United States Senate election in Arizona, 2024 (July 30 Republican primary)

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2022
U.S. Senate, Arizona
Ballotpedia Election Coverage Badge.png
Democratic primary
Republican primary
General election
Election details
Filing deadline: April 1, 2024
Primary: July 30, 2024
General: November 5, 2024

Pre-election incumbent:
Kyrsten Sinema (independent)
How to vote
Poll times: 6 a.m. to 7 p.m.
Voting in Arizona
Race ratings
Cook Political Report: Lean Democratic
DDHQ and The Hill: Lean Democratic
Inside Elections: Lean Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean Democratic
Ballotpedia analysis
U.S. Senate battlegrounds
U.S. House battlegrounds
Federal and state primary competitiveness
Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2024
See also
U.S. Senate, Arizona
U.S. Senate1st2nd3rd4th5th6th7th8th9th
Arizona elections, 2024
U.S. Congress elections, 2024
U.S. Senate elections, 2024
U.S. House elections, 2024

Kari Lake defeated Mark LambElizabeth Reye, and Dustin Williams in the Republican primary for the U.S. Senate in Arizona on July 30, 2024. Lake and Lamb led the other candidates in campaign finance and media attention.

Incumbent Sen. Krysten Sinema (independent), who was first elected in 2018 as a Democrat, did not run for re-election.

Lake was a news anchor for Fox 10 News Phoenix for 22 years. In 2021, she left the station to run for governor of Arizona.[1] In the 2022 gubernatorial general election, then-Arizona Secretary of State Katie Hobbs (D) defeated Lake, 50.3% to 49.6%. According to ABC News, Lake's gubernatorial campaign "burnished her profile among conservatives and earned her widespread attention."[2]

Lake's campaign website said she "believes in secure borders, energy independence, safe streets, education not indoctrination, pushing back against the radical Biden agenda, and preserving the western heritage that makes Arizona special."[3] Former President Donald Trump (R) endorsed Lake.[4]

Lamb was, at the time of the election, the sheriff of Pinal County, Arizona. According to USA Today, Lamb "made headlines in 2020 by saying he would not enforce stay-at-home orders and mask mandates that emanated from the COVID lockdown."[5] Lamb's law enforcement career also included work at the Salt River Police Department and the Pinal County Sheriff's Office.[6] He owned a pest control business until he became sheriff in 2017.[7]

Lamb said he was running for the U.S. Senate because "I've realized I can only do so much on a county level. This has to be taken back to a national level, and I hope to be part of the solutions in this country and not part of the problems. I think you need people who understand the nuances of working with other people."[8]

Ballotpedia provided race forecasts from four outlets: The Cook Political ReportInside ElectionsSabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. To see how each outlet rated the general electionclick here.

Elizabeth Reye (R) completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. To read those survey responses, click here.

This page focuses on Arizona's United States Senate Republican primary. For more in-depth information on the state's Democratic primary and the general election, see the following pages:

Election news

This section includes a timeline of events leading up to the election.

Candidates and election results

Republican primary election

Republican primary for U.S. Senate Arizona

Kari Lake defeated Mark Lamb, Elizabeth Reye, and Dustin Williams in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate Arizona on July 30, 2024.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Kari Lake
Kari Lake
 
55.3
 
409,339
Image of Mark Lamb
Mark Lamb
 
39.5
 
292,888
Image of Elizabeth Reye
Elizabeth Reye Candidate Connection
 
5.2
 
38,208
Dustin Williams (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
184

Total votes: 740,619
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.

Withdrawn or disqualified candidates

Voting information

See also: Voting in Arizona

Election information in Arizona: July 30, 2024, election.

What was the voter registration deadline?

  • In-person: July 1, 2024
  • By mail: Received by July 1, 2024
  • Online: July 1, 2024

Was absentee/mail-in voting available to all voters?

N/A

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot request deadline?

  • In-person: July 19, 2024
  • By mail: Received by July 19, 2024
  • Online: July 19, 2024

What was the absentee/mail-in ballot return deadline?

  • In-person: July 30, 2024
  • By mail: Received by July 30, 2024

Was early voting available to all voters?

N/A

What were the early voting start and end dates?

July 3, 2024 to July 26, 2024

Were all voters required to present ID at the polls? If so, was a photo or non-photo ID required?

N/A

When were polls open on Election Day?

6:00 a.m. - 7:00 p.m. (MST)


Candidate comparison

Candidate profiles

This section includes candidate profiles that may be created in one of two ways: either the candidate completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey, or Ballotpedia staff may compile a profile based on campaign websites, advertisements, and public statements after identifying the candidate as noteworthy. For more on how we select candidates to include, click here.

Image of Kari Lake

WebsiteFacebookTwitterYouTube

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Biography:  Lake received a bachelor's degree from the University of Iowa. Her professional experience included working as a news anchor for Fox 10 News Phoenix.



Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.


On immigration, Lake said she would support finishing the border wall along the U.S.-Mexico border and enforcing immigration laws.


Lake said she would "vote to open our oil reserves to exploration, cut prices at the pump and on your utility bill, and expand exports once again."


Regarding the economy, Lake's campaign website said she would "work to limit the growth of the federal budget until we return to the point where annual tax revenues are higher than what we're spending."


Lake said she would "make the development and construction of a system to deliver a new source of fresh water to Arizona and the West one of her major priorities."


Show sources

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. Senate Arizona in 2024.

Image of Mark Lamb

WebsiteFacebookTwitterYouTube

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: 

  • Sheriff of Pinal County, Arizona (Assumed office: 2017)

Biography:  Lamb's law enforcement career included working at the Salt River Police Department and the Pinal County Sheriff's Office. Before his career in law enforcement, Lamb owned a pest control business.



Key Messages

The following key messages were curated by Ballotpedia staff. For more on how we identify key messages, click here.


On immigration, Lamb said, "We need to return to Trump-era policies, finish the Wall, and reinstate 'Remain in Mexico'."


Lamb said he would support declaring cartels as terrorist organizations.


Regarding the economy, Lamb said he would work to bring manufacturing back from overseas and create jobs in the U.S.


Lamb described himself as a "fearless defender of the Second Amendment in Arizona."


Show sources

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. Senate Arizona in 2024.

Image of Elizabeth Reye

WebsiteFacebookTwitterYouTube

Party: Republican Party

Incumbent: No

Political Office: None

Submitted Biography "After graduating from Johns Hopkins University in neuroscience, I went to work at the National Institute of Health. Later, while living in Portland, Oregon, I turned my focus to cleaning up that city with a run for the state legislature. You can imagine the reception of a Libertarian Republican running on an anti-corruption platform in Portland! Antifa (so- called) threatened me and my family but I took them on because the conscience of a conservative never backs down! Soon after returning home to Arizona, I noticed a change in the conscience of our conservative state. Much of the same extremism I witnessed from the far-left in Portland, I now saw growing in my beloved party. My Republican Party stands for Reagan, Reason, and Responsibility. My concern is that the party of Reagan is drifting away from these roots of reason and responsibility into self-defeating denialism that plays into the hands of both our political and global competitors. When we abandon those roots, we lose both here and on the world stage. It’s time to return those roots of Reagan Republicanism back to the party. This is why I am running."


Key Messages

To read this candidate's full survey responses, click here.


Border Security President Reagan believed that the greatness of our nation is rooted in our being a Beacon of Freedom across the world. Far from “poisoning our blood”, lawful immigrants seeking a better life have consistently been the lifeblood of our nation. Reagan saw that and so did I. When President Reagan signed the last comprehensive immigration bill passed in this country, He was sure to congratulate both Republicans and Democrats. “It’s amazing what can be accomplished when you don’t care who gets credit,” Reagan remarked with a smile. Nothing is ever going to get done on the border (or anywhere else for that matter) until we get back to understanding the wisdom of those words.


Economy Was your life better off 4 years ago? What Biden and his cronies have done to our economy is atrocious. Skyrocketing inflation, loss of energy independence, and gas prices through the roof. There are easy ways to stop this madness. I stand to make Arizona the welcoming, easy to afford state I grew up in.


Peace through strength. It worked and it still works. Those like Lake who would capitulate to the tyrants and make America a junior partner in the Axis of Evil would be unrecognizable as Republicans to Reagan. And anyone who promises to be a dictator (for a day, hour, minute, or second) is certainly no friend of The Gipper. I understand Peace through Strength and I understand why we must stand up to tyrants like Putin, Xi, and Un instead of blowing them kisses from Washington, DC.

This information was current as of the candidate's run for U.S. Senate Arizona in 2024.

Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses

Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. The section below shows responses from candidates in this race who completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.

Survey responses from candidates in this race

Click on a candidate's name to visit their Ballotpedia page.

Note: Ballotpedia reserves the right to edit Candidate Connection survey responses. Any edits made by Ballotpedia will be clearly marked with [brackets] for the public. If the candidate disagrees with an edit, he or she may request the full removal of the survey response from Ballotpedia.org. Ballotpedia does not edit or correct typographical errors unless the candidate's campaign requests it.

Expand all | Collapse all

Border Security

President Reagan believed that the greatness of our nation is rooted in our being a Beacon of Freedom across the world. Far from “poisoning our blood”, lawful immigrants seeking a better life have consistently been the lifeblood of our nation. Reagan saw that and so did I.

When President Reagan signed the last comprehensive immigration bill passed in this country, He was sure to congratulate both Republicans and Democrats. “It’s amazing what can be accomplished when you don’t care who gets credit,” Reagan remarked with a smile. Nothing is ever going to get done on the border (or anywhere else for that matter) until we get back to understanding the wisdom of those words.

Economy Was your life better off 4 years ago? What Biden and his cronies have done to our economy is atrocious. Skyrocketing inflation, loss of energy independence, and gas prices through the roof. There are easy ways to stop this madness. I stand to make Arizona the welcoming, easy to afford state I grew up in.

Peace through strength. It worked and it still works. Those like Lake who would capitulate to the tyrants and make America a junior partner in the Axis of Evil would be unrecognizable as Republicans to Reagan. And anyone who promises to be a dictator (for a day, hour, minute, or second) is certainly no friend of The Gipper.

I understand Peace through Strength and I understand why we must stand up to tyrants like Putin, Xi, and Un instead of blowing them kisses from Washington, DC.
Most specifically border security and economy/ inflation
Reagan, as stated above. He restored dignity and sanity to both the United States and the world during a period of economic insecurity much like now, and managed to spearhead the fall of the Soviet Union.
Ability to hold strong to one's values, not be afraid to stand tall, and to never capitulate to lobbies and special interests.
I'm strong, determined, well versed in politics and Constitional rights. I follow politics very closely and have since I was a child.
Senators hold a strong seat in our three tiered system of justice. We vote in Conressional bills and help ensure the checks and balances the Founding Fathers designed.
An honest, yet full of force, voice to be reckoned with.
I was a neuroscientist working in the Biopsychiatry Department at Johns Hopkins. The lasted full time for about 4 years.
Changes! Depends on my mood. Sometimes I like my Cambridge neuroscience series, sometimes a good Douglas Preston or James Patterson.
Harry Potter, the boy who didn't give up despite all the odds.
My daughter was humming a rare one not many will know this: Hold the Line by Avicii
My youngest daughter is severely disabled and is been a long, hard road to get to her the point she is, where she is becoming a wonderful young lady.
Getting back to where our now divided, disenfranchised nation was: a healthy middle class that can afford to live better than packed to paycheck, and does not have to worry about international wars.
Absolutely!!!!! I can't think of many Congress or Senate that have held seats for 50 years that have not been corrupted and/or completely removed from how the populace feels.
2 members per state. Not based on partisan districting, but based on the entire state. And each state, no matter the size, shares equal say.
Not necessarily. An interest and knowledge? Yes. But having run or held office before? No, level of knowledge and personal reliability matter more.
Necessary. To lose it means each side flip flops via who is in charge and political winds.
Not appropriate for print lol
Based on past rulings, Contitutional adherence
Friendly, working ones, be it Republican, Democrat, or Indepent.
To look into misdeads of other officials in government.
Budget; Commerce, Science and Education; Energy and National Resources; Finance; Foreign Relations; Homeland Security; Judiciary; Intelligence; Committee on Aging
Vastly important to have financial transparency and government accountability. Instead we get massive 2000 page bills filled with pork that are causing out debt to skyrocket.


Campaign advertisements

This section includes a selection of up to three campaign advertisements per candidate released in this race, as well as links to candidates' YouTube, Vimeo, and/or Facebook video pages. If you are aware of other links that should be included, please email us.

Republican Party Kari Lake

April 25, 2024
April 20, 2024
November 2, 2023

View more ads here:

Republican Party Mark Lamb

April 11, 2023
February 18, 2024
February 18, 2024

View more ads here:

Republican Party Elizabeth Reye

March 13, 2024
February 28, 2024

View more ads here:

Republican Party Dustin Williams

Ballotpedia did not come across any campaign ads for Dustin Williams while conducting research on this election. If you are aware of any ads that should be included, please email us.

Debates and forums

If you are aware of any debates, candidate forums, or other similar events where multiple candidates in this race participated, please email us.

Noteworthy endorsements

See also: Ballotpedia: Our approach to covering endorsements

This section lists noteworthy endorsements issued in this election, including those made by high-profile individuals and organizations, cross-party endorsements, and endorsements made by newspaper editorial boards. It also includes a bulleted list of links to official lists of endorsements for any candidates who published that information on their campaign websites. Please note that this list is not exhaustive. If you are aware of endorsements that should be included, please click here.

Republican primary endorsements
Endorser Republican Party Kari Lake Republican Party Mark Lamb
Government officials
U.S. Sen. John Barrasso (R)  source  
U.S. Sen. Marsha Blackburn (R)  source  
U.S. Sen. Ted Budd (R)  source  
U.S. Sen. John Cornyn (R)  source  
U.S. Sen. Tom Cotton (R)  source  
U.S. Sen. Kevin Cramer (R)  source  
U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz (R)  source  
U.S. Sen. Steve Daines (R)  source  
U.S. Sen. Joni Ernst (R)  source  
U.S. Sen. Bill Hagerty (R)  source  
U.S. Sen. Josh Hawley (R)  source  
U.S. Sen. John Neely Kennedy (R)  source  
U.S. Sen. Mike Lee (R)  source  
U.S. Sen. Cynthia Lummis (R)  source  
U.S. Sen. Roger Marshall (R)  source  
U.S. Sen. Markwayne Mullin (R)  source  
U.S. Sen. Rand Paul (R)  source  
U.S. Sen. Jim Risch (R)  source  
U.S. Sen. Eric Schmitt (R)  source  
U.S. Sen. Tim Scott (R)  source  
U.S. Sen. John Thune (R)  source  
U.S. Sen. Tommy Tuberville (R)  source  
U.S. Sen. J.D. Vance (R)  source  
U.S. Rep. Jim Banks (R)  source  
U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds (R)  source  
U.S. Rep. Matt Gaetz (R)  source  
U.S. Rep. Wesley Hunt (R)  source  
U.S. Rep. Ronny L. Jackson (R)  source  
U.S. Rep. Brian Mast (R)  source  
U.S. Rep. Cory Mills (R)  source  
U.S. Rep. Burgess Owens (R)  source  
U.S. Rep. Elise Stefanik (R)  source  
Gov. Doug Burgum (R)  source  
AZ state Sen. David Farnsworth (R)  source  
AZ state Sen. Jake Hoffman (R)  source  
State Sen. Warren Petersen (R)  source  
State Sen. Wendy Rogers (R)  source  
AZ State Rep. Alexander Kolodin (R)  source  
Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton (R)  source  
Individuals
Frmr. Member, Phoenix City Council Sal DiCiccio  source  
Frmr. U.S. Rep. Louis B. Gohmert Jr.  source  
Blake Masters  source  
Former Presidential Candidate Vivek Ramaswamy  source  
Frmr. President Donald Trump  source  
Donald Trump Jr.  source  
Organizations
Citizens United Political Victory Fund  source  
National Republican Senatorial Committee  source  
Oil & Gas Workers Association  source  
Patriot Parents  source  
Republican National Hispanic Assembly  source  
Republicans for National Renewal  source  
Senate Conservatives Fund  source  
Turning Point Action  source  
Other
Conservative Political Commentator Chad Prather  source  

Election competitiveness

Polls

See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls

Polls are conducted with a variety of methodologies and have margins of error or credibility intervals.[14] The Pew Research Center wrote, "A margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points at the 95% confidence level means that if we fielded the same survey 100 times, we would expect the result to be within 3 percentage points of the true population value 95 of those times."[15] For tips on reading polls from FiveThirtyEight, click here. For tips from Pew, click here.

Below we provide results for polls that are included in polling aggregation from FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics, when available. Click here to read about FiveThirtyEight's criteria for including polls in its aggregation. We only report polls for which we can find a margin of error or credibility interval.


U.S. Senate election in Arizona, 2024: Primary election polls
Poll Date Republican Party Kari Lake Republican Party Mark Lamb Republican Party Elizabeth Reye Republican Party Dustin Williams Undecided/Other Margin of error Sample size[16] Sponsor[17]
Noble Predictive Insights May 7-14 46%% 21% -- -- 34% ± 5.14 364 RV N/A
Rasmussen Reports Feb. 21-26 55% 26% -- -- 19% ± 3.0 1,001 LV Bull Moose Project
J.L. Partners April 10-12 54% 22% -- -- 24% ± 3.0 550 LV N/A


Race ratings

See also: Race rating definitions and methods

Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:

  • Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
  • Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
  • Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[18]
  • Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.

Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[19][20][21]

Race ratings: U.S. Senate election in Arizona, 2024
Race trackerRace ratings
November 5, 2024October 29, 2024October 22, 2024October 15, 2024
The Cook Political Report with Amy WalterLean DemocraticLean DemocraticLean DemocraticLean Democratic
Decision Desk HQ and The HillLean DemocraticLikely DemocraticLikely DemocraticLikely Democratic
Inside Elections with Nathan L. GonzalesLean DemocraticLean DemocraticLean DemocraticLean Democratic
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal BallLean DemocraticLean DemocraticLean DemocraticLean Democratic
Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week.

Election spending

Campaign finance

Name Party Receipts* Disbursements** Cash on hand Date
Kari Lake Republican Party $26,252,199 $26,033,986 $218,213 As of December 31, 2024
Mark Lamb Republican Party $2,189,532 $2,172,908 $16,624 As of December 31, 2024
Elizabeth Reye Republican Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***
Dustin Williams Republican Party $0 $0 $0 Data not available***

Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2024. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).

* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee."
** According to the FEC, a disbursement "is a purchase, payment, distribution, loan, advance, deposit or gift of money or anything of value to influence a federal election," plus other kinds of payments not made to influence a federal election.
*** Candidate either did not report any receipts or disbursements to the FEC, or Ballotpedia did not find an FEC candidate ID.

Satellite spending

See also: Satellite spending

Satellite spending describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[22][23]

If available, satellite spending reports by the Federal Election Commission (FEC) and OpenSecrets.org are linked below. FEC links include totals from monthly, quarterly, and semi-annual reports. OpenSecrets.org compiles data from those reports as well as 24- and 48-hour reports from the FEC.[24]

Details about satellite spending of significant amounts and/or reported by media are included below those links. The amounts listed may not represent the total satellite spending in the election. To notify us of additional satellite spending, email us.

By candidate By election

Election analysis

Click the tabs below to view information about demographics, past elections, and partisan control of the state.

  • Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the state.
  • Statewide elections - Information about recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections in the state.
  • State partisanship - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
  • Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.


See also: Presidential voting trends in Arizona and The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

Cook PVI by congressional district

Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index for Arizona, 2024
District Incumbent Party PVI
Arizona's 1st David Schweikert Ends.png Republican R+2
Arizona's 2nd Eli Crane Ends.png Republican R+6
Arizona's 3rd Ruben Gallego Electiondot.png Democratic D+24
Arizona's 4th Greg Stanton Electiondot.png Democratic D+2
Arizona's 5th Andy Biggs Ends.png Republican R+11
Arizona's 6th Juan Ciscomani Ends.png Republican R+3
Arizona's 7th Raul Grijalva Electiondot.png Democratic D+15
Arizona's 8th Debbie Lesko Ends.png Republican R+10
Arizona's 9th Paul Gosar Ends.png Republican R+16


2020 presidential results by 2024 congressional district lines

2020 presidential results in congressional districts based on 2024 district lines, Arizona[25]
District Joe Biden Democratic Party Donald Trump Republican Party
Arizona's 1st 50.1% 48.6%
Arizona's 2nd 45.3% 53.2%
Arizona's 3rd 74.5% 23.9%
Arizona's 4th 54.2% 43.9%
Arizona's 5th 41.0% 57.4%
Arizona's 6th 49.3% 49.2%
Arizona's 7th 65.6% 32.9%
Arizona's 8th 42.5% 56.1%
Arizona's 9th 36.4% 62.2%


2012-2020

How a state's counties vote in a presidential election and the size of those counties can provide additional insights into election outcomes at other levels of government including statewide and congressional races. Below, four categories are used to describe each county's voting pattern over the 2012, 2016, and 2020 presidential elections: Solid, Trending, Battleground, and New. Click [show] on the table below for examples:


Following the 2020 presidential election, 61.8% of Arizonans lived in Maricopa County, the state's one New Democratic county, which voted for the Democratic presidential candidate for the first time in 2020 after voting for the Republican in the preceding two cycles, and 20.0% lived in one of 10 Solid Republican counties. Overall, Arizona was New Democratic, having voted for Mitt Romney (R) in 2012, Donald Trump (R) in 2016, and Joe Biden (D) in 2020. Use the table below to view the total number of each type of county in Arizona following the 2020 election as well as the overall percentage of the state population located in each county type.

Historical voting trends

Arizona presidential election results (1900-2020)

  • 9 Democratic wins
  • 19 Republican wins
Year 1900 1904 1908 1912 1916 1920 1924 1928 1932 1936 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020
Winning Party N/A N/A N/A D D R R R D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R D R R R R R D

This section details the results of the five most recent U.S. Senate and gubernatorial elections held in the state.

U.S. Senate elections

See also: List of United States Senators from Arizona

The table below details the vote in the five most recent U.S. Senate races in Arizona.

U.S. Senate election results in Arizona
Race Winner Runner up
2022 51.4%Democratic Party 46.5%Republican Party
2020 51.2%Democratic Party 48.8%Republican Party
2018 50.0%Democratic Party 47.6%Republican Party
2016 53.7%Republican Party 40.8%Democratic Party
2012 49.2%Republican Party 46.1%Democratic Party
Average 52.7 43.6

Gubernatorial elections

See also: Governor of Arizona

The table below details the vote in the five most recent gubernatorial elections in Arizona.

Gubernatorial election results in Arizona
Race Winner Runner up
2022 50.3%Democratic Party 49.6%Republican Party
2018 56.0%Republican Party 41.8%Democratic Party
2014 53.4%Democratic Party 41.6%Republican Party
2010 54.3%Republican Party 42.4%Democratic Party
2006 62.6%Democratic Party 35.4%Republican Party
Average 54.5 41.3
See also: Party control of Arizona state government

Congressional delegation

The table below displays the partisan composition of Arizona's congressional delegation as of May 2024.

Congressional Partisan Breakdown from Arizona
Party U.S. Senate U.S. House Total
Democratic 2 2 4
Republican 0 6 6
Independent 0 0 0
Vacancies 0 1 1
Total 2 9 11

State executive

The table below displays the officeholders in Arizona's top three state executive offices as of May 2024.

State executive officials in Arizona, May 2024
Office Officeholder
Governor Democratic Party Katie Hobbs
Secretary of State Democratic Party Adrian Fontes
Attorney General Democratic Party Kris Mayes

State legislature

Arizona State Senate

Party As of February 2024
     Democratic Party 14
     Republican Party 16
     Other 0
     Vacancies 0
Total 30

Arizona House of Representatives

Party As of February 2024
     Democratic Party 28
     Republican Party 31
     Other 0
     Vacancies 1
Total 60

Trifecta control

The table below shows the state's trifecta status from 1992 until the 2024 election.

Arizona Party Control: 1992-2024
No Democratic trifectas  •  Twenty-two years of Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.

Year 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Governor R R R R R R R R R R R D D D D D D R R R R R R R R R R R R R R D D
Senate D R R R R R R R R S S R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
House R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R

The table below details demographic data in Arizona and compares it to the broader United States as of 2022.

Demographic Data for Arizona
Arizona United States
Population 7,151,502 331,449,281
Land area (sq mi) 113,654 3,531,905
Race and ethnicity**
White 66.7% 65.9%
Black/African American 4.6% 12.5%
Asian 3.4% 5.8%
Native American 4.1% 0.8%
Pacific Islander 0.2% 0.2%
Other (single race) 7.7% 6%
Multiple 13.4% 8.8%
Hispanic/Latino 32% 18.7%
Education
High school graduation rate 88.7% 89.1%
College graduation rate 31.8% 34.3%
Income
Median household income $72,581 $75,149
Persons below poverty level 9.2% 8.8%
Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2020). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2017-2022).
**Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here.

Election context

Ballot access requirements

The table below details filing requirements for U.S. Senate candidates in Arizona in the 2024 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in Arizona, click here.

Filing requirements for U.S. Senate candidates, 2024
State Office Party Signatures required Filing fee Filing deadline Source
Arizona U.S. Senate Democratic 6,556 N/A 4/1/2024 Source
Arizona U.S. Senate Republican 7,072 N/A 4/1/2024 Source
Arizona U.S. Senate Libertarian 3,607 N/A 4/1/2024 Source
Arizona U.S. Senate Unaffiliated 42,303 N/A 4/1/2024 Source

Arizona U.S. Senate election history

The section below details election results for this state's U.S. Senate elections dating back to 2018.

2022

See also: United States Senate election in Arizona, 2022

General election
General election for U.S. Senate Arizona

The following candidates ran in the general election for U.S. Senate Arizona on November 8, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Mark Kelly
Mark Kelly (D)
 
51.4
 
1,322,027
Image of Blake Masters
Blake Masters (R)
 
46.5
 
1,196,308
Image of Marc Victor
Marc Victor (L) (Unofficially withdrew) Candidate Connection
 
2.1
 
53,762
Lester Ralph Maul Jr. (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
95
Christopher Bullock (R) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
27
Ty McLean Jr. (D) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
21
Image of Roxanne Rodriguez
Roxanne Rodriguez (R) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
20
Sherrise Bordes (R) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
17
Image of William Taylor
William Taylor (D) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
8
Image of Todd Smeltzer
Todd Smeltzer (D) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
6
Image of Edward Davida
Edward Davida (R) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
3

Total votes: 2,572,294
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Arizona

Incumbent Mark Kelly advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Arizona on August 2, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Mark Kelly
Mark Kelly
 
100.0
 
589,400

Total votes: 589,400
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. Senate Arizona

The following candidates ran in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate Arizona on August 2, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Blake Masters
Blake Masters
 
40.2
 
327,198
Image of Jim Lamon
Jim Lamon
 
28.1
 
228,467
Image of Mark Brnovich
Mark Brnovich
 
17.7
 
144,092
Image of Michael McGuire
Michael McGuire Candidate Connection
 
8.7
 
71,100
Image of Justin Olson
Justin Olson
 
5.2
 
41,985
Image of David Bozic
David Bozic (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
138
Image of Frank Bertone
Frank Bertone (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
88

Total votes: 813,068
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
Green primary election
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
Libertarian primary election
Libertarian primary for U.S. Senate Arizona

Marc Victor advanced from the Libertarian primary for U.S. Senate Arizona on August 2, 2022.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Marc Victor
Marc Victor Candidate Connection
 
100.0
 
3,065

Total votes: 3,065
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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2020

On November 3, 2020, there was a special election to fill the rest of the 2017-2022 term that John McCain (R) was elected to in 2016. McCain died from cancer on August 25, 2018.[26] Incumbent Rep. Martha McSally (R) was appointed to the U.S. Senate by Gov. Doug Ducey (R) on December 18, 2018.[27]

General election
Special general election for U.S. Senate Arizona

The following candidates ran in the special general election for U.S. Senate Arizona on November 3, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Mark Kelly
Mark Kelly (D)
 
51.2
 
1,716,467
Image of Martha McSally
Martha McSally (R)
 
48.8
 
1,637,661
Matthew Dorchester (L) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
379
Image of Nicholas Glenn
Nicholas Glenn (Independent Republican Party) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
152
Debbie Simmons (R) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
98
Image of John Schiess
John Schiess (R) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
92
Christopher Beckett (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
69
Image of Joshua Rodriguez
Joshua Rodriguez (Unity Party) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
69
Image of Mohammad Arif
Mohammad Arif (D) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
68
Image of Perry Kapadia
Perry Kapadia (D) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
58
Mathew Haupt (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
37
Patrick Thomas (R) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
29
Image of Edward Davida
Edward Davida (R) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
28
Jim Stevens (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
23
Buzz Stewart (D) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
22
William Decker (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
21
Adam Chilton (D) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
19
Benjamin Rodriguez (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
17
Frank Saenz (Independent) (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
8

Total votes: 3,355,317
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Democratic primary election
Special Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Arizona

Mark Kelly defeated Bo Garcia in the special Democratic primary for U.S. Senate Arizona on August 4, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Mark Kelly
Mark Kelly
 
99.9
 
665,620
Bo Garcia (Write-in)
 
0.1
 
451

Total votes: 666,071
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
Republican primary election
Special Republican primary for U.S. Senate Arizona

Incumbent Martha McSally defeated Daniel McCarthy and Sean Lyons in the special Republican primary for U.S. Senate Arizona on August 4, 2020.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Martha McSally
Martha McSally
 
75.2
 
551,119
Image of Daniel McCarthy
Daniel McCarthy Candidate Connection
 
24.8
 
181,511
Sean Lyons (Write-in)
 
0.0
 
210

Total votes: 732,840
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
Libertarian primary election
Special Libertarian primary for U.S. Senate Arizona

No candidate advanced from the primary.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Barry J. Hess
Barry J. Hess (Write-in)
 
76.5
 
329
Alan White (Write-in)
 
23.5
 
101

Vote totals may be incomplete for this race.

Total votes: 430
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

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2018

General election
General election for U.S. Senate Arizona

Kyrsten Sinema defeated Martha McSally and Angela Green in the general election for U.S. Senate Arizona on November 6, 2018.

Candidate
%
Votes
Image of Kyrsten Sinema
Kyrsten Sinema (D)
 
50.0
 
1,191,100
Image of Martha McSally
Martha McSally (R)
 
47.6
 
1,135,200
Image of Angela Green
Angela Green (G)
 
2.4
 
57,442
 Other/Write-in votes
 
0.0
 
566

Total votes: 2,384,308
(100.00% precincts reporting)
Candidate Connection = candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey.
If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey.

Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team.



2024 battleground elections

See also: Battlegrounds

This was a battleground election. Other 2024 battleground elections included:

See also

External links

Footnotes

  1. The Deseret News, "How Kari Lake went from mainstream media to Arizona’s leading MAGA candidate for governor," October 15, 2021
  2. ABC News, "Kari Lake launches Arizona Senate campaign after narrow gubernatorial loss," October 10, 2023
  3. Kari Lake campaign website, "About," accessed June 9, 2024
  4. X, "Brahm Resnik," October 10, 2023
  5. USA Today, "Mark Lamb, the pro-Trump Arizona sheriff, is running for the U.S. Senate," April 11, 2023
  6. Fronteras Desk, "Pinal County Sheriff Must Balance Demands Of Rural, Growing Community," March 30, 2017
  7. Mark Lamb campaign website, "Meet Sheriff Lamb," accessed May 19, 2024
  8. Fox 10 Phoenix, "2024 Election: Meet the Arizonans running for the Senate seat held by Sen. Kyrsten Sinema," January 14, 2024
  9. USA Today, "Watch Arizona US Senate Candidate Kari Lake's speech at Republican National Convention," July 16, 2024
  10. Noble Predictive Insights, "Lake Still Leading GOP Senate Primary, But Losing Ground," May 23, 2024
  11. Rasmussen Reports, Arizona Senate: Kari Lake Leads Democrat Gallego, February 28, 2024
  12. X, "Brahm Resnik," October 10, 2023
  13. J.L. Partners, Arizona: Republican primary polling, accessed May 19, 2024
  14. For more information on the difference between margins of error and credibility intervals, see explanations from the American Association for Public Opinion Research and Ipsos.
  15. Pew Research Center, "5 key things to know about the margin of error in election polls," September 8, 2016
  16. RV=Registered Voters
    LV=Likely Voters
  17. The sponsor is the person or group that funded all or part of the poll.
  18. Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
  19. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
  20. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
  21. Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
  22. OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed December 12, 2021
  23. OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed December 12, 2021
  24. Amee LaTour, Email correspondence with the Center for Responsive Politics, August 5, 2022
  25. Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012," accessed December 15, 2023
  26. Arizona Central, "Former U.S. Sen. Jon Kyl will be John McCain's successor in the U.S. Senate," September 4, 2018
  27. AZCentral, "Martha McSally will be appointed to John McCain's Senate seat," December 18, 2018


Senators
Representatives
District 1
District 2
Eli Crane (R)
District 3
District 4
District 5
District 6
District 7
Vacant
District 8
District 9
Republican Party (6)
Democratic Party (4)
Vacancies (1)