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Mississippi's 3rd Congressional District election, 2024
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| Mississippi's 3rd Congressional District |
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| Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
| Election details |
| Filing deadline: January 12, 2024 |
| Primary: March 12, 2024 Primary runoff: April 2, 2024 General: November 5, 2024 General runoff: November 26, 2024 |
| How to vote |
| Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m. Voting in Mississippi |
| Race ratings |
DDHQ and The Hill: Safe Republican Inside Elections: Solid Republican Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe Republican |
| Ballotpedia analysis |
| U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024 |
| See also |
U.S. Senate • 1st • 2nd • 3rd • 4th Mississippi elections, 2024 U.S. Congress elections, 2024 U.S. Senate elections, 2024 U.S. House elections, 2024 |
All U.S. House districts, including the 3rd Congressional District of Mississippi, held elections in 2024. The general election was November 5, 2024. The primary was March 12, 2024, and a primary runoff was April 2, 2024. The general runoff was November 26, 2024. The filing deadline was January 12, 2024.
The outcome of this race affected the partisan balance of the U.S. House of Representatives in the 119th Congress. All 435 House districts were up for election.
At the time of the election, Republicans held a 220-212 majority with three vacancies.[1] As a result of the election, Republicans retained control of the U.S. House, winning 220 seats to Democrats' 215.[2] To read more about the 2024 U.S. House elections, click here.
In the 2022 election in this district, the Republican candidate won 70.7%-29.3%. Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Donald Trump (R) would have defeated Joe Biden (D) 61.5%-37.2%.[3]
For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:
- Mississippi's 3rd Congressional District election, 2024 (March 12 Democratic primary)
- Mississippi's 3rd Congressional District election, 2024 (March 12 Republican primary)
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House Mississippi District 3
Incumbent Michael Guest won election in the general election for U.S. House Mississippi District 3 on November 5, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ |  | Michael Guest (R) | 100.0 | 265,159 |
| Total votes: 265,159 | |||
 = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Democratic primary election
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Jarvis Gordan (D)
- Angel Rios (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Mississippi District 3
Incumbent Michael Guest advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House Mississippi District 3 on March 12, 2024.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Michael Guest | 100.0 | 66,559 |
| Total votes: 66,559 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Candidate profiles
There were no candidate profiles created for this race. Candidate profiles would have appeared here as candidates completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey.
Voting information
- See also: Voting in Mississippi
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
No candidate in this race completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey.
Campaign finance
| Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Guest | Republican Party | $925,968 | $439,641 | $511,345 | As of December 31, 2024 |
|
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
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General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[4]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[5][6][7]
| Race ratings: Mississippi's 3rd Congressional District election, 2024 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
| November 5, 2024 | October 29, 2024 | October 22, 2024 | October 15, 2024 | ||||||
| The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
| Decision Desk HQ and The Hill | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | |||||
| Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | Solid Republican | |||||
| Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | |||||
| Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. | |||||||||
Ballot access
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in Mississippi in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Mississippi, click here.
| Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2024 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
| Mississippi | U.S. House | Democratic | N/A | $500.00 | 1/12/2024 | Source |
| Mississippi | U.S. House | Republican | N/A | $2,500.00 | 1/12/2024 | Source |
| Mississippi | U.S. House | Unaffiliated | 200 | $500.00 | 1/12/2024 | Source |
District analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District map - A map of the district in place for the election.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2024 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
Below was the map in use at the time of the election. Click the map below to enlarge it.
This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in Mississippi.
| Mississippi U.S. House competitiveness, 2014-2024 | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | Districts/ offices |
Seats | Open seats | Candidates | Possible primaries | Contested Democratic primaries | Contested Republican primaries | % of contested primaries | Incumbents in contested primaries | % of incumbents in contested primaries | ||||
| 2024 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 37.5% | 1 | 25.0% | ||||
| 2022 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 87.5% | 4 | 100.0% | ||||
| 2020 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 62.5% | 3 | 75.0% | ||||
| 2018 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 37.5% | 1 | 33.3% | ||||
| 2016 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 37.5% | 2 | 50.0% | ||||
| 2014 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 75.0% | 3 | 75.0% | ||||
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in Mississippi in 2024. Information below was calculated on March 7, 2024, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
Twelve candidates filed to run for Mississippi’s four U.S. House districts, including four Democrats and eight Republicans. That's three candidates per district, less than in the previous three election cycles. There were 5.75 candidates per district in 2022, 3.75 candidates per district in 2020, and 3.5 candidates per district in 2018.
No seats were open in 2024, meaning all incumbents ran for re-election. There was one House seat open in 2018, the only election cycle this decade in which a House seat was open.
Three primaries—one Democratic and two Republican—were contested, the fewest since 2018. Between 2014 and 2022, an average of 4.8 primaries were contested.
One incumbent—Mike Ezell (R)—faced a primary challenger. That’s fewer than in 2022 when four incumbents faced challengers.
The 3rd district was guaranteed to Republicans because no Democrats appeared on the ballot. Republicans filed to run in every congressional district, meaning none were guaranteed to Democrats.Partisan Voter Index
Heading into the 2024 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was R+15. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 15 percentage points more Republican than the national average. This made Mississippi's 3rd the 85th most Republican district nationally.[8]
2020 presidential election results
The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
| 2020 presidential results in Mississippi's 3rd based on 2024 district lines | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Joe Biden 
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Donald Trump 
| |||
| 37.2% | 61.5% | |||
Inside Elections Baselines
- See also: Inside Elections
Inside Elections' Baseline is a figure that analyzes all federal and statewide election results from the district over the past four election cycles. The results are combined in an index estimating the strength of a typical Democratic or Republican candidate in the congressional district.[9] The table below displays the Baseline data for this district.
| Inside Elections Baseline for 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic Baseline
|
Republican Baseline
|
Difference | ||
| 36.5 | 62.9 | D+26.4 | ||
Presidential voting history
Mississippi presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 16 Democratic wins
- 13 Republican wins
- 2 other wins
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of Mississippi's congressional delegation as of May 2024.
| Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Mississippi | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
| Democratic | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Republican | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 2 | 4 | 6 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in Mississippi's top four state executive offices as of May 2024.
| State executive officials in Mississippi, April 2024 | |
|---|---|
| Office | Officeholder |
| Governor | Tate Reeves
|
| Lieutenant Governor | Delbert Hosemann
|
| Secretary of State | Michael D. Watson Jr.
|
| Attorney General | Lynn Fitch
|
State legislature
Mississippi State Senate
| Party | As of February 2024 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 16 | |
| Republican Party | 36 | |
| Other | 0 | |
| Vacancies | 0 | |
| Total | 52 | |
Mississippi House of Representatives
| Party | As of February 2024 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 41 | |
| Republican Party | 79 | |
| Independent | 2 | |
| Other | 0 | |
| Vacancies | 0 | |
| Total | 122 | |
Trifecta control
The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.
Mississippi Party Control: 1992-2024
Four years of Democratic trifectas • Thirteen years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
| Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
| Senate | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R[13] | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
| House | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R |
District history
The section below details election results for this office in elections dating back to 2018.
2022
General election
General election for U.S. House Mississippi District 3
Incumbent Michael Guest defeated Shuwaski Young in the general election for U.S. House Mississippi District 3 on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Michael Guest (R) | 70.7 | 132,481 |
 | Shuwaski Young (D) | 29.3 | 54,803 | |
| Total votes: 187,284 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Republican primary runoff election
Republican primary runoff for U.S. House Mississippi District 3
Incumbent Michael Guest defeated Michael Cassidy in the Republican primary runoff for U.S. House Mississippi District 3 on June 28, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Michael Guest | 67.4 | 47,007 |
 | Michael Cassidy | 32.6 | 22,713 | |
| Total votes: 69,720 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Mississippi District 3
Shuwaski Young advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House Mississippi District 3 on June 7, 2022.
Candidate | ||
| ✔ | | Shuwaski Young |
| ||||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Rahim Talley (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Mississippi District 3
Incumbent Michael Guest and Michael Cassidy advanced to a runoff. They defeated Thomas Griffin in the Republican primary for U.S. House Mississippi District 3 on June 7, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Michael Guest | 47.5 | 23,675 |
| ✔ | | Michael Cassidy | 46.9 | 23,407 |
 | Thomas Griffin | 5.6 | 2,785 | |
| Total votes: 49,867 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
2020
General election
General election for U.S. House Mississippi District 3
Incumbent Michael Guest defeated Dorothy Benford in the general election for U.S. House Mississippi District 3 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Michael Guest (R) | 64.7 | 221,064 |
| Dorothy Benford (D) | 35.3 | 120,782 | ||
| Total votes: 341,846 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Mississippi District 3
Dorothy Benford defeated Katelyn Lee in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Mississippi District 3 on March 10, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Dorothy Benford | 64.0 | 38,967 | |
 | Katelyn Lee | 36.0 | 21,951 | |
| Total votes: 60,918 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Mississippi District 3
Incumbent Michael Guest defeated James Tulp in the Republican primary for U.S. House Mississippi District 3 on March 10, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Michael Guest | 89.8 | 67,269 |
 | James Tulp | 10.2 | 7,618 | |
| Total votes: 74,887 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
2018
General election
General election for U.S. House Mississippi District 3
Michael Guest defeated Michael Evans and Matthew Holland in the general election for U.S. House Mississippi District 3 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Michael Guest (R) | 62.3 | 160,284 |
 | Michael Evans (D) | 36.7 | 94,461 | |
| Matthew Holland (Reform Party) | 1.0 | 2,526 | ||
| Total votes: 257,271 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Republican primary runoff election
Republican primary runoff for U.S. House Mississippi District 3
Michael Guest defeated Whit Hughes in the Republican primary runoff for U.S. House Mississippi District 3 on June 26, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Michael Guest | 65.1 | 31,572 |
 | Whit Hughes | 34.9 | 16,950 | |
| Total votes: 48,522 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House Mississippi District 3
Michael Evans defeated Michael Aycox in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Mississippi District 3 on June 5, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Michael Evans | 69.3 | 17,016 |
 | Michael Aycox | 30.7 | 7,525 | |
| Total votes: 24,541 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Omeria Scott (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House Mississippi District 3
The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. House Mississippi District 3 on June 5, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | | Michael Guest | 44.8 | 29,157 |
| ✔ | | Whit Hughes | 22.2 | 14,464 |
 | Perry Parker | 16.2 | 10,562 | |
 | Sally Doty | 10.2 | 6,608 | |
| Morgan Dunn | 5.9 | 3,820 | ||
| Katherine Tate | 0.6 | 416 | ||
| Total votes: 65,027 | |||
| = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ A majority in the U.S. House when there are no vacancies is 218 seats.
- ↑ These figures include the seat of Rep. Matt Gaetz (R-Fla.), who resigned on Nov. 13, 2024, after winning re-election.
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed January 10, 2024
- ↑ Inside Elections, "Methodology: Inside Elections’ Baseline by Congressional District," December 8, 2023
- ↑ Although he was not on the ballot, Harry F. Byrd (D) won Mississippi's eight unpledged electoral votes in the 1960 election against Richard Nixon (R) and Democratic Party nominee John F. Kennedy.
- ↑ States' Rights Democratic Party
- ↑ American Independent Party
- ↑ Republicans gained a majority in 2007 when two Democratic state senators switched their party affiliation. Democrats regained the majority as a result of the 2007 elections.
