California's 16th Congressional District election, 2024
Sam Liccardo (D) defeated Evan Low (D) in the general election for California's 16th Congressional District on November 5, 2024. Incumbent Anna Eshoo (D) did not run for re-election.[1] Click here for detailed results.
In the all-party top-two primary on March 5, 2024, Liccardo finished first with 21%.[2] Low finished in second place with 17% after a recount. To read more about the recount process, click here.
This race was one of three Democrat vs. Democrat congressional races in California during the 2024 election cycle. Between 2012 and 2024, there were an average of six house races in California where two members of the same party competed. This district has not had a Republican advance to the general election since 2020.
Before the election, Politico's Lara Korte, Melanie Mason, and Dustin Gardiner wrote the race "...is expected to be one of the most expensive Dem-on-Dem contests this cycle."[3] Both candidates sought different endorsements to distinguish themselves from one another. Low received endorsements from various local labor unions and the Congressional Progressive Caucus.[4][5] Liccardo received the endorsement of the Sierra Club, whose vice president described him as the "only candidate in this race who has pledged to turn down fossil fuel money."[6]
On May 15, the California Democratic Party voted to endorse Low over Liccardo by one vote.[7] The San Jose Spotlight's Brandon Pho and Ramona Giwargis wrote, "Despite losing the California Democratic Party endorsement, Liccardo is working to cut into Low’s progressive, union-backed base... the Laborer’s International Union of North America — or LiUNA — broke from the pack and endorsed Liccardo instead."[8] Low's union endorsements included National Nurses United and the California Labor Federation.[9][10]
Liccardo was mayor of San Jose from 2015 to 2023. Liccardo said in an interview that he would join the Problem Solvers Caucus and said, "In my first week in office, I intend to join the bipartisan Problem Solvers Caucus to help find willing partners on issues important to the 16th District – and as the rules require, I would find a Republican House member willing to join with me."[11] Liccardo received endorsements from California Controller Malia Cohen (D) and the New Democrat Coalition.[12] Former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg (D) donated $500,000 to a Super PAC supporting Liccardo.[13]
Low was elected to the California Assembly in 2014, representing the 26th District. In an interview with The Mercury News, Low said his priorities were "bread and butter key core issues," including public safety and ensuring Silicon Valley maintained its "competitiveness with global innovation."[14] Sen. Laphonza Butler (D), Rep. Ro Khanna (D), and Lieutenant Governor Eleni Kounalakis (D) endorsed his campaign.[15]
Before the election, Liccardo raised $5.7 million and spent $4.7 million, and Low raised $3.5 million and spent $2.7 million. To review all the campaign finance figures in full detail, click here.
For more information about the primary, click on the link below:
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House California District 16
Sam Liccardo defeated Evan Low in the general election for U.S. House California District 16 on November 5, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Sam Liccardo (D) | 58.2 | 179,583 |
![]() | Evan Low (D) ![]() | 41.8 | 128,893 |
Total votes: 308,476 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Nonpartisan primary election
Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House California District 16
The following candidates ran in the primary for U.S. House California District 16 on March 5, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | ![]() | Sam Liccardo (D) | 21.1 | 38,492 |
✔ | ![]() | Evan Low (D) ![]() | 16.6 | 30,261 |
![]() | Joe Simitian (D) | 16.6 | 30,256 | |
![]() | Peter Ohtaki (R) ![]() | 12.8 | 23,283 | |
![]() | Peter Dixon (D) | 8.1 | 14,677 | |
![]() | Rishi Kumar (D) ![]() | 6.8 | 12,383 | |
Karl Ryan (R) | 6.3 | 11,563 | ||
![]() | Julie Lythcott-Haims (D) | 6.2 | 11,386 | |
![]() | Ahmed Mostafa (D) ![]() | 3.2 | 5,814 | |
Greg Tanaka (D) | 1.3 | 2,421 | ||
![]() | Joby Bernstein (D) ![]() | 0.9 | 1,652 |
Total votes: 182,188 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Evan Bell (D)
- Nickesh Viswanathan (No party preference)
Voting information
- See also: Voting in California
Candidate comparison
Candidate profile
This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.
Party: Democratic Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office:
Mayor of San Jose (2015-2023)
Member of San Jose City Council (2007-2014)
Biography: Liccardo graduated with degrees from Georgetown University and Harvard University. He was a prosecutor in the Santa Clara County District Attorney's Office and worked as a federal prosecutor in the Southern District of California.
Show sources
Sources: The Stanford Daily, "'A critical need': Former San Jose Mayor talks congressional bid," accessed July 15, 2024; San Jose Spotlight, "On the Record: Congressional Candidate Sam Liccardo," accessed July 2, 2024 Sam Liccardo 2024 campaign website, "Let's Get it Done: Read Sam's Plan," accessed July, 2, 2024;; Sam Liccardo 2024 campaign website, "About Sam," accessed July 2, 2024
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House California District 16 in 2024.
Party: Democratic Party
Incumbent: No
Political Office: None
Submitted Biography: "Elected as the youngest Asian American mayor and youngest LGBT mayor in the country, I entered public service to champion the middle class. During my 10 years of service as an Assemblymember, I was named California's most effective lawmaker, delivering more signed bills than any other member. I also helped secure over $40 billion to build more affordable housing, increase funding for public schools, provide free community college, and support families struggling with the cost of living. When reproductive rights were under assault, I co-authored legislation to enshrine reproductive freedom in the California Constitution. My commitment to public safety is personal. As the proud brother of a police officer serving this district, I led the charge to increase law enforcement funding and keep guns out of the hands of criminals and people with mental illness. I was named "Legislator of the Year" by the California Police Chiefs Association. In Washington, I will take on lobbyists, hold oil companies accountable, and fight against pharmaceutical companies' price gouging. I am committed to making the region more affordable for middle and working-class families. I am the only candidate in this race endorsed by the California Democratic Party, labor unions, firefighters, police, nurses, and teachers, and hold a 100% score from Planned Parenthood."
This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. House California District 16 in 2024.
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
No candidate in this race completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey.
Campaign ads
Sam Liccardo
Ballotpedia did not come across any campaign ads for Sam Liccardo while conducting research on this election. If you are aware of any ads that should be included, please email us.
Evan Low
Ballotpedia did not come across any campaign ads for Evan Low while conducting research on this election. If you are aware of any ads that should be included, please email us.
Election competitiveness
Polls
- See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls
Polls are conducted with a variety of methodologies and have margins of error or credibility intervals.[16] The Pew Research Center wrote, "A margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points at the 95% confidence level means that if we fielded the same survey 100 times, we would expect the result to be within 3 percentage points of the true population value 95 of those times."[17] For tips on reading polls from FiveThirtyEight, click here. For tips from Pew, click here.
The links below show polls for this race aggregated by FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics, where available. Click here to read about FiveThirtyEight's criteria for including polls in its aggregation.
Race ratings
Race ratings: California's 16th Congressional District election, 2024 | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
November 5, 2024 | October 29, 2024 | October 22, 2024 | October 15, 2024 | ||||||
The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
Decision Desk HQ and The Hill | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | |||||
Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | |||||
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. |
Endorsements
Click the links below to see official endorsement lists published on candidate campaign websites for any candidates that make that information available. If you are aware of a website that should be included, please email us.
Election spending
Campaign finance
Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sam Liccardo | Democratic Party | $6,226,443 | $6,136,051 | $90,392 | As of December 31, 2024 |
Evan Low | Democratic Party | $3,717,869 | $3,636,634 | $81,235 | As of December 31, 2024 |
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
Satellite spending
- See also: Satellite spending
Satellite spending describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[18][19][20]
If available, this section includes links to online resources tracking satellite spending in this election. To notify us of a resource to add, email us.
By candidate | By election |
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Election analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District map - A map of the district in place for the election.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
Below was the map in use at the time of the election. Click the map below to enlarge it.

This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in California.
California U.S. House primary competitiveness, 2014-2024 | ||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Office | Districts/ offices |
Seats | Open seats | Candidates | Possible primaries | Contested top-two primaries | % of contested primaries | Incumbents in contested primaries | % of incumbents in contested primaries | |||||
2024 | 52 | 52 | 7 | 241 | 52 | 42 | 80.8% | 36 | 80.0% | |||||
2022 | 52 | 52 | 5 | 272 | 52 | 52 | 100.0% | 47 | 100.0% | |||||
2020 | 53 | 53 | 4 | 262 | 53 | 47 | 88.7% | 32 | 64.0% | |||||
2018 | 53 | 53 | 2 | 244 | 53 | 41 | 77.4% | 39 | 76.5% | |||||
2016 | 53 | 53 | 4 | 202 | 53 | 40 | 75.5% | 36 | 73.5% | |||||
2014 | 53 | 53 | 6 | 209 | 53 | 38 | 71.7% | 32 | 68.1% |
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in California in 2024. Information below was calculated on 1/16/2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
Two-hundred forty-one candidates filed to run for California's 52 U.S. House districts in 2024, including 125 Democrats, 88 Republicans, and 28 independent or minor party candidates. That’s 4.63 candidates per district. In 2022, the first election after the number of congressional districts in California decreased from 53 to 52 following the 2020 census, 5.2 candidates filed per district. In 2020, when the state still had 53 Congressional districts, 4.94 candidates filed per district. In 2018, 4.6 candidates filed.
The 241 candidates who ran in California in 2024 were the fewest total number of candidates since 2016, when 202 candidates ran. Forty-five incumbents—34 Democrats and 11 Republicans—ran for re-election. That was fewer than in 2022, when 47 incumbents ran. Six districts were open, one more than in 2022, and the most since 2014, when six districts were also open.
Incumbents Barbara Lee (D-12th), Adam Schiff (D-30th), and Katie Porter (D-47th) ran for the state’s open U.S. Senate seat. Incumbent Sen. Laphonza Butler (D) didn't run for re-election. Incumbents Grace Napolitano (D-31st), Tony Cárdenas (D-29th), and Anna Eshoo (D-16th) retired from public office. One incumbent—Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-20th)—left Congress before the end of his term. A special election was held to fill his seat before the general election.
Fifteen candidates—12 Democrats, two Republicans, and one nonpartisan—ran in the open 30th district, the most candidates running for a seat in 2024.
Forty-two primaries were contested, the fewest since 2018, when 41 were contested. All 52 primaries were contested in 2022, and 47 were in 2020. In California, which uses a top-two primary system, a primary is contested if more than two candidates file to run.
Incumbents ran in 35 of the 42 contested primaries. That’s lower than 2022, when 47 incumbents ran in contested primaries, but higher than every other year since 2014. In 2020, 32 incumbents faced contested primaries. Thirty-nine incumbents did so in 2018, 36 in 2016, and 32 in 2014.
Democratic candidates ran in every district. Republican candidates ran in every district except one—the 37th. Two Democrats, including incumbent Sydney Kamlage-Dove, one nonpartisan candidate, and one Peace and Freedom Party member ran in that district.Partisan Voter Index
Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+26. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 26 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made California's 16th the 34th most Democratic district nationally.[21]
2020 presidential election results
The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
2020 presidential results in California's 16th based on 2024 district lines | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Joe Biden ![]() |
Donald Trump ![]() | |||
75.4% | 22.4% |
Inside Elections Baselines
- See also: Inside Elections
Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.[22] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.
Inside Elections Baseline for 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic Baseline ![]() |
Republican Baseline ![]() |
Difference | ||
73.3 | 26.4 | D+46.9 |
Presidential voting history
California presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 15 Democratic wins
- 15 Republican wins
- 1 other win
Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Winning Party | R | R | R | P[23] | D | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of California's congressional delegation as of May 2024.
Congressional Partisan Breakdown from California | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
Democratic | 2 | 43 | 45 |
Republican | 0 | 9 | 9 |
Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Total | 2 | 52 | 54 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in California's top four state executive offices as of May 2024.
State executive officials in California, May 2024 | |
---|---|
Office | Officeholder |
Governor | ![]() |
Lieutenant Governor | ![]() |
Secretary of State | ![]() |
Attorney General | ![]() |
State legislature
California State Senate
Party | As of February 2024 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 32 | |
Republican Party | 8 | |
Other | 0 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 40 |
California State Assembly
Party | As of February 2024 | |
---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 62 | |
Republican Party | 18 | |
Independent | 1 | |
Other | 0 | |
Vacancies | 0 | |
Total | 80 |
Trifecta control
The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.
California Party Control: 1992-2024
Nineteen years of Democratic trifectas • No Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Governor | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Senate | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Assembly | D | D | D | S | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
Election context
Ballot access
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in California in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in California, click here.
Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024 | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
California | U.S. House | All candidates | 40-60 | $1,740.00[24] | 12/8/2023 | Source |
District election history
The section below details election results for this office in elections dating back to 2018.
2022
General election
General election for U.S. House California District 16
Incumbent Anna Eshoo defeated Rishi Kumar in the general election for U.S. House California District 16 on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Anna Eshoo (D) ![]() | 57.8 | 139,235 | |
![]() | Rishi Kumar (D) ![]() | 42.2 | 101,772 |
Total votes: 241,007 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Nonpartisan primary election
Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House California District 16
The following candidates ran in the primary for U.S. House California District 16 on June 7, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Anna Eshoo (D) ![]() | 47.9 | 81,100 | |
✔ | ![]() | Rishi Kumar (D) ![]() | 15.6 | 26,438 |
![]() | Peter Ohtaki (R) | 12.6 | 21,354 | |
Richard Fox (R) | 7.8 | 13,187 | ||
![]() | Ajwang Rading (D) ![]() | 6.7 | 11,418 | |
Greg Tanaka (D) ![]() | 6.6 | 11,107 | ||
![]() | Benjamin Solomon (R) ![]() | 1.6 | 2,659 | |
![]() | John Karl Fredrich (Independent) | 1.3 | 2,120 | |
Travis Odekirk (D) (Write-in) | 0.0 | 2 |
Total votes: 169,385 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
2020
General election
General election for U.S. House California District 16
Incumbent Jim Costa defeated Kevin Cookingham in the general election for U.S. House California District 16 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Jim Costa (D) | 59.4 | 128,690 | |
![]() | Kevin Cookingham (R) ![]() | 40.6 | 88,039 |
Total votes: 216,729 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Nonpartisan primary election
Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House California District 16
Incumbent Jim Costa and Kevin Cookingham defeated Esmeralda Soria and Kim Williams in the primary for U.S. House California District 16 on March 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Jim Costa (D) | 37.5 | 41,228 | |
✔ | ![]() | Kevin Cookingham (R) ![]() | 35.2 | 38,652 |
![]() | Esmeralda Soria (D) | 21.4 | 23,484 | |
![]() | Kim Williams (D) ![]() | 5.9 | 6,458 |
Total votes: 109,822 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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2018
General election
General election for U.S. House California District 16
Incumbent Jim Costa defeated Elizabeth Heng in the general election for U.S. House California District 16 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Jim Costa (D) | 57.5 | 82,266 | |
Elizabeth Heng (R) | 42.5 | 60,693 |
Total votes: 142,959 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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Nonpartisan primary election
Nonpartisan primary for U.S. House California District 16
Incumbent Jim Costa and Elizabeth Heng advanced from the primary for U.S. House California District 16 on June 5, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
✔ | Jim Costa (D) | 53.0 | 39,527 | |
✔ | Elizabeth Heng (R) | 47.0 | 35,080 |
Total votes: 74,607 | ||||
![]() | ||||
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2024 battleground elections
- See also: Battlegrounds
This was a battleground election. Other 2024 battleground elections included:
- California's 22nd Congressional District election, 2024
- Mayoral election in Portland, Oregon (2024)
- Mississippi Supreme Court elections, 2024
See also
External links
See also
- California's 16th Congressional District election, 2024 (March 5 top-two primary)
- Top-two primary
- United States House of Representatives elections in California, 2024
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2024
Footnotes
- ↑ Associated Press, "Democratic Rep. Anna Eshoo announces retirement after three decades in Congress," accessed June 25, 2024
- ↑ KQED, "Liccardo Leads South Bay House Primary, Simitian Confident He'll Make General Election," accessed June 27, 2024
- ↑ Politico, "Next question, please," accessed July 10, 2024
- ↑ Palo Alto Online, "Congress endorsements reflect candidates’ political leanings, professional history," accessed July 10, 2024
- ↑ Congressional Progressive Caucus, "Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC endorses Evan Low for CA-16," accessed July 2, 2024
- ↑ Politico, "‘Little Tech’ brings a big flex to Sacramento," accessed July 10, 2024
- ↑ Politico, "Exclusive: Dems vote to endorse Evan Low," accessed June 27, 2024
- ↑ Cite error: Invalid
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tag; no text was provided for refs namedCriticize
- ↑ National Nurses United, "Union nurses endorse Assemblymember Evan Low for Congress," accessed July 16, 2024
- ↑ San Jose Spotlight, "Millions raised in race for open Silicon Valley congressional seat," accessed July 16, 2024
- ↑ San Jose Spotlight, "On the Record: Congressional candidate Sam Liccardo," accessed July 3, 2024
- ↑ Sam Liccardo for Congress, "endorsements," accessed July 11, 2024
- ↑ The Mercury News, "Michael Bloomberg shells out $500,000 to Super PAC backing former San Jose Mayor Sam Liccardo’s congressional bid," accessed July 2, 2024
- ↑ The Mercury News, "Assemblymember Evan Low jumps into race to replace U.S. Rep. Anna Eshoo," accessed July 10, 2024
- ↑ San Jose Spotlight, "Another U.S. senator weighs in on Silicon Valley congressional race," accessed July 10, 2024
- ↑ For more information on the difference between margins of error and credibility intervals, see explanations from the American Association for Public Opinion Research and Ipsos.
- ↑ Pew Research Center, "5 key things to know about the margin of error in election polls," September 8, 2016
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed December 12, 2021
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed December 12, 2021
- ↑ National Review.com, "Why the Media Hate Super PACs," December 12, 2021
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
- ↑ Inside Elections, "Methodology: Inside Elections’ Baseline by Congressional District," December 8, 2023
- ↑ Progressive Party
- ↑ 2,000 signatures can be provided in lieu of the filing fee