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Maine gubernatorial election, 2022 (June 14 Republican primary)

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Governor of Maine
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Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: March 15, 2022
Primary: June 14, 2022
General: November 8, 2022
Pre-election incumbent(s):
Janet T. Mills (Democratic)
How to vote
Poll times: 6 a.m. to 8 p.m.
Voting in Maine
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Lean Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Democratic
Inside Elections: Lean Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
Federal and state primary competitiveness
State executive elections in 2022
Impact of term limits in 2022
State government trifectas
State government triplexes
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022
Maine
executive elections
Governor

A Republican Party primary took place on June 14, 2022, in Maine to determine which candidate would earn the right to run as the party's nominee in the state's gubernatorial election on November 8, 2022.

Paul LePage advanced from the Republican primary for Governor of Maine.

This page focuses on Maine's Republican Party gubernatorial primary. For more in-depth information on Maine's Democratic gubernatorial primary and the general election, see the following pages:

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Candidates and election results

Republican primary election

Republican Primary for Governor of Maine

The following candidates advanced in the ranked-choice voting election: Paul LePage in round 1 .

There were no incumbents in this race. The results have been certified. Source

Total votes: 59,713
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.

Election competitiveness

General election race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[1]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[2][3][4]

Race ratings: Maine gubernatorial election, 2022
Race trackerRace ratings
November 8, 2022November 1, 2022October 25, 2022October 18, 2022
The Cook Political Report with Amy WalterLean DemocraticLean DemocraticLean DemocraticLean Democratic
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesLean DemocraticLean DemocraticLean DemocraticLean Democratic
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallLean DemocraticLean DemocraticLean DemocraticLean Democratic
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

Ballot access requirements

The table below details filing requirements for gubernatorial candidates in Maine in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Maine, click here.

Filing requirements for gubernatorial candidates, 2022
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source Notes
Maine Governor Ballot-qualified party 2,000 N/A 3/15/2022 Source
Maine Governor Unaffiliated 4,000 N/A 6/1/2022 Source

State profile

Demographic data for Maine
 MaineU.S.
Total population:1,329,453316,515,021
Land area (sq mi):30,8433,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White:95%73.6%
Black/African American:1.1%12.6%
Asian:1.1%5.1%
Native American:0.6%0.8%
Pacific Islander:0%0.2%
Two or more:2%3%
Hispanic/Latino:1.5%17.1%
Education
High school graduation rate:91.6%86.7%
College graduation rate:29%29.8%
Income
Median household income:$49,331$53,889
Persons below poverty level:16.6%11.3%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2010-2015)
Click here for more information on the 2020 census and here for more on its impact on the redistricting process in Maine.
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.

Presidential voting pattern

See also: Presidential voting trends in Maine

Maine voted for the Democratic candidate in all seven presidential elections between 2000 and 2024.

Pivot Counties (2016)

Ballotpedia identified 206 counties that voted for Donald Trump (R) in 2016 after voting for Barack Obama (D) in 2008 and 2012. Collectively, Trump won these Pivot Counties by more than 580,000 votes. Of these 206 counties, eight are located in Maine, accounting for 3.88 percent of the total pivot counties.[5]

Pivot Counties (2020)

In 2020, Ballotpedia re-examined the 206 Pivot Counties to view their voting patterns following that year's presidential election. Ballotpedia defined those won by Trump won as Retained Pivot Counties and those won by Joe Biden (D) as Boomerang Pivot Counties. Nationwide, there were 181 Retained Pivot Counties and 25 Boomerang Pivot Counties. Maine had seven Retained Pivot Counties and one Boomerang Pivot County, accounting for 4.42 and 4.00 percent of all Retained and Boomerang Pivot Counties, respectively.

More Maine coverage on Ballotpedia

Election analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about demographics, past elections, and partisan control of the state.

  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the state.
  • Statewide elections - Information about recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections in the state.
  • State partisanship - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
  • Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.

Presidential elections

See also: Presidential voting trends in Maine and The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Cook PVI by congressional district

Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index for Maine, 2022
District Incumbent Party PVI
Maine's 1st Chellie Pingree Electiondot.png Democratic D+9
Maine's 2nd Jared Golden Electiondot.png Democratic R+6


2020 presidential results by 2022 congressional district lines

2020 presidential results in congressional districts based on 2022 district lines, Maine[6]
District Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
Maine's 1st 60.0% 37.2%
Maine's 2nd 45.5% 51.6%


2012-2020

How a state's counties vote in a presidential election and the size of those counties can provide additional insights into election outcomes at other levels of government including statewide and congressional races. Below, four categories are used to describe each county's voting pattern over the 2012, 2016, and 2020 presidential elections: Solid, Trending, Battleground, and New. Click [show] on the table below for examples:


Following the 2020 presidential election, 53.0% of Mainers lived in one of the state's seven Solid Democratic counties, which voted for the Democratic presidential candidate in every election from 2012 to 2020, and 36.6% lived in one of seven Trending Republican counties. Overall, Maine was Solid Democratic, having voted for Barack Obama (D) in 2012, Hillary Clinton (D) in 2016, and Joe Biden (D) in 2020. Use the table below to view the total number of each type of county in Maine following the 2020 election as well as the overall percentage of the state population located in each county type.

Historical voting trends

Maine presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 11 Democratic wins
  • 20 Republican wins
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party R R R D R R R R R R R R R R R R D D R R R R R D D D D D D D D

Statewide elections

This section details the results of the five most recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections held in the state.

U.S. Senate elections

See also: List of United States Senators from Maine

The table below details the vote in the five most recent U.S. Senate races in Maine.

U.S. Senate election results in Maine
Race Winner Runner up
2020 51.0%Republican Party 42.4%Democratic Party
2018 54.3%Grey.png (Independent) 35.2%Republican Party
2014 68.5%Republican Party 31,5%Democratic Party
2012 52.9%Grey.png (Independent) 30.7%Republican Party
2008 61.3%Republican Party 38.6%Democratic Party
Average 57.6 36.7

Gubernatorial elections

See also: Governor of Maine

The table below details the vote in the five most recent gubernatorial elections in Maine.

Gubernatorial election results in Maine
Race Winner Runner up
2018 50.9%Democratic Party 43.2%Republican Party
2014 48.2%Republican Party 43.4%Democratic Party
2010 37.6%Republican Party 35.9%Grey.png (Independent)
2006 38.1%Republican Party 30.2%Democratic Party
2002 47.1%Democratic Party 41.5%Republican Party
Average 44.4 38.8

State partisanship

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Maine's congressional delegation as of November 2022.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Maine, November 2022
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 0 2 2
Republican 1 0 1
Independent 1 0 1
Vacancies 0 0 0
Total 2 2 4

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Maine's top three state executive offices as of November 2022.

State executive officials in Maine, November 2022
Office Officeholder
Governor Democratic Party Janet T. Mills
Secretary of State Democratic Party Shenna Bellows
Attorney General Democratic Party Aaron Frey

State legislature

The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the Maine State Legislature as of November 2022.

Maine State Senate

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 22
     Republican Party 13
     Vacancies 0
Total 35

Maine House of Representatives

Party As of November 2022
     Democratic Party 77
     Republican Party 63
     Independent 2
     Independent for Maine Party 1
     Libertarian Party 0
     Vacancies 8
Total 151

Trifecta control

As of November 2022, Maine was a Democratic trifecta, with majorities in both chambers of the state legislature and control of the governorship. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.

Maine Party Control: 1992-2022
Twelve years of Democratic trifectas  •  Two years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
Governor R R R I I I I I I I I D D D D D D D D R R R R R R R R D D D D
Senate D D D R R D D D D S S D D D D D D D D R R D D R R R R D D D D
House D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D D R R D D D D D D D D D D

Demographics

The table below details demographic data in Maine and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.

Demographic Data for Maine
Maine United States
Population 1,362,359 331,449,281
Land area (sq mi) 30,844 3,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White 93.7% 70.4%
Black/African American 1.4% 12.6%
Asian 1.1% 5.6%
Native American 0.7% 0.8%
Pacific Islander 0% 0.2%
Other (single race) 0.4% 5.1%
Multiple 2.8% 5.2%
Hispanic/Latino 1.7% 18.2%
Education
High school graduation rate 93.2% 88.5%
College graduation rate 32.5% 32.9%
Income
Median household income $59,489 $64,994
Persons below poverty level 11.1% 12.8%
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2020). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2015-2020).
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.


See also

Maine State Executive Elections News and Analysis
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Maine State Executive Offices
Maine State Legislature
Maine Courts
2025 • 2024 • 2023 • 2022 • 2021 • 2020 • 2019 • 2018 • 2017 • 2016
Maine elections: 2025 • 2024 • 2023 • 2022 • 2021 • 2020 • 2019 • 2018 • 2017 • 2016
Party control of state government
State government trifectas
State of the state addresses
Partisan composition of governors

External links

Footnotes

  1. ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  2. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  3. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  4. ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  5. ↑ The raw data for this study was provided by Dave Leip of Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections.
  6. ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012," accessed September 9, 2022
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