020
Winning Party	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	R	D	D	D	D	D	R	R	D	D	D	R	D	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R

See also: Party control of Texas state government

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Texas' congressional delegation as of May 2024.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Texas
Party	U.S. Senate	U.S. House	Total
Democratic	0	12	12
Republican	2	25	27
Independent	0	0	0
Vacancies	0	1	1
Total	2	38	40

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Texas' top four state executive offices as of May 2024.

State executive officials in Texas, May 2024
Office	Officeholder
Governor	Greg Abbott
Lieutenant Governor	Dan Patrick
Secretary of State	Jane Nelson
Attorney General	Ken Paxton

State legislature

Texas State Senate

Party		As of February 2024
	Democratic Party	11
	Republican Party	19
	Other	0
	Vacancies	1
Total		31

Texas House of Representatives

Party		As of February 2024
	Democratic Party	64
	Republican Party	86
	Other	0
	Vacancies	0
Total		150

Trifecta control

The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.

Texas Party Control: 1992-2024
Three years of Democratic trifectas • Twenty-two years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year	92	93	94	95	96	97	98	99	00	01	02	03	04	05	06	07	08	09	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24
Governor	D	D	D	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R
Senate	D	D	D	D	D	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R
House	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	D	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R	R

District history

The section below details election results for this office in elections dating back to 2018.